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MULTI-ELEMENT ECOSYSTEM DYNAMICS IN THE SERIES
IRON-ENRICHMENT EXPERIMENT:
COMPARING OPTIMAL UPTAKE KINETICS
TO MICHAELIS-MENTEN
                 1                2                         1
S. Lan Smith , Naoki Yoshie , Yasuhiro Yamanaka
1
    Ecosystem Change Research Program,
    FRCGC, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan
2
    Tohoku National Fisheries Res. Inst., Shiogama, Japan


                                           Outline
                     Introduction to SERIES
                     Model Introduction
                     Brief Review of Nutrient Uptake kinetics
                     Results & Conclusions


S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC                                    AMEMR Symposium, June, 2008
SERIES Expt.            Changes in Growth Rate & Si:N ratio
                                                                                    Fe Stress
Iron-fertilization Expt.                        0.5        (A)

in the NE subarctic Pacific          Specific   0.4
                                     Growth     0.3
                                      Rate      0.2
Takeda et al (2006, DSR II 53)        (d−1)     0.1
modeled it using a modified                     0.0
version of the NEMURO model                                (B)
                                                 1.0

                                    Nutrient 0.8                 [Si(OH)4]

NEMURO assumes fixed ratios                                      [NO3-]

                                   Drawdown 0.6
     e.g., N:Si, C:N
                                 (μmol L−1 d−1) 0.4
They applied two Si:N ratios                     0.2

for diatoms                                      0.0

     Fe-replete:     Si:N = 1      Si: N                   (C)
                                            3.0
     Fe-stress:      Si:N = 3    Drawdown
                                            2.0
                                   Ratio
Switching was based on
                                 (mol: mol) 1.0
degree of Nutrient limitation
                                                0.0
=> Added 2 parameters to NEMURO                        0                  5    10       15      20     25
                                                                              Time (days)

S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                                  ECRP
Si:N Uptake ratios and Iron Fertilization
Iron Fertilization
  Si:N Uptake Rates Decrease because of Faster DIN uptake
      Franck et al. (DSRII 47, 2000), Franck et al. (MEPS 252, 2003)
Iron Limitation
  Even Moderate Iron Stress can Increase Si:N Uptake Ratio,
  e.g., in ship-board expts., Southern Ocean:
  Si:N uptake increased for DFe < 0.5 nM, even though KsFe < 0.2 nM
      Franck et al. (DSRII 47, 2000)
in SERIES
  Around the transition from Iron-replete to Iron-limiting,
   BSi-specific Si Uptake Rate increased &
   Si:N Uptake Ratio increased,
   but NOT because of a decrease in DIN uptake, as in bottle expts.
      Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005)


S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC                           AMEMR Symposium, June, 2008
Variable Composition Ecosystem Model: QeNEMURO


                                DIN        Fe       DSi
                                                           Uptake
PS = non-diatoms                                           Excretion
  N quota only
                                                    PL
                                          PS               Grazing
PL = diatoms
  N, Fe & Si quotas                                        Sloppy
                                                           Feeding
ZS, ZL & ZP
                                          ZS        ZL
  fixed C:N, Fe:N ratios                                   Decay/
  only N biomass calc'd                                    remineralization
                                               ZP
  N-based growth eff.
                                                           Mortality
Similar to the model of Smith
                                                           Egestion
et al. J. Mar. Sys. 64, 2007

                                  Detr.              DOM
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC                                        June, 2008
Nutrient Limitation: Droop's Quota model + Fe-limited α
                                    q0i
   Growth Rate, µ = µinf L min (1 −          )
                                    Qi
                            i
                                                         µ
   Qi is cell quota of nutrient i
                                                     0
      for diatoms: i = N, Si, Fe                               Q
                                                         q0i
   Parameters:
        µinf = Growth Rate at Infinite Cell Quota
        q0i = minimum or quot;subsistencequot; cell quota for nutrient i

