The Scottish Public Opinion Monitor survey from June 2012 shows: 1) Support for the Scottish Labour party increased for the first time in 18 months while support for the Scottish National Party (SNP) slipped according to voting intention polls. 2) Alex Salmond remained the most popular party leader in Scotland, though his approval rating fell 9 points. 3) Technical details provide information on the sample size, fieldwork dates, weighting methodology, and treatment of don't know responses for the survey.

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor
Scottish Parliament Voting Intention June 2012

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Scottish Labour halve SNP, but the nationalists remain brand logo
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dominant 2
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use
your first vote?
All giving a voting All who are certain to
intention (91%) vote (63%)
Others Others
Lib Dem 6% Lib Dem 5% SNP
SNP 6%
8%
Cons. Cons. 12%
12% 39%
45%
32%
Labour 35% Labour
SNP lead over Labour = 4% SNP lead over Labour = 13%
Base: All giving a voting intention = 91% (913); all certain to vote = 63% (629). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012
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Support for Labour has increased for the first time in brand logo
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18 months as support for SNP slips 3
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use
your first vote?
Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other
Scottish Parliament Election Scottish Parliament Election
60 Result Result
50
45%
40
32%
30
20
12%
10 6%
5%
0
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
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Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though brand logo
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his approval rating has fallen by 9 points 4
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime
Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Don’t know Net satisfaction Net satisfaction
change (Jan
’12)
7% +13% -9%
6% -46% -18%
33% +9% +15%
42% -7% +5%
48% -4% +7%
58% +12% N/A
Base: 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012
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Satisfaction with party leaders - trends here
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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish
Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/the Scottish Green Party?
53%
38%
27%
26%
24%
24%
Base: Adults (18+) in Scotland. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
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Technical details brand logo
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• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents
conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 7th June – 13th June 2012
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private
sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly
Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
“don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless
otherwise stated
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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 @IpsosMORIScot 18.6.12
christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264
© Ipsos MORI This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.