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www.rudrashares.com 1
As one of the largest producers of zinc, lead and silver in the world,
Hindustan Zinc is well positioned to reduce India’s dependence
on imports and take on the mantle of creating a sustainable metal
value chain. With a share of over 75% by volume, it enjoys a domi-
nant position in the domestic zinc market.
HZL’s overall reserves and resources ensure a long-term mine
life of over 25 years even though they reduced to 403 million
MT in FY19 from 411 MMT in FY18.Company produced 13.8
MMT of ore in FY19, supported by a 27% on yearly basis incre-
ment in ore production from underground mines. However,
considering the reserves, the mine life is about eight years at
the current production run rate of 1 million tones of metal
content.
LEAD RATIONALE
24 MARCH 2020
Index Detail
Sensex 26,674.03
Nifty 7801.05
CMP (`) 125
TARGET (`) 145
Upside 16%
M.Cap (` in cr) 52813
Equity ( ` in cr) 845
52 wk H/L ` 291/122
Face Value ` 2
NSE Code HINDZINC
BSE Code 500188
Stock Data
POSITIONAL CALL
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD
P/E 7.06
P/BV 1.35
BV 92.48
Valuation Data
EV 55327.50
Net Worth 39071
EPS(TTM) 17.70
Key Financial Data
In foreseeable future, company's financial metrics will remain strong
backed by healthy profitability like large net worth, high ROE
(22%) strong liquid surplus, high dividend yield (around 16% for
FY19 on interim basis), and growth capex in FY21. Besides, it
continued to be in a net cash position with high cash and equiva-
lent balance of `19,513 Crore as on December 31, 2019 compared
to `16,952 Crore for FY 2019 and was invested in high quality debt
instruments. Moving forward, company will maintain its favor-
able capital structure and strong liquidity over short to me-
dium term in this topsy-turvy market, driven by its leadership
position in the domestic market, strong parentage, high cash
accrual from core business, and efficient as well as integrated
operations.
Considering Q3 performance into perspective, company have
delivered good performance in a challenging market environ-
ment and are committed to maintain the growth trajectory
thereon.
www.rudrashares.com 2
In Q3FY20, cost of production without royalty (COP) increased to $1077(Rs. 76,571) per MT, higher
by 3% (4% in Rs) sequentially and higher by 8% y-o-y (7% in Rs), impacted by higher mine develop-
ment expenses and a one-off repair and maintenance expense of ~US$10/tone, partly offset by higher
volume, operational efficiencies and lower coal costs. In the next few years, the company expects to
move towards a long term COP target (without royalty) of US$900/tone. This can be achieved
through multiple levels such as operating leverage, reducing mine related inefficiencies
through digitization and increasing the share of minor metals.
POSITIONAL CALL
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD
As company derived about 2/3 of its zinc revenue from domestic sales (bulk of the sales directed
towards galvanization purposes in steel industry), any downturn in the domestic demand for steel,
driven by a lower demand from end-consumers namely automobiles, infrastructure and real estate
companies, could lead to a lower zinc demand. This will result in HZL relying on additional export
volumes incrementally as the refined zinc volumes ramp up. Going forward, expect domestic zinc
demand to pick up on the back of incremental demand from key user industries, especially railways
(setting targets to lay zinc-coated rails and has fitted stations with galvanized roofs to replace asbestos
sheets), this augurs well for domestic zinc demand. Additionally, the recent uptick in zinc and lead
prices on the LME augurs well. This will aid EBITDA margins to inch upwards from Q4 and
onwards.
www.rudrashares.com 3
Disclosures :
Business Activity :
Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited is engaged in the business of providing broking services & distribu-
tion of various financial products. RUDRA is also registered as a Research Analyst under SEBI(Research
Analyst) Regulations, 2014. SEBI Reg. No. INH100002524.
Disciplinary History :
There has been no instance of any Disciplinary action, penalty etc. levied/passed by any regula-
tion/administrative agencies against RUDRA and its Directors. Pursuant to SEBI inspection of books and
records of Rudra, as a Stock Broker, SEBI has not issued any Administrative warning to Rudra.
Terms & Conditions of issuance of Research Report:
The Research report is issued to the registered clients. The Research Report is based on the facts, figures
and information that are considered true, correct and reliable. The information is obtained from publicly
available media or other sources believed to be reliable. The report is prepared solely for informational pur-
pose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or
other financial instruments for clients.
