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Just Change




 Business Plan To Operationalise Participative Capital

              Changing The Role Of Capital
           For Sustained Growth In Rural India




Produced by the participants of the Global Young Leaders Programme, November 2011
Table Of Contents
Executive Summary              3
Introduction                   5
Background                     6
Business Model                 14
Business Development           27
Supply Chain Management        37
Community Benefits             44
Financial Analysis             50
Recommendations & Conclusion   65
Appendix                       69
Executive Summary 1 of 2
•   Just Change is a community led initiative that
    grew out of the struggle of the Adivasis of
    Gudalur, Tamil Nadu to improve and sustain
    their livelihoods in the face of adverse market
    forces
•   An examination was conducted in the way the
    currently economy is structured
•   Just Change India has developed a concept to
    address this issue – an international
    cooperative of producers, consumers and
    investors, enabled through a Participative
    Capital business model
•   The business model outlines the establishment
    of a new “Operational Company”, that links
    producers, consumers and investors to provide
    mutual economic and social benefits



                                           3
Executive Summary 2 of 2
             •   To operationalise Participative Capital an
                 estimated capital investment of INR 100
                 million (10 crore) is required in which a
                 return will be expected by the fourth year
             •   By sharing returns between investors and
                 community groups, rural community
                 livelihoods will be improved – returns are to
                 be managed through a robust governance
                 structure within a sustainable business model
             •   Community groups will re-invest the returns
                 into community programs such as education,
                 skills training and healthcare services as well
                 as channel a portion into stability funds
             •   The recommendation outlines a pilot project
                 with Tea and Paddy in Tamil Nadu , with the
                 intention for expansion into neighbouring
                 states and other commodity products

                     4
Just Change




Background and Objectives
    I.     Just Change India
    II.    Adivasis Journey
    III.   Global Tea Market
    IV.    Global Paddy Market
    V.     The Challenge
    VI.    Investment Plan Objectives
Just Change India
                   “a grassroots response to the global economy that has left the
                   vast majority of people powerless with little or no control over
                   factors that influence their lives...”
                    - Stan Thekaekara, Founder of Just Change


•   Just Change is a concept that grew out of the struggle of the Adivasi farmers of
    Gudalur, Tamil Nadu to secure their livelihoods and live in dignity
•   Around 2003, “Market forces” saw prices of tea leaves plummet to a level that is
    threatening the farmers’ livelihoods, yet consumers worldwide continued to pay
    high prices
•   “Just Change” pioneered an alternative way of doing business which links poor
    producers, consumers and investors to work together for mutual benefit


    To foster a more just, equitable and sustainable economy for farmers


                                           7                                           3
Global Tea Market - Overview
                                                    GLOBAL TEA PRODUCTION
• Tea is the highest consumed drink
  in the world - production
  dominated by China, India, Kenya
  and Sri Lanka
• Export Market is dominated by Sri
  Lanka, China and India with the
  major players in the Import Market
  being Pakistan, Japan and China
• No global institution exists in the
  tea industry, only individual nations   Source: Tea Board of India, www.teaboard.gov.in
  have national Tea Boards or Tea
  Associations
• Tea production is labour intensive
  where the livelihoods of millions in
  the rural areas are largely
  dependent on tea picking and
  processing


                                    9                                                       3
Tea Market – Sustainability Issues
• Global prices have been declining
  since 2000 due to the price
  collusion by the oligopolistic tea
  manufacturing industry
• A combination of price volatility
  and the domination of the tea
  supply chain by a few
  international companies is
  adversely affecting the
  sustainability of the tea sector
• Working conditions and
  livelihoods of plantation workers
  and small scale farmers in tea
  producing countries are under
  growing pressure - most earn less
  than Rs.100 a day.

                                  10   3
Global Paddy Market – Overview
• Rice cultivation is the principal activity and source of income for
  millions of households around the world
• At the beginning of the 1990s, annual production of rice was around
  350 million tons and by the end of the century it had reached 410
  million tons
• Globally, India has the largest rice area and is second in rice
  production, after China
• Among the exporting countries, Thailand, Vietnam, India and
  Pakistan are the major countries exporting rice in sizeable quantity




                                  11                                     3
The Challenge
                   Two thirds of India’s population are rural
                   farming communities with 30% living below the poverty line.
      POVERTY
                   While the economy has been growing at 8% , agricultural output has
                   risen at only 3.3% per year*


                   Commodity retail prices largely benefit the intermediary branding and                                  MARKET
                   packaging companies, wholesalers and retailers                                                         INEQUITY


    COMMODITY         Access to basic commodities like tea, rice and spices have become
       ACCESS         disproportionately expensive for consumers and less profitable for
    RESTRICTIONS      producers


“The YLP participants work closely with Just Change to address the challenge of
operationalising, on a larger scale, the concept of Participative Capital which is
envisioned to generate a more equitable economic and social benefit for the network
of producers and consumers as well as provide a return of investment to the
investors.”

                   *Sources: International Fund for Agricultural Development www.ruralpoverty.org & China vs. India: A Tale
                   of Two Plans, The Economist Network
                                                                  12
Investment Plan Objectives
• To create an investment framework for the operationalising of
  Participative Capital
• To allow investors with aligned interests to become active
  participants of social change while realising a financial return
• To ensure fair prices for producers so they have more control
• To deliver good quality products at fair prices to consumers
• To enhance and improve the overall societal development
• To create an investor framework that can be applied across
  different commodity products and states in India



  Creating a more just, equitable and sustainable economy


                                  13
Just Change




Business Model

 i. Purpose
 ii. Participative Capital
 iii. Benefits of Co-Destiny
 iv. The Key Players
 v. Business Model
 vi. Organisational Structure
 vii. Governance Overview
 viii. Governance Approach
Purpose
• To outline the enterprise operating on the principles of
sustainability to also be run as a profitable business
• The bases of the enterprise is on the principle of Participative
Capital, to include the participation of producers, consumers
and investors
• The governance structure of the enterprise is to ensure
equitable returns are delivered to all stakeholders




                                15
Participative Capital
 Participative Capital is a concept that generates a more equitable economic and
  social benefit for the network of producers and consumers as well as provide a
                         return of investment to the investors.

                   • Relationship reinforced among participants via co-existence and co-operation
  Co-destiny         towards a common destination and mutual economic and social benefits

                   • The transactional value derived from the commodity, consumption and capital
   Value and         from the network of producer groups, consumer groups and investors results in
    Surplus          surplus which in turn is redistributed equitably into the business or contributes
                     to improving the standard of living of the people in rural India

   Central         • A structured Operating company linking consumer groups and producer groups,
 Governance          focusing on supply chain efficiency and surplus distribution




     Sustainable business        Equitable distribution            Extend social benefits to
      income and growth          of economic benefits               the greater community


                                              16
Participative Capital - Visual Model




                  17
Benefits Co-Destiny
 • Financial return on                                       • Fair price for their
   investment                                                  products
 • Contribute to                                             • More consistent
   betterment of society                                       demand via a more
   e.g. minimise poverty                                       structured supply chain
   and improve standard of                                     and loyalty incentives
   living, healthcare and                                    • Enjoy economic and
   education                                                   social benefits from
 • Small investment – Big        Capital          Producer     surplus
   impact                       Investors          Groups

                                     Co-destiny
 • Receive goods at a fair                                   • Improve standard of
   price                                                       living in rural India
 • Improved quality of          Consumer         Community
                                 Groups            & India   • Strenghting community
   products via improved                                       relationships
   supply chain model and
   governed process and
   federation aggregator
 • Better price stability via
   Federation’s risk fund
 • Enjoy economic & social
   benefits from surplus


                                            18
The Key Players
        Producer Groups                                      Consumer Groups
  Farmers represented through                        • Cooperatives
 Local Societies at Village/Taluka                   • Mid-size wholesalers
               levels                                • Local consumers in villages


                                 Operating Company
                              (JCI Producer Company)
                •   Deploy ‘Capital’ provided by investors
                •   Process commodities provided by the
                    Producing Groups
                •   Distribute commodities to Consumer Groups
                •   Distribute financial returns to all stakeholders


                                      Investors
             Provide capital with the intent to generate financial return


                                          19
Organisation Structure
                             Just Change Trust (JCT)                           Advisory/Think tank

                                Board of Directors
Auditors
External




                                               Executive Director
                                                                                 Oversight /
                                                                                  Approval
                     JCT     PG Shareholders         GM             Investor

                               General Manager (GM)

           Finance & Admin          Operations                 Community Relations
                                                   Marketing & Bus Dev                   Operation
                                                        Supply Chain
                                                          Purchases
                                                               IT

                     JCIPC ( Just Change India Producer Company )


                                          21
Just Change India Producer Company
JCIPC - an Independent Operating Company
• JCIPC is to facilitate return on investment and build capacity to expand
   product(s) and services
• JCT will continue to operate as a think tank, independent of JCIPC but
   will also take an advisory role on Board of Directors
• Board of Directors consists of representatives from all the major
   stakeholders to oversee and approve the major decisions made within
   JCIPC, ensuring the direction and purpose of the entity remains
   community driven
• The day to day operation of the entity is split into several business units
   including: Finance & Administration, Operations and Community
   Relations




                                      22
Business Units 1 of 2
Role of Finance & Administration
• Investment management
• Governance of capital and
   surplus
• Provide funding management
   to Operations
• Distribute funding to producer
   members
• Identify and manage financial
   privileges for members (i.e.,
   rebates)
• Human resource
   administration and
   management
• Internal audit



                                   23   23
Business Units 2 of 2
Role of Operations                    Role of Community Relations
 • Business Development & Marketing   • Communication with
    • Marketing & communications         community
    • Promotional materials           • Community development
    • Public relations                   initiative
    • Brand awareness                 • Community fund
    • Pricing                            Management
 • Supply Chain
    • Manage the market place
    • Manage logistics
    • Manage warehouse
 • Purchasing
    • Inventory management
    • Supplier management
 • IT
    • Manage technology vendor
    • Provide day to day technology
      support

                                 24
Key Aspects of Governance
Business model and organisation structure will ensure:
   • Compliance with all applicable laws and regulations
   • Transparency and segregation of duties in the overall
      administration of the Operating company (see business
      model)
   • Accountability of key stakeholders
   • Effective management of the capital and financial surplus
      distribution amongst investors, consumers and producers
   • Profitable management of a multiple commodity products
      enterprise (Rice, tea)
   • Execution of strategy
Governance and management organisation structure is scalable for
multiple product(s).



