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Pravda analytics technical monthly review for april 2017
1.
Pravda Analytics Pravda Markets Report Technicals
Monthly April 2017 Edition
2.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Market Index Overview – S&P500 (SPX) as of close Friday 5/7/17 Index continues to consolidate below all-time March highs in a controlled decline. Support is found at the 50 day moving average.
3.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved A Closer Technical Look – Bonds (TLT) as of close Friday 3/3/17 Bonds rallied back up to the resistance near $153 and stalled. Bulls failed to break though this multiple times.
4.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved A Closer Technical Look – Oil Oil consolidates in a wedge with resistance at $54.5. Support is at the ascending trend line around $50.
5.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved A Closer Technical Look - Gold Gold’s7102rallyishaltedasitstrugglestobreaktheresistanceat.0621$
6.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Sentiment – CNN Greed and Fear Index- FEAR The Index moving into the FEAR area as US markets continue sliding off their all time highs. What is this? CNN's Fear & Greed Index tracks seven indicators of investor sentiment. Investors are driven by two emotions: fear and greed. Too much fear can sink stocks well below where they should be. When investors get greedy, they can bid up stock prices way too far. “BeFearfulWhenOthersAreGreedyandGreedy When Others Are Fearful”– Warren Buffett
7.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Sentiment – AAII Investor Sentiment Survey- BEARISH Investors flocked away from Bullish to Neutral and Bearish opinions. What is this? The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey has become a widely followed measure of the mood of individual investors. The weekly survey results are published in financial publications including Barron's and Bloomberg and are widely followed by market strategists, investment newsletter writers and other financial professionals. Last Month:
8.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Hook of death https://fred.stlouisfed.org 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity. Inverted yield curve often precedes a major market decline. So far so good.
9.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Inverse Put Call Ratio A unique oscillating indicator based on options activity coupled with a Bollinger Band to view overextended signals. Options activity is tilted towards Calls indicating bullish sentiment. Activity is within the lower half the recent historical average as observed by the Bollinger Bangs, indicating a mild S&P500 = orange line.
10.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Stock Averages Number of Stocks Above 20-Day Moving Average The market is in a neutral state with a near 50/50 split of stock trending up and down.
11.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Sentiment – ISE Sentiment Index - NEUTRAL The Index has recently retraced back to its average for a neutral sentiment. What is this? ISEE is an indicator of bullish/bearish investor sentiment that is computed using a unique calculation methodology and proprietary ISE option trade data. Unlike traditional put/call ratios, ISEE is based on opening long customer transactions only. Trades by market makers and firms are excluded as these tend to skew sentiment value. As a result, ISEE provides a more accurate reflection of true investor sentiment. O 10 day moving average O 50 day moving average
12.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Market Direction Confirmation via Transports Sector Observation as per Dow Theory Key premise of the theory states that both the broad equity market index as well as the transports index need to align in market direction to confirm a bullish or bearish trend. (additional rules apply) Dow theory Market Direction: Cautiously Bearish Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is below long term moving average Dow Jones Transports Average (IYT) is below long term moving average Current Analysis A confirmed bullish market is when: Both indexes are exhibiting higher price peaks and valleys on long term charts Both indexes are above their respective 200 day moving average (orange) Additional level of confirmation: index above 50 day moving average (blue) The Approach Dow Jones Index Transports Index Transports and the Dow are holding strong above both key moving averages indicating a Bullish environment.
13.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Social Media Sentiment Chartsource:StockTwits S&P 500 BONDS GOLD The sentiment chart shows the percentage breakdown in bullish and bearish sentiment shared by StockTwits users over time. It is calculated on a rolling, 7 day basis. The good people of the StockTwits are lightly bullish Stocks and Bonds. Gold remained in extremely bullish sentiment
14.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Currencies Key support/resistance and trend lines for currencies
15.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Rate Watch Chartsource:cmegroup Fed Funds Rate @ 1.00: market projects a >90% chance that there will NOT be a rate hike in May Prime Rate @ 4.00: a half a percent move up from a year ago FOMC’sRateProjection from the Dot Plot: currently projecting 2017 @ ~1.50 % and 2018 @ ~2.00%
16.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Sector Analysis: year to date performance Outperformers: Health Care and Consumer Discretionary Underperformers: Utilities and Energy
17.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Economic Calendar http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/ http://www.marketwatch.com/Economy-Politics/Calendars/Economic Storm that swept the Northeast may explain a much weaker-than-expected 98,000 increase in March nonfarm payrolls. This compares with Econoday's consensus for 175,000 and a low estimate of 125,000. It is also the weakest reading since May last year. One standout sign of strength in the report and that's the unemployment rate which fell a very sharp 2 tenths to 4.5 percent as the number of unemployed fell by 326,000 to 7.2 million. This is the lowest unemployment rate since the height of the last expansion in April 2007
18.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Headlines of the week Notablecoversandheadlinesfromworld’smostreadpublications As Princeton economist Paul Krugman wryly noted, "Whom the Gods would destroy, they first put on the cover of Business Week."
19.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Personal Finance - The Richest Man in Babylon Make thy gold multiply Make of thy dwelling a profitable investment Guard thy treasures from loss Seven Cures for a Lean Purse Start thy purse to fattening Control thy expenditures Increase thy ability to earn Insure a future income Goddess of Good Luck smiles upon those who work hard, save their money, and invest well. She doesn't really patronize professional gamblers, who always seem to end up poor Meet the Goddess of Good Luck Five Laws of Gold (Money) • Mentors, Books • Seminars, ExperienceLearn • Business, Investment • Knowledge, Attitude, SkillsMaster Pay • Yourself first • Save 10% of earnings Invest • Business • Real estate • Stocks • Scams • Trickeries • Get rich schemes Avoid The Richest Man in Babylon is a book by George S. Clason which dispenses financial advice through a collection of parables. Through their experiences in business and managing personal finance, the characters in the parables learn simple lessons in financial wisdom.
20.
Pravda Analytics |
Copyright © 2017 | All rights reserved Investing & Trading Blueprint http://www.investors.com IBD's 10 Secrets to Success – great blueprint to improve your trading, investing, as well as every day activities and personal goals:
21.
Pravda Analytics
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