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Global and National
Achievement in
Evidence Based
Public Health:
Vaccine Preventable
Diseases
Bimal Patel
Harish Prasad Bhatta
CDPH,IOM
1
• From at least 15th century, people were
practicing variolation.
• In May 1796, English physician Edward
Jenner inoculates 8-year-old James Phipps
with matter collected from a cowpox sore.
• Two months later, in July 1796, Jenner
inoculates Phipps with matter from a
human smallpox sore in order to test
Phipps’ resistance.
• Phipps remains in perfect health, and
becomes the first human to be vaccinated
against smallpox.
• The term ‘vaccine’ is later coined, taken
from the Latin word for cow, vacca (8).
Discovery of vaccine
2
Chronology of vaccine development (7)
2019: Malaria
2019: Dengue
2019: Ebola
2020: COVID-19
3
Safe and effective vaccines (8)
Z
Y X
4
Global Vaccine Action Plan 2011-2020
• GOAL 1 Achieve a world free of poliomyelitis
• GOAL 2 Meet global and regional disease-elimination
targets, including neonatal tetanus, measles and rubella
elimination targets.
• GOAL 3 Meet vaccination coverage targets in every
region, country and community.
• GOAL 4 Develop and introduce new and improved
vaccines and technologies
• GOAL 5 Exceed the MDG 4 target for reducing child
mortality.
5
Global Achievements (1)
• Small pox eradicated in 1980
• Wild poliovirus type 2 was certified as eradicated in 2015 and wild poliovirus
type 3 has not been detected since 2012. Wild poliovirus type 1 currently
appears to be circulating only in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
• A total of 82 countries have eliminated measles, but large outbreaks
occurred in all WHO regions in 2018.
• As of 2018, 168 out of 194 countries have implemented rubella vaccination
and one WHO region is rubella-free.
• As of July 2019, only 28 out of 40 priority countries have eliminated
Maternal and neonatal tetanus.
6
Global Achievements
• Only about 1/3rd of countries in 2018 meet the target of 80% or greater
DTP3 coverage in every district. Global vaccine coverage for DTP3 has
plateaued at 86% since 2010
• Over 80% of LMICs have introduced new vaccines since 2010.
• Between 2010 and 2017, the mortality rate of children under 5 years of age
decreased by 24%, due in large part to immunization.
• Between 2010 and 2018, 23 million deaths were averted with measles
vaccine.
• More than 20 life-threatening diseases can now be prevented by
immunization.
7
Vaccine preventable disease:
An Evidence Based Public Health Practice
The practice of evidence-based public health (EBPH) is an integration
of science-based interventions with community preferences for
improving population health.
Immunization reaches more people than any other health or social
service. It is an investment in the future, in three ways.
• Saving lives and protecting the health of populations
• Improving countries’ productivity and resilience
• Enabling a safer, healthier, more prosperous world
8
Saving lives and protecting the health of populations
• Between 2010 and 2017, the mortality rate of children under 5 years
of age decreased by 24%, due in large part to immunization.
• In countries that have introduced the vaccine against human
papillomavirus (HPV), after 5–8 years, cancer causing HPV prevalence
was reduced by 83% among girls aged 13–19, and the prevalence of
precancerous lesions decreased by 51% among girls aged 15–19.
• Results from a Lancet study show that during the first year of
immunization against COVID-19 (December 2020 to December 2021)
vaccinations prevented at least 14.4 million deaths globally.
9
Improving countries’ productivity and resilience
• Immunization against measles in 94 low- and middle-income
countries returned an estimated US$ 76.5 for every US$ 1 invested in
vaccination.
• Vaccines will help keep an estimated 24 million people from falling
into poverty by 2030.
• The full economic impact of the 2014– 2016 outbreak of Ebola virus
disease in West Africa has been estimated at US$ 53.2 billion.
10
Enabling a safer, healthier, more prosperous world
• Climate change between 2030 and 2050 is expected to cause 60 000
additional deaths from malaria per year. This trend may be changed by
use of a malaria vaccine being pilot tested in three African countries.
• It is estimated that widespread use of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine
(PCV) could reduce the number of days on antibiotics for pneumonia in
children under 5 years by 47%, equivalent to 11.4 million days on
antibiotics per year (10).