   Light Limitation: L = (1 − e−αI / µinf )
                                      q0Fe
      α depends on Fe: α = α0 (1 −          )
                                      QFe
      i.e., iron limitation reduces α,
      similar to Chai et al (GBC 21, 2007), based on iron-fertilization expts.
      (Lindley et al, DSRII 42, 1995; Lindley and Barber, DSRII 45, 1998).
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                       ECRP
Modeling Dissolved Iron

   A fixed time-series of
   dissolved iron was applied,
   as fit to the data by
   Takeda et al (2005).
   Unknown Losses of Fe
                                        0      5      10      15     20     25
   (e.g., scavenging & sinking)                    Time (Days)
   =>
                                     Fig. 3A from Takeda et al (DSRII 53, 2006)
   This is preferable to
   a prognostic equation for iron.




S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                        ECRP
Rate Expressions for Nutrient Uptake
Michaelis-Menten (MM) Equation
                     Vmax S                                     U
Uptake Rate, U(S) = [ K + S ]                                               S
                       s

Affinity-based Equation (Aksnes & Egge, MEPS, 1991)
                 1                       More general
V(S) = [ (A S)−1 + (V )−1 ]              Reduces to MM as a special case
           s         max


Optimal Uptake (OU) Equation (Pahlow, MEPS, 2005)                               Both are
                                                                                mostly protein
Uptake Sites                more sites  => Greater Affinity, A (lower Ks)
                                                                                & contain
Internal Enzymes            more enzymes => Greater Vmax                        lots of N.

                                   fA = fractional allocation
                   Cell
Ion Channels
= Uptake Sites
                                        of internal N:
                                       A = A0 fA
 Nutrient        Internal
                                       Vmax= V0 (1 − fA)
 Ions            Enzymes



                                         Acclimation
    Low Nutrient Conc.                                          High Nutrient Conc.
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                             ECRP
Essence of the SPONGE: Dynamic Physiology for Efficient Nutrient Uptake

Assume a fixed total amount of internal N for Uptake Hardware
   Phytoplankton maximize uptake of the growth-limiting nutrient,
    without reference to concentrations of non-limiting nutrients.
    They allocate N for uptake hardware
    in the same proportion for all nutrients
    based only on the concentration of the growth-limiting nutrient.

  Low Nutrient Concentration                         High Nutrient Concentration
                                    for two
 Uptake Sites                       nutrients,
                       Cell                                     Cell
                                        &    ,
                                    each with
 Nutrient
                                    its own
                      Enzymes
 Ions
                                    set of
                                    uptake sites
                                    & enzymes
 Many uptake sites, few enzymes                    Few uptake sites, many enzymes
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                        ECRP
Simple Phytoplankton Optimal Nutrient Gathering Equations (SPONGE)

 Optimize only for Limiting nutrient, L with conc. SL
     Pahlow's single-nutrient Optimal Uptake Equations:
                                    1                                   1
     VLim =                                               fA =
                              ]−1   + [fAA0, LSL]−1                          1/2
               [(1−fA)V0, L                                      A0, LSL
                                                             (           )         +1
                                                                  V0, L
 for any Non-Limiting Nutrient, n with conc. Sn
                                                                 Vnon = f (Sn, SL)
     => Sub-optimal uptake of Non-limiting nutrients
                              1
     Vnon=                                                fA = same as above
              [(1−fA)V0, n ]−1 + [fAA0, nSn]−1

 NOTE: Limiting Nutrient is determined by the Quota model,
       NOT directly by uptake parameters.



