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‫پروژه‬ ‫خطرات‬ ‫یا‬ ‫ریسک‬
‫کننده‬ ‫تهیه‬Habibullah Adel
‫مطالب‬ ‫فهرست‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫تعریف‬
‫پروژه‬ ‫در‬ ‫ریسک‬ ‫معنی‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫انواع‬
‫مدیریت‬‫درپروژه‬ ‫ریسك‬
‫مدیریت‬ ‫ریزي‬ ‫برنامه‬‫ریسک‬
‫انواع‬‫هاي‬‫ریسك‬‫موجود‬
‫شناسایي‬ ‫هاي‬‫روش‬‫ریسک‬
‫گیری‬ ‫نتیجه‬
‫منابع‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫تعریف‬:
‫ترکیبی‬(‫تابعی‬ ‫یا‬)‫احتمال‬ ‫از‬‫خسارت‬(‫از‬ ‫اعم‬‫جانی،مالی،اعتباري‬‫و‬‫زیست‬
‫محیطی‬)‫باشد‬ ‫می‬ ‫رویداد‬ ‫یک‬ ‫وقوع‬ ‫از‬ ‫ناشی‬ ‫پیامدهاي‬ ‫و‬
‫پروژه‬ ‫در‬ ‫ريسک‬ ‫معني‬
‫رویداد‬ ‫یک‬ ‫یعني‬‫محتمل‬‫و‬‫غیرقطعي‬‫بر‬ ،‫بپیوندد‬ ‫وقوع‬ ‫به‬ ‫صورتیکه‬ ‫در‬ ‫که‬
‫اهداف‬ ‫و‬ ‫نتایج‬‫تاثیرات‬ ‫پروژه‬‫مثبت‬(‫فرصتها‬)‫یا‬‫منفي‬(‫تهدیدها‬)‫خواهد‬
‫گذاشت‬.
‫يسك‬‫ر‬ ‫انواع‬
‫برنامه‬‫با‬ ‫ابطه‬‫ر‬ ‫در‬‫ي‬‫يز‬‫ر‬
.1Technical Risk
.2Business Risk
‫مد‬ ‫پشتيباني‬‫دادن‬ ‫دست‬‫از‬ ،‫يابي‬‫ر‬‫ا‬‫ز‬‫با‬ ‫نحوه‬،‫ل‬‫محصو‬ ‫ساخت‬ ‫نحوه‬ ،‫ش‬‫و‬‫فر‬ ‫نحوه‬ ‫با‬‫ابطه‬‫ر‬ ‫در‬‫يريت‬.
‫مي‬ ‫ديگر‬‫ديدگاهي‬ ‫از‬‫كرد‬ ‫تقسيم‬ ‫ير‬‫ز‬ ‫دسته‬ ‫دو‬ ‫به‬ ‫ا‬‫ر‬ ‫يسك‬‫ر‬ ‫توان‬:
.1‫بینی‬ ‫پیش‬ ‫قابل‬PREDICTABLE
.2‫بیني‬ ‫پیش‬ ‫قابل‬ ‫غیر‬UNPREDICTABLE
‫اطالعات‬‫کنیم‬ ‫آوري‬ ‫جمع‬ ‫موقع‬ ‫به‬ ‫و‬ ‫مناسب‬
‫تا‬‫کنیم‬ ‫شناسایي‬ ‫را‬ ‫موجود‬ ‫هاي‬‫ریسك‬ ‫امکان‬ ‫حد‬
‫آنها‬‫قراردهیم‬ ‫پروژه‬ ‫اهداف‬ ‫استخدام‬ ‫در‬ ‫نحو‬ ‫بهترین‬ ‫به‬ ‫را‬.