• A 10% increase in the core capacities required by the International Health
Regulations (2005) (e.g. immunization, disease surveillance) is associated
with a 19% decrease in the incidence of cross-border infectious threats.
• Immunization plays a critical role in achieving the SDGs, specifically SDG3,
and also contributes directly or indirectly to 13 other SDGs.
11
Global impact of the first year (Dec 8, 2020, and Dec 8, 2021)
of COVID-19 vaccination
•Vaccinations prevented 14·4 million deaths from COVID-19 in
185 countries.
•A global reduction of 63% in total deaths.
•In low-income countries, an additional 45% of deaths could
have been averted if vaccination coverage was 20%.
•An additional 111% of deaths could have been averted if 40%
target set by WHO been met by each country by the end of
2021.
12
13
National Immunization Program (NIP)
• The National Immunization Program (NIP) of Nepal (Expanded
Program on Immunization) was started in 2034 BS.
• Several milestones contributing to reduction in morbidity, mortality
and disability associated with vaccine preventable diseases.
• Currently, the program provides vaccination against 13 vaccine-
preventable diseases through almost 16,000 service delivery points
in health facilities (fixed sessions), outreach sessions, and mobile
clinics.
• Target group: <15 months children and pregnant mothers
14
15
16
17
National Immunization Program schedule
18
National Immunization Program schedule
19
National Immunization Program schedule
20
South East Asia Regional Vaccine Action Plan
2016-2020
• GOAL 1 Routine immunization systems and services are
strengthened
• GOAL 2 Measles is eliminated and rubella/CRS
controlled
• GOAL 3 Polio-free status is maintained
• GOAL 4 Elimination of maternal and neonatal tetanus
is sustained
• GOAL 5 Control of Japanese encephalitis is accelerated
• GOAL 6 Control of hepatitis B is accelerated
• GOAL 7 Introduction of new vaccines and related
technologies is accelerated
• GOAL 8 Access to high quality vaccines is ensured 21
National Achievements
• Smallpox free status since 2034 BS and global eradication in 2037 BS
• Maternal and neonatal tetanus (MNT) eliminated in 2005 and sustained
• The last case of polio seen in 2010, certified polio free in 2014 and sustained
• In 2016 JE vaccine, scaled up all over the country.
• Control of rubella and congenital rubella syndrome Aug 2018 (2 years ahead
of the regional target and one year ahead of the national target of 2019)
• Hepatitis B control among children through immunization July 2019. (Nepal
became fourth country in the WHO SEAR to control hepatitis B among children.
22
National Achievements
• The national target of achieving measles elimination by 2019 has not
been met (new target eliminate MR by 2023)
• Overall, the NIP is considered as the main contributor towards decline
of infant and child mortality and has contributed significantly in
achieving MDG Goal 4.
• Since FY 2069/70 (2012/2013), Nepal has initiated ‘full immunization
program’. By the end of FY 2078/79, 70 out of 77 districts have been
declared ‘fully immunized’ under this program.
• Nepal is the first country in the SEAR to have an Immunization Act
2072 (Provincial Immunization Act as developed)
23
VACCINE-PREVENTABLE DISEASES SURVEILLANCE:
An evidence based public health
• WHO-IPD provides technical assistance to the MoHP for nation-wide
surveillance systems for acute flaccid paralysis (for polio), measles
and rubella, neonatal tetanus, and acute encephalitis syndrome (for
Japanese encephalitis).
• Further, with support of WHO-IPD, sentinel surveillance of selected
vaccine preventable diseases (invasive bacterial diseases, rotavirus,
and congenital rubella syndrome) is conducted in collaboration with
academic institutions.
24
VACCINE-PREVENTABLE DISEASES SURVEILLANCE
• To support polio eradication activities, surveillance of acute flaccid
paralysis for polio was started in 1998.
• In 2003, MR & neonatal tetanus surveillance integrated into
surveillance network.
• In 2004, surveillance of acute encephalitis syndrome for JE integrated
• Surveillance through 734 routine weekly zero-reporting sites, 630
case-based measles surveillance sites, and 817 informers.
• Sentinel surveillance for invasive bacterial diseases (pneumococcus,
Hib, and meningococcus) at Patan Hospital since 2009.
• Sentinel surveillance for rotavirus disease at Kanti Children’s Hospital
since 2009.
