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1A global telecommunications study
Digital
transformation for
2020 and beyond
A global telecommunications
study
About this report
The 2017 global telecommunications study has been conducted by EY to monitor and
evaluate the evolving views of leaders across the global telecommunications industry.
This latest survey forms part of EY’s ongoing series of global telecommunications studies.
Based on in-depth conversations with industry leaders worldwide, the resulting insights
help us to assess the current state and future state of this rapidly changing sector.
Our 2017 survey drills down into perspectives from the industry’s CIO and CTO
community in order to explore the role of IT and networks and to examine how this is
supporting long-term digital transformation.
We conducted 39 in-depth interviews with participants from 36 organizations, supported
by insights and analysis from EY’s sector professionals and secondary research sources.
The 36 organizations taking part this year account for annual revenue of US$421 billion
and an aggregate market capitalization of US$603 billion.
Figure 1: Participating companies in 2017 — annual revenues
6
3
14
7
4
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Less than US$500m
US$1b–US$4.9b
US$5b–US$9.9b
US$10b–US$25b
Greater than US$25b
Number of participating companies
2 Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond
2017 global telecommunications study:
highlights
39 interviews with 36 organizations
Participant
organizations’
annual revenue:
US$421
billion
Participant organizations’
aggregate market
capitalization:
US$603
billion
Headquarters locations of participating entities in 2015 and 2017
Taken together, our 2015 and 2017 surveys have involved a total of 83 interviews with
76 organizations, with the aggregate annual revenues of the participating companies
standing at over US$1 trillion. These interviews have covered 44% of the top 50 global
carriers by revenue.
Figure 2: : Geographic locations of participating companies, 2015 and 2017
3A global telecommunications study
Participating industry executives*
Cosmas Adam
Chief Technology and Information Officer
MTN Cyprus
Daniel Mizrachi Belisario
Chief Technology Officer
Millicom International Cellular Costa Rica
Enrique Blanco
Chief Technology Officer
Telefonica Group
Axel Clauberg
Vice President, Aggregation, Transport, IP
(CTO-ATI)
Deutsche Telekom
Mike Cole
Chief Information Officer
Bell Canada
Nicolas Costaras
Chief Information Officer
Wind Hellas
Claudio Farina
Head Financial Planning & Analysis
Vodafone Italia
Jay Ferro
Executive Vice President, Chief Information
Officer, Chief Product Officer
EarthLink
Vikas Grover
Chief Information Officer
Vodafone India
David Havercroft
Chief Operating Officer
Spark New Zealand
Kashif Syed Haq
Chief Technology Officer
Axiata Digital
Hisham Fathy Hassan
Director, Technology Strategy & Control
Viva Bahrain
Luis Martin Hernandez
Chief Information Officer
America Movil — Telcel (Mexico)
Bouke Hoving
Executive Vice President Simplification &
Innovation and CIO
KPN
Phil Jordan
Chief Information Officer
Telefonica Group
Panicos Kallenos
Chief Technology and Information Officer
CYTA
Veenod Kurup
Group Chief Information Officer
Liberty Global
Francois Mairey
Chief Technology and Information Officer
Tele2 Group
Amit Marwah
Head of Sales, End to End Solutions
Nokia Solutions and Networks India
Gary McLaren
Chief Technology Officer
HKBN
Shin Murakami
Corporate Officer, Executive
Vice President, Chief Mobile Officer
Yahoo Japan
4 Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond
*Three participants asked to remain anonymous.
Ali Obtel
Chief Technology Officer
Viva Kuwait
Tommy Olenius
Chief Technology Officer
DNA Oyj
Peter Jantosovic
Director Technology Transformation &
Optimization
Slovak Telekom
Gunar Post
Head of IT Strategy
Deutsche Telekom
Scott Rice
Chief Information Officer
Sprint Corporation
John Romano
Acting Chief Information Officer
Telstra
Ruza Sabanovic
Chief Technology and Information Officer
Telenor Group
Daniele Schneeberg
Head of Transformation
Vodafone Italia
Ken Smithard
Vice President, Performance
Organizational Efficiency & IT
Cogeco Connexion
Peter Taylor
Vice President, Technology
Operations and Support
Shaw Communications Inc
Hugo Van Zyl
Chief Technology and Information Officer
OpenServe Pty Ltd (Telkom Group)
Saad Muzaffar Waraich
Chief Technology and Information Officer
PTCL Pakistan
Marlon Yu-Shan
Chief Information Officer, Millicom
International Cellular Honduras
*Five participants requested to remain anonymous.
