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                        Medina County Economic Development Corporation




   Northeast
        Ohio
   Economic
     Review
         June 2008
    Volume 2, Issue 2




The demand for
industrial real estate
in Cleveland Plus is
                                                   ™




strong, and growing.
Team Northeast Ohio looks at the overall climate of commercial real estate in our next two
editions of the Northeast Ohio Economic Review. This June 2008 edition takes a look at
industrial real estate. Then in September, we will cover the market for office space in our
16-county Cleveland Plus™ region.



The industrial real estate market is strong, and demand is
growing in Northeast Ohio.
According to Colliers Ostendorf-Morris, Cleveland ranks as the nation’s ninth largest area of industrial space. This, when coupled with the
industrial space throughout the 16-county region, ranks Northeast Ohio as the sixth largest industrial market in North America.1

Northeast Ohio has a total stock of industrial square feet larger than at any time since 2000, with approximately 411 million square
feet in total. In 11 of the past 16 quarters, the industrial market has seen positive net change in space being used. In fact, we’re using over
11 million more industrial square feet than we used in early 2004.

Even in a slower economy, the demand for industrial space is growing. And it’s worth noting the industrial real estate market is not facing
the same constraints as the residential market.

According to Grubb and Ellis, companies are looking for modern, efficient facilities, despite the uncertainty reported in the current economic
climate. A great number of these modern facilities can be found in areas such as Solon and Glenwillow, which currently are seeing the
construction of nearly 600,000 square feet.

Northeast Ohio’s vacancy rate is at 8.4%, the second lowest point in the last five years, with the only lower rate coming in the last
quarter of 2007. This nearly mirrors the national rate of 7.9%2 and indicates the demand for industrial space in Northeast Ohio remains
strong. This also suggests a stable real estate market.

Specifically, the occupied space continues to grow at a moderate rate. In addition, vacancy rates for manufacturing space are the lowest
they have been since 2003.




The market is watching Northeast Ohio:
                           •Real Estate Research Corporation states that
                            Cleveland is one of the top ten industrial markets
                            to watch in 2008.

                           •The December 2007 Heartland Real Estate Business
                            publication stated the Akron/Canton area is a
                            market that people should keep their eye on for
                            the future.
1 Based on rankings of Existing Industrial Inventory, Colliers International North American Industrial Report, Q1 2008.
2 Grubb and Ellis North American Industrial Market Report, Q1 2008.
“The general market for space is
 public perception would lead y
                                              Northeast Ohio Occupied Industrial Space:
                                                                                                                                                                         The graph shows the total
                                                             2003–2008                                                                                                   amount of industrial space
                                                                      32,214,618                 371,265,554
                                                                                                                                                                         occupied by quarter, from the
                                                                                                                                           369
                          380                403,670,905              34,460,903                 369,210,002
                                                                                                                                                                         first quarter of 2003 through
                                                                                                                                           369
                                             403,800,985              34,022,815                 369,778,170
                                                                                                                                           366
                                             403,977,146              36,986,657                 366,990,489
                                                                                                                                                                         the first quarter of 2008. Over
                                                                                                                                           364
                                             404,692,638              39,855,489                 364,837,149
                                                                                                                                                                         this period, total occupied
                          375                                                                                                              365
                                             405,099,348              39,230,654                 365,868,694
 Square Feet (Millions)




                                                                                                                                           367
                                             406,624,789              38,644,911                 367,979,878
                                                                                                                                                                         industrial space has increased
                                                                                                                                           369
                                             407,178,000              37,883,300                 369,294,700
                                                                                                                                                                         by approximately 11 million
                                                                                                                                           372
                                             408,487,815              35,728,080                 372,759,735
                          370                                                                                                              372
                                             408,555,915              35,750,581                 372,805,334
                                                                                                                                                                         square feet.
                                                                                                                                           372
                                             409,103,978              36,390,391                 372,713,587
                                                                                                                                           369
                                             409,607,686              39,936,244                 369,671,442
                                                                                                                                           372
                                             409,900,641              37,867,652                 372,032,989
                          365                                                                                                              371
                                             409,947,141              38,076,933                 371,870,208
                                                                                                                                           372
                                             409,955,391              37,241,277                 372,714,114
                                                                                                                                           371
                                             410,176,715              38,414,921                 371,761,794
                                                                                                                                           372
                                             410,241,015              37,596,877                 372,644,138
                          360                                                                                                              373
                                             410,380,795              36,417,291                 373,963,504
                                        Q1