25
VACCINE-PREVENTABLE DISEASES SURVEILLANCE
• In February 2018, rotavirus sentinel surveillance sites were expanded– B.P.
Koirala Institute of Health Sciences and Nepalgunj Medical College.
• Further, sentinel surveillance of CRS (congenital rubella syndrome) is
conducted through four sentinel sites in Kathmandu Valley- Kanti Children’s
Hospital, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital- Paediatric Department,
Patan Academy of Health Sciences and Tilganga Eye Hospital.
• Surveillance data from the IBD sentinel surveillance site was crucial for
the informed introduction of the Haemophilus influenzae type b vaccine
(introduced in 2009), and the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine
(introduced in 2015) in routine immunization of Nepal.
• Similarly, data from the rotavirus sentinel surveillance site was crucial for
an informed recommendation for the rotavirus vaccine introduction in
Nepal.
26
The changing context and challenges
• Sustaining trust in vaccines and immunization services in communities
(misinformation, anti-vaccine messaging on social media).
• Ensuring immunization for all ages: the significant global
demographic shifts (Africa region “youth bulge” vs significant
population ageing in other region) will have a major impact on the
design of immunization services.
• Climate change and natural disasters: vector-borne diseases,
waterborne diseases, disrupting seasonal disease pattern, alter
endemicity of infectious diseases, environmental impact of vaccine
waste.
27
• Conflict and political instability: loss of health service infrastructure and
shortages of trained health workers, disrupting delivery of immunization
services also the affected populations are frequently at higher risk of
infectious diseases.
• Outbreaks: outbreaks of measles, yellow fever, diphtheria and other
vaccine-preventable diseases and also emerging infections, such as Ebola
virus disease.
• Optimizing and maintaining supplies: mismatch between global
production levels and needs, price of vaccines can delay the introduction of
new vaccines into low- and middle-income countries, regulatory, financing
and procurement barriers to sustainable vaccine supplies.
28
References
1. Immunization agenda 2030 : A global strategy to leave no one behind
2. Implementing the immunization 2030 agenda
3. The global vaccine action plan 2011-2020: Review and lesson learned
4. SEAR vaccine action plan 2016-2020
5. Global vaccine action plan 2011-2020
6. DoHS Annual report 2078/79
7. National immunization program: Reference book for health workers 2079
8. WHO: vaccine preventable disease
29
Thank you
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
Global impact of the first year of COVID-19
vaccination
Based on official reported COVID-19 deaths, we estimated that vaccinations
prevented 14·4 million (95% credible interval [Crl] 13·7–15·9) deaths from COVID-
19 in 185 countries and territories between Dec 8, 2020, and Dec 8, 2021.
This estimate rose to 19·8 million (95% Crl 19·1–20·4) deaths from COVID-19
averted when we used excess deaths as an estimate of the true extent of the
pandemic, representing a global reduction of 63% in total deaths (19·8 million of
31·4 million) during the first year of COVID-19 vaccination.
In COVAX Advance Market Commitment countries, we estimated that 41% of
excess mortality (7·4 million [95% Crl 6·8–7·7] of 17·9 million deaths) was averted.
In low-income countries, we estimated that an additional 45% (95% CrI 42–49) of
deaths could have been averted had the 20% vaccination coverage target set by
COVAX been met by each country, and that an additional 111% (105–118) of
deaths could have been averted had the 40% target set by WHO been met by each
country by the end of 2021.
