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Semiotics of Low & No Alcohol
July 2019
1. Why? (3)
2. How? (7)
3. What?
• Codes (12)
• Code Dynamics (25)
4. So What? (30)
What’s Inside?
WHY?
Low- and no-alcohol
(LNA) is taking off
• The number of worldwide drinkers has declined by 5% since
2000, and there is a global trend towards greater moderation
in alcohol consumption
• At the same time, the market for LNA drinks is enjoying
unprecedented growth, with global LNA beer sales growing by
58% between August 2017 and 2018
• While Asia represents only 10% of the LNA category there is
strong growth at the regional level and a trend towards
moderating alcohol consumption in important markets like
India, Japan, South Korea, and Thailand (Foresight Factory,
2018)
LNA is a major innovation opportunity and even those
not entering the space will need to understand its
influence
But, the category is
complex and dynamic
Knowing where to play / how to win requires a
strategic understanding of the category’s trajectory
• LNA is an emerging category - this is a rare occurrence and
entrants must be aware of the unique challenges they’ll face:
• Change: The rules of the game are still being decided and
are rapidly evolving, with several new brands and
partnerships announced each month
• Complexity: LNA is also a highly fragmented category,
with brands taking inspiration from a dizzying variety of
adjacent categories and remixing these to develop novel
offerings
We provide clarity…
• Clear’s strategic consultants are experts in helping brands go
from insight to strategy and design
• We have conducted a thorough semiotic analysis of the
global LNA category to help brands both understand the
current landscape and anticipate its future trajectory
• Armed with deep category insight, we are uniquely prepared
to help brands manage complexity and rapid change when
entering the LNA market, alongside understanding how LNA
will influence mainstream alcohol categories
This report outlines our initial insights and we’re ready
to work with you on leveraging these
HOW?
How: Semiotics 101
• Semiotics is the study of how signs and symbols produce
meaning
• We do not speak to consumers when conducting semiotic
analysis
• Instead, we are analysing brand messages
• Semiotics is a powerful tool for telling us things consumers
cannot articulate and helping us anticipate change
This is a basic explanation, and there is a lot more
theory for those who are interested
How: Semiotic Analysis
Prepare Mix Serve
(single)
Serve
(flight)
Invent
Collect data from
a wide variety of
sources
(packages;
websites; adverts;
etc) and pull
apart the
symbolic
elements
Search for
patterns in the
ideas being
expressed
across multiple
signs
Develop
‘codes’ which
articulate
discrete units
of meaning
Map the different
codes within the
category and
identify which are
residual /
dominant /
emerging
Identify
opportunity areas
(e.g. optimizing
articulation;
occupying white
spaces)
How: Anticipating Trends
Residual
Dominant
Emerging
Time
Density
Codes are assessed according to:
• History (time in category)
• Density (size and prominence)
• Reach (resonance with consumers)
Codes are then categorised as:
• EMERGENT CODES are new codes with low density but
enough reach to indicate potential future importance
• RESIDUAL CODES were once dominant but are now
old-fashioned (longest history)
• DOMINANT CODES have the greatest density, thereby
defining category norms
• Codes then travel from emergent to dominant and
residual in cycles
How: Use Cases
Strategy: Develop differentiated, future facing
brand positions
Innovation: Provide inspiration for opportunity
platforms and ideation
Design: Provide creative guidance that links
strategy to execution
WHAT?
