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Optimality-based modeling of phytoplankton:
  Implications for predictive modeling, interpreting data
                and designing experiments
                       S. Lan Smith
                   EBCRP, RIGC, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan

           Constraints from
        Fundamental Processes



          Natural Selection

          Adaptive Change




                                                                        Apparent KNO3 (μmol L-1)
         Optimally Adapted
            Organisms




       Physical Environment




S. Lan Smith                             Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Optimality
 A result of Natural Selection,
 subject to Constraints
 Plankton are ideal subjects:                Constraints from
    short generation times                Fundamental Processes
    long evolutionary history
 Therefore we expect them to                 Natural Selection
 at least approach Optimality,               Adaptive Change
 which suggests that this concept
 should be useful for interpreting
                                            Optimally Adapted
 & modeling their behavior.                    Organisms




                                         Physical Environment



S. Lan Smith        p. 2             Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Optimality-Based Ideas for Modeling Phytoplankton
 Selected Examples Roughly in the Space of Fundamental Processes
                   Considered in Trade-offs
         Light
                                    Photoacclimation
         Aquisition
                      Wirtz & Pahlow (MEPS, 2010)
                            Pahlow (MEPS, 2005)
                            Armstrong (DSRII, 2006)
                                         Armstrong (L&O, 1999)
               Bruggemann & Kooijman         Wirtz (J. Biotech., 2002)
               (L&O, 2007)                   Smith & Yamanaka (L&O, 2007)
                                             Smith et al. (MEPS, 2009)
                                                                  Nutrient
                                                                  Uptake
Resistance            Merico et al. (Ecol. Modelling, 2009)
to Predators
S. Lan Smith           p. 3                 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Equations for Rate of Nutrient Uptake
Optimal Uptake (Pahlow, MEPS, 2005)       Michaelis-Menten Equation

                V0 S                                Vmax S
 vOU =                                     vMM =
                                                    Ks + S
           A0    √
           V0 + 2 V0 S + S
                     A0                   Ks is called the
This is like a MM equation with:          Half-Saturation “constant”.
                                          But it varies with:
                                             Nutrient Concentration
               A0    √
         Ks = V0 + 2 V0 S
                      A0                     Species
                                             Temperature
This predicts that Ks values (as fit to
the MM eqn.) should increase with         Affinity & Ks are related:
nutrient concentration.                                Vmax
                                                 A=
    Can this explain                                   Ks
    the observed pattern?
                                          A is also called a
                                          (Healey. Micrbial Ecol., 1980)
S. Lan Smith         p. 4                 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
What do short-term uptake experiments measure?
 If phytoplankton do not have time to acclimate during expts.,
 Optimal Uptake (OU) kinetics predicts (Smith et al. MEPS, 2009) for
 apparent values of Michaelis-Menten “constants”:

     Vmax = √A0Sa/V0 V0
                                         This agrees with observations by
                                         Kudela & Dugdale (DSRII 47, 2000),
            1 + √A0Sa/V0
                                         but it needs further testing.

               V0 Sa
     Ks =      √
               A0
                              This agrees with the observed pattern for KNO3
                              from ship-board expts. (Smith et al. 2009).
                                  It’s all based on a physiological trade-off:
 Sa is ambient nutrient
 concentration, to which
 phytoplankton were
 pre-acclimated before
 the short-term expts.

                                 Low Nutrient Conc.                High Nutrient Conc.
S. Lan Smith           p. 5                     Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Combined Effects of T & Nutrient Concentrations
 Growth rates increase exponentially with T
 (Eppley. Fish. Bull. 1972; Bissinger et al. L&O 2008).




                                                              Max. Uptake Rate, Vmax
 For uptake or growth, Vmax is usually assumed
 to be independent of nutrient concentration:                                          Temperature

 Michaelis-Menten (MM) kinetics.
 However, Optimal Upake (OU) kinetics predicts
 that Vmax (from short-term expts.) should                                                              MM
 increase hyperbolically with nutrient conc.                                                            OU
 (Smith et al. MEPS 2009).                                                             Nutrient Conc.