Disclosures with regard to ownership and material conflicts of interest :
Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any direct or
Indirect financial interest in the subject company. NO
Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any other
material conflict of interest at time of publication of the research report. NO
Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associates have actual
ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company. NO
Disclosures with regard to receipt of compensation :
Rudra or its associates have received any compensation from the subject
company in the past twelve months. NO
Rudra or its associates have managed or co-managed public offering of
securities for the subject in the past twelve months. NO
Rudra or its associates have received any compensation or other benefits
from the subject company or third party in connection with the
research report . NO
POSITIONAL CALL
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD
www.rudrashares.com 4
Other Disclosures:
The research analyst has served as an officer,director,employee of the
subject company. NO
Rudra or its research analyst has been engaged in market making activity
for the subject company. NO
Rudra or its or associates have received any compensation from the
subject company in the past twelve months. NO
Disclaimers:
This Research Report (hereinafter called report) has been prepared and presented by RUDRA SHARES & STOCK
BROKERS LIMITED, which does not constitute any offer or advice to sell or does solicitation to buy any securities.
The information presented in this report, are for the intended recipients only. Further, the intended recipients are ad-
vised to exercise restraint in placing any dependence on this report, as the sender, Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers
Limited, neither guarantees the accuracy of any information contained herein nor assumes any responsibility in rela-
tion to losses arising from the errors of fact, opinion or the dependence placed on the same.
Despite the information in this document has been previewed on the basis of publicly available information, internal
data , personal views of the research analyst(s)and other reliable sources, believed to be true, we do not represent it as
accurate, complete or exhaustive. It should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only.
Besides this, the research analyst(s) are bound by stringent internal regulations and legal and statutory requirements
of the Securities and Exchange Board of India( SEBI) and the analysts' compensation was, is, or will be not directly
or indirectly related with the other companies and/or entities of Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd and have no bear-
ing whatsoever on any recommendation, that they have given in the research report. Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers
Ltd or any of its affiliates/group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any such loss or damage that may
arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Rudra Shares & Stock Bro-
kers Ltd has not independently verified all the information, which has been obtained by the company for analysis
purpose, from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Accordingly, we neither testify nor
make any representation or warranty, express or implied, of the accuracy, contents or data contained within this
document. Rudra Share & Stock Brokers Ltd and its affiliates are engaged in investment advisory, stock broking,
retail & HNI and other financial services. Details of affiliates are available on our website i.e. www.rudrashares.com.
We hereby declare, that the information herein may change any time due to the volatile market conditions, therefore,
it is advised to use own discretion and judgment while entering into any transactions, whatsoever.
Individuals employed as research analyst by Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or their associates are not allowed to
deal or trade in securities, within thirty days before and five days after the publication of a research report as pre-
scribed under SEBI Research Analyst Regulations.
Subject to the restrictions mentioned in above paragraph, we and our affiliates, officers, directors, employees and
their relative may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions acting as a principal in, and buy or sell the secu-
rities or derivatives thereof, of Company mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such
securities and earn brokerage or profits.
POSITIONAL CALL
HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD

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Hindustan zinc ltd

  • 1. www.rudrashares.com 1 As one of the largest producers of zinc, lead and silver in the world, Hindustan Zinc is well positioned to reduce India’s dependence on imports and take on the mantle of creating a sustainable metal value chain. With a share of over 75% by volume, it enjoys a domi- nant position in the domestic zinc market. HZL’s overall reserves and resources ensure a long-term mine life of over 25 years even though they reduced to 403 million MT in FY19 from 411 MMT in FY18.Company produced 13.8 MMT of ore in FY19, supported by a 27% on yearly basis incre- ment in ore production from underground mines. However, considering the reserves, the mine life is about eight years at the current production run rate of 1 million tones of metal content. LEAD RATIONALE 24 MARCH 2020 Index Detail Sensex 26,674.03 Nifty 7801.05 CMP (`) 125 TARGET (`) 145 Upside 16% M.Cap (` in cr) 52813 Equity ( ` in cr) 845 52 wk H/L ` 291/122 Face Value ` 2 NSE Code HINDZINC BSE Code 500188 Stock Data POSITIONAL CALL HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD P/E 7.06 P/BV 1.35 BV 92.48 Valuation Data EV 55327.50 Net Worth 39071 EPS(TTM) 17.70 Key Financial Data In foreseeable future, company's financial metrics will remain strong backed by healthy profitability like large net worth, high ROE (22%) strong liquid surplus, high dividend yield (around 16% for FY19 on interim basis), and growth capex in FY21. Besides, it continued to be in a net cash position with high cash and equiva- lent balance of `19,513 Crore as on December 31, 2019 compared to `16,952 Crore for FY 2019 and was invested in high quality debt instruments. Moving forward, company will maintain its favor- able capital structure and strong liquidity over short to me- dium term in this topsy-turvy market, driven by its leadership position in the domestic market, strong parentage, high cash accrual from core business, and efficient as well as integrated operations. Considering Q3 performance into perspective, company have delivered good performance in a challenging market environ- ment and are committed to maintain the growth trajectory thereon.
