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YAM IMPROVEMENT FOR INCOME AND FOOD
SECURITY IN WEST AFRICA (YIIFSWA-II)
2018 Annual Meeting
March, 2018
2
Meeting AgendaA G E N D A
Monday
• Business Plan for Breeder & Foundation Seed (11:45-12:15)
• Overview of Seed Companies’ Business Plans & Other Achievements (15:00-15:20)
Tuesday
• Presentation of 2018 Output Under Intermediary Outcome 2.1: Increased availability
and accessibility of improved yam varieties via establishment of high quality seed
system by 2021 (10:00-10:15)
• Outcome 2.4: Investment by Private Seed Companies with Capacity to Produce at
Least 30 Hectares of Basic Seed Tubers of Yam by the End of 2019 (11:50-12:05)
Wednesday
• Context/Sahel 2018 Workplan (14:00-14:15)
3
Business Plan for IITA Ibadan for
Breeder & Foundation Seed
4
How Does a Business Plan Add Value?B U S I N E S S P L A N
Financial
Sustainability
Demonstrate
Business
Plan
Strategic
Alignment
Continuous
Improvement
The purpose of establishing a breeder and foundation seed unit is to support the growth of the
formal seed sector
5
IITA Seeks to Sustainably Deploy Breeder and
Foundation Seed Yam to the Market
B U S I N E S S P L A N
BREEDER SEED FOUNDATION SEED CERTIFIED SEED WARE YAM
Motherplant Production
Using Temporary
Immersion Bioreactors
AS Vine Cuttings
Tuber Production
From AS Vines
Tuber Production
From Minisetted
Foundation Seed
Ware Yam
Production
Stage
TIBs Acclimatization
(Hardening)
Aeroponics
System
Nursery
(One-Node Vines)
Foundation Seed
Field Production
Adapted Yam Minisett
Technique
Yam Farmer
Production
Cycle Time
(Days)
56 14 120-180 14 180 270 270
BA C D E
IITA Seed Yam Operational Scope
6
Develop a Pro Forma Financial Model That Supports
Seed Deployment Strategy
Assumptions can be manipulated to evaluate various scenarios
A P P R O A C H
PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS
1 2 3
• Review Strategic Objectives,
Multiplication Rates,
Operational Costs, CapEx,
and Revenue Estimates
• Evaluate production
economics
• Analyze the sensitivity of
results to varying assumptions
7
First Lets Evaluate AssumptionsA S S U M P T I O N S
PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS
1 2 3
• Review Multiplication Rates,
Operational Costs, CapEx,
and Revenue Estimates
• Evaluate production
economics
• Analyze the sensitivity of
results to varying assumptions
8
Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the
Business Plan
A S S U M P T I O N S
1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed?
2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s
incorporation into GoSeed’s operations?
3. Should a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its
costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at?
4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed
companies?
9
Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the
Business Plan
A S S U M P T I O N S
1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed?
2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s
incorporation into GoSeed’s operations?
3. Should a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its
costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at?
4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed
companies?
10
Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the
Business Plan
A S S U M P T I O N S
1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed?
2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s
incorporation into GoSeed’s operations?
3. Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its
costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at?
4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed
companies?
11
Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the
Business Plan
A S S U M P T I O N S
1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed?
2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s
incorporation into GoSeed’s operations?
3. Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its
costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at?
4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed
companies?
12
Key Questions & Assumptions
# Question Assumption
1 What is the demand for Breeder
Seed?
Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed
companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the
(NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI)
2 How will Breeder and
Foundation Seed be deployed
prior to yam’s incorporation into
GoSeed’s operations?
IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder
and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the
same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a
no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of
their production and distribution volumes.
3 Should a Breeder and
Foundation Seed entity need to
recover all of its costs? And
what should Breeder &
Foundation Seed be priced at?
This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s
strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed.
For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is
assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed
@ $0.49
4 How can Foundation Seed from
IITA provide risk management
for seed companies?
IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will
have the first right of refusal for use in augmenting their own operations and for
the establishment of demonstration trials
A S S U M P T I O N S
13
Breeder Seed Demand Estimates
This forecast was developed using:
• Upscaling projections of the first
four seed company partners of
YIIFSWA-II, and making
assumptions for their re-purchase
rate of breeder seed (refresh rate)
and the survival rate of breeder
seed in aeroponics
• In addition to private sector
demand, IITA requires up to 5,000
breeder plantlets annually for its
foundation seed operations.38,870
56,326
125,794
153,016
315,579
8
20
40
56
86
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
New Stock of Breeder Seed Required Annually
New Stock of Breeder Seed Required Aeroponics System
Demand for Breeder Seed is Expected to Outstrip IITA’s Production by 2018 – Upscaling NACGRAB’s Production and
Identifying Other Potential Sources Is a Key Success Factor
A S S U M P T I O N S
14
Breeder Seed Demand Forecast Through 2022A S S U M P T I O N S
15
Key Questions & Assumptions
# Question Assumption
1 What is the demand for Breeder
Seed?
Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed
companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the
(NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI)
2 How will Breeder and
Foundation Seed be deployed
prior to yam’s incorporation into
GoSeed’s operations?
IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder
and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the
same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a
no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of
their production and distribution volumes.
3 Should a Breeder and
Foundation Seed entity need to
recover all of its costs? And
what should Breeder &
Foundation Seed be priced at?
This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s
strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed.
For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is
assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed
@ $0.49
4 How can Foundation Seed from
IITA provide risk management
for seed companies?
IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will
have the first right of refusal for use in augmenting their own operations and for
the establishment of demonstration trials
A S S U M P T I O N S
16
Key Questions & Assumptions
# Question Assumption
1 What is the demand for Breeder
Seed?
Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed
companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the
(NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI)
2 How will Breeder and
Foundation Seed be deployed
prior to yam’s incorporation into
GoSeed’s operations?
IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder
and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the
same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a
no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of
their production and distribution volumes.
3 Does a Breeder and Foundation
Seed entity need to recover all
of its costs? And what should
Breeder & Foundation Seed be
priced at?
This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s
strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed.
For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is
assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed
@ $0.49
4 How can Foundation Seed from
IITA provide risk management
for seed companies?
IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will
have the first right of refusal for use in augmenting their own operations and for
the establishment of demonstration trials
A S S U M P T I O N S
17
Key Questions & Assumptions
# Question Assumption
1 What is the demand for Breeder
Seed?
Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed
companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the
(NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI)
2 How will Breeder and
Foundation Seed be deployed
prior to yam’s incorporation into
GoSeed’s operations?
IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder
and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the
same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a
no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of
their production and distribution volumes.
3 Does a Breeder and Foundation
Seed entity need to recover all
of its costs? And what should
Breeder & Foundation Seed be
priced at?
This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s
strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed.
For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is
assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed
@ $0.49
4 How can Foundation Seed from
IITA provide risk management
for seed companies?
IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will
have the first option to for use in augmenting their own operations and for the
establishment of demonstration trials
A S S U M P T I O N S
18
Now Let’s Evaluate the ProjectionsA S S U M P T I O N S
PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS
1 2 3
• Review Multiplication Rates,
Operational Costs, CapEx,
and Revenue Estimates
• Evaluate production
economics
• Analyze the sensitivity of
results to varying assumptions
19
Current Estimates Project a Margin Over Variable
Costs *
$121,475
$170,280
$208,133
$263,765 $263,765
$120,086
$146,087
$171,209
$207,931 $207,931
$1,389
$24,193
$36,923
$55,834 $55,834
$0
$40,000
$80,000
$120,000
$160,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Revenues & Costs of Breeder & Foundation Seed Production
Total Revenue Annual Operating Expenses Net Income
R E V E N U E &
C O S T S U M M A R Y
*Current estimates
do not account for:
• Sales and
Marketing Costs
• Aeroponics
Depreciation
• Seed Yam
Storage
• Accounting
Support
20
Revenue Contribution Has an Emphasis Foundation
Seed Sales
$28,564
$40,090 $40,090 $40,090 $40,090
$92,911
$130,190
$168,043
$223,675 $223,675
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Revenue Contribution From Breeder and Foundation Seed Sales
Breeder Plantlet – Total Revenue Seed Yam – Total Revenue
R E V E N U E &
C O S T S U M M A R Y
21
Efficiency Gains in Breeder Seed Production of
TIBs Reduce Unit Costs Over Time
B R E E D E R S E E D