S. Lan Smith, ECRP, FRCGC                                        AMEMR, June, 2008
Reducing the SPONGE to MM Kinetics

 for Limiting nutrient, L with conc. SL
     Pahlow's single-nutrient Optimal Uptake Equations:
                                  1                                  1
                                                          Set fA = constant
     VLim =                                               fA =
               [(1−fA)V0, L ]−1   + [fAA0, LSL]−1              A0, LSL 1/2 + 1
                                                              (             )
                                                           (NO Acclimation)
                                                                 V   0, L
 for any Non-Limiting Nutrient, n with conc. Sn              Vnon = f (Sn, SL)
                                                          Affinity-based kinetics
                                                          with constant params.
                              1                           is the same as above
                                                           f = same as MM.
     Vnon=
              [(1−fA)V0, n ]−1 + [fAA0, nSn]−1              A
                                                          (Aksnes & Egge, 1991)




S. Lan Smith, ECRP, FRCGC                                         AMEMR, June, 2008
1. Two versions of the model: SPONGE & MM uptake kinetics
       Fit each to all data INSIDE Iron-fertilized patch:
    2. Compare fits & modeled material flows, composition

                          Fitting Method
     Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
     as applied by Smith et al. (J. Mar. Sys. 64, 2007), Smith and Yamanaka (L&O 54,
     2007; Ecol. Model., 2007), Hargreaves and Annan (Climate Dynamics 19, 2002)
     + Penalty (added to cost function) for Unrealistic N:C cell quotas > 0.25

                 Parameters Varied (determined by fitting)
          chosen iteratively, based on Assimilations & Sensitivity Analyses
            Growth Rate (at infinite cell quotas)                    1
            Nutrient Uptake Rate Parameters                          9
            Grazing Rate (Zoo grazing diatoms)                       1
                                                        total no.   10

S. Lan Smith, ECRP, FRCGC                                           AMEMR, June, 2008
Comparing Best-fits to IN-Patch Data
 Two versions of the model,                         Fits are very
 identical except for uptake kinetics:              similar.              10
                                                                                            Nitrate
         MM version               SPONGE version
                                                                     µM 5 NH4
  best costs: 44.7                  44.1
                                                                        0
 The model is
                       Specific Growth Rate         Slight
 0-D (Mixed-                                                              15               SiOH4
                            of diatoms              differences
 layer only).                                                             10
                                                    for Growth       µM
 Vertical bars are                                                        5
                                0.4
                                                    Rates.
 Std. Deviations                                                          0
                                0.3
 as assumed
                      (day-1)




                                                    With SPONGE,
 for weights                                                                                    Chl
                                0.2                                       6
                                                    sudden changes
 in the fitting.                                                     µg/L 4
                                                    when limiting
                                0.1
 Data are                                                                 2
                                                    nutrient
 assumed to be                  0.0                                       0
                                                    switches.
 averages over                        0   10   20                              0      10        20
                                                                                           Å@
 the mixed-layer.                     Time (days)                                  Time (Days)
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                             ECRP
Steep, Synchronous Changes
                                                                Specific Growth Rate
                                               Limiting
  Growth Rate & Si:N drawdown ratio                                      N   Fe
                                               Nutrient
  Neither version of the model can reproduce                                       0.4
  the change in Growth Rate.                                                       0.3




                                                               (day-1)
  Both versions reproduce the steep change in Si:N,                                0.2
     through changing the proportion of diatoms.
                                                                                   0.1
     An NPZD model (only diatoms) could NOT.
                                                                                   0.0
     Diatoms as a fraction         MM version
  of total phytoplankton (N)                                                        3
                                   SPONGE version




                                                                  Si:N (mol:mol)
     1.0
     0.8                                                                            2
     0.6
     0.4                                                                            1
     0.2                        Data for drawdown ratio
                                from Takeda et al (1996)
     0.0                                                                            0
                                were corrected for Patch
           0       10    20                                                              0      10   20
                                dilution, but model was not.
               Time (Days)                                                                   Time (days)
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                                       ECRP
Increase in Si Uptake Rate at onset of Iron Limitation

                                                      BSi-Specific Si Uptake Rate
       MM version       SPONGE version
                                           Limiting
                                                                                      N     Fe
                                           Nutrient                         0.3




