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Developments and Trends
In Israeli Exports
Summary for first half of 2016
Written by the Economic
Department
The Israel Export and International
Cooperation Institute
September 2016
2
Table of Contents
Executive Summary.............................................................................................. 3
Exports of Goods and Services............................................................................. 9
Exports of Goods ................................................................................................. 9
Industrial exports ............................................................................................ 10
Exports of industrial High-tech........................................................................ 12
Exports of other industries.............................................................................. 13
Exports of goods by regions............................................................................... 15
The European Union........................................................................................ 15
The US ............................................................................................................. 16
Asia.................................................................................................................. 16
Latin America .................................................................................................. 16
Africa............................................................................................................... 17
Developments in Israel's Key Export Destinations ........................................... 18
The United States............................................................................................ 20
United Kingdom .............................................................................................. 21
China ............................................................................................................... 23
The Netherlands.............................................................................................. 26
Germany.......................................................................................................... 26
Turkey.............................................................................................................. 27
France.............................................................................................................. 28
India ................................................................................................................ 28
Italy ................................................................................................................. 30
Spain................................................................................................................ 30
Exports of Services ............................................................................................. 31
Exchange Rate .................................................................................................... 33
3
Executive Summary
Trends in exports in 2016
In the first half of 2016, Israeli exports of goods and services totaled $45.8
billion, virtually unchanged compared to the first half of 2015.
Exports of goods (excluding exports to the Palestinian Authority) fell by 6% in
H1.2016 following the decline in industrial exports and diamond exports.
However, after stagnating in 2015, in the first half of 2016 exports of services
grew 10%1
and offset the negative effect of the decline in goods exports –
primarily owing to the accelerated growth in exports of computer, software and
R&D services.
Exports of goods
Diamond exports in the first half of 2016 fell by 9% in dollar terms to $4 billion,
agricultural exports shrank by 5.5% y-o-y to $715 million, and industrial exports
fell 6%, totaling $21 billion.
An analysis of trends in industrial exports points to a sharp, across-the-board
decline in the exports of dominant exports: electronic components,
pharmaceuticals and chemicals – excluding these sectors, virtually the entire
decline in goods exports is offset.
Industrial high-tech exports fell by 9% in dollar terms, to $11 billion, but
nevertheless still accounts for more than 50% of total industrial exports.
The decline in high tech exports is mainly attributed to the decline in exports of
electronic components and pharmaceuticals. Concurrent with the negative trend
in these sectors, exports of computer systems, electronic and optical instruments
(the core high-tech index) fell by 7%. On the other hand, exports of aircrafts rose
sharply by 23% and exports of medical equipment increased by 14%.
Exports of other sectors (industrial exports excluding high tech) was a mixed bag,
and overall fell slightly by 2% in dollar terms Y-o-Y to $11 billion. Exports of
chemicals, which fell 16% from H1.2015, as a result of global price declines, had a
significant impact. Excluding this sector, exports of other industrial sectors rose
by 7%.
1
Excluding high tech companies; including high tech, exports of services rose 13%.
4
Exports by trading regions
An analysis of trends in the first half of 2016 points to a decline in dollar terms
to all the trading regions. Exports to the European Union fell by 9% in dollar
terms, Israeli exports to Asian countries fell by a double-digit figure of 13%,
exports to the US declined 3%, exports to Latin America fell 12% and exports to
Africa dropped by 24% from the first half of 2015.
The sharp decline in dollar terms in the first half of 2016 in the exports of
dominant sectors (pharmaceuticals, electronic components and chemicals) is
repeated when analyzing exports by
trading regions: the decline in exports
of chemicals and pharmaceuticals had a
significant impact on exports to the
European Union, which is a major
target market for these industries; the
decline in exports to the US is mainly
attributable to the decline in
pharmaceutical shipments, while the
decline in exports of electronic
components was the main cause of the
decline in Israeli exports to Asia in the
first half of 2016.
Exports of goods to leading destinations
The developments in major export industries are consistent with the overall
trends in Israeli exports to the leading destinations. For example, the sharp
decline in exports of electronic components had a negative impact on exports
to China, pharmaceutical exports had a negative impact on exports to the UK,
and chemical exports had a similar impact on exports to Turkey, since
chemicals are a major components of exports to this country.
Exports to the US, Israel's biggest and most important target market, fell slightly,
mainly due to the decline in exports of pharmaceuticals. A similar trend was
recorded in exports to the UK, Israel's second-ranking export market and the
biggest in Europe, since pharmaceuticals account for more than two thirds of
exports to this country. Exports to the UK fell sharply by 17%, however, excluding
pharmaceuticals, exports remained stable.
5
China ranks third among export destinations and is Israel’s biggest export target
in Asia - 27% of Israeli goods exports to the continent are intended for the
Chinese market (32% including Hong Kong). Israeli exports to China in H1.2016
totaled $1.1 billion – down 8% from H1.2015. Exports were affected by major
developments in two major sectors: electronic components and minerals.
Israel's 10 leading export destinations in h1.2016
The trend in exports to Turkey in 2015 continued in H1.2016. After dropping by
40% in 2015, Israeli exports to Turkey in H1.2016 fell by 35%, totaling $625
million only. The sharp decline in exports to Turkey was primarily due to the
decline in the value of exports of chemicals and oil distillates. Excluding this
sector, exports to Turkey remained relatively unchanged from H1.2015.
Israeli exports to India totaled $580 million, 9% lower than H1.2015, in the wake
of an impressive recovery in 2015, with a double-digit 21% increase in exports to
India. This recovery follows a continued contraction in exports to India in 2010-
2013. The growth in exports in 2015 was due to the completion of several
defense-related transactions, which led to a sharp increase in defense-related
exports. Accordingly, in the first half of 2016, exports to India fell steeply, led by
these sectors.
6
Among major export destinations in H1.2016, exports decreased to France (-
4%) and to the Netherlands (-4%) but increased to Germany (+3%), Italy (+4%)
and Spain (+13%).
Exports of services
In contrast to the overall negative trend, Israel's balance-of-payments data point
to continued growth in exports of services – the growth engine of Israeli exports
in the past few years. While in 2015 exports of services maintained stability, in
the first half of 2016 these exports continued to grow, owing to the sharp
increase in exports of R&D, software and computer services.
During the first
half of 2016,
services exports
rose by 10% in
dollar terms
compared to
H1.2015,
totaling $18.5
billion2
. This is
attributable to
the increase in
exports of high-
tech services –
R&D, computer
and software
services – which amounted to $9 billion in H1.2016 – up 25% from H1.2015.
These exports currently account for half of total Israeli services exports.
Exports of tourism services fell by 3% and continued to suffer from weak
demand in 2015 and from the depreciation of both the Euro and the Ruble vis-à-
vis the shekel.
Exports of transportation services in H1.2016 fell by 14%, negatively affected by
the general weakness in global trade.
2
Excluding exports of start-up services
7
The exchange rate
The strengthening of the US dollar – which accounts for 86% of export
transactions – continued in 2015 and: the dollar's average rate in 2015 was NIS
3.88 – 8.6% higher than its average in 2014. In H1.2016, the dollar decline against
the NIS and its average rate was 3.864 – down 1.1% from its rate in H1.2015. The
Euro-shekel exchange rate averaged NIS 4.31 in 2015, compared to NIS 4.75 in
2014 – falling 9.2% to its lowest level in 13 years. In the first quarter of 2016, the
Euro slightly recovered vis-à-vis the shekel, but later declined in the second
quarter of 2016. Overall in the first half of 2016 the Euro fell by 1.4 against the
NIS.
Concentration of Israeli exports
The sharp decline in the
exports of major industries
(pharmaceuticals, electronic
components and chemicals),
was also recorded in the
exports of major companies,
and the sharp decline in the
weight of these industries was
consistent with the decline in
the weight of the biggest
export companies.
8
In the first half of 2016, both the export volume and weight of the biggest
exporters fell significantly. The total exports of these companies amounted to
$10 billion, down 15% from 2015. The weight of the biggest exporters as a
percentage of total exports was 45.8% only, down from their weight in exports
over the last few years. Accordingly, the weight of other exporters increased
and in H1.2016 was 54.2%.
The total exports of these companies in H1.2016 amounted to $11.9 billion, up
4% from H1.2015.
(*) This executive summary presents the general trends in exports in the first half of
2016. A complete analysis of the data is presented below.
9
Developments and trends in Israeli exports
- Summary for the first half of 2016 -
Exports of Goods and Services
2015 was one of the worst years for Israeli exports and the worst since the
global credit crunch. In contrast to global trade, which continued to grow – by
2.8%, despite the global downturn, Israeli exports recorded a significant decline
in turnover, both in nominal and in real terms. This is the first time since 2002,
in which Israeli exports declined while global trade increased. According the
World Trade Organization, in 2016 global trade will grow by 2.8%, similar to the
growth rate in 2015.
Final trade data, which include the balance-of-payments, indicate that in the first
half of 2016 Israeli exports of goods and services3
remained stable compared to
H1.2015, totaling $45.8 billion4
. According to this analysis, goods exports fell by
6% in dollar terms, mainly due to the contraction in diamond and industrial
exports. Nevertheless, in contrast to the stagnation recorded by services exports
in 2015, in the first half of 2016, these exports rose 10% and offset the effect of
declines in goods exports – mainly owing to the accelerated growth in the
exports of computer, software and R&D services.
Exports of Goods 5
Exports of good: industry, diamonds and agriculture
In the first half of 2016, exports of goods fell 6% y-o-y in dollar terms, totaling
$26 billion, while exports of goods excluding diamonds fell 6% to $22 billion.
Exports of diamonds fell 9% to $4 billion (16% of total goods exports),
agricultural exports declined 5.5% to $715 million (3% of total goods exports),
while industrial exports, which accounts for 81% of total goods exports, declined
6% and totaled $21 billion.
3
Includes adjustments of foreign trade data to the balance of payments and exports to the
Palestinian Authority
4
The export data presented below are based on final CBS data (foreign trade and national
accounts data as of Q2/2016). These adjustments in the calculation of the balance-of-payments
include continuing projects, commodities that remained in Israeli ports as well as sales made by
subcontractors of Israeli companies. Details on the items included in the adjustment of foreign
trade data to balance-of-payment data is presented at the end of the review.
5
IEI’s estimates for the adjustment of foreign trade data to the balance of payments, excluding
exports to the Palestinian Authority.
10
Industrial exports
In the first half of 2016, industrial exports shrank in dollar terms, primarily due
to changes in the exports of major industries. An analysis of developments in
the exports of these industries points to a steep, across-the-board decline in
the exports of pharmaceuticals, electronic components and chemicals –
excluding these industries, exports remained virtually unchanged.
Exports of pharmaceuticals, which suffer from significant volatility due to the
effects of seasonality and changes in global demand – fell 12% in H1.2016
compared to H1.2015, and totaled $3.4 billion.
Chemical exports also declined considerably during H1.2016, primarily due to the
steep decline in global oil prices and the significant deceleration in global
demand for chemicals and minerals. Chemical exports fell by 16% in dollar terms
to $3.4 billion.
Exports of
electronic
components fell
by 20% to $2.2
billion. Total
exports of the
three industries,
which are highly
concentrated, fell
16% Y-o-Y to $9
billion – 41% only
of total exports
(goods, excluding
diamonds).
It is noted that exports of chemicals and oil distillates was affected not only by
the sharp decline in energy prices, but mostly by the waning demand in Europe
and the growing competition. In addition, due to the decline in energy prices,
distillate margins and profit margins decreased, although the prices of raw
materials and selling costs fell respectively. Mineral exports were similarly
affected, due to the steep decline in demand, mainly in developing markets,
and a decline in the selling prices of mineral products. The production and
exports of components was negatively affected due to upgrade works in Intel's
plants.
11
Following a sharp contraction in the first six months of 2016, pharmaceutical
exports are showing signs of recovery, based on trade data from the last few
months, and if this trend persists, pharmaceutical exports in 2016 will be
similar to those in 2015.
The impact of dominant sectors on industrial exports,
Exports in the first half of 2016 compared to prior periods (original data, in B$)
Source: Israel Export Institute
Exports of other industries (exports of goods excluding diamonds and excluding
dominant sectors) recorded a mixed trend and overall rose 3% in dollar terms
compared to 2015. Exports of other industries totaled $13 billion, accounting
for 59% of total exports.