                                              Q2

                                                   Q3

                                                         Q4

                                                               Q1

                                                                    Q2

                                                                         Q3

                                                                               Q4

                                                                                     Q1

                                                                                          Q2

                                                                                               Q3

                                                                                                      Q4

                                                                                                            Q1

                                                                                                                 Q2

                                                                                                                        Q3

                                                                                                                              Q4

                                                                                                                                    Q1

                                                                                                                                          Q2

                                                                                                                                                Q3

                                                                                                                                                       Q4

                                                                                                                                                             Q1
                                                                                                                                           375
                                             410,459,659              35,294,212                 375,165,447
                                                                                                                                           377
                                                                      33,859,369            2005 377,157,582
                                               2003                 2004                                         2006                      2007             2008
                                                                                                                                           376
                                                                      34,589,053                 376,484,148




                                                   Northeast Ohio Industrial Vacancy Rates:
                                                                 2003–2008
                                    16.0%

                                    14.0%
                     Vacancy Rate




                                    12.0%

                                    10.0%

                                     8.0%

                                     6.0%
                                              Q1




                                                              Q3

                                                                    Q4

                                                                          Q1




                                                                                          Q3

                                                                                                 Q4

                                                                                                           Q1




                                                                                                                         Q3

                                                                                                                                   Q4

                                                                                                                                           Q1




                                                                                                                                                            Q3

                                                                                                                                                                   Q4

                                                                                                                                                                        Q1




                                                                                                                                                                                  Q3

                                                                                                                                                                                       Q4

                                                                                                                                                                                             Q1
                                                    Q2




                                                                                    Q2




                                                                                                                 Q2




                                                                                                                                                  Q2




                                                                                                                                                                             Q2




                                                        2003                         2004                             2005                           2006                     2007          2008

                                                                         NEO                                                             Canton-Massillon MSA
                                                                         Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor MSA                                     Youngstown-Warren-Boardman MSA

                                                                         Akron MSA




The graph above depicts industrial vacancy rates for Northeast Ohio (see Data Sources) and the Metropolitan Statistical Areas
(MSAs) within the 16-county region. The vacancy rate for Northeast Ohio is similar to the U.S. as a whole.

Due to data limitations, trend data was only available for NEO, the Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor MSA, and the Akron MSA, while snapshots
of current industrial vacancy rates were available for the Canton-Massillon MSA and the Youngstown-Warren-Boardman MSA.

Full data history is not available on the Canton–Massillon or Youngstown–Warren–Boardman MSAs, but has been included as a
point of reference for where these MSAs currently stand.
s a lot stronger than what
you to believe.”
 — Bob DeHoff, president of DeHoff Development and Prudential DeHoff Realtors


 “Much of the interest for expansions is  coming from the
   manufacturing sector, as U.S.-made products become more
   attractive internationally due to the weakened dollar.”
                                                                                                    — Grubb and Ellis, Q1 2008


                                  Northeast Ohio Industrial Space:
                           Manufacturing vs. Distribution and All Other Uses:
                                             2003–2008
                   16.0%
                   15.0%
                   14.0%
    Vacancy Rate




                   13.0%
                   12.0%
                   11.0%
                   10.0%
                    9.0%
                    8.0%
                           Q1