                                                        mol (mol BSi d)−1
  SPONGE yields an increase
                                                                            0.2
  at the transition to Fe-limiation.
  MM kinetics predicts a decrease.                                          0.1
  Both models overestimate the observed rates,                              0.0
  but SPONGE agrees with the trend.                                         0.3
      Time Means of modeled rates:                                          0.2
      Obs. from Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005)                                  0.1

                                                                            0.0
  Switch from N- to Fe- limitation in models:                                     5        15        25
                                                                                                Å@
                      SPONGE: day 12-13
   MM: day 16-17                                                                      Time (Days)
    Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005) estimated day 12
    from Observations

S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                              ECRP
C-specific Rates of Nutrient Uptake (per mol C biomass)
                                           Limiting                                      N        Fe
       MM version       SPONGE version
                                           Nutrient                            60




                                                           µmol (mol C d)−1
  Compared to Michaelis-Menten,
                                                                               40
  SPONGE takes up




                                                      Fe
                                                                               20
     growth-limiting nutrient faster
                                                                                0
     non-limiting nutrients slower
                                                                              0.10
     Uptake rates of ALL nutrients depend                                     0.08
     on the conc. of growth-limiting nutrient.                                0.06




                                                      N
                                                           mol (mol C d)−1
                                                                              0.04
    Si uptake rates change sharply, even                                      0.02
    though it never becomes growth-limiting.                                   0.0
                                                                               0.6
                                                                               0.4
  Switch from N- to Fe- limitation in models:




                                                      Si
                                                                               0.2
                      SPONGE: day 12-13
   MM: day 16-17
                                                                               0.0
    Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005) estimated day 12
                                                                                     0       10        20
                                                                                                  Å@
    from Observations
                                                                                     Time (Days)

S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                                    ECRP
Modeled Cell Quotas of Nutrients for Diatoms
                                             Limiting                                     N        Fe
       MM version        SPONGE version
                                             Nutrient                         120




                                                               nmol (mol)−1
  MM kinetics predicts a much higher                                           80




                                                        Fe:C
  peak Fe : C ratio.                                                           40
  SPONGE suppresses uptake of                                                    0
  non-limiting nutrients.                                                     0.25




                                                               µmol (mol)−1
  (Smith & Yamanaka, L&O 52, 2007)




                                                        N:C
                                                                              0.15
  Differences in N : C ratio of diatoms
                                                                              0.05
  cause differences in Zooplankton biomass:                                    0.0
     food quality effect




                                                               µmol (mol)−1
                                                                               2.0
     Mitra et al. (L&O 52, 2007)                                               1.5




                                                        Si:C
  Grazing is based on C biomass                                                1.0
                                                                               0.5
  of prey as suggested by Mitra et al. (L&O 52, 2007)
                                                                               0.0
                                                                                     0        10        20
                                                                                                   Å@
                                                                                         Time (Days)
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                                     ECRP
Modeled Biomass of Zooplankton

       MM version     SPONGE version                             0.12




                                                    µmol N L−1
                                                                 0.08
   Great Differences in Small and Large Zoo.                                 ZS
                                                                 0.04
    ZL are the main grazers of diatoms.
                                                                 0.0
    ZP also graze diatoms.
                                                                  0.5




                                                    µmol N L−1
                                                                             ZL
                                                                  0.4
   Results from different N : C quotas of diatoms                 0.3
   with SPONGE vs. OU kinetics.                                   0.2
                                                                  0.1
                                                                  0.0

                                                                 0.04




                                                    µmol N L−1
                                                                 0.03
                                                                             ZP
                                                                 0.02
                                                                 0.01
                                                                 0.0
                                                                        0   10        20
                                                                                 Å@

                                                                        Time (Days)