                                                                                               Nutrient Conc.
 In the ocean, T and Nutrient Conc. are strongly
 (negatively) correlated.




                                                               Vmax
 Field expts. observe the combined (net) effects.
   Assumptions about Uptake Kinetics impact
   the interpretation of observations.                                                 Temperature


S. Lan Smith          p. 6                       Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Correlation of T & [NO3] in the Surface Ocean
 Negative Correlation in General
 (e.g., Silio-Calzada et al. Remote Sens. Environ.112, 2008)
     Up-welling brings cold, nutrient-rich water
     While phytoplankton grow, nutrients are depleted
        & at the same time, water is warmed
     Here for the data of
     Harrison et al (L&O 1996)
     *Thanks to G. W. Harrison for
     providing the complete data set.


     The regression line was
     fitted for log [NO3] vs. log T




S. Lan Smith         p. 7                    Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Dependence of Uptake Rate, v, on T & Nutrients
 for maximum uptake rate, Vmax as determined by short-term expts.
 Assuming Multiplicative Effects
                                      This widely-applied equation is
     Michaelis-Menten (MM)
                                      from Goldman and Carpenter
                -Ea/RT [NO ]          (Limnol. Oceanogr. 19, 1974).
     v = Vmax e              3
                      Ks + [NO3]

      Optimal Uptake (OU)

      v = V0√[NO3]aA0/V0 e a
                           -E /RT     [NO3]
          1 + √[NO3]aA0/V0     √[NO3]aV0/A0 + [NO3]

   This ratio determines how Vmax         The apparent value of Ks
   depends on ambient nutrient            depends on ambient nutrient
   concentration, [NO3]a.                 concentration, before
   It can be determined separately        sampling for expts.
   from fits to data: Ks vs. [NO3]a.      (Smith et al. MEPS, 2009).
S. Lan Smith        p. 8                Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Dependence of Vmax on T & Nutrients
for maximum uptake rate, Vmax, as determined by short-term expts,
assuming Multiplicative Effects

    Michaelis-Menten (MM)          Optimal Uptake (OU)
                -Ea/RT                        √[NO3]aA0/V0 V e-Ea/RT
      Vmax = V0 e                  Vmax =                     0
                                             1 + √[NO3]aA0/V0

  2 parameters were fitted by regression
  to data sets for Vmax, [NO3]a & T,
  for each eq., respectively.                    This ratio was determined
                                                 separately, from fits to
    V0 potential maximum of Vmax
                                                 data for Ks vs. [NO3] as in
    Ea Energy of Activation
                                                 Smith et al. (MEPS 2009).




S. Lan Smith        p. 9                    Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
data of Harrison et al. (L&O 1996)                                                                  MM                                       OU
                                                                                            T- dependent model           100.0         N &T- dependent model
                                                                                 50
 Fits of Arrhenius T-                                                                       using fit of T vs. [NO3]
                                                                                                                          50.0
                                                                                                                                       only T- dependent model




                            Chl-Specific Max. NO3 Uptake Rate (nmol h-1(μg)-1)
 dependence, with the                                                                  Q10 = 1.7                                      Q10 = 3.4
                                                                                  10
 MM- and OU-based as-                                                            5.0
                                                                                                                          10.0
                                                                                                                           5.0
 sumptions, respectively,
 for Vmax                                                                   1.0                     data                   1.0
                                                                            0.5                     fits with obs.         0.5
 Data: Chl-specific max.
                                                                                                    T & [NO3]
 [NO3] uptake rate.
                                                                                       275           285         295              275         285        295

