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Demonetisation and Digitisation
- A Diagnostic Study
March 2017
The study has been conducted…
 To gauge the experience of users adopting cashless modes, barriers (behavioural and functional) to
uptake and usage of cashlesssolutions.
 To study the impact of demonetisation on the primary source of income of individuals, their
expenses, coping mechanisms adopted and the change in the mode/channel used for conducting
financial transactions.
Approach to the exploratory study
 Primary research in the four states of India with a focus on the demand side.
 In-depth structured interactions with 147 respondents spread across rural, semi-urban and
urban geographies.
 Respondents included individuals associated with different value chains and those having
varied skill sets.
 Observed varied cashless modes to transact, including cheques.
On November 8, 2016 Government of India (GoI) withdrew the legal tender status of ₹500 and ₹1,000 denomination banknotes with the stated
objectives to: a) reduce black money stashed in cash; b) stifle counterfeit Indian banknotes and c) curb terror funding.* In addition to the achievement
of these objectives, GoI promoted the use of cashless methods to get more and more transactions throughdigital methods.
We conducted a diagnostic study (December, 16 to January, 17) to understand the impact that demonetisation had on the income, expenses and
cashless solutions adoption of four segments – agriculture and allied sector earners, self-employed, informal sector workers and salaried and their
dependents.
Uttar Pradesh
West
Bengal
Madhya
Pradesh
Rajasthan
About the study
*Source: Press Release of Reserve Bank of India
2
Key takeaways
 Debit cards and cheques are the most popular cashless solutions among people. However, post demonetisation the uptake of
cheques and mobile wallets has significantly increased, while that of debit cards has largely remained the same.
Debit cards are a popular cashless mode of payment among people due to the convenience it provides in terms of ease of handling and acceptance. Cheques are also widely
used by people since it is one of the oldest payment methods. Moreover post demonetisation, cheques acted as an easy substitute for cash which led to significant increase in
its usage. Some DFS providers, such as Paytm, also took advantage of demonetisation by strategically marketing its product because of which awareness and usability of
mobile wallets have increased.
 66% of the people using digital solutions likely to transition permanently, given sufficient access points and training is provided.
Demonetisation has created a push for most people to adopt cashless solutions. However, the permanent transition to cashless as reported by 66% of respondents will be
subject to providing sufficient financial access points and training on how to use DFS solutions. The remaining 34% who mentioned that they would prefer using cash over
digital methods faced either behavioural or functional issues. Behavioural issues include issues with trust, perception and risk. Functional issues are issues related to
awareness, usability, costs, infrastructure and grievance redressal.
 Demonetisation had varied impact across segments. Consequently, the coping mechanisms deployed by each segment differed.
 Demonetisation has had adverse impact on farmers and traders involved in vegetable and cattle trading, whereas dairy and grain farmers have been least affected as
they could resort to alternate means. For example, dairy farmers shifted to aggregators providing cash and grain farmers started accepting cheques for their produce.
 In ‘self-employed’ segment, businesses offering durable/white goods and services and non-essential products were highly impacted due to demonetisation as purchases
for such products and services were postponed to a later date. Hence, demonetisation has affected the owners of such businesses, however, being relatively better-off
than other segments they have been able to absorb losses.
 Demonetisation has had the most acute impact on some sub-segments within ‘informal sector workers’ segment, such as daily-wage labourers and artisans, who had
little or no work for almost two months. Another factor attributing to the acute impact was high dependence on cash and low uptake of cashless solutions. Low literacy
levels and small transaction ticket sizes inhibit this segment from adopting cashless solutions.
 Demonetisation has had least impact on ‘salaried and their dependents’ segment largely due to the nature of their employment and the already digitised salary
payments. However, lack of financial access points restricts them from frequently using cashless solutions.
 Significantly more concerted efforts are required from multiple stakeholders to (a) enhance customer awareness in practical
terms (product features, pricing, safety and security measures of payment instruments) and (b) for readiness of last mile infrastructure (POS
devices, network connectivity, electricity) in order to drive higher uptake and regular usage of DFS products.
3
Demonetisation has led to increased use of mobile wallets and cheques
Post demonetisation, most people have increased use of
cheques since they were able to withdraw larger amount
using it vis-à-vis using debit cards. People have also started
using cheques for smaller transaction ticket size than they
otherwise did due to its high acceptability.
The net use of debit cards increased since a number of people
tried using it for the first time. However, 22% of respondents
mentioned that they have decreased using the payment
instrument because of long queues and the ceiling on cash
withdrawals. Some debit card users even mentioned that
they have now switched to using cheques.
Use of mobile wallets, in particular Paytm, has increased as
demonetisation enabled adoption of easier-to-use digital
payment methods.
Change in usage of payment methods
since demonetisation
8% 22%
12%
41%
55%
50%
31%
51%
23%
38%
69%
Cheques Debit cards e-Payment
systems*
Mobile wallets
Increase
Same
Decrease
RBI and NPCI data supports our findings. Post demonetisation there is a shift towards increased use of cheques, debit cards at POS and mobile
wallets. The detailed analysis of the RBI and NPCI data is presented in Slide No.9.
Please note: *Electronic payment systems include NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI andUSSD.
4
5
66% of people using digital solutions likely to transition permanently, if sufficient
access points are available and training is provided
Likelihood of permanent transition to DFS*
40%
34%
26% Yes
No
Maybe
, USSD and mobilewallet.Please note: *DFS denotes payment instruments such as debit card, NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI
It excludes cheques.
40% of the respondents indicated that they would permanently
transition to digital payments even after cash circulation in the economy
returns to pre-demonetisation levels. 26% of the respondents mentioned
that they may switch to digital payments provided:
• Sufficient acceptance points are available,
• Peers and communities adopt digital payments methods, and
• They are trained on the use of digital payment methods and
solutions.
34% of the respondents however will not adopt digital payments and
revert to cash as soon as possible,because:
• Small ticket size payments are not accepted by merchants digitally,
disallowing consumers with low and erratic income to adopt digital
solutions,
• Their financial behaviour is difficult to change as their experience of
using cashless solutions has been limited to two months vis-à-vis
their experience of dealing in cash for years.
6
Demonetisation had varied level of impact on different segments
74%
60%
68%
57%
73%
69%
29%
63%
Agriculture and allied sector earners
Informal sector workers
declined significantly as they accepted
payments only in cash.
 However, the income of maids and mill workers
largely remained unaffected.
 Demonetisation has had the most acute impact on
some sub-segments within this segment as many
respondents, such as daily wage labourers and artisans
had little or no work for almost two months.
 The income of rickshaw/auto/taxi drivers also
91% Self-employed
56%  People in this segment being relatively better-off than
other segments, have been able to absorb the losses
incurred by demonetisation.
 Sellers offering essential products (grocery,
dairy, medicines) continued to receive constant
income although sale volumes decreased.
Sellers offering durable/white goods (mobiles, clothes)
had to provide short-term credit to ensure ongoing sale.
 The income of sellers offering non-essential products
(cosmetics, restaurants) reduced by more than half.
 This segment has been relatively least affected largely
due to the nature of their employment and the earlier
digitisation of their salary payments.
