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MERCER CAPITAL
www.mercercapital.com
Jeff K. Davis, CFA
February 6, 2020
The Market Will Pay You For
Low-Cost Deposit Growth
Deposit Mastery Summit
jeffdavis@mercercapital.com
(615) 345-0350
1
Core deposits – not book value –
drive your institution’s franchise
value
2The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Know Your Deposit Demographics
Demographics of depositors
Concentrations
Other product ties to the bank
What happens to large deposits when?
• The depositor passes?
• The business is sold?
3The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Why Acquire?
Results of Acquire or be Acquired Conference 2019 and 2020 bank executive and director poll
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Core
Deposits
Market Culture Lending
Talent
Mng't
Talent
Loan
Growth
2019 AOBA Survey
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Scale Core
Deposits
Increase
Profits
Market Share
Gain
Growth
2020 AOBA Survey
4The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Core Deposit Framework
What matters?
5
Rate paid
Alternative funding rate
Deposit retention rate
Fees generated
Cost to service
Gross
Deposit Account Type Balance Current + 0.25 bps - 0.25 bps
NIB Demand Deposits $27,225,059 2.39% 2.59% 2.05%
Interest-Bearing Demand 19,386,292 1.70% 1.87% 1.02%
Money Market Deposits 22,064,356 1.38% 1.63% 1.12%
Savings Deposits 10,292,343 3.60% 4.31% 2.90%
IRAs 5,273,589 2.96% 3.51% 2.41%
Time Deposits 44,433,685 1.23% 1.45% 1.01%
Subtotal $128,675,324 1.83% 2.10% 1.46%
Public Funds 10,313,707 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Internal Accounts 296,254 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Brokered CDs na 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
QwickRate CDs na 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
TOTAL $139,285,285 1.69% 1.94% 1.35%
Fair Value %of Total Balance
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Valuation Framework
Core deposits drive earning power and impact P/E via risk and growth
6The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Loans Risk-Free Rate
Bonds Equity Premium
Core Deposits Beta
Non-Core Funding
Beta Adj Equity
Premium
Deposit-Related
Fees
Other Fee Income
Personnel Costs
Other Costs
ORE Expense
Loan Loss Prov
Tax Rate Taxes
Fee
Businesses
Earning Power x P/E Multiple
Growth
Risk
Profile
Organic vs
M&A
Bank Specific
(Size, Lending,
Funding Profile)
Credit
Costs
Core Deposit
vs Loan
NIM &
Spread
Revenue
Fee Income
Operating
Expenses
Why Risk and Growth Matter
+ Yield to Maturity on 10 Yr UST 2.00%
+ Equity Premium 5.50%
x Company Beta 1.10
=Beta Adj Equity Premium 6.05%
+ Small-Mid Cap Equity Premium 2.50%
+ Company Specific Risks 1.50%
= Discount Rate (Equity Cost of Capital) 12.05%
- Long-Term Growth Rate (G) -5.00%
= Capitalization Rate 7.05%
= Multiple (1 / Cap Rate) 14.2x
Ongoing Earning Power Estimate $100,000
x Price/Earnings Ratio 14.2x
= Capitalized Earnings Value $1,420,000
Multiples are negatively correlated
with risk …higher risk = P/E
Multiples are positively correlated with
growth …higher G = P/E
Point in the cycle matters re what
investors care about the most
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7
P/E – Growth vs Risk
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8
P/TBV as Rule of Thumb
Every industry has a valuation rule of thumb
Most only indirectly speak to economics
Business model entails leveraging capital ~10x
to produce an earnings stream
Earnings and P/E drive value
P/TBV is a byproduct (P/E x ROTE = P/TBV)
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9
Market forecast is more NIM pressure to come
Market’s vs Fed’s Rate Forecast
0.80%
1.05%
1.30%
1.55%
1.80%
Market'sShort-TermRate Projections
30 Day LIBOR Forward Curve 90 Day LIBOR Forward Curve Current Fed Funds Target
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10
Fed's Forecast of Future Fed Funds Rate
Rates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Median 1.625% 1.625% 1.875% 2.125% 2.500%
1.625% 17 13 5 1
1.875% 4 4 5
2.000% 1
2.125% 5 3
2.250% 2
2.375% 3 4
2.500% 8
2.625% 2
2.750% 2
2.875% 2
3.000% 1
3.250% 1
Fed Dot Plot as of 12/11/19, Forward USD LIBOR curves as of
1/31/20
Source: Chatham Financial
Strategies to Offset NIM Pressure
Leverage excess capital with securities
Grow Loans
Reduce deposit rates
Grow non-interest bearing deposits (get deposits regardless of loan demand!)
