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Top performers
Q1 warehousing rents QoQ
excl. Russia
YoY
4.1million sq m
Rental growth slowing across Europe in Q1 2016 as the majority of markets saw stable
rental environments – Dublin and UK regional markets remain the only growth markets QoQ
European Industrial & Logistics
Market Fundamentals
Q1 | 2016
Q1 2016 marks strongest first quarter take-up on record
Rental growth slowing YoY but outlook remains positive
YoY
14%
QoQ
3%
QoQ
2% down if excl. Russia
10%
YoY
29% up if excl. Russia
YoY
21%
on 5yr Q1 average
45%
0.2% 1.7%
YoY
30%
93% on 5yr average
93%
2016 occupier activity expected to exceed 2015's record volume
according to JLL Supply Chain Activity Index
on 5yr Q1 average
27%
All markets significantly up on their 5-year Q1 average
except for Hungary and Spain; Germany marginally up
Other
12%
E-commerce
8%
Manufacturing
16%
Third Party Logistics
39%
Retail companies
25%
YoY growth in completion and pipeline volumes but slowing
quarter-on-quarter
Strongest growing occupier groups in Q1 2016 YoY
Take-up 3PL providers / curriers
YoY
31%
9.0million sq m
under construction
30% 22%
speculative non-speculative
excl. Russia
70%
Speculative development slowly edging upwards with
more markets seeing speculative developments returning
Lower new development starts over Q1 seen to be only a
temporary slowdown; low vacancy rates across most markets
and continued high occupier activity sustains expectations
of FY 2016 completion volumes to be higher YoY
Dublin
Glasgow
Manchester
YoY
Take-up e-commerce driven
48%
Strongly growing completion volumes in most of the
smaller markets – slowing QoQ volumes driven by
Germany and Russia
JLL quarterly Industrial & Logistics analysis illustrates the current market condition and examines how it will evolve in the future.
All figures are in sq m / €, based on logistics units >5,000 sq m and UK>10,000 sq m
www.jll.eu
COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2016. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or
transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of Jones Lang LaSalle. It is based on material that we
believe to be reliable. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot offer any warranty that it contains
no factual errors. We would like to be told of any such errors in order to correct them.
For more information, contact:
Alexandra Tornow
EMEA Industrial & Logistics Research
alexandra.tornow@eu.jll.com
Guy Gueirard
Head of EMEA Industrial & Logistics
guy.gueirard@eu.jll.com
Ryan Loftus
EMEA Industrial & Logistics Research
ryan.loftus@eu.jll.com
3PLs and e-commerce-led take-up main growth drivers in
Q1 activity
… but still significantly below the 70+% speculative share
recorded in 2006/2007

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European Logistics Market Fundamentals Q1 2016

  • 1. Top performers Q1 warehousing rents QoQ excl. Russia YoY 4.1million sq m Rental growth slowing across Europe in Q1 2016 as the majority of markets saw stable rental environments – Dublin and UK regional markets remain the only growth markets QoQ European Industrial & Logistics Market Fundamentals Q1 | 2016 Q1 2016 marks strongest first quarter take-up on record Rental growth slowing YoY but outlook remains positive YoY 14% QoQ 3% QoQ 2% down if excl. Russia 10% YoY 29% up if excl. Russia YoY 21% on 5yr Q1 average 45% 0.2% 1.7% YoY 30% 93% on 5yr average 93% 2016 occupier activity expected to exceed 2015's record volume according to JLL Supply Chain Activity Index on 5yr Q1 average 27% All markets significantly up on their 5-year Q1 average except for Hungary and Spain; Germany marginally up Other 12% E-commerce 8% Manufacturing 16% Third Party Logistics 39% Retail companies 25% YoY growth in completion and pipeline volumes but slowing quarter-on-quarter Strongest growing occupier groups in Q1 2016 YoY Take-up 3PL providers / curriers YoY 31% 9.0million sq m under construction 30% 22% speculative non-speculative excl. Russia 70% Speculative development slowly edging upwards with more markets seeing speculative developments returning Lower new development starts over Q1 seen to be only a temporary slowdown; low vacancy rates across most markets and continued high occupier activity sustains expectations of FY 2016 completion volumes to be higher YoY Dublin Glasgow Manchester YoY Take-up e-commerce driven 48% Strongly growing completion volumes in most of the smaller markets – slowing QoQ volumes driven by Germany and Russia JLL quarterly Industrial & Logistics analysis illustrates the current market condition and examines how it will evolve in the future. All figures are in sq m / €, based on logistics units >5,000 sq m and UK>10,000 sq m www.jll.eu COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2016. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of Jones Lang LaSalle. It is based on material that we believe to be reliable. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure its accuracy, we cannot offer any warranty that it contains no factual errors. We would like to be told of any such errors in order to correct them. For more information, contact: Alexandra Tornow EMEA Industrial & Logistics Research alexandra.tornow@eu.jll.com Guy Gueirard Head of EMEA Industrial & Logistics guy.gueirard@eu.jll.com Ryan Loftus EMEA Industrial & Logistics Research ryan.loftus@eu.jll.com 3PLs and e-commerce-led take-up main growth drivers in Q1 activity … but still significantly below the 70+% speculative share recorded in 2006/2007