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Paste co-                                                 brand logo                                                    he...
Paste co-  Scottish Labour halve SNP, but the nationalists remain                                                         ...
Paste co-Support for Labour has increased for the first time in                                                           ...
Paste co-Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though brand logo                                             ...
Paste co-                                                                                                                 ...
Paste co-  Technical details                                                                                              ...
Paste co-                                                                                                                 ...
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Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012 Wave 12

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Labour halt decline as SNP support slips: Labour has increased its share of voting intention for the Scottish Parliament for the first time in over 18 months. Our latest Scottish Public Opinion Monitor finds the party on 32% among those certain to vote, up 9 points since January. The poll is likely to provide a further boost for Johann Lamont the following an increase satisfaction with her performance as leader and a good showing in May's local elections.

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Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012 Wave 12

  1. 1. Paste co- brand logo hereScottish Public Opinion MonitorScottish Parliament Voting Intention June 2012
  2. 2. Paste co- Scottish Labour halve SNP, but the nationalists remain brand logo here dominant 2Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you useyour first vote? All giving a voting All who are certain to intention (91%) vote (63%) Others Others Lib Dem 6% Lib Dem 5% SNP SNP 6% 8% Cons. Cons. 12% 12% 39% 45% 32% Labour 35% Labour SNP lead over Labour = 4% SNP lead over Labour = 13%Base: All giving a voting intention = 91% (913); all certain to vote = 63% (629). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  3. 3. Paste co-Support for Labour has increased for the first time in brand logo here18 months as support for SNP slips 3Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you useyour first vote? Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other Scottish Parliament Election Scottish Parliament Election 60 Result Result 50 45% 40 32% 30 20 12% 10 6% 5% 0Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  4. 4. Paste co-Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though brand logo herehis approval rating has fallen by 9 points 4Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//PrimeMinister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives? Don’t know Net satisfaction Net satisfaction change (Jan ’12) 7% +13% -9% 6% -46% -18% 33% +9% +15% 42% -7% +5% 48% -4% +7% 58% +12% N/ABase: 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  5. 5. Paste co- brand logoSatisfaction with party leaders - trends here 5Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of ScottishLabour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/the Scottish Green Party? 53% 38% 27% 26% 24% 24% Base: Adults (18+) in Scotland. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  6. 6. Paste co- Technical details brand logo here 6• This presents the topline results from Scotland• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents conducted by telephone• Fieldwork dates: 7th June – 13th June 2012• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless otherwise stated© Ipsos MORI Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential
  7. 7. Paste co- brand logo hereThank youmark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269 @IpsosMORIScot 18.6.12christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264© Ipsos MORI This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.

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