A global telecommunications study 5
The methodology
We met with each of the senior
industry executives who participated
in the study, asking them 15 questions
that focused on the industry as a
whole, as well as on specific areas
and issues within their organizations.
We asked participants to provide
their top three answers to provide
full insight into the opportunities and
challenges confronting them now
and in the future. We also captured
key comments from the dialogue
generated by the interviews, an
anonymized selection of which
appears in this report.
If you would like to the see the
complete results of the study, please
contact your local EY representative.
6 Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond
7A global telecommunications study
Sector snapshot: the paradigm
shift to digital is well underway
The global telecoms industry landscape is changing faster than
ever. Erosion of legacy revenue streams driven by over-the-top
(OTT) competitors continues, forcing operators to consider new
ways of remaining relevant to consumer and enterprise customers.
While many have embarked on journeys to become digital
service providers, the sector remains vulnerable to quickening
shifts in terms of technology cycles, competitor actions and
customer needs.
Figure 3: Global telecoms revenue development 2008-16 (US$b)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Mobile Fixed
Source: Ovum
A decade of disruptive dynamics
Telecommunications companies have endured a challenging
decade, with the industry subjected to a number of disruptions in
recent years. The smartphone revolution has led to an explosion
in data demand, while the accompanying growth of mobile
applications has seen a range of disruptive players monetize new
customer behaviors.
While this has resulted in a range of interconnected phenomena,
from the sharing economy to frictionless marketplaces, operators’
revenue streams remain under pressure. The rise of OTT players
has been accompanied by macroeconomic pressure and mandated
price reductions to mobile termination and roaming rates that
have further weakened the sector’s growth profile. During the
period 2008 to 2016, global fixed and mobile revenues increased
at a compound annual growth rate of 0.4%.
At the same time, network investments remain burdensome as
operators upgrade their infrastructure to sustain an exponential
rise in data demand. Large-scale 4G rollout continues, supported
by the acquisition of new spectrum frequencies, while last-
mile connections to the home are also the scene of continued
investment.
“Consumer interaction with devices creates instant needs. The challenge
for us is to keep up with customer demands given our legacy network
elements and investments.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond8
Figure 4: Operator share performance
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
May-12
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-13
May-13
Aug-13
Nov-13
Feb-14
May-14
Aug-14
Nov-14
Feb-15
May-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Feb-16
May-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
Feb-17
MSCI EM Latin America Telecoms Index MSCI AC Asia Telecoms Index
DJ Euro Stoxx Telecoms Index Dow Jones U.S. Telecoms Index
Dow Jones Middle East  Africa Telecoms Index
Source: Capital IQ
Regional landscapes vary in telecommunications
From a geographical perspective, North American and Asia-Pacific
telcos have performed best in terms of share prices in the past
five years. This outperformance has been helped by consolidated
market structures and early access to new spectrum in North
America and by strong smartphone penetration growth and
demand for mobile data services in Asia-Pacific.
Meanwhile, European telco stocks have recovered since 2013
due to the anticipation of large-scale MA — yet although the
revenue growth outlook is improving, regulatory attitudes
remain difficult to predict. External factors are weighing down
telco share performance in emerging regions, whether in the
form of recession in Latin America or falling commodity prices in
Africa. And while telcos across regions remain well-positioned as
defensive stocks, dividend yields remain under pressure, having
trended slightly down in recent years.
9A global telecommunications study
Telcos are diversifying their revenue streams but margin
management remains challenging
Telcos in all regions have expanded their service portfolios in
recent years to include a widening array of offerings, as they look
to capitalize on growth opportunities across technology, media
and telecommunications (TMT) in areas like enterprise cloud, TV
and the Internet of Things (IoT). Meanwhile rapid smartphone
adoption is driving growth in areas such as mobile advertising,
and bundles with new combinations of fixed, mobile and TV
services are gaining ground.
However, a key challenge for telcos as they expand their service
portfolios is that adjacent market segments tend to offer lower
margins, and disruptive competitors are already well-positioned
in key segments such as cloud and advertising.