P R O J E C T I O N S
BREEDER SEED THROUGHPUT
EXPECTED TO INCREASE 44% IN
2019
UNIT COSTS PROJECTED TO
DECREASE NEARLY 29% DUE TO
INCREASED THROUGHPUT
$22,743 $21,885 $21,885 $21,885 $21,885
26,759
28,800
38,400 38,400 38,400
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Total Breeder Seed Production Costs & Volumes
Total production costs Breeder seed production volume
$0.85
$0.76
$0.60 $0.60 $0.60
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
Total Breeder Seed Production Costs & Volumes
Unit costs per breeder seed
PRODUCTION COSTS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LEVEL
THROUGH 2021
22
BREEDERSEEDPRODUCTIONCOSTDEEP
DIVEFOR2018
Item Unit Cost Multiplier Cost % of Total
Stock plantlets, 900 @ 1.83 each =1,647 used for 2 years $2 450.0 $824 4%
Air compressor (2 units @2187.5 each=4375 split over 5
years)
$4,375 0.2
$875 4%
Air dryer (2 units @ 836 each=1672 split over 4 years) $1,672 0.3 $418 2%
Autoclave (2 units @ 3750 each=7500 split over 5 years $7,500 0.2 $1,500 7%
Oil filter $100 0.2 $20 0%
160 Bioreactor vessels 160 units @ 80.76 each=12,921
split over 3 years
$12,921 0.3
$4,307 20%
Shelves 2 units @ 869.4 each=1720.8 split over 5 years $1,721 0.2 $344 2%
Programmable Logic control (split over 5 years) $2,227 0.2 $445 2%
Backup timers to PLC (split over 5 years) $350 0.2 $70 0%
Culture medium $1 576.0 $611 3%
Supplies $2,200 1.0 $2,200 10%
Shared benchspace / Back up power $175 12.0 $2,100 10%
Research Supervisor @ $430.53/month, 12 months $431 12.0 $5,166 24%
40% time of skilled labour for cleaning $203.38 monthly= $81 12.0 $976 4%
Virus testing on 288 plantlet (1% of plantlet produced) $4 288.0 $1,008 5%
Shared barcoding (25%) split over 4 years $4,000 0.1 $250 1%
FMS Support $771 1.0 $771 4%
Grand Total $21,885
Plantlets produced 28,800
Unit cost $0.76
23
Similarly Foundation Seed Has Unit Cost
Efficiencies Through Increased AS Throughput
$16,119
$38,274
$51,265
$64,273
$83,628
$12,060
$29,325
$39,305
$49,297
$64,168
$28,177
$30,602
$32,652
$34,775
$37,271
$1.04
$0.55
$0.49 $0.46 $0.43
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
PerUnitProductionCostsofFoundationSeed
TotalFoundationSeedProductionCosts
Foundation Seed Production Costs
Field production and mangement cost Nursery management cost
Aeoponics system running cost Unit Cost of Production (tuber)
AEROPONICS SYSTEM IS A FIXED
COST BUSINESS – THE
INCREMENTAL COST OF
PRODUCTION IS NEGLIBLE
UNIT COSTS PROJECTED TO
DECREASE NEARLY 60% DUE TO
INCREASED AEROPONICS SYSTEM
THROUGHPUT
FIELD & NURSERY PRODUCTION
STEPS ARE A VARIABLE COST
BUSINESS, WHICH DRIVES
PRODUCTION COST INCREASE
F O U N D A I O N
S E E D
P R O J E C T I O N S
24
Hectares 1.5 5 7 9 12
Aeroponics system running cost Fixed $ Variable $ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Breeder plantlets planted in aeroponics $6,000 $6,000 $6,300 $6,615 $6,946 $7,293
Personnel cost $14,925 $15,671 $16,455 $17,277 $18,141 $19,048
Fertilizers used in power house $374 $374 $1,247 $1,745 $2,244 $2,992
Screen house rent $1,260 $1,260 $1,323 $1,389 $1,459 $1,532
Electricity and water (variable with volume) $4,800 $4,800 $5,040 $5,292 $5,557 $5,834
Insecticide and fungicide used $71 $71 $238 $333 $429 $571
Nursery management cost
Top soil $1,050 $1,050 $3,500 $4,900 $6,300 $8,400
Sterilization of top soil $2,880 $2,880 $9,600 $13,440 $17,280 $23,040
Casual for soil sterilization $144 $144 $480 $672 $864 $1,152
Potting soil (commercial substract) $2,213 $2,213 $7,378 $10,329 $13,280 $17,707
Personnel for Vine cuttings and planting $4,763 $4,763 $5,001 $5,251 $5,513 $5,789
Day to day management of plants in nirsery $360 $360 $1,200 $1,680 $2,160 $2,880
Screen house rent $600 $600 $2,000 $2,800 $3,600 $4,800
Tools (scissors, water cans ets) $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400
Field production and mangement cost
Land preparation using FMS services (Mowing, Ploughing, Ridging etc) $630 $630 $2,100 $2,940 $3,780 $5,040
Purchase of manure to enhance soil fertility $900 $900 $3,000 $4,200 $5,400 $7,200
Purchase of Herbicide and spraying $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400
Spreading of manure $150 $150 $500 $700 $900 $1,200
Cost of Planting field with rooted single node vine cuttings $675 $675 $2,250 $3,150 $4,050 $5,400
Weeding $2,363 $2,363 $7,875 $11,025 $14,175 $18,900
Staking and trailing of the plants $2,700 $2,700 $9,000 $12,600 $16,200 $21,600
Irrigation $578 $578 $1,925 $2,695 $3,465 $4,620
Personnel cost $6,624 $6,624 $6,624 $6,955 $7,303 $7,668
Harvest $1,350 $1,350 $4,500 $6,300 $8,100 $10,800
Tools (Matchettes, bags, sachets, hoes, digging rods etc) $100 $100 $333 $467 $600 $800
Total Cost of Production $56,356 $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067
Number of foundation seed yam tubers generated 54,000 180,000 252,000 324,000 432,000
Unit cost of production per tuber in Naira (1$=N360) $1.04 $0.55 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43
FOUDNATIONSEEDPRODUCTIONCOST
DEEPDIVE
25
Hectares 1.5 5 7 9 12
Aeroponics system running cost Fixed $ Variable $ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Breeder plantlets planted in aeroponics $6,000 $6,000 $6,300 $6,615 $6,946 $7,293
Personnel cost $14,925 $15,671 $16,455 $17,277 $18,141 $19,048
Fertilizers used in power house $374 $374 $1,247 $1,745 $2,244 $2,992
Screen house rent $1,260 $1,260 $1,323 $1,389 $1,459 $1,532
Electricity and water (variable with volume) $4,800 $4,800 $5,040 $5,292 $5,557 $5,834
Insecticide and fungicide used $71 $71 $238 $333 $429 $571
Nursery management cost
Top soil $1,050 $1,050 $3,500 $4,900 $6,300 $8,400
Sterilization of top soil $2,880 $2,880 $9,600 $13,440 $17,280 $23,040
Casual for soil sterilization $144 $144 $480 $672 $864 $1,152
Potting soil (commercial substract) $2,213 $2,213 $7,378 $10,329 $13,280 $17,707
Personnel for Vine cuttings and planting $4,763 $4,763 $5,001 $5,251 $5,513 $5,789
Day to day management of plants in nirsery $360 $360 $1,200 $1,680 $2,160 $2,880
Screen house rent $600 $600 $2,000 $2,800 $3,600 $4,800
Tools (scissors, water cans ets) $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400
Field production and mangement cost
Land preparation using FMS services (Mowing, Ploughing, Ridging etc) $630 $630 $2,100 $2,940 $3,780 $5,040
Purchase of manure to enhance soil fertility $900 $900 $3,000 $4,200 $5,400 $7,200
Purchase of Herbicide and spraying $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400
Spreading of manure $150 $150 $500 $700 $900 $1,200
Cost of Planting field with rooted single node vine cuttings $675 $675 $2,250 $3,150 $4,050 $5,400
Weeding $2,363 $2,363 $7,875 $11,025 $14,175 $18,900
Staking and trailing of the plants $2,700 $2,700 $9,000 $12,600 $16,200 $21,600
Irrigation $578 $578 $1,925 $2,695 $3,465 $4,620
Personnel cost $6,624 $6,624 $6,624 $6,955 $7,303 $7,668
Harvest $1,350 $1,350 $4,500 $6,300 $8,100 $10,800
Tools (Matchettes, bags, sachets, hoes, digging rods etc) $100 $100 $333 $467 $600 $800
Total Cost of Production $56,356 $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067
Number of foundation seed yam tubers generated 54,000 180,000 252,000 324,000 432,000
Unit cost of production per tuber in Naira (1$=N360) $1.04 $0.55 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43
FOUDNATIONSEEDPRODUCTIONCOST
DEEPDIVE
26
Hectares 1.5 5 7 9 12
Aeroponics system running cost Fixed $ Variable $ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Breeder plantlets planted in aeroponics $6,000 $6,000 $6,300 $6,615 $6,946 $7,293
Personnel cost $14,925 $15,671 $16,455 $17,277 $18,141 $19,048
Fertilizers used in power house $374 $374 $1,247 $1,745 $2,244 $2,992
Screen house rent $1,260 $1,260 $1,323 $1,389 $1,459 $1,532
Electricity and water (variable with volume) $4,800 $4,800 $5,040 $5,292 $5,557 $5,834
Insecticide and fungicide used $71 $71 $238 $333 $429 $571
Nursery management cost
Top soil $1,050 $1,050 $3,500 $4,900 $6,300 $8,400
Sterilization of top soil $2,880 $2,880 $9,600 $13,440 $17,280 $23,040
Casual for soil sterilization $144 $144 $480 $672 $864 $1,152
Potting soil (commercial substract) $2,213 $2,213 $7,378 $10,329 $13,280 $17,707
Personnel for Vine cuttings and planting $4,763 $4,763 $5,001 $5,251 $5,513 $5,789
Day to day management of plants in nirsery $360 $360 $1,200 $1,680 $2,160 $2,880
Screen house rent $600 $600 $2,000 $2,800 $3,600 $4,800
Tools (scissors, water cans ets) $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400
Field production and mangement cost
Land preparation using FMS services (Mowing, Ploughing, Ridging etc) $630 $630 $2,100 $2,940 $3,780 $5,040
Purchase of manure to enhance soil fertility $900 $900 $3,000 $4,200 $5,400 $7,200
Purchase of Herbicide and spraying $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400
Spreading of manure $150 $150 $500 $700 $900 $1,200
Cost of Planting field with rooted single node vine cuttings $675 $675 $2,250 $3,150 $4,050 $5,400
Weeding $2,363 $2,363 $7,875 $11,025 $14,175 $18,900
Staking and trailing of the plants $2,700 $2,700 $9,000 $12,600 $16,200 $21,600
Irrigation $578 $578 $1,925 $2,695 $3,465 $4,620
Personnel cost $6,624 $6,624 $6,624 $6,955 $7,303 $7,668
Harvest $1,350 $1,350 $4,500 $6,300 $8,100 $10,800
Tools (Matchettes, bags, sachets, hoes, digging rods etc) $100 $100 $333 $467 $600 $800
Total Cost of Production $56,356 $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067
Number of foundation seed yam tubers generated 54,000 180,000 252,000 324,000 432,000
Unit cost of production per tuber in Naira (1$=N360) $1.04 $0.55 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43
FOUDNATIONSEEDPRODUCTIONCOST
DEEPDIVE
28
Initial IITA Business Plan Indicates Positive NPV, But
Overhead Costs Are Not Fully Loaded*0 1 2 3 4
Revenue 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Breeder Seed Breeder Plantlets Sold 23,803 33,408 33,408 33,408 33,408
Breeder Plantlet – Average Sales Price
Per Unit $1.20 $1.20 $1.20 $1.20 $1.20
Breeder Plantlet – Total Revenue $28,564 $40,090 $40,090 $40,090 $40,090
Foundation Seed Seed Yam Tubers Sold 189,615 265,695 342,945 456,480 456,480
Aeroponics System Seed Yam – Average Sales Price Per Unit $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49
Seed Yam – Total Revenue $92,911 $130,190 $168,043 $223,675 $223,675
Total Revenue $121,475 $170,280 $208,133 $263,765 $263,765
Costs 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Breeder Seed Operating Costs $21,885 $22,864 $22,864 $22,864 $22,864
Foundation Seed Operating Costs $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067 $185,067
Annual Operating Expenses $120,086 $146,087 $171,209 $207,931 $207,931
Net Income $1,389 $24,193 $36,923 $55,834 $55,834
Discounted Cash Flow $1,389 $20,573 $26,698 $34,330 $29,192
Net Present Value ($) $112,182
Net Present Value (N) ₦ 40,385,553
INTEGRATEDIITABREEDER&
FOUNDATIONSEEDFINANCIALSUMMARY
*Sales and Marketing Staff, AS Depreciation Expense, Seed Yam Storage, Accounting Support
29
Ultimately, Multiplication Rates and Cost
Management Will Drive Profitability
B U S I N E S S P L A N
$121,475
$170,280
$208,133
$263,765 $263,765
$120,086
$146,087
$171,209
$207,931 $207,931
$1,389
$24,193
$36,923
$55,834 $55,834
$0
$40,000
$80,000
$120,000
$160,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Revenues & Costs of Breeder & Foundation Seed Production
Total Revenue Annual Operating Expenses Net Income
30
Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the
Business Plan
A S S U M P T I O N S
1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed?