                                  Q2

                                        Q3

                                              Q4

                                                    Q1

                                                         Q2

                                                               Q3

                                                                     Q4

                                                                           Q1

                                                                                 Q2

                                                                                       Q3

                                                                                            Q4

                                                                                                   Q1

                                                                                                        Q2

                                                                                                              Q3

                                                                                                                    Q4

                                                                                                                          Q1

                                                                                                                               Q2

                                                                                                                                      Q3

                                                                                                                                           Q4

                                                                                                                                                 Q1
                                    2003                   2004                   2005                    2006                   2007           2008

                                                          Manufacturing                       Distribution/All Other Uses




                                The graph above shows the vacancy rates of space when broken down into two subcategories: manufacturing
                                space, and distribution and all other uses (see Data Sources). Vacancy rates for manufacturing space have declined
                                significantly over the past several years, while rates in all other industrial space are nearly 2% lower than they were at
                                their peak in 2005. Both mirror steady gains in the Cleveland Plus™ industrial economy.



 “Although some tentativeness exists, businesses are still
  looking for and committing to industrial space. Many
  prospects are actually very surprised to find the market is
  much tighter than they expected.”
                                                                        — Joseph Martanovic, senior vice president
                                                         with the Colliers Ostendorf-Morris Industrial Services Group
Industries                                                                            Quarterly Unemployment Rate
      Susceptible to                                                  7.5%


Seasonality Impacted                                                  7.0%


 Unemployment Rate                                                    6.5%

                                                                      6.0%

             For several reasons, the unemployment rate               5.5%
             usually jumps higher in the first quarter. The
                                                                      5.0%
                quarterly unemployment rate for Northeast
              Ohio increased in Q1 of 2008 to just under              4.5%
                 6.5%. This upward shift was identical to             4.0%
             the change in national unemployment, with
                                                                             Q1
                                                                                  Q2
                                                                                       Q3
                                                                                            Q4
                                                                                                 Q1
                                                                                                      Q2
                                                                                                           Q3
                                                                                                                Q4
                                                                                                                     Q1
                                                                                                                          Q2
                                                                                                                               Q3
                                                                                                                                    Q4
                                                                                                                                         Q1
                                                                                                                                              Q2
                                                                                                                                                   Q3
                                                                                                                                                        Q4
                                                                                                                                                             Q1
                                                                                                                                                                  Q2
                                                                                                                                                                       Q3
                                                                                                                                                                            Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                 Q1
                                                                                                                                                                                      Q2
                                                                                                                                                                                           Q3
                                                                                                                                                                                                Q4
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Q1
               both rates increasing 71 basis points. This                        2002                2003                2004                2005                  2006              2007           2008
              upward shift is largely the result of softness
                                                                                                             NEO 16                  Ohio                    U.S.
              in the service and construction sectors. The
                            unemployment rate was 6.0%
                                            in Q1 of 2007.                                                                                     Source: Ohio Labor Market Information (LAUS Data)




Employment Numbers Reflect Typical Decrease
from Q4 to Q1
                         Northeast Ohio Total Employment                                                                       This chart shows the total jobs in Northeast Ohio
                                                                                                                               without seasonal adjustment.
                                       (Not Seasonally Adjusted)
                                                                                                                               Looking at the history for each quarter makes
             2.08
                                                                                                                               it easier to see year-to-year comparisons. The
             2.06
                                                                                                                               overall trend also illustrates the seasonal pattern
             2.04
                                                                                                                               in employment. Total jobs usually are highest in
             2.02
(Millions)




                                                                                                                               Q3 and lowest in Q1.
             2.00
             1.98
                                                                                                                               Total employment in Northeast Ohio declined
             1.96                                                                                                              to just under 2 million workers in Q1 of 2008.
                                                                                                                               This follows the traditional downward trend that
             1.94
                    2002
                    2003
                    2004
                    2005
                    2006
                    2007
                    2008

                                        2002
                                        2003
                                        2004
                                        2005
                                        2006
                                        2007