37

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Vaccine Preventable Diseases Nepal EBPH.pptx

  • 1. Global and National Achievement in Evidence Based Public Health: Vaccine Preventable Diseases Bimal Patel Harish Prasad Bhatta CDPH,IOM 1
  • 2. • From at least 15th century, people were practicing variolation. • In May 1796, English physician Edward Jenner inoculates 8-year-old James Phipps with matter collected from a cowpox sore. • Two months later, in July 1796, Jenner inoculates Phipps with matter from a human smallpox sore in order to test Phipps’ resistance. • Phipps remains in perfect health, and becomes the first human to be vaccinated against smallpox. • The term ‘vaccine’ is later coined, taken from the Latin word for cow, vacca (8). Discovery of vaccine 2
  • 3. Chronology of vaccine development (7) 2019: Malaria 2019: Dengue 2019: Ebola 2020: COVID-19 3
  • 4. Safe and effective vaccines (8) Z Y X 4
  • 5. Global Vaccine Action Plan 2011-2020 • GOAL 1 Achieve a world free of poliomyelitis • GOAL 2 Meet global and regional disease-elimination targets, including neonatal tetanus, measles and rubella elimination targets. • GOAL 3 Meet vaccination coverage targets in every region, country and community. • GOAL 4 Develop and introduce new and improved vaccines and technologies • GOAL 5 Exceed the MDG 4 target for reducing child mortality. 5
  • 6. Global Achievements (1) • Small pox eradicated in 1980 • Wild poliovirus type 2 was certified as eradicated in 2015 and wild poliovirus type 3 has not been detected since 2012. Wild poliovirus type 1 currently appears to be circulating only in Afghanistan and Pakistan. • A total of 82 countries have eliminated measles, but large outbreaks occurred in all WHO regions in 2018. • As of 2018, 168 out of 194 countries have implemented rubella vaccination and one WHO region is rubella-free. • As of July 2019, only 28 out of 40 priority countries have eliminated Maternal and neonatal tetanus. 6
  • 7. Global Achievements • Only about 1/3rd of countries in 2018 meet the target of 80% or greater DTP3 coverage in every district. Global vaccine coverage for DTP3 has plateaued at 86% since 2010 • Over 80% of LMICs have introduced new vaccines since 2010. • Between 2010 and 2017, the mortality rate of children under 5 years of age decreased by 24%, due in large part to immunization. • Between 2010 and 2018, 23 million deaths were averted with measles vaccine. • More than 20 life-threatening diseases can now be prevented by immunization. 7
  • 8. Vaccine preventable disease: An Evidence Based Public Health Practice The practice of evidence-based public health (EBPH) is an integration of science-based interventions with community preferences for improving population health. Immunization reaches more people than any other health or social service. It is an investment in the future, in three ways. • Saving lives and protecting the health of populations • Improving countries’ productivity and resilience • Enabling a safer, healthier, more prosperous world 8
  • 9. Saving lives and protecting the health of populations • Between 2010 and 2017, the mortality rate of children under 5 years of age decreased by 24%, due in large part to immunization. • In countries that have introduced the vaccine against human papillomavirus (HPV), after 5–8 years, cancer causing HPV prevalence was reduced by 83% among girls aged 13–19, and the prevalence of precancerous lesions decreased by 51% among girls aged 15–19. • Results from a Lancet study show that during the first year of immunization against COVID-19 (December 2020 to December 2021) vaccinations prevented at least 14.4 million deaths globally. 9
  • 10. Improving countries’ productivity and resilience • Immunization against measles in 94 low- and middle-income countries returned an estimated US$ 76.5 for every US$ 1 invested in vaccination. • Vaccines will help keep an estimated 24 million people from falling into poverty by 2030. • The full economic impact of the 2014– 2016 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in West Africa has been estimated at US$ 53.2 billion. 10
  • 11. Enabling a safer, healthier, more prosperous world • Climate change between 2030 and 2050 is expected to cause 60 000 additional deaths from malaria per year. This trend may be changed by use of a malaria vaccine being pilot tested in three African countries. • It is estimated that widespread use of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) could reduce the number of days on antibiotics for pneumonia in children under 5 years by 47%, equivalent to 11.4 million days on antibiotics per year (10). • A 10% increase in the core capacities required by the International Health Regulations (2005) (e.g. immunization, disease surveillance) is associated with a 19% decrease in the incidence of cross-border infectious threats. • Immunization plays a critical role in achieving the SDGs, specifically SDG3, and also contributes directly or indirectly to 13 other SDGs. 11
