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NORTHMOST (12 December 2016)
Capacity-maximising
traffic signal control policies
“If you eliminate the impossible,
whatever remains, however improbable,
must be the truth.”
NORTHMOST (12 December 2016)
Capacity-maximising
traffic signal control policies
“If you eliminate the impossible,
whatever remains, however improbable,
must be the truth.”
(Sherlock Holmes,
Sign of the Four, 1890)
NORTHMOST (12 December 2016)
Capacity-maximising
traffic signal control policies
Mike Smith, Ronghui Liu, Takamasa Iryo, Tung Le, Hai Vu
The University of York, UK
ITS, University of Leeds, UK
Kobe University, Japan
Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne, Australia
University of Monash , Melbourne, Australia
RELEVANCE / IMPORTANCE / AIM
TO REDUCE CONGESTION /
POLLUTION IN CITIES
RELEVANCE / IMPORTANCE / AIM
TO REDUCE CONGESTION /
POLLUTION IN CITIES
IN PART AUTOMATICALLY
Traffic Control and Route Choice
Traffic Control Route Choice
Modelling Signal Control and Route
Choice
Allsop, Dickson, Gartner, Smith, Van Zuylen,
Meneguzzer, Gentile, Noekel, Taale, Cantarella,
Mounce, Ke Han, Viti, Schlaich, Haupt, Lo, Rinaldi,
Cantelmo, Cascetta, Tung Le, Hai Vu, . . .
●
●
●
Previous Work
Origin
Destination
Route-swaps
C
s2
s1
Origin
Destination
Route-inflow swaps and
Stage green-time swaps
C
s2
s1
Origin
Destination
Route flow and stage green-time
swaps motivated by route costs and
“stage pressures”
C
s2
s1
HOPE: Stability
V(x) = 4
V(x) = 2
V(x) = 1
V(x) = 3
EQUILIBRIUM:
V(x) = minimum
HOPE: Stability
V(x) = 4
V(x) = 2
V(x) = 1
V(x) = 3
EQUILIBRIUM:
V(x) = minimum
●
HOPE: Stability
V(x) = 4
V(x) = 2
V(x) = 1
V(x) = 3
EQUILIBRIUM:
V(x) = minimum
●
●
●
HOPE: Stability
V(x) = 4
V(x) = 2
V(x) = 1
V(x) = 3
EQUILIBRIUM:
V(x) = minimum
●
●
●
●
●
WHAT CAN GO WRONG
DYNAMICALLY
STABLE WITH STANDARD POLICIES ???
WHAT CAN GO WRONG
DYNAMICALLY
STABLE WITH STANDARD POLICIES ???
NO!
(Poisson traffic +
equi-saturation)
ORIGIN SIGNAL
DESTINATION
(Poisson traffic +
equi-saturation)
• ,
.
0 X1 s
s
X2
= equilibria
Non-unique
DEMAND
ORIGIN SIGNAL
DESTINATION
(Poisson traffic +
equi-saturation)
• ,
.
0 X1 s
s
X2
= equilibria
Non-unique
DEMAND
ORIGIN SIGNAL
DESTINATION
(Poisson traffic +
equi-saturation)
• ,
.
0 X1 s
s
X2
= equilibria
Non-unique
DEMAND
ORIGIN SIGNAL
DESTINATION
(Poisson traffic +
equi-saturation)
• ,
.
0 X1 s
s
X2
= equilibria
Non-unique
DEMAND
ORIGIN SIGNAL
DESTINATION
(Poisson traffic +
equi-saturation)
• ,
.
0 X1 s
s
X2 Bold lines = equilibria
Non-unique
T
T
ORIGIN SIGNAL
DEMAND
DESTINATION
PITCHFORK (Poisson traffic +
equi-saturation)
• ,
.
0 X1 s
s
X2
Bold lines = equilibria
Non-unique
PITCHFORK
BIFURCATION
ORIGIN SIGNAL
DESTINATION
SHORT AND LONG ROUTES
• ,
0 X1 s
2s
X2
Bold lines = equilibria
Non-unique
BIFURCATION
ORIGIN
DESTINATION
P0: BASIC IDEA
DEMAND
SET D
-C
b
SUPPLY –
FEASIBLE
SET S
n(D)
BASIC IDEA
DEMAND
SET D
-C
b
SUPPLY –
FEASIBLE
SET S
n(D)
-C is normal to D∩S
b is normal to SP0:
BASIC IDEA
DEMAND
SET D
-C
b
SUPPLY –
FEASIBLE
SET S
n(D)
-C is normal to D∩S
b is normal to S
-C = n(D) + b
P0:
BASIC IDEA
DEMAND
SET D
-C
b
SUPPLY –
FEASIBLE
SET S
n(D)
-C is normal to D∩S
b is normal to S
-C = n(D) + b
-(C+b) = n(D)
P0:
BASIC IDEA
DEMAND
SET D
-C
b
SUPPLY –
FEASIBLE
SET S
n(D)
-C is normal to D∩S
b is normal to S
-C = n(D) + b
-(C+b) = n(D)
-(C+b) is normal to D
P0:
BASIC IDEA
DEMAND
SET D
-C
b
SUPPLY –
FEASIBLE
SET S
n(D)
-C is normal to D∩S
b is normal to S
-C = n(D) + b
-(C+b) = n(D)
-(C+b) is normal to D
EQUILIBRIUM
consistent with P0
P0:
P0 STAGE PRESSURES
sibi Basic P0
P0 STAGE PRESSURES
sibi Basic P0
Qi/Gi P0+vertical queue
IS Q/G RIGHT ?
