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A Comprehensive ValidationA Comprehensive Validation
Approach Using The RAVEN Code -Approach Using The RAVEN Code -
Un innovativo approccio di validazioneUn innovativo approccio di validazione
utilizzando il codice RAVENutilizzando il codice RAVEN
Candidate: Rinaldi Ivan, 1325668Candidate: Rinaldi Ivan, 1325668
Supervisor: Prof. Gianfranco CarusoSupervisor: Prof. Gianfranco Caruso
Co Supervisor: Fabio Giannetti PhDCo Supervisor: Fabio Giannetti PhD
Faculty of Industrial and Civil EngineeringFaculty of Industrial and Civil Engineering
Degree in Energy EngineeringDegree in Energy Engineering
OutlineOutline
• RAVEN and the Validation Process
• The Experimental set-ups
• Results
• Future Developments
05/26/15 2A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
What is RAVEN?What is RAVEN?
• RAVEN (Reactor Analysis and Virtual control
ENvironment) is a code being developed at the
Idaho National Laboratories, USA.
• RAVEN was born as a PRA code, and it is now
being coupled with many codes (thermo hydraulic,
fuel performance, neutronics) and its uses are
increasing exponentially
• Our use of RAVEN implements numerical
algorithms in order to supply uncertainty
quantification and sensitivity analysis capabilities
• These techniques may be employed in order to
fulfill what is called a “validation assessment”
05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
3
The Validation AssessmentThe Validation Assessment
Experiment 2 Experiment 3
Experiment 1
Validation
Process
Validated Design Space
Target
Design 1
Target
Design 2
Target
Design 3
05/26/15 4A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
The Old WayThe Old Way
05/26/15 5A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
RELAP5-3D Validation MetricRELAP5-3D Validation Metric
E
R
R
O
R
05/26/15 6A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
E
R
R
O
R
A Probabilistic Reading of Experimental DataA Probabilistic Reading of Experimental Data
05/26/15 7A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
The ComparisonThe Comparison
RELAP7
RELAP5-3D
Probabilistic Input
Probabilistic Code Output Probabilistic Experimental Reading
EXPERIMENTS
?05/26/15 8A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
RAVEN
The Semiscale ExperimentThe Semiscale Experiment
• It is presented a scaled model of a
pressurized water reactor (PWR)
(Semiscale Mod-2A facility by EG&G
Idaho).
• The Mod-2A test facility is a full
height, 1/1705 power-to-volume
scaled model of a primary system of a
PWR.
• The main objective of the experiment
was to investigate natural circulation
heat rejection. The model presented
examined in particular steady-state
single-phase natural circulation
behavior.
• For such experiment a single-loop
configuration was employed. The
pump was replaced with a spool
piece containing an orifice that
simulated the hydraulic resistance of
a locked pump rotor.
05/26/15 9A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
The NACIE ExperimentThe NACIE Experiment
26/05/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
10
• Lead-Bismuth
Natural Circulation
Test Facility
• Components:
– Electrically heated
core
– Secondary Water
Heat Exchanger
– Argon Gas Inlet and
Outlet Valves
Input Space Probabilistic RepresentationInput Space Probabilistic Representation
• Two input variables were considered
subject to uncertainty:
– Pressure Primary Loop
– Core Power
05/26/15 11A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
More computational
power is yet needed
to take into
consideration more
variables
Validation Objectives (Figure of Merits)Validation Objectives (Figure of Merits)
• For the Semiscale experiment, the natural circulation
analysis, the output variables (figures of merit) that
should be compared are:
– Mass Flow Rate
– Cold Leg Temperature
– Hot Leg Temperature
05/26/15 12A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
Uncertainties on Figure of MeritsUncertainties on Figure of Merits
• The uncertainties on the figure of merits are connected to the type of
measurements and not specific to a particular detector and location
05/26/15 13A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
Semiscale MOD-2A NACIE
Monte Carlo SamplingMonte Carlo Sampling
05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
14
Monte Carlo Response SurfaceMonte Carlo Response Surface
05/26/15 15A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
Sensitivity AnalysisSensitivity Analysis
• In the range examined the response of the system is
dominated by the core power or argon mass flow rate
• The dependence from the pressure is minimal (vertical
distortion)
• The linear interpolation using the sensitivity coefficients is
almost exact
Watts
05/26/15 16A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
Comparison of the Output to the ExperimentsComparison of the Output to the Experiments
• The code output is represented by a number of points with or
without probabilistic weights
• The experimental output has most likely an analytical
distribution
• How to perform a comparison:
– Translate the code output in a pseudo analytical formulation
(binning)
– Define a proper metric in the probabilistic space to assess
similarity/dissimilarity
Probabilistic Code Output
Probabilistic Experimental Readin
?05/26/15 17A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
Code
BinningBinning
• The goal is to achieve a numerical representation of a
probability density function representing sets of points in the
output space
• The less distorting representation is generate by the binning
(histogram)
• The number of bins and its boundaries should be chosen to
regularize the function without altering its meaning
• Several algorithms are under implementation
– Square root:
– Sturge’s Formula:
– Rice rule:
– Doane formula (to be implemented)
– Scott normal reference rule (to be implemented)
– Freedman-Diaconis’ formula (to be implemented)
05/26/15 18A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
Binning of the Data GeneratedBinning of the Data Generated
• Number of
Samples: 8300
• Optimized
number of bins:
15
Bin Midpoint Bin Count
0.187921 1
0.188897 4
0.189874 17
0.19085 63
0.191826 205
0.192802 518
0.193778 938
0.194755 1419
0.195731 1638
0.196707 1629
0.197683 1042
0.198659 541
0.199636 213
0.200612 64
0.201588 13
05/26/15 19A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
C
O
U
N
T
S
Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data
• Having the distributions of the code outputs and the
experimental data, one can proceed to compare the
various distributions with different metrics
05/26/15 20A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
*Cumulative Distribution Function *Probability Distribution Function
Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data
• It is implemented the Minkowski L1 Metric, defined
as the area between the CDF from the simulation
and the empirical distribution
05/26/15 21A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
d(E,R) = 3.029 K
Lower Value
Means Higher
Agreement
Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data
• It is implemented the PDF Area Metric, defined as
the common area of the PDFs from the simulation
and the empirical distribution
05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
22
I(x) = 0.2704 = 27%
Higher Percentage
Means Higher
Agreement
Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data
• It is implemented the Difference of Continuous
Functions Metric, defined as:
05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
23
µ (z) = 0.0662
σ (z) = 0.0325
Where the best
overlapping
position is
Disagreement in the best
overlapping position
ConclusionsConclusions
• PRA in nuclear field includes some extremely
thorough procedures regarding code applicability,
therefore RAVEN is becoming a validation go-to-
code
• Many data mining capabilities are still under
development, such as multidimensional
distributions, which will take into consideration
more dimensions (such as time dependent
transients)
• More and extra accurate validation metrics
• Moreover, more experiments will be tested in the
future, in both RELAP5-3D (with the NACIE-UP
European project) and in RELAP7.
05/26/15 24A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
Work PublishedWork Published
• Technical Report, E. Negretti, C. Parisi, F. Giannetti, I. Rinaldi, G.
Caruso, Feasibility Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification for a "Fast-
Running" Chain of Codes for the NPP Accident Management, Joint
Program ENEA-MSE on Nuclear Safety and Generation IV ReactorsNuclear Safety and Generation IV Reactors.
• PSA, Fabio Giannetti, Ivan Rinaldi, Andrea Alfonsi, Ivan Di Piazza,
Gianfranco Caruso, A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The
RAVEN Code applied to RELAP5-3D for LBE.
• ANS, Ivan Rinaldi, Andrea Alfonsi, Joshua Cogliatti, Cristian Rabiti,
Fabio Giannetti, Gianfranco Caruso, A Comprehensive Validation
Approach Using The RAVEN Code, American Nuclear SocietyAmerican Nuclear Society
Conference.Conference.