Salaried and their dependents
 In stray cases, some of them took 2-20 days in
getting their salary cheques cleared due to long
queues at branches.
 Decrease in consumption of discretionary items;
households resorted to thrifty purchase of
essential items.
Total Sample
Outer Circle: Percentage of respondents whose income has been impacted due to demonetisation
Inner Circle: Percentage of respondents whose expenditure has been impacted due to demonetisation
 Income of farmers might be impacted in future as homegrown seeds
were used for sowing instead of buying seeds from the market.
 Demonetisation had adverse impact on vegetable and cattle
farmers and traders as cash continued to be a preferred
mode of payment, because of small transaction ticket size
and lack of familiarity with purchasers respectively.
 Dairy farmers and grain farmers remain largely
unaffected as dairy farmers had option to shift to
aggregators paying in cash and grain farmers were
able to sell their produce at prevailing rates.
7
Demonetisation has created a push to adopt cashless solutions for most segments
45%
28%
57%
27%
47%
42%
28%
4%
31%
21%
 Trust and familiarity with payee is acting as a determining factor
to accept cashless solutions.
Self-employed
 Due to low cash availability, shopkeepers offering
essential products (grocery, dairy, medicines) have
started paying their suppliers/wholesalers in cheques.
 Shopkeepers offering durable/white goods
(mobiles, clothes) in semi-urban and urban areas
obtained POS machines and subscribed to
mobile wallets due to increased demand from
customers to pay using cashless solutions.
 Some shopkeepers have also started using NEFT/RTGS
for business transactions.
Salaried and their dependents
 Due to digitised income inflow this segment was more
accustomed to digital solutions.
 Comfort with technology is relatively higher for
this segment owing to high education levels and
familiarity with long-term usage of financial
services, such as bank accounts and debit cards.
 Lack of financial acceptance points restricts
frequent use of cashlesssolutions.
Total Sample
 Post demonetisation, mode of income for grain farmers
shifted from cash to cheques. However, it takes them
up to a fortnight to encash cheques.
 Semi-medium and medium farmers (land holding
of 2 – 10 hectares) shifted to cheques for
payments to input suppliers.
 Cash is still the preferred mode for transactions
and is extensively used for expenses.
Agriculture and allied sector earners
Informal sector workers
 This sector has been greatly impacted due to
demonetisation since they were highly dependent on
cash and adoption of cashless solutions was low.
Also, majority of people in this segment have low
levels of education and deal with small
transaction ticket size owing to erratic income.
 For drivers, mill workers and maids, the mode of
receiving wages changed from cash to cashless.
Outer Circle: Percentage of respondents whose mode of income has been impacted due to demonetisation
Inner Circle: Percentage of respondents whose mode of expenditure has been impacted due to demonetisation
8 8
Customer’s meaningful awareness and readiness of last mile infrastructure need to
be revisited
Trust issues
Perceptions
Low risk
appetite
Negative
Additional
costs
involved
Usability
issues
Lack of
awareness Lack of
infrastructure
Lack of
grievance
redressal
mechanism
• Fear of safety and security of cashless solutions since
lately people have been receiving fraudulent calls.
• Low trust with financial service providers especially,
non government entities, such as private sector
banks and mobile wallet providers.
• Fear to experiment due to lowincome
• More comfort in dealing with cash
due to its tangibility
• Relate cashless solutions to the privileged: wealthy
and literate
• Fear of hidden transaction costs
marketing
• Negative word of mouth or stories of
failed digital transactions of a friend or a
neighbour, creating barriers to the
uptake of cashless solutions
• A text-intensive and complicated
user interface
• Lack of content in vernacular
languages
For cashless solutions, limited knowledge of:
• the process of on-boarding and of carrying
out transactions
• the benefits (of cashlessmethods)
• the safety and securityfeatures
• Low penetration of bank branches, ATMs, agent network,
particularly in rural areas
• Low acceptance points of varioussolutions
• Issuance of POS devices has been delayed at the FSP’s end.
• Ownership of smartphone is limited,
restricting the adoption of mobile wallet and
of UPI
• A number of respondents have not activated
SMS alerts in order to avoid paying additional
charges to their banks.
• Lack of resolution of issues faced by
early-stage users adversely
impacting experience of cashless
solutions
Inhibitors to
cashlessadoption
9
Impact of demonetisation on digitisation: Long-term or short-lived?
Please note: The graph above is based on RBI data (https://dbie.rbi.org.in/DBIE/dbie.rbi?sit
(https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=38779) for April, 16 – Jan
instruments such as, debit card and mobile wallet is unavailable for January, 2017 and hence is
e=publications) and NPCI data
uary, 17. The data for somepayment
not presented above.
16
64
256
1,024
4
Apr,
2016
May,
2016
Jun,
2016
Jul,
2016
Aug,
2016
Sep,
2016
Oct,
2016
Nov,
2016
Dec,
2016
Jan,
2017
RTGS 8.3 8.7 8.8 8.3 8.6 8.5 9.0 7.9 8.8 9.3
Cheque (CTS) 79.0 77.2 78.6 79.2 81.6 78.9 82.0 87.1 130 118
EFT/NEFT 112 118 119 113 119 120 133 123 166 164
IMPS 26.8 27.7 29.7 32.2 33.9 35.9 42.1 36.2 52.8 62.4
Debit card atATM 733 738 732 752 757 742 802 561 630 712
Debit card atPOS 118 134 118 129 131 125 141 236 415 329
M-wallet 48.8 50.3 58.6 59.5 70.7 75.3 99.6 138 213 262
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
Post demonetisation, the transaction volume has increased for cheques, debit card at POS and m-wallet, whereas, the average transaction value has
decreased for these payment instruments. Thus, post November people have started using these three payment instruments more frequently and for
smaller value transactions than they otherwise did. However, the impact of demonetisation seems to be short-lived as the transaction numbers of the
cashless payment instruments in January, 17 are nearing the transaction numbers pre-November, 16.
Transaction Volume (2016-17) Average Transaction Value (2016-17)
Volume(inmillions)
AverageValue(inRs.’000)
0
Apr,
2016
May,
2016
Jun,
2016
Jul,
2016
Aug,
2016
Sep,
2016
Oct,
2016
Nov,
2016
Dec,
2016
Jan,
2017
RTGS 8,223 8,764 9,494 9,081 9,064 10,247 8,497 9,959 9,513 8,305
Cheque (CTS) 79.3 74.9 72.9 72.1 72.6 72.7 72.8 62.2 52.4 55.9
EFT/NEFT 74.4 65.8 74.1 71.8 73.9 82.2 71.3 71.6 69.4 69.2
IMPS 7.86 7.82 7.99 7.81 7.92 8.05 8.16 8.98 8.18 7.87
Debit card atATM 3.07 2.99 3.01 2.91 2.90 2.99 3.18 2.20 1.35 2.13
Debit card atPOS 1.25 1.16 1.31 1.32 1.41 1.27 1.56 1.36 1.40 1.49
M-wallet 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.43 0.42 0.34 0.24 0.35 0.32
10
Multi-fold efforts are needed to improve the adoption of cashless solutions
Please note: Many of these issues were already discussed in MicroSave Policy Brief # 15 Re-Imagining the Last Mile – Agent
Networks
Safety and
security
Marketing and
communication
Grievance
redressal
mechanism
Product design
Schemes
• Ensure multiple and active financial access points
with required infrastructure, such as POS devices,
network connectivity, electricity.
Infrastructure
• Need for thrust on communication to
reinforce safety and security aspects of
digital payment solutions.
• Agencies like MOF/RBI/PMO/NPCI should
form a cell to develop and disseminate
literacy material on specific digital
solutions, such as UPI, BHIM application.
• Sensitisation campaigns to enhance
awareness and trust levels of customers by
building the understanding of product
features and pricing of each payment
instrument.
• Redesign and customise the existing user
interface to increase ease of usage.
• Vernacular language UIs are needed.
• Low income customers can be brought onto
digital channels through the ‘pull’ of
government schemes such as Ujjwala, DBT,
etc.; however agency networks have to work well
to support such schemes.
• RBI with NPCI should lay protocols for
grievance redressal for different channels.
• Liability of loss to customer to be clearly
fixed as is the case in EMV channel.
Key
intervention
areas
Annexure
12
Abbreviations and definitions
GoI Government of India
e-Payment systems Electronic Payment Systems
NEFT National Electronic Funds Transfer
RTGS Real Time Gross Settlement
IMPS Immediate Payment Service
UPI Unified Payments Interface
USSD Unstructured Supplementary Service Data
DFS Digital Financial Services
FSP Financial Service Providers
POS Point of Sale
ATM Automated Teller Machine
RBI Reserve Bank of India
NPCI National Payments Corporation of India
EMV Europay, MasterCard and Visa
EFT Electronic Funds Transfer
MOF Ministry of Finance
PMO Prime Minister’s Office
CTS Cheque Truncation System
e-Payment systems:
Electronic payment systems
include NEFT, RTGS, IMPS,
UPI and USSD.
Cashless solutions:
Payment instruments, such as
cheques, debit card, e-Payment
systems (NEFT, RTGS, IMPS,
UPI, USSD) and mobile wallet.
DFS:
Payment instruments, such as
debit card, e-Payment systems
(NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI,
USSD) and mobile wallet. It
excludes cheques.
Mandi
‘Mandi’ means wholesale market
147
Number of
respondents
80%
20%
20%
Urban
30%
Semi-urban
50%
Rural
Sample Gender
Geography
95%
Have a bank
account
56%
Have feature
phone
44%
Have smart
phone
Bank Account
Mobile Phone
Age Groups
11%
50%
35%
4%
< 25 years
26 - 40 years
41 - 60 years
> 60 years
6%
32%
17%
15%
21%
10%
Illiterate
1 - 8th
9 - 10th
11 - 12th
Graduate
Post-graduate
Education
Characteristics of respondents of this study
13
Salaried and their dependents
This segment includes individuals who are or
were employed in a public or private sector
job and earn salary or pension.
Housewives are also included in this segment.
They are more likely to operate on a monthly
budget and their expense behavior is most
closely aligned to that of a salaried person.
This behavioural aspect has been confirmed
in our study.
13%
Agriculture & allied sector earners
This segment includes individuals or
businesses who are dependent on agriculture
and allied sector.
• Farmers
30% • Agriculture input shops
• Commission agents in ‘mandis’ ¹
• Livestock traders
• Dairy and nursery businessowners
Self-employed
This segment includes individuals who have
invested and are running their own
businesses.
• Shop owners, small and large (non-agri
39% products)
• Service providers, (beauty parlour, tailors
etc.)
• Traders & manufacturers
n = 147
Informal sector workers
This segment includes individuals who are
involved in the informal sector and are wage-
earners.
• Mill workers
18% • Hawkers
• Rickshaw, auto and taxi drivers
• Artisans
Who we interacted with as a part of this study?
¹WholesaleMarket
14
15
Debit cards and cheques are the most popular cashless solutions*
Adoption of cashless solutions
59% 61%
26%
11%
Cheques Debit cards e-Payment
systems**
Mobile wallets
or post demonetisation orboth).Please note: *The popularity is based on the adoption of cashless solutionstill date (either pre
**Electronic payment systems include NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI and USSD.
Cheques are a popular mode of payment among
people. Since it is one of the oldest and a tangible
payment instrument, it is highly trusted by people
and acts as a good substitute for cash.
e-Payment systems are still not as popular among
people as cheques and debit cards. In comparison
to other segments, uptake of e-Payment systems is
high among ‘salaried and their dependents’ and
‘self-employed’ due to higher literacy levels and
better awareness of financial products.
Debit cards are also widely used by people. The
convenience that it offers in terms of ease of
handling and acceptance continues to make them
one of the preferred cashlessmethods.
Mobile wallets have become popular among people,
especially in the last few months. The popularity
can be attributed to high number of ‘visible’
acceptance points – on offer by large numbers of
retailers.
 Income of farmers and traders involved in vegetable and cattle trading were severely
impacted as majority transactions are conducted in cash. Vegetables as perishable items,
were particularly vulnerable, and prices dropped as wholesalers were finding it difficult to
pay farmers in cash – thus suppressing demand.
 Most farmers producing food grains have experienced minor effect on income in terms of
value; they were able to sell their produce in the nearby mandis at prevailing rates. Sowing
for rabi crops has however been delayed due to unavailability of cash as well as farm
labour; might impact farm incomes in coming months.
 Income from dairy farming remained unaffected as they had option to shift to aggregators
paying in cash.
 Most respondents decreased the amount that they spend on household consumption
items. Some of them also decreased the frequency at which they purchase these items.
 Farmers used homegrown seeds for sowing instead of buying seeds from market.
 The consumption of discretionary items, such as sugar, meat, tobacco, decreased for most
respondents.
 Most admitted to resorting to credit or drawing on their savings to maintain expenses.
Impact on income and expenditure
 Most grain farmers received post dated cheques (PDCs) from
traders which took up to a fortnight to encash.
 Semi-medium and medium farmers (land holding of 2 – 10
hectares) shifted to cheques as payment mode to input
suppliers.
 Cash is still the preferred mode for transactions. Switch to
cashless modes is due to the push created by demonetisation.
 For this segment, trust and familiarity with payee acts as a
determining factor to accept cashless solutions.
Journey to cashless solutions
57%
Income affected Expenditure affected
68%
Impact on value of income and expenditure
Agriculture and allied sector earners: Varied impact of demonetisation
16
REVA, Farmer Producer Organisation, Madhya Pradesh
“For people who are not educated, receipt should be in Hindi/vernacular language
and amount mentioned in the receipt should be in bigger font size. Until and unless
we bring people who are not educated in the cashless ecosystem, the whole effort
will be in vain”
Reva is a Farmers Producer Organisation (FPO) working in Madhya Pradesh and covering around 60 villages in
the vicinity. Reva is supporting its members by buying cattle, fertilizer, pesticide in bulk from market and selling
it to its members on favourable terms and price (both in cash and on credit). It also buys the farm produce from
its members and sells in bulk to traders, companies and in mandis. Reva’s income has been affected severely
from cattle trading. It is facing difficulty in purchase of cattle as transactions are done in cash. Reva’s office
bearers have to travel with high amount of cash to purchase cattle.