11Evaluating the Buyer's Shares // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Capital and Cash Flow Considerations
$1.0 billion asset bank faces 10bps of NIM pressure in 2020 – what to do?
12The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Marginal Cost of New Core Deposits 0.50%
Retire Wholesale Funding 1.75%
Spread -1.25%
Spread Revenues at Risk $1,000
Wholesale Funding Replaced ($80,000)
Capital Allocation @ 9.0%
Capital Allocation @ 100% RWA
Market or Acquirer Pay for Core
Deposit Growth?
Absolutely
Grow NIB and Low-Cost Core Deposits
No
Incremental
Capital
Bonds 2.75%
Wholesale Funding 1.75%
Spread 1.00%
Spread Revenues at Risk $1,000
Bonds to be Added $100,000
Capital Allocation @ 9.0% $9,000
Capital Allocation if 20% RWA $1,800
Market or Acquirer Pay for
Leverage Earnings?
No
Leverage Excess Capital: Add Securities
Loans 5.00%
Wholesale Funding 1.75%
Spread 3.25%
Spread Revenues at Risk $1,000
Loans to be Added $30,769
Capital Allocation @ 9.0% $2,769
Capital Allocation @ 100% RWA $2,769
Market or Acquirer Pay for Loan
Growth?
Yes +/-
Leverage Excess Capital: Add Loans
Low Rate Environment Dangers
Inflated asset values (collateral, etc.)
Less spread between NIB and low cost deposits vs wholesale funding
Easy route to fund incremental assets with wholesale funding
But, core deposits (customer relationships) is where the real value resides
Public market investors generally assume strong deposit franchise banks have
less risk than banks that have a high amount of purchased funding
13The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Low cost deposit growth a
significant variable in ROE
produced from capital
retention
Capital Allocation
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14
Internally
Generated
Capital
M&A Dividends
Buybacks
Reinvest
(Retain)
Market Rewards Low Cost Core Deposit Franchises
15The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Assets Cost of Cost of Efficiency Loans/
($000) Deposits Funds NIM Ratio Deposits ROA ROE ROTCE P/E (20E) P/BV P/TBV
Top Quintile
Median 2,068,796 1.56 1.67 3.25 56.8 98.2 0.97 9.4 10.0 11.7 113 127
Average 3,184,688 1.60 1.72 3.23 58.2 100.5 1.12 10.2 11.1 13.6 120 131
2nd Quintile
Median 2,473,691 1.20 1.32 3.46 63.2 98.4 1.04 9.2 12.1 12.1 114 129
Average 3,904,177 1.20 1.33 3.41 62.8 99.2 1.00 9.0 11.2 14.3 119 138
3rd Quintile
Median 3,341,290 0.98 1.09 3.40 63.2 95.1 1.04 8.7 11.1 12.7 116 137
Average 3,923,393 0.96 1.08 3.42 63.3 92.1 1.04 9.0 11.3 13.7 121 146
4th Quintile
Median 3,019,919 0.73 0.81 3.61 60.8 89.7 1.18 10.1 12.2 12.2 121 144
Average 3,567,954 0.73 0.83 3.72 62.0 88.3 1.16 9.8 12.2 12.5 128 154
Bottom Quintile
Median 2,671,413 0.44 0.53 3.91 59.7 84.6 1.29 10.5 13.8 13.5 132 155
Average 3,639,683 0.45 0.52 3.91 60.5 84.0 1.30 10.7 13.3 13.8 142 171
Source: S&PGlobal Market Intelligence; pricing as of 1/31/20
Publicly Traded Banks with $1 Billion - $10 Billion of Assets
Acquirers are Buying Core Deposits
(Earnings) & Markets
General trend to higher multiples for lower COF though data more nuanced vs public markets
16The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00
PricetoTangibleBookValue
Cost of Funds (%) @ Announcement
Stock & Mixed Deals
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00
PricetoTangibleBookValue
Cost of Funds (%) @ Announcement
Cash Deals
Data based upon M&A transactions announced since Jan 2018 with disclosed pricing
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
US Bank M&A Market
Valuation multiples vary through time, activity not so much
17The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
263%
115%
157%
16.8x
0%
40%
80%
120%
160%
200%
240%
280%
320%
0x
4x
8x
12x
16x
20x
24x
28x
32x
1990Y
1991Y
1992Y
1993Y
1994Y
1995Y
1996Y
1997Y
1998Y
1999Y
2000Y
2001Y
2002Y
2003Y
2004Y
2005Y
2006Y
2007Y
2008Y
2009Y
2010Y
2011Y
2012Y
2013Y
2014Y
2015Y
2016Y
2017Y
2018Y
2019Y
Price/TangibleBookValue
Price/Earnings(ReportedLTM)
U.S. Bank Price / Earnings U.S. Bank Price / Tangible Book Ratio
NM P/E
YTD 12/31/19
217
305
399
481
566
463 458
466
504
358
280
263
230
273
282 277
313 320
179
166
232
185
248 250
307
293
251
267 266 269
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1990Y
1991Y
1992Y
1993Y
1994Y
1995Y
1996Y
1997Y
1998Y
1999Y
2000Y
2001Y
2002Y
2003Y
2004Y
2005Y
2006Y
2007Y
2008Y
2009Y
2010Y
2011Y
2012Y
2013Y
2014Y
2015Y
2016Y
2017Y
2018Y
2019Y
%ofBanksasofJanuary1AcquiredEachYear
NumberofAnnouncedTransactions
Number of Bank Transactions % of Industry Acquired YTD 12/31/19
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
Key Takeaways
Core deposits are the primary driver of franchise value
Non-interest bearing (and near NIB) deposits matter a lot when rates fall, too
Reducing COF vs adding assets to offset NIM pressure is value accretive
Growing core deposits should improve both earning power and the P/E
Price / TBV multiple is a data point
18The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
19
Questions?
