- Around 6.5 million premature deaths each year can be attributed to air pollution - Energy production and use are by far the largest man-made sources of air pollutants - Technologies to tackle air pollution are well known - Small increase in energy investment could cut premature deaths from air pollution in half by 2040 Clean air is vital for good health. Yet despite growing recognition of this imperative, the problem of air pollution is far from solved in many countries, and the global health impacts risk intensifying in the decades to come. The scale of the public health crisis caused by air pollution and the importance of the energy sector to its resolution are the reasons why the IEA is focusing on this critical topic for the first time. Based on new data for pollutant emissions in 2015 and projections to 2040, this special report, the latest in the <em>World Energy Outlook</em> series, provides a global outlook for energy and air pollution as well as detailed profiles of key countries and regions: the United States, Mexico, the European Union, China, India, Southeast Asia and Africa. In a Clean Air Scenario, the report proposes a pragmatic and attainable strategy to reconcile the world’s energy requirements with its need for cleaner air. Alongside the multiple benefits to human health, this strategy shows that resolving the world’s air pollution problem can go hand-in-hand with progress towards other environmental and development goals. - Download the report: http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/WorldEnergyOutlookSpecialReport2016EnergyandAirPollution.pdf - IEA press release: http://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/pressreleases/2016/june/energy-and-air-pollution.html - Reuters press release : http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iea-energy-pollution-idUSKCN0ZC15U - Posts tagued AirPollution : https://desdaughter.com/tag/air-pollution/

1. © OECD/IEA 2016 © OECD/IEA 2016
Presentation to the Press
London, 27 June

2. © OECD/IEA 2016
Context
 Air pollution is the fourth largest human health risk
 3.5 million premature deaths are linked to energy poverty due to the use of
biomass for cooking and kerosene for lighting
 3 million premature deaths are linked to outdoor air pollution, mostly in cities
 Many of its root causes – and cures – are in the energy sector
 The majority of air pollutant emissions comes from the energy sector,
mainly from fuel combustion
 Currently only 8% of global energy production is combustion free: more than
half of the rest has no effective technology in place to control emissions
 No country in the world has solved the air pollution problem completely,
but many are taking important policy steps
 Can the energy sector step up efforts to combat this global public
health crisis?

3. © OECD/IEA 2016
Air pollution is an energy problem
Pollutant emissions, 2015
Energy is the single most important cause of emissions of all main pollutants
81 Mt108 Mt 41 Mt
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5)Sulfur dioxide (SO2)Nitrogen oxides (NOX)
>99%
Non-energyEnergy-related
>99%>99% >99% 85%
Coal Oil Gas Bioenergy Other
Biomass
43%
Coal
43%
Oil
61%

4. © OECD/IEA 2016
High risk air pollution areas
Low (0-50)
High (>100)
Medium (50-100)
Countries with the largest death toll are China and India, but on a per capita
basis many countries across Africa, Asia and Eastern Europe are affected
Mortality rate due to air pollution, 2012
Deaths per 100 000 people
Source: World Health Organization

5. © OECD/IEA 2016
MexicoSouth
Africa
Brazil
Thousands
200
100
Indonesia
50
150
The death toll keeps rising…
Premature deaths due to outdoor pollution in selected regions
Despite planned policies premature deaths increase from 3 to 4.5 million in 2040
2015
Additional
deaths in
2040
400
1 200
IndiaChina
Thousands
1 600
800

6. © OECD/IEA 2016
4
8
Mt
…but global trends mask
significant regional differences
Policies are successful to decouple pollutant emissions from energy demand
growth to 2040; but the air pollution problem remains far from being solved
Change in energy demand and pollutants to 2040
Mtoe
Mt
400
800
1 200
Mtoe
4
Mt
India
400
800
Mtoe
AfricaChina
400
800
1 200
-20
-16
-12
-8
-4
Fossil fuels
& bioenergy
Wind, solar
& other
Energy demand
(Mtoe)
SO2
NOX
Pollutants
(Mt)
PM2.5

7. © OECD/IEA 2016
What should the energy sector do?
 The IEA proposes a pragmatic strategy to cut pollutant emissions &
deaths by around 50%, compared with our main scenario
 A Clean Air Scenario, based on existing technologies & tailored to local
conditions, relies on actions in three areas:
1. A long-term air quality goal
2. A package of clean air measures for the energy sector:
 An accelerated energy transition: more efficiency & more
renewables
 More widespread use of advanced pollution controls
3. Strict monitoring & enforcement and effective communication

8. © OECD/IEA 2016
The IEA Clean Air Strategy
A 7% increase in investment can save over 3 million lives in 2040, while providing
energy access for all, lower energy import bills and leading to a peak in CO2 by 2020
Cumulative investment
20
40
60
80
100
Trilliondollars(2014)
1
2
3
4
5
Millions
2015-2040
Premature deaths from
outdoor air pollution
Additional investment
in the Clean Air Scenario
Lives saved in the
Clean Air Scenario
2040

9. © OECD/IEA 2016
1
2
3
Millions
Premature deaths from
indoor air pollution
2040
Lives saved in the
Clean Air Scenario
Improvement in
cooking methods, 2040
715 million households
Improved
solid-fuel
cookstoves
LPG
Electricity
& natural gas
The IEA Clean Air Strategy
A 7% increase in investment can save over 3 million lives in 2040, while providing
energy access for all, lower energy import bills and leading to a peak in CO2 by 2020

10. © OECD/IEA 2016
Conclusions
 The impacts of air pollution are concentrated in fast-growing Asia
& in Africa, but no country has solved the problem entirely
 The overall death toll still rises, despite post-COP decarbonisation
policies & targeted pollution measures that mitigate pollution trends
 IEA’s Clean Air Strategy cuts 2040 pollutant emissions & premature
deaths by around half, with only a 7% increase in investment
 A well-designed air quality strategy will have major co-benefits for
other policy goals, including energy access & climate change
 IEA will continue to promote integrated policy approaches as it
strengthens its role as a global hub for clean & efficient energy