S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                   ECRP
Conclusions
The model reproduces the steep change in Si:N drawdown ratio
mostly through changing the proportion of diatoms.
  using either MM or SPONGE utpake kinetics,
  even without an increase in Si:N uptake ratio (MM version).
  Takada et al (2006) did say this quot;floristic shift could not be ruled outquot;.
SPONGE yields different dynamics than MM:
  Sharp changes in uptake rates when the limiting nutrient changes,
     Si uptake Rate increases, which agrees with observations,
        (whereas MM does not).
     Sudden, yet small, changes in Growth Rates.
  Large Differences in phy. cell quotas & Zooplankton Biomass.
Yet neither version of the model can reproduce the steep
change in Growth Rate.
  A Simpler NPZDD-quota model could not, either.
  So, what is missing ? ... other energetic requirments (e.g., for Chl) ?
S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC                     AMEMR Symposium, June, 2008
Modeled Rates of Nutrient Uptake by Diatoms (per L water)

                                                                                  25




                                                              10−12 mol L−1 d−1
                                           Steep Changes
              MM version                                                                    Fe
              SPONGE version               with SPONGE
                                                                                  15
                                           because of
                                           optimization                            5
                                                                                   0
                                           with respect to
                                           growth-limiting
                                                                                  0.3       N
                                           nutrient,
                                                                                  0.2
                    Si : N Uptake Ratio
                                           which cause
                         of diatoms                                               0.1




                                                              µmol L−1 d−1
                                           steep changes
                                                                                  0.0
                    15                     in Uptake Ratio.
        (mol:mol)




                                                                                            Si
                                                                                  1.5
                    10
                                                                                  1.0
                     5
                                                                                  0.5
                     0                                                            0.0
                                                                                        0        10        20
                         0      10    20                                                              Å@

                             Time (days)                                                    Time (Days)

S. Lan Smith, FRCGC                                                                                        ECRP

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Presented at AMEMR 2008, Plymouth, UK

