2. Compelling Valuation
Strong Growth Drivers
Market leader in Tower Industry
Robust Business Model
Highlights
American Tower is Poised for
Steady Long-Term Growth
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
BUY
Current Price:
$112.63
(As of 9/28/2016)
Target Price:
$132.58
Upside:
+17.7%
3. • One of largest Wireless Communications and Broadcast
Operator
• Over 144,000 towers globally
• 700+ Distributed Antenna Services (DAS)
• Business segments:
• Global rental & management
• Network development services
Business Description
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
8. Industry Overview
Porter’s Five Forces
Degree of Rivalry – MODERATELY HIGH
New Entrants – LOW
Substitutes – LOW
Supplier Power – LOW
Buyer Power - MODERATE
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
0
1
2
3
4
5
Degree of Rivalry
New Entrants
SubstitutesSupplier Power
Buyer Power
9. Industry Overview
SWOT Analysis
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
•
Strengths Weaknesses
• Global presence
• Recurring revenue model
• Large asset base
• Client base
• Inability to control demand
Opportunities Threats
• Smartphone and data demand
• 5G
• Increasing telecom
investments
• Spectrum availability
• Mergers
• New technologies could impact
demand
10. Growth/Demand Drivers
• Increasing mobile data traffic:
• 3G/4G deployment & enhancements
• 50% market share through 2025
• 5G roadmap
• Expanding global presence:
• Verizon acquisition
• India tower acquisition
• September REIT split
$1,426
$4,680
07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Total Property Revenue
($ in Millions)
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
11. Growth/Demand Drivers
• Consistent U.S. demand
• 13% CAGR
• Low churn rate (1-2%)
• Strong international
growth
• 24% CAGR
19,606
40,089
$890 $965 $1,041
$1,178
$1,314
$1,497
$1,680
$1,999
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
U.S. Property Operating Profit($ in Millions)
Operating Profit Tower Count
~2.4 Tenants per Tower ~2.2 Tenants per Tower
$2,340
International Property Operating Profit ($ in Millions)
Operating Profit Tower Count
$140 $166 $172
$217
$338
$705
$574
$453
$805
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
3,201
60,042
~1.8 Tenants per Tower ~1.6 Tenants per Tower
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
13. Investments Thesis
• Market leader in the tower industry space
• Acquisitions create greater economies of scale
• Increase deployment 3G/4G networks across the world
• Introduction of 5G network is a huge growth catalyst
• Healthy cash flow provides room for dividend growth
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
14. Investment Risks
• A network carrier merger would affect revenues
• Reduction in CapEx spending by carriers
• Acquisition integration risk
• Rise in interest rates adversely affects the REIT sector
• Loss in Credit Rating
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
16. Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Assumptions:
• Projected High Growth Rate of 8%
• Terminal growth of 4%
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
WACC:6.18%
DCF (50%):
$131.16
17. Relative Valuation
Assumptions (next year):
• Adjusted FFO: $6.45 (High CapEx by AMT)
• FFO: $3.30
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
Multiples (50%):
$134.01
18. Compelling Valuation
Strong Growth Drivers
Market leader in Tower Industry
Robust Business Model
Highlights
BUY
Introduction
Company
Overview
Industry
Overview
Investment
Thesis Valuation Summary
American Tower is Poised for
Steady Long-Term Growth
Current Price:
$112.63
(As of 9/28/2016)
Target Price:
$132.58
Upside:
+17.7%