Partly as a result, profitability is under pressure, with operators’
return on invested capital (ROIC) trending downward. In
combination with the lower margins available from adjacent
services, this squeeze on profitability reflects other factors,
including regulatory price reductions and the high capital
intensity required to service the surging demand for mobile data.
Figure 5: Digital TMT ecosystem value forecast
2015 2020
US$1.67 trillion
US$2.36 trillion
Data Content and videoVoice/SMS
loT and M2M Advertising Enterprise and cloud
27%
24%
9%
12%
8%
13%
5%
12%
19% 23%
32% 16%
Source: Informa, Ovum, GSMA, EY
“The future for telcos is uncertain. Players are taking virtual positions in
the market, but it is doubtful whether they are substantially different
from each other.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond10
Competitive intensity is higher than ever
OTT players such as WhatsApp, Facebook and WeChat have
redefined the customer experience in messaging and video
services, luring traffic away from telco offerings such as SMS.
These trends are playing out against a market background in
which consumers and enterprises increasingly see value in multi-
service packages, with quad-play and cloud packages driving new
opportunities in each segment respectively.
However, many consumers are looking to customize their own
bundle combinations, with OTT video playing an increasingly
important role — in turn driving further MA and partnerships.
Meanwhile, on the enterprise side, telcos are seeking growth by
offering more advanced services to multinational customers. This
shift is fostering a growing focus on strategic services based on
IP, Ethernet, VPN and managed services capabilities. In focusing
on network-adjacent services, telcos’ aim is to “protect the core”
while also avoiding head-on competition with IT outsourcers and
technology specialists.
Overhaul of systems and processes is fueling telcos’ digital
transformation
IT spending by telcos is set to keep rising through the period from
2015 to 2020, as operators leverage new hardware and software
in search of long-term efficiency gains and greater agility and
flexibility. However — as Figure 7 shows — spending profiles as
a proportion of revenues vary between regions, with Americas
operators demonstrating higher relative spending propensity.
The rising global trend in IT spend reflects the fact that such
investment remains critical to supporting digital growth, with
quality of experience and reduced costs at the heart of operators’
strategic agenda. While budget constraints in developed markets
are dis-incentivizing large-scale transformation programs,
emerging markets will continue to drive IT spending growth
through 2020. In combination, these factors are projected to see
global telco IT investment reach US$85b in 2020, with 74% of this
total being spent with external providers rather than internally.1
Growth in spending on systems hardware and packaged software
will be particularly strong, reflecting the move to more flexible
virtualization technologies. In contrast, internal IT spending
on areas like IT desktop capabilities and IT departments will
see relatively slow growth between 2015 and 2020, at a
CAGR of just 1%.
1 	
Ovum.
Figure 7: Global telco IT spending forecast by region
3.5
4
4.5
5
2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
North America Europe MEA Asia-Pacific
Source: Ovum
1.1
1.9
2.8
3.6
2013 2014 2015 2016
Figure 6: Active user base of major instant messaging
platforms (billions)
Source: GSMA
11A global telecommunications study
Capital intensity is set to rise toward the end of the decade
Carriers’ capital expenditure has been falling following their
large-scale 4G and fiber rollouts. However, as Figure 8 illustrates,
an acceleration of “pure fiber” rollouts and the advent of 5G will
lead to sharp rises in capex in 2020–21, both in fixed and mobile
segments. Operators will need to consider new ways of generating
capex efficiency as they strive to meet growing demand for
high-speed and low-latency data services.
Figure 8: Global telecoms capex development (US$b)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F
Mobile Fixed
Source: Ovum
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond12
Headline survey findings
Looking across the views of the global telecoms industry leaders elicited in our research, eight key messages emerge strongly.
Eight key messages from our research
1.	 Disruptive competition tops the list of industry challenges.
2.	 Digital business models, customer experience and cost
control lead the 2020 strategic agenda.
3.	 The network dominates the near-term spending agenda,
but a range of IT improvements are also being sought.
4.	 Network capex is trending up but IT spending profiles vary.
5.	 Confidence is rising in the digital services opportunity,
yet caveats remain.
6.	 Analytics and virtualization are the top innovation drivers,
but legacy IT and a lack of skills are acting as brakes.