13.0 12.7 12.8 12.6 13.0
4.9 5.8 5.7
4.1 3.4
3.1
3.2 3.7
3.8 3.4
1.8
2.3 2.3
2.7
2.2
-
5
10
15
20
25
H1.2012 H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016
B$
Electronic Components Pharmaceuticals Chemicals Rest of Export
12
Exports of industrial High-tech
In the first half of 2016 industrial high-tech exports declined 9% in dollar terms
to $11 billion, and currently accounts for more than half of industrial exports
from Israel.
This decline in exports is mainly attributable to the contraction in exports of
electronic components and pharmaceuticals, which fell 20% and 12%,
respectively, in the first six months. Despite this decline, these sectors remain
dominant in Israeli exports in general and in high tech exports in particular –
accounting for 52% of Israel's high tech exports. Their weight in total exports is
equivalent to more than one quarter of exported goods6
. It should be noted that
the electronic components industry is significantly influenced by the production
and export activities of Intel7
. Similarly, Teva's production, marketing and selling
activities have a strong impact on pharmaceutical exports, which account for a
big percentage of this industry's exports.
Concurrently with the
negative trend in these
industries, in the first six
months of 2016, exports
of computer systems,
electronic and optical
equipment (core high
tech index) fell by 7% (to
$3.6 billion). On the
other hand, exports of
aircrafts soared 23% y-o-
y (to $1.5 billion), while
exports of medical
equipment rose 14% (to
$660 million).
Exports of electronic components, pharmaceuticals and aircrafts are highly
concentrated, as only a small number of companies account for the bulk of these
exports. Other segments of industrial high tech exports – medical equipment
and electronic and optical instruments – are less concentrated with a higher
number of companies, without the dominance of any one company.
6
Excluding diamonds
7
In addition to chip production and exports, Intel has an extensive research and development
activity, which is estimated at $1 billion annually (considered as exports of R&D services).
13
Exports of high-tech by sector
H1.2016 versus H1.2015, (original data, $ billion)
Source: Israel Export Institute
Exports of other industries
Exports of other industries (industrial exports excluding high tech) was a mixed
bag and overall posted a 2% decline y-o-y in dollar terms (totaling $11 billion).
Chemicals exports naturally had the most significant impact with a 16% decline
from H1.2015 – without chemicals exports of other industries rose by 7%.
Exports of machinery and equipment which, among others, consist of agro-
technology, clean and alternative energy, printing, robotics, irrigation and food
machinery, increased 13% y-o-y and totaled $3 billion, exports of rubber and
plastics rose 5% to $1.1 billion, exports of electrical equipment which, among
others, consist of electric and electronic equipment and systems, rose 10% to
$630 million, exports of jewelry rose 3% to $340 million, exports of oil distillates
rose 20% to $310 million and exports of wood, paper and printing rose 24% to
$260 million. On the other hand, exports of food and beverages declined 7% to
$480 million, exports of textile and apparel declined 4% to $410 million and
exports of metals fell 18% to $260 million.
3.8
3.3
2.7
1.2
0.6
3.4
2.9
2.2
1.5
0.7
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Pharmaceuticals Electronic and
optical
instruments
Electronic
components
Aircrafts Medical
equipment
B$
H1.2015 H1.2016
14
Industrial exports, Exc. High-Tech
H1.2016 versus H1.2015, (original data, $ billion)
Source: Israel Export Institute
4.1
2.7
1.0
0.57 0.52 0.42
0.26 0.33
0.21
0.31
3.4
3.0
1.1
0.63
0.49 0.41 0.36 0.34 0.27 0.26
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
B$
H1.2015 H1.2016
15
Exports of goods by regions
Analysis of exports excl. diamonds by trading blocs - unadjusted
An analysis of the development in Israeli exports in the first half of 2016 points
to declines across-the-board, to all trading blocs. Bear in mind that an analysis
of exports by geographic regions is highly correlated to exports by industries. For
example, the sharp nominal decline in the exports of dominant industries in 2016
(pharmaceuticals, electronic components and chemicals) is also apparent when
analyzing exports by trading blocs. The decline in exports of chemicals and
pharmaceuticals had a significant impact on overall exports to the EU, which is a
major destination for these exports. The decline in exports to the US is mostly
attributable to fewer pharmaceutical shipments, while the decline in exports of
electronic components was the main reason for the decline in Israeli exports to
Asia in H1.2016.
The European Union
In the first half of 2016 commodity exports to EU countries fell by 9% y-o-y to
$6.8 billion – 32% of total exports. The decline in exports to EU countries is
mainly attributable to the decline in exports of pharmaceuticals and chemicals
(see explanations in the previous chapter) – bear in mind that more than 60% of
Israel's pharmaceuticals exports and one third of chemicals exports are directed
to EU countries.
Exports to Britain, Israel’s main export market in Europe and its second biggest
market in the world, fell steeply by 17%, in dollar terms, mainly driven by the
decline in pharmaceutical exports, which account for two thirds of total exports
to the country8
. A negative development was also recorded in exports to the
Netherlands and France (-4% each). In contrast, and consistent with the general
trend in exports to the EU, there was an overall increase in exports to Germany
(+3%), Italy (+4%), Spain (+13%) and Belgium (+22%).
The Euro's average rate in the period January-June 2016 was $1.116, unchanged
from its average rate in the same period of 2015 – a factor that highlights the
quantitative decline in exports to the EU during H1.2016.
8
In the past few years there is a clear trend of growth in pharmaceutical exports to Britain, and
accordingly a sharp increase in the weight of pharmaceuticals in total exports. In the last 3 years
(2013-2015) pharmaceutical exports accounted for 64% of total exports on average. In 2015,
these exports increased to a record amount of $2.5 billion – 68% of total exports to Britain.
16
The US
In the first half of 2016, exports to the US declined 3% from the same period in
2015- in line with the general negative trend, while in 2015 there was a decline in
total exports and stability in exports to the US. Exports to the US were negatively
impacted by the decline in exports of electronic components and
pharmaceuticals. Total exports to the US in H1.2016 amounted to $5.4 billion,
25% of total Israeli exports.
Asia
In the first half of 2016, Israeli exports to Asia posted a 13% decline. As
previously mentioned, exports of chemicals and electronic components had an
adverse impact on the general trend during the period, as a result of declines in
every industrial sector to nearly all Asian countries.
Exports to Asia fell by 8% (mostly owing to electronic components and minerals)
and the impressive recovery in exports to India during 2015 was curbed, as
exports to the country fell 9% in H1.2016. Declines were recorded in exports to
other Asian countries, among others Japan (-4%), South Korea (-16%), Singapore
(-27%) and Thailand (-8%).
Exports to Asian countries amounted to $4.6 billion, which account for 21% of
total exports.
Latin America
In the first half of 2016 exports to Latin American countries fell by 12% and
totaled $850 million (4% of total exports). In line with the negative trend in the
past few years, exports to Latin America were adversely affected by the
contraction in sales to Brazil (down 20%) – the strongest economy in Latin
America and Israel’s main export market in the region, which has been in a
continued state of crisis and high inflation, while the sharp depreciation in the
Brazilian Real has pushed up the prices of imported products and lowered
domestic demand. Exports also declined to Argentina (-6%) and Columbia (-
37%), which contributed their share to the negative trend in exports to the
region. Exports to Mexico, on the other hand, remained stable compared to the
first half of 2015.
17
Africa
In the first half of 2016, exports to Africa9
fell by 24%, further to the 22%
decline in 2015, the 4% decline in each of the years 2013-2014 and 16% in 2012.
The decline in export shipments to Africa primarily stems from the sharp
decrease in the value of exported chemical products. Exports to South Africa and
Egypt fell by 13% and 23%, respectively, while exports to Nigeria rose 12% from
H1.2015.
Total exports to Africa in H1.2016 decreased to $400 million, accounting for 2%
of total exports10
.
Exports in 2016 by trading regions
H1.2016 versus H1.2015, original data in $ billion,
Source: Israel Export Institute
9
Including exports to North African countries
10
It is noted that a large share of exports to African countries is categorized as "exports to
unclassified countries"
7.5
5.5 5.2
1.5 1.6
1.0
0.5 0.54
6.8
5.4
4.6
1.7
1.2
0.8
0.4 0.52
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
European
Union
U.S Asia Unclassified
Countries
Rest of
Europe
Latin
America
Africa Rest of
World
B$
H1.2015 H1.2016
E.U
32%
U.S
25%
Asia
21%
Unclassifie
d Countries
8%
Rest of
Europe
6%
Latin
America
4%
Africa
2%
Rest of
World
2%
18
Developments in Israel's Key Export Destinations
Export to main destinations by sectors (goods exc. Diamonds)
Exports to the ten biggest export targets in 2016 accounted for 60% of total
exports11
. In the first half of 2016 there was a decline in exports to 7 out of 10
major export destinations as compared to the same period in 2015. Among the
20 key destinations, which account for 76% of total exports, 13 recorded a
decrease in Israeli exports (6 recorded an increase and 1 remained unchanged).
The changes and fluctuations in major export industries had a clear impact on
the ranking of Israel’s major export markets in H1.2016. For example, the sharp
decrease in the exports of electronic components had a negative impact on
exports to China, pharmaceutical exports had a significant adverse impact on
exports to Britain, and exports of chemicals had a similar effect on sales to
Turkey – where this sector is a major component of total exports.
Israel’s 10 major export destinations –First half of 2016
Exports of goods excluding diamonds, change in % y-o-y
Excluding exports to the Palestinian Authority, Malaysia and Vietnam12
Source: Israel Export Institute
11
Goods excluding diamonds
12
Malaysia and Vietnam are not included in the 10 major export targets, since they are critically
affected by a single export industry (exports of electronic components).
19
The change in the ranking of 10 export destinations –First half of
2016
Based on exports of goods excluding diamonds, in billions of dollars, excluding exports
to the Palestinian Authority, Malaysia and Vietnam
Change in
rank
H1.2016
Rank
% change
Exports H1.2016
(B$)
Country
(-)1-3%5.4U.S
(-)2-17%2.0U.K
(-)3-8%1.1China
(-)4-4%1.1Netherlands
+153%0.7Germany
-16-35%0.6Turkey
(-)7-4%0.6France
(-)8-9%0.6India
(-)94%0.5Italy
+11013%0.4Spain
Source: Israel Export Institute
(* Exports to China including Hong Kong totalled $1.4 billion in H1.2016)
The weight of countries in exports –First half of 2016
In percent of total exports of goods excluding diamonds;
(*) Exports to China including Hong Kong, account for 6.5%
Source: Israel Export Institute
U.S
24.6%
U.K
9.0%
China
5.0%
Netherlands
5.0%
Germany
3.4%
Turkey
2.8%
France
2.8%
India
2.7%
Italy
2.1%
Spain
2.0%
R.O.W
40.6%
20
The United States
Exports of goods to the US, Israel’s main and most important export market,
fell 3% y-o-y in the first half of 2016, totaling $5.4 billion. The decline in
pharmaceutical exports, the main industrial exports to the US, together with the
decline in exports of chemicals and electronic components, were the main
factors that contributed to the contraction in exports.
In the first half of 2016, pharmaceutical exports to the US fell 4% to $1.46 billion,
after posting an impressive 14% increase in 2015, in the wake of many years of a
downward trend in exports (as shown by the chart). It is noted that
pharmaceuticals are a dominant industry in exports to the US (and overall in
Israeli exports), but also highly volatile. These exports are greatly affected by
Teva's production and export activities.
The impact of pharmaceutical on exports to the US, 2010-2015
Exports of goods excluding diamonds in $, billion
Source: Israel Export Institute
In line with the general downward trend, exports of electronic components
posted a steep 20% decline to $320 million; exports of chemicals and oil
distillates fell 3% to $550 million.
4.5
4.1
3.4
3.0
2.8
3.2
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Total export to U.S (left column)
Export of pharmaceuticals (right column)
21
Exports of other industries to the US point to a mixed trend. Among the major
export industries, there was a decline in exports of machinery and equipment
(down 9% to $345 million), exports of metals (down 8% to $240 million), exports
of telecommunication equipment (down 5% to $215 million), exports of control,
measurement and navigation instruments which, among others, includes
systems and testing equipment for the semiconductors industry (down 6% to
$205 million), exports of textiles and apparel (down 6% to $165 million) and
exports of engines and electric equipment, which among others, includes
equipment and systems in the field of alternative energy, electronics and
electricity (down 8% to $150 million).