05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code
25
Work in ProgressWork in Progress
• Journal , Ivan Rinaldi, Andrea Alfonsi, Joshua Cogliatti, Cristian Rabiti,
Fabio Giannetti, Gianfranco Caruso, “A comprehensive Validation Approach
Using The RAVEN Code” Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics JournalProbabilistic Engineering Mechanics Journal
• Journal , Ivan Rinaldi, Fabio Giannetti, Andrea Alfonsi, Cristian Rabiti,
Gianfranco Caruso, The RAVEN procedure applied to the NACIE
experiment, Nuclear Science and Engineering JournalNuclear Science and Engineering Journal

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RAVEN Validation Approach Using Code and Experiments

  • 1. A Comprehensive ValidationA Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code -Approach Using The RAVEN Code - Un innovativo approccio di validazioneUn innovativo approccio di validazione utilizzando il codice RAVENutilizzando il codice RAVEN Candidate: Rinaldi Ivan, 1325668Candidate: Rinaldi Ivan, 1325668 Supervisor: Prof. Gianfranco CarusoSupervisor: Prof. Gianfranco Caruso Co Supervisor: Fabio Giannetti PhDCo Supervisor: Fabio Giannetti PhD Faculty of Industrial and Civil EngineeringFaculty of Industrial and Civil Engineering Degree in Energy EngineeringDegree in Energy Engineering
  • 2. OutlineOutline • RAVEN and the Validation Process • The Experimental set-ups • Results • Future Developments 05/26/15 2A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 3. What is RAVEN?What is RAVEN? • RAVEN (Reactor Analysis and Virtual control ENvironment) is a code being developed at the Idaho National Laboratories, USA. • RAVEN was born as a PRA code, and it is now being coupled with many codes (thermo hydraulic, fuel performance, neutronics) and its uses are increasing exponentially • Our use of RAVEN implements numerical algorithms in order to supply uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis capabilities • These techniques may be employed in order to fulfill what is called a “validation assessment” 05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code 3
  • 4. The Validation AssessmentThe Validation Assessment Experiment 2 Experiment 3 Experiment 1 Validation Process Validated Design Space Target Design 1 Target Design 2 Target Design 3 05/26/15 4A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 5. The Old WayThe Old Way 05/26/15 5A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 6. RELAP5-3D Validation MetricRELAP5-3D Validation Metric E R R O R 05/26/15 6A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code E R R O R
  • 7. A Probabilistic Reading of Experimental DataA Probabilistic Reading of Experimental Data 05/26/15 7A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 8. The ComparisonThe Comparison RELAP7 RELAP5-3D Probabilistic Input Probabilistic Code Output Probabilistic Experimental Reading EXPERIMENTS ?05/26/15 8A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code RAVEN
  • 9. The Semiscale ExperimentThe Semiscale Experiment • It is presented a scaled model of a pressurized water reactor (PWR) (Semiscale Mod-2A facility by EG&G Idaho). • The Mod-2A test facility is a full height, 1/1705 power-to-volume scaled model of a primary system of a PWR. • The main objective of the experiment was to investigate natural circulation heat rejection. The model presented examined in particular steady-state single-phase natural circulation behavior. • For such experiment a single-loop configuration was employed. The pump was replaced with a spool piece containing an orifice that simulated the hydraulic resistance of a locked pump rotor. 05/26/15 9A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 10. The NACIE ExperimentThe NACIE Experiment 26/05/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code 10 • Lead-Bismuth Natural Circulation Test Facility • Components: – Electrically heated core – Secondary Water Heat Exchanger – Argon Gas Inlet and Outlet Valves
  • 11. Input Space Probabilistic RepresentationInput Space Probabilistic Representation • Two input variables were considered subject to uncertainty: – Pressure Primary Loop – Core Power 05/26/15 11A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code More computational power is yet needed to take into consideration more variables
  • 12. Validation Objectives (Figure of Merits)Validation Objectives (Figure of Merits) • For the Semiscale experiment, the natural circulation analysis, the output variables (figures of merit) that should be compared are: – Mass Flow Rate – Cold Leg Temperature – Hot Leg Temperature 05/26/15 12A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 13. Uncertainties on Figure of MeritsUncertainties on Figure of Merits • The uncertainties on the figure of merits are connected to the type of measurements and not specific to a particular detector and location 05/26/15 13A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code Semiscale MOD-2A NACIE
  • 14. Monte Carlo SamplingMonte Carlo Sampling 05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code 14