2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s
incorporation into GoSeed’s operations?
3. Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its
costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at?
4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed
companies?
Led by:
thank you
33
Seed Companies’ Business Plans &
Other Achievements
34
2017 Achievements
Seed Yam Business Plans Developed4
2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
Additional Companies Evaluated As Potential Partners5
Private Sector Aeroponics System Established in Nigeria1st
Letters of Agreement Executed With Seed Companies3
35
2017 Timeline
* Initial suggestions for timeline and locations; final dates and location workshops or “Lunch ’n Learns” with BMGF are TBD.
Q1 2017
PSN’S AS
SYSTEM
ESTABLISHED
March
2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
Q3 2017 Q4 2017
BIOCROPS, DA-ALLGREEN,
AND NWABUDO
PRIORITIZED
PROJECT KICKOFF
MEETING
PARTNERSHIP
DEVELOPMENT
TOUR
PARTNERSHIP
AGREEMENTS
EXECUTED
BUSINESS PLANS
FINALIZED
BUSINESS PLAN
DEVELOPMENT
TOUR NIRSAL
CONCEPT
NOTE
BUSINESS PLAN
DEVELOPMENTYAM MARKET
SURVEY
Q2 2017
36
Interest Vetting Teaming Business Plan Launch
2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
Five Step
Partnership
Development
Process
Seed Companies Are Launching Their Seed Yam
Businesses
Working
Sessions
1 2 3 4 5
Virtual Screen of
Prospective
Partners
Intensive Seed
Company Vetting
Process
Introduction to
Program &
Business Case
Formalize Business
Strategy
(production plan,
sales & marketing,
financial pro forma,
and personnel)
Provide Business
Support and
Technical
Backstopping
KeyWorkstreams
1st Wave of Seed
Companies
2nd Wave of Seed
Companies
37
Downstream Sales & Marketing Ability Influences
Seed Companies’ Business Model
Aeroponics
Production
Micro-Tubers
Bulbils
Contract
Growers
Mini Seed-
Sized
Micro Seed-
Sized
DirectOne-Node
Vine Cuttings
Ware Yam-
Sized Seed
Seed Yam-
Sized Sized
Contract
Growers
Direct &
Dealers
Ware Yam-
Sized Seed
Seed Yam-
Sized Sized
₦
2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
Seed Companies’ Path To Market
Decision Point
Output of Production Step
Movement of Output
Key:
Owned
Fields
₦
Owned
Fields
SHF
SHF
SHF
SHF
Ware Yam Farmers
SHF
Registered Certified
Seed Grower Network
Direct &
Dealers
₦ SHF
SHF
SHF SHF
IITA
NAGR
AB
Breeder
Motherplants
–––––Certified Seed––––––––––––––––––––Foundation Seed––––––––––––––– ––Ware Yam––
NAGRAB
–Breeder Seed–
Private
38
Downstream Sales & Marketing Ability Influences
Seed Companies’ Business Model
2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
To apply the distribution channel strategy, it is important to map out the production, output
and sales pathway for the single and direct distribution channels.
Aeroponics Production
Direct Sales One-Node
Vine Cuttings
Micro-Tubers Bulbils
Ware Yam Seed Yam
Mini & Micro
Tubers
Yam Sellers
(Wholesalers
& Retailers)
DirectSales
• Seed yam
producers
• Agro-dealers
• Seed yam
producers
• Agro-dealers
Direct Sales or through distributors
Seed Yam
Certified Seed
Companies
Seed companies
Sales distribution channels
Production flow
Products
Customers
39
Develop a Pro Forma Financial Model That
Underpins Seed Companies Business Plans
Assumptions can be manipulated to evaluate various scenarios
A P P R O A C H
PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS
1 2 3
• Review Strategic Objectives,
Multiplication Rates,
Operational Costs, CapEx,
and Revenue Estimates
• Evaluate production
economics
• Analyze the sensitivity of
results to varying assumptions
40
IITA Seed Company Partner
Aeroponics
Technology
Site development support including Aeroponics System
requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise
Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and
equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing
appropriately irrigated fields
Access to Improve
Varieties
Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and
true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices.
Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants
at no charge through the establishment period
Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting
material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II
project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after
the initial establishment period
Optimizing
Operations
Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and
management systems to enable informed investment and
operational decisions
Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the
aeroponics system , nursery, QPM operations, and
planting material from TIBs
Quality Systems and
Accreditation
Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being
produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination
with NASC
Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate
sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable
inventory
Personnel Training
Provide expertise for training key employees on the
multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel,
including the identification of key capabilities
Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery,
and field production
Seed Distribution
Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to
optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans
for the sale and distribution of planting material
Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers.
Commitment to include potential outgrowers
Proposed Partnership Agreement Components -
Responsibilities and Contributions
S H A R E D
C O M M I T M E N T S
41
IITA Seed Company Partner
Aeroponics
Technology
Site development support including Aeroponics System
requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise
Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and
equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing
appropriately irrigated fields
Access to Improve
Varieties
Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and
true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices.
Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants
at no charge through the establishment period
Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting
material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II
project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after
the initial establishment period
Optimizing
Operations
Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and
management systems to enable informed investment and
operational decisions
Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the
aeroponics system , nursery, QPM operations, and
planting material from TIBs
Quality Systems and
Accreditation
Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being
produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination
with NASC
Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate
sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable
inventory
Personnel Training
Provide expertise for training key employees on the
multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel,
including the identification of key capabilities
Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery,
and field production
Seed Distribution
Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to
optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans
for the sale and distribution of planting material
Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers.
Commitment to include potential outgrowers
Proposed Partnership Agreement Components -
Responsibilities and Contributions
S H A R E D
C O M M I T M E N T S
42
IITA Seed Company Partner
Aeroponics
Technology
Site development support including Aeroponics System
requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise
Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and
equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing
appropriately irrigated fields
Access to Improve
Varieties
Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and
true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices.
Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants
at no charge through the establishment period
Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting
material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II
project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after
the initial establishment period
Optimizing
Operations
Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and
management systems to enable informed investment and
operational decisions
Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the
aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder
planting material
Quality Systems and
Accreditation
Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being
produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination
with NASC
Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate
sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable
inventory
Personnel Training
Provide expertise for training key employees on the
multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel,
including the identification of key capabilities
Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery,
and field production
Seed Distribution
Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to
optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans
for the sale and distribution of planting material
Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers.
Commitment to include potential outgrowers
Proposed Partnership Agreement Components -
Responsibilities and Contributions
S H A R E D
C O M M I T M E N T S
43
IITA Seed Company Partner
Aeroponics
Technology
Site development support including Aeroponics System
requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise
Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and
equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing
appropriately irrigated fields
Access to Improve
Varieties
Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and
true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices.
Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants
at no charge through the establishment period
Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting
material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II
project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after
the initial establishment period
Optimizing
Operations
Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and
management systems to enable informed investment and
operational decisions
Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the
aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder
planting material
Quality Systems and
Accreditation
Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being
produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination
with NASC
Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate
sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable
inventory
Personnel Training
Provide expertise for training key employees on the
multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel,
including the identification of key capabilities
Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery,
and field production
Seed Distribution
Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to
optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans
for the sale and distribution of planting material
Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers.
Commitment to include potential outgrowers
Proposed Partnership Agreement Components -
Responsibilities and Contributions
S H A R E D
C O M M I T M E N T S
44
IITA Seed Company Partner
Aeroponics
Technology
Site development support including Aeroponics System
requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise
Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and
equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing
appropriately irrigated fields
Access to Improve
Varieties
Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and
true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices.
Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants
at no charge through the establishment period
Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting
material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II
project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after
the initial establishment period
Optimizing
Operations
Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and
management systems to enable informed investment and
operational decisions
Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the
aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder
planting material
Quality Systems and
Accreditation
Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being
produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination
with NASC
Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate
sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable
inventory
Personnel Training
Provide expertise for training key employees on the
multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel,
including the identification of key capabilities
Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery,
and field production
Seed Distribution
Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to
optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans
for the sale and distribution of planting material
Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers.
Commitment to include potential outgrowers
Proposed Partnership Agreement Components -
Responsibilities and Contributions
S H A R E D
C O M M I T M E N T S
45
IITA Seed Company Partner
Aeroponics
Technology
Site development support including Aeroponics System
requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise
Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and
equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing
appropriately irrigated fields
Access to Improve
Varieties
Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and
true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices.
Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants
at no charge through the establishment period
Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting
material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II
project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after
the initial establishment period
Optimizing
Operations
Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and
management systems to enable informed investment and
operational decisions
Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the
aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder
planting material
Quality Systems and
Accreditation
Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being
produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination
with NASC
Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate
sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable
inventory
Personnel Training
Provide expertise for training key employees on the
multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel,
including the identification of key capabilities
Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery,
and field production
Seed Distribution
Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to
optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans
for the sale and distribution of planting material
Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers.