  • 12. Global impact of the first year (Dec 8, 2020, and Dec 8, 2021) of COVID-19 vaccination •Vaccinations prevented 14·4 million deaths from COVID-19 in 185 countries. •A global reduction of 63% in total deaths. •In low-income countries, an additional 45% of deaths could have been averted if vaccination coverage was 20%. •An additional 111% of deaths could have been averted if 40% target set by WHO been met by each country by the end of 2021. 12
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  • 14. National Immunization Program (NIP) • The National Immunization Program (NIP) of Nepal (Expanded Program on Immunization) was started in 2034 BS. • Several milestones contributing to reduction in morbidity, mortality and disability associated with vaccine preventable diseases. • Currently, the program provides vaccination against 13 vaccine- preventable diseases through almost 16,000 service delivery points in health facilities (fixed sessions), outreach sessions, and mobile clinics. • Target group: <15 months children and pregnant mothers 14
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  • 21. South East Asia Regional Vaccine Action Plan 2016-2020 • GOAL 1 Routine immunization systems and services are strengthened • GOAL 2 Measles is eliminated and rubella/CRS controlled • GOAL 3 Polio-free status is maintained • GOAL 4 Elimination of maternal and neonatal tetanus is sustained • GOAL 5 Control of Japanese encephalitis is accelerated • GOAL 6 Control of hepatitis B is accelerated • GOAL 7 Introduction of new vaccines and related technologies is accelerated • GOAL 8 Access to high quality vaccines is ensured 21
  • 22. National Achievements • Smallpox free status since 2034 BS and global eradication in 2037 BS • Maternal and neonatal tetanus (MNT) eliminated in 2005 and sustained • The last case of polio seen in 2010, certified polio free in 2014 and sustained • In 2016 JE vaccine, scaled up all over the country. • Control of rubella and congenital rubella syndrome Aug 2018 (2 years ahead of the regional target and one year ahead of the national target of 2019) • Hepatitis B control among children through immunization July 2019. (Nepal became fourth country in the WHO SEAR to control hepatitis B among children. 22
  • 23. National Achievements • The national target of achieving measles elimination by 2019 has not been met (new target eliminate MR by 2023) • Overall, the NIP is considered as the main contributor towards decline of infant and child mortality and has contributed significantly in achieving MDG Goal 4. • Since FY 2069/70 (2012/2013), Nepal has initiated ‘full immunization program’. By the end of FY 2078/79, 70 out of 77 districts have been declared ‘fully immunized’ under this program. • Nepal is the first country in the SEAR to have an Immunization Act 2072 (Provincial Immunization Act as developed) 23
  • 24. VACCINE-PREVENTABLE DISEASES SURVEILLANCE: An evidence based public health • WHO-IPD provides technical assistance to the MoHP for nation-wide surveillance systems for acute flaccid paralysis (for polio), measles and rubella, neonatal tetanus, and acute encephalitis syndrome (for Japanese encephalitis). • Further, with support of WHO-IPD, sentinel surveillance of selected vaccine preventable diseases (invasive bacterial diseases, rotavirus, and congenital rubella syndrome) is conducted in collaboration with academic institutions. 24
  • 25. VACCINE-PREVENTABLE DISEASES SURVEILLANCE • To support polio eradication activities, surveillance of acute flaccid paralysis for polio was started in 1998. • In 2003, MR & neonatal tetanus surveillance integrated into surveillance network. • In 2004, surveillance of acute encephalitis syndrome for JE integrated • Surveillance through 734 routine weekly zero-reporting sites, 630 case-based measles surveillance sites, and 817 informers. • Sentinel surveillance for invasive bacterial diseases (pneumococcus, Hib, and meningococcus) at Patan Hospital since 2009. • Sentinel surveillance for rotavirus disease at Kanti Children’s Hospital since 2009. 25
  • 26. VACCINE-PREVENTABLE DISEASES SURVEILLANCE • In February 2018, rotavirus sentinel surveillance sites were expanded– B.P. Koirala Institute of Health Sciences and Nepalgunj Medical College. • Further, sentinel surveillance of CRS (congenital rubella syndrome) is conducted through four sentinel sites in Kathmandu Valley- Kanti Children’s Hospital, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital- Paediatric Department, Patan Academy of Health Sciences and Tilganga Eye Hospital. • Surveillance data from the IBD sentinel surveillance site was crucial for the informed introduction of the Haemophilus influenzae type b vaccine (introduced in 2009), and the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (introduced in 2015) in routine immunization of Nepal. • Similarly, data from the rotavirus sentinel surveillance site was crucial for an informed recommendation for the rotavirus vaccine introduction in Nepal. 26