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
About the Presenter
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 20
Jeff K. Davis, CFA
Mercer Capital
Managing Director
jeffdavis@mercercapital.com
615.345.0350
Jeff Davis is Managing Director of Mercer Capital’s Financial Institutions
Group (FIG). Jeff primarily works with financial institutions in merger and
acquisition advisory engagements. He assists buyers in evaluating the
attractiveness of acquisition candidates, determining a price for the target
institution, structuring the transaction, and evaluating different forms of
financing. For sell-side clients, Jeff analyzes the potential value that the
institution may receive upon a sale, assists in locating potential buyers, and
negotiating a final transaction price and merger agreement.
Jeff also spent over a decade as a sell-side analyst covering small-, mid- and
large-cap banks and specialty finance companies. He has been an editorial
contributor to S&P Global Market Intelligence (SNL Financial) since 2012 and
holds the Series 7, 63 and 79 securities licenses.
Jeff is a graduate of Rhodes College (BA) and Vanderbilt University (MBA).
The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
Mercer Capital
1.800.769.0967
www.mercercapital.com

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Market Rewards Low Cost Core Deposit Franchises

  • 1. MERCER CAPITAL www.mercercapital.com Jeff K. Davis, CFA February 6, 2020 The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth Deposit Mastery Summit jeffdavis@mercercapital.com (615) 345-0350 1
  • 2. Core deposits – not book value – drive your institution’s franchise value 2The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 3. Know Your Deposit Demographics Demographics of depositors Concentrations Other product ties to the bank What happens to large deposits when? • The depositor passes? • The business is sold? 3The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 4. Why Acquire? Results of Acquire or be Acquired Conference 2019 and 2020 bank executive and director poll 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Core Deposits Market Culture Lending Talent Mng't Talent Loan Growth 2019 AOBA Survey 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Scale Core Deposits Increase Profits Market Share Gain Growth 2020 AOBA Survey 4The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 5. Core Deposit Framework What matters? 5 Rate paid Alternative funding rate Deposit retention rate Fees generated Cost to service Gross Deposit Account Type Balance Current + 0.25 bps - 0.25 bps NIB Demand Deposits $27,225,059 2.39% 2.59% 2.05% Interest-Bearing Demand 19,386,292 1.70% 1.87% 1.02% Money Market Deposits 22,064,356 1.38% 1.63% 1.12% Savings Deposits 10,292,343 3.60% 4.31% 2.90% IRAs 5,273,589 2.96% 3.51% 2.41% Time Deposits 44,433,685 1.23% 1.45% 1.01% Subtotal $128,675,324 1.83% 2.10% 1.46% Public Funds 10,313,707 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Internal Accounts 296,254 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Brokered CDs na 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% QwickRate CDs na 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% TOTAL $139,285,285 1.69% 1.94% 1.35% Fair Value %of Total Balance The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 6. Valuation Framework Core deposits drive earning power and impact P/E via risk and growth 6The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com Loans Risk-Free Rate Bonds Equity Premium Core Deposits Beta Non-Core Funding Beta Adj Equity Premium Deposit-Related Fees Other Fee Income Personnel Costs Other Costs ORE Expense Loan Loss Prov Tax Rate Taxes Fee Businesses Earning Power x P/E Multiple Growth Risk Profile Organic vs M&A Bank Specific (Size, Lending, Funding Profile) Credit Costs Core Deposit vs Loan NIM & Spread Revenue Fee Income Operating Expenses