On the other hand, there was an increase in the exports of medical-scientific
equipment (up 14% to $320 million), exports of rubber and plastic products (up
6% to $280 million), exports of office machinery and computer systems (up 18%
to $210 million), industrial equipment for control and optical equipment (up
39% to $155 million) and exports of jewelry (up 10% to $140 million).
United Kingdom
Unlike the upward trend in exports to the UK in the past few years, mainly
owing to the sharp growth in pharmaceutical exports, in the first half of 2016
exports to the UK posted a steep decline. Exports to the British Isle, Israel’s
biggest destination in Europe and ranking second among global markets, fell
17% in dollar terms and totaled $2 billion.
This decline is primarily attributable to the contraction in pharmaceutical exports
– a highly dominant industry in exports to the UK. In other major industries,
there was actually an improvement in exports compared to prior periods.
Excluding pharmaceuticals, exports to the UK remained virtually unchanged
from the first half of 2015.
It is important to emphasize the impact of the pound sterling's depreciation vis-
à-vis the dollar, which accounts for part of the decline in dollar-denominated
revenue from exports. In the period January-June 2016, the pound sterling's
average rate fell by 6% compared to H1.2015, without weighing the full effect of
the Brexit on currency exchange rates13
.
13
The referendum was conducted at the end of June and its results were published on June 24. In
July alone the pound sterling's average rate fell by 15% vis-à-vis the dollar.
22
Like the the US, exports to the UK are highly affected by the dominance of the
pharmaceutical industry, which is mostly attributed to Teva’s operations in the
UK, a major target market for the company. The sharp increase in
pharmaceutical exports to the country is the main factor that established
Britain’s position as Israel’s second export market globally and its biggest export
destination among European countries. The decline in exports of
pharmaceuticals in the first six months of 2016 was the main contributory
factor to the drop in total exports to the UK.
In the first six months of 2016, total exports of pharmaceuticals to the UK fell by
23% in dollar terms to $1.35 billion (compared to $1.75 billion in H1.2015).
Despite the steep decline, this industry remained dominant and at the end of the
first half it accounted for 68% of total exports to the country (similar to its weight
at the end of 2015).
Source: Israel Export Institute
0.71 0.72
0.63 0.62
1.02
1.56
1.75
1.35
59%
68%
74%
68%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016
B$
Trends in exports to the UK
(H1.2013-H1.2016)
Total export - Exc. Pharmaceuticals
Export of pharmaceuticals
% Share of pharmaceuticals
23
Exports to the UK by other industries were mixed: exports of chemicals and oil
distillates fell 4% to $125 million, agricultural exports rose by 11% to $80 million,
exports of rubber and plastics remained unchanged compared to its volume in
H1.2015 ($70 million), exports of metals increased by 23% to $55 million, exports
of textiles rose 38% to $38 million, exports of telecommunication equipment
declined by 15% to $30 million and exports of industrial testing equipment
soared by 68% to $30 million.
China
In January-June 2016 Israeli exports to China fell by 8% y-o-y, totaling $1.1
billion. In 2016, exports to China were affected by significant volatility in two
major industries: electronic components and minerals.
In the past few years, China has established its position as Israel’s biggest and
most important export destination in Asia, especially in light of the continued
decrease in Israeli exports to the Indian market, which until recently was equally
significant as the Chinese market.
The dominant sector exporting to China in the last few years is electronic
components, which is largely dominated by Intel. Exports of components in 2015
soared by 53% to $1.6 billion – accounting for more than half of Israeli exports to
China (52% of total exports). In 2016, in line with the overall trend and for
reasons stated above, exports of electronic components to China posted a 28%
decline compared to the same period in 2015 and amounted to $410 million
(37% of total exports to China)14
.
As written in the previous report summarizing export trends in 2015, in the first
half of 2016, exports of minerals to China fell steeply, following a delay in the
execution of new agreements15
. As stated, in the first two quarters of 2016,
exports of minerals fell steeply by 77% Y-o-Y and totaled $20 million only.
14
Global Intel holds assembly and testing facilities in several locations in Asia (mainly in China, Vietnam and
Malaysia) to where the chips manufactured in the company’s plants in Israel are sent. Changes in the
exports of components result from Intel’s business considerations and decisions regarding the allocation
of exports among target markets, and do not necessarily point to changes in local demand.
15
"In the first quarter of 2016 and perhaps even in the second quarter, mineral exports are expected to
Developments and trends in–decline as new agreements with the large importers have been delayed"
Israeli exports, Summary of 2015 and forecasts for 2016
24
In the third and fourth quarters of 2016, mineral exports are expected to show
some recovery, owing to a new supply agreement for 2016. However, given the
decline in global prices, excess demand and the previous sale agreements of
leading companies in the industry, new mineral selling prices are expected to be
30% lower than in 2015, which is bound to affect export revenues.
In contrast to the downward trend in the exports of minerals and electronic
components, export of chemicals, one of the major industrial exports to China,
posted a sharp 85% increase compared to H1.2015, and amounted to $132
million (12% of exports compared to 10% on average in the last few years). It is
noted that this increase is especially high given the general trend in chemical
exports and the impact of the decline in global energy prices.
Source: Israel Export Institute
390
442
478
543
775
843
727
562
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016
M$
Trends in exports to China – dominant
sectors versus others
(H1.2013-H1.2016)
Rest of export to china
Export of Electronic components, Minerals & Chemicals
25
As the chart shows, according to an analysis of exports by industries, the trend
of growth in other industrial exports continued (total exports excluding
dominant industries).
Among others, an increase was recorded in exports of industrial control and
measurement instruments16
(soared 120% to $120 million), exports of
telecommunication equipment (up 9% to $35 million), exports of office
machinery and computer systems (rose 90% to $30 million), exports of rubber
and plastic products (rose 15% to $20 million), exports of engines and electrical
equipment (rose 15% to $20 million), agricultural exports (soared 350% to $17
million) and exports of industrial equipment for control and optical equipment
(increased 37% to $15 million).
In contrast to these industries, and after a continued upward trend, exports of
medical equipment fell 15% to $112 million and exports of machinery and
equipment fell 4% to $95 million.
Main export industries to China (excluding electronic components)
H1.2016 Compare to H1.2015 (M$)
Source: Israel Export Institute
16
Mainly consisting of equipment for the testing of production processes in the semi-conductors
industry
132
118
112
94
41
35
31
21 21 20 17
71
54
133
98
46
32
16
90
18 17
4
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
M$
H1.2016 H1.2015
26
The Netherlands
Total exports to the Netherlands in the first half of 2016 came to $1.1 billion,
down 4% from H1.2015. Like many countries in the region, exports to the
Netherlands were affected by the sharp decrease in pharmaceutical shipments
to Europe – a major destination for pharmaceutical exports. On the other hand,
and in contrast to the general trend, there was an increase in exports of chemical
products to the country. It is likely, however, that the Netherlands serves as a
gateway for these shipments, which are shipped to other European countries17
.
As stated, there was a mixed trend in the exports of major industries to the
Netherlands:
Exports of chemicals and oil distillates, which accounts for 27% of total exports
to the Netherlands, rose 4% to $295 million. Exports of pharmaceuticals, which
posted sharp growth rates in 2012-2014 and a 16% decline in 2015, fell 24% in
the first half of 2016 to $205 million (19% of total exports to the country).
Exports of machinery and equipment, also a key export industry to the
Netherlands, rose 11% to $220 million (19% of total exports).
In addition, agricultural exports declined 10% to $75 million, exports of foods
and beverages fell 15% to $35 million, exports of telecommunication equipment
fell 30% to $30 million and exports of rubber and plastic products declined 3% to
$30 million.
On the other hand, exports of medical-scientific equipment increased 3% to $35
million, exports of office machinery and computer systems rose 27% to $30
million, and exports of mineral products rose 13% to $30 million.
Germany
As of mid-2016, Germany is the 5th
biggest market for Israeli exports in the world and
the third in Europe18
. Exports to Germany are highly diverse, with no one dominant
industry or company that has a marked impact on exports to the country. Exports to
Germany rose 3% to $740 million.
17
It should be noted that many Israeli companies have parent companies, subsidiaries or
affiliates in the Netherlands, and the country constitutes a gateway for Israeli companies to
other European countries and several countries outside Europe.
18
Given the fact that the Netherlands is a passageway for goods to other destinations around the
world and that goods exported from Israel to the Netherlands are not intended solely for this
market, some consider Germany as the second most important exports market in Europe.
27
Among the main export industries, exports of chemicals and oil distillates rose
19% to $105 million (14% of total exports to Germany), exports of rubber and
plastics increased 8% to $80 million (11% of exports), while exports of machinery
and equipment fell 7% to $90 million (12% of total exports).
Other exports pointed to a mixed trend: exports of metal products rose 6% to
$65 million, exports of pharmaceuticals rose 20% to $40 million, exports of
engines and electrical equipment increased by 10% to $40 million and exports of
textile products and apparel rose 18% to $25 million. On the other hand, exports
of medical-scientific equipment fell 10% to $45 million, agricultural exports
declined 6% to $30 million and exports of telecommunication equipment fell 8%
to $25 million.
Turkey
The downward trend in exports to Turkey in 2015 continued in the first half of
2016. Following a steep 40% decline last years, Israel's exports to Turkey fell by
35% to $625 million. The sharp decrease in exports to the country is
attributable to the exports of chemical products and oil distillates, which fell
44% y-o-y and totaled $420 million (for the sake of comparison, the value of
export shipments in the first half of 2015 was $755 while in the first half of 2014,
export shipments amounted to $1.2 billion.
As emphasized in this review, the main reason for the drastic contraction in the
exports of chemicals and oil distillates is attributable to the sharp decline in
global energy prices; at the same time, the weakness of global trade, the waning
global demand and the growing competition in this industry are also contributory
factors. It should also be noted that exports of chemicals and oil distillates to
Turkey is not necessarily intended for the local market and in many cases Turkey
serves as a passageway for some of the commodity shipments.
Export to Turkey is highly concentrated and in the last few years has been
affected by changes in the main export industry - chemicals and oil distillates.
Excluding chemicals and oil distillates, exports to Turkey remain virtually at the
same level as in the first half of 2015.
28
In the first two quarters of 2016, there was a mixed trend in exports to Turkey:
exports of metals rose 31% to $45 million, exports of pharmaceuticals rose 4%
to $20 million, and exports of paper and printing products soared 67% to $20
million.
On the other hand, On the other hand, exports of minerals declined 6% to $26
million, exports of engines and electrical equipment fell by 35% to $15 million
and exports of plastic and rubber products declined 13% to $10 million.
Noteworthy is the rapid depreciation in the Turkish Lira vis-à-vis the dollar, which
contributed to the negative sentiment and the waning demand for commodities.
France
In the first half of 2016, exports to France decreased by 4% in dollar terms, and
amounted to $620 billion. The decline in exports was mainly due to the
contraction in the export shipments of major industries.
Israel primarily exports advanced metal products, chemicals and agricultural
produce to France, which together account for half of exports to the country.
Exports of metal products declined 9% to $130 million, exports of chemicals
declined by 5% to $85 million and exports of agricultural produce fell by 11% to
$75 million. In addition, exports of aircrafts posted a 20% decline to $30 million,
following the completion of a transaction in 2015.
Several industries recorded an increase compared to the first half of 2015:
exports of rubber and plastic products rose by 3% to $55 million, exports of
machinery and equipment increased by 11% to $50 million, exports of medical
equipment rose by 22% to $30 million, exports of food and beverages increased
slightly by 3% to $25 million, exports of telecommunication equipment rose 5%
to $25 million and exports of pharmaceuticals increased by 17% to $20 million.
India
Exports to India totaled $580, down 9% from the first half of 2015. In 2015
Israeli exports to India posted a sharp double-digit growth (21%), following a
continued contraction in India’s demand for Israeli goods in the period 2010-
2013.
29
Exports of telecommunication equipment declined by 11% to $125 million,
exports of industrial equipment for control, optical equipment and
photographic instruments fell by 47% to $35 million, exports of control,
measurement and navigation instruments fell by 74% to $20 million, exports of
electronic equipment decreased by 17% to $4 million and exports of aircrafts
posted a sharp 97% decline from $25 million to less than $1 million.
In the first half of 2016, the aggregate exports of these industries fell by 23% y-o-
y to $290 million – 50% of total exports to India, compared to 58% in H1.2015.