  • 1. MULTI-ELEMENT ECOSYSTEM DYNAMICS IN THE SERIES IRON-ENRICHMENT EXPERIMENT: COMPARING OPTIMAL UPTAKE KINETICS TO MICHAELIS-MENTEN 1 2 1 S. Lan Smith , Naoki Yoshie , Yasuhiro Yamanaka 1 Ecosystem Change Research Program, FRCGC, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan 2 Tohoku National Fisheries Res. Inst., Shiogama, Japan Outline Introduction to SERIES Model Introduction Brief Review of Nutrient Uptake kinetics Results & Conclusions S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC AMEMR Symposium, June, 2008
  • 2. SERIES Expt. Changes in Growth Rate & Si:N ratio Fe Stress Iron-fertilization Expt. 0.5 (A) in the NE subarctic Pacific Specific 0.4 Growth 0.3 Rate 0.2 Takeda et al (2006, DSR II 53) (d−1) 0.1 modeled it using a modified 0.0 version of the NEMURO model (B) 1.0 Nutrient 0.8 [Si(OH)4] NEMURO assumes fixed ratios [NO3-] Drawdown 0.6 e.g., N:Si, C:N (μmol L−1 d−1) 0.4 They applied two Si:N ratios 0.2 for diatoms 0.0 Fe-replete: Si:N = 1 Si: N (C) 3.0 Fe-stress: Si:N = 3 Drawdown 2.0 Ratio Switching was based on (mol: mol) 1.0 degree of Nutrient limitation 0.0 => Added 2 parameters to NEMURO 0 5 10 15 20 25 Time (days) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 3. Si:N Uptake ratios and Iron Fertilization Iron Fertilization Si:N Uptake Rates Decrease because of Faster DIN uptake Franck et al. (DSRII 47, 2000), Franck et al. (MEPS 252, 2003) Iron Limitation Even Moderate Iron Stress can Increase Si:N Uptake Ratio, e.g., in ship-board expts., Southern Ocean: Si:N uptake increased for DFe < 0.5 nM, even though KsFe < 0.2 nM Franck et al. (DSRII 47, 2000) in SERIES Around the transition from Iron-replete to Iron-limiting, BSi-specific Si Uptake Rate increased & Si:N Uptake Ratio increased, but NOT because of a decrease in DIN uptake, as in bottle expts. Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC AMEMR Symposium, June, 2008
  • 4. Variable Composition Ecosystem Model: QeNEMURO DIN Fe DSi Uptake PS = non-diatoms Excretion N quota only PL PS Grazing PL = diatoms N, Fe & Si quotas Sloppy Feeding ZS, ZL & ZP ZS ZL fixed C:N, Fe:N ratios Decay/ only N biomass calc'd remineralization ZP N-based growth eff. Mortality Similar to the model of Smith Egestion et al. J. Mar. Sys. 64, 2007 Detr. DOM S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC June, 2008
  • 5. Nutrient Limitation: Droop's Quota model + Fe-limited α q0i Growth Rate, µ = µinf L min (1 − ) Qi i µ Qi is cell quota of nutrient i 0 for diatoms: i = N, Si, Fe Q q0i Parameters: µinf = Growth Rate at Infinite Cell Quota q0i = minimum or quot;subsistencequot; cell quota for nutrient i Light Limitation: L = (1 − e−αI / µinf ) q0Fe α depends on Fe: α = α0 (1 − ) QFe i.e., iron limitation reduces α, similar to Chai et al (GBC 21, 2007), based on iron-fertilization expts. (Lindley et al, DSRII 42, 1995; Lindley and Barber, DSRII 45, 1998). S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 6. Modeling Dissolved Iron A fixed time-series of dissolved iron was applied, as fit to the data by Takeda et al (2005). Unknown Losses of Fe 0 5 10 15 20 25 (e.g., scavenging & sinking) Time (Days) => Fig. 3A from Takeda et al (DSRII 53, 2006) This is preferable to a prognostic equation for iron. S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 7. Rate Expressions for Nutrient Uptake Michaelis-Menten (MM) Equation Vmax S U Uptake Rate, U(S) = [ K + S ] S s Affinity-based Equation (Aksnes & Egge, MEPS, 1991) 1 More general V(S) = [ (A S)−1 + (V )−1 ] Reduces to MM as a special case s max Optimal Uptake (OU) Equation (Pahlow, MEPS, 2005) Both are mostly protein Uptake Sites more sites => Greater Affinity, A (lower Ks) & contain Internal Enzymes more enzymes => Greater Vmax lots of N. fA = fractional allocation Cell Ion Channels = Uptake Sites of internal N: A = A0 fA Nutrient Internal Vmax= V0 (1 − fA) Ions Enzymes Acclimation Low Nutrient Conc. High Nutrient Conc. S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 8. Essence of the SPONGE: Dynamic Physiology for Efficient Nutrient Uptake Assume a fixed total amount of internal N for Uptake Hardware Phytoplankton maximize uptake of the growth-limiting nutrient, without reference to concentrations of non-limiting nutrients. They allocate N for uptake hardware in the same proportion for all nutrients based only on the concentration of the growth-limiting nutrient. Low Nutrient Concentration High Nutrient Concentration for two Uptake Sites nutrients, Cell Cell & , each with Nutrient its own Enzymes Ions set of uptake sites & enzymes Many uptake sites, few enzymes Few uptake sites, many enzymes S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 9. Simple Phytoplankton Optimal Nutrient Gathering Equations (SPONGE) Optimize only for Limiting nutrient, L with conc. SL Pahlow's single-nutrient Optimal Uptake Equations: 1 1 VLim = fA = ]−1 + [fAA0, LSL]−1 1/2 [(1−fA)V0, L A0, LSL ( ) +1 V0, L for any Non-Limiting Nutrient, n with conc. Sn Vnon = f (Sn, SL) => Sub-optimal uptake of Non-limiting nutrients 1 Vnon= fA = same as above [(1−fA)V0, n ]−1 + [fAA0, nSn]−1 NOTE: Limiting Nutrient is determined by the Quota model, NOT directly by uptake parameters. S. Lan Smith, ECRP, FRCGC AMEMR, June, 2008
  • 10. Reducing the SPONGE to MM Kinetics for Limiting nutrient, L with conc. SL Pahlow's single-nutrient Optimal Uptake Equations: 1 1 Set fA = constant VLim = fA = [(1−fA)V0, L ]−1 + [fAA0, LSL]−1 A0, LSL 1/2 + 1 ( ) (NO Acclimation) V 0, L for any Non-Limiting Nutrient, n with conc. Sn Vnon = f (Sn, SL) Affinity-based kinetics with constant params. 1 is the same as above f = same as MM. Vnon= [(1−fA)V0, n ]−1 + [fAA0, nSn]−1 A (Aksnes & Egge, 1991) S. Lan Smith, ECRP, FRCGC AMEMR, June, 2008
  • 11. 1. Two versions of the model: SPONGE & MM uptake kinetics Fit each to all data INSIDE Iron-fertilized patch: 2. Compare fits & modeled material flows, composition Fitting Method Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) as applied by Smith et al. (J. Mar. Sys. 64, 2007), Smith and Yamanaka (L&O 54, 2007; Ecol. Model., 2007), Hargreaves and Annan (Climate Dynamics 19, 2002) + Penalty (added to cost function) for Unrealistic N:C cell quotas > 0.25 Parameters Varied (determined by fitting) chosen iteratively, based on Assimilations & Sensitivity Analyses Growth Rate (at infinite cell quotas) 1 Nutrient Uptake Rate Parameters 9 Grazing Rate (Zoo grazing diatoms) 1 total no. 10 S. Lan Smith, ECRP, FRCGC AMEMR, June, 2008
  • 12. Comparing Best-fits to IN-Patch Data Two versions of the model, Fits are very identical except for uptake kinetics: similar. 10 Nitrate MM version SPONGE version µM 5 NH4 best costs: 44.7 44.1 0 The model is Specific Growth Rate Slight 0-D (Mixed- 15 SiOH4 of diatoms differences layer only). 10 for Growth µM Vertical bars are 5 0.4 Rates. Std. Deviations 0 0.3 as assumed (day-1) With SPONGE, for weights Chl 0.2 6 sudden changes in the fitting. µg/L 4 when limiting 0.1 Data are 2 nutrient assumed to be 0.0 0 switches. averages over 0 10 20 0 10 20 Å@ the mixed-layer. Time (days) Time (Days) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 13. Steep, Synchronous Changes Specific Growth Rate Limiting Growth Rate & Si:N drawdown ratio N Fe Nutrient Neither version of the model can reproduce 0.4 the change in Growth Rate. 0.3 (day-1) Both versions reproduce the steep change in Si:N, 0.2 through changing the proportion of diatoms. 