sibi Basic P0
Qi/Gi P0 with vertical queue
Qi
p/Gi THIS TALK
Policy: At time “t” swap green-time
towards the stage with the higher pressure
IF Pressi(t) > Pressj(t)
THEN swap some green
from stage j to stage i
Policy: At time “t” swap green-time
towards the stage with the higher pressure
dGi (t)/dt = Pressi(t) - Pressj(t)
dGj (t)/dt = Pressj(t) - Pressi(t)
Policy: At time “t” swap green-time
towards the stage with the higher pressure
dG1(t)/dt = Press1(t) – Press2(t)
dG2(t)/dt = Press2(t) – Press1(t)
Exact Policy: At time “t” swap green-time
to exactly equalise stage pressures
Choose G(t) so that
Press1(t)= Press2(t)
Origin
Destination
Exact p-policy: Green-times
satisfy Q1
p/G1
= Q2
p/G2
C
s2 = 2
s1 = 1
Origin
Destination
Exact p-policy: Green-times
satisfy Q1
p/G1
= Q2
p/G2
C
s2 = 2
s1 = 1
ONE possible p-dynamic
dG1(t)/dt = Q1
p(t)/G1(t) - Q2
p(t)/G2(t)
dG2(t)/dt = Q2
p(t)/G2(t) – Q1
p(t)/G1(t)
ONE possible p-dynamic
dG1(t)/dt = Q1
p(t)/G1(t) - Q2
p(t)/G2(t)
dG2(t)/dt = Q2
p(t)/G2(t) – Q1
p(t)/G1(t)
dX1(t)/dt = Q2(t)/(2G2(t)) - Q1(t)/G1(t)
dX2(t)/dt = Q1(t)/(G1(t)) – Q2(t)/2G2(t)
ONE possible p-dynamic
dG1(t)/dt = Q1
p(t)/G1(t) - Q2
p(t)/G2(t)
dG2(t)/dt = Q2
p(t)/G2(t) – Q1
p(t)/G1(t)
dX1(t)/dt = Q2(t)/(2G2(t)) - Q1(t)/G1(t)
dX2(t)/dt = Q1(t)/(G1(t)) – Q2(t)/2G2(t)
dQ1(t)/dt = X1(t – c) – G1(t)
dQ2(t)/dt = X2(t – c) – 2G2(t)
Green-time / route choice equilibria
Equal p-pressures: Q1
p / G1= Q2
p / G2
Equal delays: Q1 / G1 = Q2 / (2G2)
Eliminate G.
Green-time / route choice equilibria
Equal p-pressures: Q1
p / G1= Q2
p / G2
Equal delays: Q1 / G1 = Q2 / (2G2)
Eliminate G. To obtain:
a constraint on the queue vector Q.
Q2
Q1
Q2
Q1
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
Q2
Q1
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
Q2
Q1
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
X2
X1
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
X2
X1
Throughput
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
???
X2
X1
2 Throughput
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
X2
X1
1
2 Throughput
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
X2
X1
1
6/5
2 Throughput
ROUTEING / p-POLICY
EQUILIBRIA
p = 2
X2
X1
p = 22
6/5
1
DYNAMICS
X2
X1
DYNAMICS
p = 22
6/5
1
Q2
Q1
DYNAMICS
p = 22
6/5
1
Q2
Q1
DYNAMICS
p = 22
6/5
1
Q2
Q1
DYNAMICS
p = 22
6/5
1
X2
X1
X-DYNAMICS
p = 1 (P0)2
Throughput = 2 (MAX)
CONCLUSIONS:
Stated a p-evolution eqn. showing
how route-inflows, green-times and
queues evolve for all future time.
CONCLUSIONS:
Stated a p-evolution eqn. showing
how route-inflows, green-times and
queues evolve for all future time.
p = 1 and p ≠ 1.
CONCLUSIONS:
Stated a p-evolution eqn. showing
how route-inflows, green-times and
queues evolve for all future time.
p ≠ 1: FAILS to maximise capacity
p = 1: P0: maximises capacity.
CONCLUSIONS:
p ≠ 1: FAILS to maximise capacity
p = 1 (P0): maximises capacity.
Holmes:
All p ≠ 1 are eliminated, p = 1 or P0
remains; which must be the ONLY p
such that
“policy p is capacity maximising”
is the truth.

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