 Inferred Q10 is nearly                                                                                          T(K)
                                                                                                                         100.0
 twice as high with the                                                           50
                                                                                                                          50.0
 OU-based assumption.
                                                                                  10                                      10.0
 Residual Square Error:                                                          5.0                                       5.0
    MM        OU
    9.3       8.5                                                                1.0            T- dependent model         1.0
                                                                                                constant Vmax
                                                                                 0.5                                       0.5
 Fitted values of Ea sig.                                                                                                              N &T- dependent model
                                                                                                                                       only N- dependent model
 diff. from 0 for both.                                                                10       1     0.1    0.01      0.001     10      1     0.1   0.01 0.001
                                                                                                             [NO3] (μmol L-1)
S. Lan Smith        p. 10                                                                            Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
data of Kanda et al. (L&O 1985)                                                                            MM                                            OU
                                                                                            1.0                                       1.0
                                                                                                     Q10 = 1.5                                    Q10 = 2.7




                                 Chl-Specific Max. NO3 Uptake Rate (nmol h-1 (μg chl)-1 )
Fits of Arrhenius T- depen-
dence, with the MM- and                                                                     0.5                                       0.5

OU-based assumptions, re-
spectively, for Vmax
Data: Chl-specific max.                                                                                                                             N &T- dependent model
                                                                                            0.1                                       0.1
                                                                                                          T- dependent model
[NO3] uptake rate.                                                                                        using fit of T vs. [NO3]
                                                                                                                                                    using fit of [NO3] vs. T
                                                                                                                                                    only T- dependent model

Inferred Q10 is nearly                                                                        285         290      295       300            285         290    295      300
                                                                                                                           T(K)
twice as high with the OU-
                                                                                            1.0                                       1.0
based assumption.
Residual Square Error:                                                                      0.5                                       0.5

   MM        OU
   0.82      0.34
Fitted values of Ea sig. diff.                                                                                   data
                                                                                            0.1                  fits with obs.       0.1           N &T- dependent model
from 0 for both.                                                                                                 T & [NO3]
                                                                                                                                                    using fit of T vs. [NO3]
                                                                                                                                                    only N- dependent model
                                                                                                    0.1          0.01         0.001               0.1         0.01       0.001
                                                                                                                                     [NO3] (μmol L-1)
S. Lan Smith         p. 11                                                                                   Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
Conclusions
 Optimality-based ideas imply different Interpretations of Observations.

     Specifically for Combined Effects of T & Concentration on Uptake
 Estimated Q10’s are 2X greater assuming OU vs. MM kinetics.
 Caveat: The observed Vmax were Chl-specific
    Chl:N ratios tend to be greater under nutrient-rich conditions,
    which should under-estimate N-specific rates at high N (low T)
   Therefore my analysis probably over-estimates Q10’s
       for both MM- and OU- kinetics
 Yet even with biomass-specific Vmax, OU would yield higher Q10’s
     because of the strong negative correlation of T & [NO3}
 Significant Uncertainties remain about T-dependence & uptake kinetics
    We need more controlled experiments &
    field observations of biomass-specific rates

S. Lan Smith       p. 12                 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010

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Lan\'s Presentation at the Ocean Sciences Meeting 2010