Commitment to include potential outgrowers
Proposed Partnership Agreement Components -
Responsibilities and Contributions
S H A R E D
C O M M I T M E N T S
46
2018 Priorities
47
Five Priorities to Increase the Probability of Project
Objective Realization
• Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for
Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk guarantees on behalf of seed companies,
certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware yam farmers
• Breeder Seed Supply. Support the development of a reliable breeder seed source for seed
companies by building the business and technical capacity of NAGRAB and NRCRI
• Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation seed by
developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with farmer organizations and
NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam farmers
• Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand for clean planting
material of project promoted varieties
• Product Profile Development. Use demonstration trials to develop product profiles, and marketing
plans that support their value proposition
2 0 1 8
P R I O R I T I E S
48
Priorities to Increase the Probability of Creating a
Sustainable, Private-Sector Led Seed Certified Seed
System
• Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk
Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk
guarantees on behalf of seed companies, certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware
yam farmers
• Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand
for clean planting material of project promoted varieties
• Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation
seed by developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with
farmer organizations and NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam
farmers
2 0 1 8
P R I O R I T I E S
49
Priorities to Increase the Probability of Creating a
Sustainable, Private-Sector Led Seed Certified Seed
System
• Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk
Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk
guarantees on behalf of seed companies, certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware
yam farmers
• Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand
for clean planting material of project promoted varieties
• Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation
seed by developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with
farmer organizations and NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam
farmers
2 0 1 8
P R I O R I T I E S
50
Priorities to Increase the Probability of Creating a
Sustainable, Private-Sector Led Seed Certified Seed
System
• Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk
Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk
guarantees on behalf of seed companies, certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware
yam farmers
• Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand
for clean planting material of project promoted varieties
• Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation
seed by developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with
farmer organizations and NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam
farmers
2 0 1 8
P R I O R I T I E S
51
2017 Progress Update
52
Go-Forward Action ItemsN E X T S T E P S
# Next Step Responsible Party(s) Deadline Comments
1
2
3
4
Led by:
thank you
54
Increased Availability and Accessibility
of Improved Yam Varieties
55
Seed Roadmap Supports Stakeholder & Project
Planning Efforts
S E E D R O A D M A P
PRIMARY OUTCOME #1
PRIMARY OUTCOME #2
SEED ROADMAP
Established functional, scalable and
sustainable public sector driven
commercial early generation seed
systems for improved yam varieties
Established functional, scalable and
sustainable basic and commercial
seed system driven by private sector
56
Seed Company Business Plans Underpin the Seed
Roadmap
The Seed Roadmap content that follows is exclusive to Nigeria, and the four companies
that have developed their business plans. In 2018, the Seed Roadmap will be expanded
to include Ghanaian seed systems projections based on a similar methodology.
S E E D R O A D M A P
OBJECTIVE: Project the quantity of
clean planting material, that will be
demanded at each successive seed
stage (breeder > basic > certified)
8
20
40
56
86
17
48
97
143
234
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
#ofTubersProduced
Millions
#ofAeroponicsSystemsinOperation
Number of Aeroponic Systems Basic Seed Yam Tubers Certified Seed Yam Tubers
PS-Nutrac
Da-
Allgreen
Nwabudo
Biocrops
METHODOLOGY: Consolidate the basic
seed production forecasts of the initial
four seed companies to estimate the
total basic seed production from 2018-
2023
57
Four Seed Companies Prepared to Deploy Enough Basic
Seed for Production of +500M Total Certified Seed by
2023
2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24
58
Annual Revenue for the Commercial Yam Seed System
Projected to Exceed ₦142B by 2023
Basic Seed Certified Seed Ware Yam
# Actors 4 3,500 85,293
Production Area (ha) 2,095 3,500 17,059
Revenue (USD) $35M $108M $263M
Revenue (Naira) ₦12B ₦ 38B ₦ 92B
2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
5025 75
Basic
Seed
Certified Seed
Ware Yam
30
20
0
0 100%
NetProfitMargin(%)
N 142B
40
10
50
Share of Industry Revenue (%)
Led by:
thank you
60
Business Plan for IITA Ibadan for Breeder &
Foundation Seed
Milestone Deliverables
2. Business plan based on cost tracking system implemented for
demonstration of basic seed production facility at IITA campus
submitted for foundation review and approval incorporating seed
companies and Foundation feedback
Business plan developed
based on year 2017 cost
tracking system at IITA
B U S I N E S S P L A N
61
Second Phase of the Project is Focused on
Commercialization of Aeroponics Technology
B A C K G R O U N D
TEST SCALEPROVE
YIIFSWA YIIFSWA-II
2017-20222011-2016
• Test rapid multiplication
technologies for seed yam and
study performance metrics
(e.g., production throughput)
• Validate technological performance
• Evaluate business case for investing in
aeroponics systems
• Support commercialization of aeroponics
production through collaboration with
interested private seed companies and
certified seed entrepreneurs
62
The Seed Yam Business Presents a Compelling
Business Opportunity for Seed Companies
B A C K G R O U N D
CURRENT SITUATION PROMISING DEVELOPMENTS
BUSINESS
OPPORTUNITY
 New yam seed revenue stream
 Leverage existing staff & infrastructure to reduce investment & operational costs
 Priority access to differentiated product
 First mover advantage accessing aeroponics technology
 Expert support for development of regional business model to minimize risk
 Largest producer of yam in the world
second largest crop produced in Nigeria
 Prices for ware yam continue to be high
due low National yields (~12 MT/ha)
underserving demand and leading to a
tuber shortage
 Captive market of farmers accustomed
to buying seed informally presents
opportunity to switch farmers to formal
system
 IITA developed and released new,
improved varieties that feature higher
yields and preferred traits (e.g., sweetness
and ‘poundability’) compared to premium
landraces
 YIIFSWA-I validated the multiplication
technology’s ability to deliver increased
Early Generation Seed production
volumes in W Africa
 Deployment center model to optimize
logistical challenges associated with yam
bulkiness and perishability
63
Emerging Credit Model for Yam Seed System
Development in Nigeria
2 0 1 8
P R I O R I T I E S
64
2017 Achievements2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
YIIFSWA-II Project Seed Roadmap that quantifies the expected production volumes, by class, of
seed yam over time
Yam Market Survey Report by Sahel Capital
Dynamic financial model that estimates projects the profitability of seed yam production based on
company-specific assumptions
Three companies executed Letters of Agreement with IITA (Da-Allgreen Seeds Limited, Nwabudo
Agro Seeds Limited, Biocrops Biotechnology Company Limited)
Five additional private sector companies vetted for potential partnership with IITA under the YIIFSWA-
II project
Seed Yam Business Template
Four companies developed business plans for seed yam production using aeroponics
One private sector aeroponics system constructed (PS Nutraceuticals International Ltd), with a
second under construction contract (Da-Allgreen Seeds Limited)
500 breeder plantlets transferred from IITA to private sector aeroponics system operator (PS
Nutraceuticals International Ltd)
Concept note on potential collaboration with the Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for
Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) developed
5
65
2017 Achievements2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S
# Result Context/Sahel Engagement
2 YIIFSWA-II Project Seed Roadmap that quantifies the expected
production volumes, by class, of seed yam over time
Aggregated individual seed company production projections, and modeled downstream production of
certified seed yam and ware yam
3 Yam Market Survey Report by Sahel Capital Conducted farmer and market research across the project’s focus states (Niger, Nasarawa, Benue,
Enugu and FCT) and Kaduna state to better understand effective demand for seed yam, pricing and
key marketing messages to support private seed companies’ strategy
4 Dynamic financial model that estimates projects the profitability of seed
yam production based on company-specific assumptions
Constructed a production and financial model that supports seed companies evaluation of the seed
yam business opportunity
5 Three companies executed Letters of Agreement with IITA (Da-Allgreen
Seeds Limited, Nwabudo Agro Seeds Limited, Biocrops Biotechnology
Company Limited)
Collaborated with IITA to develop a draft LOA that outlines shared project commitments and the
terms of the financial support to partner seed companies.
6 Five additional private sector companies vetted for potential partnership
with IITA under the YIIFSWA-II project
Performed partnership due diligence on six additional companies
7 Seed Yam Business Template Developed a template to support seed companies’ development of their business plans
8 Four companies developed business plans for seed yam production
using aeroponics
Supported private sector companies’ seed yam investment due diligence and the formalization of
their business plans
9 One private sector aeroponics system constructed (PS Nutraceuticals
International Ltd), with a second under construction contract (Da-
Allgreen Seeds Limited)
PS Nutraceuticals financed and constructed its first aeroponics system without support from the
project. Facilitated introductions between PS Nutraceuticals and the initial seed companies for the
construction of their aeroponics systems.
10 500 breeder plantlets transferred from IITA to private sector aeroponics
system operator (PS Nutraceuticals International Ltd)
Brokered the transfer of breeder material from IITA to PS Nutraceuticals for propagation in its newly
constructed aeroponics system.
11 Concept note on potential collaboration with the Nigerian Incentive-
Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL)
developed
Developed a concept note that conceptualized a potential partnership arrangement with NIRSAL for
the provision of credit-risk guarantees on behalf of YIIFSWA-II project partners.

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YAM IMPROVEMENT FOR INCOME AND FOOD SECURITY IN WEST AFRICA (YIIFSWA-II)

  • 1. Led by: YAM IMPROVEMENT FOR INCOME AND FOOD SECURITY IN WEST AFRICA (YIIFSWA-II) 2018 Annual Meeting March, 2018
  • 2. 2 Meeting AgendaA G E N D A Monday • Business Plan for Breeder & Foundation Seed (11:45-12:15) • Overview of Seed Companies’ Business Plans & Other Achievements (15:00-15:20) Tuesday • Presentation of 2018 Output Under Intermediary Outcome 2.1: Increased availability and accessibility of improved yam varieties via establishment of high quality seed system by 2021 (10:00-10:15) • Outcome 2.4: Investment by Private Seed Companies with Capacity to Produce at Least 30 Hectares of Basic Seed Tubers of Yam by the End of 2019 (11:50-12:05) Wednesday • Context/Sahel 2018 Workplan (14:00-14:15)
  • 3. 3 Business Plan for IITA Ibadan for Breeder & Foundation Seed
  • 4. 4 How Does a Business Plan Add Value?B U S I N E S S P L A N Financial Sustainability Demonstrate Business Plan Strategic Alignment Continuous Improvement The purpose of establishing a breeder and foundation seed unit is to support the growth of the formal seed sector
  • 5. 5 IITA Seeks to Sustainably Deploy Breeder and Foundation Seed Yam to the Market B U S I N E S S P L A N BREEDER SEED FOUNDATION SEED CERTIFIED SEED WARE YAM Motherplant Production Using Temporary Immersion Bioreactors AS Vine Cuttings Tuber Production From AS Vines Tuber Production From Minisetted Foundation Seed Ware Yam Production Stage TIBs Acclimatization (Hardening) Aeroponics System Nursery (One-Node Vines) Foundation Seed Field Production Adapted Yam Minisett Technique Yam Farmer Production Cycle Time (Days) 56 14 120-180 14 180 270 270 BA C D E IITA Seed Yam Operational Scope
  • 6. 6 Develop a Pro Forma Financial Model That Supports Seed Deployment Strategy Assumptions can be manipulated to evaluate various scenarios A P P R O A C H PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS 1 2 3 • Review Strategic Objectives, Multiplication Rates, Operational Costs, CapEx, and Revenue Estimates • Evaluate production economics • Analyze the sensitivity of results to varying assumptions
  • 7. 7 First Lets Evaluate AssumptionsA S S U M P T I O N S PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS 1 2 3 • Review Multiplication Rates, Operational Costs, CapEx, and Revenue Estimates • Evaluate production economics • Analyze the sensitivity of results to varying assumptions
  • 8. 8 Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the Business Plan A S S U M P T I O N S 1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed? 2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? 3. Should a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? 4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies?
  • 9. 9 Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the Business Plan A S S U M P T I O N S 1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed? 2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? 3. Should a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? 4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies?
  • 10. 10 Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the Business Plan A S S U M P T I O N S 1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed? 2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? 3. Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? 4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies?
  • 11. 11 Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the Business Plan A S S U M P T I O N S 1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed? 2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? 3. Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? 4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies?
  • 12. 12 Key Questions & Assumptions # Question Assumption 1 What is the demand for Breeder Seed? Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the (NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI) 2 How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of their production and distribution volumes. 3 Should a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed. For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed @ $0.49 4 How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies? IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will have the first right of refusal for use in augmenting their own operations and for the establishment of demonstration trials A S S U M P T I O N S
  • 13. 13 Breeder Seed Demand Estimates This forecast was developed using: • Upscaling projections of the first four seed company partners of YIIFSWA-II, and making assumptions for their re-purchase rate of breeder seed (refresh rate) and the survival rate of breeder seed in aeroponics • In addition to private sector demand, IITA requires up to 5,000 breeder plantlets annually for its foundation seed operations.38,870 56,326 125,794 153,016 315,579 8 20 40 56 86 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 New Stock of Breeder Seed Required Annually New Stock of Breeder Seed Required Aeroponics System Demand for Breeder Seed is Expected to Outstrip IITA’s Production by 2018 – Upscaling NACGRAB’s Production and Identifying Other Potential Sources Is a Key Success Factor A S S U M P T I O N S
  • 14. 14 Breeder Seed Demand Forecast Through 2022A S S U M P T I O N S
  • 15. 15 Key Questions & Assumptions # Question Assumption 1 What is the demand for Breeder Seed? Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the (NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI) 2 How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of their production and distribution volumes. 3 Should a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed. For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed @ $0.49 4 How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies? IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will have the first right of refusal for use in augmenting their own operations and for the establishment of demonstration trials A S S U M P T I O N S
  • 16. 16 Key Questions & Assumptions # Question Assumption 1 What is the demand for Breeder Seed? Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the (NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI) 2 How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of their production and distribution volumes. 3 Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed. For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed @ $0.49 4 How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies? IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will have the first right of refusal for use in augmenting their own operations and for the establishment of demonstration trials A S S U M P T I O N S
  • 17. 17 Key Questions & Assumptions # Question Assumption 1 What is the demand for Breeder Seed? Near-term demand for seed yam will largely be informed by private seed companies, and to a lesser extent, entrepreneurs producing for ware yam, the (NACGRAB), and the National Root Crops Research Institute (NRCRI) 2 How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? IITA through the yam breeding program or YIIFSWA-II project will sell breeder and foundation class yam seed to registered seed companies and provide the same to National Agriculture Research Institutes, NACGRAB and NRCRI, on a no or low-cost basis to facilitate capacity building via training and up-scaling of their production and distribution volumes. 3 Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? This is a strategic, institutional-level question that will be informed by IITA’s strategic initiative to become a seller of early generation seed through GoSeed. For the purposes of business plan modeling, 100% operational cost recovery is assumed. Initial pricing is set at Breeder Seed @ $1.20, and Foundation Seed @ $0.49 4 How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies? IITA’s production will be made available to partner seed companies, who will have the first option to for use in augmenting their own operations and for the establishment of demonstration trials A S S U M P T I O N S
  • 18. 18 Now Let’s Evaluate the ProjectionsA S S U M P T I O N S PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS 1 2 3 • Review Multiplication Rates, Operational Costs, CapEx, and Revenue Estimates • Evaluate production economics • Analyze the sensitivity of results to varying assumptions
  • 19. 19 Current Estimates Project a Margin Over Variable Costs * $121,475 $170,280 $208,133 $263,765 $263,765 $120,086 $146,087 $171,209 $207,931 $207,931 $1,389 $24,193 $36,923 $55,834 $55,834 $0 $40,000 $80,000 $120,000 $160,000 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Revenues & Costs of Breeder & Foundation Seed Production Total Revenue Annual Operating Expenses Net Income R E V E N U E & C O S T S U M M A R Y *Current estimates do not account for: • Sales and Marketing Costs • Aeroponics Depreciation • Seed Yam Storage • Accounting Support
  • 20. 20 Revenue Contribution Has an Emphasis Foundation Seed Sales $28,564 $40,090 $40,090 $40,090 $40,090 $92,911 $130,190 $168,043 $223,675 $223,675 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Revenue Contribution From Breeder and Foundation Seed Sales Breeder Plantlet – Total Revenue Seed Yam – Total Revenue R E V E N U E & C O S T S U M M A R Y
  • 21. 21 Efficiency Gains in Breeder Seed Production of TIBs Reduce Unit Costs Over Time B R E E D E R S E E D P R O J E C T I O N S BREEDER SEED THROUGHPUT EXPECTED TO INCREASE 44% IN 2019 UNIT COSTS PROJECTED TO DECREASE NEARLY 29% DUE TO INCREASED THROUGHPUT $22,743 $21,885 $21,885 $21,885 $21,885 26,759 28,800 38,400 38,400 38,400 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total Breeder Seed Production Costs & Volumes Total production costs Breeder seed production volume $0.85 $0.76 $0.60 $0.60 $0.60 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 $0.00 $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 Total Breeder Seed Production Costs & Volumes Unit costs per breeder seed PRODUCTION COSTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LEVEL THROUGH 2021