Before demonetisation, transactions between Reva and its members were mostly in cash, now it
is being gradually shifted to cheques. Purchase of agri-input from Reva by its members on credit
has increased. Reva was able to provide fertilizers and pesticides to its members well within
time on credit. It has purchased commodity from its members on fair price and has made
payment through cheques.
Agriculture and allied sector earners: Case study
17
 People in this segment being relatively better-off than other segments have been able to absorb
the losses incurred by demonetisation.
 For shopkeepers offering essential products (grocery shops, dairy shops, medical shops)
- Customers continue to buy essential items although volumes have reduced.
- Shift to cashless due to low cash availability forcing shopkeepers to pay their suppliers in
cheques.
 For shopkeepers offering durables/white goods & services (mobile shops, transport business)
- Customers are increasingly demanding short-term credit.
- Shift to cashless resulting from increased demand from customers to pay using cashless
solutions. This forced shopkeepers to obtain POS machines and subscribe to wallets.
 For shopkeepers offering non-essential products (cosmetics, restaurants)
- Income has reduced by more than half, customers view these products to be dispensable at
least in the short term.
- Despite cashless acceptance points, sales were down in semi-urban areas; rural areas saw a
more decisive slump, customers refrained from such expenditures due to uncertainties
brought in by demonetisation, lack of financial literacy and absence of digital payments
ecosystems.
 Shopkeepers preference remains cash/cheque or providing credit (to be repaid in cash).
 Businesses observed decreased stock purchase, delayed payment to labour, cheque payment.
Impact on income and expenditure
 Customers demanded payment acceptance via channels like
POS, wallets (PayTM) from store-keepers in urban and semi
urban regions; this accelerated cashless adoption.
 Some shopkeepers also started using NEFT/RTGS for business
transactions.
 At times a reverse trend of going from cheque to cash was also
observed due to stray cases where cheque had bounced.
Journey to cashless solutions
56%
Expenditure affected
Impact on value of income and expenditure
91%
Income affected
Is the shift to cashless a push or a pull factor for self-employed?
18
Deepak Maran, Eatery Owner, Madhya Pradesh
“Before demonetisation 90% of transactions were made in cash, it has decreased to
approximately 30% after the drive. This was the effect of demonetisation.”
Deepak Maran is a 38 year old male. He owns a dhaba (Baghdi dhaba) which is 30 kms away from Bhopal. He
stays in Bhopal with his family.
It all started with customers offering to pay through PayTM. Deepak was himself using PayTM
from past 3 years but he was not accepting payment from. Soon after the customer request
started coming in he installed PayTM and started accruing its benefits i.e. more customer footfall
due to increased choices of payment. He is also planning to install the Point of Sale (POS)
machine as he wants to give customers additional payment choice.
Most of his vendors were resorting to cheque. After the demonetisation drive, his transactions through cheque
increased, especially due to stock vendors. He was facing difficulty in procuring liquid cash which led him to
postpone his employees’ salary as they demanded cash payment.
Self-employed: Case study
19
 Demonetisation has had the most acute impact on some of the sub-segments within this
segment as many respondents had little or no work for almost two months.
 Income declined for the sub-segment comprising of rickshaw/auto/taxi drivers that receive on
the spot cash payment for their services. They observed their customer base shift to cab service,
such as Ola and Uber due to short supply of low denomination currency notes.
 Taxi drivers in the tourism industry were able to cope to some extent either by already having
adopted cashless solutions such as PayTM/cheques, or by hiking the rate per tourist even when
the overall tourist footfallfell.²
 Income declined significantly for daily wage labourers and artisans that typically earn on a piece
rate basis. They were out of work for the last two months since they were asked to work on
credit to which they refused.
 The sub-segment comprising mill workers and maids who receive income on a fortnightly or
monthly basis respectively, experienced no impact in terms of value. Employers ensured
payments through one or another means probably because their services were indispensable.
 For mill workers / maids, the mode of receiving salary changed; they either got it directly
credited into their accounts or received cheques.
Impact on income and expenditure
 This sector has been greatly impacted due to demonetisation,
one of the reasons for this is high dependence on cash and low
adoption of cashless solutions. Also, majority of people in this
segment have low levels of education and deal with small
transaction ticket size owing to erratic income.
 Prolonged cheque clearance time and delayed account transfer
increased the overall income realisation cycle.
Journey to cashless solutions
Impact on value of income and expenditure
69%
Income affected Expenditure affected
73%
Informal sector workers: The most affected of the lot
² An article by Business Standard on Impact of demonetisation on TourismIndustry
20
Pervez Alam, Artisan, Uttar Pradesh
“In India, I feel that literacy is not a problem. These days almost everyone knows
how to read and write. However, spread of information about financial services is
still very poor. That knowledge could have helped people a lot in these troubled
times.”
Pervez Alam, 35, is a zari (Indian handicraft) artisan and heads a family of five. He had used account for 10 years,
however due to inactivity for a long duration it has now become dormant. He gets orders and the material to work
with from his buyers and he gets paid fortnightly in cash. Post demonetisation the orders have slumped and his
income avenue has dried up. Even old accounts receivables have not been settled yet.
In January he has started getting some work again and he has been offered payment by cheques
from the buyers. Due to dire need of cash at home he has been forced to accept the cheques and
become an active bank user in the past few weeks. Though he still prefers cash he appreciates the
cashless channel of getting his earnings and has decided to be more active in bank usage.
Informal sector workers: Case study
21
63%
Income affected Expenditure affected
29%
 This segment comprises people in the organised public or private sector. This segment
experienced little change in their cash inflow - largely due to the nature of their
employment and the earlier digitisation of their salary payments.
 In stray cases, some of them took 2-20 days in getting their salary cheques cleared due to
long queues at branches. However, since January an improving trend has been observed.
 A few salaried respondents were paid in cash before demonetisation. After November 8
their employers have switched to Post Dated Cheques (PDC) or are transferring the
amount directly into bank accounts.
 Due to long queues at bank branches and at ATMs efforts are made to stretch available
cash as much as possible.
 Shortage of low denomination currency led to decrease in consumption of tobacco, pan,
tea, sugar and other discretionary items; households resorted to thrifty purchase of
essential items.
 On account of shortage of smaller denomination notes, instances were reported where
owing to lack of change with shopkeeper, respondents were forced to buy more of essential
items.
Impact on income and expenditure
 Due to digitised income inflow this segment was this segment
was more accustomed to digital solutions. Continuity of
receiving income, even during demonetisation propelled them
to explore cashless solutions while incurring expenses.
 Comfort with technology is relatively higher for this segment
owing to high education levels and familiarity with long-term
usage of financial services, such as bank accounts and debit
cards.
 Lack of financial acceptance points restricts frequent use of
cashless solutions.
Journey to cashless solutions
Impact on value of income and expenditure
Salaried and their dependents: The front runners of adoption
22
Malati Sinha, Housewife, West Bengal
“We should not become laggards. Of course there will be teething issues in digital
transactions. If I make food badly one day does that mean that I will stop
cooking?!”
Malati (33) is a housewife, a graduate and a mother of two. Her husband is an employee at the municipal
corporation and his salary sustains the household expenses like food, education of her kids, and loan EMI. Post
demonetisation the liquid cash available with her has decreased so she has a tab open with the local grocery
store. This credit account is generally a small sum but has swelled slightly in the pastmonth.