7.	 Process automation leads the list of long-term IT enablers.
8.	 The post-2020 landscape will be transformed by 5G.
13A global telecommunications study
1. Disruptive competition tops the list of industry challenges.
Asked to cite the top strategic challenges facing their business,
almost three-quarters — 74% — of our survey participants highlight
disruptive competition, followed by 47% mentioning a lack of
organizational agility (see Figure 9). While neither of these findings
is significantly different from our 2015 survey, what has changed
markedly is the rating given to regulatory uncertainty, which is
ranked as a top-three challenge by only half as many respondents
this time (32%) as in 2015.
Figure 9: Operator views on challenges facing the telecommunications industry
What are the most significant challenges facing the industry? (top three responses)
74
47
37 32 32
21 16 11 8
73
45
39
24
64
18
9 9
15
3 0
Disruptive
competition
Lack of
organizational
agility
Lack of
return on
investment
Changing
customer
needs and
attitudes
Uncertain
regulatory
environment
Shortening
technology
cycles
Global
economic
uncertainty
Poor rates of
innovation
Poor
ecosystem
relationships
Lack of
industry
standards
2017 2015
% of respondents
More than one in three respondents see disruptive competition as
the single largest challenge facing the industry, and this concern
is reinforced by a comparison of net promoter scores (NPS), which
highlight customer willingness to recommend a company’s product
or service, between different industries.
Figure 10: Average US net promoter scores across industries
16
27
29
32
37
39
40
41
ISPs
Utilities
Wireless carriers
Banks
Airlines
Supermarkets
Investment firms
Software
Source: Temkin Group
However, there is a divergence of views between operators
depending on market maturity. Carriers in developing markets
are proportionately less likely to cite disruptive competition
as a leading challenge, reflecting lower rates of smartphone
penetration and more straightforward relationships with OTTs
that leverage partnerships to widen addressable markets.
“There is no brand loyalty to carriers; all the mindshare goes to OTTs.” “Change used to be technology-driven, but now it’s competitor-driven.”
76% 67%
Developed markets Emerging markets
Participants
citing
disruptive
competition
as a leading
industry
challenge
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond14
While a focus on customer experience is well understood
as a key strategic objective of the telecommunications
industry — and explains the growing focus on net promoter
score as a performance metric — the primacy of digital business
models and services is telling in its own right.
As operators move beyond into adjacent growth segments,
business model adjustments are more critical than ever before
if operators are to create winning customer experiences in
both legacy and new service domains. At the same time, digital
business models are unlocking a new wave of efficiencies.
2. Digital business models, customer experience and cost
control lead the 2020 strategic agenda.
When we asked the survey participants to name their top three
strategic priorities through 2020, three focus areas were cited
by more than half of respondents: digital business models (71%),
customer experience (61%), and cost control and business
efficiencies (53%).
Figure 11: Operator strategic priorities over the next three years
What are your most important strategic priorities over the next three years? (top three responses)
% of respondents
71
61
53
32
24 24
13 13
6
Digital
business
models and
services
Improving
customer
experience
Cost control
and business
efficiencies
Improved IT
systems and
processes
Increased
organizational
agility
Network
upgrades and
modernization
MA, joint
ventures and
partnerships
Product
simplification
Growing
and retaining
talent
Nevertheless, the ongoing importance executives attach to
improving customer experience and satisfaction is further
underlined by the fact that this gains the most votes as the number
one strategic priority — 41% — ahead of digital business models and
services (22%) and cost control and business efficiencies (17%).
Overall, what comes across loud and clear is a symbiotic
relationship among digital business models, customer experience,
and efficiency and agility gains. Only by harnessing these related
objectives as part of a common purpose do operators see
themselves unlocking the full benefits of their transformation
agenda. Nevertheless, the low relative focus on acquiring and
retaining talent suggests that skills management may be lacking
within this set of interconnected priorities.
“ At the same time, digital business models are key to unlocking a new
wave of efficiencies.”
“Friendly customer service and trust of customers are assets that are
impossible to copy when you do it better than the competitors.”
“Digital enables ‘increased organizational agility’ and ‘improved IT
systems and processes’ as a by-product of improving customer
experience.”
“Automation and efficiency improvement of all processes will serve
customer experience.”