  • 2. www.rudrashares.com 2 In Q3FY20, cost of production without royalty (COP) increased to $1077(Rs. 76,571) per MT, higher by 3% (4% in Rs) sequentially and higher by 8% y-o-y (7% in Rs), impacted by higher mine develop- ment expenses and a one-off repair and maintenance expense of ~US$10/tone, partly offset by higher volume, operational efficiencies and lower coal costs. In the next few years, the company expects to move towards a long term COP target (without royalty) of US$900/tone. This can be achieved through multiple levels such as operating leverage, reducing mine related inefficiencies through digitization and increasing the share of minor metals. POSITIONAL CALL HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD As company derived about 2/3 of its zinc revenue from domestic sales (bulk of the sales directed towards galvanization purposes in steel industry), any downturn in the domestic demand for steel, driven by a lower demand from end-consumers namely automobiles, infrastructure and real estate companies, could lead to a lower zinc demand. This will result in HZL relying on additional export volumes incrementally as the refined zinc volumes ramp up. Going forward, expect domestic zinc demand to pick up on the back of incremental demand from key user industries, especially railways (setting targets to lay zinc-coated rails and has fitted stations with galvanized roofs to replace asbestos sheets), this augurs well for domestic zinc demand. Additionally, the recent uptick in zinc and lead prices on the LME augurs well. This will aid EBITDA margins to inch upwards from Q4 and onwards.
  • 3. www.rudrashares.com 3 Disclosures : Business Activity : Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited is engaged in the business of providing broking services & distribu- tion of various financial products. RUDRA is also registered as a Research Analyst under SEBI(Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014. SEBI Reg. No. INH100002524. Disciplinary History : There has been no instance of any Disciplinary action, penalty etc. levied/passed by any regula- tion/administrative agencies against RUDRA and its Directors. Pursuant to SEBI inspection of books and records of Rudra, as a Stock Broker, SEBI has not issued any Administrative warning to Rudra. Terms & Conditions of issuance of Research Report: The Research report is issued to the registered clients. The Research Report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct and reliable. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. The report is prepared solely for informational pur- pose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for clients. Disclosures with regard to ownership and material conflicts of interest : Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any direct or Indirect financial interest in the subject company. NO Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any other material conflict of interest at time of publication of the research report. NO Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associates have actual ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company. NO Disclosures with regard to receipt of compensation : Rudra or its associates have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. NO Rudra or its associates have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject in the past twelve months. NO Rudra or its associates have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report . NO POSITIONAL CALL HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD
  • 4. www.rudrashares.com 4 Other Disclosures: The research analyst has served as an officer,director,employee of the subject company. NO Rudra or its research analyst has been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. NO Rudra or its or associates have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. NO Disclaimers: This Research Report (hereinafter called report) has been prepared and presented by RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LIMITED, which does not constitute any offer or advice to sell or does solicitation to buy any securities. The information presented in this report, are for the intended recipients only. Further, the intended recipients are ad- vised to exercise restraint in placing any dependence on this report, as the sender, Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited, neither guarantees the accuracy of any information contained herein nor assumes any responsibility in rela- tion to losses arising from the errors of fact, opinion or the dependence placed on the same. Despite the information in this document has been previewed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data , personal views of the research analyst(s)and other reliable sources, believed to be true, we do not represent it as accurate, complete or exhaustive. It should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Besides this, the research analyst(s) are bound by stringent internal regulations and legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange Board of India( SEBI) and the analysts' compensation was, is, or will be not directly or indirectly related with the other companies and/or entities of Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd and have no bear- ing whatsoever on any recommendation, that they have given in the research report. Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or any of its affiliates/group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any such loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Rudra Shares & Stock Bro- kers Ltd has not independently verified all the information, which has been obtained by the company for analysis purpose, from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Accordingly, we neither testify nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, of the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. Rudra Share & Stock Brokers Ltd and its affiliates are engaged in investment advisory, stock broking, retail & HNI and other financial services. Details of affiliates are available on our website i.e. www.rudrashares.com. We hereby declare, that the information herein may change any time due to the volatile market conditions, therefore, it is advised to use own discretion and judgment while entering into any transactions, whatsoever. Individuals employed as research analyst by Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or their associates are not allowed to deal or trade in securities, within thirty days before and five days after the publication of a research report as pre- scribed under SEBI Research Analyst Regulations. Subject to the restrictions mentioned in above paragraph, we and our affiliates, officers, directors, employees and their relative may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions acting as a principal in, and buy or sell the secu- rities or derivatives thereof, of Company mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or profits. POSITIONAL CALL HINDUSTAN ZINC LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD