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www.rudrashares.com 1
Company moved towards capturing its lost market share
as Jet Airways discontinued operations. Also, it has been
able to grab maximum number of airport slots that have
been vacated by Jet Airways.
Company registered passenger growth of 20% in Q1 FY20 while,
market share in the domestic market at 15.6%. Passenger growth in
the international market has also been healthy at 18%, Market posi-
tion has benefitted from availability of additional Jet Airways' air-
crafts. Furthermore, company has been allotted 130 slots va-
cated by Jet Airways ' largely on metros and Tier-I routes,
which should complement the company's strong presence in
routes connecting Tier-II and -III cities. Plans to signifi-
cantly increase fleet size to 130-140 aircraft by fiscal 2020
should further help maintain the market position.
LEAD RATIONALE
BUY | CMP 124 | TARGET 160 | POTENTIAL UPSIDE 29%
20 SEPTEMBER 2019
M.Cap (` in cr) 7436.53
Equity ( ` in cr) 599.72
52 wk H/L ` 156.90/72
Face Value ` 10.00
NSE Code SPICEJET
BSE Code 500285
Stock Data
POSITIONAL CALL
SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD
EV/EBITDA 10.63
P/BV -85.4
Valuation Data
EV 8466.58
Net Worth -87.07
BV -1.45
Healthy operating metrics
Currently, Spice Jet operates to 52 domestic and nine international destinations. It is the largest re-
gional player in the country with 51 daily UDAN flights (launched 18 UDAN flights during the
quarter) and operates to 12 destinations under the regional connectivity scheme providing air con-
nectivity to the remotest corners of the country.
Earmarking another important milestone, the airline, also launched its Guwahati-Dhaka flight under
the International Air Connectivity Scheme (IACS) which makes it the country’s first IACS flight.
In terms of operational parameters, company had the best passenger load factor amongst all air-
lines in the country during the quarter. The average domestic load factor for the quarter was
93.8%. For 50 months in a row, it has flown the highest load factors in the Indian aviation mar-
ket, a feat unparalleled globally. Furthermore, the company has put in concerted efforts in
building a strong brand by focusing on-time performance and minimal cancellations.
Ability to maintain PLFs while increasing passenger yields to partially balance the cost
pressures will be crucial for continued high operational efficiency and hence remain a
key monitor able.
www.rudrashares.com 2
POSITIONAL CALL
SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD
KEY HIGHLIGHTS:
Reported its highest ever quarterly profit in the June quarter. The profits were driven by other in-
come, including reimbursements from Boeing Co. for the revenue loss due to the grounding of 737
Max aircraft. The increase in yield was also aided by higher passenger traffic following the ground-
ing of Jet Airways, besides expanding its fleet size to cater to more routes and passengers.
Company is planning to onboard over 60 aircraft in FY20, with fleet size jumping nearly 2X
to 136 by FY20, as taken planes of the now-defunct Jet Airways.
In March, operated an average of 418 flights/day. In June, this number rose to 507 a day. Cur-
rently, operates 550 flights on an average/day. During the winter schedule, it would operate
4,316 flights every week (around 612 a day), an increase of 46% compared to year-ago.
Operations of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft will expect to resume by January 2020
Company converted 11 aircraft to mono class, while 20 more are to be converted. When all the
aircraft are converted, the airline will add 2,529,890 ASKs per day, taking the domestic capacity up
by 40 percent.
Capacity (in terms of Seat Kilometers) up by 31% while, Passenger fares up by 11%
Added 32 aircraft; aircraft fleet stands at 107 as on June 30, 2019
Spice jet is getting pricing power due to collapsed of Jet airways; company expects to boost its
profits in Q2 as well.
Company is planning an IPO for its cargo unit Spice Xpress in next one year. Currently, it has 4
freighters and expects to receive another 6 by end of year.