15A global telecommunications study
3. The network dominates the near-term spending agenda,
but a range of IT improvements are also being sought.
Turning to what they expect to be their organization’s top three
most critical IT and network investment domains over the next two
years, respondents opt for access network technologies like 4G
and FTTX by a wide margin — cited by 74% — ahead of overhauling
BSS/OSS at 54% (see Figure 12).
Figure 12: Operator views on network and IT spending domains
What are your organization’s most critical IT and network investment domains over the next two years? (top three responses)
74
54
46 43
37
20
11 9 6
Access network
technologies
(e.g., 4G,
FTTX)
BSS/OSS
overhaul
Virtualization
technologies
(e.g., SDN,
NFV)
Big data
analytics
Cybersecurity Cloud
system
migration
Data centers Traffic
offload
and backhaul
Managed IT
services
% of respondents
While the prominence of access network spending reflects high
capital intensity driven by long-term growth in data demand,
the challenge for network and IT executives remains how to
balance network modernization with a range of mission-critical
objectives that are equally critical to long-term differentiation.
BSS/OSS overhaul, virtualization technology, cloud migration and
cybersecurity are all cited by more than one-third of participants.
The difficult nature of this balancing act is made more obvious
when participants are asked to name their single most critical
networks and IT investment priority. Nearly two-thirds of
respondents cite the network, and no other domain scores
above 15%.
“Our estimation is that volumes of mobile data will increase 10 times in
the next 5 years.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond16
The implicit challenge in this network-centric view of investment is
that building, running and enhancing networks is what telcos have
always done, which raises the question of whether they’re paying
too little attention to newer forms of differential investment.
Access network
technologies
Big data
analytics
Cybersecurity
15%6%
BSS/OSS
overhaul
15%63% 15%6%
The relatively strong focus on upgrading BSS/OSS is also
interesting, since it indicates that these have become a
particular pain point, perhaps reflecting the patchwork of billing,
CRM and other support systems that many operators have
built up over time through acquisition.
“Coverage and quality are the most important attributes of our network
upgrade program.”
“Even during a cost reduction phase, our new initiatives are mainly
driven by IT systems transformation.”
“BSS/OSS is a big draw on capital because we have a lot of legacy
systems.”
Figure 13: Most critical IT and network investment domains over the next two years (top answer)
17A global telecommunications study
4. Network capex is trending up but IT spending profiles vary.
Figure 14: Operator views on network capex and IT opex development
What are your expectations regarding network capex/IT opex in the next 12 months?
IT opex Network capex
355
1818
29
21
13
37
32
16
3
Would rather not
answer/Don't know
Decrease significantlyStay the same Decrease slightlyIncrease slightlyIncrease significantly
% of respondents
Drilling down into the impact of these priorities on network
capex and IT opex in the coming year, 53% of respondents see
network capex rising in the next 12 months, while 21% think it
will remain unchanged (see Figure 14). This expected increase
in network capex spend will inevitably put pressure on spending
on other priorities, such as IT and blue-sky digital services
development projects.
Meanwhile, the near-term prospects for IT opex are more mixed.
Thirty-five percent of respondents see IT opex increasing,
driven by the continuing migration to the cloud, while 47%
predict a decline, with new rationalization initiatives such as
vendor management helping to contribute to a downtick in
operational expenditure.
“The shift to cloud is driving an increase in opex — since it’s an ongoing
program that’s not a short-term focus.”
“What are the most important drivers of IT cost savings? Rationalizing
older systems, virtualization, standardization of the offer, customer
care automation and optimized cloud.”
“IT opex will decrease significantly. Internalization of IT activities,
rationalization of vendors and new vendor agreements are the
main drivers.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond18
Competing forces are driving the IT agenda for operators, and
while the primacy of the network as the investment domain may
be unsurprising, it is worth underlining that IT systems overhaul
(32%) outscores network modernization (24%) as a top-three
strategic priority.
Interestingly, the expectation of rising network capex revealed by
our study is not mirrored by forecasts at an industry-wide level. As
Figure 15 shows, current projections point to a decline in overall
network capex through 2018. Despite such forecasts, it’s clear
that increased network spend is vital for many players. Operators
who decide to reduce network capex cannot assume that their
competitors are doing — or will do — the same.
Figure 15: Global telecoms capex (US$b)
193 175 171
2016F 2017F 2018F
Mobile Fixed
144 141 142
Source: Ovum
5. Confidence is rising in the digital services opportunity, yet
caveats remain.
Asked which digital services offer the best opportunities for
incremental revenue growth, the survey participants cite a wide
range of service areas, suggesting a broadly rising sense of
confidence. However, while it’s clear that operators do now see IoT
services as a leading revenue stream for the future, some doubts
persist, reservations that are absent for established adjacent
market propositions in TV, for example.
While TV and video services, enterprise cloud and advertising/e-
commerce are seen as the top three drivers of incremental
revenue growth, the perceived opportunities presented by each
have fallen since our 2015 study. These declines have been offset
by increased expectations surrounding new use cases in the IoT.
As Figure 16 shows, smart home, connected car, security services
and smart city have all improved their scores in the past two years.
Figure 16: Operator confidence in digital service revenue development
Which digital services represent the best opportunities for incremental revenue growth? (top three responses)
47
54
TV and
video
services
39
51
Enterprise
cloud
33 37
Advertising,
marketing,
e-commerce
31
17
Smart
home
28
14
Unified
communications
22 23
Enterprise
mobility
19
0
Connected
car
19
26
Infotainment
19
11
Security
services
14 11
Smart city
11
29
Mobile
financial
services
11 9
Health
services
3 6
Digital
Identity
services
2017 2015
% of respondents
“We see a significant increase in network capex. Firstly, to have the
edge on speed; secondly, expansion of the network footprint is also
important for us.”
“TV is important because it makes customers so much more sticky.
We’ve had a lot of success bundling compelling content with
broadband.”
19A global telecommunications study
Figure 17: Annual telecoms IoT contract awards worldwide
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2013 2014 2015 9M 2016
Number of contracts worldwide
Source: Ovum
Operators’ increasingly optimistic view of IoT as a revenue stream
is supported by the gradually expanding flow of telco IoT contracts
being awarded globally (see Figure 17). Growing government
support for digital society initiatives, increased investment from
key sectors such as automotive and the arrival of low-power wide
area networks are all helping with the formation of more mature
digital service ecosystems.
Yet many existing contracts are focused on the provision of
connectivity, with value-added managed services capability a
less meaningful component. Participants voiced fears that the
growth profile of some digital services may suffer from a lack
of more specialized business models, as well as supply-side
challenges in standardization and regulation.
“Smart home will not succeed unless there is a common standard.”
“The IoT market is very narrow, very vertical and very specialized.”
“There are lots of legacy regulations in payments that prevent us from
going full-blown on mobile financial services.”
“Security services will grow alongside the introduction of other
innovative services.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond20
6. Analytics and virtualization are the top innovation drivers,
but legacy IT and a lack of skills are acting as brakes.
Asked what the most important enablers of innovation for their
organization will be in the next three years, participants cite
analytics-based insights and virtualized networks and IT as the
top drivers of innovative capabilities followed by acquiring and
developing talented people, and then partnerships with OTT
players and other third parties.
While analytics is widely perceived as being mainly about
gaining deeper understanding of customers, there are additional
opportunities at the network level to drive greater capex
efficiency, while its role in value-added IoT propositions also
gives it a vital role to play in the revenue diversification agenda.
Figure 18: Operator views on enablers of innovation
What will be the most important enablers of innovation for your organization in the next three years? (top three responses)
58
44 39 36
25 25 23 19 14
8 6
Leveraging
analytics-based
insights
Virtualized
network
and IT
systems
e.g., NFV
Partnerships
with OTTs
and other
third parties
Modernizing
access
networks
Collaborating
with suppliers
in new ways
Improving
internal
collaboration
and decision-
making
Opening up
network
APIs
Adopting
open-source
software
MA,
including
VC
investments
Increasing
levels of
outsourcing
Acquiring
and
developing
talented
people
% of respondents
While a majority of participants see analytics-based insights as
a top-three driver of innovation, there are reservations as to
whether operators are doing enough to maximize its impact.
Despite the telecommunications industry ranking above other
industries when it comes to adopting analytics, executives in our
survey feel that their existing strategies can go further, which
reflects the wealth of product, network and customer data at
their disposal.
Figure 19: Advanced analytics — ranking of adoption maturity by
industry, 2016
Pharmaceuticals
Financial Services
Media  Entertainment
Energy — Oil  Gas
Healthcare
Manufacturing
Technology
Telecommunications 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Sector 2016 rank
—
3
6
7
9
8
—
10
11
4
—
2015 rank
Government
Consumer  Retail
Automotive
—
—
—
+1
+3
+3
+4
+2
+2
+2
–6
Source: Forbes Insights/EY
While the move toward analytics and virtualization of both
networks and IT systems is underway, the importance of
organizational refinements also figures strongly as a driver
of change. Developing talent scores strongly, while improving
internal collaboration and decision-making (23%) is a mid-ranking
innovation driver. Yet some participants believe that the
IT function and associated skill sets require a fundamentally
closer alignment with the rest of the business.
“The perception of IT will change. It will become more entwined with
the business and will be expected to bring synergies to functions and
verticals as well as better packaging of services. IT assets are likely to
be owned by core functions.”
“Analytics in telecoms is still behind the OTT players. We need to utilize
this better and make more use of off-the-shelf software.”
21A global telecommunications study
Meanwhile, opening up application programming interfaces (APIs)
underscores as an innovation driver. Going forward, APIs and
engagement with developers may require more consideration
as part of digital business model development.
Turning to the barriers facing operators on their digital
transformation journey, legacy IT and a lack of digital skills are
seen as the two main impediments to transformation — cited by a
majority of participants. The challenge here is to harness front-
and back-end improvements, while the importance of digital skills
stretches across the organization, from specific new roles to the
C-suite itself.
Interestingly, poor levels of internal collaboration are not viewed as
a leading inhibitor of transformation. This suggests operators are
moving beyond the siloed organization structures of the past, and
may reflect the creation of digital business units and leadership
roles in recent years. Likewise, operators do not believe that a lack
of customer trust is a threat to their transformation agenda.
Figure 20: Operator views on barriers to digital transformation
What are the greatest barriers to your organization’s digital transformation journey? (top three responses)
65
51
41 38
30
19 16
8 8
3
Burden of
legacy
IT platforms
and architecture
Lack of skills
and expertise
in digital
domains
Continuing
pressure on
overall budgets
Leadership
focus
on tactical
rather than
strategic
goals
Fragmentation
of data,
systems
and
processes
Poor levels of
internal
collaboration
(e.g., IT and
marketing)
Insufficient
alignment
of technology
and business
strategy
Poor engagment
with suppliers
Low levels
of digital
trust with
customers
Inadequate
performance
measurement
and oversight
% of respondents
However, leadership focus on tactical rather than strategic goals
ranks number four as an impediment to transformation and
is related to the challenges of long-term planning. Some 84%
of participants agree that a greater emphasis on long-range
objectives would help to maximize their organization’s digital
transformation journey.
Statement: my organization
requires greater emphasis
on long-term goals in order
to maximize its digital
transformation journey.
84%
Agree
10%
Disagree
6%
Neither agree
nor disagree
“You cannot change your front end and just hope that your BSS will
follow. Legacy systems, that’s a really tough nut to crack.”
“IT skills need to be part of all C-suite roles; everyone should learn
about its impact on the business.”
“Our organization is starting a program to develop digital skills inside
the organization.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond22
7. Process automation leads the list of long-term technology enablers.
According to our survey participants, a wide variety of
technologies will help telcos to build long-term operational
excellence. As Figure 21 shows, process automation (cited by
71% of respondents) and analytics (51%) are expected to lead the
way as enablers, and participants were keen to highlight their
importance to customer experience improvements. With process
automation, the focus is likely to be largely on cost reduction,
though some telcos are looking increasingly at the opportunities
it opens up in driving monetization and growth.
Figure 21: Technology enablers of long-term operational excellence
What IT and technology enablers will be most important to your organization’s long-term operational excellence? (top three responses)
% of respondents
71
51 46 43 40
26
6 3
11
Process
automation
Pervasive
and predictive
analytics
Cloud-based IT Integrated
customer care
and support
systems
Network
functions
virtualization
Machine
learning
Packaged
software
Outsourcing Other
Software-centric networks and IT — such as network functions
virtualization (NFV) — will also have a growing role to play. The
benefits being targeted here center on increased agility and
efficiency, with upside in terms of improved network security and
more flexible vendor relationships ranking further down the list of
projected outcomes.