  • 15. Monte Carlo Response SurfaceMonte Carlo Response Surface 05/26/15 15A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 16. Sensitivity AnalysisSensitivity Analysis • In the range examined the response of the system is dominated by the core power or argon mass flow rate • The dependence from the pressure is minimal (vertical distortion) • The linear interpolation using the sensitivity coefficients is almost exact Watts 05/26/15 16A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 17. Comparison of the Output to the ExperimentsComparison of the Output to the Experiments • The code output is represented by a number of points with or without probabilistic weights • The experimental output has most likely an analytical distribution • How to perform a comparison: – Translate the code output in a pseudo analytical formulation (binning) – Define a proper metric in the probabilistic space to assess similarity/dissimilarity Probabilistic Code Output Probabilistic Experimental Readin ?05/26/15 17A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code Code
  • 18. BinningBinning • The goal is to achieve a numerical representation of a probability density function representing sets of points in the output space • The less distorting representation is generate by the binning (histogram) • The number of bins and its boundaries should be chosen to regularize the function without altering its meaning • Several algorithms are under implementation – Square root: – Sturge’s Formula: – Rice rule: – Doane formula (to be implemented) – Scott normal reference rule (to be implemented) – Freedman-Diaconis’ formula (to be implemented) 05/26/15 18A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 19. Binning of the Data GeneratedBinning of the Data Generated • Number of Samples: 8300 • Optimized number of bins: 15 Bin Midpoint Bin Count 0.187921 1 0.188897 4 0.189874 17 0.19085 63 0.191826 205 0.192802 518 0.193778 938 0.194755 1419 0.195731 1638 0.196707 1629 0.197683 1042 0.198659 541 0.199636 213 0.200612 64 0.201588 13 05/26/15 19A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code C O U N T S
  • 20. Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data • Having the distributions of the code outputs and the experimental data, one can proceed to compare the various distributions with different metrics 05/26/15 20A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code *Cumulative Distribution Function *Probability Distribution Function
  • 21. Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data • It is implemented the Minkowski L1 Metric, defined as the area between the CDF from the simulation and the empirical distribution 05/26/15 21A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code d(E,R) = 3.029 K Lower Value Means Higher Agreement
  • 22. Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data • It is implemented the PDF Area Metric, defined as the common area of the PDFs from the simulation and the empirical distribution 05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code 22 I(x) = 0.2704 = 27% Higher Percentage Means Higher Agreement
  • 23. Comparison with Experimental DataComparison with Experimental Data • It is implemented the Difference of Continuous Functions Metric, defined as: 05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code 23 µ (z) = 0.0662 σ (z) = 0.0325 Where the best overlapping position is Disagreement in the best overlapping position
  • 24. ConclusionsConclusions • PRA in nuclear field includes some extremely thorough procedures regarding code applicability, therefore RAVEN is becoming a validation go-to- code • Many data mining capabilities are still under development, such as multidimensional distributions, which will take into consideration more dimensions (such as time dependent transients) • More and extra accurate validation metrics • Moreover, more experiments will be tested in the future, in both RELAP5-3D (with the NACIE-UP European project) and in RELAP7. 05/26/15 24A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code
  • 25. Work PublishedWork Published • Technical Report, E. Negretti, C. Parisi, F. Giannetti, I. Rinaldi, G. Caruso, Feasibility Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification for a "Fast- Running" Chain of Codes for the NPP Accident Management, Joint Program ENEA-MSE on Nuclear Safety and Generation IV ReactorsNuclear Safety and Generation IV Reactors. • PSA, Fabio Giannetti, Ivan Rinaldi, Andrea Alfonsi, Ivan Di Piazza, Gianfranco Caruso, A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code applied to RELAP5-3D for LBE. • ANS, Ivan Rinaldi, Andrea Alfonsi, Joshua Cogliatti, Cristian Rabiti, Fabio Giannetti, Gianfranco Caruso, A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code, American Nuclear SocietyAmerican Nuclear Society Conference.Conference. 05/26/15A Comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code 25 Work in ProgressWork in Progress • Journal , Ivan Rinaldi, Andrea Alfonsi, Joshua Cogliatti, Cristian Rabiti, Fabio Giannetti, Gianfranco Caruso, “A comprehensive Validation Approach Using The RAVEN Code” Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics JournalProbabilistic Engineering Mechanics Journal • Journal , Ivan Rinaldi, Fabio Giannetti, Andrea Alfonsi, Cristian Rabiti, Gianfranco Caruso, The RAVEN procedure applied to the NACIE experiment, Nuclear Science and Engineering JournalNuclear Science and Engineering Journal