With the current developments and uncertainty around the exact month of resumption, the com-
pany plans to cater to the winter season by inducting 5-10 Boeing 737 NG aircraft and 3 Q400 air-
craft during October 2019.
www.rudrashares.com 3
POSITIONAL CALL
SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD
Particulars Q1 FY 20  Q-Q  Y-YQ4 FY 19 Q1 FY 19
Revenue 2922.54 17.80 33.732480.97 2185.47
EBITDA 764.10 356.64 1404.73167.33 50.78
PBT 262.89 262.46 -838.8772.53 -35.58
PAT 262.89 262.61 -838.8772.50 -35.58
EPS 4.39 262.81 -844.071.21 -0.59
Key Financials (` in crores)
REVENUE BREAKUP (Standalone)
www.rudrashares.com 4
Disclosures :
Business Activity :
Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited is engaged in the business of providing broking services & distribu-
tion of various financial products. RUDRA is also registered as a Research Analyst under SEBI(Research
Analyst) Regulations, 2014. SEBI Reg. No. INH100002524.
Disciplinary History :
There has been no instance of any Disciplinary action, penalty etc. levied/passed by any regula-
tion/administrative agencies against RUDRA and its Directors. Pursuant to SEBI inspection of books and
records of Rudra, as a Stock Broker, SEBI has not issued any Administrative warning to Rudra.
Terms & Conditions of issuance of Research Report:
The Research report is issued to the registered clients. The Research Report is based on the facts, figures
and information that are considered true, correct and reliable. The information is obtained from publicly
available media or other sources believed to be reliable. The report is prepared solely for informational pur-
pose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or
other financial instruments for clients.
Disclosures with regard to ownership and material conflicts of interest :
Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any direct or
Indirect financial interest in the subject company. NO
Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any other
material conflict of interest at time of publication of the research report. NO
Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associates have actual
ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company. NO
Disclosures with regard to receipt of compensation :
Rudra or its associates have received any compensation from the subject
company in the past twelve months. NO
Rudra or its associates have managed or co-managed public offering of
securities for the subject in the past twelve months. NO
Rudra or its associates have received any compensation or other benefits
from the subject company or third party in connection with the
research report . NO
POSITIONAL CALL
SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD
www.rudrashares.com 5
Other Disclosures:
The research analyst has served as an officer,director,employee of the
subject company. NO
Rudra or its research analyst has been engaged in market making activity
for the subject company. NO
Rudra or its or associates have received any compensation from the
subject company in the past twelve months. NO
Disclaimers:
This Research Report (hereinafter called report) has been prepared and presented by RUDRA SHARES & STOCK
BROKERS LIMITED, which does not constitute any offer or advice to sell or does solicitation to buy any securities.
The information presented in this report, are for the intended recipients only. Further, the intended recipients are ad-
vised to exercise restraint in placing any dependence on this report, as the sender, Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers
Limited, neither guarantees the accuracy of any information contained herein nor assumes any responsibility in rela-
tion to losses arising from the errors of fact, opinion or the dependence placed on the same.
Despite the information in this document has been previewed on the basis of publicly available information, internal
data , personal views of the research analyst(s)and other reliable sources, believed to be true, we do not represent it as
accurate, complete or exhaustive. It should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only.
Besides this, the research analyst(s) are bound by stringent internal regulations and legal and statutory requirements
of the Securities and Exchange Board of India( SEBI) and the analysts' compensation was, is, or will be not directly
or indirectly related with the other companies and/or entities of Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd and have no bear-
ing whatsoever on any recommendation, that they have given in the research report. Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers
Ltd or any of its affiliates/group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any such loss or damage that may
arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Rudra Shares & Stock Bro-
kers Ltd has not independently verified all the information, which has been obtained by the company for analysis
purpose, from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Accordingly, we neither testify nor
make any representation or warranty, express or implied, of the accuracy, contents or data contained within this
document. Rudra Share & Stock Brokers Ltd and its affiliates are engaged in investment advisory, stock broking,
retail & HNI and other financial services. Details of affiliates are available on our website i.e. www.rudrashares.com.
We hereby declare, that the information herein may change any time due to the volatile market conditions, therefore,
it is advised to use own discretion and judgment while entering into any transactions, whatsoever.
Individuals employed as research analyst by Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or their associates are not allowed to
deal or trade in securities, within thirty days before and five days after the publication of a research report as pre-
scribed under SEBI Research Analyst Regulations.
