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Hanoi Market Insights Q1 2016 (EN)
1.
PERFORMANCE The overall market
experienced a downward trend in both rents and occupancy. Average occupancy across all grades dropped 1.82ppts over the quarter, staying at 86.4% while net asking rents were reduced to USD22.8/sqm/month on average, down 2.57ppts q-o-q. Due to new supply entering the market, Grade A’s occupancy and rents decreased 5.98 ppts and 3.77ppts respectively compared to the previous quarter. In contrast, Grade B’s performance recorded improvements, reaching 91% in occupancy and USD17.65/sqm/month in average net asking rents. SUPPLY The supply pipeline grew significantly in the first quarter of 2016 with five new office completions, providing approximately 133,921 sqm NLA. There is only one Grade A project coming online while the other four are of Grade B standard. From now until 2018, there is approximately 330,000sqm GFA of office space entering the market. Most of new supply will be decentralised in the West and Midtown area, creating intense competition with the existing CBD. DEMAND Expansion and relocation are two key demand drivers of Hanoi office market. The city west is an ideal option for tenants looking to reduce operational costs while still securing high quality office space. Due to an oversupply, the market has been favorable for occupiers, which enables them to negotiate for better terms and incentives. OFFICE SECTOR Q1 2016 | MARKET INSIGHTS HANOI ECONOMY OVERVIEW The combination of slowdown in manufacturing and decrease of profitability in agricultural sector in Q1-2016 due to weather difficulties may have caused a slow growth rate of GDP. Vietnam’s GDP grew 5.46% in Q1-2016, significantly lower than 6.12% in Q1-2015. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 0.57% m-o-m in March which resulted in a 1.25% increment in the first three months of the year. Export achieved USD37.9 billion, up 4.1% y-o-y while import values were USD37.1 billion, down 4.8% y-o-y. FDI of newly registered and supplementary capital was USD4.02 billion which was less than the amount of USD5.607 billion in Q4 2015 but rose 119% y-o-y. The disbursement value reached USD3.5 billion, a growth of 14.8% y-o-y. Credit growth achieved 1.54% which was higher than the growth rate of 1.25% same period last year. As manufacturing sector showed a slowdown, the increase in credit growth is contributed by real estate sector. If Vietnam aims to set the GDP growth target for this year to at least match the 2015 growth rate, the nation will have to make great efforts in the next coming quarters. DAVID JACKSON General Director david.jackson@colliers.com PLEASE CONTACT US FOR ANY INFORMATION www.colliers.com/vietnam Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionals operating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owner and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset, management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second- most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and/or its licensor(s). ©2016 Colliers International Research OUTLOOK It is forecasted that the overall market performance will continue to witness imbalance between supply and demand. With ample supply entering the market, vacancy is expected to be on the rise while rent will be on downward trend. To attract new tenants, landlords have to think of various marketing strategies and promotional incentives. Figure 1: Average Asking Rent by Grade Table 1: New Supply in Q1 2016 Figure 2: Occupancy Rate by Grade Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research HA VO Research Manager ha.vo@colliers.com 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Grade A Grade B Project name District Grade NLA (sqm) TNR Dong Da A 37,411 789 Hoang Quoc Viet Cau Giay B 39,419 Hadico Tu Liem B 19,091 Diamond Flower Tower Thanh Xuan B 18,000 MD Complex My Dinh Tu Liem B 20,000 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 US$/sqm/month Grade A Grade B
2.
PERFORMANCE Overall occupancy rate
decreased 0.9ppts q-o-q, staying at 88.5% due to weak business performance of some retail centers. The average net asking rents nominally increased 0.2ppts q-o-q. The CBD and non CBD sub-markets recorded large variances with rent, staying at USD81.44/sqm/month and USD28.89/sqm/month respectively. SUPPLY The retail stock remained stable in the review quarter as no new project came online. Currently, Hanoi market has approximately 750,000sqm NLA from 50 buildings. In terms of retail format, shopping centers take the largest share in the supply pipeline, accounting for nearly 80% of the total net lettable area. The market share of department stores and retail podiums are 10% and 11% respectively. By location, the CBD is home of 4% of total retail supply, providing a majority of small-scale podiums. The remaining supply is located in non-CBD districts, including large-scale shopping centers and department stores. DEMAND Vietnam’s young population and rising urban middle-class result in strong consumer-spending potentials. However, given relatively low average income across the nation, demand for affordable goods and services outweighs luxury branded products. To achieve higher footfall in all retail developments, retailers should focus on selling mid-end items to customers. RETAIL SECTOR Q1 2016 | MARKET INSIGHTS HANOI ECONOMY OVERVIEW The combination of slowdown in manufacturing and decrease of profitability in agricultural sector in Q1-2016 due to weather difficulties may have caused a slow growth rate of GDP. Vietnam’s GDP grew 5.46% in Q1-2016, significantly lower than 6.12% in Q1-2015. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 0.57% m-o-m in March which resulted in a 1.25% increment in the first three months of the year. Export achieved USD37.9 billion, up 4.1% y-o-y while import values were USD37.1 billion, down 4.8% y-o-y. FDI of newly registered and supplementary capital was USD4.02 billion which was less than the amount of USD5.607 billion in Q4 2015 but rose 119% y-o-y. The disbursement value reached USD3.5 billion, a growth of 14.8% y-o-y. Credit growth achieved 1.54% which was higher than the growth rate of 1.25% same period last year. As manufacturing sector showed a slowdown, the increase in credit growth is contributed by real estate sector. If Vietnam aims to set the GDP growth target for this year to at least match the 2015 growth rate, the nation will have to make great efforts in the next coming quarters. DAVID JACKSON General Director david.jackson@colliers.com PLEASE CONTACT US FOR ANY INFORMATION www.colliers.com/vietnam Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionals operating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owner and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset, management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second- most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and/or its licensor(s). ©2016 Colliers International Research OUTLOOK The general outlook for Hanoi retail in the short term is continued oversupply, particularly those outside of the CBD. The market will become more competitive, resulting in pressure on both rents and occupancy rates. To attract more shoppers and satisfy their diversified demand, landlords should organize special marketing events and festivals in their retail centers. Figure 3: Total Supply Figure 2: Occupancy Rate Figure 1: Market Performance Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research HA VO Research Manager ha.vo@colliers.com 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 sqm CBD Non-CBD 75 80 85 90 95 100 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % CBD Non-CBD 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 US$/sqm/month Rental rate Occupancy
3.
PERFORMANCE The review quarter
recorded 3,980 successful transactions, down 34% compared to the previous quarter. Sales momentum continued to be strong in high-end and mid-end segments. On the primary market, price growth of 2.9% q-o-q was recorded in the mid-end segment. Asking price was soften in high-end and low-end projects, a drop of 0.3% and 7.8% q-o-q respectively. Projects with convenient traffic & location, reputable developers and well-established facilities and amenities tend to increase their sale price. SUPPLY New supply was ample in Q1 2016 with approximately 4,479 units from 13 projects. Ha Dong, Tu Liem and West Lake are top three locations for new condominium developments during the review quarter. With the ongoing establishment of new townships in sub-urban districts, Hanoi residential market will be abundant with more launches in coming quarters of 2016. DEMAND According to Hanoi Statistics Office, the capital city’s population was 7.21 million in 2013. The number is expected to reach 8 million in 2020 and young population of less than 35 years old will account for 50%. This trend reflects strong potential for the apartment market. CONDOMINIUM SECTOR Q1 2016 | MARKET INSIGHTS HANOI ECONOMY OVERVIEW The combination of slowdown in manufacturing and decrease of profitability in agricultural sector in Q1-2016 due to weather difficulties may have caused a slow growth rate of GDP. Vietnam’s GDP grew 5.46% in Q1-2016, significantly lower than 6.12% in Q1-2015. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 0.57% m-o-m in March which resulted in a 1.25% increment in the first three months of the year. Export achieved USD37.9 billion, up 4.1% y-o-y while import values were USD37.1 billion, down 4.8% y-o-y. FDI of newly registered and supplementary capital was USD4.02 billion which was less than the amount of USD5.607 billion in Q4 2015 but rose 119% y-o-y. The disbursement value reached USD3.5 billion, a growth of 14.8% y-o-y. Credit growth achieved 1.54% which was higher than the growth rate of 1.25% same period last year. As manufacturing sector showed a slowdown, the increase in credit growth is contributed by real estate sector. If Vietnam aims to set the GDP growth target for this year to at least match the 2015 growth rate, the nation will have to make great efforts in the next coming quarters. DAVID JACKSON General Director david.jackson@colliers.com PLEASE CONTACT US FOR ANY INFORMATION www.colliers.com/vietnam Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionals operating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owner and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset, management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second- most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and/or its licensor(s). ©2016 Colliers International Research OUTLOOK As buyers and investors have regained their market confidence, demand for mid-end and high-end segment is expected to remain higher in the next quarters. Affordable units will achieve stable sales volume on the back of reasonable price and strong demand from end-users. Figure 3: Launch Supply by Year Figure 1: Sales by Quarter and Segment Source: Colliers International Research Source: Colliers International Research HA VO Research Manager ha.vo@colliers.com Source: Colliers International Research Figure 2: Changes in Secondary Prices by Quarter -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 units Luxury High-end Mid-end Affordable 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 sqm
4.