CODES
Category Context
• LNA overlaps with beer, wine and spirits
• This is an emerging category and all the LNA codes are
relatively emergent versus alcoholic drink codes
• LNA codes often represent the fusion of mainstream
alcohol codes with those of other categories (e.g. soda)
• The brands analysed are primarily from US / EU since there
is less innovation originating from APAC
For those familiar with established alcohol categories,
remember that the above means LNA has very
different dynamics
Code Name
Code description (summary of the key ideas defining this code)
VISUAL REFERENCE
Illustrative materials drawn from analysis
of products, packaging, comms, POS, etc
Imagery & Language
(the visual and linguistic ‘cues’ used to express the key ideas)
Product Features
(specific product features aligned with those ideas e.g. ingredients; colour)
Key Categories
(which categories the code draws from and overlaps with)
Key Brands
(brands which best represent this code)
Still Normal
Letting consumers avoid alcohol whilst having the exact same experience as a regular alcoholic drink (minus getting drunk). For
those who want to fit-in and avoid alcohol without attracting unwanted attention
Imagery & Language
• Blue label on otherwise ‘normal’ pack to subtly signal LNA (category
convention with historical roots in temperance movement)
• Emphasizing participation and inclusivity
• Using dominant codes from respective alcohol category
Product Features
• No additional benefit beyond removing alcohol
• May be low-alcohol rather than 0%
Key Categories
• Mass-market lager
Key Brand(s)
• Heineken 0.0; Hayman’s Small Gin
• (majority of mainstream 0% beers)
Naturally Refined
Artisan apothecaries delivering complex, sophisticated, and unforgettable LNA experiences. Their curated distillation of esoteric
ingredients tell an immersive, multi-sensory story that elevates and delights
Imagery & Language
• Hidden, multi-layered meanings (e.g. rich brand and provenance
narratives; clever logos)
• Emphasis on expert knowledge (artisan; apothecary; curated)
• Ingredients provide colour and energy to an otherwise minimalist
aesthetic
Product Features
• Primarily floral, with fruit secondary
• Not necessarily rare, but experts can appreciate the distinct provenance
• Novel combinations and flavour profiles
Key Categories
• Gin; cordial
Key Brand(s)
• Seedlip
Hardcore Sobriety
Rebelling against the mainstream notion that you need alcohol to be a badass. For those who DGAF as a matter of principle,
with or without alcohol
Imagery & Language
• Borrowing heavily from punk rock & straight edge movement
• Tongue-in-cheek sincerity
• Standing out slightly more than ‘still normal’ (e.g. unusual names; green
or yellow labels) but still easily mistaken for alcoholic beer
Product Features
• Strong flavour (funky; sour)
Key Categories
• Craft beer
Key Brand(s)
• Brewdog; Braxzz
Temperate Roots
Reassuring drinkers that LNA has been part of the culture for generations. Historical roots give consumers permission to enjoy
LNA and encourages them to celebrate it as part of their heritage
Imagery & Language
• Emphasising heritage and tradition (e.g. explicitly referencing age of
recipe; using old-fashioned advertising styles)
• Strong regional variation:
• US: Repurposing language and imagery of the prohibition-era
and temperance movement
• UK: Repurposing Victorian / Georgian advertising styles
• Europe: Repurposing gothic fonts and white / red / gold colours
Product Features
• No additional benefit beyond removing alcohol
Key Categories
• Lager; ale
Key Brand(s)
• Budweiser Prohibition
Real Flavour
Alcohol is a distraction and, by removing it, brands can focus on unlocking the superior flavour of their ingredients. Rich and
intense beer flavours makes these brands the perfect meal-time beverage
Imagery & Language
• Superior and strong flavours
• Emphasis on superior ingredients (hops; apples; etc)
• Focusing on the food-pairing just as much as the drink itself
Product Features
• Strong, intense flavours (particularly hops)
Key Categories
• Craft beer; ale; cider
Key Brand(s)
• Big Drop
Playfully Different
Just because you’re not drinking, doesn’t mean you’re boring! Why not live a little and try something different? LNA brands give
you a chance to experiment, push the boundaries, and have some fun!