  • 1. Optimality-based modeling of phytoplankton: Implications for predictive modeling, interpreting data and designing experiments S. Lan Smith EBCRP, RIGC, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan Constraints from Fundamental Processes Natural Selection Adaptive Change Apparent KNO3 (μmol L-1) Optimally Adapted Organisms Physical Environment S. Lan Smith Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 2. Optimality A result of Natural Selection, subject to Constraints Plankton are ideal subjects: Constraints from short generation times Fundamental Processes long evolutionary history Therefore we expect them to Natural Selection at least approach Optimality, Adaptive Change which suggests that this concept should be useful for interpreting Optimally Adapted & modeling their behavior. Organisms Physical Environment S. Lan Smith p. 2 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 3. Optimality-Based Ideas for Modeling Phytoplankton Selected Examples Roughly in the Space of Fundamental Processes Considered in Trade-offs Light Photoacclimation Aquisition Wirtz & Pahlow (MEPS, 2010) Pahlow (MEPS, 2005) Armstrong (DSRII, 2006) Armstrong (L&O, 1999) Bruggemann & Kooijman Wirtz (J. Biotech., 2002) (L&O, 2007) Smith & Yamanaka (L&O, 2007) Smith et al. (MEPS, 2009) Nutrient Uptake Resistance Merico et al. (Ecol. Modelling, 2009) to Predators S. Lan Smith p. 3 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 4. Equations for Rate of Nutrient Uptake Optimal Uptake (Pahlow, MEPS, 2005) Michaelis-Menten Equation V0 S Vmax S vOU = vMM = Ks + S A0 √ V0 + 2 V0 S + S A0 Ks is called the This is like a MM equation with: Half-Saturation “constant”. But it varies with: Nutrient Concentration A0 √ Ks = V0 + 2 V0 S A0 Species Temperature This predicts that Ks values (as fit to the MM eqn.) should increase with Affinity & Ks are related: nutrient concentration. Vmax A= Can this explain Ks the observed pattern? A is also called a (Healey. Micrbial Ecol., 1980) S. Lan Smith p. 4 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 5. What do short-term uptake experiments measure? If phytoplankton do not have time to acclimate during expts., Optimal Uptake (OU) kinetics predicts (Smith et al. MEPS, 2009) for apparent values of Michaelis-Menten “constants”: Vmax = √A0Sa/V0 V0 This agrees with observations by Kudela & Dugdale (DSRII 47, 2000), 1 + √A0Sa/V0 but it needs further testing. V0 Sa Ks = √ A0 This agrees with the observed pattern for KNO3 from ship-board expts. (Smith et al. 2009). It’s all based on a physiological trade-off: Sa is ambient nutrient concentration, to which phytoplankton were pre-acclimated before the short-term expts. Low Nutrient Conc.                High Nutrient Conc. S. Lan Smith p. 5 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 6. Combined Effects of T & Nutrient Concentrations Growth rates increase exponentially with T (Eppley. Fish. Bull. 1972; Bissinger et al. L&O 2008). Max. Uptake Rate, Vmax For uptake or growth, Vmax is usually assumed to be independent of nutrient concentration: Temperature Michaelis-Menten (MM) kinetics. However, Optimal Upake (OU) kinetics predicts that Vmax (from short-term expts.) should MM increase hyperbolically with nutrient conc. OU (Smith et al. MEPS 2009). Nutrient Conc. Nutrient Conc. In the ocean, T and Nutrient Conc. are strongly (negatively) correlated. Vmax Field expts. observe the combined (net) effects. Assumptions about Uptake Kinetics impact the interpretation of observations. Temperature S. Lan Smith p. 6 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 7. Correlation of T & [NO3] in the Surface Ocean Negative Correlation in General (e.g., Silio-Calzada et al. Remote Sens. Environ.112, 2008) Up-welling brings cold, nutrient-rich water While phytoplankton grow, nutrients are depleted & at the same time, water is warmed Here for the data of Harrison et al (L&O 1996) *Thanks to G. W. Harrison for providing the complete data set. The regression line was fitted for log [NO3] vs. log T S. Lan Smith p. 7 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 8. Dependence of Uptake Rate, v, on T & Nutrients for maximum uptake rate, Vmax as determined by short-term expts. Assuming Multiplicative Effects This widely-applied equation is Michaelis-Menten (MM) from Goldman and Carpenter -Ea/RT [NO ] (Limnol. Oceanogr. 