Subject to the restrictions mentioned in above paragraph, we and our affiliates, officers, directors, employees and
their relative may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions acting as a principal in, and buy or sell the secu-
rities or derivatives thereof, of Company mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such
securities and earn brokerage or profits.
POSITIONAL CALL
SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES &
STOCK BROKERS LTD

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Spicejet limited

  • 1. www.rudrashares.com 1 Company moved towards capturing its lost market share as Jet Airways discontinued operations. Also, it has been able to grab maximum number of airport slots that have been vacated by Jet Airways. Company registered passenger growth of 20% in Q1 FY20 while, market share in the domestic market at 15.6%. Passenger growth in the international market has also been healthy at 18%, Market posi- tion has benefitted from availability of additional Jet Airways' air- crafts. Furthermore, company has been allotted 130 slots va- cated by Jet Airways ' largely on metros and Tier-I routes, which should complement the company's strong presence in routes connecting Tier-II and -III cities. Plans to signifi- cantly increase fleet size to 130-140 aircraft by fiscal 2020 should further help maintain the market position. LEAD RATIONALE BUY | CMP 124 | TARGET 160 | POTENTIAL UPSIDE 29% 20 SEPTEMBER 2019 M.Cap (` in cr) 7436.53 Equity ( ` in cr) 599.72 52 wk H/L ` 156.90/72 Face Value ` 10.00 NSE Code SPICEJET BSE Code 500285 Stock Data POSITIONAL CALL SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD EV/EBITDA 10.63 P/BV -85.4 Valuation Data EV 8466.58 Net Worth -87.07 BV -1.45 Healthy operating metrics Currently, Spice Jet operates to 52 domestic and nine international destinations. It is the largest re- gional player in the country with 51 daily UDAN flights (launched 18 UDAN flights during the quarter) and operates to 12 destinations under the regional connectivity scheme providing air con- nectivity to the remotest corners of the country. Earmarking another important milestone, the airline, also launched its Guwahati-Dhaka flight under the International Air Connectivity Scheme (IACS) which makes it the country’s first IACS flight. In terms of operational parameters, company had the best passenger load factor amongst all air- lines in the country during the quarter. The average domestic load factor for the quarter was 93.8%. For 50 months in a row, it has flown the highest load factors in the Indian aviation mar- ket, a feat unparalleled globally. Furthermore, the company has put in concerted efforts in building a strong brand by focusing on-time performance and minimal cancellations. Ability to maintain PLFs while increasing passenger yields to partially balance the cost pressures will be crucial for continued high operational efficiency and hence remain a key monitor able.
  • 2. www.rudrashares.com 2 POSITIONAL CALL SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD KEY HIGHLIGHTS: Reported its highest ever quarterly profit in the June quarter. The profits were driven by other in- come, including reimbursements from Boeing Co. for the revenue loss due to the grounding of 737 Max aircraft. The increase in yield was also aided by higher passenger traffic following the ground- ing of Jet Airways, besides expanding its fleet size to cater to more routes and passengers. Company is planning to onboard over 60 aircraft in FY20, with fleet size jumping nearly 2X to 136 by FY20, as taken planes of the now-defunct Jet Airways. In March, operated an average of 418 flights/day. In June, this number rose to 507 a day. Cur- rently, operates 550 flights on an average/day. During the winter schedule, it would operate 4,316 flights every week (around 612 a day), an increase of 46% compared to year-ago. Operations of Boeing 737 MAX aircraft will expect to resume by January 2020 Company converted 11 aircraft to mono class, while 20 more are to be converted. When all the aircraft are converted, the airline will add 2,529,890 ASKs per day, taking the domestic capacity up by 40 percent. Capacity (in terms of Seat Kilometers) up by 31% while, Passenger fares up by 11% Added 32 aircraft; aircraft fleet stands at 107 as on June 30, 2019 Spice jet is getting pricing power due to collapsed of Jet airways; company expects to boost its profits in Q2 as well. Company is planning an IPO for its cargo unit Spice Xpress in next one year. Currently, it has 4 freighters and expects to receive another 6 by end of year. With the current developments and uncertainty around the exact month of resumption, the com- pany plans to cater to the winter season by inducting 5-10 Boeing 737 NG aircraft and 3 Q400 air- craft during October 2019.