Imagery & Language
• Colourful; busy; loud; bright
• Remixing alcohol categories with soft drinks and fruit juices to create
novel combinations
• Camp humour
Product Features
• Bright coloured drinks (pink; red; yellow)
• Fruity flavours
Key Categories
• Craft beer; soft drinks; aperitifs
Key Brand(s)
• Brewdog; Crodino
Authentically Alternative
Why drink alcohol, when you can get a different kind of buzz? This space is for those committed to alternative lifestyles who still
need LNA to deliver a real kick
Imagery & Language
• Alternative lifestyle (surfing; hip hop; hipster)
• Costly signalling (tattoos; big facial hair)
• Down-to-earth (rustic; brown paper; plaid)
Product Features
• Same kick (e.g. vinegar fermentation)
• Different high (e.g. THC infusion)
Key Categories
• Spirits; wine; cannabis
Key Brand(s)
• Rebel Coast; Two Roots; Shrb
We set out to mimic the
experience you’d find with
traditional wine; a couple
glasses will put most
people in a great place –
Rebel Coast
Performance+
Beer minus alcohol is good for you. Modern science creates beverages that go beyond avoiding negatives to enhance physical
performance
Imagery & Language
• Scientific language (e.g. isotonic)
• Sports (e.g. racing; climbing; team sports)
• Secondary emphasis on avoiding negatives (e.g. clear-head)
Product Features
• Low calorie; vitamins; organic
Key Categories
• Beer; isotonic sports drinks
Key Brand(s)
• Fitbeer; Racing Beer
Mind, Body, & Soul
Beer can nourish the spirit and contribute to overall health and wellness. Enjoy a moment of mindfulness and nourishment. The
beverage is one of your tools for growth and self-development
Imagery & Language
• Ancient eastern mysticism (e.g. Buddhism; Hinduism)
• Borrowing from various self-help movements (mindfulness; health &
wellness; self-care)
Product Features
• Natural; organic; vegan
• Full of vitamins and ‘good stuff’
• New and exotic flavours
Key Categories
• Beer; fruit juice; kombucha
Key Brand(s)
• Nirvana Brewery
Good Vibes
Enjoy the best night of your life and wake up without a hangover. LNA helps you make the most of any occasion, whether that’s
a wild party or a summertime session. Be your best self, all the time
Imagery & Language
• Focused on occasions that are strongly alcohol related (summertime
drinking; wild parties)
• High energy; bright colours; fun; exciting
Product Features
• No additional benefit beyond removing alcohol
• (Focused on the occasion rather than the product itself)
Key Categories
• Beer; spirits; cannabis
Key Brand(s)
• Infinite Session; Caleño
WHAT?
CODE DYNAMICS
Semiotic Square
Traditional
We can map the LNA codes according to key binary tensions within the category
Me
We
Experimental
Semiotic Square
Traditional
Novel Experience
Standing Out Fitting In
Consistent Experience
Me
We
We can then identify key territories within the category
Experimental
Semiotic Square
Me
We
Still
Normal
Real
Flavour
Naturally
Refined
Authentically
Alternative
Good
Vibes
Hardcore
Sobriety
Mind, Body,
& Soul
Performance+
Temperate
Roots
Playfully
Different
Novel Experience
Standing Out
Consistent Experience
Fitting In
We can then map our codes according to these oppositions and territories
TraditionalExperimental
Anticipating Trends
Residual Dominant Emerging
Still Normal
Real Flavour
Naturally Refined
Authentically Alternative
Good Vibes
Hardcore Sobriety
Mind, Body, & Soul
Performance+
Temperate Roots
Playfully Different
SO WHAT?
So What?
At Clear, we’re ready to help you answer these
questions…
Which codes have greatest potential?
Where are the white spaces?
Where are the opportunity spaces in your portfolio?
Innovation
Strategy
Design
What are the consumer opportunity platforms?
How can you disrupt the category?
How well are your brands articulating relevant codes?
How should you tailor codes to different segments?
Thank you
Jacob Harbord
Associate Director, Singapore
Jacob.Harbord@clearstrategy.com
London
2 Golden Square
London, W1F 9HR
United Kingdom
+44 (0)20 3735 1800
Singapore
#02-10 59,
Mohamed Sultan
Road
Singapore, 238999
+65 6697 0246
Shanghai
4f 376 Wukang Road
Shanghai 200031
China
+86 216 466 8930
Dayton
8087 Washington Drive,
Suite 104, Dayton, OH,
45458 United States
+ 1 937 991 0015
Frankfurt
Otto-Messmer-Str. 1
60314 Frankfurt,
Germany
+49 160 5561425
New York
88 Pine St
New York, NY 10005
United States
+1 212 361 0014

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Semiotics of Low & No Alcohol (July 2019)

  • 1. Semiotics of Low & No Alcohol July 2019
  • 2. 1. Why? (3) 2. How? (7) 3. What? • Codes (12) • Code Dynamics (25) 4. So What? (30) What’s Inside?
  • 4. Low- and no-alcohol (LNA) is taking off • The number of worldwide drinkers has declined by 5% since 2000, and there is a global trend towards greater moderation in alcohol consumption • At the same time, the market for LNA drinks is enjoying unprecedented growth, with global LNA beer sales growing by 58% between August 2017 and 2018 • While Asia represents only 10% of the LNA category there is strong growth at the regional level and a trend towards moderating alcohol consumption in important markets like India, Japan, South Korea, and Thailand (Foresight Factory, 2018) LNA is a major innovation opportunity and even those not entering the space will need to understand its influence
  • 5. But, the category is complex and dynamic Knowing where to play / how to win requires a strategic understanding of the category’s trajectory • LNA is an emerging category - this is a rare occurrence and entrants must be aware of the unique challenges they’ll face: • Change: The rules of the game are still being decided and are rapidly evolving, with several new brands and partnerships announced each month • Complexity: LNA is also a highly fragmented category, with brands taking inspiration from a dizzying variety of adjacent categories and remixing these to develop novel offerings
  • 6. We provide clarity… • Clear’s strategic consultants are experts in helping brands go from insight to strategy and design • We have conducted a thorough semiotic analysis of the global LNA category to help brands both understand the current landscape and anticipate its future trajectory • Armed with deep category insight, we are uniquely prepared to help brands manage complexity and rapid change when entering the LNA market, alongside understanding how LNA will influence mainstream alcohol categories This report outlines our initial insights and we’re ready to work with you on leveraging these
  • 8. How: Semiotics 101 • Semiotics is the study of how signs and symbols produce meaning • We do not speak to consumers when conducting semiotic analysis • Instead, we are analysing brand messages • Semiotics is a powerful tool for telling us things consumers cannot articulate and helping us anticipate change This is a basic explanation, and there is a lot more theory for those who are interested
  • 9. How: Semiotic Analysis Prepare Mix Serve (single) Serve (flight) Invent Collect data from a wide variety of sources (packages; websites; adverts; etc) and pull apart the symbolic elements Search for patterns in the ideas being expressed across multiple signs Develop ‘codes’ which articulate discrete units of meaning Map the different codes within the category and identify which are residual / dominant / emerging Identify opportunity areas (e.g. optimizing articulation; occupying white spaces)
  • 10. How: Anticipating Trends Residual Dominant Emerging Time Density Codes are assessed according to: • History (time in category) • Density (size and prominence) • Reach (resonance with consumers) Codes are then categorised as: • EMERGENT CODES are new codes with low density but enough reach to indicate potential future importance • RESIDUAL CODES were once dominant but are now old-fashioned (longest history) • DOMINANT CODES have the greatest density, thereby defining category norms • Codes then travel from emergent to dominant and residual in cycles
  • 11. How: Use Cases Strategy: Develop differentiated, future facing brand positions Innovation: Provide inspiration for opportunity platforms and ideation Design: Provide creative guidance that links strategy to execution