PERFORMANCE Townhouses dominated sale
transactions as 70% of launched dwellings were sold in the first quarter of 2016. On the primary market, sale price remained stable. The average secondary price dropped 0.8% q-o-q for villas but increased 1.3% q-o-q for townhouses. By location, projects in decentralised districts witnessed higher sale price. Compared to the previous quarter, Ha Dong District recorded the highest price growth of 5.5% while Cau Giay and Hoai Duc district had positive price increases of under 5%. SUPPLY The stock increased 1.9% q-o-q in the first quarter of 2016 with the launch of five new projects, providing 859 dwellings. Due to large land availability, Ha Dong district takes the largest market share, representing 27% of supply pipeline. Well-established infrastructure and convenient traffic connection has attracted homebuyers to settle in this area. DEMAND Landed properties are preferred by Vietnamese people as this type of accommodation is believed to increase value over time. Investors and end-users are key demand drivers of the market with purposes of rental income and owner occupation. Speculators who buy a property for capital appreciation account for a small proportion in the buyer profile. Demand for landed houses is expected to become stronger on the back of high urbanization rate and rapid development of infrastructure in Hanoi. VILLA & TOWNHOUSE SECTOR Q1 2016 | MARKET INSIGHTS HANOI ECONOMY OVERVIEW The combination of slowdown in manufacturing and decrease of profitability in agricultural sector in Q1-2016 due to weather difficulties may have caused a slow growth rate of GDP. Vietnam’s GDP grew 5.46% in Q1-2016, significantly lower than 6.12% in Q1-2015. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 0.57% m-o-m in March which resulted in a 1.25% increment in the first three months of the year. Export achieved USD37.9 billion, up 4.1% y-o-y while import values were USD37.1 billion, down 4.8% y-o-y. FDI of newly registered and supplementary capital was USD4.02 billion which was less than the amount of USD5.607 billion in Q4 2015 but rose 119% y-o-y. The disbursement value reached USD3.5 billion, a growth of 14.8% y-o-y. Credit growth achieved 1.54% which was higher than the growth rate of 1.25% same period last year. As manufacturing sector showed a slowdown, the increase in credit growth is contributed by real estate sector. If Vietnam aims to set the GDP growth target for this year to at least match the 2015 growth rate, the nation will have to make great efforts in the next coming quarters. DAVID JACKSON General Director david.jackson@colliers.com PLEASE CONTACT US FOR ANY INFORMATION www.colliers.com/vietnam Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionals operating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owner and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset, management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second-most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and/or its licensor(s). ©2016 Colliers International Research Figure 3: Landed Property, Supply by Quarter Source: Colliers International Research Figure 1: Q-o-Q Changes in Secondary price Source: Colliers International Research Figure 2: Secondary Price by District Source: Colliers International Research OUTLOOK Next quarters of 2016 is expected to have 10 projects coming online and approximately 40 projects under planning stage. Some projects that have been delayed for a long time will be restarted to catch the new market cycle. Projects with reasonable price and good supporting infrastructure will potentially achieve stronger sales volume than others. HA VO Research Manager ha.vo@colliers.com 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 26,000 27,000 28,000 29,000 30,000 31,000 32,000 33,000 34,000 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 2015 2016 dwellings No. of Dwellings No. of Projects 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Thanh Xuan Cau Giay Tay Ho Tu Liem Hoang Mai Ha Dong Long Bien Thanh Tri Hoai Duc Gia Lam Me Linh USD/sqm Q4-2015 Average Q1-2016 Average Market average price Q4 2015 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 % USD/sqm Market average price Q4 2015 Q-o-Q changes
5.