  • 27. The changing context and challenges • Sustaining trust in vaccines and immunization services in communities (misinformation, anti-vaccine messaging on social media). • Ensuring immunization for all ages: the significant global demographic shifts (Africa region “youth bulge” vs significant population ageing in other region) will have a major impact on the design of immunization services. • Climate change and natural disasters: vector-borne diseases, waterborne diseases, disrupting seasonal disease pattern, alter endemicity of infectious diseases, environmental impact of vaccine waste. 27
  • 28. • Conflict and political instability: loss of health service infrastructure and shortages of trained health workers, disrupting delivery of immunization services also the affected populations are frequently at higher risk of infectious diseases. • Outbreaks: outbreaks of measles, yellow fever, diphtheria and other vaccine-preventable diseases and also emerging infections, such as Ebola virus disease. • Optimizing and maintaining supplies: mismatch between global production levels and needs, price of vaccines can delay the introduction of new vaccines into low- and middle-income countries, regulatory, financing and procurement barriers to sustainable vaccine supplies. 28
  • 29. References 1. Immunization agenda 2030 : A global strategy to leave no one behind 2. Implementing the immunization 2030 agenda 3. The global vaccine action plan 2011-2020: Review and lesson learned 4. SEAR vaccine action plan 2016-2020 5. Global vaccine action plan 2011-2020 6. DoHS Annual report 2078/79 7. National immunization program: Reference book for health workers 2079 8. WHO: vaccine preventable disease 29
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  • 37. Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination Based on official reported COVID-19 deaths, we estimated that vaccinations prevented 14·4 million (95% credible interval [Crl] 13·7–15·9) deaths from COVID- 19 in 185 countries and territories between Dec 8, 2020, and Dec 8, 2021. This estimate rose to 19·8 million (95% Crl 19·1–20·4) deaths from COVID-19 averted when we used excess deaths as an estimate of the true extent of the pandemic, representing a global reduction of 63% in total deaths (19·8 million of 31·4 million) during the first year of COVID-19 vaccination. In COVAX Advance Market Commitment countries, we estimated that 41% of excess mortality (7·4 million [95% Crl 6·8–7·7] of 17·9 million deaths) was averted. In low-income countries, we estimated that an additional 45% (95% CrI 42–49) of deaths could have been averted had the 20% vaccination coverage target set by COVAX been met by each country, and that an additional 111% (105–118) of deaths could have been averted had the 40% target set by WHO been met by each country by the end of 2021. 37

Editor's Notes

  1. Under ‘Pipeline vaccines’ is a list of some pathogens for which vaccines and/ or monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) are in development. 
  2. Polio eradication by 2018 MR and neonatal tetanus elimination in 5 WHO region All Vaccine coverage 90% at national level and 80% in all district level All LMIC introduced one or more new or underutilized vaccine Exceed the 2/3rd reduction of U5M (MDG4)
  3. Halting disease outbreaks is disruptive and costly. Outbreaks can overwhelm and profoundly disrupt public health programmes, clinical services and health systems. They may also have adverse effects on travel, trade and overall development. For seasonal diseases like influenza, the costs of treatment and lost productivity are borne repeatedly. Immunized communities are resistant to infectious disease outbreaks, and strong health systems and immunization programmes allow rapid detection and response to limit their impact.
  4. Watson OJ, Barnsley G, Toor J, Hogan AB, Winskill P, Ghani AC. Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2022 Sep;22(9):1293-1302. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00320-6. Epub 2022 Jun 23. Erratum in: Lancet Infect Dis. 2023 Oct;23(10):e400. PMID: 35753318; PMCID: PMC9225255.
  5. Global COVID-19 deaths averted due to vaccination based on excess mortality (A) Median number of daily COVID-19 deaths based on excess mortality estimates (grey vertical bars) in the first year of vaccination. The baseline estimate of daily COVID-19 deaths from the model fit to excess mortality is plotted with the solid black line and the counterfactual scenario without vaccines is plotted with a red line. The gap between the red and black line indicates the deaths averted due to vaccination, with the proportion of total deaths averted by direct protection conferred by vaccination shown in blue and indirect protection shown in green. (B) Median number of daily deaths averted per day as per 2022 World Bank income group.
  6. (Source: Nepal and the Millennium Development Goals, Final Status Report 2000-2015, National Planning Commission),
  7. Watson OJ, Barnsley G, Toor J, Hogan AB, Winskill P, Ghani AC. Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2022 Sep;22(9):1293-1302. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00320-6. Epub 2022 Jun 23. Erratum in: Lancet Infect Dis. 2023 Oct;23(10):e400. PMID: 35753318; PMCID: PMC9225255.