0.1 An NPZD model (only diatoms) could NOT. 0.0 Diatoms as a fraction MM version of total phytoplankton (N) 3 SPONGE version Si:N (mol:mol) 1.0 0.8 2 0.6 0.4 1 0.2 Data for drawdown ratio from Takeda et al (1996) 0.0 0 were corrected for Patch 0 10 20 0 10 20 dilution, but model was not. Time (Days) Time (days) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 14. Increase in Si Uptake Rate at onset of Iron Limitation BSi-Specific Si Uptake Rate MM version SPONGE version Limiting N Fe Nutrient 0.3 mol (mol BSi d)−1 SPONGE yields an increase 0.2 at the transition to Fe-limiation. MM kinetics predicts a decrease. 0.1 Both models overestimate the observed rates, 0.0 but SPONGE agrees with the trend. 0.3 Time Means of modeled rates: 0.2 Obs. from Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005) 0.1 0.0 Switch from N- to Fe- limitation in models: 5 15 25 Å@ SPONGE: day 12-13 MM: day 16-17 Time (Days) Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005) estimated day 12 from Observations S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 15. C-specific Rates of Nutrient Uptake (per mol C biomass) Limiting N Fe MM version SPONGE version Nutrient 60 µmol (mol C d)−1 Compared to Michaelis-Menten, 40 SPONGE takes up Fe 20 growth-limiting nutrient faster 0 non-limiting nutrients slower 0.10 Uptake rates of ALL nutrients depend 0.08 on the conc. of growth-limiting nutrient. 0.06 N mol (mol C d)−1 0.04 Si uptake rates change sharply, even 0.02 though it never becomes growth-limiting. 0.0 0.6 0.4 Switch from N- to Fe- limitation in models: Si 0.2 SPONGE: day 12-13 MM: day 16-17 0.0 Boyd et al. (L&O 50, 2005) estimated day 12 0 10 20 Å@ from Observations Time (Days) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 16. Modeled Cell Quotas of Nutrients for Diatoms Limiting N Fe MM version SPONGE version Nutrient 120 nmol (mol)−1 MM kinetics predicts a much higher 80 Fe:C peak Fe : C ratio. 40 SPONGE suppresses uptake of 0 non-limiting nutrients. 0.25 µmol (mol)−1 (Smith & Yamanaka, L&O 52, 2007) N:C 0.15 Differences in N : C ratio of diatoms 0.05 cause differences in Zooplankton biomass: 0.0 food quality effect µmol (mol)−1 2.0 Mitra et al. (L&O 52, 2007) 1.5 Si:C Grazing is based on C biomass 1.0 0.5 of prey as suggested by Mitra et al. (L&O 52, 2007) 0.0 0 10 20 Å@ Time (Days) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 17. Modeled Biomass of Zooplankton MM version SPONGE version 0.12 µmol N L−1 0.08 Great Differences in Small and Large Zoo. ZS 0.04 ZL are the main grazers of diatoms. 0.0 ZP also graze diatoms. 0.5 µmol N L−1 ZL 0.4 Results from different N : C quotas of diatoms 0.3 with SPONGE vs. OU kinetics. 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.04 µmol N L−1 0.03 ZP 0.02 0.01 0.0 0 10 20 Å@ Time (Days) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP
  • 18. Conclusions The model reproduces the steep change in Si:N drawdown ratio mostly through changing the proportion of diatoms. using either MM or SPONGE utpake kinetics, even without an increase in Si:N uptake ratio (MM version). Takada et al (2006) did say this quot;floristic shift could not be ruled outquot;. SPONGE yields different dynamics than MM: Sharp changes in uptake rates when the limiting nutrient changes, Si uptake Rate increases, which agrees with observations, (whereas MM does not). Sudden, yet small, changes in Growth Rates. Large Differences in phy. cell quotas & Zooplankton Biomass. Yet neither version of the model can reproduce the steep change in Growth Rate. A Simpler NPZDD-quota model could not, either. So, what is missing ? ... other energetic requirments (e.g., for Chl) ? S. Lan Smith, FRCGC, JAMSTEC AMEMR Symposium, June, 2008
  • 19. Modeled Rates of Nutrient Uptake by Diatoms (per L water) 25 10−12 mol L−1 d−1 Steep Changes MM version Fe SPONGE version with SPONGE 15 because of optimization 5 0 with respect to growth-limiting 0.3 N nutrient, 0.2 Si : N Uptake Ratio which cause of diatoms 0.1 µmol L−1 d−1 steep changes 0.0 15 in Uptake Ratio. (mol:mol) Si 1.5 10 1.0 5 0.5 0 0.0 0 10 20 0 10 20 Å@ Time (days) Time (Days) S. Lan Smith, FRCGC ECRP