Technology is moving at an ever greater pace, with new frameworks, languages and processes emerging almost constantly. Alongside changes to your tools and techniques for building products, consumers and businesses are undergoing digital transformations of their own, which means that user demands and expectations are also in flux at any given moment.
Bethan will explore how stakeholders/PMs/POs and development teams can respond to an ever shifting landscape (note: agile is only part of the answer) and offer some suggestions on dealing with the unknown future that is approaching at an ever greater pace.
6. 📈 Accelerating page of change
🌍 Global technological transformation
🔥 Demographic, political and social instability
🆘 Plethora of existential threats
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7. Thanks for the socio-geo-political-
cultural critique
Why is this relevant to my work? 🧐
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8. We build and operate constrained by ideology
and social pressures
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9. 1. We rely on historical data to predict the
future
1. We encourage consensus and conformity
1. We think we can know it all
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12. Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly
Improbable, Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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13. “Data for data’s sake, or the mindless
gathering of big data, without any
conceptual framework for organizing and
understanding it, may actually be bad or
even dangerous.”
Geoffrey West, Scale
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14. ● Understand the role confirmation bias in
decision making at all levels
● Accept and expect the unexpected - even if
stakeholders/clients don’t
● Use data to refute, not confirm
@BethanVincent
As a Marxist historiography he has focused on analysis of the "dual revolution" (the political French Revolution and the British Industrial Revolution). He saw their effect as a driving force behind the predominant trend towards liberal capitalism today. Macro-trends which influenced micro-outcomes
All things I think Scrum helps with
VUCA world (Volatile, Uncertain, Complex and Ambiguous – an acronym used by the US army"
Are we heading towards a technological singularity
Technology is no longer the preserve of the rich, culturally homogenous west
Late stage neoliberal capitalism and the end of the nation state
Building products and software that have high product/market fit is a hard task regardless, this is made even harder by the shifting stands of a society that is an accelerating state of flux.
Building products and software that have high product/market fit is a hard task regardless, this is made even harder by the shifting stands of a society that is an accelerating state of flux.
It’s naive to predict the future from the past
“Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race “looking out for its best interests,” as a politician would say. On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief.*”
Effect of improbable events
Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that affirms one's prior beliefs or hypotheses.[1] It is a type of cognitive bias and a systematic error of inductive reasoning.
All things I think Scrum helps with
Natural systems survive by encouraging diversity, eccentricity, instability. They maximize the fringes.
“We have been cursed to live in interesting times”
Natural systems survive by encouraging diversity, eccentricity, instability. They maximize the fringes.
Mention Specfox
We live in an age of networked systems, socially, economically, globally - right down to the infrastructure we use to build and serve our products
We live in an age of networked systems, socially, economically, globally - right down to the infrastructure we use to build and serve our products
Natural systems distribute intelligence outward and reject central authority. They control from the bottom up.