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PERU
Professor Evodio Kaltenecker
2019
Jones Graduate School of Business
Full-time MBA Program
KEY FACTS AND FIGURES
● Peru has experienced a steady GDP
growth in the past decade. 6% on
average, 2% higher of the rest of the
region
● Low inflation: below 3% while the
average in the region is above 7%
● However, Peru is still one of the poorest
countries in the region
● There is room for a catch up growth if
appropriate policies are applied
● Macroeconomics polices helped in the
past and are Peruvian´s strengths
● Microeconomics policies and second
generation reforms has not been applied
yet and that is what is needed now
KEY FACTS AND FIGURES
● Peru has experienced a significant
reduction in Poverty
● Moreover, there has also been an
improvement on Income Distribution
(Gini Index)
● Government expenditure in Education as
% of GDP was 3% in 2000 and it was 4%
in 2017
● There is still a huge deficit in education in
Peru
● Peru is in a strong position in case of a
Financial Crisis
● International reserves as % of GDP: 30%
● Some risks is linked to China since in one
of the major trading partners
CURRENT POLITICAL & ECONOMIC SITUATION
● Peru is facing a complicated political situation since there has been a
permanent opposition in the congress against the President for the past years
of the current presidency
● Corruption scandals have also been an additional condiment to complicate
more the political situation – Sad stories to tell…
● Public Investment has experienced a significant reduction for the past years
● The Macroeconomic situation has not worsen but the lack of
microeconomic reforms is now having an impact in the economy
● Informality can reach 50-70% of the economy
● Space to improve red tape and education
● Infrastructure
CURRENT POLITICAL & ECONOMIC SITUATION
● GDP growth 2019 & 2020: 4%
● Below the 6% needed to reduce poverty
significantly and catch up the higher
income economies
● Peru is a commodity exporter and super
commodity cycle has ended
● Attractive destination for Mining
Investment
○ 13% of world copper reserves
○ 4% of world gold reserves
○ 22% of world silver reserves
● But conflicts with local communities
● Current Country Risk (March, 8th, 2019)
Country Basic Point
Argentina 777
Brasil 249
Panama 143
Uruguay 169
Peru 111
CURRENT POLITICAL & ECONOMIC SITUATION
● Small Open Economy
● Peru has signed more than
20 Free Trade Agreements
(FTA)
● Is one of the most open
economies in the region
● The main trading partner of
Peru are US and China,
representing more than 50%
of its exports
● A decrease in the global
trade will have an impact in
Peru
Current FTA
Under negotiation FTA
Upcoming FTA
DOING BUSINESS: EASE VS RANKINGS
● Peru is full of Small & Medium Enterprises (SME)
● SME are 95% of the total number of Companies
● 76% of the labor force work at SME
● SME represent 42% of GDP in Peru
● Economic Groups and local families (vertical integration)
○ Media
○ Mining
○ Agriculture
○ Others
DOING BUSINESS: EASE VS RANKINGS
DOING BUSINESS: EASE VS RANKINGS
Country Name Indicator Name 2018
Argentina Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 11
Argentina Time required to start a business (days) 11
Argentina Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 5
Argentina Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 119
Chile Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 7
Chile Time required to start a business (days) 6
Chile Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 6
Chile Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 56
Peru Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 8
Peru Time required to start a business (days) 25
Peru Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 10
Peru Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 68
United States Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 6
United States Time required to start a business (days) 6
United States Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 1
United States Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 8
Source: World Bank. Prepared by: Andres Remezzano
INNOVATION & ENTREPRENEURSHIP
● Most of Peruvians entrepreneurs started because they needed
○ “Emolienterias” and others
● There is a huge opportunity if you start a business that means: production in
Peru but selling in the US or Europe
● Peru oriented business are harder to start up. Localism is strong…
● There are many sectors that do not require significant amounts of
investments
○ China & India vs Peru: Smaller ticket
INNOVATION & ENTREPRENEURSHIP
● Succesful stories & Cases
○ Restaurants – Gastón Acurio & Barra Sullorqui
○ Education – High prices / Mathnasium / Supply vs
Demand
○ Tourism – Not only Machu Picchu
○ Clothing – Peru´s & Alpaca Clothing
○ Food (The Best) – Condiments and culinary tours
○ Health Care – Middle Class
CULTURAL TIPS FOR DOING BUSINESS
● Peruvians find hard to say NO. If you send a proposal and you ask about it
few days later, they will tell you: “may be tomorrow”… That is a NO
● Honesty in business or partners is hard to find in Peru
● They are hard workers compared to the rest of Latin America
● Middle Class is growing significantly
● Spend some time in Peru before you start-up
● Travel around the coast, the mountains and the jungle
● Then go back home and perform a professional market research & analyze
real business potential
● Try not to follow your instincts only
● It is easy to “fall in love with Peru”
CULTURAL TIPS FOR DOING BUSINESS
● Personal relationships are often more important than professional
competence and experience – “What high school did you go?”