  • 13. Category Context • LNA overlaps with beer, wine and spirits • This is an emerging category and all the LNA codes are relatively emergent versus alcoholic drink codes • LNA codes often represent the fusion of mainstream alcohol codes with those of other categories (e.g. soda) • The brands analysed are primarily from US / EU since there is less innovation originating from APAC For those familiar with established alcohol categories, remember that the above means LNA has very different dynamics
  • 14. Code Name Code description (summary of the key ideas defining this code) VISUAL REFERENCE Illustrative materials drawn from analysis of products, packaging, comms, POS, etc Imagery & Language (the visual and linguistic ‘cues’ used to express the key ideas) Product Features (specific product features aligned with those ideas e.g. ingredients; colour) Key Categories (which categories the code draws from and overlaps with) Key Brands (brands which best represent this code)
  • 15. Still Normal Letting consumers avoid alcohol whilst having the exact same experience as a regular alcoholic drink (minus getting drunk). For those who want to fit-in and avoid alcohol without attracting unwanted attention Imagery & Language • Blue label on otherwise ‘normal’ pack to subtly signal LNA (category convention with historical roots in temperance movement) • Emphasizing participation and inclusivity • Using dominant codes from respective alcohol category Product Features • No additional benefit beyond removing alcohol • May be low-alcohol rather than 0% Key Categories • Mass-market lager Key Brand(s) • Heineken 0.0; Hayman’s Small Gin • (majority of mainstream 0% beers)
  • 16. Naturally Refined Artisan apothecaries delivering complex, sophisticated, and unforgettable LNA experiences. Their curated distillation of esoteric ingredients tell an immersive, multi-sensory story that elevates and delights Imagery & Language • Hidden, multi-layered meanings (e.g. rich brand and provenance narratives; clever logos) • Emphasis on expert knowledge (artisan; apothecary; curated) • Ingredients provide colour and energy to an otherwise minimalist aesthetic Product Features • Primarily floral, with fruit secondary • Not necessarily rare, but experts can appreciate the distinct provenance • Novel combinations and flavour profiles Key Categories • Gin; cordial Key Brand(s) • Seedlip
  • 17. Hardcore Sobriety Rebelling against the mainstream notion that you need alcohol to be a badass. For those who DGAF as a matter of principle, with or without alcohol Imagery & Language • Borrowing heavily from punk rock & straight edge movement • Tongue-in-cheek sincerity • Standing out slightly more than ‘still normal’ (e.g. unusual names; green or yellow labels) but still easily mistaken for alcoholic beer Product Features • Strong flavour (funky; sour) Key Categories • Craft beer Key Brand(s) • Brewdog; Braxzz
  • 18. Temperate Roots Reassuring drinkers that LNA has been part of the culture for generations. Historical roots give consumers permission to enjoy LNA and encourages them to celebrate it as part of their heritage Imagery & Language • Emphasising heritage and tradition (e.g. explicitly referencing age of recipe; using old-fashioned advertising styles) • Strong regional variation: • US: Repurposing language and imagery of the prohibition-era and temperance movement • UK: Repurposing Victorian / Georgian advertising styles • Europe: Repurposing gothic fonts and white / red / gold colours Product Features • No additional benefit beyond removing alcohol Key Categories • Lager; ale Key Brand(s) • Budweiser Prohibition
  • 19. Real Flavour Alcohol is a distraction and, by removing it, brands can focus on unlocking the superior flavour of their ingredients. Rich and intense beer flavours makes these brands the perfect meal-time beverage Imagery & Language • Superior and strong flavours • Emphasis on superior ingredients (hops; apples; etc) • Focusing on the food-pairing just as much as the drink itself Product Features • Strong, intense flavours (particularly hops) Key Categories • Craft beer; ale; cider Key Brand(s) • Big Drop