She follows the news and seeing many stickers at shops she and her husband downloaded
PayTM on their phone and successfully recharged their DTH connection on new year’s eve.
Occasionally she shops online but always opts for cash on delivery (COD). Owing to many stories
about fraudulent practices she is wary about sharing her account details. She understands the
ease and convenience of digital financial solutions and is eager to try more. However, lack of
information and discouraging word of mouth is an inhibitor.
Salaried and their dependents: Case study
23
24

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Demonetisation and digitisation - A diagnostic study - Microsave

  • 1. Demonetisation and Digitisation - A Diagnostic Study March 2017
  • 2. The study has been conducted…  To gauge the experience of users adopting cashless modes, barriers (behavioural and functional) to uptake and usage of cashlesssolutions.  To study the impact of demonetisation on the primary source of income of individuals, their expenses, coping mechanisms adopted and the change in the mode/channel used for conducting financial transactions. Approach to the exploratory study  Primary research in the four states of India with a focus on the demand side.  In-depth structured interactions with 147 respondents spread across rural, semi-urban and urban geographies.  Respondents included individuals associated with different value chains and those having varied skill sets.  Observed varied cashless modes to transact, including cheques. On November 8, 2016 Government of India (GoI) withdrew the legal tender status of ₹500 and ₹1,000 denomination banknotes with the stated objectives to: a) reduce black money stashed in cash; b) stifle counterfeit Indian banknotes and c) curb terror funding.* In addition to the achievement of these objectives, GoI promoted the use of cashless methods to get more and more transactions throughdigital methods. We conducted a diagnostic study (December, 16 to January, 17) to understand the impact that demonetisation had on the income, expenses and cashless solutions adoption of four segments – agriculture and allied sector earners, self-employed, informal sector workers and salaried and their dependents. Uttar Pradesh West Bengal Madhya Pradesh Rajasthan About the study *Source: Press Release of Reserve Bank of India 2
  • 3. Key takeaways  Debit cards and cheques are the most popular cashless solutions among people. However, post demonetisation the uptake of cheques and mobile wallets has significantly increased, while that of debit cards has largely remained the same. Debit cards are a popular cashless mode of payment among people due to the convenience it provides in terms of ease of handling and acceptance. Cheques are also widely used by people since it is one of the oldest payment methods. Moreover post demonetisation, cheques acted as an easy substitute for cash which led to significant increase in its usage. Some DFS providers, such as Paytm, also took advantage of demonetisation by strategically marketing its product because of which awareness and usability of mobile wallets have increased.  66% of the people using digital solutions likely to transition permanently, given sufficient access points and training is provided. Demonetisation has created a push for most people to adopt cashless solutions. However, the permanent transition to cashless as reported by 66% of respondents will be subject to providing sufficient financial access points and training on how to use DFS solutions. The remaining 34% who mentioned that they would prefer using cash over digital methods faced either behavioural or functional issues. Behavioural issues include issues with trust, perception and risk. Functional issues are issues related to awareness, usability, costs, infrastructure and grievance redressal.  Demonetisation had varied impact across segments. Consequently, the coping mechanisms deployed by each segment differed.  Demonetisation has had adverse impact on farmers and traders involved in vegetable and cattle trading, whereas dairy and grain farmers have been least affected as they could resort to alternate means. For example, dairy farmers shifted to aggregators providing cash and grain farmers started accepting cheques for their produce.  In ‘self-employed’ segment, businesses offering durable/white goods and services and non-essential products were highly impacted due to demonetisation as purchases for such products and services were postponed to a later date. Hence, demonetisation has affected the owners of such businesses, however, being relatively better-off than other segments they have been able to absorb losses.  Demonetisation has had the most acute impact on some sub-segments within ‘informal sector workers’ segment, such as daily-wage labourers and artisans, who had little or no work for almost two months. Another factor attributing to the acute impact was high dependence on cash and low uptake of cashless solutions. Low literacy levels and small transaction ticket sizes inhibit this segment from adopting cashless solutions.  Demonetisation has had least impact on ‘salaried and their dependents’ segment largely due to the nature of their employment and the already digitised salary payments. However, lack of financial access points restricts them from frequently using cashless solutions.  Significantly more concerted efforts are required from multiple stakeholders to (a) enhance customer awareness in practical terms (product features, pricing, safety and security measures of payment instruments) and (b) for readiness of last mile infrastructure (POS devices, network connectivity, electricity) in order to drive higher uptake and regular usage of DFS products. 3
  • 4. Demonetisation has led to increased use of mobile wallets and cheques Post demonetisation, most people have increased use of cheques since they were able to withdraw larger amount using it vis-à-vis using debit cards. People have also started using cheques for smaller transaction ticket size than they otherwise did due to its high acceptability. The net use of debit cards increased since a number of people tried using it for the first time. However, 22% of respondents mentioned that they have decreased using the payment instrument because of long queues and the ceiling on cash withdrawals. Some debit card users even mentioned that they have now switched to using cheques. Use of mobile wallets, in particular Paytm, has increased as demonetisation enabled adoption of easier-to-use digital payment methods. Change in usage of payment methods since demonetisation 8% 22% 12% 41% 55% 50% 31% 51% 23% 38% 69% Cheques Debit cards e-Payment systems* Mobile wallets Increase Same Decrease RBI and NPCI data supports our findings. Post demonetisation there is a shift towards increased use of cheques, debit cards at POS and mobile wallets. The detailed analysis of the RBI and NPCI data is presented in Slide No.9. Please note: *Electronic payment systems include NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI andUSSD. 4
  • 5. 5 66% of people using digital solutions likely to transition permanently, if sufficient access points are available and training is provided Likelihood of permanent transition to DFS* 40% 34% 26% Yes No Maybe , USSD and mobilewallet.Please note: *DFS denotes payment instruments such as debit card, NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI It excludes cheques. 40% of the respondents indicated that they would permanently transition to digital payments even after cash circulation in the economy returns to pre-demonetisation levels. 26% of the respondents mentioned that they may switch to digital payments provided: • Sufficient acceptance points are available, • Peers and communities adopt digital payments methods, and • They are trained on the use of digital payment methods and solutions. 34% of the respondents however will not adopt digital payments and revert to cash as soon as possible,because: • Small ticket size payments are not accepted by merchants digitally, disallowing consumers with low and erratic income to adopt digital solutions, • Their financial behaviour is difficult to change as their experience of using cashless solutions has been limited to two months vis-à-vis their experience of dealing in cash for years.
