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INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING
F I N A N C I N G T H E D E V E L O P M E N T O F L E B A N O N ' S P OW E R S E C TO R
CONTENT
1. Lebanon at a glance
2. The Problem/The Facts
3. The Solution
4. Traditional infrastructure financing
5. Innovative infrastructure financing/ SWFs/ Diaspora Bonds
6. Conclusion
7. References
8. About
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 2
“Goal 7: Ensure access to affordable,reliable,sustainable and
modern energy for all.”
- Sustainable Development Goals
LEBANON AT A GLANCE
 Income level: Upper middle income
 GNI per capita, 2014: $9,800
 Inflation rate, 2014: 0.7 percent
 GDP growth, 2014: 2 percent
 Development aid, 2015: $539 million
 Public debt, 2014: 143 percent of GDP
3DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
TheWorldBank
THE PROBLEM (1)
 “The Lebanese electricity sector is at the heart of a deep crisis.
 The sector is unable to supply the reliable electricity needed by homes, offices and industry.
 It is a massive drain on government finances, crowding out more valuable expenditures on education,
infrastructure,social protection, and health, and putting macroeconomic stability at risk.”
- TheWorld Bank, 2008
4DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
THE PROBLEM (II)
 “(Lebanon) barely generates enough electricity to keep street lamps on
at night. (...)
 In the financial and political hub of Beirut, there are daily three-hour
power outages
 while in some areas of the country mains electricity is available only a
few hours a day. (...)
 Lebanese households spent on average $1,300 on electricity in 2013,two
thirds on generators, in a country where the gross national income per
capita is $9,800,according to the latestWorld Bank estimates.”
- Reuters, 2015
5DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
nextcity.org
THE FACTS
 Energy is generated by state-owned Electricité du Liban (EdL)
 EdL has a power supply capacity of 2,000 MW
 Peak demand exceeds 3,000 MW
 Electricity tariffs have not been changed since 1996
 EdL accounts for 40 percent of Lebanon's debt
 Lebanon's public debt-to-GDP ratio reached 143 percent in 2014
 Energy is cited by private firms as the 2nd most important obstacle
- TheWorld Bank, 2015
6DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
crwflags.com
THE SOLUTION
 Overcoming political paralysis
 Tariff reforms
 Corporatization of EdL
 Increased investment in new power plants
- TheWorld Bank, 2015
7DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
Courtesyoftheauthor
TRADITIONAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCING
 The Lebanese government has endorsed an action plan to
reform the power sector and commissioned Butec Utility
Services (BUS) to upgrade the power grids in North Lebanon.
 MIGA, part of theWorld Bank Group, is helping bring down
the risk profile of BUS investment, issuing guarantees of $35.5
million.
- TheWorld Bank, 2014
8DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
ButecUtilityServices
INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCING (I)
 Innovative development financing is a global trend that builds on
 (1) the realization that doing business and doing good are intertwined
 (II) the private sector can mobilize much of the resources and the know-how needed to finance
large infrastructure projects
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 9
crwflags.com
INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCING (II)
 In Lebanon, it was planned in 2010 to
 install 4,000 MW for the national grid
 at a cost of $4.87 billion
 with the following financing model:
 Lebanese government $1.55 billion 32 %
 the private sector $2.32 billion 48 %
 Official development assistance (ODA) $1.00 billion 20 %
- Source: Ministry of Energy andWater, 2010
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 10
crwflags.com
INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCING (III)
 Due to the outbreak of the war in Syria and regional turmoil
 as well as an internal political paralysis and
 a struggling economy,
 the project will take more time if it ever succeeds.
 Two innovative tools can be employed to attract more capital
 (1) Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs)
 (II) Diaspora bonds
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 11
crwflags.com
SOVEREIGNWEALTH FUNDS (SWFs)
 SWFs from Gulf countries (GCC) are among the largest in the world
 GCC-based SWFs usually seek investments in projects worth $1 billion and more
 $1 billion would already secure 43% of the private sector’s share
 This investment would make it easier for all stakeholders to mobilize the total amount
 The realization of the project would reverse declining FDI in the MENA region
 A key obstacle to mobilizing GCC-based SWFs is their preference for equity
 This could be addressed by the corporatization of the EdL or the liberalization of the energy
sector
 Further readings: European Investment Bank, 2012.
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 12
crwflags.com
DIASPORA BONDS
 Lebanon has 4 million inhabitants
 The diaspora is estimated to number between 8 and 14 million
 Remittances 2014 are estimated to reach $7.7 billion
 This equals 17% of Lebanon's GDP
 Lebanon is known for its professional banking sector
 The issuance of diaspora bonds could ensure obtaining resources
 The government strategy needs to (1) secure basic needs of its citizens to (II) channel
remittances in investment and (III) use the investment to curb the losses incurred by EdL
 Further readings: al-Monitor, 2014.
