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Pursuing a Better
Investment Experience
Last updated: July 2016
Provided by:
Eddy Mejlholm, CFP, FMA, CIM, FCSI
Wealth Advisor with RBC Dominion Securities
eddy.mejlholm@rbc.com
1. Embrace Market Pricing
2
The market is an effective,
information-processing machine.
Millions of participants buy
and sell securities in the world
markets every day, and the
real-time information they bring
helps set prices.
In US dollars. Global electronic order book (largest 60 exchanges). Source: World Federation of Exchanges.
World Equity Trading in 2015
Number of Trades Dollar Volume
Daily
Average
98.6
million
$447.3
billion
Beginning sample includes US equity mutual funds as of the beginning of the 15-year period ending December 31, 2015. Survivors are funds that were still in existence as of December 31, 2015. Non-survivors
include funds that were either liquidated or merged. Outperformers are funds that survived and beat their respective benchmarks over the period. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Data Source: Analysis conducted by Dimensional Fund Advisors using data on US-domiciled mutual funds obtained from the CRSP Survivor-Bias-Free US Mutual Fund Database, provided by the Center for
Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. Sample excludes index funds. Benchmark data provided by MSCI, Russell, and S&P. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. Russell data © Russell
Investment Group 1995-2016, all rights reserved. The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group. Benchmark indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does
not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Mutual fund investment values will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their
original cost. Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantees against a loss in a declining market.
2. Don’t Try to Outguess the Market
The market's pricing power
works against mutual fund
managers who try to outsmart
other participants through stock
picking or market timing.
As evidence, only 17% of
US equity mutual funds have
survived and outperformed
their benchmarks over the
past 15 years.
3
US Equity Mutual Fund Performance
43%
Survive
17%
Outperform
15 Years
2,758 funds at beginning
3. Resist Chasing Past Performance
4
Some investors select mutual
funds based on past returns.
However, funds that have
outperformed in the past do
not always persist as winners.
Past performance alone
provides little insight into a
fund’s ability to outperform in the
future.
The graph shows the proportion of US equity mutual funds that outperformed and underperformed their respective benchmarks (i.e., winners and losers) during the initial 10-year period ending December 31, 2010. Winning funds were re-
evaluated in the subsequent five-year period from 2011 through 2015, with the graph showing winners (outperformers) and losers (underperformers). Fund count and percentages may not correspond due to rounding. Past performance is no
guarantee of future results. Data Source: Analysis conducted by Dimensional Fund Advisors using data on US-domiciled mutual funds obtained from the CRSP Survivor-Bias-Free US Mutual Fund Database, provided by the Center for
Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. Sample excludes index funds. Benchmark data provided by MSCI, Russell, and S&P. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. Frank Russell Company is the source and owner of the
trademarks, service marks, and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. The S&P data is provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group. Benchmark indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not
reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Mutual fund investment values will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Diversification neither
assures a profit nor guarantees against a loss in a declining market.
Do Outperforming US Equity Mutual Funds Persist?
2001–2010
2,758 funds at beginning
2011–2015
37%20% Outperformed 541
funds
In US dollars. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
US Small Cap Index is the CRSP 6-10 Index; US Large Cap Index is the S&P 500 Index; Long-Term Government Bonds Index is 20-Year US Government Bonds; Treasury Bills are One-Month US Treasury bills;
US Inflation is the Consumer Price Index. CRSP data is provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. The S&P data is provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group.
Bonds, T-bills, and inflation data provided by Morningstar. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
4. Let Markets Work for You
The financial markets
have rewarded long-term
investors. People expect
a positive return on the capital
they supply, and historically, the
equity and bond markets have
provided growth of wealth that
has more than offset inflation.
5
Growth of a US Dollar, 1926-2015
(Compounded monthly)
$0
$1
$10
$100
$1,000
$10,000
$100,000
1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006
$16,743
US Small Cap Index
$5,386
US Large Cap Index
$132 Long-Term
Govt. Bonds Index
$21 Treasury Bills
$13 US Inflation (CPI)
2015
5. Consider the Drivers of Returns
6
Academic research has
identified these equity and
fixed income dimensions,
which point to differences
in expected returns.
These dimensions are
pervasive, persistent, and
robust and can be pursued
in cost-effective portfolios.
Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Relative price is measured by the price-to-book ratio; value stocks are those with lower price-to-book ratios.
Profitability is a measure of current profitability, based on information from individual companies’ income statements.
Dimensions of Expected Returns
Market
Equity premium—stocks vs. bonds
Company Size
Small cap premium—small vs. large companies
Relative Price
Value premium—value vs. growth companies
Profitability
Profitability premium—high vs. low profitability companies
Term
Term premium—longer vs. shorter maturity bonds
Credit
Credit premium—lower vs. higher credit quality bonds
EQUITIESFIXEDINCOME
6. Practice Smart Diversification
Diversification helps reduce
risks that have no expected
return, but diversifying within
your home market is not
enough. Global diversification
can broaden your investment
universe.
7
S&P/TSX Composite, 1991‒2015
Canadian Model Equity Index Portfolio
Globally Diversified Portfolio, 1991‒2015
Global Model Diversified Equity Index Portfolio
In Canadian dollars. Portfolios are for illustrative purposes only. Diversification neither ensures a profit nor guarantees against loss in a declining market.
Globally Diversified Portfolio is equally weighted with the following asset groups: Canadian (Large, Small, and Value); US (Large, Small, and Value); US Real Estate; International (Large, Small, and Value); and
Canadian Fixed Income. Index descriptions: Canadian Large Cap is the S&P/TSX Composite Index; Canadian Small Cap is the MSCI Canada Small Cap Index (gross dividends), January 1999–present, and
Barra Canada Small Cap Index for December 1998 and before; Canadian Value is the MSCI Canada Value Index (gross dividends) for January 1975–present, US Large Cap is the S&P 500 Index; US Value is
the Russell 3000 Value Index; US Small Cap is the CRSP Declies 6-10 Index; US Real Estate is the Dow Jones US Select REIT Index; International Large Cap is the MSCI EAFE Index (net dividends);
International Value is the MSCI EAFE Value Index (net dividends). International Small is: 1970–June 1981, 50% UK small cap stocks provided by the London Business School and 50% Japan small cap stocks
provided by Nomura Securities; July 1981–present, compiled by Dimensional from StyleResearch securities data; includes securities of MSCI EAFE Index countries, market-capitalization weighted, each country
capped at 50%S&P/TSX data provided by S&P/TSX. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. Canadian Barra data provided by MSCI Barra. S&P data provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group.
Russell data © Russell Investment Group 1995–2016, all rights reserved. Dow Jones US Select data provided by Dow Jones Indexes. FTSE data published with the permission of FTSE. CRSP data provided by
the Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an
actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Date range selected for the model portfolios is the longest common time series of whole years of data available. Rebalanced quarterly. Not to be construed as investment advice. Returns of model portfolios are
based on back-tested model allocation mixes designed with the benefit of hindsight and do not represent actual investment performance.
Annualized Return (%) 8.26
Annualized Standard Deviation
(%)
16.51
Annualized Return (%) 9.91
Annualized Standard Deviation
(%)
13.55
In CAD.
Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Diversification neither ensures a profit nor guarantees against loss in a declining market. Canadian Large Cap is the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Canadian Small
Cap is the MSCI Canada Small Cap Index (gross dividends). Canadian Value is the MSCI Canada IMI Value Index (gross dividends). US Large Cap is the S&P 500 Index. US Value is the Russell 3000 Value
Index. US Real Estate is the Dow Jones US Select REIT Index. International Large Cap is the MSCI EAFE Index (net dividends). International Value is the MSCI EAFE Value Index (net dividends). Canadian
Fixed Income is the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index. S&P/TSX data provided by S&P/TSX. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. S&P data provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group.
Russell data © Russell Investment Group 1995–2016, all rights reserved. Dow Jones US Select data provided by Dow Jones Indexes. FTSE data published with the permission of FTSE. Indices are not
available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
7. Avoid Market Timing in Your Portfolio
You never know which market
segments will outperform from
year to year. By holding a globally
diversified portfolio, investors
are well positioned to capture
returns wherever they occur.
8
Annual Returns by Market Index
Canadian
Large Cap
Canadian
Small Cap
Canadian Value
US Large Cap
US Value
US Real Estate
International
Large Cap
International Value
Canadian
Fixed Income
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
HIGHER
RETURN
LOWER
RETURN
8. Manage Your Emotions
9
Many people struggle to
separate their emotions from
investing. Markets go up and
down. Reacting to current
market conditions may lead to
making poor investment
decisions at the worst times.
For illustrative purposes only.
Reactive Investing in a Market Cycle
NervousnessOptimism
Fear
Elation
HIGHER PRICES
LOWER PRICES
Optimism
For illustrative purposes only.
9. Don’t Confuse Entertainment with Advice
Daily market news and
commentary can challenge
your investment discipline.
Some messages stir anxiety
about the future while others
tempt you to chase the latest
investment fad.
When tested, consider the
source and maintain a long-
term perspective.
10
10. Focus on What You Can Control
11
A financial advisor can create a
plan tailored to your personal
financial needs while helping you
focus on actions that add value.
This can lead to a better
investment experience.
Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. There is no guarantee investment strategies will be successful. For illustrative purposes only.
Creating an
investment plan to fit
your needs and risk tolerance
Structuring a portfolio along
dimensions of expected returns
Diversifying broadly
Reducing expenses and turnover
Minimizing taxes

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Pursuing_a_Better_Investment_Experience_Slides

  • 1. Pursuing a Better Investment Experience Last updated: July 2016 Provided by: Eddy Mejlholm, CFP, FMA, CIM, FCSI Wealth Advisor with RBC Dominion Securities eddy.mejlholm@rbc.com
  • 2. 1. Embrace Market Pricing 2 The market is an effective, information-processing machine. Millions of participants buy and sell securities in the world markets every day, and the real-time information they bring helps set prices. In US dollars. Global electronic order book (largest 60 exchanges). Source: World Federation of Exchanges. World Equity Trading in 2015 Number of Trades Dollar Volume Daily Average 98.6 million $447.3 billion
  • 3. Beginning sample includes US equity mutual funds as of the beginning of the 15-year period ending December 31, 2015. Survivors are funds that were still in existence as of December 31, 2015. Non-survivors include funds that were either liquidated or merged. Outperformers are funds that survived and beat their respective benchmarks over the period. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Data Source: Analysis conducted by Dimensional Fund Advisors using data on US-domiciled mutual funds obtained from the CRSP Survivor-Bias-Free US Mutual Fund Database, provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. Sample excludes index funds. Benchmark data provided by MSCI, Russell, and S&P. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. Russell data © Russell Investment Group 1995-2016, all rights reserved. The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group. Benchmark indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Mutual fund investment values will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantees against a loss in a declining market. 2. Don’t Try to Outguess the Market The market's pricing power works against mutual fund managers who try to outsmart other participants through stock picking or market timing. As evidence, only 17% of US equity mutual funds have survived and outperformed their benchmarks over the past 15 years. 3 US Equity Mutual Fund Performance 43% Survive 17% Outperform 15 Years 2,758 funds at beginning
  • 4. 3. Resist Chasing Past Performance 4 Some investors select mutual funds based on past returns. However, funds that have outperformed in the past do not always persist as winners. Past performance alone provides little insight into a fund’s ability to outperform in the future. The graph shows the proportion of US equity mutual funds that outperformed and underperformed their respective benchmarks (i.e., winners and losers) during the initial 10-year period ending December 31, 2010. Winning funds were re- evaluated in the subsequent five-year period from 2011 through 2015, with the graph showing winners (outperformers) and losers (underperformers). Fund count and percentages may not correspond due to rounding. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Data Source: Analysis conducted by Dimensional Fund Advisors using data on US-domiciled mutual funds obtained from the CRSP Survivor-Bias-Free US Mutual Fund Database, provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. Sample excludes index funds. Benchmark data provided by MSCI, Russell, and S&P. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. Frank Russell Company is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks, and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. The S&P data is provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group. Benchmark indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Mutual fund investment values will fluctuate, and shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantees against a loss in a declining market. Do Outperforming US Equity Mutual Funds Persist? 2001–2010 2,758 funds at beginning 2011–2015 37%20% Outperformed 541 funds
  • 5. In US dollars. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. US Small Cap Index is the CRSP 6-10 Index; US Large Cap Index is the S&P 500 Index; Long-Term Government Bonds Index is 20-Year US Government Bonds; Treasury Bills are One-Month US Treasury bills; US Inflation is the Consumer Price Index. CRSP data is provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. The S&P data is provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Bonds, T-bills, and inflation data provided by Morningstar. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 4. Let Markets Work for You The financial markets have rewarded long-term investors. People expect a positive return on the capital they supply, and historically, the equity and bond markets have provided growth of wealth that has more than offset inflation. 5 Growth of a US Dollar, 1926-2015 (Compounded monthly) $0 $1 $10 $100 $1,000 $10,000 $100,000 1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006 $16,743 US Small Cap Index $5,386 US Large Cap Index $132 Long-Term Govt. Bonds Index $21 Treasury Bills $13 US Inflation (CPI) 2015
  • 6. 5. Consider the Drivers of Returns 6 Academic research has identified these equity and fixed income dimensions, which point to differences in expected returns. These dimensions are pervasive, persistent, and robust and can be pursued in cost-effective portfolios. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Relative price is measured by the price-to-book ratio; value stocks are those with lower price-to-book ratios. Profitability is a measure of current profitability, based on information from individual companies’ income statements. Dimensions of Expected Returns Market Equity premium—stocks vs. bonds Company Size Small cap premium—small vs. large companies Relative Price Value premium—value vs. growth companies Profitability Profitability premium—high vs. low profitability companies Term Term premium—longer vs. shorter maturity bonds Credit Credit premium—lower vs. higher credit quality bonds EQUITIESFIXEDINCOME
  • 7. 6. Practice Smart Diversification Diversification helps reduce risks that have no expected return, but diversifying within your home market is not enough. Global diversification can broaden your investment universe. 7 S&P/TSX Composite, 1991‒2015 Canadian Model Equity Index Portfolio Globally Diversified Portfolio, 1991‒2015 Global Model Diversified Equity Index Portfolio In Canadian dollars. Portfolios are for illustrative purposes only. Diversification neither ensures a profit nor guarantees against loss in a declining market. Globally Diversified Portfolio is equally weighted with the following asset groups: Canadian (Large, Small, and Value); US (Large, Small, and Value); US Real Estate; International (Large, Small, and Value); and Canadian Fixed Income. Index descriptions: Canadian Large Cap is the S&P/TSX Composite Index; Canadian Small Cap is the MSCI Canada Small Cap Index (gross dividends), January 1999–present, and Barra Canada Small Cap Index for December 1998 and before; Canadian Value is the MSCI Canada Value Index (gross dividends) for January 1975–present, US Large Cap is the S&P 500 Index; US Value is the Russell 3000 Value Index; US Small Cap is the CRSP Declies 6-10 Index; US Real Estate is the Dow Jones US Select REIT Index; International Large Cap is the MSCI EAFE Index (net dividends); International Value is the MSCI EAFE Value Index (net dividends). International Small is: 1970–June 1981, 50% UK small cap stocks provided by the London Business School and 50% Japan small cap stocks provided by Nomura Securities; July 1981–present, compiled by Dimensional from StyleResearch securities data; includes securities of MSCI EAFE Index countries, market-capitalization weighted, each country capped at 50%S&P/TSX data provided by S&P/TSX. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. Canadian Barra data provided by MSCI Barra. S&P data provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group. Russell data © Russell Investment Group 1995–2016, all rights reserved. Dow Jones US Select data provided by Dow Jones Indexes. FTSE data published with the permission of FTSE. CRSP data provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Date range selected for the model portfolios is the longest common time series of whole years of data available. Rebalanced quarterly. Not to be construed as investment advice. Returns of model portfolios are based on back-tested model allocation mixes designed with the benefit of hindsight and do not represent actual investment performance. Annualized Return (%) 8.26 Annualized Standard Deviation (%) 16.51 Annualized Return (%) 9.91 Annualized Standard Deviation (%) 13.55
  • 8. In CAD. Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Diversification neither ensures a profit nor guarantees against loss in a declining market. Canadian Large Cap is the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Canadian Small Cap is the MSCI Canada Small Cap Index (gross dividends). Canadian Value is the MSCI Canada IMI Value Index (gross dividends). US Large Cap is the S&P 500 Index. US Value is the Russell 3000 Value Index. US Real Estate is the Dow Jones US Select REIT Index. International Large Cap is the MSCI EAFE Index (net dividends). International Value is the MSCI EAFE Value Index (net dividends). Canadian Fixed Income is the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index. S&P/TSX data provided by S&P/TSX. MSCI data © MSCI 2016, all rights reserved. S&P data provided by Standard & Poor’s Index Services Group. Russell data © Russell Investment Group 1995–2016, all rights reserved. Dow Jones US Select data provided by Dow Jones Indexes. FTSE data published with the permission of FTSE. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 7. Avoid Market Timing in Your Portfolio You never know which market segments will outperform from year to year. By holding a globally diversified portfolio, investors are well positioned to capture returns wherever they occur. 8 Annual Returns by Market Index Canadian Large Cap Canadian Small Cap Canadian Value US Large Cap US Value US Real Estate International Large Cap International Value Canadian Fixed Income 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 HIGHER RETURN LOWER RETURN
  • 9. 8. Manage Your Emotions 9 Many people struggle to separate their emotions from investing. Markets go up and down. Reacting to current market conditions may lead to making poor investment decisions at the worst times. For illustrative purposes only. Reactive Investing in a Market Cycle NervousnessOptimism Fear Elation HIGHER PRICES LOWER PRICES Optimism
  • 10. For illustrative purposes only. 9. Don’t Confuse Entertainment with Advice Daily market news and commentary can challenge your investment discipline. Some messages stir anxiety about the future while others tempt you to chase the latest investment fad. When tested, consider the source and maintain a long- term perspective. 10
  • 11. 10. Focus on What You Can Control 11 A financial advisor can create a plan tailored to your personal financial needs while helping you focus on actions that add value. This can lead to a better investment experience. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. There is no guarantee investment strategies will be successful. For illustrative purposes only. Creating an investment plan to fit your needs and risk tolerance Structuring a portfolio along dimensions of expected returns Diversifying broadly Reducing expenses and turnover Minimizing taxes