  • 6. 6 Demonetisation had varied level of impact on different segments 74% 60% 68% 57% 73% 69% 29% 63% Agriculture and allied sector earners Informal sector workers declined significantly as they accepted payments only in cash.  However, the income of maids and mill workers largely remained unaffected.  Demonetisation has had the most acute impact on some sub-segments within this segment as many respondents, such as daily wage labourers and artisans had little or no work for almost two months.  The income of rickshaw/auto/taxi drivers also 91% Self-employed 56%  People in this segment being relatively better-off than other segments, have been able to absorb the losses incurred by demonetisation.  Sellers offering essential products (grocery, dairy, medicines) continued to receive constant income although sale volumes decreased. Sellers offering durable/white goods (mobiles, clothes) had to provide short-term credit to ensure ongoing sale.  The income of sellers offering non-essential products (cosmetics, restaurants) reduced by more than half.  This segment has been relatively least affected largely due to the nature of their employment and the earlier digitisation of their salary payments. Salaried and their dependents  In stray cases, some of them took 2-20 days in getting their salary cheques cleared due to long queues at branches.  Decrease in consumption of discretionary items; households resorted to thrifty purchase of essential items. Total Sample Outer Circle: Percentage of respondents whose income has been impacted due to demonetisation Inner Circle: Percentage of respondents whose expenditure has been impacted due to demonetisation  Income of farmers might be impacted in future as homegrown seeds were used for sowing instead of buying seeds from the market.  Demonetisation had adverse impact on vegetable and cattle farmers and traders as cash continued to be a preferred mode of payment, because of small transaction ticket size and lack of familiarity with purchasers respectively.  Dairy farmers and grain farmers remain largely unaffected as dairy farmers had option to shift to aggregators paying in cash and grain farmers were able to sell their produce at prevailing rates.
  • 7. 7 Demonetisation has created a push to adopt cashless solutions for most segments 45% 28% 57% 27% 47% 42% 28% 4% 31% 21%  Trust and familiarity with payee is acting as a determining factor to accept cashless solutions. Self-employed  Due to low cash availability, shopkeepers offering essential products (grocery, dairy, medicines) have started paying their suppliers/wholesalers in cheques.  Shopkeepers offering durable/white goods (mobiles, clothes) in semi-urban and urban areas obtained POS machines and subscribed to mobile wallets due to increased demand from customers to pay using cashless solutions.  Some shopkeepers have also started using NEFT/RTGS for business transactions. Salaried and their dependents  Due to digitised income inflow this segment was more accustomed to digital solutions.  Comfort with technology is relatively higher for this segment owing to high education levels and familiarity with long-term usage of financial services, such as bank accounts and debit cards.  Lack of financial acceptance points restricts frequent use of cashlesssolutions. Total Sample  Post demonetisation, mode of income for grain farmers shifted from cash to cheques. However, it takes them up to a fortnight to encash cheques.  Semi-medium and medium farmers (land holding of 2 – 10 hectares) shifted to cheques for payments to input suppliers.  Cash is still the preferred mode for transactions and is extensively used for expenses. Agriculture and allied sector earners Informal sector workers  This sector has been greatly impacted due to demonetisation since they were highly dependent on cash and adoption of cashless solutions was low. Also, majority of people in this segment have low levels of education and deal with small transaction ticket size owing to erratic income.  For drivers, mill workers and maids, the mode of receiving wages changed from cash to cashless. Outer Circle: Percentage of respondents whose mode of income has been impacted due to demonetisation Inner Circle: Percentage of respondents whose mode of expenditure has been impacted due to demonetisation
  • 8. 8 8 Customer’s meaningful awareness and readiness of last mile infrastructure need to be revisited Trust issues Perceptions Low risk appetite Negative Additional costs involved Usability issues Lack of awareness Lack of infrastructure Lack of grievance redressal mechanism • Fear of safety and security of cashless solutions since lately people have been receiving fraudulent calls. • Low trust with financial service providers especially, non government entities, such as private sector banks and mobile wallet providers. • Fear to experiment due to lowincome • More comfort in dealing with cash due to its tangibility • Relate cashless solutions to the privileged: wealthy and literate • Fear of hidden transaction costs marketing • Negative word of mouth or stories of failed digital transactions of a friend or a neighbour, creating barriers to the uptake of cashless solutions • A text-intensive and complicated user interface • Lack of content in vernacular languages For cashless solutions, limited knowledge of: • the process of on-boarding and of carrying out transactions • the benefits (of cashlessmethods) • the safety and securityfeatures • Low penetration of bank branches, ATMs, agent network, particularly in rural areas • Low acceptance points of varioussolutions • Issuance of POS devices has been delayed at the FSP’s end. • Ownership of smartphone is limited, restricting the adoption of mobile wallet and of UPI • A number of respondents have not activated SMS alerts in order to avoid paying additional charges to their banks. • Lack of resolution of issues faced by early-stage users adversely impacting experience of cashless solutions Inhibitors to cashlessadoption
  • 9. 9 Impact of demonetisation on digitisation: Long-term or short-lived? Please note: The graph above is based on RBI data (https://dbie.rbi.org.in/DBIE/dbie.rbi?sit (https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=38779) for April, 16 – Jan instruments such as, debit card and mobile wallet is unavailable for January, 2017 and hence is e=publications) and NPCI data uary, 17. The data for somepayment not presented above. 16 64 256 1,024 4 Apr, 2016 May, 2016 Jun, 2016 Jul, 2016 Aug, 2016 Sep, 2016 Oct, 2016 Nov, 2016 Dec, 2016 Jan, 2017 RTGS 8.3 8.7 8.8 8.3 8.6 8.5 9.0 7.9 8.8 9.3 Cheque (CTS) 79.0 77.2 78.6 79.2 81.6 78.9 82.0 87.1 130 118 EFT/NEFT 112 118 119 113 119 120 133 123 166 164 IMPS 26.8 27.7 29.7 32.2 33.9 35.9 42.1 36.2 52.8 62.4 Debit card atATM 733 738 732 752 757 742 802 561 630 712 Debit card atPOS 118 134 118 129 131 125 141 236 415 329 M-wallet 48.8 50.3 58.6 59.5 70.7 75.3 99.6 138 213 262 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 Post demonetisation, the transaction volume has increased for cheques, debit card at POS and m-wallet, whereas, the average transaction value has decreased for these payment instruments. Thus, post November people have started using these three payment instruments more frequently and for smaller value transactions than they otherwise did. However, the impact of demonetisation seems to be short-lived as the transaction numbers of the cashless payment instruments in January, 17 are nearing the transaction numbers pre-November, 16. Transaction Volume (2016-17) Average Transaction Value (2016-17) Volume(inmillions) AverageValue(inRs.’000) 0 Apr, 2016 May, 2016 Jun, 2016 Jul, 2016 Aug, 2016 Sep, 2016 Oct, 2016 Nov, 2016 Dec, 2016 Jan, 2017 RTGS 8,223 8,764 9,494 9,081 9,064 10,247 8,497 9,959 9,513 8,305 Cheque (CTS) 79.3 74.9 72.9 72.1 72.6 72.7 72.8 62.2 52.4 55.9 EFT/NEFT 74.4 65.8 74.1 71.8 73.9 82.2 71.3 71.6 69.4 69.2 IMPS 7.86 7.82 7.99 7.81 7.92 8.05 8.16 8.98 8.18 7.87 Debit card atATM 3.07 2.99 3.01 2.91 2.90 2.99 3.18 2.20 1.35 2.13 Debit card atPOS 1.25 1.16 1.31 1.32 1.41 1.27 1.56 1.36 1.40 1.49 M-wallet 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.46 0.43 0.42 0.34 0.24 0.35 0.32
