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March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 1
OPPORTUNITY RECOGNITION
March 22, 2019
Cost analysis (fin1)
A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
1
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 2
What is business?
Business is an activity in which we want both
maximization of profit for enterprises
maximization of satisfaction for clients
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 3
Business modeling
My Business Model must be clear
– Who are my customers
– Who are my users
– Who are my providers
– What is my product or my service
– Who pays what, and to whom, and how
– What is the perceived benefit for users / customer
– What is surrounding (competitors, legal, …)
Is my Business Model clear?
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 4
Business modeling
Prerequisite: My Business Model Canvas is clear
My
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 5
My
Project
My Business model
My
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 6
My Business model
My
Project
Flow chart
description
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 7
My Business model
My
Project
Customer
A
Customer
B
€
Product / Service defined by 4 P
and defined by the value
provided to customers and users
P as Product
P as Placement
P as Promotion
P as Price policy
My marketing mix
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 8
Social org.
Pension funds
My
Project
Customer
A
Customer
B
€
Regulatory
agencies,
legacy
Surrounding:
education,
cultures,ethics
Tax
services
€
Provider 2
P
/
S
€ €
Users
€
€
Human
Ressources
Provider 1
My Business model
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 9
Provider 2
Social org.
Pension funds
My
Project
Customer
A
Customer
B
Compe-
titors
€
€
Regulatory
agencies,
legacy
Tax
services
€
Provider 1
P
/
S
€ €
Users
€
€
Surrounding:
education,
cultures,ethics
Human
Ressources
My Business model
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 10
Writing my Business Plan
1. Executive summary
2. Business model of enterprise
3. The product or the service
4. The market
1. Surrounding
2. Demand
3. Competitors
4. Positionning of Product x Market
5. Strategy of development
1. Road map of product / service
2. Marketing plan
3. Pricing and financial plan
6. Overall project planning
7. Previsional Profit and Loss
8. Previsional needs of funding
9. Conclusion
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 11
There are 2 useful documents in order to explain
my Project to people dealing with finance
• Balance Sheet
• Income Statement (aka ‘Profit and Loss’ Statement)
also said ‘P & L’
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 12
The Balance Sheet: a snapshot of the company's
assets and liabilities at the end of a period.
The Income Statement: sum up of all the
revenues and expenses of this period (also called
Profit and Loss Statement or P&L Statement).
❶
❷
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 13
The Balance Sheet: a snapshot of the company's
assets and liabilities at the end of the period.
Assets
31 dec 2018
Equity
+ Liabilities
31 dec 2018
Total of Assets = Total of Equity and Liabilities
Accounting equation
❶
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 14
Balance Sheet
Assets
Investments
• Non current assets
• Machines, etc.
• Current assets
• Stocks, etc.
• Marketable securities
• Cash
Equity
+ Liabilities
Resources use to finance
assets
• Equity (capital
+ cumulated earnings)
• Debts (borrowings of any kind)
• Short terms debts (< 1 year)
• Medium and long debts
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 15
Balance Sheet: an example.
Accounting
equation
Assets = Equity + Liabilities
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
Assets
Liabilities
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 16
Don’t worry about Balance Sheet
It’s just an accounting equation Assets = Equity + Liabilities
which is very useful for Accountants, Bankers and Financials
The key point is that
We need Equity and Liabilities in order to finance Assets
(Ressources) (Uses)
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
Let’s focus now on the P&L Statement . . .
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 17
The Profit and Loss Statement: sum up of all the
revenues and expenses of the period
2014
2017 2018
(snapshot)
(sum up)
❷
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 18
The Profit and Loss Statement
shows all
• Additions to wealth: i.e. Revenues, incomes, …
• Deductions to wealth: i.e. Expenses, charges, …
on a predetermined period of time
(typically 1 year, but it could be 1 week, 1 month, …)
e.g. for tax administration: 1 year
e.g. for budgeting My Project: 1 week, 1 month, …
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
The
real life
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 19
The Profit and Loss Statement
• Additions to wealth: i.e. Revenues, incomes, …
• Deductions to wealth: i.e. Expenses, charges, …
on a predetermined period of time
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 20
P&L shows all
• Additions to wealth: i.e. Revenues, incomes, …
• Deductions to wealth: i.e. Expenses, charges, …
It’s hard to forecast Revenues & Incomes
(especially for start-ups).
