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Buying & Selling Distressed Businesses
1.
© 2019 EIGHT
ADVISORY PROPERTY - CONFIDENTIAL RATIONALE: Buying and selling distressed businesses requires careful consideration of the investment strategy Clear planning will enable any buyer to draw the right conclusions and ensure divestment success It goes without saying that in Q1- 2019 the M&A market is challenging to navigate. An uncertain Brexit, consumer spending concerns, tariffs and currency issues have all resulted in hesitancy amongst both buyers and sellers. Company Boards and Investment Committees are deferring decisions and adopting a “steady as we go” policy. However, the fact remains that amidst this uncertainty investors of all types are anxious to deploy capital and Private Equity in particular are keen to put their money to work. As a result, when assets come to market there are a wide range of potential purchasers and here at Eight Advisory we’re seeing continued appetite for both performing as well as underperforming stressed and distressed assets. BY JEAN GUILLOU, TIM WAINWRIGHT, FLORENT BERCKMANS AND TOM DE TROYER Our analysis here at Eight advisory indicates that whilst the number of mid-market distressed sales in Europe (see figure below) has been relatively consistent over the last few years, the average value of these deals is increasing. This increase is driven by many factors, but experience tells us there are now more buyers looking for a piece of the distressed action. As a result, investors seeking to extract value from such processes need to ensure they do their diligence and develop a robust and viable strategy. Conversely, sellers of stressed and distressed assets need to ensure they present their business in a way that adequately supports any investment strategy. DISTRESSED ASSET SALES BY QUARTER: WESTERN EUROPE – MID MARKET BUYING & SELLING DISTRESSED BUSINESSES EIGHT ADVISORY: INTRODUCTION STRESSED & DISTRESSED M&A: NUMBEROFDEALSPERQUARTER AVERAGEDEALVALUE(£m) 54 69 63 57 59 48 63 66 62 64 46 50 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Qtr1 Qtr2 Qtr3 Qtr4 Qtr1 Qtr2 Qtr3 Qtr4 Qtr1 Qtr2 Qtr3 Qtr4 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 2016 2017 2018
2.
© 2019 EIGHT
ADVISORY PROPERTY - CONFIDENTIAL RATIONALE: Buying and selling distressed businesses requires careful consideration of the investment strategy Clear planning will enable any buyer to draw the right conclusions and ensure divestment success BUYING & SELLING DISTRESSED BUSINESSES EIGHT ADVISORY: In our experience, we identify that the success of a stressed / distressed transaction requires consideration of the following eight factors: SUCCESSFUL TRANSACTIONS: Accurate cash management is even more important in a stressed or distressed situation with a robust forecast of run-rate losses Guidance on receivables / payables KPI’s is required to support analysis of performance A rolling 13 week cashflow forecast will provide comfort on cash controls and the short-term cashflow forecast will require daily review and clear reconciliation to cash at bank 1. CASH MANAGEMENT: A clear plan is required that supports the turnaround strategy with line-of-site to sustainable cash generation. This plan should articulate the one-off costs, time required and any risks associated with the transition. Additionally, the plan should identify quick- wins and any alternatives that may be available under different ownership scenarios such as operational cost reduction, working capital optimization, refinancing and revenue opportunities. 2. EQUITY STORY & TURNAROUND PLAN: Constructing a robust financial model that provides clear linkage between the Profit & Loss account, Balance Sheet and Cashflow is key to evidence performance. Adding sensitivities provides comfort to any forecasts and downside risks. 3. BUSINESS MODEL: The team selling the business needs to be 100% credible. Bringing in new management can introduce new capabilities and provide objectivity on any improvement strategy as well as create a strong commitment of the organization A CRO office can help drive the change programme. 4. MANAGEMENT TEAM: 5. FINANCING: Performance issues may negatively impact working capital. Equity and debt may be used to finance investments, credit insurance may be more expensive and both customers and suppliers may have tightened their terms of trade. Quick wins, both in terms of operating costs and liquidity improvement such as asset-backed financing could help secure the first leg of turnaround. Understanding any opportunity to unwind these constraints in the forecast will be an important part of the value story. Understanding and respecting the needs of employees, trade unions and any works council will be important where their objective is to preserve jobs and protect the interests of members. A clear negotiation and consultation path is required to ensure transferring employees are protected and to build trust as a basis for future operations. 6. EMPLOYEES: In the case of stressed/distressed sales the structure of the divested business is important. Asset sales may be favoured where buyers are able to take the business with limited liabilities, however customer, employee and other considerations (such as time to implement) need to be taken into account. 7. STRUCTURING: 8. OFF BALANCE SHEET ASSETS Identifying and communicating the value of off balance sheet items may add substantially to the overall valuation. Historic tax losses, intellectual property assets and unrealised gains in stock may be examples of value that will be realizable in a buyers business plan. Such off-balance sheet items can help mitigate valuation, particularly in the case of deals that are “price negative”
3.
© 2019 EIGHT
ADVISORY PROPERTY - CONFIDENTIAL ABOUT EIGHT ADVISORY: BUYING & SELLING DISTRESSED BUSINESSES EIGHT ADVISORY: With over 400 people Eight Advisory is the leading independent advisory firm in Europe exclusively focused on: Transactions, Restructuring & Transformation Eight Advisory is a member of Eight International ANALYSE AND DELIVER: Short term cashflow forecasts Working capital analysis Independent business review Strategic options analysis Carveout & divestment support Financial restructuring Operational restructuring Working capital optimisation Financing solutions Cro office Process & management support Assistance during receivership Experience in the acquisition and divestment of stressed and distressed businesses across Europe: EIGHT ADVISORY: Here at Eight Advisory we have significant experience of acquisitions and divestments within stressed and distressed situations. Our experienced operational and financial consultants have supported management teams and investors in many different situations including acquiring or divesting out of insolvency, and also situations where performance has been challenging and management remains in control. In all situations, we deploy a senior team with deep experience who are adept and helping to navigate seemingly difficult situations JEAN GUILLOU PARIS 01 45 61 75 07 06 37 08 00 79 jean.guillou@8advisory.com FLORENT BERCKMANS PARIS 06 11 56 51 58 florent.berckmans@8advisory.com TIM WAINWRIGHT LONDON +44 (0) 7841 497 689 tim.wainwright@8advisory.com TOM DE TROYER BRUSSELS +32 478 840 529 tom.detroyer@8advisory.com
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