                                                          2002
                                                          2003
                                                          2004
                                                          2005
                                                          2006
                                                          2007

                                                                                  2002
                                                                                  2003
                                                                                  2004
                                                                                  2005
                                                                                  2006
                                                                                  2007




                                                                                                                               occurs between Q4 and Q1 due to changes in
                                                                                                                               seasonal employment. Compared to a year ago,
                           Q1                   Q2                 Q3                       Q4
                                                                                                                               employment was down over 16,500, on par
                                                                                                                               with 2006 and above 2004 and 2005. National
                                                                                                                               employment has fallen for the last five months.
                                                       Source: Ohio Labor Market Information (LAUS Data)
Northeast Ohio economy
still showing growth.
Modest Growth Expected                                                                                                      Northeast Ohio: Real GRP
                                                                                                                                            Billions (2007 Dollars)

to Continue in 2008                                                                     $190
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       0.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                       0.7% 0.2%
                                                                                        $180
                                                                                                                                                                                               1.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                       12.6%
Northeast Ohio is seeing its seventh consecutive year of                                                                                                                       1.8%
                                                                                        $170                                                              0.3% (-1.9)% 1.2%
                                                                                                                                             2.6% 1.2%
growth and has grown in 14 of the last 15 years. We                                                                                 4.8%
                                                                                        $160                                 3.0%
expect modest growth to continue through 2008.                                                                       3.8%
                                                                                        $150                  5.1%
                                                                                                       0.3%
                                                                                                3.6%

The 2008 number was adjusted down as was 2007.                                          $140


This data comes from Moody’s Economy.com, which                                         $130

continues to revise its estimates. Even now, 2007                                       $120
                                                                                               1992    1993   1994   1995    1996   1997    1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003    2004    2005
remains an estimated number. It comes as no surprise                                                                                                                                                   2006     2007   2008

                                                                                                                            Real GRP            Average Annual Growth = 1.9%
that these numbers were adjusted down, as we know
the economy weakened at the end of 2007 and the
                                                                                                                                                                                         Source: Moody’s Economy.com
beginning of 2008. The gap between the Average
Annual Growth trend line and the 2007 and 2008 bars
is representative of softness in both the national and
local economies.


About Team NEO
Team NEO markets Northeast Ohio to attract business investment in targeted industry clusters. The organization is a joint venture of the largest
metro chambers, representing 16 counties and their 4 million people. Team NEO serves as a central resource, informing and serving those
considering investment in Northeast Ohio and is a co-founder of the Cleveland Plus™ Marketing Alliance, a coalition to drive strategic, long-term
marketing for Northeast Ohio. For more information, visit www.teamneo.org.

Data Sources: Team Northeast Ohio uses a number of data sources for the Regional Economic Review.
One of the primary sources is the Moody’s Economy.com (www.economy.com) Northeast Ohio modeling
system. This firm is the leading independent provider of economic, financial and industry research and data
that specializes in national and metropolitan economic growth forecasts. Moody’s Economy.com county
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Ashtabula
                                                                                                                                                                                               Lake
level output, employment and payroll historical data are estimated from several publicly available sources
and are summarized into the Team NEO regional footprint. It is important to understand data provided by
Economy.com are estimates of economic activity.
                                                                                                                                                                               Cleveland Geauga
Team NEO also uses data from federal and state sources as part of the report. As with Economy.com, the
                                                                                                                                                                         Cuyahoga
information for the Team NEO footprint is derived from data reported at either the county or metropolitan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Trumbull
level. We rely heavily on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov) and Ohio’s Labor                                                     Lorain
Market Information (www.lmi.state.oh.us) for information on wages, unemployment and both general and
                                                                                                                                                                                Summit Portage
industry-specific employment. In addition, Team NEO uses data from the Census (www.census.gov) to track
                                                                                                                                                                                               Youngstown
housing-related activity including the number of single and multifamily permits, as well as their values.                                                           Medina          Akron
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Mahoning
Industrial data for this edition was derived from the CoStar Group. The CoStar Group is a leading provider
of commercial real estate data throughout the United States, covering more than 58 billion square feet of                                              Ashland
property throughout the country.                                                                                                                                    Wayne                                       Columbiana
                                                                                                                                                                                               Canton
                                                                                                                                            Richland                                  Stark
Due to market limits within the CoStar database, historic trend data for the Team NEO region is defined as
10 of the 16 counties forming the regional footprint. These counties include Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga,
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Carroll
Lake, Lorain, Medina, Portage, Richland, Stark and Summit.