  • 22. 22 BREEDERSEEDPRODUCTIONCOSTDEEP DIVEFOR2018 Item Unit Cost Multiplier Cost % of Total Stock plantlets, 900 @ 1.83 each =1,647 used for 2 years $2 450.0 $824 4% Air compressor (2 units @2187.5 each=4375 split over 5 years) $4,375 0.2 $875 4% Air dryer (2 units @ 836 each=1672 split over 4 years) $1,672 0.3 $418 2% Autoclave (2 units @ 3750 each=7500 split over 5 years $7,500 0.2 $1,500 7% Oil filter $100 0.2 $20 0% 160 Bioreactor vessels 160 units @ 80.76 each=12,921 split over 3 years $12,921 0.3 $4,307 20% Shelves 2 units @ 869.4 each=1720.8 split over 5 years $1,721 0.2 $344 2% Programmable Logic control (split over 5 years) $2,227 0.2 $445 2% Backup timers to PLC (split over 5 years) $350 0.2 $70 0% Culture medium $1 576.0 $611 3% Supplies $2,200 1.0 $2,200 10% Shared benchspace / Back up power $175 12.0 $2,100 10% Research Supervisor @ $430.53/month, 12 months $431 12.0 $5,166 24% 40% time of skilled labour for cleaning $203.38 monthly= $81 12.0 $976 4% Virus testing on 288 plantlet (1% of plantlet produced) $4 288.0 $1,008 5% Shared barcoding (25%) split over 4 years $4,000 0.1 $250 1% FMS Support $771 1.0 $771 4% Grand Total $21,885 Plantlets produced 28,800 Unit cost $0.76
  • 23. 23 Similarly Foundation Seed Has Unit Cost Efficiencies Through Increased AS Throughput $16,119 $38,274 $51,265 $64,273 $83,628 $12,060 $29,325 $39,305 $49,297 $64,168 $28,177 $30,602 $32,652 $34,775 $37,271 $1.04 $0.55 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43 $0.00 $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20 $1.40 $1.60 $1.80 $2.00 $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 $140,000 $160,000 $180,000 $200,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 PerUnitProductionCostsofFoundationSeed TotalFoundationSeedProductionCosts Foundation Seed Production Costs Field production and mangement cost Nursery management cost Aeoponics system running cost Unit Cost of Production (tuber) AEROPONICS SYSTEM IS A FIXED COST BUSINESS – THE INCREMENTAL COST OF PRODUCTION IS NEGLIBLE UNIT COSTS PROJECTED TO DECREASE NEARLY 60% DUE TO INCREASED AEROPONICS SYSTEM THROUGHPUT FIELD & NURSERY PRODUCTION STEPS ARE A VARIABLE COST BUSINESS, WHICH DRIVES PRODUCTION COST INCREASE F O U N D A I O N S E E D P R O J E C T I O N S
  • 24. 24 Hectares 1.5 5 7 9 12 Aeroponics system running cost Fixed $ Variable $ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Breeder plantlets planted in aeroponics $6,000 $6,000 $6,300 $6,615 $6,946 $7,293 Personnel cost $14,925 $15,671 $16,455 $17,277 $18,141 $19,048 Fertilizers used in power house $374 $374 $1,247 $1,745 $2,244 $2,992 Screen house rent $1,260 $1,260 $1,323 $1,389 $1,459 $1,532 Electricity and water (variable with volume) $4,800 $4,800 $5,040 $5,292 $5,557 $5,834 Insecticide and fungicide used $71 $71 $238 $333 $429 $571 Nursery management cost Top soil $1,050 $1,050 $3,500 $4,900 $6,300 $8,400 Sterilization of top soil $2,880 $2,880 $9,600 $13,440 $17,280 $23,040 Casual for soil sterilization $144 $144 $480 $672 $864 $1,152 Potting soil (commercial substract) $2,213 $2,213 $7,378 $10,329 $13,280 $17,707 Personnel for Vine cuttings and planting $4,763 $4,763 $5,001 $5,251 $5,513 $5,789 Day to day management of plants in nirsery $360 $360 $1,200 $1,680 $2,160 $2,880 Screen house rent $600 $600 $2,000 $2,800 $3,600 $4,800 Tools (scissors, water cans ets) $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400 Field production and mangement cost Land preparation using FMS services (Mowing, Ploughing, Ridging etc) $630 $630 $2,100 $2,940 $3,780 $5,040 Purchase of manure to enhance soil fertility $900 $900 $3,000 $4,200 $5,400 $7,200 Purchase of Herbicide and spraying $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400 Spreading of manure $150 $150 $500 $700 $900 $1,200 Cost of Planting field with rooted single node vine cuttings $675 $675 $2,250 $3,150 $4,050 $5,400 Weeding $2,363 $2,363 $7,875 $11,025 $14,175 $18,900 Staking and trailing of the plants $2,700 $2,700 $9,000 $12,600 $16,200 $21,600 Irrigation $578 $578 $1,925 $2,695 $3,465 $4,620 Personnel cost $6,624 $6,624 $6,624 $6,955 $7,303 $7,668 Harvest $1,350 $1,350 $4,500 $6,300 $8,100 $10,800 Tools (Matchettes, bags, sachets, hoes, digging rods etc) $100 $100 $333 $467 $600 $800 Total Cost of Production $56,356 $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067 Number of foundation seed yam tubers generated 54,000 180,000 252,000 324,000 432,000 Unit cost of production per tuber in Naira (1$=N360) $1.04 $0.55 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43 FOUDNATIONSEEDPRODUCTIONCOST DEEPDIVE
  • 25. 25 Hectares 1.5 5 7 9 12 Aeroponics system running cost Fixed $ Variable $ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Breeder plantlets planted in aeroponics $6,000 $6,000 $6,300 $6,615 $6,946 $7,293 Personnel cost $14,925 $15,671 $16,455 $17,277 $18,141 $19,048 Fertilizers used in power house $374 $374 $1,247 $1,745 $2,244 $2,992 Screen house rent $1,260 $1,260 $1,323 $1,389 $1,459 $1,532 Electricity and water (variable with volume) $4,800 $4,800 $5,040 $5,292 $5,557 $5,834 Insecticide and fungicide used $71 $71 $238 $333 $429 $571 Nursery management cost Top soil $1,050 $1,050 $3,500 $4,900 $6,300 $8,400 Sterilization of top soil $2,880 $2,880 $9,600 $13,440 $17,280 $23,040 Casual for soil sterilization $144 $144 $480 $672 $864 $1,152 Potting soil (commercial substract) $2,213 $2,213 $7,378 $10,329 $13,280 $17,707 Personnel for Vine cuttings and planting $4,763 $4,763 $5,001 $5,251 $5,513 $5,789 Day to day management of plants in nirsery $360 $360 $1,200 $1,680 $2,160 $2,880 Screen house rent $600 $600 $2,000 $2,800 $3,600 $4,800 Tools (scissors, water cans ets) $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400 Field production and mangement cost Land preparation using FMS services (Mowing, Ploughing, Ridging etc) $630 $630 $2,100 $2,940 $3,780 $5,040 Purchase of manure to enhance soil fertility $900 $900 $3,000 $4,200 $5,400 $7,200 Purchase of Herbicide and spraying $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400 Spreading of manure $150 $150 $500 $700 $900 $1,200 Cost of Planting field with rooted single node vine cuttings $675 $675 $2,250 $3,150 $4,050 $5,400 Weeding $2,363 $2,363 $7,875 $11,025 $14,175 $18,900 Staking and trailing of the plants $2,700 $2,700 $9,000 $12,600 $16,200 $21,600 Irrigation $578 $578 $1,925 $2,695 $3,465 $4,620 Personnel cost $6,624 $6,624 $6,624 $6,955 $7,303 $7,668 Harvest $1,350 $1,350 $4,500 $6,300 $8,100 $10,800 Tools (Matchettes, bags, sachets, hoes, digging rods etc) $100 $100 $333 $467 $600 $800 Total Cost of Production $56,356 $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067 Number of foundation seed yam tubers generated 54,000 180,000 252,000 324,000 432,000 Unit cost of production per tuber in Naira (1$=N360) $1.04 $0.55 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43 FOUDNATIONSEEDPRODUCTIONCOST DEEPDIVE
  • 26. 26 Hectares 1.5 5 7 9 12 Aeroponics system running cost Fixed $ Variable $ 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Breeder plantlets planted in aeroponics $6,000 $6,000 $6,300 $6,615 $6,946 $7,293 Personnel cost $14,925 $15,671 $16,455 $17,277 $18,141 $19,048 Fertilizers used in power house $374 $374 $1,247 $1,745 $2,244 $2,992 Screen house rent $1,260 $1,260 $1,323 $1,389 $1,459 $1,532 Electricity and water (variable with volume) $4,800 $4,800 $5,040 $5,292 $5,557 $5,834 Insecticide and fungicide used $71 $71 $238 $333 $429 $571 Nursery management cost Top soil $1,050 $1,050 $3,500 $4,900 $6,300 $8,400 Sterilization of top soil $2,880 $2,880 $9,600 $13,440 $17,280 $23,040 Casual for soil sterilization $144 $144 $480 $672 $864 $1,152 Potting soil (commercial substract) $2,213 $2,213 $7,378 $10,329 $13,280 $17,707 Personnel for Vine cuttings and planting $4,763 $4,763 $5,001 $5,251 $5,513 $5,789 Day to day management of plants in nirsery $360 $360 $1,200 $1,680 $2,160 $2,880 Screen house rent $600 $600 $2,000 $2,800 $3,600 $4,800 Tools (scissors, water cans ets) $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400 Field production and mangement cost Land preparation using FMS services (Mowing, Ploughing, Ridging etc) $630 $630 $2,100 $2,940 $3,780 $5,040 Purchase of manure to enhance soil fertility $900 $900 $3,000 $4,200 $5,400 $7,200 Purchase of Herbicide and spraying $50 $50 $167 $233 $300 $400 Spreading of manure $150 $150 $500 $700 $900 $1,200 Cost of Planting field with rooted single node vine cuttings $675 $675 $2,250 $3,150 $4,050 $5,400 Weeding $2,363 $2,363 $7,875 $11,025 $14,175 $18,900 Staking and trailing of the plants $2,700 $2,700 $9,000 $12,600 $16,200 $21,600 Irrigation $578 $578 $1,925 $2,695 $3,465 $4,620 Personnel cost $6,624 $6,624 $6,624 $6,955 $7,303 $7,668 Harvest $1,350 $1,350 $4,500 $6,300 $8,100 $10,800 Tools (Matchettes, bags, sachets, hoes, digging rods etc) $100 $100 $333 $467 $600 $800 Total Cost of Production $56,356 $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067 Number of foundation seed yam tubers generated 54,000 180,000 252,000 324,000 432,000 Unit cost of production per tuber in Naira (1$=N360) $1.04 $0.55 $0.49 $0.46 $0.43 FOUDNATIONSEEDPRODUCTIONCOST DEEPDIVE
  • 27. 28 Initial IITA Business Plan Indicates Positive NPV, But Overhead Costs Are Not Fully Loaded*0 1 2 3 4 Revenue 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Breeder Seed Breeder Plantlets Sold 23,803 33,408 33,408 33,408 33,408 Breeder Plantlet – Average Sales Price Per Unit $1.20 $1.20 $1.20 $1.20 $1.20 Breeder Plantlet – Total Revenue $28,564 $40,090 $40,090 $40,090 $40,090 Foundation Seed Seed Yam Tubers Sold 189,615 265,695 342,945 456,480 456,480 Aeroponics System Seed Yam – Average Sales Price Per Unit $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 $0.49 Seed Yam – Total Revenue $92,911 $130,190 $168,043 $223,675 $223,675 Total Revenue $121,475 $170,280 $208,133 $263,765 $263,765 Costs 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Breeder Seed Operating Costs $21,885 $22,864 $22,864 $22,864 $22,864 Foundation Seed Operating Costs $98,202 $123,223 $148,345 $185,067 $185,067 Annual Operating Expenses $120,086 $146,087 $171,209 $207,931 $207,931 Net Income $1,389 $24,193 $36,923 $55,834 $55,834 Discounted Cash Flow $1,389 $20,573 $26,698 $34,330 $29,192 Net Present Value ($) $112,182 Net Present Value (N) ₦ 40,385,553 INTEGRATEDIITABREEDER& FOUNDATIONSEEDFINANCIALSUMMARY *Sales and Marketing Staff, AS Depreciation Expense, Seed Yam Storage, Accounting Support
  • 28. 29 Ultimately, Multiplication Rates and Cost Management Will Drive Profitability B U S I N E S S P L A N $121,475 $170,280 $208,133 $263,765 $263,765 $120,086 $146,087 $171,209 $207,931 $207,931 $1,389 $24,193 $36,923 $55,834 $55,834 $0 $40,000 $80,000 $120,000 $160,000 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Revenues & Costs of Breeder & Foundation Seed Production Total Revenue Annual Operating Expenses Net Income
  • 29. 30 Answers to Four Key Questions Guide the Business Plan A S S U M P T I O N S 1. What is the demand for Breeder Seed? 2. How will Breeder and Foundation Seed be deployed prior to yam’s incorporation into GoSeed’s operations? 3. Does a Breeder and Foundation Seed entity need to recover all of its costs? And what should Breeder & Foundation Seed be priced at? 4. How can Foundation Seed from IITA provide risk management for seed companies?