  • 20. Playfully Different Just because you’re not drinking, doesn’t mean you’re boring! Why not live a little and try something different? LNA brands give you a chance to experiment, push the boundaries, and have some fun! Imagery & Language • Colourful; busy; loud; bright • Remixing alcohol categories with soft drinks and fruit juices to create novel combinations • Camp humour Product Features • Bright coloured drinks (pink; red; yellow) • Fruity flavours Key Categories • Craft beer; soft drinks; aperitifs Key Brand(s) • Brewdog; Crodino
  • 21. Authentically Alternative Why drink alcohol, when you can get a different kind of buzz? This space is for those committed to alternative lifestyles who still need LNA to deliver a real kick Imagery & Language • Alternative lifestyle (surfing; hip hop; hipster) • Costly signalling (tattoos; big facial hair) • Down-to-earth (rustic; brown paper; plaid) Product Features • Same kick (e.g. vinegar fermentation) • Different high (e.g. THC infusion) Key Categories • Spirits; wine; cannabis Key Brand(s) • Rebel Coast; Two Roots; Shrb We set out to mimic the experience you’d find with traditional wine; a couple glasses will put most people in a great place – Rebel Coast
  • 22. Performance+ Beer minus alcohol is good for you. Modern science creates beverages that go beyond avoiding negatives to enhance physical performance Imagery & Language • Scientific language (e.g. isotonic) • Sports (e.g. racing; climbing; team sports) • Secondary emphasis on avoiding negatives (e.g. clear-head) Product Features • Low calorie; vitamins; organic Key Categories • Beer; isotonic sports drinks Key Brand(s) • Fitbeer; Racing Beer
  • 23. Mind, Body, & Soul Beer can nourish the spirit and contribute to overall health and wellness. Enjoy a moment of mindfulness and nourishment. The beverage is one of your tools for growth and self-development Imagery & Language • Ancient eastern mysticism (e.g. Buddhism; Hinduism) • Borrowing from various self-help movements (mindfulness; health & wellness; self-care) Product Features • Natural; organic; vegan • Full of vitamins and ‘good stuff’ • New and exotic flavours Key Categories • Beer; fruit juice; kombucha Key Brand(s) • Nirvana Brewery
  • 24. Good Vibes Enjoy the best night of your life and wake up without a hangover. LNA helps you make the most of any occasion, whether that’s a wild party or a summertime session. Be your best self, all the time Imagery & Language • Focused on occasions that are strongly alcohol related (summertime drinking; wild parties) • High energy; bright colours; fun; exciting Product Features • No additional benefit beyond removing alcohol • (Focused on the occasion rather than the product itself) Key Categories • Beer; spirits; cannabis Key Brand(s) • Infinite Session; Caleño
  • 26. Semiotic Square Traditional We can map the LNA codes according to key binary tensions within the category Me We Experimental
  • 27. Semiotic Square Traditional Novel Experience Standing Out Fitting In Consistent Experience Me We We can then identify key territories within the category Experimental
  • 28. Semiotic Square Me We Still Normal Real Flavour Naturally Refined Authentically Alternative Good Vibes Hardcore Sobriety Mind, Body, & Soul Performance+ Temperate Roots Playfully Different Novel Experience Standing Out Consistent Experience Fitting In We can then map our codes according to these oppositions and territories TraditionalExperimental
  • 29. Anticipating Trends Residual Dominant Emerging Still Normal Real Flavour Naturally Refined Authentically Alternative Good Vibes Hardcore Sobriety Mind, Body, & Soul Performance+ Temperate Roots Playfully Different
  • 31. So What? At Clear, we’re ready to help you answer these questions… Which codes have greatest potential? Where are the white spaces? Where are the opportunity spaces in your portfolio? Innovation Strategy Design What are the consumer opportunity platforms? How can you disrupt the category? How well are your brands articulating relevant codes? How should you tailor codes to different segments?
  • 32. Thank you Jacob Harbord Associate Director, Singapore Jacob.Harbord@clearstrategy.com London 2 Golden Square London, W1F 9HR United Kingdom +44 (0)20 3735 1800 Singapore #02-10 59, Mohamed Sultan Road Singapore, 238999 +65 6697 0246 Shanghai 4f 376 Wukang Road Shanghai 200031 China +86 216 466 8930 Dayton 8087 Washington Drive, Suite 104, Dayton, OH, 45458 United States + 1 937 991 0015 Frankfurt Otto-Messmer-Str. 1 60314 Frankfurt, Germany +49 160 5561425 New York 88 Pine St New York, NY 10005 United States +1 212 361 0014