  • 10. 10 Multi-fold efforts are needed to improve the adoption of cashless solutions Please note: Many of these issues were already discussed in MicroSave Policy Brief # 15 Re-Imagining the Last Mile – Agent Networks Safety and security Marketing and communication Grievance redressal mechanism Product design Schemes • Ensure multiple and active financial access points with required infrastructure, such as POS devices, network connectivity, electricity. Infrastructure • Need for thrust on communication to reinforce safety and security aspects of digital payment solutions. • Agencies like MOF/RBI/PMO/NPCI should form a cell to develop and disseminate literacy material on specific digital solutions, such as UPI, BHIM application. • Sensitisation campaigns to enhance awareness and trust levels of customers by building the understanding of product features and pricing of each payment instrument. • Redesign and customise the existing user interface to increase ease of usage. • Vernacular language UIs are needed. • Low income customers can be brought onto digital channels through the ‘pull’ of government schemes such as Ujjwala, DBT, etc.; however agency networks have to work well to support such schemes. • RBI with NPCI should lay protocols for grievance redressal for different channels. • Liability of loss to customer to be clearly fixed as is the case in EMV channel. Key intervention areas
  • 12. 12 Abbreviations and definitions GoI Government of India e-Payment systems Electronic Payment Systems NEFT National Electronic Funds Transfer RTGS Real Time Gross Settlement IMPS Immediate Payment Service UPI Unified Payments Interface USSD Unstructured Supplementary Service Data DFS Digital Financial Services FSP Financial Service Providers POS Point of Sale ATM Automated Teller Machine RBI Reserve Bank of India NPCI National Payments Corporation of India EMV Europay, MasterCard and Visa EFT Electronic Funds Transfer MOF Ministry of Finance PMO Prime Minister’s Office CTS Cheque Truncation System e-Payment systems: Electronic payment systems include NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI and USSD. Cashless solutions: Payment instruments, such as cheques, debit card, e-Payment systems (NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI, USSD) and mobile wallet. DFS: Payment instruments, such as debit card, e-Payment systems (NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI, USSD) and mobile wallet. It excludes cheques. Mandi ‘Mandi’ means wholesale market
  • 13. 147 Number of respondents 80% 20% 20% Urban 30% Semi-urban 50% Rural Sample Gender Geography 95% Have a bank account 56% Have feature phone 44% Have smart phone Bank Account Mobile Phone Age Groups 11% 50% 35% 4% < 25 years 26 - 40 years 41 - 60 years > 60 years 6% 32% 17% 15% 21% 10% Illiterate 1 - 8th 9 - 10th 11 - 12th Graduate Post-graduate Education Characteristics of respondents of this study 13
  • 14. Salaried and their dependents This segment includes individuals who are or were employed in a public or private sector job and earn salary or pension. Housewives are also included in this segment. They are more likely to operate on a monthly budget and their expense behavior is most closely aligned to that of a salaried person. This behavioural aspect has been confirmed in our study. 13% Agriculture & allied sector earners This segment includes individuals or businesses who are dependent on agriculture and allied sector. • Farmers 30% • Agriculture input shops • Commission agents in ‘mandis’ ¹ • Livestock traders • Dairy and nursery businessowners Self-employed This segment includes individuals who have invested and are running their own businesses. • Shop owners, small and large (non-agri 39% products) • Service providers, (beauty parlour, tailors etc.) • Traders & manufacturers n = 147 Informal sector workers This segment includes individuals who are involved in the informal sector and are wage- earners. • Mill workers 18% • Hawkers • Rickshaw, auto and taxi drivers • Artisans Who we interacted with as a part of this study? ¹WholesaleMarket 14
  • 15. 15 Debit cards and cheques are the most popular cashless solutions* Adoption of cashless solutions 59% 61% 26% 11% Cheques Debit cards e-Payment systems** Mobile wallets or post demonetisation orboth).Please note: *The popularity is based on the adoption of cashless solutionstill date (either pre **Electronic payment systems include NEFT, RTGS, IMPS, UPI and USSD. Cheques are a popular mode of payment among people. Since it is one of the oldest and a tangible payment instrument, it is highly trusted by people and acts as a good substitute for cash. e-Payment systems are still not as popular among people as cheques and debit cards. In comparison to other segments, uptake of e-Payment systems is high among ‘salaried and their dependents’ and ‘self-employed’ due to higher literacy levels and better awareness of financial products. Debit cards are also widely used by people. The convenience that it offers in terms of ease of handling and acceptance continues to make them one of the preferred cashlessmethods. Mobile wallets have become popular among people, especially in the last few months. The popularity can be attributed to high number of ‘visible’ acceptance points – on offer by large numbers of retailers.
  • 16.  Income of farmers and traders involved in vegetable and cattle trading were severely impacted as majority transactions are conducted in cash. Vegetables as perishable items, were particularly vulnerable, and prices dropped as wholesalers were finding it difficult to pay farmers in cash – thus suppressing demand.  Most farmers producing food grains have experienced minor effect on income in terms of value; they were able to sell their produce in the nearby mandis at prevailing rates. Sowing for rabi crops has however been delayed due to unavailability of cash as well as farm labour; might impact farm incomes in coming months.  Income from dairy farming remained unaffected as they had option to shift to aggregators paying in cash.  Most respondents decreased the amount that they spend on household consumption items. Some of them also decreased the frequency at which they purchase these items.  Farmers used homegrown seeds for sowing instead of buying seeds from market.  The consumption of discretionary items, such as sugar, meat, tobacco, decreased for most respondents.  Most admitted to resorting to credit or drawing on their savings to maintain expenses. Impact on income and expenditure  Most grain farmers received post dated cheques (PDCs) from traders which took up to a fortnight to encash.  Semi-medium and medium farmers (land holding of 2 – 10 hectares) shifted to cheques as payment mode to input suppliers.  Cash is still the preferred mode for transactions. Switch to cashless modes is due to the push created by demonetisation.  For this segment, trust and familiarity with payee acts as a determining factor to accept cashless solutions. Journey to cashless solutions 57% Income affected Expenditure affected 68% Impact on value of income and expenditure Agriculture and allied sector earners: Varied impact of demonetisation 16
  • 17. REVA, Farmer Producer Organisation, Madhya Pradesh “For people who are not educated, receipt should be in Hindi/vernacular language and amount mentioned in the receipt should be in bigger font size. Until and unless we bring people who are not educated in the cashless ecosystem, the whole effort will be in vain” Reva is a Farmers Producer Organisation (FPO) working in Madhya Pradesh and covering around 60 villages in the vicinity. Reva is supporting its members by buying cattle, fertilizer, pesticide in bulk from market and selling it to its members on favourable terms and price (both in cash and on credit). It also buys the farm produce from its members and sells in bulk to traders, companies and in mandis. Reva’s income has been affected severely from cattle trading. It is facing difficulty in purchase of cattle as transactions are done in cash. Reva’s office bearers have to travel with high amount of cash to purchase cattle. Before demonetisation, transactions between Reva and its members were mostly in cash, now it is being gradually shifted to cheques. Purchase of agri-input from Reva by its members on credit has increased. Reva was able to provide fertilizers and pesticides to its members well within time on credit. It has purchased commodity from its members on fair price and has made payment through cheques. Agriculture and allied sector earners: Case study 17