  • 31. 33 Seed Companies’ Business Plans & Other Achievements
  • 32. 34 2017 Achievements Seed Yam Business Plans Developed4 2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S Additional Companies Evaluated As Potential Partners5 Private Sector Aeroponics System Established in Nigeria1st Letters of Agreement Executed With Seed Companies3
  • 33. 35 2017 Timeline * Initial suggestions for timeline and locations; final dates and location workshops or “Lunch ’n Learns” with BMGF are TBD. Q1 2017 PSN’S AS SYSTEM ESTABLISHED March 2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S Q3 2017 Q4 2017 BIOCROPS, DA-ALLGREEN, AND NWABUDO PRIORITIZED PROJECT KICKOFF MEETING PARTNERSHIP DEVELOPMENT TOUR PARTNERSHIP AGREEMENTS EXECUTED BUSINESS PLANS FINALIZED BUSINESS PLAN DEVELOPMENT TOUR NIRSAL CONCEPT NOTE BUSINESS PLAN DEVELOPMENTYAM MARKET SURVEY Q2 2017
  • 34. 36 Interest Vetting Teaming Business Plan Launch 2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S Five Step Partnership Development Process Seed Companies Are Launching Their Seed Yam Businesses Working Sessions 1 2 3 4 5 Virtual Screen of Prospective Partners Intensive Seed Company Vetting Process Introduction to Program & Business Case Formalize Business Strategy (production plan, sales & marketing, financial pro forma, and personnel) Provide Business Support and Technical Backstopping KeyWorkstreams 1st Wave of Seed Companies 2nd Wave of Seed Companies
  • 35. 37 Downstream Sales & Marketing Ability Influences Seed Companies’ Business Model Aeroponics Production Micro-Tubers Bulbils Contract Growers Mini Seed- Sized Micro Seed- Sized DirectOne-Node Vine Cuttings Ware Yam- Sized Seed Seed Yam- Sized Sized Contract Growers Direct & Dealers Ware Yam- Sized Seed Seed Yam- Sized Sized ₦ 2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S Seed Companies’ Path To Market Decision Point Output of Production Step Movement of Output Key: Owned Fields ₦ Owned Fields SHF SHF SHF SHF Ware Yam Farmers SHF Registered Certified Seed Grower Network Direct & Dealers ₦ SHF SHF SHF SHF IITA NAGR AB Breeder Motherplants –––––Certified Seed––––––––––––––––––––Foundation Seed––––––––––––––– ––Ware Yam–– NAGRAB –Breeder Seed– Private
  • 36. 38 Downstream Sales & Marketing Ability Influences Seed Companies’ Business Model 2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S To apply the distribution channel strategy, it is important to map out the production, output and sales pathway for the single and direct distribution channels. Aeroponics Production Direct Sales One-Node Vine Cuttings Micro-Tubers Bulbils Ware Yam Seed Yam Mini & Micro Tubers Yam Sellers (Wholesalers & Retailers) DirectSales • Seed yam producers • Agro-dealers • Seed yam producers • Agro-dealers Direct Sales or through distributors Seed Yam Certified Seed Companies Seed companies Sales distribution channels Production flow Products Customers
  • 37. 39 Develop a Pro Forma Financial Model That Underpins Seed Companies Business Plans Assumptions can be manipulated to evaluate various scenarios A P P R O A C H PROJECTIONSASSUMPTIONS SENSIVITY ANALYSIS 1 2 3 • Review Strategic Objectives, Multiplication Rates, Operational Costs, CapEx, and Revenue Estimates • Evaluate production economics • Analyze the sensitivity of results to varying assumptions
  • 38. 40 IITA Seed Company Partner Aeroponics Technology Site development support including Aeroponics System requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing appropriately irrigated fields Access to Improve Varieties Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices. Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants at no charge through the establishment period Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after the initial establishment period Optimizing Operations Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and management systems to enable informed investment and operational decisions Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the aeroponics system , nursery, QPM operations, and planting material from TIBs Quality Systems and Accreditation Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination with NASC Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable inventory Personnel Training Provide expertise for training key employees on the multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel, including the identification of key capabilities Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery, and field production Seed Distribution Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans for the sale and distribution of planting material Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers. Commitment to include potential outgrowers Proposed Partnership Agreement Components - Responsibilities and Contributions S H A R E D C O M M I T M E N T S
  • 39. 41 IITA Seed Company Partner Aeroponics Technology Site development support including Aeroponics System requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing appropriately irrigated fields Access to Improve Varieties Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices. Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants at no charge through the establishment period Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after the initial establishment period Optimizing Operations Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and management systems to enable informed investment and operational decisions Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the aeroponics system , nursery, QPM operations, and planting material from TIBs Quality Systems and Accreditation Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination with NASC Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable inventory Personnel Training Provide expertise for training key employees on the multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel, including the identification of key capabilities Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery, and field production Seed Distribution Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans for the sale and distribution of planting material Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers. Commitment to include potential outgrowers Proposed Partnership Agreement Components - Responsibilities and Contributions S H A R E D C O M M I T M E N T S
  • 40. 42 IITA Seed Company Partner Aeroponics Technology Site development support including Aeroponics System requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing appropriately irrigated fields Access to Improve Varieties Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices. Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants at no charge through the establishment period Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after the initial establishment period Optimizing Operations Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and management systems to enable informed investment and operational decisions Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder planting material Quality Systems and Accreditation Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination with NASC Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable inventory Personnel Training Provide expertise for training key employees on the multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel, including the identification of key capabilities Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery, and field production Seed Distribution Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans for the sale and distribution of planting material Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers. Commitment to include potential outgrowers Proposed Partnership Agreement Components - Responsibilities and Contributions S H A R E D C O M M I T M E N T S
  • 41. 43 IITA Seed Company Partner Aeroponics Technology Site development support including Aeroponics System requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing appropriately irrigated fields Access to Improve Varieties Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices. Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants at no charge through the establishment period Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after the initial establishment period Optimizing Operations Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and management systems to enable informed investment and operational decisions Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder planting material Quality Systems and Accreditation Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination with NASC Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable inventory Personnel Training Provide expertise for training key employees on the multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel, including the identification of key capabilities Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery, and field production Seed Distribution Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans for the sale and distribution of planting material Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers. Commitment to include potential outgrowers Proposed Partnership Agreement Components - Responsibilities and Contributions S H A R E D C O M M I T M E N T S
  • 42. 44 IITA Seed Company Partner Aeroponics Technology Site development support including Aeroponics System requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing appropriately irrigated fields Access to Improve Varieties Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices. Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants at no charge through the establishment period Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after the initial establishment period Optimizing Operations Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and management systems to enable informed investment and operational decisions Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder planting material Quality Systems and Accreditation Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination with NASC Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable inventory Personnel Training Provide expertise for training key employees on the multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel, including the identification of key capabilities Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery, and field production Seed Distribution Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans for the sale and distribution of planting material Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers. Commitment to include potential outgrowers Proposed Partnership Agreement Components - Responsibilities and Contributions S H A R E D C O M M I T M E N T S
  • 43. 45 IITA Seed Company Partner Aeroponics Technology Site development support including Aeroponics System requirements, specifications, and site establishment expertise Establish aeroponics system with furnishing and equipment. Provide land and materials for establishing appropriately irrigated fields Access to Improve Varieties Preferential allocation to improved varieties (fingerprinted and true to type) and agronomic and quality best practices. Establish and support demonstrations, transfer of mother plants at no charge through the establishment period Demonstrations: Seed companies pay for planting material (mother plants) sourced from YIIFSWA-II project partners (IITA, NACGRAB, NRCRI, CRI) after the initial establishment period Optimizing Operations Collaboratively build useful financial analysis tools and management systems to enable informed investment and operational decisions Responsible for operating revenue and costs of the aeroponics system, basic seed production, and breeder planting material Quality Systems and Accreditation Develop company procedures to ensure that QPM is being produced through facilitation of lab accreditation in coordination with NASC Implement and operationalize procedures and allocate sufficient technical staff to achieve levels of salable inventory Personnel Training Provide expertise for training key employees on the multiplication system. Support on recruitment of key personnel, including the identification of key capabilities Staff to build and operate aeroponics system, nursery, and field production Seed Distribution Assess seed company operational needs and local markets to optimize business models and build targeted marketing plans for the sale and distribution of planting material Support seed system that serves smallholder farmers. Commitment to include potential outgrowers Proposed Partnership Agreement Components - Responsibilities and Contributions S H A R E D C O M M I T M E N T S
  • 45. 47 Five Priorities to Increase the Probability of Project Objective Realization • Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk guarantees on behalf of seed companies, certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware yam farmers • Breeder Seed Supply. Support the development of a reliable breeder seed source for seed companies by building the business and technical capacity of NAGRAB and NRCRI • Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation seed by developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with farmer organizations and NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam farmers • Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand for clean planting material of project promoted varieties • Product Profile Development. Use demonstration trials to develop product profiles, and marketing plans that support their value proposition 2 0 1 8 P R I O R I T I E S