● At the highest levels of society, marriage and relationships solidify political
and economic alliances
● Show an appreciation of the wealth of Peruvian history, art, culture and
cuisine
● Do not hesitate to contact me
● Linkedin:

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Rice University visiting Peru

  • 1. PERU Professor Evodio Kaltenecker 2019 Jones Graduate School of Business Full-time MBA Program
  • 2. KEY FACTS AND FIGURES ● Peru has experienced a steady GDP growth in the past decade. 6% on average, 2% higher of the rest of the region ● Low inflation: below 3% while the average in the region is above 7% ● However, Peru is still one of the poorest countries in the region ● There is room for a catch up growth if appropriate policies are applied ● Macroeconomics polices helped in the past and are Peruvian´s strengths ● Microeconomics policies and second generation reforms has not been applied yet and that is what is needed now
  • 3. KEY FACTS AND FIGURES ● Peru has experienced a significant reduction in Poverty ● Moreover, there has also been an improvement on Income Distribution (Gini Index) ● Government expenditure in Education as % of GDP was 3% in 2000 and it was 4% in 2017 ● There is still a huge deficit in education in Peru ● Peru is in a strong position in case of a Financial Crisis ● International reserves as % of GDP: 30% ● Some risks is linked to China since in one of the major trading partners
  • 4. CURRENT POLITICAL & ECONOMIC SITUATION ● Peru is facing a complicated political situation since there has been a permanent opposition in the congress against the President for the past years of the current presidency ● Corruption scandals have also been an additional condiment to complicate more the political situation – Sad stories to tell… ● Public Investment has experienced a significant reduction for the past years ● The Macroeconomic situation has not worsen but the lack of microeconomic reforms is now having an impact in the economy ● Informality can reach 50-70% of the economy ● Space to improve red tape and education ● Infrastructure
  • 5. CURRENT POLITICAL & ECONOMIC SITUATION ● GDP growth 2019 & 2020: 4% ● Below the 6% needed to reduce poverty significantly and catch up the higher income economies ● Peru is a commodity exporter and super commodity cycle has ended ● Attractive destination for Mining Investment ○ 13% of world copper reserves ○ 4% of world gold reserves ○ 22% of world silver reserves ● But conflicts with local communities ● Current Country Risk (March, 8th, 2019) Country Basic Point Argentina 777 Brasil 249 Panama 143 Uruguay 169 Peru 111
  • 6. CURRENT POLITICAL & ECONOMIC SITUATION ● Small Open Economy ● Peru has signed more than 20 Free Trade Agreements (FTA) ● Is one of the most open economies in the region ● The main trading partner of Peru are US and China, representing more than 50% of its exports ● A decrease in the global trade will have an impact in Peru Current FTA Under negotiation FTA Upcoming FTA
  • 7. DOING BUSINESS: EASE VS RANKINGS ● Peru is full of Small & Medium Enterprises (SME) ● SME are 95% of the total number of Companies ● 76% of the labor force work at SME ● SME represent 42% of GDP in Peru ● Economic Groups and local families (vertical integration) ○ Media ○ Mining ○ Agriculture ○ Others
  • 8. DOING BUSINESS: EASE VS RANKINGS
  • 9. DOING BUSINESS: EASE VS RANKINGS Country Name Indicator Name 2018 Argentina Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 11 Argentina Time required to start a business (days) 11 Argentina Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 5 Argentina Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 119 Chile Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 7 Chile Time required to start a business (days) 6 Chile Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 6 Chile Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 56 Peru Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 8 Peru Time required to start a business (days) 25 Peru Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 10 Peru Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 68 United States Start-up procedures to register a business (number) 6 United States Time required to start a business (days) 6 United States Cost of business start-up procedures (% of GNI per capita) 1 United States Ease of doing business index (1=most business-friendly regulations) 8 Source: World Bank. Prepared by: Andres Remezzano
  • 10. INNOVATION & ENTREPRENEURSHIP ● Most of Peruvians entrepreneurs started because they needed ○ “Emolienterias” and others ● There is a huge opportunity if you start a business that means: production in Peru but selling in the US or Europe ● Peru oriented business are harder to start up. Localism is strong… ● There are many sectors that do not require significant amounts of investments ○ China & India vs Peru: Smaller ticket
  • 11. INNOVATION & ENTREPRENEURSHIP ● Succesful stories & Cases ○ Restaurants – Gastón Acurio & Barra Sullorqui ○ Education – High prices / Mathnasium / Supply vs Demand ○ Tourism – Not only Machu Picchu ○ Clothing – Peru´s & Alpaca Clothing ○ Food (The Best) – Condiments and culinary tours ○ Health Care – Middle Class
  • 12. CULTURAL TIPS FOR DOING BUSINESS ● Peruvians find hard to say NO. If you send a proposal and you ask about it few days later, they will tell you: “may be tomorrow”… That is a NO ● Honesty in business or partners is hard to find in Peru ● They are hard workers compared to the rest of Latin America ● Middle Class is growing significantly ● Spend some time in Peru before you start-up ● Travel around the coast, the mountains and the jungle ● Then go back home and perform a professional market research & analyze real business potential ● Try not to follow your instincts only ● It is easy to “fall in love with Peru”
  • 13. CULTURAL TIPS FOR DOING BUSINESS ● Personal relationships are often more important than professional competence and experience – “What high school did you go?” ● At the highest levels of society, marriage and relationships solidify political and economic alliances ● Show an appreciation of the wealth of Peruvian history, art, culture and cuisine ● Do not hesitate to contact me ● Linkedin: