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Assessing Arguments:
‘Step-by-step’
Authorship
Who says so?

Authority

Who is he/she?
Are his/her views
shared?

Accuracy

Provenance
Evaluating
evidence’s
credibility &
relevance

Is it accurate?

Is this a primary or a
secondary source?

Nature
Facts or opinions?

Context
When was it reported?
Is it focussed?
Is it representative?
How to assess arguments?
5 Steps:

1

STRUCTURE

2

CLARITY

3

EVIDENCE

4

LOGIC

5

EVALUATION
Step 1

STRUCTURE
Identify:

• Evidence
• Conclusion

Two thousand years ago, the Earth was home to just 300 million humans, roughly the
population of the United States today. Two hundred years ago, 1 billion humans lived
on our planet Earth. The world population is now at over 6 billion and growing rapidly.
Thus, if current trends continue, we will add another 1 billion to the world population
every 13 or 14 years.
(Extract from www.umac.org/ocp/CausesofGrowth/info.html)
Step 2

CLARITY
Identify:

• Any vagueness?
• Any confusion?
• Any assumption?
Step 3

EVIDENCE

Assess:

• Credibility
• Relevance
Step 4

LOGIC
Identify fallacies

Fallacy
Misleading or unsound argument

Formal fallacies
Mistakes in logic that are
independent of the
argument’s content.
(Flaws in the form of the
argument)

Informal fallacies
Mistakes in logic that
arise from the content.
(Flaws in the content of the
argument)
Informal fallacies

• False dilemma

(offers only 2 options when many more are possible)

“To lose weight, you either stop eating fries or have liposuction”

• Correlation proves causation
(assumes that correlation between two variables implies that one causes the other)
“Whenever I clean my car, it rains.”

• Cherry picking
(Only uses evidence that seem to confirm a particular position, while ignoring a significant portion of evidence
contradicting that position)
Informal fallacies

• Ad Hominem

(attacks the opponent rather than the argument)

“What does Prof Popper know about global warming? She drives a Range Rover”.

• Appeal to motive

( questions the motives of the proposer to dismiss the proposer’s point )

“Of course Prof Popper says climate change is dangerous! She holds the Chair of
Innovation in Heuristic Climate Change Modelling”.

• Appeal to emotions (uses emotion rather than evidence)
“We must stop climate change or your children will drown under rising sea levels”

• Straw man

(misrepresents the opponent’s argument)

“Prof Popper believes that an increase in rainfall will destroy crops but if there was no rainfall crops
would not grow in the first place”
How to assess arguments?
5 Steps:

1

STRUCTURE

2

CLARITY

3

EVIDENCE

4

LOGIC
Step 5

EVALUATION

Is the argument clear, with
valid evidence and logic ?

No
Yes
Strong
argument

Weak argument
How to assess arguments?
5 Steps:

1

STRUCTURE

2

CLARITY

3

EVIDENCE

4

LOGIC

5

EVALUATION
Global Challenges
Obesity

Population

Climate change

Infectious diseases

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3. assessing arguments

  • 2. Authorship Who says so? Authority Who is he/she? Are his/her views shared? Accuracy Provenance Evaluating evidence’s credibility & relevance Is it accurate? Is this a primary or a secondary source? Nature Facts or opinions? Context When was it reported? Is it focussed? Is it representative?
  • 3. How to assess arguments? 5 Steps: 1 STRUCTURE 2 CLARITY 3 EVIDENCE 4 LOGIC 5 EVALUATION
  • 4. Step 1 STRUCTURE Identify: • Evidence • Conclusion Two thousand years ago, the Earth was home to just 300 million humans, roughly the population of the United States today. Two hundred years ago, 1 billion humans lived on our planet Earth. The world population is now at over 6 billion and growing rapidly. Thus, if current trends continue, we will add another 1 billion to the world population every 13 or 14 years. (Extract from www.umac.org/ocp/CausesofGrowth/info.html)
  • 5. Step 2 CLARITY Identify: • Any vagueness? • Any confusion? • Any assumption?
  • 7. Step 4 LOGIC Identify fallacies Fallacy Misleading or unsound argument Formal fallacies Mistakes in logic that are independent of the argument’s content. (Flaws in the form of the argument) Informal fallacies Mistakes in logic that arise from the content. (Flaws in the content of the argument)
  • 8. Informal fallacies • False dilemma (offers only 2 options when many more are possible) “To lose weight, you either stop eating fries or have liposuction” • Correlation proves causation (assumes that correlation between two variables implies that one causes the other) “Whenever I clean my car, it rains.” • Cherry picking (Only uses evidence that seem to confirm a particular position, while ignoring a significant portion of evidence contradicting that position)
  • 9. Informal fallacies • Ad Hominem (attacks the opponent rather than the argument) “What does Prof Popper know about global warming? She drives a Range Rover”. • Appeal to motive ( questions the motives of the proposer to dismiss the proposer’s point ) “Of course Prof Popper says climate change is dangerous! She holds the Chair of Innovation in Heuristic Climate Change Modelling”. • Appeal to emotions (uses emotion rather than evidence) “We must stop climate change or your children will drown under rising sea levels” • Straw man (misrepresents the opponent’s argument) “Prof Popper believes that an increase in rainfall will destroy crops but if there was no rainfall crops would not grow in the first place”
  • 10. How to assess arguments? 5 Steps: 1 STRUCTURE 2 CLARITY 3 EVIDENCE 4 LOGIC
  • 11. Step 5 EVALUATION Is the argument clear, with valid evidence and logic ? No Yes Strong argument Weak argument
  • 12. How to assess arguments? 5 Steps: 1 STRUCTURE 2 CLARITY 3 EVIDENCE 4 LOGIC 5 EVALUATION