PERFORMANCE Grade A dropped
1.9ppts q-o-q in rents and 2.4ppts q-o-q in occupancy rates, averaging at USD31.4/sqm/month and 84% respectively. Grade B slightly increased 0.45ppts q-o-q in rents and remained stable in occupancy rates, reaching at USD22.1/sqm/month and 84% respectively. The highest average asking rent for both two Grades was recorded in West Lake and Hoan Kiem district, followed by Cau Giay District and Ba Dinh District. SUPPLY Hanoi serviced apartment market consists of approximately 3,500 units from 38 projects. Grade A accounts for 59% of the total supply, providing 2,054 units from 15 projects. The majority of Grade A supply was located in Ba Dinh, West Lake and Tu Liem district. Grade B takes 41% of the market share with1,442 units from 23 projects. A significant proportion of Grade B is located in Ba Dinh and Hai Ba Trung Districts. DEMAND Expatriates working for multinational enterprises, embassies and consulates, international schools and universities are major occupiers in Hanoi serviced apartments. With increasing FDI inflows to industrial parks scattered around the capital city and Bac Ninh, there is growing demand for serviced accommodation for foreign experts. Despite having to commute everyday between the two cities, expatriates still prefer to stay in Hanoi due to its convenient facilities and attractive social entertainments. SERVICED APARTMENT SECTOR Q1 2016 | MARKET INSIGHTS HANOI ECONOMY OVERVIEW The combination of slowdown in manufacturing and decrease of profitability in agricultural sector in Q1-2016 due to weather difficulties may have caused a slow growth rate of GDP. Vietnam’s GDP grew 5.46% in Q1-2016, significantly lower than 6.12% in Q1-2015. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 0.57% m-o-m in March which resulted in a 1.25% increment in the first three months of the year. Export achieved USD37.9 billion, up 4.1% y-o-y while import values were USD37.1 billion, down 4.8% y-o-y. FDI of newly registered and supplementary capital was USD4.02 billion which was less than the amount of USD5.607 billion in Q4 2015 but rose 119% y-o-y. The disbursement value reached USD3.5 billion, a growth of 14.8% y-o-y. Credit growth achieved 1.54% which was higher than the growth rate of 1.25% same period last year. As manufacturing sector showed a slowdown, the increase in credit growth is contributed by real estate sector. If Vietnam aims to set the GDP growth target for this year to at least match the 2015 growth rate, the nation will have to make great efforts in the next coming quarters. DAVID JACKSON General Director david.jackson@colliers.com PLEASE CONTACT US FOR ANY INFORMATION www.colliers.com/vietnam Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionals operating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owner and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset, management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second- most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and/or its licensor(s). ©2016 Colliers International Research OUTLOOK Due to large existing supply from the market, landlords will be under pressure of reducing asking rents in the coming period. Demand for this type of accommodation will sustainably grow thanks to the rising number of foreign skilled workers in industrial zones in Hanoi and neighboring provinces. Figure 1: Average Asking Rent by Grade Source: Colliers International Research Figure 2: Occupancy Rate by Grade Source: Colliers International Research HA VO Research Manager ha.vo@colliers.com Source: Colliers International Research Figure 3: Supply by Segment - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Grade A Grade B units 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Grade A Grade B 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 USD/sqm/month Grade A Grade B
6.