It’s easier to forecast Expenses & Charges
so let’s begin with that.
Profit and Loss Statement (P&L)
Accounting equation
Earnings = (Revenues & Incomes) – (Expenses & Charges)
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 21
Expenses and charges
are shared in 3 types
• Expenses related to operating cycle (OPEX)
whatever is consumed as part of production process
(for product or service)
• Expenses related to non current assets (CAPEX)
whatever has a lifetime longer than the period of an
operating cycle (for product or service)
e.g. investment in building, machine, R&D, patent, etc.
• Charges related to financial cycle (interests, taxes)
Profit and Loss Statement (PnL)
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 22
Revenues and incomes
are shared in 3 types
• Revenues related to operating cycle
whatever is earned as part of production process
(for product or service)
• Incomes related to non current assets
whatever has a lifetime longer than the period of an
operating cycle (for product or service)
e.g. selling of building, machine, patent, etc.
• Incomes related to financial cycle (bank interest)
Profit and Loss Statement (P&L)
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 23
Expenses Revenues
OPEX (operational expenses)
Including
Salaries (wages and related
costs)
Turnover A
Turnover B
CAPEX (capital expenses) Non current incomes
Financial charges
(interests, taxes, …)
Financial incomes
(interests, …)
Total Expenses
Net income =
Total Revenues
Revenues – Expenses
(earning > 0 or loss < 0)
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
PnL
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 24
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
Fixed cost and variable cost
• Fixed cost
e.g. Subscription to telecom operator
e.g. Buy out for a software license or small hardware
• Variable cost
e.g. Cost depending on the volume of transmitted data
e.g. Cost of license depending on number of users
• Thresolded cost
e.g. Variable cost depending on a threshold
e.g. Free if under 1 Gbyte and XX € if above 1 Gbyte
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 25
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
TCO: Total Cost of Owning
• TCO = Initial fixed cost
+ Number of periods X Recurrent cost
e.g. TCO of a computer during 3 years
• Initial purchase cost = 1 000 €
• Annual maintenance cost = 100 €
• TCO (3 years) = 1 000 € + 3 x 100 € = 1 300 €
• Initial purchase cost = 0 €
• Monthly rent = 35 €
• TCO (3 years) = 0 € + 36 x 35 € = 1 260 €
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 26
Prepare a presentation of your cost analysis
(5 slides max, 7 minutes max)
REQUIREMENTS
• Must have: your name, your project name
• Should have: Business Model Canvas
• Should have: CAPEX (charge quantification)
• Should have: OPEX (charge quantification)
• Could have: spreadsheet on 3 first years
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 27
1) For My Project, try to list my expenses and charges
shared in several types (CAPEX, OPEX, etc.)
2) For My Project,
try to estimate roughly (in k€) my charges
during the first three years
3) For My Project,
present my forecast charges on some slides
(spreadsheet could be useful)
4) Questions / Answers about my forecast charges
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 28
28
Thank you for your attention…
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 29
Prediction or forecast?
"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future."
Niels Bohr, Nobel Prize in Physics (1922)
“Forecasting is the art of saying what will happen . . .
. . .and then explaining why it didn't happen exactly.”
Anonymous engineer
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 30
Rules of thumb
• A forecast within 20% is better
that no prediction at all
• Define a cone of uncertainty
The more distant, the less confident
• Think about Plan A (optimistic)
and Plan B (pessimistic)
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 31
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 32
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
HR figures are given for France
(these are rough figures in order to give an rough idea)
March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 33
A few beacons in the turbulent world of
entrepreneurial finance
P&L
This training material is part of the FogGuru project that has received funding from the European Union’s
Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement
No 765452. The information and views set out in this material are those of the author(s) and do not
necessarily reflect the official opinion of the European Union. Neither the European Union institutions and
bodies nor any person acting on their behalf may be held responsible for the use which may be made of
the information contained therein.

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Cost analysis

  • 1. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 1 OPPORTUNITY RECOGNITION March 22, 2019 Cost analysis (fin1) A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance 1
  • 2. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 2 What is business? Business is an activity in which we want both maximization of profit for enterprises maximization of satisfaction for clients
  • 3. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 3 Business modeling My Business Model must be clear – Who are my customers – Who are my users – Who are my providers – What is my product or my service – Who pays what, and to whom, and how – What is the perceived benefit for users / customer – What is surrounding (competitors, legal, …) Is my Business Model clear?
  • 4. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 4 Business modeling Prerequisite: My Business Model Canvas is clear My
  • 5. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 5 My Project My Business model My
  • 6. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 6 My Business model My Project Flow chart description
  • 7. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 7 My Business model My Project Customer A Customer B € Product / Service defined by 4 P and defined by the value provided to customers and users P as Product P as Placement P as Promotion P as Price policy My marketing mix
  • 8. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 8 Social org. Pension funds My Project Customer A Customer B € Regulatory agencies, legacy Surrounding: education, cultures,ethics Tax services € Provider 2 P / S € € Users € € Human Ressources Provider 1 My Business model
  • 9. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 9 Provider 2 Social org. Pension funds My Project Customer A Customer B Compe- titors € € Regulatory agencies, legacy Tax services € Provider 1 P / S € € Users € € Surrounding: education, cultures,ethics Human Ressources My Business model
  • 10. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 10 Writing my Business Plan 1. Executive summary 2. Business model of enterprise 3. The product or the service 4. The market 1. Surrounding 2. Demand 3. Competitors 4. Positionning of Product x Market 5. Strategy of development 1. Road map of product / service 2. Marketing plan 3. Pricing and financial plan 6. Overall project planning 7. Previsional Profit and Loss 8. Previsional needs of funding 9. Conclusion
  • 11. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 11 There are 2 useful documents in order to explain my Project to people dealing with finance • Balance Sheet • Income Statement (aka ‘Profit and Loss’ Statement) also said ‘P & L’ A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 12. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 12 The Balance Sheet: a snapshot of the company's assets and liabilities at the end of a period. The Income Statement: sum up of all the revenues and expenses of this period (also called Profit and Loss Statement or P&L Statement). ❶ ❷ A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 13. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 13 The Balance Sheet: a snapshot of the company's assets and liabilities at the end of the period. Assets 31 dec 2018 Equity + Liabilities 31 dec 2018 Total of Assets = Total of Equity and Liabilities Accounting equation ❶ A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 14. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 14 Balance Sheet Assets Investments • Non current assets • Machines, etc. • Current assets • Stocks, etc. • Marketable securities • Cash Equity + Liabilities Resources use to finance assets • Equity (capital + cumulated earnings) • Debts (borrowings of any kind) • Short terms debts (< 1 year) • Medium and long debts A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 15. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 15 Balance Sheet: an example. Accounting equation Assets = Equity + Liabilities A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance Assets Liabilities
  • 16. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 16 Don’t worry about Balance Sheet It’s just an accounting equation Assets = Equity + Liabilities which is very useful for Accountants, Bankers and Financials The key point is that We need Equity and Liabilities in order to finance Assets (Ressources) (Uses) A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance Let’s focus now on the P&L Statement . . .