Other export industries registered an upward trend. Exports of chemicals,
despite the negative developments during the first half of 2016, maintained
stability compared to H1.2015 and totaled $85 million, exports of minerals rose
by 44% to $80 million, exports of machinery and equipment remained
unchanged compared to H1.2015 ($40 million), exports of electronic
components soared by 46% to $14 million and exports of machinery and
computer systems also spared 48% to $14 million.
Exports to India
H1.2011 – H1.2016, Exports of goods excluding diamonds (in M$)
Source: Israel Export Institute
585 593 585
449
643
582
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
H1.2011 H1.2012 H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016
M$
30
Italy
Israeli exports to Italy in the first half of 2016 totaled $470 million – up 4% from
H1.2015, following a sharp 23% decline in exports y-o-y in 2015. Exports to Italy
were strongly affected by the contraction in the exports of chemicals and oil
distillates (down 15% to $180 million), a key exporting industry to Italy, which
usually represents half of total exports. Exports of aircrafts, on the other hand,
posted a sharp increase to $45 million, following the completion of a transaction
that was signed in 201219
.
Exports to Italy were a mixed bag: machinery and equipment declined by 4% to
$41 million, exports of rubber and plastic products rose by 13% to $40 million,
exports of minerals increased by 28% to $15 million), exports of agricultural
produce fell 7% to $13 million and exports of industrial control equipment fell
18% to $12 million.
Spain
Similar to the trends in exports to Italy, in 2015 Israeli exports to Spain were
significantly impacted by the sharp volatility in exports of oil distillates, the
main export industry, which accounts for more than half of Israel's exports to
Spain, and which fell by 26% in dollar terms y-o-y. The first half of 2016 saw a
slight improvement and exports rose by 13% to $450 million.
In the first half of 2016, exports of chemicals and oil distillates declined by 4% y-
o-y to $150 million. Excluding this industry, export shipments to Spain grew by
24% from the same period of 2015.
Accordingly, almost all export industries registered an upward trend: exports of
machinery and equipment rose by 25% to $67 million, exports of paper and
printing products soared 600% to $40 million, exports of rubber and plastic
products increased by 6 % to $23 million, exports of food and beverages soared
200% to $14 million, exports of minerals rose 14% to $12 million and exports of
telecommunication equipment soared 140% to $12 million.
19
In July 2012 Israel and Italy signed an offset agreement (reciprocal trade transactions), pursuant
to which the Italian government has undertaken to carry out reciprocal trade transactions in
excess of $1 billion with the Israeli defence industries.
31
Exports of Services
In contrast to the overall downward trend, the balance-of-payment data point to
continued growth in exports of services – Israel's growth engine in the past few
years. As exports of goods continue to stagnate, services exports continue to
grow rapidly from one year to the next, supporting the moderate growth of
Israeli exports, or at least offsetting most of the decline in total exports. After
maintaining stability in 2015, in the first half of 2016 exports of services
returned to a growth track owning to the sharp increase in exports of R&D,
software and computer services.
In the first half of 2016, exports of services increased by 10% y-o-y to $18.5
billion20
. Exports of business services rose 16% to $14 billion, and currently
accounts for 76% of total services exports (!) This growth is mainly attributable to
the exports of high tech services (R&D, computer and software services). As in
previous years, in 2016 exports of computer and software services continued to
grow, rising 18% in the first six month to $6.2 billion. Exports of R&D services21
grew 45% to $2.5 billion.
According to the balance-of-payments data, in the period January-June 2016, the
value of exports attributable to the sale of start-up companies was $1 billion,
representing a 200% increase from the same period in 201522
. If we include
exports of start-ups in the exports of services, we see that total services
exported from Israel grew by 13%.
The continued increase in exports of services was due to the sharp growth in
exports of business services, which is expected to grow 18% year-over-year in
the first half of 2014 (excluding start-ups). The growth in business services
exports is mainly attributed to exports of computer and software services,
which soared 25% from the start of 2014 and now accounts for 30% of total
services exports. Exports of business services, including startups, are expected to
grow 1% and total $12 billion.
20
Excluding start-up services
21
Including scientific R&D services, which consist of technological incubators and start-up
companies; excluding software R&D centers.
22
It is noted that the calculation of exports of start-up services is performed by the CBS; these are
considered exports in cases where the sale of the start-up to a foreign buyer involves the
overseas transfer of the product/intellectual property (asset), which was developed by the
acquired company. In these cases the transaction, or a part thereof, is recorded as exports of
services.
32
11.5 13.8 14.2 14.7 15.6
7.4 9.8
17.9
19.2 20.3 21.0 20.1
9.9
9.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1.2015 H1.2016
Rest of Services sectors
R&D, Computer & Software services (Inc. Start-up companies)
In the first half of 2016, total exports of high tech services amounted to $9.8
billion – up 33% from H1.2015. These exports currently account for 50% of total
revenues from exports of services. In fact, the entire growth recorded in 2015
and in the first half of 2016 is attributable to exports of high tech services –
excluding this sector, exports of services would decline by 4% and 1%,
respectively.
Other sectors of business services recorded a mixed trend: exports of
professional services increased by 7% to $1.6 billion, exports of services to
industrial sectors rose 3% to $1.1 billion, exports of wholesale commerce
increased 9% to $750 million; on the other hand, exports of banking and
financial services fell by 7% to $320 million and exports of communication
services declined 4% to $170 million.
Our analysis further indicates that tourism is still struggling to recover. This
industry continues to suffer from weak demand and from the depreciation of
both the Euro and the Ruble against the NIS, which significantly hurt incoming
tourism from Russia and the European Union. Total tourism exports in the first
half of 2016 amounted to $2.6 billion, down 3% from H1.2015, after declining 5%
in 2015. Further to the trend of prior years, in the first six months of 2016
exports of transportation services were negatively affected by the general
weakness in global trade, and they fell 14% to $1.75 billion, after posting an 8%
decline in 2015.
Export of Services, 2011-2015 and H1.2016 versus H1.2015, (original data, $
billion)
Source: Israel Export Institute
33
Exchange Rate
Changes in the exchange rate, particularly the dollar against the shekel, have a
direct and significant impact on the revenues of Israeli companies from
exports. According to the Central Bureau of Statistics, 86% of export
transactions are carried out in US dollar, 11% in Euro and 3% in other
currencies.
Israeli new shekel – US dollar
The strengthening of the US dollar, which began in the third quarter of 2014,
continued in 2015. The dollar, which fell to a 3-year low in August 2014, trading
at NIS 3.40/dollar, changed course and crossed the NIS 4.00 threshold, for the
first time since September 2012. In 2015, the dollar-shekel's exchange rate
averaged at NIS 3.88 – 8.6% above its average in 2014. In the first half of 2016,
the dollar weakened against the shekel and its average rate was NIS 3.864 –
down 1.1% from the first half of 2015.
Israeli new shekel – US dollar, 2005-2016
Source of data: Bank of Israel, Analysis: Israel Export Institute
34
Israeli new shekel - Euro
In line with the Euro's depreciation against the dollar in 2015 and the dollar's
appreciation vis-à-vis the shekel, the Israeli currency's average rate appreciated
against the Euro. In 2015, the Euro-shekel average exchange was NIS 4.31
compared to NIS 4.75 in 2014 – down 9.2% to its lowest level in 13 years. In the
first quarter of 2016 the Euro slightly appreciated against the shekel, but later
weakened and overall in H1.2016 it fell by 1.4% against the shekel.
Israeli new shekel – Euro, 2005-2016
Source of data: Bank of Israel, Analysis: Israel Export Institute
The currency basket - Effective exchange rates
During 2014, the shekel’s real exchange rate relative to the currency basket fell
to a 13-year low. While in the second half of 2014 the currency basket rose 8% to
99.25 points (an 18-month record high), in the first 7 months of 2015, it fell back
to the low level in July 2014. Overall in 2015, the real-effective currency basket
remained unchanged from its annual average in 2014, when it reached its lowest
point since early 2002.
35
In 2016 the trend of erosion in the shekel-basket exchange rate continued and
it is 1% below its average level in 2015. Since 2012, the shekel’s real exchange
rate vis-à-vis the currency basket increased by 8% and since 2007, the local
currency appreciated by 17%.
Chart 1:
The real-effective currency basket, 2002-2016
Source of data: Bank of Israel, Analysis: Israel Export Institute
It is noted that a 10% increase in the effective exchange rate leads to a 2%
decline in exports, which is only evident 8-14 months later, and to a 0.5%
decline in GDP, i.e., an annual loss of $6 billion in exports.
The shekel’s appreciation has continually eroded the profits of Israeli exporters
undermining their competitiveness against overseas markets. The findings of a
financial analysis, which was conducted by the IEI's economic division, and which
examined the financial performance of public exporters in the period 2008-
2013, pointed to a clear erosion in the companies' profitability, amid the
shekel's appreciation. The report further showed that during this period export-
oriented companies recorded a steeper decline in their operating and profit
margins than companies that sell primarily in the domestic market. In our
opinion, the stagnation in exports and erosion in profitability are affected by
several factors, domestic and foreign, which significantly weigh on the business
activities of Israeli exporters, the key ones being the shekel's appreciation and
the slowing growth in global trade.
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
36
As shown by studies conducted by the Bank of Israel, global trade is the main
factor affecting real growth in Israeli exports, while the growth rate in Israeli
exports has consistently outpaced global trade. In the last few years the trend
has changed and while global trade has grown in 2008-2015 by a real
cumulative rate of 21%, Israel's goods export (excluding diamonds) have
increased by a cumulative rate of 11% only! (Chart 2). Bear in mind that since
2012 the shekel has been appreciating against the currency basket.
Chart 2:
The growth in global trade versus the growth in Israeli goods exports23
Source: Israel Export Institute
Chart 3 clearly points to a continued rise in the shekel's real exchange rate in
the years 2008-2012, which fueled the rapid growth in Israeli exports during
that period. Since 2008, the shekel began to appreciate rapidly against other
currencies and results were soon to follow.
23
Excluding diamonds
37
Chart 3:
Exports and the exchange rate, 2001-2015
Exports of goods and services versus the real exchange rate in the prior year
Source: Israel Export Institute
38
Appendices
A. Adjustment of exports to the Balance of Payments
Export figures based on foreign trade data (deriving from export records) do not
include various adjustments in the calculation of goods and services exports in the
balance-of-payment:
Most of the adjustments in exports arise from the following:
1. Sales are recorded based on the work-in-progress in large plants: these
plants carry out large-scale projects, while a partial execution of the projects
is recognized as a sale that can be recorded in the company’s books. The
entry in the balance-of-payments is based on the reports of companies that
use this method, while the amounts reported by customs for such exports
are deducted from foreign trade data.
2. International trade in goods sold overseas, where such goods do not enter or
exit the country: pursuant to the new international guidelines for entry in
the balance-of-payment, these transactions are recorded as exports of goods
(in 2010 such transactions were recorded in the balance-of-services), where
the purchase of goods overseas or the cost of production overseas by
subcontractors are recorded as negative exports, and the sale of goods
overseas to the end customer is recorded as a positive export. The summary
of the two transactions will be recorded as net exports of goods.
3. Exports to the Palestinian Authority: these exports are recorded based on
VAT invoices rather than customs documents, and are therefore not
included in foreign trade data.
39
B. The currency basket
The nominal exchange rate is an average of the shekels' exchange rate vis-à-
vis 26 currencies, which represent 33 countries – Israel's main trading
partners, according to their respective weights. For a more accurate
measurement of the development in exchange rates, the Bank of Israel
measures the real-effective exchange rate of the currency basket, which is
composed of the shekel’s exchange rate against 26 currencies that represent
33 countries – Israel's main trading partners, by weight, net of the effect of
inflation differences vis-a-vis each country.