PERFORMANCE Average gross asking
rent in Hanoi’s IPs reached USD83/sqm/term and the remaining Land Use Right was 34.8 years. IPs in Hanoi had the average occupancy rate of 61.6%. Hoa Lac High- tech park has the lowest occupancy rate of 18%-22%. If the 1,586ha high tech park is being excluded from the calculation, the average occupancy rate would be 91% while the average rent would be increased to USD103.5/ sqm/term. Rent of ready-built factory in Hanoi range from USD1.5 – USD2.5/sqm/month. SUPPLY Hanoi has 11 IPs and more than 3,800ha of industrial area. Under the socioeconomic development plan by 2020 with visions until 2030, Hanoi will be home of 33 industrial and hi tech parks. DEMAND According to the Ministry of Planning and Investment, the city attracted USD303 million of new and supplementary FDI capital in the first quarter of 2016. The majority of investments are flown into industries such as intermediate goods, machinery, spare parts and accessories, electronics. Infrastructures are being developed to connect Northern provinces with Hanoi which will significantly reduce time and costs of transportation and commercial traffic. These will positively contribute to improve the occupancy rate and asking rate of IPs. OUTLOOK Prices and occupancy rate are expected to increase steadily in the next coming quarters as the inflow of foreign investments is expected to continue. In the master plan for Hanoi, the capital city will have 24 industrial parks in 2020 and 33 industrial parks in 2030. The industrial area at that time will also be increased to 6,100ha and 8,000ha respectively. INDUSTRIAL SECTOR Q1 2016 | MARKET INSIGHTS ECONOMY OVERVIEW The combination of slowdown in manufacturing and decrease of profitability in agricultural sector in Q1-2016 due to weather difficulties may have caused a slow growth rate of GDP. Vietnam’s GDP grew 5.46% in Q1-2016, significantly lower than 6.12% in Q1-2015. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 0.57% m-o-m in March which resulted in a 1.25% increment in the first three months of the year. Export achieved USD37.9 billion, up 4.1% y-o-y while import values were USD37.1 billion, down 4.8% y-o-y. FDI of newly registered and supplementary capital was USD4.02 billion which was less than the amount of USD5.607 billion in Q4 2015 but rose 119% y-o-y. The disbursement value reached USD3.5 billion, a growth of 14.8% y-o-y. Credit growth achieved 1.54% which was higher than the growth rate of 1.25% same period last year. As manufacturing sector showed a slowdown, the increase in credit growth is contributed by real estate sector. If Vietnam aims to set the GDP growth target for this year to at least match the 2015 growth rate, the nation will have to make great efforts in the next coming quarters. DAVID JACKSON General Director david.jackson@colliers.com PLEASE CONTACT US FOR ANY INFORMATION www.colliers.com/vietnam Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 16,300 professionals operating out of more than 502 offices in 67 countries. Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owner and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset, management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, mortgage banking and insightful research. The latest annual survey by the Lipsey Company ranked Colliers International as the second- most recognized commercial real estate firm in the world. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and/or its licensor(s). ©2016 Colliers International Research In general, infrastructure and associated services of Hanoi’s IPs are not as satisfactorily as those of HCMC’s IPs. Therefore, IPs’ developers should concentrate on building more associated infrastructures and utilities as banks, shopping malls, schools, hospitals, in order to improve the quality of life of IP’s employees. Figure 2: Supply by District Source: Colliers International Research Figure 1: Net Absorption Source: Colliers International Research HA VO Research Manager ha.vo@colliers.com Source: Colliers International Research Table 1: Future Supply HANOI -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ha Industrial Park Name District GFA (ha) Quang Minh II Industrial park Me Linh 266 Phuc Tho Industrial park Phuc Tho 74 Phu Xuyen Industrial park Phu Xuyen 488 Thanh My - Xuan Son Industrial park Son Tay 108 Soc Son Industrial park Soc Son 340 Soc Son II Industrial park Soc Son 204 Soc Son III Industrial park Soc Son 180 Soc Son IV Industrial park Soc Son 216 Thanh Oai II Industrial park Thanh Oai 480 Habeco Industrial park Thuong Tin 300 Dong Anh 35% Thanh That 23% Chuong My 12% Me Linh 12% Tu Liem 9% Others 9%
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