19, 1974). v = Vmax e 3 Ks + [NO3] Optimal Uptake (OU) v = V0√[NO3]aA0/V0 e a -E /RT [NO3] 1 + √[NO3]aA0/V0 √[NO3]aV0/A0 + [NO3] This ratio determines how Vmax The apparent value of Ks depends on ambient nutrient depends on ambient nutrient concentration, [NO3]a. concentration, before It can be determined separately sampling for expts. from fits to data: Ks vs. [NO3]a. (Smith et al. MEPS, 2009). S. Lan Smith p. 8 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 9. Dependence of Vmax on T & Nutrients for maximum uptake rate, Vmax, as determined by short-term expts, assuming Multiplicative Effects Michaelis-Menten (MM) Optimal Uptake (OU) -Ea/RT √[NO3]aA0/V0 V e-Ea/RT Vmax = V0 e Vmax = 0 1 + √[NO3]aA0/V0 2 parameters were fitted by regression to data sets for Vmax, [NO3]a & T, for each eq., respectively. This ratio was determined separately, from fits to V0 potential maximum of Vmax data for Ks vs. [NO3] as in Ea Energy of Activation Smith et al. (MEPS 2009). S. Lan Smith p. 9 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 10. data of Harrison et al. (L&O 1996) MM OU T- dependent model 100.0 N &T- dependent model 50 Fits of Arrhenius T- using fit of T vs. [NO3] 50.0 only T- dependent model Chl-Specific Max. NO3 Uptake Rate (nmol h-1(μg)-1) dependence, with the Q10 = 1.7 Q10 = 3.4 10 MM- and OU-based as- 5.0 10.0 5.0 sumptions, respectively, for Vmax 1.0 data 1.0 0.5 fits with obs. 0.5 Data: Chl-specific max. T & [NO3] [NO3] uptake rate. 275 285 295 275 285 295 Inferred Q10 is nearly T(K) 100.0 twice as high with the 50 50.0 OU-based assumption. 10 10.0 Residual Square Error: 5.0 5.0 MM OU 9.3 8.5 1.0 T- dependent model 1.0 constant Vmax 0.5 0.5 Fitted values of Ea sig. N &T- dependent model only N- dependent model diff. from 0 for both. 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 10 1 0.1 0.01 0.001 [NO3] (μmol L-1) S. Lan Smith p. 10 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 11. data of Kanda et al. (L&O 1985) MM OU 1.0 1.0 Q10 = 1.5 Q10 = 2.7 Chl-Specific Max. NO3 Uptake Rate (nmol h-1 (μg chl)-1 ) Fits of Arrhenius T- depen- dence, with the MM- and 0.5 0.5 OU-based assumptions, re- spectively, for Vmax Data: Chl-specific max. N &T- dependent model 0.1 0.1 T- dependent model [NO3] uptake rate. using fit of T vs. [NO3] using fit of [NO3] vs. T only T- dependent model Inferred Q10 is nearly 285 290 295 300 285 290 295 300 T(K) twice as high with the OU- 1.0 1.0 based assumption. Residual Square Error: 0.5 0.5 MM OU 0.82 0.34 Fitted values of Ea sig. diff. data 0.1 fits with obs. 0.1 N &T- dependent model from 0 for both. T & [NO3] using fit of T vs. [NO3] only N- dependent model 0.1 0.01 0.001 0.1 0.01 0.001 [NO3] (μmol L-1) S. Lan Smith p. 11 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010
  • 12. Conclusions Optimality-based ideas imply different Interpretations of Observations. Specifically for Combined Effects of T & Concentration on Uptake Estimated Q10’s are 2X greater assuming OU vs. MM kinetics. Caveat: The observed Vmax were Chl-specific Chl:N ratios tend to be greater under nutrient-rich conditions, which should under-estimate N-specific rates at high N (low T) Therefore my analysis probably over-estimates Q10’s for both MM- and OU- kinetics Yet even with biomass-specific Vmax, OU would yield higher Q10’s because of the strong negative correlation of T & [NO3} Significant Uncertainties remain about T-dependence & uptake kinetics We need more controlled experiments & field observations of biomass-specific rates S. Lan Smith p. 12 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Feb. 22-26, 2010