‫هاي‬‫استراتیژي‬‫مدیریت‬‫ریسک‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫اداره‬ ‫هاي‬‫تکنیک‬ ‫تمامي‬ ،‫شدند‬ ‫ارزیابي‬ ‫و‬ ‫شناسایي‬ ‫ها‬‫ریسک‬ ‫که‬ ‫وقتي‬
‫گیرند‬ ‫مي‬ ‫قرار‬ ‫اصلي‬ ‫طبقه‬ ‫چهار‬ ‫از‬ ‫طبقه‬ ‫چند‬ ‫یا‬ ‫یک‬ ‫در‬:
‫انتقال‬
‫اجتناب‬
‫کاهش‬(‫تسکین‬ ‫یا‬)
‫پذیرش‬(‫نگهداري‬ ‫یا‬.)
‫پروژه‬ ‫ریسک‬ ‫مدیریت‬
RISK
control
identify
analyze
plan
track
‫ریسك‬
‫ل‬‫كنتر‬
‫شناسايي‬
‫آناليز‬
‫ي‬‫يز‬‫ر‬‫طرح‬
‫ديابي‬‫ر‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫مدیریت‬ ‫ریزي‬ ‫برنامه‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫مدیریت‬ ‫ریزي‬ ‫برنامه‬ ‫هاي‬‫بخش‬
‫متدلوژي‬
‫تحلیل‬ ‫و‬ ‫شناسایي‬ ‫روش‬ ‫یعني‬‫ریسک‬
‫ها‬‫مسوولیت‬ ‫و‬ ‫ها‬‫نقش‬
‫چیست؟‬ ‫کسي‬ ‫هر‬ ‫نقش‬ ‫و‬ ‫دارند‬ ‫نقش‬ ‫ریسک‬ ‫مدیریت‬ ‫در‬ ‫کساني‬ ‫چه‬
‫بندي‬ ‫بودجه‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫مدیریت‬ ‫براي‬ ‫شده‬ ‫داده‬ ‫اختصاص‬ ‫مالي‬ ‫منابع‬
‫زمان‬‫بندي‬
‫برنامه‬‫بندي‬‫زمان‬‫ریسک‬ ‫مدیریت‬ ‫شده‬
‫موجود‬ ‫هاي‬‫ريسك‬ ‫انواع‬:
‫فني‬ ‫هاي‬‫ریسك‬
‫مدیریتي‬ ‫هاي‬‫ریسك‬
‫سازماني‬ ‫هاي‬‫ریسك‬
‫خارجي‬ ‫هاي‬‫ریسك‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫تعیین‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫شناسایي‬ ‫هاي‬‫روش‬
‫مغزي‬ ‫طوفان‬
‫گذشته‬ ‫تجارب‬
‫مشابه‬ ‫هاي‬‫پروژه‬
‫نظر‬‫متخصصین‬
‫منطقي‬ ‫تحلیل‬
‫گیری‬ ‫نتیجه‬
‫ریسک‬ ‫شمردن‬ ‫وناچیز‬ ‫تهدیدها‬ ‫ندیدن‬
ً‫ال‬‫معمو‬ ‫پروژه‬ ‫ریسک‬‫متو‬ ،‫شرایط‬ ‫به‬ ‫کردن‬ ‫عادت‬ ‫علت‬ ‫به‬ ‫که‬ ‫میافتد‬ ‫اتفاق‬ ‫سازمانهایی‬ ‫براي‬‫جه‬
‫مینم‬ ‫تلقی‬ ‫اهمیت‬ ‫بی‬ ‫را‬ ‫آن‬ ‫ریسک‬ ‫یا‬ ‫و‬ ‫نشده‬ ‫خود‬ ‫قوت‬ ‫و‬ ‫ضعف‬ ‫نقاط‬ ‫و‬ ‫خارجی‬ ‫و‬ ‫داخلی‬ ‫تهدیدهاي‬‫ایند‬.
‫مغزي‬ ‫طوفان‬
‫گذشته‬ ‫تجارب‬
‫مشابه‬ ‫هاي‬‫پروژه‬
‫متخصصین‬ ‫نظر‬
‫منطقي‬ ‫تحلیل‬
‫منابع‬
www.kharkos.com
www.motherfucker.com
‫خاص‬ ‫توجه‬ ‫از‬ ‫تشکر‬
‫تان‬

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Risk projects خطرات پروژه