  • 17. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 17 The Profit and Loss Statement: sum up of all the revenues and expenses of the period 2014 2017 2018 (snapshot) (sum up) ❷ A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 18. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 18 The Profit and Loss Statement shows all • Additions to wealth: i.e. Revenues, incomes, … • Deductions to wealth: i.e. Expenses, charges, … on a predetermined period of time (typically 1 year, but it could be 1 week, 1 month, …) e.g. for tax administration: 1 year e.g. for budgeting My Project: 1 week, 1 month, … A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance The real life
  • 19. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 19 The Profit and Loss Statement • Additions to wealth: i.e. Revenues, incomes, … • Deductions to wealth: i.e. Expenses, charges, … on a predetermined period of time A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 20. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 20 P&L shows all • Additions to wealth: i.e. Revenues, incomes, … • Deductions to wealth: i.e. Expenses, charges, … It’s hard to forecast Revenues & Incomes (especially for start-ups). It’s easier to forecast Expenses & Charges so let’s begin with that. Profit and Loss Statement (P&L) Accounting equation Earnings = (Revenues & Incomes) – (Expenses & Charges) A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 21. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 21 Expenses and charges are shared in 3 types • Expenses related to operating cycle (OPEX) whatever is consumed as part of production process (for product or service) • Expenses related to non current assets (CAPEX) whatever has a lifetime longer than the period of an operating cycle (for product or service) e.g. investment in building, machine, R&D, patent, etc. • Charges related to financial cycle (interests, taxes) Profit and Loss Statement (PnL) A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 22. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 22 Revenues and incomes are shared in 3 types • Revenues related to operating cycle whatever is earned as part of production process (for product or service) • Incomes related to non current assets whatever has a lifetime longer than the period of an operating cycle (for product or service) e.g. selling of building, machine, patent, etc. • Incomes related to financial cycle (bank interest) Profit and Loss Statement (P&L) A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 23. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 23 Expenses Revenues OPEX (operational expenses) Including Salaries (wages and related costs) Turnover A Turnover B CAPEX (capital expenses) Non current incomes Financial charges (interests, taxes, …) Financial incomes (interests, …) Total Expenses Net income = Total Revenues Revenues – Expenses (earning > 0 or loss < 0) A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance PnL
  • 24. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 24 A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance Fixed cost and variable cost • Fixed cost e.g. Subscription to telecom operator e.g. Buy out for a software license or small hardware • Variable cost e.g. Cost depending on the volume of transmitted data e.g. Cost of license depending on number of users • Thresolded cost e.g. Variable cost depending on a threshold e.g. Free if under 1 Gbyte and XX € if above 1 Gbyte
  • 25. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 25 A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance TCO: Total Cost of Owning • TCO = Initial fixed cost + Number of periods X Recurrent cost e.g. TCO of a computer during 3 years • Initial purchase cost = 1 000 € • Annual maintenance cost = 100 € • TCO (3 years) = 1 000 € + 3 x 100 € = 1 300 € • Initial purchase cost = 0 € • Monthly rent = 35 € • TCO (3 years) = 0 € + 36 x 35 € = 1 260 €
  • 26. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 26 Prepare a presentation of your cost analysis (5 slides max, 7 minutes max) REQUIREMENTS • Must have: your name, your project name • Should have: Business Model Canvas • Should have: CAPEX (charge quantification) • Should have: OPEX (charge quantification) • Could have: spreadsheet on 3 first years
  • 27. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 27 1) For My Project, try to list my expenses and charges shared in several types (CAPEX, OPEX, etc.) 2) For My Project, try to estimate roughly (in k€) my charges during the first three years 3) For My Project, present my forecast charges on some slides (spreadsheet could be useful) 4) Questions / Answers about my forecast charges
  • 28. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 28 28 Thank you for your attention…
  • 29. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 29 Prediction or forecast? "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." Niels Bohr, Nobel Prize in Physics (1922) “Forecasting is the art of saying what will happen . . . . . .and then explaining why it didn't happen exactly.” Anonymous engineer A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 30. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 30 Rules of thumb • A forecast within 20% is better that no prediction at all • Define a cone of uncertainty The more distant, the less confident • Think about Plan A (optimistic) and Plan B (pessimistic) A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 31. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 31 A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance
  • 32. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 32 A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance HR figures are given for France (these are rough figures in order to give an rough idea)
  • 33. March 2019 Didier.Certain@dcc-marketing.com 33 A few beacons in the turbulent world of entrepreneurial finance P&L
  • 34. This training material is part of the FogGuru project that has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 765452. The information and views set out in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official opinion of the European Union. Neither the European Union institutions and bodies nor any person acting on their behalf may be held responsible for the use which may be made of the information contained therein.