                                25
Governance Approach
     Sustainable business income                          Equitable distribution of
     and growth                                           economic benefits
 • Exclusive participation via shareholding in         • Central governance on surplus management
   Operating company, assurance of fair                  via Board of Directors of Operating company
   price and quality goods and incentives to             benefitting consumer groups, producer
   promote continuous supply and demand                  groups and investors
   of commodity                                        • Operating company to focus on business
 • Selection criteria of participants in supply          development; match demand and supply as
   chain for worthiness                                  well as ensure fair price, price stability and
                                                         quality goods


     Extend social benefits to the                         Improved and efficient
     greater community                                     marketing and supply chain
 • Central governance on surplus                       • A structured Operating company linking
   management via Board of Directors of                  consumer groups and producer groups,
   Operating company                                     focusing on marketing and supply chain
 • Dedicated community relations personnel               efficiency
   to focus on community development                   • Selection criteria of vendors/suppliers for
   initiatives                                           worthiness




                                                  26
Just Change




Business Development
 i.     Purpose
 ii.    Market Strategy Overview
 iii.   Marketing Plan
 iv.    Branding Strategy
Purpose
• Participative capital is a new concept being introduced
  amongst producers, consumers and investors and therefore a
  strong marketing plan is required for successful business
  development
• As a ‘start-up’ the main goal is to increase awareness and gain
  the confidence of producer and consumer groups
• A secondary goal is to develop a strong brand which will build
  trust and loyalty to JCPC




                                28
Marketing Strategy Overview

                     Marketing Strategy


STEP 1                                               STEP 2
        Attracting
   Consumer & Producer                    Branding
         Groups


                        Top priority is
         “Attracting Consumers & Producer Groups”

                             29
Marketing Plan – Year 1 and 2
Main focus:
To attract Consumer and Producer Groups

Method
• Year 1 and 2 – focus on maintaining and extending consumer demands and
ensure production levels increase accordingly as well
• JCIPC will be using their in-house resources to achieve their first two years’
marketing goals
• The approach in the first two years do not require substantial investment
• After the first 2 years, once the base of producer/consumer have been founded
with investment flowing in, more substantial marketing activities are planned in
accordance with an increased budget for marketing expense
• Plans to attract producer and new consumer groups are outlined in the next two
slides

           No substantial marketing expenses expected in years 1 and 2


                                           30
Attracting Producer Groups
For existing producer groups/circle:        For new producer groups/circle:
Suggested methods:                          Suggested methods:
• Supply contract: premium at               • Multi level marketing:
  signing of contract: e.g: INR20/kg           producers earn eventual share
  green leaves                                 of surplus increases
• Guaranteed fixed buying price:            • At signing supply contract:
  e.g: INR45/kg green leaves                   entitled to the benefit package
• Share of surplus/volume unit                 offered to existing members
• First right to invest
• Group representative have
  aggregated vote in decision
  making process
• Access to education and health
  care as members
• All groups benefiting from
  participative capital


                                       31
Attracting New Consumer Groups
                     Suggested methods
              • Initially use word of mouth, going
                through trusted organisations and
                then using the success stories to
                attract others, highlighting all the
                benefits of participating
              • Benchmarking against market price
                and offering discounts
              • Partnership with cooperatives in Tamil
                Nadu, Kerala, and other states: % per
                total volume to the cooperatives ;
                mutual technical support;
              • Referral scheme
              • Membership discount for loyal
                consumers

                32
Marketing Plan – Years 3-5
 Starting in year 4 the budgeted marketing expenses will increase allowing for
 additional efforts in scaling up JCIPC’s operations.
               Year 3                             Year 4                     Year 5
 Producers     Educate and visit new villages     Media campaign             Trade show
               on concept to get buy in and
               develop relationships              Policy advocacy            Best producer of the year award

               Roll out rewards scheme for
               new producers (commission)

 Tea           Newspaper ads                      TV ad                      Trade show
 Consumers     Flyers                             Tea tasting                Study tour
               Website                            Product Promotion

 Paddy         Newspaper ads                      TV ads                     Trade show
 Consumers     Flyers                             Website                    Study tour
               Rice tasting                       Roadshow
               Roadshow

*Eakgon Cellphone is a cellphone service for illiterate farmers to provide them with information on cultivation



                                                        33
Market Expansion Plan
             Tea to be No. of                                    Rice to be No. of
Period                          Households          Period                           Households
             sold [MT] Society                                   sold [MT] Society
 Year    1          100       5     20,000          Year     1          2000       8      20,000
 Year    2          125       6     25,000          Year     2          4000     12       40,000
 Year    3          188       8     47,000          Year     3          8000     18      160,000
 Year    4          281     10     132,070          Year     4         14000     25    1,120,000
 Year    5          422     15     557,335          Year     5         21000     35   11,760,000
 Year    6          633     25 3,527,933            Year     6         30000     40 176,400,000

 In order to achieve the above mentioned figures, we will do the following
 steps:
      Step 1: Promote brand and bring societies on board
         Step 2: Branding

*Projections are conservative and expected to be exceeded based on selling goods in open market



                                               34
Branding Strategy – Just Change Tea & Rice
  • The brand will be                                   • Leverage on existing
    associated with                                       retail chain outlets in
    certain                                               YR1 to mid YR2
    communities i.e.                                    • Set up new exclusive
    Raitasanga                                            retail outlets
  • Create sense of                                     • Location based
    ownership /                                           brand will serve as
    relationship with           Product         Place     potential tourist
    the brand                                             destination site



  • Offer free samples to
    potential consumers        Promotion        Price   • Price penetration
  • Multilevel marketing
  • Use referrals and
                            Promotion                     within the different
                                                          groups of society
    word of mouth to                                    • Premium pricing for
    increase awareness                                    different quality of
  • Business tie-up with                                  tea / rice
    entrepreneur groups
    in the society




                                           35
Branding
                               “Just Change your rice”

“Supporting the                       Just
communiTEA”
                                     Change




  Enabling a sense of ownership within the community

                          36
Just Change




Supply Chain Management
  I.     Traditional Supply Chain Model & Issues
  II.    Solution to the Traditional Model
  III.   Benefits of 3 Tier Supply Chain
  IV.    Why a Marketplace is Needed
  V.     Marketplace Framework
  VI.    Warehousing
Traditional Supply Chain Model & Issues
         Farmers
                                         Issues
                                         • Exploitation by dealers and
          Mandis            Registered      aggregators
         (Market)             Dealer
                                         • No common marketplace to:
        Aggregator                           • Buy and sell product
                                             • Identify producers and
Processing                  State
Packaging               Procurement
                                                consumers beyond local
                           System               boundaries
          Intermediary                       • Share information
        Distribution Hubs
                                         • No warehouse for temporary storage
             Consumer                    • Lack of logistics network

 Lack of marketplace between Producers and Consumers limits
                fair trade and equitable growth

                                          38
Solution to the Traditional Model
         Village                    3 Tiers Supply Chain Model
        Farmers

                                         Tier 1 : Producer Group
       Producer
                                         • Process goods, packaging
        Group
                                         • Sell goods to Operating Company


       Operating                         Tier 2 : Operating Company
                        Warehouse        • Marketplace to link up producers and
       Company
                                            consumers
                                         • Warehousing/stock management
  Consumer          Open
   Groups           Market

         Consumer                        Tier 3 : Consumer Groups
                                         • Sales & distribution to end consumer

 3 Tier model links up producers and consumers directly

                                    39
Benefits of 3 Tier Supply Chain Model
Producers enjoy:
    • Increased margins due to direct sale to consumer
      groups
    • Easy access to information
    • Ability to retain personal relationships
Consumers enjoy:
    •   Ability to search and price compare
    •   Lower prices due to direct purchase
    •   Decreased costs through the use of online auction
    •   Easy access to information to facilitate daily
        operations

These benefits are obtained by using the marketplace
platform within the Operating Company.


 Marketplace is the essence of 3 Tier Supply Chain Model

                                         40
Why a Marketplace is Needed
A marketplace enables Producers and Consumers to:
• Communicate effectively
   – Linking rural communities to
     consumer groups
   – Visibility of supply and demand
      beyond local networks
• Trade, Buy and Sell
   – Price creation and determination
   – Match up willing buyer and seller


Marketplace brings producer and consumer groups together

                                41
Marketplace Framework



•   Concept
     • Create a marketplace platform online and through a mobile phone network for
        Sellers and Buyers to go beyond the current limits of a traditional market
•   Role
     • Enable Producers and Consumers to buy and sell products beyond current
        boundaries, by leveraging on the information and logistics network provided
        and recommended by the Operating Company
     • Establish the connection between Producers and Consumers, allowing them to
        interact and communicate


Successful marketplace implementation needs warehousing

                                        42
Warehousing
•   Concept
     • Serves as storage of products when there
       is no immediate match in the Marketplace
       between producers and consumers
     • Operating company manages
       logistics to Consumer for warehouse
       products

•   Role
     • Provides Producers with stable income with stable sales of products
     • Provides Consumers with reliable supply of products
     • Operating company’s purchase of product during oversupply eliminates
        price volatility for Producers


    Warehousing enables sales at the right time and price

                                        43
Just Change




   Community Benefits

I.     Community Services Overview
II.    Impact Opportunities
III.   Financial Benefits
IV.    Women Empowerment
V.     Community Benefit Indicators
Community Services Overview
Primary issues faced by the community:
• Availability and usage of public health services and facilities is still
   minimal at best - critical care services are often 100KM or more
   away.
• Significant school dropout rates among children
• Market fluctuations often lead to significant income loss for rural
   farmers who lack access to emergency funds, which results in the
   loss of land – this has also led to a disturbing increasing trend of
   alcoholism and suicide rates




                                    45
Impact Opportunities
A Board of Directors of the Operating Company is to allocate certain
funds to address the community needs. This pilot program is to
focus on:
     • Education and Skills Training
     • Healthcare services
     • Improved communication
• As returns increase as the operations scales up, additional
   services may be introduced to address needs of other target
   communities, including:
     • Women’s empowerment
     • Financial assistance through community funds for
        contingencies
• Community services will roll out all activities & services via
    existing community structures

                                  46
Financial Benefits
Current scenario, as is:                     New initiatives:
•     Currently the producers are            Community loan fund
      organised only to a limited extent      • To address financial constraints caused by
      while the power of collective             unforeseen events
      financial capability is not realised    • It is paid out as a low interest loan i.e.
      so far                                    interest sufficient to cover administration,
•     The community borrow money                supervision & loan loss cost with no element
                                                of profit taking
      from local money lenders at a very
      high interest rate when in need -       • Initial funding from Investors portion
      interest rates are often 3% /month      • Kept sustainable by a) repayment by
                                                borrowers b) surpluses generated by business
    Implementation Needs:
    • Group lending by way of cross guarantee
    • Cap on borrowing size per borrower, loans are short term in nature 1-2 years
    • Cap of number of loans to be lent in each financial year.
    • Governance at project level to ensure compliance of operational/administrative
      procedures & policies.
    • Set up a team to operate the fund


                                               47
Women Empowerment
Current scenario, as is:                   New initiatives:
•   Women’s power is not fully             •    Build a stronger, happier and value
    utilised for the community’s                driven community through the groups,
    benefit                                     focusing on:
•   Each woman is an individual                   – Managing household financials and
    worker, therefore no leveraging                  savings
    on the power of women as a                    – Collective bargaining of goods for
    group                                            the community
Implementation Needs:                      •    Visit other communities and villages to
• X* salaried women to visit                    learn and share best practices
  communities                              •    Reskill in areas to support execution of
• Driver(s)                                     the model (i.e., SNEHA group)
• Car(s)
                                           •    Increase awareness of government
• Administrative support
                                                schemes and ways to take better
       *Number is scalable, depending on
                                                advantage of them
                             membership



                                               48
Community Benefit Indicators
Community                 Intangible benefits                     Tangible indicators
Producers                 Steady income                           Net increase in average income
                          Primary Education                       Number of children enrolled in primary
                                                                  school
                                                                  Literacy rate: percentage of people

                          Healthcare                              Number of injury deaths
                                                                  Number of deaths in children age 1-59
                                                                  months

                          Skills training                         Percentage of revenue growth in
                                                                  community
                          Communications                          Number of people who has access to the
                                                                  broadband internet including common
                                                                  facilities
Consumers                 Lower retail price                      Discount rate: the percentage of deduction
                                                                  of price compared to the market price
*Additional details on community opportunities in appendix


                                                             49
Just Change




Financial Analysis
I.      Key Targets
II.     Shareholding Principles
III.    Capital Raising
IV.     Surplus Distribution
V.      Key Assumptions
VI.     Financial Overview
VII.    Sensitivity Analysis
VIII.   Future Growth Driver
Key Targets
• Sustainable
    • Multiple revenue streams creates surplus stability
    • There will be two rounds of capital raising to maintain stable
      cashflow for working capital and business expansion
• Scalable
    • Profitability of business is highly dependent on scale and volume
    • Model is dependent on Just Change’s ability to attract producers and
      consumers
    • Lowering marginal costs and capital expenditures create attractive
      margins for business expansion
• Large potential for growth
    • Flexibility of business model promotes expansion into more
      commodities (such as spices, vegetable oil, cotton, cocoa etc.)
    • Case study of tea and paddy is highly promising
The economics of participative capital delivers financial gains

                                   51
Shareholding Principles
  The Shareholding structure is not only determined by capital contribution but also by
                       participative contribution to the business


                                                 Investors will provide the capital for the business,
                                                  and producers will be providing their labour and
                                                                    sweat capital

                                                       Example of Participative Shareholding
            Participative
            Shareholding                            90 (Capital to be repaid)             10
               Model                                                                                 Surplus 20
                                                                                               90%
                                                                        18           2
                                                                                               10%
                                                       90-18 = 72                    28
                                                                                                     Surplus 20
                                                                                               72%
                                                                      14        6
                                                                                               28%
                                                     72-14 = 58                 42



The shareholding of producers increases as the initial capital investment is repaid


                                            52
Capital Raising - Shareholding
                            Shareholding                           The operating company will
                          Interest on day 1                        make an upfront commitment
         PRODUCER                                  INVESTOR
                                                                   of 10% of capital raised to
                          10%        90%                           invest in a community fund on
                                                                   day 1
Sweat Capital                                            Capital
                                                          100%
                          SHAREHOLDING                             The shareholding structure is
                            COMPANY                                linked directly to the amount
                                                                   of invested capital left to be
                                                                   repaid
                Capital                       Capital
                 10%                           90%

                                                                   The long term stable
                 COMMUNITY              FUND TO                    shareholding relationship will
                   FUND                 BUSINESS                   primarily benefit the
                                                                   producers



   Producers become shareholders by investing labour capital


                                                   53
Capital Raising - Overview
                               •   Capital raising will occur in two rounds, both
                                   raising INR 50M
                               •   Second round will take place in year three of
             10%                   operations
                               •   Producer communities will have an                                 30%
                                   opportunity to invest in the second round of
                                   capital raising
                                                                                                     20%


             90%

                                                Bridging the gap
                                                                                                     50%




                                            Total Participative Capital               Business Capital Breakdown
  Investor Capital Breakdown                       Investment
   Business Capital                                 INR 100M                        Working Capital        Marketing
   Commitment to Community                                                          Stability Fund



                    Upfront commitment to communities

                                                       54
Capital Requirements - Overview
                                                          To mitigate financial risks arising from
                 INR 90M                                  supply and demand mismatches and
                                                          production shortfalls due to natural
                                                          forces, a stability fund will be
                                                          established
          30%
                                                          Marketing and brand building will be
                                  50%                     essential in establishing our business
                                                          operations and is a key consideration
                                                          during the capital raising process
              20%

                                                          The business will require a large
                                                          provision of capital for working capital
                                                          needs especially in the beginning stages
    Working Capital   Marketing     Stability Fund
                                                          of operations


 The capital raised will be primarily used for working capital


                                                     55
Overview – Surplus Distribution
   First 3      Stable                       Beginning        Stable
   Years     Distribution                   Distribution   Distribution




                            Multi-level surplus
                              distribution
                                structure



  The distribution of surplus will filter through 3 levels

                                   56
Overview – Surplus Distribution
• The operating company will retain 100% of the surplus in the first three
  years to build the business
• Thereafter, the operating company will retain a constant 25% of surplus
  to maintain operations
• Of the remaining 75%, surplus will be distributed to both the producers
  and investors with the division skewed towards the investors until the
  original capital invested has been repaid
• The producers’ share of the surplus will be returned in the form of cash
  and community investments via the community fund




     Investors benefit more at the start of the venture. Upon
     capital repayment, majority of surplus goes to producer


                                     57
Key Assumptions
                             Rice                                                                 Tea
                                             Y1       Y3        Y5
                       Paddy         Cost                                                Y1    Y2      Y3      Y1        Y2    Y3
   Commodity                                      Sell INR/kg
                     Composition    INR/kg                                  Commodity      Cost INR/kg            Sell INR/kg
Unbroken Rice           68%          18.5    22       24   26.25          Tea (Mass)    70     75      80     100       112   125
Broken Rice              7%            9              11
Husk                    20%            4               5
Rice Bran                3%           27              37

                                                                                                         Y1              Y3
                      Y1      Y2       Y3       Y4         Y5
                                                                                 Commodity               Annual Growth Rate
   Commodity                   Annual Growth Rate
                                                                                    Tea                 25%             50%
 All Rice Products   100%    100%     75%      50%         43%

           • Rice production anticipated for high growth in the first three years that
             will then taper off
           • Conversely, tea’s growth rate is expected to accelerate after the second
             year of production
           • No expected growth in broken rice, husk and rice bran in 5 years as their
             contribution in terms of value is small

   Assumptions provided from sources within the producer communities

                                                                     58
Financials – Income Statement
Financial Overview (INR M)               Y1     Y2      Y3      Y4       Y5      Y6

Total Sales                             45.7   85.4    177.2   304.3    488.6   702.0
Total Cost of Goods Sold                43.6   79.6    157.9   269.9    404.6   578.8
Net Profit                              -1.4   -0.5     9.3    17.5     49.8    72.9
Gross Margins                          19.9%   20.4%   20.1%   19.8%    25.1%   25.1%

Net Profit Margin (%)                  -3.1%   -0.6%   5.2%    5.8%     10.2%   10.4%




                             Margins increase with scaling efficiency


                                                 59
Financials – Gross Income
Participation Fee (INR M)          Y1            Y2             Y3            Y4            Y5            Y6
Paddy Volumes handled (MT)              1360           2720           5440          9520         14280         20400
Paddy Value                             29.92          59.84         119.68        209.44        314.16         448.8
Tea Volumes handled (MT)                   50           250            500           700          1200          1800
Tea Value                                   5             25             50            70          120           180
Participation Fees                       0.35           0.85           1.70          2.79          4.34          6.29
Participation & Vendor Fees              0.35           0.89           1.85          3.09          4.84          7.29
Warehousing (INR M)                Y1            Y2             Y3            Y4            Y5            Y6
Total Paddy (MT)                         2000           4000          8000         14000         21000         30000
COGS                                      29.6           59.3        126.7          221.8         332.6         475.2
Sales                                     35.7           71.4        153.6          268.8         435.3         621.9
Total Tea (MT)                          100.0          125.0         187.5          281.3         421.9         632.8
COGS (INR M)                               7.0            9.4          15.0          22.5          33.8          50.6
Sales (INR M)                             10.0           14.0          23.4          35.2          52.7          79.1
Cash Surplus (INR M)                       9.0           16.7          35.3          59.7         121.7         175.2
Gross Margins                           19.8%          19.6%         19.9%         19.6%         24.9%         25.0%




                    Higher margins obtained with economies of scale

                                                  60
Financials – Operating Margins
Operating Cost (INR M)                Y1     Y2     Y3     Y4      Y5      Y6
Headcount                              5      6      7      8      8        9
Salary and Wages                     1.7     2.3    2.9    3.6    3.9     4.1
Office exp. Including rental(SGA)    1.2     1.2    1.8    1.8    2.2     2.2
Marketing(SGA)                       0.9     1.8    1.4    2.3    2.5     3.6
Promotion(SGA)                       0.9     1.8    1.4    2.3    2.5     3.6
Warehouse costs                      0.3     0.6    1.2    2.1    3.2     4.5
Transport Costs                      4.2     7.0   10.9   18.6    29.9    42.9
Training Camp costs(SGA)             0.9     1.8    1.4    1.6    2.5     3.6
Interest (10% rate)                  0.0     0.0    0.0    1.2    3.0     6.0
Total Operating Cost                 10.1   16.4   20.9   33.6    49.5    70.5
Operating Margin                    -4.3%   0.0%   7.7%   8.8%   15.3%   15.8%




                  Supply chain costs make up the majority of OPEX

                                              61
Financials – Returns to Investors
Investor Interests              Y1          Y2          Y3           Y4       Y5          Y6       Y7        Y8       Y9       Y10
Investor Shareholding (%)      90.0%       90.0%       90.0%       88.7%    85.5%       69.5%     35.0%    35.0%    35.0%    35.0%
Surplus to Investors (INR M)           -           -           -    6.3      11.6        32.0     38.0      21.1     23.2     25.5
Investor IRR (%)                       -           -           -   -86.3%   -48.8%      -15.6%    -0.6%    4.3%      8.1%    11.0%


                                                                                    Participative capital investing is a fairly new
                                                                                    investment concept

                                                                                    The expected return is relatively lower in
                                                                                    comparison with conventional investments

                                                                                    This model offers an investor the
                                                                                    opportunity to enhance the community’s
                                                                                    well being in India

                                                                                    Investors can fulfill an engaging relationship
                                                                                    with a community for better living.


         The investment gives the community a sense of purpose

                                                                     62
Sensitivity Analysis
Net Profit (INR M)                  Y1           Y2           Y3             Y4            Y5             Y6
Best Case (+20% Production)         5.0         11.4         34.1         60.1            118.2          171.2
Base Case                           -1.4        -0.5         9.3          17.5            49.8           72.9
Worst Case (-20% Production)        -7.8        -12.5        -15.5        -25.1           -18.6          -25.4

Investor IRR                   Y4          Y5           Y6           Y7           Y8         Y9           Y10
Best Case                      -79.5%      -39.0%        -7.8%        3.8%         9.2%         13.1%      16.1%
Base Case                      -86.3%      -48.8%       -15.6%       -0.6%         4.3%           8.1%     11.0%
Worst Case                     -93.5%      -59.0%       -26.4%       -9.1%        -1.6%           1.8%      4.7%



    Because weather conditions will change year to year, the
    worst case scenario where production is consistently
    below estimates is highly unlikely




    Water and weather conditions have a strong impact on crop
              production and financial performance


                                                                                            63
Future Financial Growth Driver




 Scale up requires additional margins to be obtained through
             the optimisation of the supply chain


                             64
Recommendations & Conclusion
      I.     Implementation Milestones
      II.    Risk Assessment Matrix
      III.   Recommendations & Conclusion
Implementation Milestones
                                  5 year implementation plan

         Year 1                                  Year 2        Year 3       Year 4     Year 5



    Secure
    Capital                         Source &                   Create                  Community
                Create
                                   Implement                   brand      Investor     Investments
               Operating
                                  Supply Chain                             Surplus
               Company
                                                                        Distribution



                      Sign up
               Attract and enlist
                 producer, consum                Producer and Consumer Groups
                     er groups
                                                                Community       Community
                                                                 benefits        benefits
*Additional details on Implementation Plan in Appendix            defined         defined
                                                          66
Risk Assessment Matrix
                                                              1    Lack of alignment of goals of members of Operating
                  11                                               Company and Board of Directors
                       9          7       8
         High




                       5                                      2    Lack of transparency in the administration of the
                  1
                                                                   Operating Company and Board of Directors

                                                              3    Thin spread of surplus due to overwhelming
                                                                   community requests
Impact




                  10                                          4    Ineffectiveness of and lack of outreach of community
                             3        4       6                    programmes
         Medium




                  2
                             12                                    Limited market penetration
                                                              5

                                                                   Lack of confidence of investors in profitability of
                                                                   business venture
                                                              7    Commodity price volatility
         Low




                                                              8    Inability to secure funding to commence
                                                                   implementation of business model
                                                              9    Production downtime due to poor
                                                                   maintenance and power outages

                       Low                                    10   Poor quality commodity
                                  Medium          High
                                                              11   Supply chain failure impacting commodity distribution
                                 Likelihood
                                                              12   Commodity supply outweighs demand




                                                         67
Recommendations & Conclusion
• In keeping with the vision of Just Change, a methodology in
  ‘operationalising ‘ a Participative Capital business model has been
  created
• Recommendations include the establishment of a new ‘Operational
  Company’ that not only links the producers and consumers but also
  investors
• The recommendation outlines a pilot project with Tea and Paddy in
  Tamil Nadu and Kerala regions respectively, with the intention for
  progressive expansion
• With a capital investment of INR 100M, estimated initial
  investments will enable scaling resulting in operating profits from
  year 3 onwards
• The venture is expected to improve the livelihoods of rural
  communities, producers and consumers alike, whilst providing a
  sustainable business model for the success of stakeholders

                                       68
Just Change




        Appendix
I.     Assumptions
II.    Financial Details
III.   Governance
IV.    Community Opportunities
V.     Detailed Implementation Plan
VI.    Risks and Mitigation
Assumptions
• Governance and structure created with a focus on the tea and
  rice business
• Marketplace system can be set up to be used via mobile phone
  network and online – platform software to be developed
• All producer and consumer groups have access to mobile
  phones (SMS)
• Logistics infrastructure exists for the delivery of goods
• Surplus distribution and implement plan assumes profit




                              70
Income Statement
Brokerage                          Y1         Y2          Y3          Y4          Y5         Y6
Volumes handled (MT)*            3660       7283       14331       24806       37359      53518
Brokerage & Vendor Fees**        0.05       0.29        0.65           1         1.7        2.8

Warehousing                        Y1         Y2           Y3          Y4         Y5         Y6
Total Tea (MT)                    250        313          391         586        879       1318

COGS (INR M)                     18.8       23.4         29.3        43.9       65.9       98.9
Sales (INR M)                    31.3       39.1         48.8        73.2      109.9      164.8

Gross Margin                     12.5       15.6         19.5        29.3        43.9          65.9
 *Volume reflects the total volumes handled for brokerage as well as warehousing for tea and
 paddy
 ** Brokerage & Vendor Fees are one of the income streams along with Warehousing, income
 from brokerage reflects only the brokerage volumes

     With economies of scale, better margins can be generated

                                                71
Financial Overview

(INR M)             Y1         Y2         Y3          Y4          Y5                 Y6
lNCOME                    67        110         192        323         485                 701
COGS                      60        101         177        299         445                 639
PBIT                     2.2        1.1         1.5        3.7         7.4                13.6


    800
     700
     600
     500
     400
     300
      200
      100
                                                                                 PAT
           0
                                                                               COGS
               Y1
                          Y2
                                    Y3                                       Sales
                                           Y4
                                                      Y5
                                                                 Y6


                                                72
Operating Costs
              (INR M)     Y1          Y2           Y3          Y4          Y5          Y6

    Salary and Wages           1.16        1.36         1.51        1.61        1.61        1.71

Offic exp. Inclu rental         1.2         1.2          1.8         1.8        2.16        2.16
           Marketing           0.06        0.08         0.10        0.15        0.22        0.33
           Promotion           0.06        0.08         0.10        0.15        0.22        0.33
    Warehouse costs              1           1           0.8         0.8          1           1

     Transport Costs            3.8         4.7          5.9         8.8        13.2        19.8

 Training Camp costs           0.25        0.31         0.39        0.59        0.88        1.32

Total Operating Costs          7.49        8.72     10.51       13.83       19.27       26.62



  Transport costs is the majority of operating costs – accounts
                        for more than 50%


                                              73
Capital Required
                          10%
                                                                      20%



                                                                      10%
                                                                                                 Total required
                                            Business Capital          20%
                                                                                                 participative
Investment :                                1.8M USD
                                            90M INR
                                                                                                 capital investment
2M USD
100 M INR                 90%                                                                    • 2M USD (100M
                                                                                                   INR, 10 crores)
                                                                      50%




               Investor Capital Breakdown                 Business Capital Breakdown
                                                          Warehousing          Working Capital
                Business Capital
                                                          Marketing           Stability Fund
                Commitment to Community



                                                                       74
Detail of JCIPC General Mgmt Group
Member                    Role                                       Hiring profile
General Manager [1]       -Decision maker in General                 -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agriculture
                          Management Group (GMG)                     business (Min. 5 years experience)

Finance Manager[1]        -Manage daily operation related to         -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures
                          finance such as surplus management or      business as well as with the financial industry (Min. 3 years
                          capital management                         experience)
Supply Chain Manager      -Manage daily operation related to         -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures
[1]                       supply chain                               business as well as with Supply Chain management and
                                                                     inventory control (Min. 3 years experience)
Purchasing Manager [1 ]   -Manage daily operation related to         -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures
                          procurement                                business as well as with previous procurement experience
                                                                      (Min. 3 years experience)
Marketing & Bus Dev       -Manage daily operation related to         -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures
Manager [1+1member]       marketing & Business Development           business as well as experienced with marketing and
                                                                     business development in the rural sector (Min. 3 years
                                                                     experience)
IT Manager [1]            - Manage daily operation related to        -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures
                          Business Development such as               business as well as IT experience in the rural sector (Min. 3
                          distribution strategy                      years experience)


Community Relation        -Manage daily operation related to         -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures
Manager [1+1member]       community relations                        business (Min. 3 years experience)


                                                                77
Community Opportunities: Education
Current State                          New Initiatives
• High rate for school dropouts        • Increased access to education
• Dominant child labor                   facilities by actively engaging
                                         government in partnership with
                                         NGOs
                                       • Extend financial assistance to
                                         impoverished households
                                       • Obtain computers for schools
                                         through donations from
                                         corporations

   Education for the Future



                                  79
Community Opportunities: Skills Training
Current State                         New Initiatives
• Rural farming communities have     • Impart training to generate
  limited skill sets that prevent      secondary source of income
  them to pursue secondary           • Partner with agricultural
  sources of income                    agencies to provide trainings
• Growers among the                    on latest
  communities are not exposed to       cultivation/production
  effective crop                       methods
  cultivation/production methods     • Extend training in basic
  and have less than optimal           business for enterprising
  output                               members so that they can
                                       successfully start and run
                                       small businesses



                     Training for Alternate Livelihoods

                                80
Community Opportunities: Healthcare Services
 Current State                           New Initiatives
• Rural communities often under        • Increase awareness on the
  utilise the public health services      need for healthcare with the
  mainly due to lack of awareness         help of local community
                                          organisations and public
• Insufficient specialists available:     health officials
  Critical cases referred to places of
  distances of 100KM or more           • Encourage expectant mothers
                                          to go for continued follow up
                                          checks
                                       • Bring public health officials to
                                          villages for basic medical
                                          checks ups and immunisation
                                          for children and women


               Healthcare is key for good well being

                                   81
Community Opportunity: Access to Information
 Current State                    New Initiatives
• Lack of awareness of            • Build community groups to
   government schemes               influence government
• Very limited interaction          policies/decisions to protect
   between producers and            community interests.
   consumers resulting in lost    • Increase awareness on government
   opportunities                    schemes and programs related to
                                    development of rural communities
                                  • Build communication channels
                                    (phone & internet access) to
                                    facilitate interaction & information
                                    sharing between producers,
                                    consumers, investors, government
                                    etc.

       Keeping Communities and Stakeholders Connected

                                 82
Community Opportunities: Additional Initiatives
                                    • Take initiatives that will
                                      empower the community
                                      through creation of Stree-
                                      shakti groups




• Develop a community loan fund
  to address emergency financial
  needs by extending a low
  interest loan


         Improving Standards for Community Stability

                              83
Implementation Plan – Year 1
Identify Project Manager/Lead for Participative Capital Initiative   JCT
Attract investors                                                    JCT
Secure 1M Capital                                                    JCT
Hire Operating Company resources (Finance, Operations, Business      JCT
Development)
Establish fund to manage 1M capital                                  Finance
Define and implement producer group membership requirements,         Bus Dev
needs & structures (i.e., tracking)
Define and implement consumer group membership requirements,         Bus Dev
needs & structures
Create outreach materials to attract producer/consumer groups        Bus Dev
Identify and attract producer and consumer groups (i.e., Tea/Rice    Bus Dev
tasting road shows, community visits)


                                          84
Implementation Plan – Year 1
Hire additional Operating Company resources (Community           JCT
relations, additional Operations)
Sign up producer and consumer groups                             Bus Dev
Source supply chain resources (warehouse, logistics, Market Place Operations
software)
Secure financing for supply chain resources                      Finance
Implement supply chain solutions                                 Operations
Create Board of Directors & elect Chairperson                    JCT
Define methods to communicate with producers/consumers           Bus Dev




                                        85
Implementation Plan – Years 2-5
Year 3
Research Community Service needs of producer communities
Design Community benefit indicators
Define and create branding and packaging
Year 4
Prioritise community services based on needs
Design operation plan and budget for community services
Distribute surplus to investors
Year 5
Launch community services to producer communities




                                       86
Risk Assessment & Mitigation
No.               Risk                Functional   Likelihood   Impact            Risk Mitigation
                                        Area
1.    Lack of Alignment of Goals of   Governance         LOW     HIGH    1. Define clear roles and
      members of the Operating                                              responsibilities of each role in
      Company and Board of                                                  the Governance Structure
      Directors                                                          2. Rotation through election of key
                                                                            roles in Operating Company and
                                                                            Board of Directors
                                                                         3. Just Change to play an
                                                                            intermediary role in any disputes
                                                                            or alignment issues
2.    Lack of transparency of the     Governance         LOW    MEDIUM   1. Establishment of a strong
      administration of the                                                 corporate governance model,
      Operating Company and                                                 transparency in systems,
      Board of Directors                                                    processes, decision making with
                                                                            clear roles and responsibilities
                                                                            and segregation of duties
                                                                            embedded in the organisation
3.    Overwhelming requests for       Community     MEDIUM      MEDIUM   1. Community and social benefit
      community and social benefit                                          programmes to be agreed upon
      programmes resulting in thin                                          and prioritised (eg. top 5) by the
      spread of surplus and                                                 established Governance
      minimising social impact of                                           structures
      initiatives



                                                    87
Risk Assessment & Mitigation
No.                Risk                 Functional    Likelihood   Impact        Potential Risk Mitigation
                                          Area
4.    Community programmes are          Community      MEDIUM      MEDIUM   1.     Establishment of Key
      not effective and reach only a                                               Performance Indicators
      certain portion of the                                                       (KPIs) for measuring benefits
      community resulting in                                                       of community programmes
      minimal social impact,                                                2.     Implementation of robust
      potential escalation of social                                               communication channels to
      issues, disparity, jealousy and                                              the various stakeholders of
      conflict                                                                     the business model


5.    Limited market penetration         Business           LOW     HIGH    1. Implementation of effective
      resulting in low revenue          Development                            marketing strategy striking a
      growth                                                                   balance of economic and social
                                                                               benefits


6.    Lack of confidence of               Finance      MEDIUM      MEDIUM   1. Establishment of a strong
      investors in profitability of                                            financial and risk management
      venture and supporting risk                                              policies and procedures with
      management and control                                                   clear segregation of duties and
      processes                                                                delegation of authorities
                                                                               framework embedded in the
                                                                               Finance Function of the
                                                                               Operating Company
                                                                            2. Provision of a robust financial
                                                                               model outlining profitability and
                                                                               cash flow projections
                                                       88
Risk Assessment & Mitigation
No.               Risk                 Functional     Likelihood   Impact        Potential Risk Mitigation
                                         Area
7.    Commodity Price volatility         Finance       MEDIUM       HIGH    1.     Monitoring undertaken by
      resulting in uncertainty in                                                  Operating Company on
      revenue streams                                                              commodity markets and
                                                                                   pricing trends
                                                                            2.     Utilise Delayed Marketing
                                                                                   mechanism to manage price
                                                                                   volatility


8.    Inability to secure funding to     Finance       MEDIUM       HIGH    1. Secure strong investors with
      commence implementation of                                               like-mindedness on both the
      business model                                                           economic benefits and long term
                                                                               social view


9.    Production downtime due to       Supply Chain         LOW     HIGH    1. Implement robust preventive
      poor maintainence and power                                              maintenance plans
      outage resulting in supply not                                        2. Implement backup generators to
      being able to meet demand                                                supplement primary source of
      and a loss of revenue                                                    electricity




                                                       89
Risk Assessment & Mitigation
No.               Risk                Functional     Likelihood   Impact        Potential Risk Mitigation
                                        Area
10.   Poor Quality Commodity          Supply Chain         LOW    MEDIUM   1.     Stringent Quality Criteria
      impacting business venture                                                  established by Operating
      economic and social interests                                               Company
                                                                           2.     Quality Control checks
                                                                                  undertaken by Operating
                                                                                  Company
11.   Failure in supply chain to      Supply Chain         LOW     HIGH    1.     Establishment of Key
      distribute commodities to                                                   Performance Indicators
      consumer groups on a timely                                                 (KPIs) for measuring and
      basis                                                                       monitoring supplier
                                                                                  performance
                                                                           2.     Multi supplier strategy to
                                                                                  ensure contingency suppliers
                                                                                  in the event of supplier failure
                                                                           3.     Stringent Supplier
                                                                                  Assessment as part of
                                                                                  selection criteria
12.   Supply outweighs Demand         Supply Chain    MEDIUM       HIGH    1.     Channel excess supply to
      resulting in excess                                                         auction houses and other
      commodity and wastage                                                       trading houses
                                                                           2.     Stringent Demand and
                                                                                  Production Planning
                                                                                  undertaken by Operating
                                                                                  Company
                                                                           3.     Maintain contingency funds to
                                                      90                          sustain farmers livelihood
Thank you




If you are interested in more details about the business plan please contact the Global Institute For Tomorrow

Suite 1111, CityPlaza One, 1111 King’s Road, Taikoo Shing, Hong Kong
Tel: (852) 3571 8103     www.global-inst.com

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Changing the Role of Capital, India's Agricultural Supply Chains

  • 1. Just Change Business Plan To Operationalise Participative Capital Changing The Role Of Capital For Sustained Growth In Rural India Produced by the participants of the Global Young Leaders Programme, November 2011
  • 2. Table Of Contents Executive Summary 3 Introduction 5 Background 6 Business Model 14 Business Development 27 Supply Chain Management 37 Community Benefits 44 Financial Analysis 50 Recommendations & Conclusion 65 Appendix 69
  • 3. Executive Summary 1 of 2 • Just Change is a community led initiative that grew out of the struggle of the Adivasis of Gudalur, Tamil Nadu to improve and sustain their livelihoods in the face of adverse market forces • An examination was conducted in the way the currently economy is structured • Just Change India has developed a concept to address this issue – an international cooperative of producers, consumers and investors, enabled through a Participative Capital business model • The business model outlines the establishment of a new “Operational Company”, that links producers, consumers and investors to provide mutual economic and social benefits 3
  • 4. Executive Summary 2 of 2 • To operationalise Participative Capital an estimated capital investment of INR 100 million (10 crore) is required in which a return will be expected by the fourth year • By sharing returns between investors and community groups, rural community livelihoods will be improved – returns are to be managed through a robust governance structure within a sustainable business model • Community groups will re-invest the returns into community programs such as education, skills training and healthcare services as well as channel a portion into stability funds • The recommendation outlines a pilot project with Tea and Paddy in Tamil Nadu , with the intention for expansion into neighbouring states and other commodity products 4
  • 5. Just Change Background and Objectives I. Just Change India II. Adivasis Journey III. Global Tea Market IV. Global Paddy Market V. The Challenge VI. Investment Plan Objectives
  • 6. Just Change India “a grassroots response to the global economy that has left the vast majority of people powerless with little or no control over factors that influence their lives...” - Stan Thekaekara, Founder of Just Change • Just Change is a concept that grew out of the struggle of the Adivasi farmers of Gudalur, Tamil Nadu to secure their livelihoods and live in dignity • Around 2003, “Market forces” saw prices of tea leaves plummet to a level that is threatening the farmers’ livelihoods, yet consumers worldwide continued to pay high prices • “Just Change” pioneered an alternative way of doing business which links poor producers, consumers and investors to work together for mutual benefit To foster a more just, equitable and sustainable economy for farmers 7 3
  • 7. Global Tea Market - Overview GLOBAL TEA PRODUCTION • Tea is the highest consumed drink in the world - production dominated by China, India, Kenya and Sri Lanka • Export Market is dominated by Sri Lanka, China and India with the major players in the Import Market being Pakistan, Japan and China • No global institution exists in the tea industry, only individual nations Source: Tea Board of India, www.teaboard.gov.in have national Tea Boards or Tea Associations • Tea production is labour intensive where the livelihoods of millions in the rural areas are largely dependent on tea picking and processing 9 3
  • 8. Tea Market – Sustainability Issues • Global prices have been declining since 2000 due to the price collusion by the oligopolistic tea manufacturing industry • A combination of price volatility and the domination of the tea supply chain by a few international companies is adversely affecting the sustainability of the tea sector • Working conditions and livelihoods of plantation workers and small scale farmers in tea producing countries are under growing pressure - most earn less than Rs.100 a day. 10 3
  • 9. Global Paddy Market – Overview • Rice cultivation is the principal activity and source of income for millions of households around the world • At the beginning of the 1990s, annual production of rice was around 350 million tons and by the end of the century it had reached 410 million tons • Globally, India has the largest rice area and is second in rice production, after China • Among the exporting countries, Thailand, Vietnam, India and Pakistan are the major countries exporting rice in sizeable quantity 11 3
  • 10. The Challenge Two thirds of India’s population are rural farming communities with 30% living below the poverty line. POVERTY While the economy has been growing at 8% , agricultural output has risen at only 3.3% per year* Commodity retail prices largely benefit the intermediary branding and MARKET packaging companies, wholesalers and retailers INEQUITY COMMODITY Access to basic commodities like tea, rice and spices have become ACCESS disproportionately expensive for consumers and less profitable for RESTRICTIONS producers “The YLP participants work closely with Just Change to address the challenge of operationalising, on a larger scale, the concept of Participative Capital which is envisioned to generate a more equitable economic and social benefit for the network of producers and consumers as well as provide a return of investment to the investors.” *Sources: International Fund for Agricultural Development www.ruralpoverty.org & China vs. India: A Tale of Two Plans, The Economist Network 12
  • 11. Investment Plan Objectives • To create an investment framework for the operationalising of Participative Capital • To allow investors with aligned interests to become active participants of social change while realising a financial return • To ensure fair prices for producers so they have more control • To deliver good quality products at fair prices to consumers • To enhance and improve the overall societal development • To create an investor framework that can be applied across different commodity products and states in India Creating a more just, equitable and sustainable economy 13
  • 12. Just Change Business Model i. Purpose ii. Participative Capital iii. Benefits of Co-Destiny iv. The Key Players v. Business Model vi. Organisational Structure vii. Governance Overview viii. Governance Approach
  • 13. Purpose • To outline the enterprise operating on the principles of sustainability to also be run as a profitable business • The bases of the enterprise is on the principle of Participative Capital, to include the participation of producers, consumers and investors • The governance structure of the enterprise is to ensure equitable returns are delivered to all stakeholders 15
  • 14. Participative Capital Participative Capital is a concept that generates a more equitable economic and social benefit for the network of producers and consumers as well as provide a return of investment to the investors. • Relationship reinforced among participants via co-existence and co-operation Co-destiny towards a common destination and mutual economic and social benefits • The transactional value derived from the commodity, consumption and capital Value and from the network of producer groups, consumer groups and investors results in Surplus surplus which in turn is redistributed equitably into the business or contributes to improving the standard of living of the people in rural India Central • A structured Operating company linking consumer groups and producer groups, Governance focusing on supply chain efficiency and surplus distribution Sustainable business Equitable distribution Extend social benefits to income and growth of economic benefits the greater community 16
  • 15. Participative Capital - Visual Model 17
  • 16. Benefits Co-Destiny • Financial return on • Fair price for their investment products • Contribute to • More consistent betterment of society demand via a more e.g. minimise poverty structured supply chain and improve standard of and loyalty incentives living, healthcare and • Enjoy economic and education social benefits from • Small investment – Big Capital Producer surplus impact Investors Groups Co-destiny • Receive goods at a fair • Improve standard of price living in rural India • Improved quality of Consumer Community Groups & India • Strenghting community products via improved relationships supply chain model and governed process and federation aggregator • Better price stability via Federation’s risk fund • Enjoy economic & social benefits from surplus 18
  • 17. The Key Players Producer Groups Consumer Groups Farmers represented through • Cooperatives Local Societies at Village/Taluka • Mid-size wholesalers levels • Local consumers in villages Operating Company (JCI Producer Company) • Deploy ‘Capital’ provided by investors • Process commodities provided by the Producing Groups • Distribute commodities to Consumer Groups • Distribute financial returns to all stakeholders Investors Provide capital with the intent to generate financial return 19
  • 18. Organisation Structure Just Change Trust (JCT) Advisory/Think tank Board of Directors Auditors External Executive Director Oversight / Approval JCT PG Shareholders GM Investor General Manager (GM) Finance & Admin Operations Community Relations Marketing & Bus Dev Operation Supply Chain Purchases IT JCIPC ( Just Change India Producer Company ) 21
  • 19. Just Change India Producer Company JCIPC - an Independent Operating Company • JCIPC is to facilitate return on investment and build capacity to expand product(s) and services • JCT will continue to operate as a think tank, independent of JCIPC but will also take an advisory role on Board of Directors • Board of Directors consists of representatives from all the major stakeholders to oversee and approve the major decisions made within JCIPC, ensuring the direction and purpose of the entity remains community driven • The day to day operation of the entity is split into several business units including: Finance & Administration, Operations and Community Relations 22
  • 20. Business Units 1 of 2 Role of Finance & Administration • Investment management • Governance of capital and surplus • Provide funding management to Operations • Distribute funding to producer members • Identify and manage financial privileges for members (i.e., rebates) • Human resource administration and management • Internal audit 23 23
  • 21. Business Units 2 of 2 Role of Operations Role of Community Relations • Business Development & Marketing • Communication with • Marketing & communications community • Promotional materials • Community development • Public relations initiative • Brand awareness • Community fund • Pricing Management • Supply Chain • Manage the market place • Manage logistics • Manage warehouse • Purchasing • Inventory management • Supplier management • IT • Manage technology vendor • Provide day to day technology support 24
  • 22. Key Aspects of Governance Business model and organisation structure will ensure: • Compliance with all applicable laws and regulations • Transparency and segregation of duties in the overall administration of the Operating company (see business model) • Accountability of key stakeholders • Effective management of the capital and financial surplus distribution amongst investors, consumers and producers • Profitable management of a multiple commodity products enterprise (Rice, tea) • Execution of strategy Governance and management organisation structure is scalable for multiple product(s). 25
  • 23. Governance Approach Sustainable business income Equitable distribution of and growth economic benefits • Exclusive participation via shareholding in • Central governance on surplus management Operating company, assurance of fair via Board of Directors of Operating company price and quality goods and incentives to benefitting consumer groups, producer promote continuous supply and demand groups and investors of commodity • Operating company to focus on business • Selection criteria of participants in supply development; match demand and supply as chain for worthiness well as ensure fair price, price stability and quality goods Extend social benefits to the Improved and efficient greater community marketing and supply chain • Central governance on surplus • A structured Operating company linking management via Board of Directors of consumer groups and producer groups, Operating company focusing on marketing and supply chain • Dedicated community relations personnel efficiency to focus on community development • Selection criteria of vendors/suppliers for initiatives worthiness 26
  • 24. Just Change Business Development i. Purpose ii. Market Strategy Overview iii. Marketing Plan iv. Branding Strategy
  • 25. Purpose • Participative capital is a new concept being introduced amongst producers, consumers and investors and therefore a strong marketing plan is required for successful business development • As a ‘start-up’ the main goal is to increase awareness and gain the confidence of producer and consumer groups • A secondary goal is to develop a strong brand which will build trust and loyalty to JCPC 28
  • 26. Marketing Strategy Overview Marketing Strategy STEP 1 STEP 2 Attracting Consumer & Producer Branding Groups Top priority is “Attracting Consumers & Producer Groups” 29
  • 27. Marketing Plan – Year 1 and 2 Main focus: To attract Consumer and Producer Groups Method • Year 1 and 2 – focus on maintaining and extending consumer demands and ensure production levels increase accordingly as well • JCIPC will be using their in-house resources to achieve their first two years’ marketing goals • The approach in the first two years do not require substantial investment • After the first 2 years, once the base of producer/consumer have been founded with investment flowing in, more substantial marketing activities are planned in accordance with an increased budget for marketing expense • Plans to attract producer and new consumer groups are outlined in the next two slides No substantial marketing expenses expected in years 1 and 2 30
  • 28. Attracting Producer Groups For existing producer groups/circle: For new producer groups/circle: Suggested methods: Suggested methods: • Supply contract: premium at • Multi level marketing: signing of contract: e.g: INR20/kg producers earn eventual share green leaves of surplus increases • Guaranteed fixed buying price: • At signing supply contract: e.g: INR45/kg green leaves entitled to the benefit package • Share of surplus/volume unit offered to existing members • First right to invest • Group representative have aggregated vote in decision making process • Access to education and health care as members • All groups benefiting from participative capital 31
  • 29. Attracting New Consumer Groups Suggested methods • Initially use word of mouth, going through trusted organisations and then using the success stories to attract others, highlighting all the benefits of participating • Benchmarking against market price and offering discounts • Partnership with cooperatives in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and other states: % per total volume to the cooperatives ; mutual technical support; • Referral scheme • Membership discount for loyal consumers 32
  • 30. Marketing Plan – Years 3-5 Starting in year 4 the budgeted marketing expenses will increase allowing for additional efforts in scaling up JCIPC’s operations. Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Producers Educate and visit new villages Media campaign Trade show on concept to get buy in and develop relationships Policy advocacy Best producer of the year award Roll out rewards scheme for new producers (commission) Tea Newspaper ads TV ad Trade show Consumers Flyers Tea tasting Study tour Website Product Promotion Paddy Newspaper ads TV ads Trade show Consumers Flyers Website Study tour Rice tasting Roadshow Roadshow *Eakgon Cellphone is a cellphone service for illiterate farmers to provide them with information on cultivation 33