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 13
crwflags.com
CONCLUSION
 Lebanon faces a severe energy crisis
 Lebanon needs to finance the development of its energy sector
 Although reforms remain key, financing is an obstacle
 A mix of public and private investment as well as ODA is planned
 SWFs, mainly from Arab GCC countries, can become a source of development
 Diaspora bonds could form a significant resource for development financing
 However, for the potential to be unleashed, an end of the political paralysis is needed
 Increased accountability and transparency would increase overall FDI and accelerate processes
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 14
REFERENCES
 Al-Monitor, 2014. Remittances key for Lebanon’s economy. http://www.al-
monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/11/lebanon-expatriate-remittances-boost-economy.html
 European Investment Bank, 2012. Mobilizing the potential of GCC SovereignWealth Funds for the Mediterranean Partner
Countries. http://www.eib.org/attachments/country/femip_study_potential_of_gcc_sovereign_wealth_funds_en.pdf
 Ministry of Energy andWater, 2010. Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector.
http://www.energyandwater.gov.lb/pages.asp?Page_ID=59
 Reuters, 2015. No light at end of tunnel for Lebanon's power crisis. http://www.reuters.com/article/lebanon-
electricity-idUSL8N12J1T120151026
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 15
REFERENCES
 World Bank, 2008. Lebanon - Electricity Sector Public Expenditure Review. Washington, DC; World Bank.
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/7990
 World Bank, 2014. World Bank Group Steps up to HelpTransform Lebanon’s Power Sector.
http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2014/06/11/world-bank-group-steps-up-to-help-transform-lebanon-
power-sector
 World Bank, 2015. Lebanon - Promoting poverty reduction and shared prosperity: A systematic country diagnostic.
Washington, DC; World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24663519/lebanon-
promoting-poverty-reduction-shared-prosperity-systematic-country-diagnostic
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 16
ABOUT
 Final Project for the MOOC “Financing for Development”
 Task “to translate course concepts into simple or actionable ideas,
in a style that could be understood by laypeople
in their community of practice or influence.”
 Topic “a proposed financing solution to a development problem
you are aware of in your professional or community context.”
 Target audience Policy makers and general public
 Author Jonas Feller
 Submitted December 2015
 TheWorld Bank @ Coursera https://www.coursera.org/course/fin4devmooc
17DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
THANKYOU
DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 18
Beirutatnight.Courtesyoftheauthor

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Financing the development of Lebanon's power sector

  • 1. INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING F I N A N C I N G T H E D E V E L O P M E N T O F L E B A N O N ' S P OW E R S E C TO R
  • 2. CONTENT 1. Lebanon at a glance 2. The Problem/The Facts 3. The Solution 4. Traditional infrastructure financing 5. Innovative infrastructure financing/ SWFs/ Diaspora Bonds 6. Conclusion 7. References 8. About DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 2 “Goal 7: Ensure access to affordable,reliable,sustainable and modern energy for all.” - Sustainable Development Goals
  • 3. LEBANON AT A GLANCE  Income level: Upper middle income  GNI per capita, 2014: $9,800  Inflation rate, 2014: 0.7 percent  GDP growth, 2014: 2 percent  Development aid, 2015: $539 million  Public debt, 2014: 143 percent of GDP 3DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) TheWorldBank
  • 4. THE PROBLEM (1)  “The Lebanese electricity sector is at the heart of a deep crisis.  The sector is unable to supply the reliable electricity needed by homes, offices and industry.  It is a massive drain on government finances, crowding out more valuable expenditures on education, infrastructure,social protection, and health, and putting macroeconomic stability at risk.” - TheWorld Bank, 2008 4DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
  • 5. THE PROBLEM (II)  “(Lebanon) barely generates enough electricity to keep street lamps on at night. (...)  In the financial and political hub of Beirut, there are daily three-hour power outages  while in some areas of the country mains electricity is available only a few hours a day. (...)  Lebanese households spent on average $1,300 on electricity in 2013,two thirds on generators, in a country where the gross national income per capita is $9,800,according to the latestWorld Bank estimates.” - Reuters, 2015 5DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) nextcity.org
  • 6. THE FACTS  Energy is generated by state-owned Electricité du Liban (EdL)  EdL has a power supply capacity of 2,000 MW  Peak demand exceeds 3,000 MW  Electricity tariffs have not been changed since 1996  EdL accounts for 40 percent of Lebanon's debt  Lebanon's public debt-to-GDP ratio reached 143 percent in 2014  Energy is cited by private firms as the 2nd most important obstacle - TheWorld Bank, 2015 6DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) crwflags.com
  • 7. THE SOLUTION  Overcoming political paralysis  Tariff reforms  Corporatization of EdL  Increased investment in new power plants - TheWorld Bank, 2015 7DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) Courtesyoftheauthor