  • 3. www.rudrashares.com 3 POSITIONAL CALL SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD Particulars Q1 FY 20  Q-Q  Y-YQ4 FY 19 Q1 FY 19 Revenue 2922.54 17.80 33.732480.97 2185.47 EBITDA 764.10 356.64 1404.73167.33 50.78 PBT 262.89 262.46 -838.8772.53 -35.58 PAT 262.89 262.61 -838.8772.50 -35.58 EPS 4.39 262.81 -844.071.21 -0.59 Key Financials (` in crores) REVENUE BREAKUP (Standalone)
  • 4. www.rudrashares.com 4 Disclosures : Business Activity : Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited is engaged in the business of providing broking services & distribu- tion of various financial products. RUDRA is also registered as a Research Analyst under SEBI(Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014. SEBI Reg. No. INH100002524. Disciplinary History : There has been no instance of any Disciplinary action, penalty etc. levied/passed by any regula- tion/administrative agencies against RUDRA and its Directors. Pursuant to SEBI inspection of books and records of Rudra, as a Stock Broker, SEBI has not issued any Administrative warning to Rudra. Terms & Conditions of issuance of Research Report: The Research report is issued to the registered clients. The Research Report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct and reliable. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. The report is prepared solely for informational pur- pose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for clients. Disclosures with regard to ownership and material conflicts of interest : Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any direct or Indirect financial interest in the subject company. NO Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associate has any other material conflict of interest at time of publication of the research report. NO Rudra or its research analysts, or his/her relative or associates have actual ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company. NO Disclosures with regard to receipt of compensation : Rudra or its associates have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. NO Rudra or its associates have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject in the past twelve months. NO Rudra or its associates have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report . NO POSITIONAL CALL SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD
  • 5. www.rudrashares.com 5 Other Disclosures: The research analyst has served as an officer,director,employee of the subject company. NO Rudra or its research analyst has been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. NO Rudra or its or associates have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. NO Disclaimers: This Research Report (hereinafter called report) has been prepared and presented by RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LIMITED, which does not constitute any offer or advice to sell or does solicitation to buy any securities. The information presented in this report, are for the intended recipients only. Further, the intended recipients are ad- vised to exercise restraint in placing any dependence on this report, as the sender, Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Limited, neither guarantees the accuracy of any information contained herein nor assumes any responsibility in rela- tion to losses arising from the errors of fact, opinion or the dependence placed on the same. Despite the information in this document has been previewed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data , personal views of the research analyst(s)and other reliable sources, believed to be true, we do not represent it as accurate, complete or exhaustive. It should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Besides this, the research analyst(s) are bound by stringent internal regulations and legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange Board of India( SEBI) and the analysts' compensation was, is, or will be not directly or indirectly related with the other companies and/or entities of Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd and have no bear- ing whatsoever on any recommendation, that they have given in the research report. Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or any of its affiliates/group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any such loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Rudra Shares & Stock Bro- kers Ltd has not independently verified all the information, which has been obtained by the company for analysis purpose, from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Accordingly, we neither testify nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, of the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. Rudra Share & Stock Brokers Ltd and its affiliates are engaged in investment advisory, stock broking, retail & HNI and other financial services. Details of affiliates are available on our website i.e. www.rudrashares.com. We hereby declare, that the information herein may change any time due to the volatile market conditions, therefore, it is advised to use own discretion and judgment while entering into any transactions, whatsoever. Individuals employed as research analyst by Rudra Shares & Stock Brokers Ltd or their associates are not allowed to deal or trade in securities, within thirty days before and five days after the publication of a research report as pre- scribed under SEBI Research Analyst Regulations. Subject to the restrictions mentioned in above paragraph, we and our affiliates, officers, directors, employees and their relative may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions acting as a principal in, and buy or sell the secu- rities or derivatives thereof, of Company mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or profits. POSITIONAL CALL SPICE JET LIMITED RUDRA SHARES & STOCK BROKERS LTD