  • 31. Market Expansion Plan Tea to be No. of Rice to be No. of Period Households Period Households sold [MT] Society sold [MT] Society Year 1 100 5 20,000 Year 1 2000 8 20,000 Year 2 125 6 25,000 Year 2 4000 12 40,000 Year 3 188 8 47,000 Year 3 8000 18 160,000 Year 4 281 10 132,070 Year 4 14000 25 1,120,000 Year 5 422 15 557,335 Year 5 21000 35 11,760,000 Year 6 633 25 3,527,933 Year 6 30000 40 176,400,000 In order to achieve the above mentioned figures, we will do the following steps: Step 1: Promote brand and bring societies on board Step 2: Branding *Projections are conservative and expected to be exceeded based on selling goods in open market 34
  • 32. Branding Strategy – Just Change Tea & Rice • The brand will be • Leverage on existing associated with retail chain outlets in certain YR1 to mid YR2 communities i.e. • Set up new exclusive Raitasanga retail outlets • Create sense of • Location based ownership / brand will serve as relationship with Product Place potential tourist the brand destination site • Offer free samples to potential consumers Promotion Price • Price penetration • Multilevel marketing • Use referrals and Promotion within the different groups of society word of mouth to • Premium pricing for increase awareness different quality of • Business tie-up with tea / rice entrepreneur groups in the society 35
  • 33. Branding “Just Change your rice” “Supporting the Just communiTEA” Change Enabling a sense of ownership within the community 36
  • 34. Just Change Supply Chain Management I. Traditional Supply Chain Model & Issues II. Solution to the Traditional Model III. Benefits of 3 Tier Supply Chain IV. Why a Marketplace is Needed V. Marketplace Framework VI. Warehousing
  • 35. Traditional Supply Chain Model & Issues Farmers Issues • Exploitation by dealers and Mandis Registered aggregators (Market) Dealer • No common marketplace to: Aggregator • Buy and sell product • Identify producers and Processing State Packaging Procurement consumers beyond local System boundaries Intermediary • Share information Distribution Hubs • No warehouse for temporary storage Consumer • Lack of logistics network Lack of marketplace between Producers and Consumers limits fair trade and equitable growth 38
  • 36. Solution to the Traditional Model Village 3 Tiers Supply Chain Model Farmers Tier 1 : Producer Group Producer • Process goods, packaging Group • Sell goods to Operating Company Operating Tier 2 : Operating Company Warehouse • Marketplace to link up producers and Company consumers • Warehousing/stock management Consumer Open Groups Market Consumer Tier 3 : Consumer Groups • Sales & distribution to end consumer 3 Tier model links up producers and consumers directly 39
  • 37. Benefits of 3 Tier Supply Chain Model Producers enjoy: • Increased margins due to direct sale to consumer groups • Easy access to information • Ability to retain personal relationships Consumers enjoy: • Ability to search and price compare • Lower prices due to direct purchase • Decreased costs through the use of online auction • Easy access to information to facilitate daily operations These benefits are obtained by using the marketplace platform within the Operating Company. Marketplace is the essence of 3 Tier Supply Chain Model 40
  • 38. Why a Marketplace is Needed A marketplace enables Producers and Consumers to: • Communicate effectively – Linking rural communities to consumer groups – Visibility of supply and demand beyond local networks • Trade, Buy and Sell – Price creation and determination – Match up willing buyer and seller Marketplace brings producer and consumer groups together 41
  • 39. Marketplace Framework • Concept • Create a marketplace platform online and through a mobile phone network for Sellers and Buyers to go beyond the current limits of a traditional market • Role • Enable Producers and Consumers to buy and sell products beyond current boundaries, by leveraging on the information and logistics network provided and recommended by the Operating Company • Establish the connection between Producers and Consumers, allowing them to interact and communicate Successful marketplace implementation needs warehousing 42
  • 40. Warehousing • Concept • Serves as storage of products when there is no immediate match in the Marketplace between producers and consumers • Operating company manages logistics to Consumer for warehouse products • Role • Provides Producers with stable income with stable sales of products • Provides Consumers with reliable supply of products • Operating company’s purchase of product during oversupply eliminates price volatility for Producers Warehousing enables sales at the right time and price 43
  • 41. Just Change Community Benefits I. Community Services Overview II. Impact Opportunities III. Financial Benefits IV. Women Empowerment V. Community Benefit Indicators
  • 42. Community Services Overview Primary issues faced by the community: • Availability and usage of public health services and facilities is still minimal at best - critical care services are often 100KM or more away. • Significant school dropout rates among children • Market fluctuations often lead to significant income loss for rural farmers who lack access to emergency funds, which results in the loss of land – this has also led to a disturbing increasing trend of alcoholism and suicide rates 45
  • 43. Impact Opportunities A Board of Directors of the Operating Company is to allocate certain funds to address the community needs. This pilot program is to focus on: • Education and Skills Training • Healthcare services • Improved communication • As returns increase as the operations scales up, additional services may be introduced to address needs of other target communities, including: • Women’s empowerment • Financial assistance through community funds for contingencies • Community services will roll out all activities & services via existing community structures 46
  • 44. Financial Benefits Current scenario, as is: New initiatives: • Currently the producers are Community loan fund organised only to a limited extent • To address financial constraints caused by while the power of collective unforeseen events financial capability is not realised • It is paid out as a low interest loan i.e. so far interest sufficient to cover administration, • The community borrow money supervision & loan loss cost with no element of profit taking from local money lenders at a very high interest rate when in need - • Initial funding from Investors portion interest rates are often 3% /month • Kept sustainable by a) repayment by borrowers b) surpluses generated by business Implementation Needs: • Group lending by way of cross guarantee • Cap on borrowing size per borrower, loans are short term in nature 1-2 years • Cap of number of loans to be lent in each financial year. • Governance at project level to ensure compliance of operational/administrative procedures & policies. • Set up a team to operate the fund 47
  • 45. Women Empowerment Current scenario, as is: New initiatives: • Women’s power is not fully • Build a stronger, happier and value utilised for the community’s driven community through the groups, benefit focusing on: • Each woman is an individual – Managing household financials and worker, therefore no leveraging savings on the power of women as a – Collective bargaining of goods for group the community Implementation Needs: • Visit other communities and villages to • X* salaried women to visit learn and share best practices communities • Reskill in areas to support execution of • Driver(s) the model (i.e., SNEHA group) • Car(s) • Increase awareness of government • Administrative support schemes and ways to take better *Number is scalable, depending on advantage of them membership 48
  • 46. Community Benefit Indicators Community Intangible benefits Tangible indicators Producers Steady income Net increase in average income Primary Education Number of children enrolled in primary school Literacy rate: percentage of people Healthcare Number of injury deaths Number of deaths in children age 1-59 months Skills training Percentage of revenue growth in community Communications Number of people who has access to the broadband internet including common facilities Consumers Lower retail price Discount rate: the percentage of deduction of price compared to the market price *Additional details on community opportunities in appendix 49
  • 47. Just Change Financial Analysis I. Key Targets II. Shareholding Principles III. Capital Raising IV. Surplus Distribution V. Key Assumptions VI. Financial Overview VII. Sensitivity Analysis VIII. Future Growth Driver
  • 48. Key Targets • Sustainable • Multiple revenue streams creates surplus stability • There will be two rounds of capital raising to maintain stable cashflow for working capital and business expansion • Scalable • Profitability of business is highly dependent on scale and volume • Model is dependent on Just Change’s ability to attract producers and consumers • Lowering marginal costs and capital expenditures create attractive margins for business expansion • Large potential for growth • Flexibility of business model promotes expansion into more commodities (such as spices, vegetable oil, cotton, cocoa etc.) • Case study of tea and paddy is highly promising The economics of participative capital delivers financial gains 51
  • 49. Shareholding Principles The Shareholding structure is not only determined by capital contribution but also by participative contribution to the business Investors will provide the capital for the business, and producers will be providing their labour and sweat capital Example of Participative Shareholding Participative Shareholding 90 (Capital to be repaid) 10 Model Surplus 20 90% 18 2 10% 90-18 = 72 28 Surplus 20 72% 14 6 28% 72-14 = 58 42 The shareholding of producers increases as the initial capital investment is repaid 52
  • 50. Capital Raising - Shareholding Shareholding The operating company will Interest on day 1 make an upfront commitment PRODUCER INVESTOR of 10% of capital raised to 10% 90% invest in a community fund on day 1 Sweat Capital Capital 100% SHAREHOLDING The shareholding structure is COMPANY linked directly to the amount of invested capital left to be repaid Capital Capital 10% 90% The long term stable COMMUNITY FUND TO shareholding relationship will FUND BUSINESS primarily benefit the producers Producers become shareholders by investing labour capital 53
  • 51. Capital Raising - Overview • Capital raising will occur in two rounds, both raising INR 50M • Second round will take place in year three of 10% operations • Producer communities will have an 30% opportunity to invest in the second round of capital raising 20% 90% Bridging the gap 50% Total Participative Capital Business Capital Breakdown Investor Capital Breakdown Investment Business Capital INR 100M Working Capital Marketing Commitment to Community Stability Fund Upfront commitment to communities 54
  • 52. Capital Requirements - Overview To mitigate financial risks arising from INR 90M supply and demand mismatches and production shortfalls due to natural forces, a stability fund will be established 30% Marketing and brand building will be 50% essential in establishing our business operations and is a key consideration during the capital raising process 20% The business will require a large provision of capital for working capital needs especially in the beginning stages Working Capital Marketing Stability Fund of operations The capital raised will be primarily used for working capital 55
  • 53. Overview – Surplus Distribution First 3 Stable Beginning Stable Years Distribution Distribution Distribution Multi-level surplus distribution structure The distribution of surplus will filter through 3 levels 56
  • 54. Overview – Surplus Distribution • The operating company will retain 100% of the surplus in the first three years to build the business • Thereafter, the operating company will retain a constant 25% of surplus to maintain operations • Of the remaining 75%, surplus will be distributed to both the producers and investors with the division skewed towards the investors until the original capital invested has been repaid • The producers’ share of the surplus will be returned in the form of cash and community investments via the community fund Investors benefit more at the start of the venture. Upon capital repayment, majority of surplus goes to producer 57
  • 55. Key Assumptions Rice Tea Y1 Y3 Y5 Paddy Cost Y1 Y2 Y3 Y1 Y2 Y3 Commodity Sell INR/kg Composition INR/kg Commodity Cost INR/kg Sell INR/kg Unbroken Rice 68% 18.5 22 24 26.25 Tea (Mass) 70 75 80 100 112 125 Broken Rice 7% 9 11 Husk 20% 4 5 Rice Bran 3% 27 37 Y1 Y3 Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Commodity Annual Growth Rate Commodity Annual Growth Rate Tea 25% 50% All Rice Products 100% 100% 75% 50% 43% • Rice production anticipated for high growth in the first three years that will then taper off • Conversely, tea’s growth rate is expected to accelerate after the second year of production • No expected growth in broken rice, husk and rice bran in 5 years as their contribution in terms of value is small Assumptions provided from sources within the producer communities 58
  • 56. Financials – Income Statement Financial Overview (INR M) Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Total Sales 45.7 85.4 177.2 304.3 488.6 702.0 Total Cost of Goods Sold 43.6 79.6 157.9 269.9 404.6 578.8 Net Profit -1.4 -0.5 9.3 17.5 49.8 72.9 Gross Margins 19.9% 20.4% 20.1% 19.8% 25.1% 25.1% Net Profit Margin (%) -3.1% -0.6% 5.2% 5.8% 10.2% 10.4% Margins increase with scaling efficiency 59
  • 57. Financials – Gross Income Participation Fee (INR M) Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Paddy Volumes handled (MT) 1360 2720 5440 9520 14280 20400 Paddy Value 29.92 59.84 119.68 209.44 314.16 448.8 Tea Volumes handled (MT) 50 250 500 700 1200 1800 Tea Value 5 25 50 70 120 180 Participation Fees 0.35 0.85 1.70 2.79 4.34 6.29 Participation & Vendor Fees 0.35 0.89 1.85 3.09 4.84 7.29 Warehousing (INR M) Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Total Paddy (MT) 2000 4000 8000 14000 21000 30000 COGS 29.6 59.3 126.7 221.8 332.6 475.2 Sales 35.7 71.4 153.6 268.8 435.3 621.9 Total Tea (MT) 100.0 125.0 187.5 281.3 421.9 632.8 COGS (INR M) 7.0 9.4 15.0 22.5 33.8 50.6 Sales (INR M) 10.0 14.0 23.4 35.2 52.7 79.1 Cash Surplus (INR M) 9.0 16.7 35.3 59.7 121.7 175.2 Gross Margins 19.8% 19.6% 19.9% 19.6% 24.9% 25.0% Higher margins obtained with economies of scale 60
  • 58. Financials – Operating Margins Operating Cost (INR M) Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Headcount 5 6 7 8 8 9 Salary and Wages 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.1 Office exp. Including rental(SGA) 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.2 Marketing(SGA) 0.9 1.8 1.4 2.3 2.5 3.6 Promotion(SGA) 0.9 1.8 1.4 2.3 2.5 3.6 Warehouse costs 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.2 4.5 Transport Costs 4.2 7.0 10.9 18.6 29.9 42.9 Training Camp costs(SGA) 0.9 1.8 1.4 1.6 2.5 3.6 Interest (10% rate) 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.0 6.0 Total Operating Cost 10.1 16.4 20.9 33.6 49.5 70.5 Operating Margin -4.3% 0.0% 7.7% 8.8% 15.3% 15.8% Supply chain costs make up the majority of OPEX 61
  • 59. Financials – Returns to Investors Investor Interests Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Y7 Y8 Y9 Y10 Investor Shareholding (%) 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 88.7% 85.5% 69.5% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% Surplus to Investors (INR M) - - - 6.3 11.6 32.0 38.0 21.1 23.2 25.5 Investor IRR (%) - - - -86.3% -48.8% -15.6% -0.6% 4.3% 8.1% 11.0% Participative capital investing is a fairly new investment concept The expected return is relatively lower in comparison with conventional investments This model offers an investor the opportunity to enhance the community’s well being in India Investors can fulfill an engaging relationship with a community for better living. The investment gives the community a sense of purpose 62
  • 60. Sensitivity Analysis Net Profit (INR M) Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Best Case (+20% Production) 5.0 11.4 34.1 60.1 118.2 171.2 Base Case -1.4 -0.5 9.3 17.5 49.8 72.9 Worst Case (-20% Production) -7.8 -12.5 -15.5 -25.1 -18.6 -25.4 Investor IRR Y4 Y5 Y6 Y7 Y8 Y9 Y10 Best Case -79.5% -39.0% -7.8% 3.8% 9.2% 13.1% 16.1% Base Case -86.3% -48.8% -15.6% -0.6% 4.3% 8.1% 11.0% Worst Case -93.5% -59.0% -26.4% -9.1% -1.6% 1.8% 4.7% Because weather conditions will change year to year, the worst case scenario where production is consistently below estimates is highly unlikely Water and weather conditions have a strong impact on crop production and financial performance 63
  • 61. Future Financial Growth Driver Scale up requires additional margins to be obtained through the optimisation of the supply chain 64
  • 62. Recommendations & Conclusion I. Implementation Milestones II. Risk Assessment Matrix III. Recommendations & Conclusion
  • 63. Implementation Milestones 5 year implementation plan Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Secure Capital Source & Create Community Create Implement brand Investor Investments Operating Supply Chain Surplus Company Distribution Sign up Attract and enlist producer, consum Producer and Consumer Groups er groups Community Community benefits benefits *Additional details on Implementation Plan in Appendix defined defined 66
  • 64. Risk Assessment Matrix 1 Lack of alignment of goals of members of Operating 11 Company and Board of Directors 9 7 8 High 5 2 Lack of transparency in the administration of the 1 Operating Company and Board of Directors 3 Thin spread of surplus due to overwhelming community requests Impact 10 4 Ineffectiveness of and lack of outreach of community 3 4 6 programmes Medium 2 12 Limited market penetration 5 Lack of confidence of investors in profitability of business venture 7 Commodity price volatility Low 8 Inability to secure funding to commence implementation of business model 9 Production downtime due to poor maintenance and power outages Low 10 Poor quality commodity Medium High 11 Supply chain failure impacting commodity distribution Likelihood 12 Commodity supply outweighs demand 67
  • 65. Recommendations & Conclusion • In keeping with the vision of Just Change, a methodology in ‘operationalising ‘ a Participative Capital business model has been created • Recommendations include the establishment of a new ‘Operational Company’ that not only links the producers and consumers but also investors • The recommendation outlines a pilot project with Tea and Paddy in Tamil Nadu and Kerala regions respectively, with the intention for progressive expansion • With a capital investment of INR 100M, estimated initial investments will enable scaling resulting in operating profits from year 3 onwards • The venture is expected to improve the livelihoods of rural communities, producers and consumers alike, whilst providing a sustainable business model for the success of stakeholders 68
  • 66. Just Change Appendix I. Assumptions II. Financial Details III. Governance IV. Community Opportunities V. Detailed Implementation Plan VI. Risks and Mitigation
  • 67. Assumptions • Governance and structure created with a focus on the tea and rice business • Marketplace system can be set up to be used via mobile phone network and online – platform software to be developed • All producer and consumer groups have access to mobile phones (SMS) • Logistics infrastructure exists for the delivery of goods • Surplus distribution and implement plan assumes profit 70
  • 68. Income Statement Brokerage Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Volumes handled (MT)* 3660 7283 14331 24806 37359 53518 Brokerage & Vendor Fees** 0.05 0.29 0.65 1 1.7 2.8 Warehousing Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Total Tea (MT) 250 313 391 586 879 1318 COGS (INR M) 18.8 23.4 29.3 43.9 65.9 98.9 Sales (INR M) 31.3 39.1 48.8 73.2 109.9 164.8 Gross Margin 12.5 15.6 19.5 29.3 43.9 65.9 *Volume reflects the total volumes handled for brokerage as well as warehousing for tea and paddy ** Brokerage & Vendor Fees are one of the income streams along with Warehousing, income from brokerage reflects only the brokerage volumes With economies of scale, better margins can be generated 71
  • 69. Financial Overview (INR M) Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 lNCOME 67 110 192 323 485 701 COGS 60 101 177 299 445 639 PBIT 2.2 1.1 1.5 3.7 7.4 13.6 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 PAT 0 COGS Y1 Y2 Y3 Sales Y4 Y5 Y6 72
  • 70. Operating Costs (INR M) Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Salary and Wages 1.16 1.36 1.51 1.61 1.61 1.71 Offic exp. Inclu rental 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.8 2.16 2.16 Marketing 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.15 0.22 0.33 Promotion 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.15 0.22 0.33 Warehouse costs 1 1 0.8 0.8 1 1 Transport Costs 3.8 4.7 5.9 8.8 13.2 19.8 Training Camp costs 0.25 0.31 0.39 0.59 0.88 1.32 Total Operating Costs 7.49 8.72 10.51 13.83 19.27 26.62 Transport costs is the majority of operating costs – accounts for more than 50% 73
  • 71. Capital Required 10% 20% 10% Total required Business Capital 20% participative Investment : 1.8M USD 90M INR capital investment 2M USD 100 M INR 90% • 2M USD (100M INR, 10 crores) 50% Investor Capital Breakdown Business Capital Breakdown Warehousing Working Capital Business Capital Marketing Stability Fund Commitment to Community 74
  • 72. Detail of JCIPC General Mgmt Group Member Role Hiring profile General Manager [1] -Decision maker in General -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agriculture Management Group (GMG) business (Min. 5 years experience) Finance Manager[1] -Manage daily operation related to -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures finance such as surplus management or business as well as with the financial industry (Min. 3 years capital management experience) Supply Chain Manager -Manage daily operation related to -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures [1] supply chain business as well as with Supply Chain management and inventory control (Min. 3 years experience) Purchasing Manager [1 ] -Manage daily operation related to -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures procurement business as well as with previous procurement experience (Min. 3 years experience) Marketing & Bus Dev -Manage daily operation related to -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures Manager [1+1member] marketing & Business Development business as well as experienced with marketing and business development in the rural sector (Min. 3 years experience) IT Manager [1] - Manage daily operation related to -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures Business Development such as business as well as IT experience in the rural sector (Min. 3 distribution strategy years experience) Community Relation -Manage daily operation related to -A dynamic individual who is experienced in agricultures Manager [1+1member] community relations business (Min. 3 years experience) 77
  • 73. Community Opportunities: Education Current State New Initiatives • High rate for school dropouts • Increased access to education • Dominant child labor facilities by actively engaging government in partnership with NGOs • Extend financial assistance to impoverished households • Obtain computers for schools through donations from corporations Education for the Future 79
  • 74. Community Opportunities: Skills Training Current State New Initiatives • Rural farming communities have • Impart training to generate limited skill sets that prevent secondary source of income them to pursue secondary • Partner with agricultural sources of income agencies to provide trainings • Growers among the on latest communities are not exposed to cultivation/production effective crop methods cultivation/production methods • Extend training in basic and have less than optimal business for enterprising output members so that they can successfully start and run small businesses Training for Alternate Livelihoods 80
  • 75. Community Opportunities: Healthcare Services Current State New Initiatives • Rural communities often under • Increase awareness on the utilise the public health services need for healthcare with the mainly due to lack of awareness help of local community organisations and public • Insufficient specialists available: health officials Critical cases referred to places of distances of 100KM or more • Encourage expectant mothers to go for continued follow up checks • Bring public health officials to villages for basic medical checks ups and immunisation for children and women Healthcare is key for good well being 81
  • 76. Community Opportunity: Access to Information Current State New Initiatives • Lack of awareness of • Build community groups to government schemes influence government • Very limited interaction policies/decisions to protect between producers and community interests. consumers resulting in lost • Increase awareness on government opportunities schemes and programs related to development of rural communities • Build communication channels (phone & internet access) to facilitate interaction & information sharing between producers, consumers, investors, government etc. Keeping Communities and Stakeholders Connected 82
  • 77. Community Opportunities: Additional Initiatives • Take initiatives that will empower the community through creation of Stree- shakti groups • Develop a community loan fund to address emergency financial needs by extending a low interest loan Improving Standards for Community Stability 83
  • 78. Implementation Plan – Year 1 Identify Project Manager/Lead for Participative Capital Initiative JCT Attract investors JCT Secure 1M Capital JCT Hire Operating Company resources (Finance, Operations, Business JCT Development) Establish fund to manage 1M capital Finance Define and implement producer group membership requirements, Bus Dev needs & structures (i.e., tracking) Define and implement consumer group membership requirements, Bus Dev needs & structures Create outreach materials to attract producer/consumer groups Bus Dev Identify and attract producer and consumer groups (i.e., Tea/Rice Bus Dev tasting road shows, community visits) 84
  • 79. Implementation Plan – Year 1 Hire additional Operating Company resources (Community JCT relations, additional Operations) Sign up producer and consumer groups Bus Dev Source supply chain resources (warehouse, logistics, Market Place Operations software) Secure financing for supply chain resources Finance Implement supply chain solutions Operations Create Board of Directors & elect Chairperson JCT Define methods to communicate with producers/consumers Bus Dev 85
  • 80. Implementation Plan – Years 2-5 Year 3 Research Community Service needs of producer communities Design Community benefit indicators Define and create branding and packaging Year 4 Prioritise community services based on needs Design operation plan and budget for community services Distribute surplus to investors Year 5 Launch community services to producer communities 86
  • 81. Risk Assessment & Mitigation No. Risk Functional Likelihood Impact Risk Mitigation Area 1. Lack of Alignment of Goals of Governance LOW HIGH 1. Define clear roles and members of the Operating responsibilities of each role in Company and Board of the Governance Structure Directors 2. Rotation through election of key roles in Operating Company and Board of Directors 3. Just Change to play an intermediary role in any disputes or alignment issues 2. Lack of transparency of the Governance LOW MEDIUM 1. Establishment of a strong administration of the corporate governance model, Operating Company and transparency in systems, Board of Directors processes, decision making with clear roles and responsibilities and segregation of duties embedded in the organisation 3. Overwhelming requests for Community MEDIUM MEDIUM 1. Community and social benefit community and social benefit programmes to be agreed upon programmes resulting in thin and prioritised (eg. top 5) by the spread of surplus and established Governance minimising social impact of structures initiatives 87
  • 82. Risk Assessment & Mitigation No. Risk Functional Likelihood Impact Potential Risk Mitigation Area 4. Community programmes are Community MEDIUM MEDIUM 1. Establishment of Key not effective and reach only a Performance Indicators certain portion of the (KPIs) for measuring benefits community resulting in of community programmes minimal social impact, 2. Implementation of robust potential escalation of social communication channels to issues, disparity, jealousy and the various stakeholders of conflict the business model 5. Limited market penetration Business LOW HIGH 1. Implementation of effective resulting in low revenue Development marketing strategy striking a growth balance of economic and social benefits 6. Lack of confidence of Finance MEDIUM MEDIUM 1. Establishment of a strong investors in profitability of financial and risk management venture and supporting risk policies and procedures with management and control clear segregation of duties and processes delegation of authorities framework embedded in the Finance Function of the Operating Company 2. Provision of a robust financial model outlining profitability and cash flow projections 88
  • 83. Risk Assessment & Mitigation No. Risk Functional Likelihood Impact Potential Risk Mitigation Area 7. Commodity Price volatility Finance MEDIUM HIGH 1. Monitoring undertaken by resulting in uncertainty in Operating Company on revenue streams commodity markets and pricing trends 2. Utilise Delayed Marketing mechanism to manage price volatility 8. Inability to secure funding to Finance MEDIUM HIGH 1. Secure strong investors with commence implementation of like-mindedness on both the business model economic benefits and long term social view 9. Production downtime due to Supply Chain LOW HIGH 1. Implement robust preventive poor maintainence and power maintenance plans outage resulting in supply not 2. Implement backup generators to being able to meet demand supplement primary source of and a loss of revenue electricity 89
  • 84. Risk Assessment & Mitigation No. Risk Functional Likelihood Impact Potential Risk Mitigation Area 10. Poor Quality Commodity Supply Chain LOW MEDIUM 1. Stringent Quality Criteria impacting business venture established by Operating economic and social interests Company 2. Quality Control checks undertaken by Operating Company 11. Failure in supply chain to Supply Chain LOW HIGH 1. Establishment of Key distribute commodities to Performance Indicators consumer groups on a timely (KPIs) for measuring and basis monitoring supplier performance 2. Multi supplier strategy to ensure contingency suppliers in the event of supplier failure 3. Stringent Supplier Assessment as part of selection criteria 12. Supply outweighs Demand Supply Chain MEDIUM HIGH 1. Channel excess supply to resulting in excess auction houses and other commodity and wastage trading houses 2. Stringent Demand and Production Planning undertaken by Operating Company 3. Maintain contingency funds to 90 sustain farmers livelihood
  • 85. Thank you If you are interested in more details about the business plan please contact the Global Institute For Tomorrow Suite 1111, CityPlaza One, 1111 King’s Road, Taikoo Shing, Hong Kong Tel: (852) 3571 8103 www.global-inst.com