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Renewable Energy in Argentina
2016
Table of Contents
Introduction
Argentine Energy Overview
Renewable Energy Opportunity
LUFT ENERGIA: Business Model
Introduction
After the COP21, in Paris last month, we are convinced that Argentina must play a
leading role to prevent global warming, as our country has an enormous potential, both
in solar and wind resources.
Our country is facing at this moment a critical situation in the energy sector and, thus, a
new regulation of the law to promote the renewable energy industry is being drafted.
We are a group of professionals, not only with reverence for environmental and social
sustainability, but also with the conviction that there is a great business opportunity.
We want to play a proactive role in helping the country develop its strength in sun and
wind resource, in a tangible way, converting it to consumable energy.
It is time to unlock the renewable energy potential in an economically sustainable way.
3
Table of contents
Introduction
Argentine Energy Overview
Argentina: Renewable Energy Opportunity
Luft Energia: Business Model
Energy matrix & electricity generation
Primary Energy Supply Total Electricity Generation Capacity
5%
Hydro
2%
Wind &
Solar
2%
Nuclear
5%
Nuclear50%
Natural Gas
34%
Crude Oil
31%
Hydro
Coal
29%
Fossil Fuels 60.9%
Others 1
11% Argentina World
Source: MINEM – National Energy Balance and SESCO
(1) In Argentina, mainly composed by oils and alcohols for biofuels 5
0.6%
3.2%
35.3%
21%
2%
7%
Natural gas
Natural Gas production has been declining since 2008 and, on the other hand, demand
kept growing. This need was fulfilled with imports of LNG and natural gas from Bolivia.
Natural Gas Supply Natural Gas Proved Reserves
Mm3
60.000
1.15
1.1050.000
1.05
40.000
1.00
30.000
0.95
20.000
0.90
10.000
0.85
0.800
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20142003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Proved Reserves (Mm3)
Reserves Replacement Ratio
Source: UPSTREAM SESCO and ENARSA 6
Imports
612,496
332,164
s t
r
po
mI
Crude oil
Crude oil production declined at a rate of approximately 2.4% per year, creating the
need of imported liquids.
Crude Oil Production Crude Oil Proved ReservesKm3
45.000
1.15 425,213
40.000
1.10
35.000
1.0530.000
25.000 1.00
20.000
0.95
15.000
0.90
10.000
0.855.000
- 0.80
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
AUSTRAL CUYANA GOLFO SAN JORGE NEUQUINA NOROESTE
Proved Reserves (Km3)
Reserves Replacement Ratio
Source: UPSTREAM SESCO 7
378,343
Imported liquids replaced natural gas
The reduction in the domestic production of both primary sources of energy in the
country, natural gas and crude oil, led to extra liquids needs for the industry and power
plants.
Diesel Consumptionm3
Natural Gas Demand 3,000,000
Mm3/d
2,500,000
8180
2,000,000
160
1,500,000
140
1,000,000
Cuts - Power Plants120
500,000
Cuts - Industry
Industry
Power Plants
Residential
100 -
80
60
Fuel Oil ConsumptionTn
3,500,000
40 CNG
Commercial 4
20 3,000,000
2,500,000-
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
105,465
-
Source: CAMMESA and ENARGAS 8
3,032,07
Power Pants
and Industry
unsatisfied
demand
2,219,48
17,507
Consequence 1: Deficit in energy trade balance
Exports and Imports: Natural Gas, Oil and Fuels
(USD Billions)
7.87.8
7.2 7.06.9
6.2
5.4
-2.2
-3.2
-5.0-1.5 -1.7 -6.0 -6.5
-9.8
Balance
-11.5-11.6
2003
Source: INDEC
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
9Note: 2015 anual values were estimated based on real data up to October 2015
6.5 6.5 6.6
5.6
5.0
6.15.2 5.64.9
2.3
4.1 3.83.5
1.8
- -
- -6
-
-0.5 -1.0
-2.8 -2.6
-4.3 -4.8
Exports FOB
Imports CIF
-7.3
-9.1
Consequence 2: Higher base energy production costs
Power plants operating with imported natural gas or diesel have a higher cost per
MWh. Also, stoppage times multiply and machines deteriorate faster.
Estimated Cost of Fossil Fuels Based Energy in Argentina
USD/MWh
500
400
300
200
Renewable
Energy
100
0
Domestic Bolivia
Nat. Gas Nat. Gas
LNG Diesel Domestic
Nat. Gas
Bolivia
Nat. Gas
LNG Diesel Domestic
Nat. Gas
Bolivia
Nat. Gas
LNG Fuel Oil Diesel
Motors
Combined Cycle
Source: Estimated market reference figures
Gas Turbine Steam Turbine
10
Meanwhile…. In the rest of the World
The world started to develop renewable energy. In the last decade wind energy
installed capacity multiplied by 10x and solar energy did so by 50x.
World Wind Energy Installed Capacity (GWh)
Latin America Wind Energy
Installed Capacity
(MWh, end of 2014)
370
283
Brazil 5,939
Chile 836
Uruguay 4641997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Solar Wind Energy Installed Capacity (GWh) Argentina 187
177 Costa Rica 198
Nicaragua 186
Honduras 152
231697 Peru 1485.13.7
2004
Source: GWEC
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
11
138
100
70
40
319
238
198
159
121
48 59 74
8 10 14 17 24 31 39
94
The process led to competitive energy pricing
Government focus, fiscal stability, investment, access to capital markets and smart
regulation led renewals energy to be cost competitive through out the World.
Recent announced long-term remuneration contract prices for renewable power
Source: IEA 12
Table of contents
Introduction
Argentine Energy Overview
Argentina: Renewable Energy Opportunity
Luft Energia: Business Model
Resource potential: wind speed
Global Mean Wind Speed at 80m
Top tier resource
15Source: 3Tier
Resource potential: wind speed in Argentina
Unique wind speed in more than half of the country’s territory, with over 8 m/s, thus
generating beneficial wind power generation capacity factors.
Wind Speed Areas of Capacity Factor >35%
m/s
Source: CADER 16
Resource potential: solar irradiance
Global Mean Solar Irradiance
World’s best solar irradiance
17Source: 3Tier
Table of contents
Introduction
Argentine Energy Overview
Argentina: Renewable Energy Opportunity
Luft Energia: Business Model
Getting there first
The Federal Government is convinced that it needs to stimulate the investment through
a new legal framework and regulatory pro-market measures.
‰ Pricing: The opportunity to achieve attractive long term pricing contracts
‰ Preferential connection to the grid
‰ First to access limited local and international markets
™ The national and local banks will take a leading role (Banco Nación, Banco
Provincia, Banco de la Provincia de Mendoza, etc.)
™ Multilateral organism financing
‰ A unique opportunity to enter into different projects in early stage and a lower entry
cost
19
A unique track record: shale development in Argentina
Argentina is the only country outside US that has developed shale.
The case of “Vaca Muerta” has shown the correct connection between public and private
sector, creating the scenario for large investments.
Luft’s team was key to this success by:
‰ Managing the relation with the Federal and Provincial Governments and Congress to
promote a New Hydrocarbon Law (fiscal stability and investment incentives)
‰ Social license:
™ Managed relationship with stakeholders (environmental activist, landowners, etc.)
™ Strong presence in the communities to shown the “benefit from the oil industry”
‰ Accessing domestic and international financial markets
‰ Strategic partnership with international players
‰ Preferential relation and coverage from both local and international media
WE CAN MAKE THE RENEWABLES A REALITY IN ARGENTINA
20

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Energías Renovables en Argentina

  • 1. Renewable Energy in Argentina 2016
  • 2. Table of Contents Introduction Argentine Energy Overview Renewable Energy Opportunity LUFT ENERGIA: Business Model
  • 3. Introduction After the COP21, in Paris last month, we are convinced that Argentina must play a leading role to prevent global warming, as our country has an enormous potential, both in solar and wind resources. Our country is facing at this moment a critical situation in the energy sector and, thus, a new regulation of the law to promote the renewable energy industry is being drafted. We are a group of professionals, not only with reverence for environmental and social sustainability, but also with the conviction that there is a great business opportunity. We want to play a proactive role in helping the country develop its strength in sun and wind resource, in a tangible way, converting it to consumable energy. It is time to unlock the renewable energy potential in an economically sustainable way. 3
  • 4. Table of contents Introduction Argentine Energy Overview Argentina: Renewable Energy Opportunity Luft Energia: Business Model
  • 5. Energy matrix & electricity generation Primary Energy Supply Total Electricity Generation Capacity 5% Hydro 2% Wind & Solar 2% Nuclear 5% Nuclear50% Natural Gas 34% Crude Oil 31% Hydro Coal 29% Fossil Fuels 60.9% Others 1 11% Argentina World Source: MINEM – National Energy Balance and SESCO (1) In Argentina, mainly composed by oils and alcohols for biofuels 5 0.6% 3.2% 35.3% 21% 2% 7%
  • 6. Natural gas Natural Gas production has been declining since 2008 and, on the other hand, demand kept growing. This need was fulfilled with imports of LNG and natural gas from Bolivia. Natural Gas Supply Natural Gas Proved Reserves Mm3 60.000 1.15 1.1050.000 1.05 40.000 1.00 30.000 0.95 20.000 0.90 10.000 0.85 0.800 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20142003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Proved Reserves (Mm3) Reserves Replacement Ratio Source: UPSTREAM SESCO and ENARSA 6 Imports 612,496 332,164
  • 7. s t r po mI Crude oil Crude oil production declined at a rate of approximately 2.4% per year, creating the need of imported liquids. Crude Oil Production Crude Oil Proved ReservesKm3 45.000 1.15 425,213 40.000 1.10 35.000 1.0530.000 25.000 1.00 20.000 0.95 15.000 0.90 10.000 0.855.000 - 0.80 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 AUSTRAL CUYANA GOLFO SAN JORGE NEUQUINA NOROESTE Proved Reserves (Km3) Reserves Replacement Ratio Source: UPSTREAM SESCO 7 378,343
  • 8. Imported liquids replaced natural gas The reduction in the domestic production of both primary sources of energy in the country, natural gas and crude oil, led to extra liquids needs for the industry and power plants. Diesel Consumptionm3 Natural Gas Demand 3,000,000 Mm3/d 2,500,000 8180 2,000,000 160 1,500,000 140 1,000,000 Cuts - Power Plants120 500,000 Cuts - Industry Industry Power Plants Residential 100 - 80 60 Fuel Oil ConsumptionTn 3,500,000 40 CNG Commercial 4 20 3,000,000 2,500,000- 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 105,465 - Source: CAMMESA and ENARGAS 8 3,032,07 Power Pants and Industry unsatisfied demand 2,219,48 17,507
  • 9. Consequence 1: Deficit in energy trade balance Exports and Imports: Natural Gas, Oil and Fuels (USD Billions) 7.87.8 7.2 7.06.9 6.2 5.4 -2.2 -3.2 -5.0-1.5 -1.7 -6.0 -6.5 -9.8 Balance -11.5-11.6 2003 Source: INDEC 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9Note: 2015 anual values were estimated based on real data up to October 2015 6.5 6.5 6.6 5.6 5.0 6.15.2 5.64.9 2.3 4.1 3.83.5 1.8 - - - -6 - -0.5 -1.0 -2.8 -2.6 -4.3 -4.8 Exports FOB Imports CIF -7.3 -9.1
  • 10. Consequence 2: Higher base energy production costs Power plants operating with imported natural gas or diesel have a higher cost per MWh. Also, stoppage times multiply and machines deteriorate faster. Estimated Cost of Fossil Fuels Based Energy in Argentina USD/MWh 500 400 300 200 Renewable Energy 100 0 Domestic Bolivia Nat. Gas Nat. Gas LNG Diesel Domestic Nat. Gas Bolivia Nat. Gas LNG Diesel Domestic Nat. Gas Bolivia Nat. Gas LNG Fuel Oil Diesel Motors Combined Cycle Source: Estimated market reference figures Gas Turbine Steam Turbine 10
  • 11. Meanwhile…. In the rest of the World The world started to develop renewable energy. In the last decade wind energy installed capacity multiplied by 10x and solar energy did so by 50x. World Wind Energy Installed Capacity (GWh) Latin America Wind Energy Installed Capacity (MWh, end of 2014) 370 283 Brazil 5,939 Chile 836 Uruguay 4641997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Solar Wind Energy Installed Capacity (GWh) Argentina 187 177 Costa Rica 198 Nicaragua 186 Honduras 152 231697 Peru 1485.13.7 2004 Source: GWEC 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 11 138 100 70 40 319 238 198 159 121 48 59 74 8 10 14 17 24 31 39 94
  • 12. The process led to competitive energy pricing Government focus, fiscal stability, investment, access to capital markets and smart regulation led renewals energy to be cost competitive through out the World. Recent announced long-term remuneration contract prices for renewable power Source: IEA 12
  • 13. Table of contents Introduction Argentine Energy Overview Argentina: Renewable Energy Opportunity Luft Energia: Business Model
  • 14. Resource potential: wind speed Global Mean Wind Speed at 80m Top tier resource 15Source: 3Tier
  • 15. Resource potential: wind speed in Argentina Unique wind speed in more than half of the country’s territory, with over 8 m/s, thus generating beneficial wind power generation capacity factors. Wind Speed Areas of Capacity Factor >35% m/s Source: CADER 16
  • 16. Resource potential: solar irradiance Global Mean Solar Irradiance World’s best solar irradiance 17Source: 3Tier
  • 17. Table of contents Introduction Argentine Energy Overview Argentina: Renewable Energy Opportunity Luft Energia: Business Model
  • 18. Getting there first The Federal Government is convinced that it needs to stimulate the investment through a new legal framework and regulatory pro-market measures. ‰ Pricing: The opportunity to achieve attractive long term pricing contracts ‰ Preferential connection to the grid ‰ First to access limited local and international markets ™ The national and local banks will take a leading role (Banco Nación, Banco Provincia, Banco de la Provincia de Mendoza, etc.) ™ Multilateral organism financing ‰ A unique opportunity to enter into different projects in early stage and a lower entry cost 19
  • 19. A unique track record: shale development in Argentina Argentina is the only country outside US that has developed shale. The case of “Vaca Muerta” has shown the correct connection between public and private sector, creating the scenario for large investments. Luft’s team was key to this success by: ‰ Managing the relation with the Federal and Provincial Governments and Congress to promote a New Hydrocarbon Law (fiscal stability and investment incentives) ‰ Social license: ™ Managed relationship with stakeholders (environmental activist, landowners, etc.) ™ Strong presence in the communities to shown the “benefit from the oil industry” ‰ Accessing domestic and international financial markets ‰ Strategic partnership with international players ‰ Preferential relation and coverage from both local and international media WE CAN MAKE THE RENEWABLES A REALITY IN ARGENTINA 20