Additionally, the industrial property breakdown between manufacturing and distribution and all other uses
is defined by industrial properties classifying a second use. This encompasses approximately 70% of all                                    Cleveland Plus 16-County Region
industrial properties.


                                                                                                                                                            737 Bolivar Road, Suite 2000, Cleveland, Ohio 44115
                                                                                                                                              888.NEO.1411 • www.teamneo.org • www.clevelandplusbusiness.com

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June 2008 Cleveland Plus Quarterly Economic Review

  • 1. Our partners include: Greater Cleveland Partnership Greater Akron Chamber Stark Development Board Team Lorain County Youngstown-Warren Regional Chamber Medina County Economic Development Corporation Northeast Ohio Economic Review June 2008 Volume 2, Issue 2 The demand for industrial real estate in Cleveland Plus is ™ strong, and growing.
  • 2. Team Northeast Ohio looks at the overall climate of commercial real estate in our next two editions of the Northeast Ohio Economic Review. This June 2008 edition takes a look at industrial real estate. Then in September, we will cover the market for office space in our 16-county Cleveland Plus™ region. The industrial real estate market is strong, and demand is growing in Northeast Ohio. According to Colliers Ostendorf-Morris, Cleveland ranks as the nation’s ninth largest area of industrial space. This, when coupled with the industrial space throughout the 16-county region, ranks Northeast Ohio as the sixth largest industrial market in North America.1 Northeast Ohio has a total stock of industrial square feet larger than at any time since 2000, with approximately 411 million square feet in total. In 11 of the past 16 quarters, the industrial market has seen positive net change in space being used. In fact, we’re using over 11 million more industrial square feet than we used in early 2004. Even in a slower economy, the demand for industrial space is growing. And it’s worth noting the industrial real estate market is not facing the same constraints as the residential market. According to Grubb and Ellis, companies are looking for modern, efficient facilities, despite the uncertainty reported in the current economic climate. A great number of these modern facilities can be found in areas such as Solon and Glenwillow, which currently are seeing the construction of nearly 600,000 square feet. Northeast Ohio’s vacancy rate is at 8.4%, the second lowest point in the last five years, with the only lower rate coming in the last quarter of 2007. This nearly mirrors the national rate of 7.9%2 and indicates the demand for industrial space in Northeast Ohio remains strong. This also suggests a stable real estate market. Specifically, the occupied space continues to grow at a moderate rate. In addition, vacancy rates for manufacturing space are the lowest they have been since 2003. The market is watching Northeast Ohio: •Real Estate Research Corporation states that Cleveland is one of the top ten industrial markets to watch in 2008. •The December 2007 Heartland Real Estate Business publication stated the Akron/Canton area is a market that people should keep their eye on for the future. 1 Based on rankings of Existing Industrial Inventory, Colliers International North American Industrial Report, Q1 2008. 2 Grubb and Ellis North American Industrial Market Report, Q1 2008.
  • 3. “The general market for space is public perception would lead y Northeast Ohio Occupied Industrial Space: The graph shows the total 2003–2008 amount of industrial space 32,214,618 371,265,554 occupied by quarter, from the 369 380 403,670,905 34,460,903 369,210,002 first quarter of 2003 through 369 403,800,985 34,022,815 369,778,170 366 403,977,146 36,986,657 366,990,489 the first quarter of 2008. Over 364 404,692,638 39,855,489 364,837,149 this period, total occupied 375 365 405,099,348 39,230,654 365,868,694 Square Feet (Millions) 367 406,624,789 38,644,911 367,979,878 industrial space has increased 369 407,178,000 37,883,300 369,294,700 by approximately 