1. Florida Occupational Projections
2011 to 2019
Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center
Florida Occupational Employment by Educational Requirement (using Florida Educational Codes)
Table 1 below shows occupational employment by educational requirement in Florida for 2003, 2011, and 2019
(projected).
Employment counts by education level represent the number of jobs with a particular education requirement.
This is not a count or a distribution of the education level obtained by employees working in the occupation. For
example, waiters with a Bachelor’s degree are counted as having less than a high school diploma because their
occupation requires less than a high school.
For occupations, where multiple training levels can be sufficient for employment in an occupation (i.e. registered
nurse), the employment data are counted in the lowest level of training required.
Table 1
Florida
Occupational Employment by Educational Requirement
Using U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Educational Codes
10,000,000
9,000,000
365,181
8,000,000
269,405 317,453 1,422,400
Master's and above
1,107,789
7,000,000 1,239,938 392,377
292,940 548,856
333,646 Bachelor's Degree
6,000,000 463,562
475,897
Jobs
Associate's Degree
5,000,000
2,938,616
2,723,273
2,583,862
4,000,000 Postsecondary
Vocational
3,000,000 High School Diploma
2,000,000
Less than High
3,130,948 3,271,020
2,962,952 School
1,000,000
0
2003 2011 2019
Note: The employment data above include nurses at the Associate’s degree educational level.
Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program.
2. Florida Occupational Employment by Educational Requirement (using U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Educational Codes)
Table 2 below shows the same occupational employment from table 1 in Florida for 2003, 2011, and 2019
(projected). However, this table assigns an educational code to each occupation using the U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics methodology (BLS). BLS also assigns educational codes based on the typical entry-level
education required for the occupation, even though the actual distribution of workers by educational attainment
shows workers with other levels of achievement.
Table 2
Florida
Occupational Employment by Educational Requirement
Using U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Educational Codes
10,000,000
9,000,000
365,181
8,000,000
269,405 317,453 1,608,371
Master's and above
7,000,000 1,238,092
1,396,426 206,406
162,637 548,856
Bachelor's Degree
6,000,000 463,562 177,158
475,897
Jobs
Associate's Degree
5,000,000
2,938,616
2,723,273
2,583,862
4,000,000 Postsecondary
Vocational
3,000,000 High School Diploma
2,000,000
Less than High
3,130,948 3,271,020
2,962,952 School
1,000,000
0
2003 2011 2019
Note: The employment data above include nurses at the Associate’s degree educational level.
Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, Employment Projections Program.
3. Production of Bachelor’s Degrees vs. Job Openings Requiring a Bachelor’s Degree
The production of Bachelor’s degrees below uses two methods for calculating growth. The first method uses
historical growth rates of bachelor’s degree production and extrapolates the same rate for future periods through
2019. The second method uses the target set by SUS of achieving 90,000 by 2025 and assumes a gradual
increase of Bachelor’s degree production throughout this period. Thus, the analysis assumes approximately
75,000 Bachelor’s degrees will be produced in 2019.
The representation of job openings requiring a Bachelor’s degree also uses two approaches. The first approach
estimates job openings requiring this degree using Florida educational codes. These codes were developed
with the Florida Department of Education. The second approach uses education codes used by the U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Tables 3 and 4 below show Bachelor’s degree production vs. job openings from growth and replacement need.
Both show cumulative growth between 2011 and 2019. Table 3 uses Florida educational codes, while table 4
uses federal educational codes. Both tables show different estimates based on whether job openings include
registered nurses as requiring a Bachelor’s degree or as requiring only an Associate’s degree to enter the
profession.
Table 3
Florida Production of Bachelor's Degrees vs.
Job Openings Requiring a Bachelor's
Cumulative Growth 2011-2019
(FL Education Codes)
700000
590,352
600000 566,423
500000
400000
301,536
300000
251,073
200000
100000
0
Bachelor's Bachelor's Job openings Job openings
production production requiring a requiring a
(assuming (planned increase Bachelor's (RNs as Bachelor's (RNs as
historical growth to 90,000 in 2025) Bachelor's) Associate's)
rate continues)
Tables 4 below show the same data as above using BLS codes instead of FL educational codes.
Table 4
Florida Production of Bachelor's Degrees vs.
Job Openings Requiring a Bachelor's
Cumulative Growth 2011-2019
(BLS Education Codes)
700,000
590,352
600,000 566,423
500,000
438,489
388,134
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
Bachelor's Bachelor's Job openings Job openings
production production requiring a requiring a
(assuming (planned increase Bachelor's (RNs as Bachelor's (RNs as
historical growth to 90,000 in 2025) Bachelor's) Associate's)
rate continues)
4. Cost of Tuition vs. Inflation
Tuition cost per credit hour is calculated as a weighted average of the total tuition and fees for 30 semester
credit hours per year for each university, weighted by university undergraduate enrollment.
Table 5
Florida Tuition Cost Per Credit Hour Growth Rate
vs. Inflation (South Region, U.S.)
16.0
14.0
Tuition and Fees Growth Rate (Annual Percent Change of Tuition and Fees per Credit Hour)
Inflation (Percent Change in Consumer Price Index-Urban, South Region)
12.0
10.0
8.0
Percent
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
-2.0
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Sources: State University System of Florida, Board of Governors data, Local Fee History and Enrollment by University,
www.flbog.edu.
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, www.bls.gov.
Prepared August 2012