The weights are as follows:
# Country ISO Weights as of 1/2010
1 USA USD 26.41%
2 China CNY 10.16%
3 Germany EUR 7.58%
4 UK GBP 5.97%
5 Turkey TRY 4.59%
6 France EUR 3.99%
7 Italy EUR 3.86%
8 The Netherlands EUR 3.08%
9 Spain EUR 2.52%
10 Japan JPY 2.32%
11 Switzerland CHF 2.24%
12 India INR 2.11%
13 The Russian Federation RUB 2.03%
14 South Korea KRW 2.02%
15 Cyprus EUR 2.01%
16 Belgium EUR 1.75%
17 Ireland EUR 1.58%
18 Brazil BRL 1.55%
19 Taiwan TWD 1.48%
20 Canada CAD 1.43%
21 Hong Kong HKD 1.30%
22 Malaysia MYR 1.25%
23 Ukraine UAH 1.23%
24 Singapore SGD 0.97%
25 Vietnam VND 0.86%
26 Thailand THB 0.84%
27 Australia AUD 0.84%
28 Mexico MXN 0.82%
29 Sweden SEK 0.81%
30 Poland PLN 0.79%
31 The Czech Republic CZK 0.73%
32 Hungary HUF 0.50%
33 Costa Rica CRC 0.39%
Source: Bank of Israel
40
For further information please contact:
Itay Zehorai
Head of Economics and Research
Israel Export Institute
Tel: 03-5142803, email: itayz@export.gov.il
Shauli Katznelson
Deputy Director General for Economics & Professional Services
Israel Export Institute
Tel: 03-5142961, email: shauli@export.gov.il

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Israeli Exports Analysis H1 2016

  • 1. 1 Developments and Trends In Israeli Exports Summary for first half of 2016 Written by the Economic Department The Israel Export and International Cooperation Institute September 2016
  • 2. 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary.............................................................................................. 3 Exports of Goods and Services............................................................................. 9 Exports of Goods ................................................................................................. 9 Industrial exports ............................................................................................ 10 Exports of industrial High-tech........................................................................ 12 Exports of other industries.............................................................................. 13 Exports of goods by regions............................................................................... 15 The European Union........................................................................................ 15 The US ............................................................................................................. 16 Asia.................................................................................................................. 16 Latin America .................................................................................................. 16 Africa............................................................................................................... 17 Developments in Israel's Key Export Destinations ........................................... 18 The United States............................................................................................ 20 United Kingdom .............................................................................................. 21 China ............................................................................................................... 23 The Netherlands.............................................................................................. 26 Germany.......................................................................................................... 26 Turkey.............................................................................................................. 27 France.............................................................................................................. 28 India ................................................................................................................ 28 Italy ................................................................................................................. 30 Spain................................................................................................................ 30 Exports of Services ............................................................................................. 31 Exchange Rate .................................................................................................... 33
  • 3. 3 Executive Summary Trends in exports in 2016 In the first half of 2016, Israeli exports of goods and services totaled $45.8 billion, virtually unchanged compared to the first half of 2015. Exports of goods (excluding exports to the Palestinian Authority) fell by 6% in H1.2016 following the decline in industrial exports and diamond exports. However, after stagnating in 2015, in the first half of 2016 exports of services grew 10%1 and offset the negative effect of the decline in goods exports – primarily owing to the accelerated growth in exports of computer, software and R&D services. Exports of goods Diamond exports in the first half of 2016 fell by 9% in dollar terms to $4 billion, agricultural exports shrank by 5.5% y-o-y to $715 million, and industrial exports fell 6%, totaling $21 billion. An analysis of trends in industrial exports points to a sharp, across-the-board decline in the exports of dominant exports: electronic components, pharmaceuticals and chemicals – excluding these sectors, virtually the entire decline in goods exports is offset. Industrial high-tech exports fell by 9% in dollar terms, to $11 billion, but nevertheless still accounts for more than 50% of total industrial exports. The decline in high tech exports is mainly attributed to the decline in exports of electronic components and pharmaceuticals. Concurrent with the negative trend in these sectors, exports of computer systems, electronic and optical instruments (the core high-tech index) fell by 7%. On the other hand, exports of aircrafts rose sharply by 23% and exports of medical equipment increased by 14%. Exports of other sectors (industrial exports excluding high tech) was a mixed bag, and overall fell slightly by 2% in dollar terms Y-o-Y to $11 billion. Exports of chemicals, which fell 16% from H1.2015, as a result of global price declines, had a significant impact. Excluding this sector, exports of other industrial sectors rose by 7%. 1 Excluding high tech companies; including high tech, exports of services rose 13%.
  • 4. 4 Exports by trading regions An analysis of trends in the first half of 2016 points to a decline in dollar terms to all the trading regions. Exports to the European Union fell by 9% in dollar terms, Israeli exports to Asian countries fell by a double-digit figure of 13%, exports to the US declined 3%, exports to Latin America fell 12% and exports to Africa dropped by 24% from the first half of 2015. The sharp decline in dollar terms in the first half of 2016 in the exports of dominant sectors (pharmaceuticals, electronic components and chemicals) is repeated when analyzing exports by trading regions: the decline in exports of chemicals and pharmaceuticals had a significant impact on exports to the European Union, which is a major target market for these industries; the decline in exports to the US is mainly attributable to the decline in pharmaceutical shipments, while the decline in exports of electronic components was the main cause of the decline in Israeli exports to Asia in the first half of 2016. Exports of goods to leading destinations The developments in major export industries are consistent with the overall trends in Israeli exports to the leading destinations. For example, the sharp decline in exports of electronic components had a negative impact on exports to China, pharmaceutical exports had a negative impact on exports to the UK, and chemical exports had a similar impact on exports to Turkey, since chemicals are a major components of exports to this country. Exports to the US, Israel's biggest and most important target market, fell slightly, mainly due to the decline in exports of pharmaceuticals. A similar trend was recorded in exports to the UK, Israel's second-ranking export market and the biggest in Europe, since pharmaceuticals account for more than two thirds of exports to this country. Exports to the UK fell sharply by 17%, however, excluding pharmaceuticals, exports remained stable.
  • 5. 5 China ranks third among export destinations and is Israel’s biggest export target in Asia - 27% of Israeli goods exports to the continent are intended for the Chinese market (32% including Hong Kong). Israeli exports to China in H1.2016 totaled $1.1 billion – down 8% from H1.2015. Exports were affected by major developments in two major sectors: electronic components and minerals. Israel's 10 leading export destinations in h1.2016 The trend in exports to Turkey in 2015 continued in H1.2016. After dropping by 40% in 2015, Israeli exports to Turkey in H1.2016 fell by 35%, totaling $625 million only. The sharp decline in exports to Turkey was primarily due to the decline in the value of exports of chemicals and oil distillates. Excluding this sector, exports to Turkey remained relatively unchanged from H1.2015. Israeli exports to India totaled $580 million, 9% lower than H1.2015, in the wake of an impressive recovery in 2015, with a double-digit 21% increase in exports to India. This recovery follows a continued contraction in exports to India in 2010- 2013. The growth in exports in 2015 was due to the completion of several defense-related transactions, which led to a sharp increase in defense-related exports. Accordingly, in the first half of 2016, exports to India fell steeply, led by these sectors.
  • 6. 6 Among major export destinations in H1.2016, exports decreased to France (- 4%) and to the Netherlands (-4%) but increased to Germany (+3%), Italy (+4%) and Spain (+13%). Exports of services In contrast to the overall negative trend, Israel's balance-of-payments data point to continued growth in exports of services – the growth engine of Israeli exports in the past few years. While in 2015 exports of services maintained stability, in the first half of 2016 these exports continued to grow, owing to the sharp increase in exports of R&D, software and computer services. During the first half of 2016, services exports rose by 10% in dollar terms compared to H1.2015, totaling $18.5 billion2 . This is attributable to the increase in exports of high- tech services – R&D, computer and software services – which amounted to $9 billion in H1.2016 – up 25% from H1.2015. These exports currently account for half of total Israeli services exports. Exports of tourism services fell by 3% and continued to suffer from weak demand in 2015 and from the depreciation of both the Euro and the Ruble vis-à- vis the shekel. Exports of transportation services in H1.2016 fell by 14%, negatively affected by the general weakness in global trade. 2 Excluding exports of start-up services
  • 7. 7 The exchange rate The strengthening of the US dollar – which accounts for 86% of export transactions – continued in 2015 and: the dollar's average rate in 2015 was NIS 3.88 – 8.6% higher than its average in 2014. In H1.2016, the dollar decline against the NIS and its average rate was 3.864 – down 1.1% from its rate in H1.2015. The Euro-shekel exchange rate averaged NIS 4.31 in 2015, compared to NIS 4.75 in 2014 – falling 9.2% to its lowest level in 13 years. In the first quarter of 2016, the Euro slightly recovered vis-à-vis the shekel, but later declined in the second quarter of 2016. Overall in the first half of 2016 the Euro fell by 1.4 against the NIS. Concentration of Israeli exports The sharp decline in the exports of major industries (pharmaceuticals, electronic components and chemicals), was also recorded in the exports of major companies, and the sharp decline in the weight of these industries was consistent with the decline in the weight of the biggest export companies.
  • 8. 8 In the first half of 2016, both the export volume and weight of the biggest exporters fell significantly. The total exports of these companies amounted to $10 billion, down 15% from 2015. The weight of the biggest exporters as a percentage of total exports was 45.8% only, down from their weight in exports over the last few years. Accordingly, the weight of other exporters increased and in H1.2016 was 54.2%. The total exports of these companies in H1.2016 amounted to $11.9 billion, up 4% from H1.2015. (*) This executive summary presents the general trends in exports in the first half of 2016. A complete analysis of the data is presented below.
  • 9. 9 Developments and trends in Israeli exports - Summary for the first half of 2016 - Exports of Goods and Services 2015 was one of the worst years for Israeli exports and the worst since the global credit crunch. In contrast to global trade, which continued to grow – by 2.8%, despite the global downturn, Israeli exports recorded a significant decline in turnover, both in nominal and in real terms. This is the first time since 2002, in which Israeli exports declined while global trade increased. According the World Trade Organization, in 2016 global trade will grow by 2.8%, similar to the growth rate in 2015. Final trade data, which include the balance-of-payments, indicate that in the first half of 2016 Israeli exports of goods and services3 remained stable compared to H1.2015, totaling $45.8 billion4 . According to this analysis, goods exports fell by 6% in dollar terms, mainly due to the contraction in diamond and industrial exports. Nevertheless, in contrast to the stagnation recorded by services exports in 2015, in the first half of 2016, these exports rose 10% and offset the effect of declines in goods exports – mainly owing to the accelerated growth in the exports of computer, software and R&D services. Exports of Goods 5 Exports of good: industry, diamonds and agriculture In the first half of 2016, exports of goods fell 6% y-o-y in dollar terms, totaling $26 billion, while exports of goods excluding diamonds fell 6% to $22 billion. Exports of diamonds fell 9% to $4 billion (16% of total goods exports), agricultural exports declined 5.5% to $715 million (3% of total goods exports), while industrial exports, which accounts for 81% of total goods exports, declined 6% and totaled $21 billion. 3 Includes adjustments of foreign trade data to the balance of payments and exports to the Palestinian Authority 4 The export data presented below are based on final CBS data (foreign trade and national accounts data as of Q2/2016). These adjustments in the calculation of the balance-of-payments include continuing projects, commodities that remained in Israeli ports as well as sales made by subcontractors of Israeli companies. Details on the items included in the adjustment of foreign trade data to balance-of-payment data is presented at the end of the review. 5 IEI’s estimates for the adjustment of foreign trade data to the balance of payments, excluding exports to the Palestinian Authority.
  • 10. 10 Industrial exports In the first half of 2016, industrial exports shrank in dollar terms, primarily due to changes in the exports of major industries. An analysis of developments in the exports of these industries points to a steep, across-the-board decline in the exports of pharmaceuticals, electronic components and chemicals – excluding these industries, exports remained virtually unchanged. Exports of pharmaceuticals, which suffer from significant volatility due to the effects of seasonality and changes in global demand – fell 12% in H1.2016 compared to H1.2015, and totaled $3.4 billion. Chemical exports also declined considerably during H1.2016, primarily due to the steep decline in global oil prices and the significant deceleration in global demand for chemicals and minerals. Chemical exports fell by 16% in dollar terms to $3.4 billion. Exports of electronic components fell by 20% to $2.2 billion. Total exports of the three industries, which are highly concentrated, fell 16% Y-o-Y to $9 billion – 41% only of total exports (goods, excluding diamonds). It is noted that exports of chemicals and oil distillates was affected not only by the sharp decline in energy prices, but mostly by the waning demand in Europe and the growing competition. In addition, due to the decline in energy prices, distillate margins and profit margins decreased, although the prices of raw materials and selling costs fell respectively. Mineral exports were similarly affected, due to the steep decline in demand, mainly in developing markets, and a decline in the selling prices of mineral products. The production and exports of components was negatively affected due to upgrade works in Intel's plants.