11 million 372 408,487,815 35,728,080 372,759,735 370 372 408,555,915 35,750,581 372,805,334 square feet. 372 409,103,978 36,390,391 372,713,587 369 409,607,686 39,936,244 369,671,442 372 409,900,641 37,867,652 372,032,989 365 371 409,947,141 38,076,933 371,870,208 372 409,955,391 37,241,277 372,714,114 371 410,176,715 38,414,921 371,761,794 372 410,241,015 37,596,877 372,644,138 360 373 410,380,795 36,417,291 373,963,504 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 375 410,459,659 35,294,212 375,165,447 377 33,859,369 2005 377,157,582 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 376 34,589,053 376,484,148 Northeast Ohio Industrial Vacancy Rates: 2003–2008 16.0% 14.0% Vacancy Rate 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% Q1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 Q2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 NEO Canton-Massillon MSA Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor MSA Youngstown-Warren-Boardman MSA Akron MSA The graph above depicts industrial vacancy rates for Northeast Ohio (see Data Sources) and the Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) within the 16-county region. The vacancy rate for Northeast Ohio is similar to the U.S. as a whole. Due to data limitations, trend data was only available for NEO, the Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor MSA, and the Akron MSA, while snapshots of current industrial vacancy rates were available for the Canton-Massillon MSA and the Youngstown-Warren-Boardman MSA. Full data history is not available on the Canton–Massillon or Youngstown–Warren–Boardman MSAs, but has been included as a point of reference for where these MSAs currently stand.
  • 4. s a lot stronger than what you to believe.” — Bob DeHoff, president of DeHoff Development and Prudential DeHoff Realtors “Much of the interest for expansions is coming from the manufacturing sector, as U.S.-made products become more attractive internationally due to the weakened dollar.” — Grubb and Ellis, Q1 2008 Northeast Ohio Industrial Space: Manufacturing vs. Distribution and All Other Uses: 2003–2008 16.0% 15.0% 14.0% Vacancy Rate 13.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Manufacturing Distribution/All Other Uses The graph above shows the vacancy rates of space when broken down into two subcategories: manufacturing space, and distribution and all other uses (see Data Sources). Vacancy rates for manufacturing space have declined significantly over the past several years, while rates in all other industrial space are nearly 2% lower than they were at their peak in 2005. Both mirror steady gains in the Cleveland Plus™ industrial economy. “Although some tentativeness exists, businesses are still looking for and committing to industrial space. Many prospects are actually very surprised to find the market is much tighter than they expected.” — Joseph Martanovic, senior vice president with the Colliers Ostendorf-Morris Industrial Services Group
  • 5. Industries Quarterly Unemployment Rate Susceptible to 7.5% Seasonality Impacted 7.0% Unemployment Rate 6.5% 6.0% For several reasons, the unemployment rate 5.5% usually jumps higher in the first quarter. The 5.0% quarterly unemployment rate for Northeast Ohio increased in Q1 of 2008 to just under 4.5% 6.5%. This upward shift was identical to 4.0% the change in national unemployment, with Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 both rates increasing 71 basis points. This 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 upward shift is largely the result of softness NEO 16 Ohio U.S. in the service and construction sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% in Q1 of 2007. Source: Ohio Labor Market Information (LAUS Data) Employment Numbers Reflect Typical Decrease from Q4 to Q1 Northeast Ohio Total Employment This chart shows the total jobs in Northeast Ohio without seasonal adjustment. (Not Seasonally Adjusted) Looking at the history for each quarter makes 2.08 it easier to see year-to-year comparisons. The 2.06 overall trend also illustrates the seasonal pattern 2.04 in employment. Total jobs usually are highest in 2.02 (Millions) Q3 and lowest in Q1. 2.00 1.98 Total employment in Northeast Ohio declined 1.96 to just under 2 million workers in Q1 of 2008. This follows the traditional downward trend that 1.94 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 occurs between Q4 and Q1 due to changes in seasonal employment. Compared to a year ago, Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 employment was down over 16,500, on par with 2006 and above 2004 and 2005. National employment has fallen for the last five months. Source: Ohio Labor Market Information (LAUS Data)