  • 7. Why Risk and Growth Matter + Yield to Maturity on 10 Yr UST 2.00% + Equity Premium 5.50% x Company Beta 1.10 =Beta Adj Equity Premium 6.05% + Small-Mid Cap Equity Premium 2.50% + Company Specific Risks 1.50% = Discount Rate (Equity Cost of Capital) 12.05% - Long-Term Growth Rate (G) -5.00% = Capitalization Rate 7.05% = Multiple (1 / Cap Rate) 14.2x Ongoing Earning Power Estimate $100,000 x Price/Earnings Ratio 14.2x = Capitalized Earnings Value $1,420,000 Multiples are negatively correlated with risk …higher risk = P/E Multiples are positively correlated with growth …higher G = P/E Point in the cycle matters re what investors care about the most The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 7
  • 8. P/E – Growth vs Risk The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 8
  • 9. P/TBV as Rule of Thumb Every industry has a valuation rule of thumb Most only indirectly speak to economics Business model entails leveraging capital ~10x to produce an earnings stream Earnings and P/E drive value P/TBV is a byproduct (P/E x ROTE = P/TBV) The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 9
  • 10. Market forecast is more NIM pressure to come Market’s vs Fed’s Rate Forecast 0.80% 1.05% 1.30% 1.55% 1.80% Market'sShort-TermRate Projections 30 Day LIBOR Forward Curve 90 Day LIBOR Forward Curve Current Fed Funds Target The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 10 Fed's Forecast of Future Fed Funds Rate Rates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Median 1.625% 1.625% 1.875% 2.125% 2.500% 1.625% 17 13 5 1 1.875% 4 4 5 2.000% 1 2.125% 5 3 2.250% 2 2.375% 3 4 2.500% 8 2.625% 2 2.750% 2 2.875% 2 3.000% 1 3.250% 1 Fed Dot Plot as of 12/11/19, Forward USD LIBOR curves as of 1/31/20 Source: Chatham Financial
  • 11. Strategies to Offset NIM Pressure Leverage excess capital with securities Grow Loans Reduce deposit rates Grow non-interest bearing deposits (get deposits regardless of loan demand!) 11Evaluating the Buyer's Shares // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 12. Capital and Cash Flow Considerations $1.0 billion asset bank faces 10bps of NIM pressure in 2020 – what to do? 12The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com Marginal Cost of New Core Deposits 0.50% Retire Wholesale Funding 1.75% Spread -1.25% Spread Revenues at Risk $1,000 Wholesale Funding Replaced ($80,000) Capital Allocation @ 9.0% Capital Allocation @ 100% RWA Market or Acquirer Pay for Core Deposit Growth? Absolutely Grow NIB and Low-Cost Core Deposits No Incremental Capital Bonds 2.75% Wholesale Funding 1.75% Spread 1.00% Spread Revenues at Risk $1,000 Bonds to be Added $100,000 Capital Allocation @ 9.0% $9,000 Capital Allocation if 20% RWA $1,800 Market or Acquirer Pay for Leverage Earnings? No Leverage Excess Capital: Add Securities Loans 5.00% Wholesale Funding 1.75% Spread 3.25% Spread Revenues at Risk $1,000 Loans to be Added $30,769 Capital Allocation @ 9.0% $2,769 Capital Allocation @ 100% RWA $2,769 Market or Acquirer Pay for Loan Growth? Yes +/- Leverage Excess Capital: Add Loans
  • 13. Low Rate Environment Dangers Inflated asset values (collateral, etc.) Less spread between NIB and low cost deposits vs wholesale funding Easy route to fund incremental assets with wholesale funding But, core deposits (customer relationships) is where the real value resides Public market investors generally assume strong deposit franchise banks have less risk than banks that have a high amount of purchased funding 13The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 14. Low cost deposit growth a significant variable in ROE produced from capital retention Capital Allocation The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 14 Internally Generated Capital M&A Dividends Buybacks Reinvest (Retain)