  • 18.  People in this segment being relatively better-off than other segments have been able to absorb the losses incurred by demonetisation.  For shopkeepers offering essential products (grocery shops, dairy shops, medical shops) - Customers continue to buy essential items although volumes have reduced. - Shift to cashless due to low cash availability forcing shopkeepers to pay their suppliers in cheques.  For shopkeepers offering durables/white goods & services (mobile shops, transport business) - Customers are increasingly demanding short-term credit. - Shift to cashless resulting from increased demand from customers to pay using cashless solutions. This forced shopkeepers to obtain POS machines and subscribe to wallets.  For shopkeepers offering non-essential products (cosmetics, restaurants) - Income has reduced by more than half, customers view these products to be dispensable at least in the short term. - Despite cashless acceptance points, sales were down in semi-urban areas; rural areas saw a more decisive slump, customers refrained from such expenditures due to uncertainties brought in by demonetisation, lack of financial literacy and absence of digital payments ecosystems.  Shopkeepers preference remains cash/cheque or providing credit (to be repaid in cash).  Businesses observed decreased stock purchase, delayed payment to labour, cheque payment. Impact on income and expenditure  Customers demanded payment acceptance via channels like POS, wallets (PayTM) from store-keepers in urban and semi urban regions; this accelerated cashless adoption.  Some shopkeepers also started using NEFT/RTGS for business transactions.  At times a reverse trend of going from cheque to cash was also observed due to stray cases where cheque had bounced. Journey to cashless solutions 56% Expenditure affected Impact on value of income and expenditure 91% Income affected Is the shift to cashless a push or a pull factor for self-employed? 18
  • 19. Deepak Maran, Eatery Owner, Madhya Pradesh “Before demonetisation 90% of transactions were made in cash, it has decreased to approximately 30% after the drive. This was the effect of demonetisation.” Deepak Maran is a 38 year old male. He owns a dhaba (Baghdi dhaba) which is 30 kms away from Bhopal. He stays in Bhopal with his family. It all started with customers offering to pay through PayTM. Deepak was himself using PayTM from past 3 years but he was not accepting payment from. Soon after the customer request started coming in he installed PayTM and started accruing its benefits i.e. more customer footfall due to increased choices of payment. He is also planning to install the Point of Sale (POS) machine as he wants to give customers additional payment choice. Most of his vendors were resorting to cheque. After the demonetisation drive, his transactions through cheque increased, especially due to stock vendors. He was facing difficulty in procuring liquid cash which led him to postpone his employees’ salary as they demanded cash payment. Self-employed: Case study 19
  • 20.  Demonetisation has had the most acute impact on some of the sub-segments within this segment as many respondents had little or no work for almost two months.  Income declined for the sub-segment comprising of rickshaw/auto/taxi drivers that receive on the spot cash payment for their services. They observed their customer base shift to cab service, such as Ola and Uber due to short supply of low denomination currency notes.  Taxi drivers in the tourism industry were able to cope to some extent either by already having adopted cashless solutions such as PayTM/cheques, or by hiking the rate per tourist even when the overall tourist footfallfell.²  Income declined significantly for daily wage labourers and artisans that typically earn on a piece rate basis. They were out of work for the last two months since they were asked to work on credit to which they refused.  The sub-segment comprising mill workers and maids who receive income on a fortnightly or monthly basis respectively, experienced no impact in terms of value. Employers ensured payments through one or another means probably because their services were indispensable.  For mill workers / maids, the mode of receiving salary changed; they either got it directly credited into their accounts or received cheques. Impact on income and expenditure  This sector has been greatly impacted due to demonetisation, one of the reasons for this is high dependence on cash and low adoption of cashless solutions. Also, majority of people in this segment have low levels of education and deal with small transaction ticket size owing to erratic income.  Prolonged cheque clearance time and delayed account transfer increased the overall income realisation cycle. Journey to cashless solutions Impact on value of income and expenditure 69% Income affected Expenditure affected 73% Informal sector workers: The most affected of the lot ² An article by Business Standard on Impact of demonetisation on TourismIndustry 20
  • 21. Pervez Alam, Artisan, Uttar Pradesh “In India, I feel that literacy is not a problem. These days almost everyone knows how to read and write. However, spread of information about financial services is still very poor. That knowledge could have helped people a lot in these troubled times.” Pervez Alam, 35, is a zari (Indian handicraft) artisan and heads a family of five. He had used account for 10 years, however due to inactivity for a long duration it has now become dormant. He gets orders and the material to work with from his buyers and he gets paid fortnightly in cash. Post demonetisation the orders have slumped and his income avenue has dried up. Even old accounts receivables have not been settled yet. In January he has started getting some work again and he has been offered payment by cheques from the buyers. Due to dire need of cash at home he has been forced to accept the cheques and become an active bank user in the past few weeks. Though he still prefers cash he appreciates the cashless channel of getting his earnings and has decided to be more active in bank usage. Informal sector workers: Case study 21
  • 22. 63% Income affected Expenditure affected 29%  This segment comprises people in the organised public or private sector. This segment experienced little change in their cash inflow - largely due to the nature of their employment and the earlier digitisation of their salary payments.  In stray cases, some of them took 2-20 days in getting their salary cheques cleared due to long queues at branches. However, since January an improving trend has been observed.  A few salaried respondents were paid in cash before demonetisation. After November 8 their employers have switched to Post Dated Cheques (PDC) or are transferring the amount directly into bank accounts.  Due to long queues at bank branches and at ATMs efforts are made to stretch available cash as much as possible.  Shortage of low denomination currency led to decrease in consumption of tobacco, pan, tea, sugar and other discretionary items; households resorted to thrifty purchase of essential items.  On account of shortage of smaller denomination notes, instances were reported where owing to lack of change with shopkeeper, respondents were forced to buy more of essential items. Impact on income and expenditure  Due to digitised income inflow this segment was this segment was more accustomed to digital solutions. Continuity of receiving income, even during demonetisation propelled them to explore cashless solutions while incurring expenses.  Comfort with technology is relatively higher for this segment owing to high education levels and familiarity with long-term usage of financial services, such as bank accounts and debit cards.  Lack of financial acceptance points restricts frequent use of cashless solutions. Journey to cashless solutions Impact on value of income and expenditure Salaried and their dependents: The front runners of adoption 22
  • 23. Malati Sinha, Housewife, West Bengal “We should not become laggards. Of course there will be teething issues in digital transactions. If I make food badly one day does that mean that I will stop cooking?!” Malati (33) is a housewife, a graduate and a mother of two. Her husband is an employee at the municipal corporation and his salary sustains the household expenses like food, education of her kids, and loan EMI. Post demonetisation the liquid cash available with her has decreased so she has a tab open with the local grocery store. This credit account is generally a small sum but has swelled slightly in the pastmonth. She follows the news and seeing many stickers at shops she and her husband downloaded PayTM on their phone and successfully recharged their DTH connection on new year’s eve. Occasionally she shops online but always opts for cash on delivery (COD). Owing to many stories about fraudulent practices she is wary about sharing her account details. She understands the ease and convenience of digital financial solutions and is eager to try more. However, lack of information and discouraging word of mouth is an inhibitor. Salaried and their dependents: Case study 23
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