  • 11. 11 Following a sharp contraction in the first six months of 2016, pharmaceutical exports are showing signs of recovery, based on trade data from the last few months, and if this trend persists, pharmaceutical exports in 2016 will be similar to those in 2015. The impact of dominant sectors on industrial exports, Exports in the first half of 2016 compared to prior periods (original data, in B$) Source: Israel Export Institute Exports of other industries (exports of goods excluding diamonds and excluding dominant sectors) recorded a mixed trend and overall rose 3% in dollar terms compared to 2015. Exports of other industries totaled $13 billion, accounting for 59% of total exports. 13.0 12.7 12.8 12.6 13.0 4.9 5.8 5.7 4.1 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.4 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.7 2.2 - 5 10 15 20 25 H1.2012 H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016 B$ Electronic Components Pharmaceuticals Chemicals Rest of Export
  • 12. 12 Exports of industrial High-tech In the first half of 2016 industrial high-tech exports declined 9% in dollar terms to $11 billion, and currently accounts for more than half of industrial exports from Israel. This decline in exports is mainly attributable to the contraction in exports of electronic components and pharmaceuticals, which fell 20% and 12%, respectively, in the first six months. Despite this decline, these sectors remain dominant in Israeli exports in general and in high tech exports in particular – accounting for 52% of Israel's high tech exports. Their weight in total exports is equivalent to more than one quarter of exported goods6 . It should be noted that the electronic components industry is significantly influenced by the production and export activities of Intel7 . Similarly, Teva's production, marketing and selling activities have a strong impact on pharmaceutical exports, which account for a big percentage of this industry's exports. Concurrently with the negative trend in these industries, in the first six months of 2016, exports of computer systems, electronic and optical equipment (core high tech index) fell by 7% (to $3.6 billion). On the other hand, exports of aircrafts soared 23% y-o- y (to $1.5 billion), while exports of medical equipment rose 14% (to $660 million). Exports of electronic components, pharmaceuticals and aircrafts are highly concentrated, as only a small number of companies account for the bulk of these exports. Other segments of industrial high tech exports – medical equipment and electronic and optical instruments – are less concentrated with a higher number of companies, without the dominance of any one company. 6 Excluding diamonds 7 In addition to chip production and exports, Intel has an extensive research and development activity, which is estimated at $1 billion annually (considered as exports of R&D services).
  • 13. 13 Exports of high-tech by sector H1.2016 versus H1.2015, (original data, $ billion) Source: Israel Export Institute Exports of other industries Exports of other industries (industrial exports excluding high tech) was a mixed bag and overall posted a 2% decline y-o-y in dollar terms (totaling $11 billion). Chemicals exports naturally had the most significant impact with a 16% decline from H1.2015 – without chemicals exports of other industries rose by 7%. Exports of machinery and equipment which, among others, consist of agro- technology, clean and alternative energy, printing, robotics, irrigation and food machinery, increased 13% y-o-y and totaled $3 billion, exports of rubber and plastics rose 5% to $1.1 billion, exports of electrical equipment which, among others, consist of electric and electronic equipment and systems, rose 10% to $630 million, exports of jewelry rose 3% to $340 million, exports of oil distillates rose 20% to $310 million and exports of wood, paper and printing rose 24% to $260 million. On the other hand, exports of food and beverages declined 7% to $480 million, exports of textile and apparel declined 4% to $410 million and exports of metals fell 18% to $260 million. 3.8 3.3 2.7 1.2 0.6 3.4 2.9 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Pharmaceuticals Electronic and optical instruments Electronic components Aircrafts Medical equipment B$ H1.2015 H1.2016
  • 14. 14 Industrial exports, Exc. High-Tech H1.2016 versus H1.2015, (original data, $ billion) Source: Israel Export Institute 4.1 2.7 1.0 0.57 0.52 0.42 0.26 0.33 0.21 0.31 3.4 3.0 1.1 0.63 0.49 0.41 0.36 0.34 0.27 0.26 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 B$ H1.2015 H1.2016
  • 15. 15 Exports of goods by regions Analysis of exports excl. diamonds by trading blocs - unadjusted An analysis of the development in Israeli exports in the first half of 2016 points to declines across-the-board, to all trading blocs. Bear in mind that an analysis of exports by geographic regions is highly correlated to exports by industries. For example, the sharp nominal decline in the exports of dominant industries in 2016 (pharmaceuticals, electronic components and chemicals) is also apparent when analyzing exports by trading blocs. The decline in exports of chemicals and pharmaceuticals had a significant impact on overall exports to the EU, which is a major destination for these exports. The decline in exports to the US is mostly attributable to fewer pharmaceutical shipments, while the decline in exports of electronic components was the main reason for the decline in Israeli exports to Asia in H1.2016. The European Union In the first half of 2016 commodity exports to EU countries fell by 9% y-o-y to $6.8 billion – 32% of total exports. The decline in exports to EU countries is mainly attributable to the decline in exports of pharmaceuticals and chemicals (see explanations in the previous chapter) – bear in mind that more than 60% of Israel's pharmaceuticals exports and one third of chemicals exports are directed to EU countries. Exports to Britain, Israel’s main export market in Europe and its second biggest market in the world, fell steeply by 17%, in dollar terms, mainly driven by the decline in pharmaceutical exports, which account for two thirds of total exports to the country8 . A negative development was also recorded in exports to the Netherlands and France (-4% each). In contrast, and consistent with the general trend in exports to the EU, there was an overall increase in exports to Germany (+3%), Italy (+4%), Spain (+13%) and Belgium (+22%). The Euro's average rate in the period January-June 2016 was $1.116, unchanged from its average rate in the same period of 2015 – a factor that highlights the quantitative decline in exports to the EU during H1.2016. 8 In the past few years there is a clear trend of growth in pharmaceutical exports to Britain, and accordingly a sharp increase in the weight of pharmaceuticals in total exports. In the last 3 years (2013-2015) pharmaceutical exports accounted for 64% of total exports on average. In 2015, these exports increased to a record amount of $2.5 billion – 68% of total exports to Britain.
  • 16. 16 The US In the first half of 2016, exports to the US declined 3% from the same period in 2015- in line with the general negative trend, while in 2015 there was a decline in total exports and stability in exports to the US. Exports to the US were negatively impacted by the decline in exports of electronic components and pharmaceuticals. Total exports to the US in H1.2016 amounted to $5.4 billion, 25% of total Israeli exports. Asia In the first half of 2016, Israeli exports to Asia posted a 13% decline. As previously mentioned, exports of chemicals and electronic components had an adverse impact on the general trend during the period, as a result of declines in every industrial sector to nearly all Asian countries. Exports to Asia fell by 8% (mostly owing to electronic components and minerals) and the impressive recovery in exports to India during 2015 was curbed, as exports to the country fell 9% in H1.2016. Declines were recorded in exports to other Asian countries, among others Japan (-4%), South Korea (-16%), Singapore (-27%) and Thailand (-8%). Exports to Asian countries amounted to $4.6 billion, which account for 21% of total exports. Latin America In the first half of 2016 exports to Latin American countries fell by 12% and totaled $850 million (4% of total exports). In line with the negative trend in the past few years, exports to Latin America were adversely affected by the contraction in sales to Brazil (down 20%) – the strongest economy in Latin America and Israel’s main export market in the region, which has been in a continued state of crisis and high inflation, while the sharp depreciation in the Brazilian Real has pushed up the prices of imported products and lowered domestic demand. Exports also declined to Argentina (-6%) and Columbia (- 37%), which contributed their share to the negative trend in exports to the region. Exports to Mexico, on the other hand, remained stable compared to the first half of 2015.
  • 17. 17 Africa In the first half of 2016, exports to Africa9 fell by 24%, further to the 22% decline in 2015, the 4% decline in each of the years 2013-2014 and 16% in 2012. The decline in export shipments to Africa primarily stems from the sharp decrease in the value of exported chemical products. Exports to South Africa and Egypt fell by 13% and 23%, respectively, while exports to Nigeria rose 12% from H1.2015. Total exports to Africa in H1.2016 decreased to $400 million, accounting for 2% of total exports10 . Exports in 2016 by trading regions H1.2016 versus H1.2015, original data in $ billion, Source: Israel Export Institute 9 Including exports to North African countries 10 It is noted that a large share of exports to African countries is categorized as "exports to unclassified countries" 7.5 5.5 5.2 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.54 6.8 5.4 4.6 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.52 - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 European Union U.S Asia Unclassified Countries Rest of Europe Latin America Africa Rest of World B$ H1.2015 H1.2016 E.U 32% U.S 25% Asia 21% Unclassifie d Countries 8% Rest of Europe 6% Latin America 4% Africa 2% Rest of World 2%
  • 18. 18 Developments in Israel's Key Export Destinations Export to main destinations by sectors (goods exc. Diamonds) Exports to the ten biggest export targets in 2016 accounted for 60% of total exports11 . In the first half of 2016 there was a decline in exports to 7 out of 10 major export destinations as compared to the same period in 2015. Among the 20 key destinations, which account for 76% of total exports, 13 recorded a decrease in Israeli exports (6 recorded an increase and 1 remained unchanged). The changes and fluctuations in major export industries had a clear impact on the ranking of Israel’s major export markets in H1.2016. For example, the sharp decrease in the exports of electronic components had a negative impact on exports to China, pharmaceutical exports had a significant adverse impact on exports to Britain, and exports of chemicals had a similar effect on sales to Turkey – where this sector is a major component of total exports. Israel’s 10 major export destinations –First half of 2016 Exports of goods excluding diamonds, change in % y-o-y Excluding exports to the Palestinian Authority, Malaysia and Vietnam12 Source: Israel Export Institute 11 Goods excluding diamonds 12 Malaysia and Vietnam are not included in the 10 major export targets, since they are critically affected by a single export industry (exports of electronic components).
  • 19. 19 The change in the ranking of 10 export destinations –First half of 2016 Based on exports of goods excluding diamonds, in billions of dollars, excluding exports to the Palestinian Authority, Malaysia and Vietnam Change in rank H1.2016 Rank % change Exports H1.2016 (B$) Country (-)1-3%5.4U.S (-)2-17%2.0U.K (-)3-8%1.1China (-)4-4%1.1Netherlands +153%0.7Germany -16-35%0.6Turkey (-)7-4%0.6France (-)8-9%0.6India (-)94%0.5Italy +11013%0.4Spain Source: Israel Export Institute (* Exports to China including Hong Kong totalled $1.4 billion in H1.2016) The weight of countries in exports –First half of 2016 In percent of total exports of goods excluding diamonds; (*) Exports to China including Hong Kong, account for 6.5% Source: Israel Export Institute U.S 24.6% U.K 9.0% China 5.0% Netherlands 5.0% Germany 3.4% Turkey 2.8% France 2.8% India 2.7% Italy 2.1% Spain 2.0% R.O.W 40.6%
  • 20. 20 The United States Exports of goods to the US, Israel’s main and most important export market, fell 3% y-o-y in the first half of 2016, totaling $5.4 billion. The decline in pharmaceutical exports, the main industrial exports to the US, together with the decline in exports of chemicals and electronic components, were the main factors that contributed to the contraction in exports. In the first half of 2016, pharmaceutical exports to the US fell 4% to $1.46 billion, after posting an impressive 14% increase in 2015, in the wake of many years of a downward trend in exports (as shown by the chart). It is noted that pharmaceuticals are a dominant industry in exports to the US (and overall in Israeli exports), but also highly volatile. These exports are greatly affected by Teva's production and export activities. The impact of pharmaceutical on exports to the US, 2010-2015 Exports of goods excluding diamonds in $, billion Source: Israel Export Institute In line with the general downward trend, exports of electronic components posted a steep 20% decline to $320 million; exports of chemicals and oil distillates fell 3% to $550 million. 4.5 4.1 3.4 3.0 2.8 3.2 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total export to U.S (left column) Export of pharmaceuticals (right column)
  • 21. 21 Exports of other industries to the US point to a mixed trend. Among the major export industries, there was a decline in exports of machinery and equipment (down 9% to $345 million), exports of metals (down 8% to $240 million), exports of telecommunication equipment (down 5% to $215 million), exports of control, measurement and navigation instruments which, among others, includes systems and testing equipment for the semiconductors industry (down 6% to $205 million), exports of textiles and apparel (down 6% to $165 million) and exports of engines and electric equipment, which among others, includes equipment and systems in the field of alternative energy, electronics and electricity (down 8% to $150 million). On the other hand, there was an increase in the exports of medical-scientific equipment (up 14% to $320 million), exports of rubber and plastic products (up 6% to $280 million), exports of office machinery and computer systems (up 18% to $210 million), industrial equipment for control and optical equipment (up 39% to $155 million) and exports of jewelry (up 10% to $140 million). United Kingdom Unlike the upward trend in exports to the UK in the past few years, mainly owing to the sharp growth in pharmaceutical exports, in the first half of 2016 exports to the UK posted a steep decline. Exports to the British Isle, Israel’s biggest destination in Europe and ranking second among global markets, fell 17% in dollar terms and totaled $2 billion. This decline is primarily attributable to the contraction in pharmaceutical exports – a highly dominant industry in exports to the UK. In other major industries, there was actually an improvement in exports compared to prior periods. Excluding pharmaceuticals, exports to the UK remained virtually unchanged from the first half of 2015. It is important to emphasize the impact of the pound sterling's depreciation vis- à-vis the dollar, which accounts for part of the decline in dollar-denominated revenue from exports. In the period January-June 2016, the pound sterling's average rate fell by 6% compared to H1.2015, without weighing the full effect of the Brexit on currency exchange rates13 . 13 The referendum was conducted at the end of June and its results were published on June 24. In July alone the pound sterling's average rate fell by 15% vis-à-vis the dollar.