  • 15. Market Rewards Low Cost Core Deposit Franchises 15The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com Assets Cost of Cost of Efficiency Loans/ ($000) Deposits Funds NIM Ratio Deposits ROA ROE ROTCE P/E (20E) P/BV P/TBV Top Quintile Median 2,068,796 1.56 1.67 3.25 56.8 98.2 0.97 9.4 10.0 11.7 113 127 Average 3,184,688 1.60 1.72 3.23 58.2 100.5 1.12 10.2 11.1 13.6 120 131 2nd Quintile Median 2,473,691 1.20 1.32 3.46 63.2 98.4 1.04 9.2 12.1 12.1 114 129 Average 3,904,177 1.20 1.33 3.41 62.8 99.2 1.00 9.0 11.2 14.3 119 138 3rd Quintile Median 3,341,290 0.98 1.09 3.40 63.2 95.1 1.04 8.7 11.1 12.7 116 137 Average 3,923,393 0.96 1.08 3.42 63.3 92.1 1.04 9.0 11.3 13.7 121 146 4th Quintile Median 3,019,919 0.73 0.81 3.61 60.8 89.7 1.18 10.1 12.2 12.2 121 144 Average 3,567,954 0.73 0.83 3.72 62.0 88.3 1.16 9.8 12.2 12.5 128 154 Bottom Quintile Median 2,671,413 0.44 0.53 3.91 59.7 84.6 1.29 10.5 13.8 13.5 132 155 Average 3,639,683 0.45 0.52 3.91 60.5 84.0 1.30 10.7 13.3 13.8 142 171 Source: S&PGlobal Market Intelligence; pricing as of 1/31/20 Publicly Traded Banks with $1 Billion - $10 Billion of Assets
  • 16. Acquirers are Buying Core Deposits (Earnings) & Markets General trend to higher multiples for lower COF though data more nuanced vs public markets 16The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 PricetoTangibleBookValue Cost of Funds (%) @ Announcement Stock & Mixed Deals 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 PricetoTangibleBookValue Cost of Funds (%) @ Announcement Cash Deals Data based upon M&A transactions announced since Jan 2018 with disclosed pricing Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
  • 17. US Bank M&A Market Valuation multiples vary through time, activity not so much 17The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 263% 115% 157% 16.8x 0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 200% 240% 280% 320% 0x 4x 8x 12x 16x 20x 24x 28x 32x 1990Y 1991Y 1992Y 1993Y 1994Y 1995Y 1996Y 1997Y 1998Y 1999Y 2000Y 2001Y 2002Y 2003Y 2004Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009Y 2010Y 2011Y 2012Y 2013Y 2014Y 2015Y 2016Y 2017Y 2018Y 2019Y Price/TangibleBookValue Price/Earnings(ReportedLTM) U.S. Bank Price / Earnings U.S. Bank Price / Tangible Book Ratio NM P/E YTD 12/31/19 217 305 399 481 566 463 458 466 504 358 280 263 230 273 282 277 313 320 179 166 232 185 248 250 307 293 251 267 266 269 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 1990Y 1991Y 1992Y 1993Y 1994Y 1995Y 1996Y 1997Y 1998Y 1999Y 2000Y 2001Y 2002Y 2003Y 2004Y 2005Y 2006Y 2007Y 2008Y 2009Y 2010Y 2011Y 2012Y 2013Y 2014Y 2015Y 2016Y 2017Y 2018Y 2019Y %ofBanksasofJanuary1AcquiredEachYear NumberofAnnouncedTransactions Number of Bank Transactions % of Industry Acquired YTD 12/31/19 Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
  • 18. Key Takeaways Core deposits are the primary driver of franchise value Non-interest bearing (and near NIB) deposits matter a lot when rates fall, too Reducing COF vs adding assets to offset NIM pressure is value accretive Growing core deposits should improve both earning power and the P/E Price / TBV multiple is a data point 18The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 19. 19 Questions? The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com
  • 20. About the Presenter The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com 20 Jeff K. Davis, CFA Mercer Capital Managing Director jeffdavis@mercercapital.com 615.345.0350 Jeff Davis is Managing Director of Mercer Capital’s Financial Institutions Group (FIG). Jeff primarily works with financial institutions in merger and acquisition advisory engagements. He assists buyers in evaluating the attractiveness of acquisition candidates, determining a price for the target institution, structuring the transaction, and evaluating different forms of financing. For sell-side clients, Jeff analyzes the potential value that the institution may receive upon a sale, assists in locating potential buyers, and negotiating a final transaction price and merger agreement. Jeff also spent over a decade as a sell-side analyst covering small-, mid- and large-cap banks and specialty finance companies. He has been an editorial contributor to S&P Global Market Intelligence (SNL Financial) since 2012 and holds the Series 7, 63 and 79 securities licenses. Jeff is a graduate of Rhodes College (BA) and Vanderbilt University (MBA). The Market Will Pay You For Low-Cost Deposit Growth // © 2020 Mercer Capital // www.mercercapital.com