  • 6. Northeast Ohio economy still showing growth. Modest Growth Expected Northeast Ohio: Real GRP Billions (2007 Dollars) to Continue in 2008 $190 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% $180 1.1% 12.6% Northeast Ohio is seeing its seventh consecutive year of 1.8% $170 0.3% (-1.9)% 1.2% 2.6% 1.2% growth and has grown in 14 of the last 15 years. We 4.8% $160 3.0% expect modest growth to continue through 2008. 3.8% $150 5.1% 0.3% 3.6% The 2008 number was adjusted down as was 2007. $140 This data comes from Moody’s Economy.com, which $130 continues to revise its estimates. Even now, 2007 $120 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 remains an estimated number. It comes as no surprise 2006 2007 2008 Real GRP Average Annual Growth = 1.9% that these numbers were adjusted down, as we know the economy weakened at the end of 2007 and the Source: Moody’s Economy.com beginning of 2008. The gap between the Average Annual Growth trend line and the 2007 and 2008 bars is representative of softness in both the national and local economies. About Team NEO Team NEO markets Northeast Ohio to attract business investment in targeted industry clusters. The organization is a joint venture of the largest metro chambers, representing 16 counties and their 4 million people. Team NEO serves as a central resource, informing and serving those considering investment in Northeast Ohio and is a co-founder of the Cleveland Plus™ Marketing Alliance, a coalition to drive strategic, long-term marketing for Northeast Ohio. For more information, visit www.teamneo.org. Data Sources: Team Northeast Ohio uses a number of data sources for the Regional Economic Review. One of the primary sources is the Moody’s Economy.com (www.economy.com) Northeast Ohio modeling system. This firm is the leading independent provider of economic, financial and industry research and data that specializes in national and metropolitan economic growth forecasts. Moody’s Economy.com county Ashtabula Lake level output, employment and payroll historical data are estimated from several publicly available sources and are summarized into the Team NEO regional footprint. It is important to understand data provided by Economy.com are estimates of economic activity. Cleveland Geauga Team NEO also uses data from federal and state sources as part of the report. As with Economy.com, the Cuyahoga information for the Team NEO footprint is derived from data reported at either the county or metropolitan Trumbull level. We rely heavily on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov) and Ohio’s Labor Lorain Market Information (www.lmi.state.oh.us) for information on wages, unemployment and both general and Summit Portage industry-specific employment. In addition, Team NEO uses data from the Census (www.census.gov) to track Youngstown housing-related activity including the number of single and multifamily permits, as well as their values. Medina Akron Mahoning Industrial data for this edition was derived from the CoStar Group. The CoStar Group is a leading provider of commercial real estate data throughout the United States, covering more than 58 billion square feet of Ashland property throughout the country. Wayne Columbiana Canton Richland Stark Due to market limits within the CoStar database, historic trend data for the Team NEO region is defined as 10 of the 16 counties forming the regional footprint. These counties include Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Carroll Lake, Lorain, Medina, Portage, Richland, Stark and Summit. Additionally, the industrial property breakdown between manufacturing and distribution and all other uses is defined by industrial properties classifying a second use. This encompasses approximately 70% of all Cleveland Plus 16-County Region industrial properties. 737 Bolivar Road, Suite 2000, Cleveland, Ohio 44115 888.NEO.1411 • www.teamneo.org • www.clevelandplusbusiness.com