  • 8. TRADITIONAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCING  The Lebanese government has endorsed an action plan to reform the power sector and commissioned Butec Utility Services (BUS) to upgrade the power grids in North Lebanon.  MIGA, part of theWorld Bank Group, is helping bring down the risk profile of BUS investment, issuing guarantees of $35.5 million. - TheWorld Bank, 2014 8DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) ButecUtilityServices
  • 9. INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCING (I)  Innovative development financing is a global trend that builds on  (1) the realization that doing business and doing good are intertwined  (II) the private sector can mobilize much of the resources and the know-how needed to finance large infrastructure projects DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 9 crwflags.com
  • 10. INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCING (II)  In Lebanon, it was planned in 2010 to  install 4,000 MW for the national grid  at a cost of $4.87 billion  with the following financing model:  Lebanese government $1.55 billion 32 %  the private sector $2.32 billion 48 %  Official development assistance (ODA) $1.00 billion 20 % - Source: Ministry of Energy andWater, 2010 DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 10 crwflags.com
  • 11. INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT FINANCING (III)  Due to the outbreak of the war in Syria and regional turmoil  as well as an internal political paralysis and  a struggling economy,  the project will take more time if it ever succeeds.  Two innovative tools can be employed to attract more capital  (1) Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs)  (II) Diaspora bonds DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 11 crwflags.com
  • 12. SOVEREIGNWEALTH FUNDS (SWFs)  SWFs from Gulf countries (GCC) are among the largest in the world  GCC-based SWFs usually seek investments in projects worth $1 billion and more  $1 billion would already secure 43% of the private sector’s share  This investment would make it easier for all stakeholders to mobilize the total amount  The realization of the project would reverse declining FDI in the MENA region  A key obstacle to mobilizing GCC-based SWFs is their preference for equity  This could be addressed by the corporatization of the EdL or the liberalization of the energy sector  Further readings: European Investment Bank, 2012. DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 12 crwflags.com
  • 13. DIASPORA BONDS  Lebanon has 4 million inhabitants  The diaspora is estimated to number between 8 and 14 million  Remittances 2014 are estimated to reach $7.7 billion  This equals 17% of Lebanon's GDP  Lebanon is known for its professional banking sector  The issuance of diaspora bonds could ensure obtaining resources  The government strategy needs to (1) secure basic needs of its citizens to (II) channel remittances in investment and (III) use the investment to curb the losses incurred by EdL  Further readings: al-Monitor, 2014. DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 13 crwflags.com
  • 14. CONCLUSION  Lebanon faces a severe energy crisis  Lebanon needs to finance the development of its energy sector  Although reforms remain key, financing is an obstacle  A mix of public and private investment as well as ODA is planned  SWFs, mainly from Arab GCC countries, can become a source of development  Diaspora bonds could form a significant resource for development financing  However, for the potential to be unleashed, an end of the political paralysis is needed  Increased accountability and transparency would increase overall FDI and accelerate processes DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 14
  • 15. REFERENCES  Al-Monitor, 2014. Remittances key for Lebanon’s economy. http://www.al- monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/11/lebanon-expatriate-remittances-boost-economy.html  European Investment Bank, 2012. Mobilizing the potential of GCC SovereignWealth Funds for the Mediterranean Partner Countries. http://www.eib.org/attachments/country/femip_study_potential_of_gcc_sovereign_wealth_funds_en.pdf  Ministry of Energy andWater, 2010. Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector. http://www.energyandwater.gov.lb/pages.asp?Page_ID=59  Reuters, 2015. No light at end of tunnel for Lebanon's power crisis. http://www.reuters.com/article/lebanon- electricity-idUSL8N12J1T120151026 DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 15
  • 16. REFERENCES  World Bank, 2008. Lebanon - Electricity Sector Public Expenditure Review. Washington, DC; World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/7990  World Bank, 2014. World Bank Group Steps up to HelpTransform Lebanon’s Power Sector. http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2014/06/11/world-bank-group-steps-up-to-help-transform-lebanon- power-sector  World Bank, 2015. Lebanon - Promoting poverty reduction and shared prosperity: A systematic country diagnostic. Washington, DC; World Bank Group. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/06/24663519/lebanon- promoting-poverty-reduction-shared-prosperity-systematic-country-diagnostic DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 16
  • 17. ABOUT  Final Project for the MOOC “Financing for Development”  Task “to translate course concepts into simple or actionable ideas, in a style that could be understood by laypeople in their community of practice or influence.”  Topic “a proposed financing solution to a development problem you are aware of in your professional or community context.”  Target audience Policy makers and general public  Author Jonas Feller  Submitted December 2015  TheWorld Bank @ Coursera https://www.coursera.org/course/fin4devmooc 17DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015)
  • 18. THANKYOU DEVELOPING LEBANON'S ENERGY SECTOR (2015) 18 Beirutatnight.Courtesyoftheauthor