  • 22. 22 Like the the US, exports to the UK are highly affected by the dominance of the pharmaceutical industry, which is mostly attributed to Teva’s operations in the UK, a major target market for the company. The sharp increase in pharmaceutical exports to the country is the main factor that established Britain’s position as Israel’s second export market globally and its biggest export destination among European countries. The decline in exports of pharmaceuticals in the first six months of 2016 was the main contributory factor to the drop in total exports to the UK. In the first six months of 2016, total exports of pharmaceuticals to the UK fell by 23% in dollar terms to $1.35 billion (compared to $1.75 billion in H1.2015). Despite the steep decline, this industry remained dominant and at the end of the first half it accounted for 68% of total exports to the country (similar to its weight at the end of 2015). Source: Israel Export Institute 0.71 0.72 0.63 0.62 1.02 1.56 1.75 1.35 59% 68% 74% 68% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016 B$ Trends in exports to the UK (H1.2013-H1.2016) Total export - Exc. Pharmaceuticals Export of pharmaceuticals % Share of pharmaceuticals
  • 23. 23 Exports to the UK by other industries were mixed: exports of chemicals and oil distillates fell 4% to $125 million, agricultural exports rose by 11% to $80 million, exports of rubber and plastics remained unchanged compared to its volume in H1.2015 ($70 million), exports of metals increased by 23% to $55 million, exports of textiles rose 38% to $38 million, exports of telecommunication equipment declined by 15% to $30 million and exports of industrial testing equipment soared by 68% to $30 million. China In January-June 2016 Israeli exports to China fell by 8% y-o-y, totaling $1.1 billion. In 2016, exports to China were affected by significant volatility in two major industries: electronic components and minerals. In the past few years, China has established its position as Israel’s biggest and most important export destination in Asia, especially in light of the continued decrease in Israeli exports to the Indian market, which until recently was equally significant as the Chinese market. The dominant sector exporting to China in the last few years is electronic components, which is largely dominated by Intel. Exports of components in 2015 soared by 53% to $1.6 billion – accounting for more than half of Israeli exports to China (52% of total exports). In 2016, in line with the overall trend and for reasons stated above, exports of electronic components to China posted a 28% decline compared to the same period in 2015 and amounted to $410 million (37% of total exports to China)14 . As written in the previous report summarizing export trends in 2015, in the first half of 2016, exports of minerals to China fell steeply, following a delay in the execution of new agreements15 . As stated, in the first two quarters of 2016, exports of minerals fell steeply by 77% Y-o-Y and totaled $20 million only. 14 Global Intel holds assembly and testing facilities in several locations in Asia (mainly in China, Vietnam and Malaysia) to where the chips manufactured in the company’s plants in Israel are sent. Changes in the exports of components result from Intel’s business considerations and decisions regarding the allocation of exports among target markets, and do not necessarily point to changes in local demand. 15 "In the first quarter of 2016 and perhaps even in the second quarter, mineral exports are expected to Developments and trends in–decline as new agreements with the large importers have been delayed" Israeli exports, Summary of 2015 and forecasts for 2016
  • 24. 24 In the third and fourth quarters of 2016, mineral exports are expected to show some recovery, owing to a new supply agreement for 2016. However, given the decline in global prices, excess demand and the previous sale agreements of leading companies in the industry, new mineral selling prices are expected to be 30% lower than in 2015, which is bound to affect export revenues. In contrast to the downward trend in the exports of minerals and electronic components, export of chemicals, one of the major industrial exports to China, posted a sharp 85% increase compared to H1.2015, and amounted to $132 million (12% of exports compared to 10% on average in the last few years). It is noted that this increase is especially high given the general trend in chemical exports and the impact of the decline in global energy prices. Source: Israel Export Institute 390 442 478 543 775 843 727 562 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016 M$ Trends in exports to China – dominant sectors versus others (H1.2013-H1.2016) Rest of export to china Export of Electronic components, Minerals & Chemicals
  • 25. 25 As the chart shows, according to an analysis of exports by industries, the trend of growth in other industrial exports continued (total exports excluding dominant industries). Among others, an increase was recorded in exports of industrial control and measurement instruments16 (soared 120% to $120 million), exports of telecommunication equipment (up 9% to $35 million), exports of office machinery and computer systems (rose 90% to $30 million), exports of rubber and plastic products (rose 15% to $20 million), exports of engines and electrical equipment (rose 15% to $20 million), agricultural exports (soared 350% to $17 million) and exports of industrial equipment for control and optical equipment (increased 37% to $15 million). In contrast to these industries, and after a continued upward trend, exports of medical equipment fell 15% to $112 million and exports of machinery and equipment fell 4% to $95 million. Main export industries to China (excluding electronic components) H1.2016 Compare to H1.2015 (M$) Source: Israel Export Institute 16 Mainly consisting of equipment for the testing of production processes in the semi-conductors industry 132 118 112 94 41 35 31 21 21 20 17 71 54 133 98 46 32 16 90 18 17 4 - 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 M$ H1.2016 H1.2015
  • 26. 26 The Netherlands Total exports to the Netherlands in the first half of 2016 came to $1.1 billion, down 4% from H1.2015. Like many countries in the region, exports to the Netherlands were affected by the sharp decrease in pharmaceutical shipments to Europe – a major destination for pharmaceutical exports. On the other hand, and in contrast to the general trend, there was an increase in exports of chemical products to the country. It is likely, however, that the Netherlands serves as a gateway for these shipments, which are shipped to other European countries17 . As stated, there was a mixed trend in the exports of major industries to the Netherlands: Exports of chemicals and oil distillates, which accounts for 27% of total exports to the Netherlands, rose 4% to $295 million. Exports of pharmaceuticals, which posted sharp growth rates in 2012-2014 and a 16% decline in 2015, fell 24% in the first half of 2016 to $205 million (19% of total exports to the country). Exports of machinery and equipment, also a key export industry to the Netherlands, rose 11% to $220 million (19% of total exports). In addition, agricultural exports declined 10% to $75 million, exports of foods and beverages fell 15% to $35 million, exports of telecommunication equipment fell 30% to $30 million and exports of rubber and plastic products declined 3% to $30 million. On the other hand, exports of medical-scientific equipment increased 3% to $35 million, exports of office machinery and computer systems rose 27% to $30 million, and exports of mineral products rose 13% to $30 million. Germany As of mid-2016, Germany is the 5th biggest market for Israeli exports in the world and the third in Europe18 . Exports to Germany are highly diverse, with no one dominant industry or company that has a marked impact on exports to the country. Exports to Germany rose 3% to $740 million. 17 It should be noted that many Israeli companies have parent companies, subsidiaries or affiliates in the Netherlands, and the country constitutes a gateway for Israeli companies to other European countries and several countries outside Europe. 18 Given the fact that the Netherlands is a passageway for goods to other destinations around the world and that goods exported from Israel to the Netherlands are not intended solely for this market, some consider Germany as the second most important exports market in Europe.
  • 27. 27 Among the main export industries, exports of chemicals and oil distillates rose 19% to $105 million (14% of total exports to Germany), exports of rubber and plastics increased 8% to $80 million (11% of exports), while exports of machinery and equipment fell 7% to $90 million (12% of total exports). Other exports pointed to a mixed trend: exports of metal products rose 6% to $65 million, exports of pharmaceuticals rose 20% to $40 million, exports of engines and electrical equipment increased by 10% to $40 million and exports of textile products and apparel rose 18% to $25 million. On the other hand, exports of medical-scientific equipment fell 10% to $45 million, agricultural exports declined 6% to $30 million and exports of telecommunication equipment fell 8% to $25 million. Turkey The downward trend in exports to Turkey in 2015 continued in the first half of 2016. Following a steep 40% decline last years, Israel's exports to Turkey fell by 35% to $625 million. The sharp decrease in exports to the country is attributable to the exports of chemical products and oil distillates, which fell 44% y-o-y and totaled $420 million (for the sake of comparison, the value of export shipments in the first half of 2015 was $755 while in the first half of 2014, export shipments amounted to $1.2 billion. As emphasized in this review, the main reason for the drastic contraction in the exports of chemicals and oil distillates is attributable to the sharp decline in global energy prices; at the same time, the weakness of global trade, the waning global demand and the growing competition in this industry are also contributory factors. It should also be noted that exports of chemicals and oil distillates to Turkey is not necessarily intended for the local market and in many cases Turkey serves as a passageway for some of the commodity shipments. Export to Turkey is highly concentrated and in the last few years has been affected by changes in the main export industry - chemicals and oil distillates. Excluding chemicals and oil distillates, exports to Turkey remain virtually at the same level as in the first half of 2015.
  • 28. 28 In the first two quarters of 2016, there was a mixed trend in exports to Turkey: exports of metals rose 31% to $45 million, exports of pharmaceuticals rose 4% to $20 million, and exports of paper and printing products soared 67% to $20 million. On the other hand, On the other hand, exports of minerals declined 6% to $26 million, exports of engines and electrical equipment fell by 35% to $15 million and exports of plastic and rubber products declined 13% to $10 million. Noteworthy is the rapid depreciation in the Turkish Lira vis-à-vis the dollar, which contributed to the negative sentiment and the waning demand for commodities. France In the first half of 2016, exports to France decreased by 4% in dollar terms, and amounted to $620 billion. The decline in exports was mainly due to the contraction in the export shipments of major industries. Israel primarily exports advanced metal products, chemicals and agricultural produce to France, which together account for half of exports to the country. Exports of metal products declined 9% to $130 million, exports of chemicals declined by 5% to $85 million and exports of agricultural produce fell by 11% to $75 million. In addition, exports of aircrafts posted a 20% decline to $30 million, following the completion of a transaction in 2015. Several industries recorded an increase compared to the first half of 2015: exports of rubber and plastic products rose by 3% to $55 million, exports of machinery and equipment increased by 11% to $50 million, exports of medical equipment rose by 22% to $30 million, exports of food and beverages increased slightly by 3% to $25 million, exports of telecommunication equipment rose 5% to $25 million and exports of pharmaceuticals increased by 17% to $20 million. India Exports to India totaled $580, down 9% from the first half of 2015. In 2015 Israeli exports to India posted a sharp double-digit growth (21%), following a continued contraction in India’s demand for Israeli goods in the period 2010- 2013.