  • 46. 48 Priorities to Increase the Probability of Creating a Sustainable, Private-Sector Led Seed Certified Seed System • Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk guarantees on behalf of seed companies, certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware yam farmers • Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand for clean planting material of project promoted varieties • Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation seed by developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with farmer organizations and NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam farmers 2 0 1 8 P R I O R I T I E S
  • 47. 49 Priorities to Increase the Probability of Creating a Sustainable, Private-Sector Led Seed Certified Seed System • Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk guarantees on behalf of seed companies, certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware yam farmers • Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand for clean planting material of project promoted varieties • Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation seed by developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with farmer organizations and NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam farmers 2 0 1 8 P R I O R I T I E S
  • 48. 50 Priorities to Increase the Probability of Creating a Sustainable, Private-Sector Led Seed Certified Seed System • Access to Capital. Formalize relationship with Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) to underwrite credit risk guarantees on behalf of seed companies, certified seed entrepreneurs, and ware yam farmers • Farmer Demand. Leverage demonstration to increase the visibility and demand for clean planting material of project promoted varieties • Certified Seed Production. Structure downstream demand for basic foundation seed by developing relationships and executing collaboration agreements with farmer organizations and NGOs that aggregate and support smallholder yam farmers 2 0 1 8 P R I O R I T I E S
  • 50. 52 Go-Forward Action ItemsN E X T S T E P S # Next Step Responsible Party(s) Deadline Comments 1 2 3 4
  • 52. 54 Increased Availability and Accessibility of Improved Yam Varieties
  • 53. 55 Seed Roadmap Supports Stakeholder & Project Planning Efforts S E E D R O A D M A P PRIMARY OUTCOME #1 PRIMARY OUTCOME #2 SEED ROADMAP Established functional, scalable and sustainable public sector driven commercial early generation seed systems for improved yam varieties Established functional, scalable and sustainable basic and commercial seed system driven by private sector
  • 54. 56 Seed Company Business Plans Underpin the Seed Roadmap The Seed Roadmap content that follows is exclusive to Nigeria, and the four companies that have developed their business plans. In 2018, the Seed Roadmap will be expanded to include Ghanaian seed systems projections based on a similar methodology. S E E D R O A D M A P OBJECTIVE: Project the quantity of clean planting material, that will be demanded at each successive seed stage (breeder > basic > certified) 8 20 40 56 86 17 48 97 143 234 0 50 100 150 200 250 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 #ofTubersProduced Millions #ofAeroponicsSystemsinOperation Number of Aeroponic Systems Basic Seed Yam Tubers Certified Seed Yam Tubers PS-Nutrac Da- Allgreen Nwabudo Biocrops METHODOLOGY: Consolidate the basic seed production forecasts of the initial four seed companies to estimate the total basic seed production from 2018- 2023
  • 55. 57 Four Seed Companies Prepared to Deploy Enough Basic Seed for Production of +500M Total Certified Seed by 2023 2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24
  • 56. 58 Annual Revenue for the Commercial Yam Seed System Projected to Exceed ₦142B by 2023 Basic Seed Certified Seed Ware Yam # Actors 4 3,500 85,293 Production Area (ha) 2,095 3,500 17,059 Revenue (USD) $35M $108M $263M Revenue (Naira) ₦12B ₦ 38B ₦ 92B 2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S 5025 75 Basic Seed Certified Seed Ware Yam 30 20 0 0 100% NetProfitMargin(%) N 142B 40 10 50 Share of Industry Revenue (%)
  • 58. 60 Business Plan for IITA Ibadan for Breeder & Foundation Seed Milestone Deliverables 2. Business plan based on cost tracking system implemented for demonstration of basic seed production facility at IITA campus submitted for foundation review and approval incorporating seed companies and Foundation feedback Business plan developed based on year 2017 cost tracking system at IITA B U S I N E S S P L A N
  • 59. 61 Second Phase of the Project is Focused on Commercialization of Aeroponics Technology B A C K G R O U N D TEST SCALEPROVE YIIFSWA YIIFSWA-II 2017-20222011-2016 • Test rapid multiplication technologies for seed yam and study performance metrics (e.g., production throughput) • Validate technological performance • Evaluate business case for investing in aeroponics systems • Support commercialization of aeroponics production through collaboration with interested private seed companies and certified seed entrepreneurs
  • 60. 62 The Seed Yam Business Presents a Compelling Business Opportunity for Seed Companies B A C K G R O U N D CURRENT SITUATION PROMISING DEVELOPMENTS BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY  New yam seed revenue stream  Leverage existing staff & infrastructure to reduce investment & operational costs  Priority access to differentiated product  First mover advantage accessing aeroponics technology  Expert support for development of regional business model to minimize risk  Largest producer of yam in the world second largest crop produced in Nigeria  Prices for ware yam continue to be high due low National yields (~12 MT/ha) underserving demand and leading to a tuber shortage  Captive market of farmers accustomed to buying seed informally presents opportunity to switch farmers to formal system  IITA developed and released new, improved varieties that feature higher yields and preferred traits (e.g., sweetness and ‘poundability’) compared to premium landraces  YIIFSWA-I validated the multiplication technology’s ability to deliver increased Early Generation Seed production volumes in W Africa  Deployment center model to optimize logistical challenges associated with yam bulkiness and perishability
  • 61. 63 Emerging Credit Model for Yam Seed System Development in Nigeria 2 0 1 8 P R I O R I T I E S
  • 62. 64 2017 Achievements2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S YIIFSWA-II Project Seed Roadmap that quantifies the expected production volumes, by class, of seed yam over time Yam Market Survey Report by Sahel Capital Dynamic financial model that estimates projects the profitability of seed yam production based on company-specific assumptions Three companies executed Letters of Agreement with IITA (Da-Allgreen Seeds Limited, Nwabudo Agro Seeds Limited, Biocrops Biotechnology Company Limited) Five additional private sector companies vetted for potential partnership with IITA under the YIIFSWA- II project Seed Yam Business Template Four companies developed business plans for seed yam production using aeroponics One private sector aeroponics system constructed (PS Nutraceuticals International Ltd), with a second under construction contract (Da-Allgreen Seeds Limited) 500 breeder plantlets transferred from IITA to private sector aeroponics system operator (PS Nutraceuticals International Ltd) Concept note on potential collaboration with the Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) developed 5
  • 63. 65 2017 Achievements2 0 1 7 P R O G R E S S # Result Context/Sahel Engagement 2 YIIFSWA-II Project Seed Roadmap that quantifies the expected production volumes, by class, of seed yam over time Aggregated individual seed company production projections, and modeled downstream production of certified seed yam and ware yam 3 Yam Market Survey Report by Sahel Capital Conducted farmer and market research across the project’s focus states (Niger, Nasarawa, Benue, Enugu and FCT) and Kaduna state to better understand effective demand for seed yam, pricing and key marketing messages to support private seed companies’ strategy 4 Dynamic financial model that estimates projects the profitability of seed yam production based on company-specific assumptions Constructed a production and financial model that supports seed companies evaluation of the seed yam business opportunity 5 Three companies executed Letters of Agreement with IITA (Da-Allgreen Seeds Limited, Nwabudo Agro Seeds Limited, Biocrops Biotechnology Company Limited) Collaborated with IITA to develop a draft LOA that outlines shared project commitments and the terms of the financial support to partner seed companies. 6 Five additional private sector companies vetted for potential partnership with IITA under the YIIFSWA-II project Performed partnership due diligence on six additional companies 7 Seed Yam Business Template Developed a template to support seed companies’ development of their business plans 8 Four companies developed business plans for seed yam production using aeroponics Supported private sector companies’ seed yam investment due diligence and the formalization of their business plans 9 One private sector aeroponics system constructed (PS Nutraceuticals International Ltd), with a second under construction contract (Da- Allgreen Seeds Limited) PS Nutraceuticals financed and constructed its first aeroponics system without support from the project. Facilitated introductions between PS Nutraceuticals and the initial seed companies for the construction of their aeroponics systems. 10 500 breeder plantlets transferred from IITA to private sector aeroponics system operator (PS Nutraceuticals International Ltd) Brokered the transfer of breeder material from IITA to PS Nutraceuticals for propagation in its newly constructed aeroponics system. 11 Concept note on potential collaboration with the Nigerian Incentive- Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL) developed Developed a concept note that conceptualized a potential partnership arrangement with NIRSAL for the provision of credit-risk guarantees on behalf of YIIFSWA-II project partners.

Editor's Notes

  1. Bram Baba Kingston Partnership Engagement Provide service to have pr +makes business sense +risk management Technical assistance fund - can be deplyed into a dynamic space and is sustainable.... Try to enable sustainable business Concept note on the technical note...
  2. Financial Sustainability. IITA’s ability to deliver early generation seed long after YIIFSWA-II is dependent on its ability to finance the production costs Strategic Alignment: Clarifying the objective, and the process for achieving it, is key to aligning resources towards WHAT MATTERS Continuous Improvement: “You can’t manage what you can’t measure” – Peter Drucker. But, once you have measured, you understand what the drivers of the business are (multiplication rates, outsized costs) Demonstrate: Other stakeholders – including many of the folks in this room – are establishing breeder and foundation seed production systems…the more data points you have about the economics of production, the better The long-term provision of early generation seed…is dependent on Understanding the economics of production is a precondition for developing a business model that cost recovery potential of producing ans selling early generation yam seed Strategic Alignment. Clear vision Continuous Improvement. Instructional For Other Interested Actors .
  3. Technical accomplishments…multiplication rates, and volumes of production…. A lot of the work has been technical work that get demonstrated through the pro forma financial analysis..t Financial Sustainability. IITA’s ability to deliver early generation seed long after YIIFSWA-II is dependent on the The long-term provision of early generation seed…is dependent on Understanding the economics of production is a precondition for developing a business model that cost recovery potential of producing ans selling early generation yam seed Strategic Alignment. Clear vision Continuous Improvement. Instructional For Other Interested Actors .
  4. Animate
  5. Animate
  6. Animate
  7. Animate
  8. +Do you know what you’re going to sell in two years, because that is what IITA is going to produce now… +This is a big harry questions….highly uncertain, and a long lead time National Center for Genetic Resources and Biotechnology Federal Ministry of Science
  9. +Do you know what you’re going to sell in two years, because that is what IITA is going to produce now… +This is a big harry questions….highly uncertain, and a long lead time National Center for Genetic Resources and Biotechnology Federal Ministry of Science
  10. +Do you know what you’re going to sell in two years, because that is what IITA is going to produce now… +This is a big harry questions….highly uncertain, and a long lead time National Center for Genetic Resources and Biotechnology Federal Ministry of Science
  11. +Do you know what you’re going to sell in two years, because that is what IITA is going to produce now… +This is a big harry questions….highly uncertain, and a long lead time National Center for Genetic Resources and Biotechnology Federal Ministry of Science
  12. The importance of the revenue production is based on foundation seed production…and the ability to realize the price. Service to seed companies can be an important source of sustainability for IITA Assume that IITA can sell through
  13. This business plan relied on assumptions for these for questions – those assumptions will continue to be evaluated – and with new/better information will continue to be refined Addressed these four questions Buisiness plan isn’t final…and the assumptions within
  14. Phase 2: buy seed…and sell Phase 1: setup an aeroponics system
  15. +Model.... +AVCDS.... +Concept Note and Business Model +Talk to the people....... +Kingsley (Diamond Bank)
  16. There a is a lot to learn from IITA in YIIFSWA-I…our aim is to try to put an economical sustainable mindset behind it all