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Layered reliability modeling of smart home system

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Mahdi Firouzi Nezamabadi
Mahdi Firouzi Nezamabadi

Layered Reliability Modeling of Smart Home System مدل سازي لایهاي قابلیت اطمینان سیستم خانهي هوشمند

Engineering
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‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫اي‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﯾﮏ‬ Layered Reliability Modeling of Smart Home System Guilin Zhao, Liudong Xing University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth, MA, USA 1
2 Presenters :
‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 3
‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﺰاﯾﺎي‬ ‫دﻟﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬: •‫ﺑﺮق‬ ‫ﮐﺎراي‬ ‫اﻧﺘﻘﺎل‬ ‫ﮐﻔﺎﯾﺖ‬ •‫اﻧﺮژي‬ ‫ﭘﺬﯾﺮ‬ ‫ﺗﺠﺪﯾﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ‬ ‫ﺗﺠﻤﯿﻊ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﮐﺎر‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ‬: •‫ﺑﻬﯿﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﺎﻟﺖ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺷﺒﮑﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎرﮐﺮد‬ •‫ﻣﺸﺘﺮك‬ ‫ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﯾﻊ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺳﺦ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫اﻫﻤﯿﺖ‬ •‫ﻣﻘﺎوم‬ ‫ﻃﺮاﺣﯽ‬ •‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫اﻧﺠﺎم‬ ‫ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﭼﺮاﯾﯽ‬: ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 4
‫ﭼﯿﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬! ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 5
‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 6 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﺑﺮاﺗﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬)‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬(
‫ﻫﻮﺷ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎر‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 7 ‫و‬ ‫اﺑﺰار‬‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫وﺳﺎﯾﻞ‬ ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﺎز‬ ‫ذﺧﯿﺮه‬ Emergency Panel Electrical Panel ‫ﺧﺎﻧﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫واﺣﺪ‬
‫ﺑﯿﺴ‬ ‫ﺣﺴﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺷﺒﮑﻪ‬‫ﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 8
‫ﻫﻮﺷ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎر‬ ‫و‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 9 ‫ﺧﺎﻧﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫واﺣﺪ‬ ‫و‬ ‫اﺑﺰار‬‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫وﺳﺎﯾﻞ‬ ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﺎز‬ ‫ذﺧﯿﺮه‬ R R R S S S S S S SR R R S S S S S S SS S S Sink node
‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬‫ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 10 M RS1 RS2 G ‫ﺧﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬‫ﻧﮕﯽ‬ ES
‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 11 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬1-‫ﺻﺒﺢ‬ EP1 EP Load M ‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 12 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬2-‫ﻇﻬﺮ‬ EP1 EP Load M ‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬
‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 13 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬3-‫ﻏﺮوب‬ EP1 EP Load M ‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬
‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 14 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬4-‫ﺷﺐ‬ EP1 EP Load M
‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎر‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 15 M ES RS1 RS2 G
‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 16 ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ LF‫ﻣﺤﻠﯽ‬ LS‫ﻣﺤﻠﯽ‬ ‫ﺳﻨﺠﺶ‬ LT‫ﻣﺤﻠﯽ‬ ‫اﻧﺘﻘﺎل‬ PF‫اﻧﺘﺸﺎري‬ Relay Sensor Sensor PFGE PT
‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﺑﯿﻦ‬ ‫راﺑﻄﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 17
‫ﻧﻤﺎﺋﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 18 1EPEPM2RS1RSESG 4 1e4 1e5 5e5 5e4 4.5e4 1.5e5 5e PTPLTLS ‫ﺟﺰ‬ ( 5.06 5.0e5 6.0e5 4.4e 1S 5.06 5.0e5 6.0e5 4.4e 2S -6 5.0e5 6.4e5 4.8e 1E -6 5.0e5 6.4e5 4.8e 2E -6 5.0e5 6.6e5 4.0e 1M -6 5.0e5 6.6e5 4.0e 2M --5 7.0e5 5.0e L -6 5.0e5 5.0e -R ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬‫اﺟﺰاي‬‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬‫اﺟﺰاي‬‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻣﺨﺎﺑﺮاﺗﯽ‬
‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 19 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫دﯾﻨﺎﻣﯿﮏ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎي‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬
‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 20 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫اﺳﺘﺎﺗﯿﮏ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎي‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬‫ﯽ‬
‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 21 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫اﺳﺘﺎﺗﯿﮏ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎي‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬‫ﯽ‬
‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 22 ‫روش‬ ‫در‬MDD،‫ﭘﻨﺞ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ‬ ‫ﯾﮏ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻓﺎزه‬ ‫ﭼﻬﺎر‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺟﺰء‬ ‫ﻫﺮ‬-‫ﺷﻮد‬‫ﻣﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬. ‫ﺻﻮرت‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻨﺪي‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺗﯿﺐ‬ ‫ﺟﺰ‬ ‫ﮐﺎرﮐﺮد‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬i‫ﻣﺎﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫دوره‬ ‫ﮐﻞ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﻃﯽ‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬i‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫در‬h
‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 23 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬1 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 24 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬2 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 25 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬3 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 26 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬4 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 27 MDD‫ﭼﻬﺎر‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﻞ‬-‫ا‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎﻧﯽ‬ ‫ﻧﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 28 ‫ﺟﺰ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻋﺪم‬i‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫اﻧﺘﻬﺎي‬ ‫در‬h‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫دوره‬ ‫و‬ ‫زﻣﺎﻧﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ‬ ‫اﺳﺎس‬ ‫ﺑﺮ‬h
‫ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 29 ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫داده‬ ‫اﺟﺰاي‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬ ‫از‬ ‫اﺳﺘﻔﺎده‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ‬ ‫زﻣﺎن‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫در‬6‫ﺳﺎﻋﺖ‬
‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 30
‫رﻗﺎﺑﺘﯽ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 31 ‫وﻗﻮع‬ ‫ﺑﯿﻦ‬ ‫راﺑﻄﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬LT , PF , LS‫ﺷﺮﻃﯽ‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬ ‫و‬
‫رﻗﺎﺑﺘﯽ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 32 ‫ﺷﺮﻃﯽ‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺗﺠﺰﯾﻪ‬
‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 33
‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 34
‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 35
‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 36
‫ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 37
‫آﯾﻨﺪه‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺖ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎد‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 38 ‫واﺑ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﺑﺮاﺗﯽ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﯿﻦ‬ ‫واﺑﺴﺘﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ‬‫ﺴﺘﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﯿﺎﻧﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬
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Layered reliability modeling of smart home system

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫اي‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﯾﮏ‬ Layered Reliability Modeling of Smart Home System Guilin Zhao, Liudong Xing University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth, MA, USA 1
  • 5. ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 3
  • 6. ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﺰاﯾﺎي‬ ‫دﻟﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬: •‫ﺑﺮق‬ ‫ﮐﺎراي‬ ‫اﻧﺘﻘﺎل‬ ‫ﮐﻔﺎﯾﺖ‬ •‫اﻧﺮژي‬ ‫ﭘﺬﯾﺮ‬ ‫ﺗﺠﺪﯾﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ‬ ‫ﺗﺠﻤﯿﻊ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﮐﺎر‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ‬: •‫ﺑﻬﯿﻨﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﺎﻟﺖ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺷﺒﮑﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎرﮐﺮد‬ •‫ﻣﺸﺘﺮك‬ ‫ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﯾﻊ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺳﺦ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫اﻫﻤﯿﺖ‬ •‫ﻣﻘﺎوم‬ ‫ﻃﺮاﺣﯽ‬ •‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫اﻧﺠﺎم‬ ‫ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﭼﺮاﯾﯽ‬: ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 4
  • 7. ‫ﭼﯿﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬! ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 5
  • 8. ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 6 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﺑﺮاﺗﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬)‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬(
  • 9. ‫ﻫﻮﺷ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎر‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 7 ‫و‬ ‫اﺑﺰار‬‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫وﺳﺎﯾﻞ‬ ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﺎز‬ ‫ذﺧﯿﺮه‬ Emergency Panel Electrical Panel ‫ﺧﺎﻧﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫واﺣﺪ‬
  • 10. ‫ﺑﯿﺴ‬ ‫ﺣﺴﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﺷﺒﮑﻪ‬‫ﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 8
  • 11. ‫ﻫﻮﺷ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎر‬ ‫و‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 9 ‫ﺧﺎﻧﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫واﺣﺪ‬ ‫و‬ ‫اﺑﺰار‬‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫وﺳﺎﯾﻞ‬ ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﺎز‬ ‫ذﺧﯿﺮه‬ R R R S S S S S S SR R R S S S S S S SS S S Sink node
  • 12. ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬‫ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 10 M RS1 RS2 G ‫ﺧﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬ ‫ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬‫ﻧﮕﯽ‬ ES
  • 13. ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 11 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬1-‫ﺻﺒﺢ‬ EP1 EP Load M ‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬
  • 14. ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 12 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬2-‫ﻇﻬﺮ‬ EP1 EP Load M ‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬
  • 15. ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 13 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬3-‫ﻏﺮوب‬ EP1 EP Load M ‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬
  • 16. ‫ﺑﺮداري‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮه‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﺮاﺣﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 14 RS1 RS2 G ES ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬4-‫ﺷﺐ‬ EP1 EP Load M
  • 17. ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎر‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 15 M ES RS1 RS2 G
  • 18. ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 16 ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ LF‫ﻣﺤﻠﯽ‬ LS‫ﻣﺤﻠﯽ‬ ‫ﺳﻨﺠﺶ‬ LT‫ﻣﺤﻠﯽ‬ ‫اﻧﺘﻘﺎل‬ PF‫اﻧﺘﺸﺎري‬ Relay Sensor Sensor PFGE PT
  • 19. ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﺑﯿﻦ‬ ‫راﺑﻄﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 17
  • 20. ‫ﻧﻤﺎﺋﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 18 1EPEPM2RS1RSESG 4 1e4 1e5 5e5 5e4 4.5e4 1.5e5 5e PTPLTLS ‫ﺟﺰ‬ ( 5.06 5.0e5 6.0e5 4.4e 1S 5.06 5.0e5 6.0e5 4.4e 2S -6 5.0e5 6.4e5 4.8e 1E -6 5.0e5 6.4e5 4.8e 2E -6 5.0e5 6.6e5 4.0e 1M -6 5.0e5 6.6e5 4.0e 2M --5 7.0e5 5.0e L -6 5.0e5 5.0e -R ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬‫اﺟﺰاي‬‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬‫اﺟﺰاي‬‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬‫ﻣﺨﺎﺑﺮاﺗﯽ‬
  • 21. ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 19 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫دﯾﻨﺎﻣﯿﮏ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎي‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬
  • 22. ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 20 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫اﺳﺘﺎﺗﯿﮏ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎي‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬‫ﯽ‬
  • 23. ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 21 ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫اﺳﺘﺎﺗﯿﮏ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎي‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬‫ﯽ‬
  • 24. ‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 22 ‫روش‬ ‫در‬MDD،‫ﭘﻨﺞ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﻐﯿﺮ‬ ‫ﯾﮏ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻓﺎزه‬ ‫ﭼﻬﺎر‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﺟﺰء‬ ‫ﻫﺮ‬-‫ﺷﻮد‬‫ﻣﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬. ‫ﺻﻮرت‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻨﺪي‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺗﯿﺐ‬ ‫ﺟﺰ‬ ‫ﮐﺎرﮐﺮد‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬i‫ﻣﺎﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫دوره‬ ‫ﮐﻞ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﺷﺮﻃﯽ‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬i‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫در‬h
  • 25. ‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 23 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬1 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
  • 26. ‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 24 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬2 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
  • 27. ‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 25 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬3 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
  • 28. ‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 26 ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬4 ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
  • 29. ‫ﻣﺄﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬-‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 27 MDD‫ﭼﻬﺎر‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﻞ‬-‫ا‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬‫ي‬ ‫ﺧﻄ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﮔﺬاري‬ ‫ﮐﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪاره‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﯿﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬‫ﺎ‬
  • 30. ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎﻧﯽ‬ ‫ﻧﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﺳﺒﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 28 ‫ﺟﺰ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻋﺪم‬i‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫اﻧﺘﻬﺎي‬ ‫در‬h‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻣﻮرﯾﺖ‬ ‫دوره‬ ‫و‬ ‫زﻣﺎﻧﯽ‬ ‫ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ‬ ‫اﺳﺎس‬ ‫ﺑﺮ‬h
  • 31. ‫ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 29 ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫داده‬ ‫اﺟﺰاي‬ ‫ﺧﺮاﺑﯽ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻧﺮخ‬ ‫از‬ ‫اﺳﺘﻔﺎده‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ‬ ‫زﻣﺎن‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫در‬6‫ﺳﺎﻋﺖ‬
  • 32. ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 30
  • 33. ‫رﻗﺎﺑﺘﯽ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 31 ‫وﻗﻮع‬ ‫ﺑﯿﻦ‬ ‫راﺑﻄﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬LT , PF , LS‫ﺷﺮﻃﯽ‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬ ‫و‬
  • 34. ‫رﻗﺎﺑﺘﯽ‬ ‫اﻃﻤﯿﻨﺎن‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻠﯿﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 32 ‫ﺷﺮﻃﯽ‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺗﺠﺰﯾﻪ‬
  • 35. ‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 33
  • 36. ‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 34
  • 37. ‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 35
  • 38. ‫ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﮐﺎﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺎ‬ ‫درﺧﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 36
  • 39. ‫ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 37
  • 40. ‫آﯾﻨﺪه‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺖ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎد‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﯿﺴﺘﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻮﺷﻤﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﻣﺪل‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ‬ ‫ارﺗﺒﺎﻃﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎدات‬ 38 ‫واﺑ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﺑﺮاﺗﯽ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻓﯿﺰﯾﮑﯽ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﯿﻦ‬ ‫واﺑﺴﺘﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ‬‫ﺴﺘﮕﯽ‬ ‫ﻣﯿﺎﻧﯽ‬ ‫ﻻﯾﻪ‬