  • 29. 29 Exports of telecommunication equipment declined by 11% to $125 million, exports of industrial equipment for control, optical equipment and photographic instruments fell by 47% to $35 million, exports of control, measurement and navigation instruments fell by 74% to $20 million, exports of electronic equipment decreased by 17% to $4 million and exports of aircrafts posted a sharp 97% decline from $25 million to less than $1 million. In the first half of 2016, the aggregate exports of these industries fell by 23% y-o- y to $290 million – 50% of total exports to India, compared to 58% in H1.2015. Other export industries registered an upward trend. Exports of chemicals, despite the negative developments during the first half of 2016, maintained stability compared to H1.2015 and totaled $85 million, exports of minerals rose by 44% to $80 million, exports of machinery and equipment remained unchanged compared to H1.2015 ($40 million), exports of electronic components soared by 46% to $14 million and exports of machinery and computer systems also spared 48% to $14 million. Exports to India H1.2011 – H1.2016, Exports of goods excluding diamonds (in M$) Source: Israel Export Institute 585 593 585 449 643 582 - 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 H1.2011 H1.2012 H1.2013 H1.2014 H1.2015 H1.2016 M$
  • 30. 30 Italy Israeli exports to Italy in the first half of 2016 totaled $470 million – up 4% from H1.2015, following a sharp 23% decline in exports y-o-y in 2015. Exports to Italy were strongly affected by the contraction in the exports of chemicals and oil distillates (down 15% to $180 million), a key exporting industry to Italy, which usually represents half of total exports. Exports of aircrafts, on the other hand, posted a sharp increase to $45 million, following the completion of a transaction that was signed in 201219 . Exports to Italy were a mixed bag: machinery and equipment declined by 4% to $41 million, exports of rubber and plastic products rose by 13% to $40 million, exports of minerals increased by 28% to $15 million), exports of agricultural produce fell 7% to $13 million and exports of industrial control equipment fell 18% to $12 million. Spain Similar to the trends in exports to Italy, in 2015 Israeli exports to Spain were significantly impacted by the sharp volatility in exports of oil distillates, the main export industry, which accounts for more than half of Israel's exports to Spain, and which fell by 26% in dollar terms y-o-y. The first half of 2016 saw a slight improvement and exports rose by 13% to $450 million. In the first half of 2016, exports of chemicals and oil distillates declined by 4% y- o-y to $150 million. Excluding this industry, export shipments to Spain grew by 24% from the same period of 2015. Accordingly, almost all export industries registered an upward trend: exports of machinery and equipment rose by 25% to $67 million, exports of paper and printing products soared 600% to $40 million, exports of rubber and plastic products increased by 6 % to $23 million, exports of food and beverages soared 200% to $14 million, exports of minerals rose 14% to $12 million and exports of telecommunication equipment soared 140% to $12 million. 19 In July 2012 Israel and Italy signed an offset agreement (reciprocal trade transactions), pursuant to which the Italian government has undertaken to carry out reciprocal trade transactions in excess of $1 billion with the Israeli defence industries.
  • 31. 31 Exports of Services In contrast to the overall downward trend, the balance-of-payment data point to continued growth in exports of services – Israel's growth engine in the past few years. As exports of goods continue to stagnate, services exports continue to grow rapidly from one year to the next, supporting the moderate growth of Israeli exports, or at least offsetting most of the decline in total exports. After maintaining stability in 2015, in the first half of 2016 exports of services returned to a growth track owning to the sharp increase in exports of R&D, software and computer services. In the first half of 2016, exports of services increased by 10% y-o-y to $18.5 billion20 . Exports of business services rose 16% to $14 billion, and currently accounts for 76% of total services exports (!) This growth is mainly attributable to the exports of high tech services (R&D, computer and software services). As in previous years, in 2016 exports of computer and software services continued to grow, rising 18% in the first six month to $6.2 billion. Exports of R&D services21 grew 45% to $2.5 billion. According to the balance-of-payments data, in the period January-June 2016, the value of exports attributable to the sale of start-up companies was $1 billion, representing a 200% increase from the same period in 201522 . If we include exports of start-ups in the exports of services, we see that total services exported from Israel grew by 13%. The continued increase in exports of services was due to the sharp growth in exports of business services, which is expected to grow 18% year-over-year in the first half of 2014 (excluding start-ups). The growth in business services exports is mainly attributed to exports of computer and software services, which soared 25% from the start of 2014 and now accounts for 30% of total services exports. Exports of business services, including startups, are expected to grow 1% and total $12 billion. 20 Excluding start-up services 21 Including scientific R&D services, which consist of technological incubators and start-up companies; excluding software R&D centers. 22 It is noted that the calculation of exports of start-up services is performed by the CBS; these are considered exports in cases where the sale of the start-up to a foreign buyer involves the overseas transfer of the product/intellectual property (asset), which was developed by the acquired company. In these cases the transaction, or a part thereof, is recorded as exports of services.
  • 32. 32 11.5 13.8 14.2 14.7 15.6 7.4 9.8 17.9 19.2 20.3 21.0 20.1 9.9 9.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 H1.2015 H1.2016 Rest of Services sectors R&D, Computer & Software services (Inc. Start-up companies) In the first half of 2016, total exports of high tech services amounted to $9.8 billion – up 33% from H1.2015. These exports currently account for 50% of total revenues from exports of services. In fact, the entire growth recorded in 2015 and in the first half of 2016 is attributable to exports of high tech services – excluding this sector, exports of services would decline by 4% and 1%, respectively. Other sectors of business services recorded a mixed trend: exports of professional services increased by 7% to $1.6 billion, exports of services to industrial sectors rose 3% to $1.1 billion, exports of wholesale commerce increased 9% to $750 million; on the other hand, exports of banking and financial services fell by 7% to $320 million and exports of communication services declined 4% to $170 million. Our analysis further indicates that tourism is still struggling to recover. This industry continues to suffer from weak demand and from the depreciation of both the Euro and the Ruble against the NIS, which significantly hurt incoming tourism from Russia and the European Union. Total tourism exports in the first half of 2016 amounted to $2.6 billion, down 3% from H1.2015, after declining 5% in 2015. Further to the trend of prior years, in the first six months of 2016 exports of transportation services were negatively affected by the general weakness in global trade, and they fell 14% to $1.75 billion, after posting an 8% decline in 2015. Export of Services, 2011-2015 and H1.2016 versus H1.2015, (original data, $ billion) Source: Israel Export Institute
  • 33. 33 Exchange Rate Changes in the exchange rate, particularly the dollar against the shekel, have a direct and significant impact on the revenues of Israeli companies from exports. According to the Central Bureau of Statistics, 86% of export transactions are carried out in US dollar, 11% in Euro and 3% in other currencies. Israeli new shekel – US dollar The strengthening of the US dollar, which began in the third quarter of 2014, continued in 2015. The dollar, which fell to a 3-year low in August 2014, trading at NIS 3.40/dollar, changed course and crossed the NIS 4.00 threshold, for the first time since September 2012. In 2015, the dollar-shekel's exchange rate averaged at NIS 3.88 – 8.6% above its average in 2014. In the first half of 2016, the dollar weakened against the shekel and its average rate was NIS 3.864 – down 1.1% from the first half of 2015. Israeli new shekel – US dollar, 2005-2016 Source of data: Bank of Israel, Analysis: Israel Export Institute
  • 34. 34 Israeli new shekel - Euro In line with the Euro's depreciation against the dollar in 2015 and the dollar's appreciation vis-à-vis the shekel, the Israeli currency's average rate appreciated against the Euro. In 2015, the Euro-shekel average exchange was NIS 4.31 compared to NIS 4.75 in 2014 – down 9.2% to its lowest level in 13 years. In the first quarter of 2016 the Euro slightly appreciated against the shekel, but later weakened and overall in H1.2016 it fell by 1.4% against the shekel. Israeli new shekel – Euro, 2005-2016 Source of data: Bank of Israel, Analysis: Israel Export Institute The currency basket - Effective exchange rates During 2014, the shekel’s real exchange rate relative to the currency basket fell to a 13-year low. While in the second half of 2014 the currency basket rose 8% to 99.25 points (an 18-month record high), in the first 7 months of 2015, it fell back to the low level in July 2014. Overall in 2015, the real-effective currency basket remained unchanged from its annual average in 2014, when it reached its lowest point since early 2002.
  • 35. 35 In 2016 the trend of erosion in the shekel-basket exchange rate continued and it is 1% below its average level in 2015. Since 2012, the shekel’s real exchange rate vis-à-vis the currency basket increased by 8% and since 2007, the local currency appreciated by 17%. Chart 1: The real-effective currency basket, 2002-2016 Source of data: Bank of Israel, Analysis: Israel Export Institute It is noted that a 10% increase in the effective exchange rate leads to a 2% decline in exports, which is only evident 8-14 months later, and to a 0.5% decline in GDP, i.e., an annual loss of $6 billion in exports. The shekel’s appreciation has continually eroded the profits of Israeli exporters undermining their competitiveness against overseas markets. The findings of a financial analysis, which was conducted by the IEI's economic division, and which examined the financial performance of public exporters in the period 2008- 2013, pointed to a clear erosion in the companies' profitability, amid the shekel's appreciation. The report further showed that during this period export- oriented companies recorded a steeper decline in their operating and profit margins than companies that sell primarily in the domestic market. In our opinion, the stagnation in exports and erosion in profitability are affected by several factors, domestic and foreign, which significantly weigh on the business activities of Israeli exporters, the key ones being the shekel's appreciation and the slowing growth in global trade. 90 95 100 105 110 115 120
  • 36. 36 As shown by studies conducted by the Bank of Israel, global trade is the main factor affecting real growth in Israeli exports, while the growth rate in Israeli exports has consistently outpaced global trade. In the last few years the trend has changed and while global trade has grown in 2008-2015 by a real cumulative rate of 21%, Israel's goods export (excluding diamonds) have increased by a cumulative rate of 11% only! (Chart 2). Bear in mind that since 2012 the shekel has been appreciating against the currency basket. Chart 2: The growth in global trade versus the growth in Israeli goods exports23 Source: Israel Export Institute Chart 3 clearly points to a continued rise in the shekel's real exchange rate in the years 2008-2012, which fueled the rapid growth in Israeli exports during that period. Since 2008, the shekel began to appreciate rapidly against other currencies and results were soon to follow. 23 Excluding diamonds
  • 37. 37 Chart 3: Exports and the exchange rate, 2001-2015 Exports of goods and services versus the real exchange rate in the prior year Source: Israel Export Institute
  • 38. 38 Appendices A. Adjustment of exports to the Balance of Payments Export figures based on foreign trade data (deriving from export records) do not include various adjustments in the calculation of goods and services exports in the balance-of-payment: Most of the adjustments in exports arise from the following: 1. Sales are recorded based on the work-in-progress in large plants: these plants carry out large-scale projects, while a partial execution of the projects is recognized as a sale that can be recorded in the company’s books. The entry in the balance-of-payments is based on the reports of companies that use this method, while the amounts reported by customs for such exports are deducted from foreign trade data. 2. International trade in goods sold overseas, where such goods do not enter or exit the country: pursuant to the new international guidelines for entry in the balance-of-payment, these transactions are recorded as exports of goods (in 2010 such transactions were recorded in the balance-of-services), where the purchase of goods overseas or the cost of production overseas by subcontractors are recorded as negative exports, and the sale of goods overseas to the end customer is recorded as a positive export. The summary of the two transactions will be recorded as net exports of goods. 3. Exports to the Palestinian Authority: these exports are recorded based on VAT invoices rather than customs documents, and are therefore not included in foreign trade data.
  • 39. 39 B. The currency basket The nominal exchange rate is an average of the shekels' exchange rate vis-à- vis 26 currencies, which represent 33 countries – Israel's main trading partners, according to their respective weights. For a more accurate measurement of the development in exchange rates, the Bank of Israel measures the real-effective exchange rate of the currency basket, which is composed of the shekel’s exchange rate against 26 currencies that represent 33 countries – Israel's main trading partners, by weight, net of the effect of inflation differences vis-a-vis each country. The weights are as follows: # Country ISO Weights as of 1/2010 1 USA USD 26.41% 2 China CNY 10.16% 3 Germany EUR 7.58% 4 UK GBP 5.97% 5 Turkey TRY 4.59% 6 France EUR 3.99% 7 Italy EUR 3.86% 8 The Netherlands EUR 3.08% 9 Spain EUR 2.52% 10 Japan JPY 2.32% 11 Switzerland CHF 2.24% 12 India INR 2.11% 13 The Russian Federation RUB 2.03% 14 South Korea KRW 2.02% 15 Cyprus EUR 2.01% 16 Belgium EUR 1.75% 17 Ireland EUR 1.58% 18 Brazil BRL 1.55% 19 Taiwan TWD 1.48% 20 Canada CAD 1.43% 21 Hong Kong HKD 1.30% 22 Malaysia MYR 1.25% 23 Ukraine UAH 1.23% 24 Singapore SGD 0.97% 25 Vietnam VND 0.86% 26 Thailand THB 0.84% 27 Australia AUD 0.84% 28 Mexico MXN 0.82% 29 Sweden SEK 0.81% 30 Poland PLN 0.79% 31 The Czech Republic CZK 0.73% 32 Hungary HUF 0.50% 33 Costa Rica CRC 0.39% Source: Bank of Israel
  • 40. 40 For further information please contact: Itay Zehorai Head of Economics and Research Israel Export Institute Tel: 03-5142803, email: itayz@export.gov.il Shauli Katznelson Deputy Director General for Economics & Professional Services Israel Export Institute Tel: 03-5142961, email: shauli@export.gov.il