Welcome to the presentations from Retail's 9th Annual BIG Breakfast presentation - the #1 retail event to kick off another successful year of retailing!
The presentations are from:
- Erica Berchtold, the CEO of THE ICONIC
- Trent Rigby, Director & Head of Strategy at RetailOasis
- Hannon Comazzetto, the CEO & Founder of AirRobe
- Claudia Rossi, Insights Director at Afterpay
- Paul Greenberg, the Chair of NORA
- Steve Kulmar, the CEO & Founder of RetailOasis
Remember to subscribe to our newsletter to claim your spot to our 10th Annual BIG Breakfast for 2024!
https://www.retailoasis.com/newsletter-sign-up
Or to join our BIG Retail Tour to NYC in 2024, email us at enquire@retailoasis.com
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Retail's 9th Annual BIG Breakfast Presentations
1. Welcome to…
RETAIL’S 9TH ANNUAL
BIG BREAKFAST
PROUDLY SPONSORED BY
THE PRESENTATION WILL GET UNDERWAY AT APPROX. 7:30AM AEST
2. Please take your seats
PROUDLY SPONSORED BY
RETAIL’S 9TH ANNUAL BIG BREAKFAST
IS ABOUT TO START…
3. PROUDLY SPONSORED BY
RetailOasis acknowledges the Gadigal People of
the Eora Nation as the traditional owners of the
land upon which our event is taking place today. We
pay our respect to Elders past, present, and
emerging, and we extend that respect to Aboriginal
and Torres Strait Islander people here today.
17. TODAY’S JUST THE
SUMMARY, WANT
MORE INFO?
WHAT WERE SOME OF THE KEY
THEMES FROM THE NRF BIG
SHOW GOING INTO ’23?
HOW DID WE SEE THEM
PLAYING OUT IN-STORE?
18. 3 DAYS, 35,000 RETAIL PROFESSIONALS, 950 VENDORS
AND 100 SESSIONS FROM 90 COUNTRIES.
20. What is the next evolution of experiential in-store retail?
Resale and preowned as a strategy to increase in-store foot traf
fi
c?
How does in-store experiential translate online to / creating digital
fl
agship experiences?
Recession? Soft-landing? The outlook for ’23 might be something in between.
Retailers are getting back to basics in ’23, and bricks and mortar retail is making a
comeback.
Staf
fi
ng is expected to remain a signi
fi
cant challenge throughout ’23.
Machine learning and AI are in for ’23. Crypto, Metaverse and Web 3.0 / the new internet
are out?
TODAY
21. THE NEXT EVOLUTION OF EXPERIENTIAL
IS ‘LOCALISED EXPERIENCES’
“Think broader than just a single ‘experience’… you need to be tailoring the
experience to an individual store level”.
28. RESALE AND PREOWNED
THE KEY TO INCREASING IN-STORE FOOT TRAFFIC?
“It’s now not a question of WILL retailers provide second-hand options to consumers,
it’s a question of WHEN”.
30. That’s x7 forecasted growth across a 3 year period.
$30B
(NOW)
$218B
(BY 2026)
USD $ forecasted industry performance
Source: WD Partners, 2023
31. Consumer propensity and desire to shop resale / preowned (across all retail categories)
48.3%
51.4%
48.8%
18 - 29 years old
(Gen Z)
30 - 44 years old
(Gen Y / Millennials)
And the customer is older than you think.
45 - 60 years old
(Gen X + Boomers)
Source: WD Partners, 2023
32. Why do consumers want to shop used products / resale?
Category
Axis
Price / Discount
Interesting and unique merchandise
(can’t get elsewhere)
It’s fun / I enjoy it
Help the environment
/ sustainability
Most of my friends
are doing it
All of the above 10%
30%
30%
34%
47%
74%
Source: WD Partners, 2023
42. TODAY’S JUST THE
SUMMARY, WANT
MORE INFO?
WHAT IS THE NEXT EVOLUTION OF EXPERIENTIAL
RETAIL?
- CAMP.
- STARBUCKS RESERVE EMPIRE STATE BUILDING.
- KRISPY KREME FLAGSHIP.
RESALE AND PREOWNED AS A STRATEGY TO
INCREASE IN-STORE FOOT TRAFFIC?
- GOLDEN GOOSE FORWARD STORE.
- CAPSULE.
OTHER HONOURABLE MENTIONS.
- STARBUCKS PICKUP WITH AMAZON GO.
- TREA+.
- SOLANA SPACES.
- SALVATORE FERRAGAMO.
50. CIRCULAR FASHION MOVEMENT WWW.AIRROBE.COM
A GENERATIONAL SHIFT
faster growth in
purpose-driven
companies
compared to
competitors
3X
growth in shoppers
trying to resell their
item for the first time
in 2022 compared to
2021
4.6X
51. CIRCULAR FASHION MOVEMENT WWW.AIRROBE.COM
In 5 years, gen Z & millennial cohorts will
account for > 50% of fashion spend.
A GENERATIONAL SHIFT
of consumers shift spend to more
sustainable brands
72%
of Gen Z consumers consider resale value
before making a purchase
80%
53. There are enormous tailwinds for the
circular economy
1. Sustainability is positioned to be the
defining trend of the next 20 years.
2. Huge consumer demands.
3. Regulatory pressures.
THE OPPORTUNITY
55. WWW.AIRROBE.COM
The moment a product is sold,
everyone loses the digital
connection to it and the
customer has no digital version
of their product.
THE OPPORTUNITY:
NO DIGITAL INVENTORY CAPTURE
MERCHANTS
Lose connection to their product,
their customer, the ability to
monetise post-sale, and loss of
data/insights.
CONSUMERS
Have no digital version of their
products, making post-sale and
end of life activities cumbersome or
impossible.
57. A Circular Commerce
solution built for merchants
AirRobe is world first circular technology that powers
recommerce experiences, in one click.
Transforms how consumers shop resale
Provides brands with a seamless end-to-end circular and
resale offering
Digital twin of each product
WHAT IS AIRROBE
59. BUY-SIDE DESIGN LAYER SCOPE
SUPPLY
SOURCING
MODEL
Consumer
self listing model
Buyback /
consignment
model
Owned Buy-back resale
models
Partner to facilitate
buyback resale OR
consignment desk
Less reach, more capex, higher control, More reach, less capex, lower control
Partner to facilitate
Peer-to-peer resell
Brands and retailers have a variety of ways to
embrace the resale market
60. A customers virtual wardrobe, where all their fashion purchases are saved and
items are available to resell, rent or recycle in seconds.
AIRROBE: CORE OFFERING
The Circular Wardrobe
65. The widget educates
consumers on the Estimated
resale value, driving consumers
to invest in high quality, higher
priced items.
RESALE VALUE
EDUCATION
67. CIRCULAR FASHION MOVEMENT WWW.AIRROBE.COM
A zero touch end-to-end
circular offering.
Grow sales & access key data
insights.
Reduce your carbon footprint and
improve sustainability.
Take a customer-first approach and
increase brand loyalty.
RETAILER BENEFITS
68. CIRCULAR FASHION MOVEMENT WWW.AIRROBE.COM
Average order value
increase by 20-35%
Customer
loyalty 2X
Acquire Gen Z & Millennial
customers
THE RESULTS: SALES BOOST
69. …But they are in
love with this Stella
McCartney dress
for $600…
WITH AIRROBE, THEY
KNOW THEY CAN LATER
RESELL FOR $350
The total cost of ownership is
reduced to $250.
EXAMPLE:
This shopper is looking to
buy a dress with a rough
budget of $300…
TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP
71. $100-250m Annual Sales Turnover
Global Designer Brand
Brand wishing to engage in resale space. Their
brand in particular having a really strong presence
in resale markets with consumers already.
CASE STUDY
72. CIRCULAR FASHION MOVEMENT
Demonstrating statistically significant unbiased
correlation of AirRobe’s impact
AB Test where 50% of traffic had AirRobe
widget visible versus 50% invisible
Controlled AB Test
73. CIRCULAR FASHION MOVEMENT WWW.AIRROBE.COM
CASE STUDY
Global $X00m Designer Brand
Controlled AB Test
Over the test period 50% of traffic saw the AirRobe widget
displayed on product pages and 50% of traffic did not
have the AirRobe widget available.
The following results summarise a 90-day A/B test
conducted with one of AirRobe’s brand partners.
Over the test period, neither the brand nor AirRobe
mentioned the partnership. So the influence of the
AirRobe widget was entirely organic.
74. AB AOV UPLIFT OF
13%
OPT_IN AOV UPLIFT OF
37%
$711.58
THE RESULTS: PDP WIDGET A/B TEST
AirRobe
Visible +
Opted-in
$712
AirRobe
Visible
$587
AirRobe
Invisible
$521
Average Order Value.
80. Internal Presentation | 2021 | Confidential
The Macro-
Environment
and factors driving
change
Global impact
on businesses
New paths to
efficiency in-
store
Afterpay
Insights
Agenda
80
Gen Z
consumer
81. Growth is
expected to slow
Two key factors
81
Transition of
fixed-rate
mortgages to
variable rate
Increase in
utility bills and
economy-wide
inflation
1 2
82. Discretionary
spending will
drastically slow
for households who have to
transition from fixed-rate to
variable-rate mortgages
58%
households on
fixed-rate
mortgages
will see
mortgage
payments
increase by more than
40%
82
85. RETAIL SPENDING OVER TIME FOR MILLENNIALS AND GEN Z
$BN, AUD
25
15
2030
2016
Millennials and Gen Z
peak earning years
to come
Millennials and
Gen Z share of
spend
48%
We expect
Millennials and
Gen Z share of
discretionary
retail spend will
increase to 48%
by 2030
Gen Z
Millennial
85
86. Shopping expectations
in the next 12 months
How much shopping do you think you will do in the next 12 months compared to the last 12 months?; n = 1007
Much more
Slightly more
About the same
Slightly less
Much less
5% 23% 50% 19% 3%
5% 22% 50% 20% 3%
3% 8% 62% 22% 5%
Gen Z
Millennial
Gen X
86
87. Customers expect a
seamless omnichannel
experience, with
omni consumers having
30%
higher lifetime value
than those single channel
shoppers
Shift back to in-store.
87
Gen Z growth
in-store Q4
YoY
56%
89. 22%
14% 15%
186%
176%
173%
120%
112%
109%
Spend Growth 2022 vs 2021
Gen Z Millennial Gen X +
Gen Z spend is growing at a faster rate post Covid
and within experiential verticals
89
Afterpay Spend YoY growth by category and generation. 2022 vs 2021
Total Travel
Gen Z Millennial Gen X +
Entertainment & Experiences
Gen Z Millennial Gen X +
90. 90
12
The last best experience
a consumer ever had,
becomes the minimum
experience they want
everywhere.
92. Consumer iQ
Knowing consumers better
than they know themselves
92
Demographics
Who They Are
Region
Lifestage
Income
Home Type
Engagement
How They Interact
Promo
Email
Unsubscribe
F2F
App Reason
App Propensity
Pulse
Shopping
How They Shop
Store
Segment
SMB
Orders / GPV
Velocity
Payments
How They Pay
Present Value
Future Value
Lifetime Value
99. Source: ABS and Roy Morgan, population 14+. Year of birth definitions Builders (1925 - 1945), Baby Boomers (1946 - 1964), Generation X (1965 - 1979), Generation Y (1980 - 1994), Generation Z (1995 - 2010) and Generation Alpha (2011 - 2025).
99
2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031
61%
57%
53%
49%
44%
39%
34%
39%
43%
47%
51%
56%
61%
66%
% volume Digital Immigrants (Gen X, Boomers, Pre-Boomers)
% volume Digital Natives (Gen Y, Gen Z, Alpha)
WE ARE
HERE
2023
THE TIPPING POINT IS HERE
("DIGITAL NATIVES” OVERTAKE
“DIGITAL IMMIGRANTS”)
2027
GEN Z OVERTAKE MILLENNIALS
TO BECOME THE
LEADING GENERATION
5 YEAR RUNWAY NEXT 5 YEARS
DIGITAL NATIVES WILL OVERTAKE DIGITAL
IMMIGRANTS THIS YEAR
100. 100
Gen
. . . .
Age Age: 55-73 Age: 40-54 Age: 25-39 Age: 10-24
Major Life Events
Moon Landing
69’
Share Market Crash
87’
September 11
01’
Covid
20’
Music
TV
Marketing
Broadcast
(TV, Radio)
Direct
(Targeted)
Online
(Youtube, Google)
Social
(Tik Tok, Fortnite)
WHO ARE GEN Z?
101. 2011 2016 2021
51%
49%
46% Parents Born
Overseas
Parent’s Born
in Australia
Now, more than half of Australian’s
had at least one parent born overseas
ABS, 2021 Census, Parents Birthplace (Both, Mother or Father) % of Survey Respondents (excludes those that didn’t answer ~5-7%)
AUSTRALIA IS BECOMING EVEN MORE
ETHNICALLY DIVERSE
102. ABS, 2021 Census, Parents Birthplace (Both, Mother or Father) % of Survey Respondents (excludes those that didn’t answer ~5-7%)
SYDNEY IS LEADING AUSTRALIA
IN ETHNIC DIVERSITY
2011 2016 2021
67%
65%
61%
Parents Born
Overseas
Parent’s Born
in Australia
Two thirds of Sydneysiders
have Parents Born Overseas
103. Source: Stonewall 2022, Rainbow Britain Report
Sexual Orientation and Generation (UK 2022)
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Gen Z Gen Y Gen X Baby Boomers
Hetrosexual LGBTQI+
29%
18% 13% 9%
Gen Z are 3.2X
more likely to
identify as
LGBTQI+ vs
Baby Boomers
GENDER FLUIDITY IS BECOMING
THE NORM FOR GEN Z
104. Source: ABS, IBISWORLD and Afterpay Retail categories.
FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28 FY29 FY30 FY31 FY32 FY33 FY34
66%
64%
61%
59%
56%
54%
51%
49%
46%
44%
41%
39%
36%
34%
37%
39%
42%
44%
47%
49%
52%
54%
57%
59%
62%
64%
Digital Immigrants
Digital Natives (Y, Z and A)
WHILST WE’VE HIT THE TIPPING POINT, DIGITAL
NATIVE SPEND WON’T HIT PARITY UNTIL 2032
VALUE TIPPING POINT
("DIGITAL NATIVES” OVERTAKE
“DIGITAL IMMIGRANTS” SPEND)
POPULATION TIPPING POINT
("DIGITAL NATIVES” OVERTAKE
“DIGITAL IMMIGRANTS” POPULATION)
2023 2028