“Automation and other efficiency improvements will all make for a
better customer experience.”
“Process automation is largely focused on the self-serve/self-heal
approach, and has fewer requirements for human intervention.”
23A global telecommunications study
Figure 22: Operator views on the impact of software-centric networks and IT
What will be the most significant impact of software-centric networks and IT (e.g., NFV) for your organization? (top three responses)
Greater network
security
and resilience
Enablement of
digital services
More flexible
vendor
relationships
Greater responsiveness to
customer needs
Reduced costs
1515
4141
68
76
% of respondents
Faster
time-to-market
However, some participants believe that while the industry at
large recognizes the benefits of software-centric networks, the
concept should be higher up the list of technology enablers. At
the same time, three-quarters of respondents do not as yet see
newer concepts such as machine learning figuring as a driver of
long-term efficiency gains.
“Current time-to-market is insufficient and caused by the complexity
of the IT infrastructure. Software-based systems will improve this
significantly.”
“With respect to NFV, companies are going to wake up one day soon
and realize they need to be more proactive in this area.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond24
While participants recognize that brand-new 5G and low-power
wide area networks for IoT will act as game changers, there is
a lack of consensus on how different technologies will interact.
Some see 5G signaling a paradigm shift in mobile network
capability, while others believe it will play an important role in
the fixed market. Still others believe that a near-term focus on
VoLTE and small cells will deliver superior coverage and service
quality over the next three years.
Alongside the twin focus on 5G and IoT, operators believe that
innovation capabilities will trump cost control as organization
priorities on the road to 2020. Cost control may rank third as an
overall strategic priority, and as a barrier to digital transformation
in the near term, but participants are confident that innovation
will become more important in the next decade.
Statement: innovation
capabilities will increase as
a strategic priority
relative to cost control at
my organization ¡n the
next five years.
72%
Agree
12%
Disagree
16%
Neither agree
nor disagree
8. The post-2020 networks landscape will be transformed by 5G.
The communications carriers taking part in our survey expect a
range of network technologies to support industry transformation
on the road to 2020. As Figure 23 shows, most attention is
focused on 5G (cited by 77%) and IoT (57%), with variations of
fixed-line fiber (fiber-to-the-premises and fiber-to-the-cabinet)
together also highlighted by a majority of respondents (56%).
Figure 23: Operator views on the future impact of network access technologies
Which network access technologies will have the greatest impact on the industry over the next five years? (top three responses)
77
57
37
29 26 26 23
11
3
5G IoT networks
(e.g., NB-IoT)
Service-specific
tech (e.g.,
VoLTE)
FTTC
variants
(e.g., G.Fast,
vectoring)
FTTP Small
cells
Enhanced
LTE (4.5G)
Wi-Fi and Li-Fi DOCSIS 3.1
% of respondents
“5G is the clear leader for us. There’s lots of discussion about IoT
technologies, but they will only transform the networks landscape
incrementally.”
“It looks like the initial focus for 5G will be as a fixed-wireless
technology, so telcos will be able to use it to compete in the
fixed market.”
“5G will be very important but, until 2020, VoLTE and small cells will be
more important.”
Operators’ views differ markedly according to market maturity
Percentage of respondents citing customer experience as a
leading strategic priority between now and 2020
Developed market operators
Emerging market operators
68%
46%
Operator views on the digital transformation barriers
What are the greatest barriers to your organization’s digital
transformation journey? (Please select three)
Emerging market operators
Developed market operators
% of respondents
72
50
56
42
40
8
36
50
4
42
Burden of legacy IT
Lack of digital skills
and expertise
Fragmented data, systems
and processes
Continued pressure
on budgets
Lack of alignment of
technology and business strategy
Operator views on the future impact of access technologies
Which network access technologies will have the greatest impact
on the industry over the next five years? (Please select three)
% of respondents
Emerging markets
Developed markets
70
35
33
8
17
42
42
22
13
30
loT technoIogies
FTTP
Smal cells
FTTC variants
Enhanced LTE
Percentage of participants strongly agreeing that innovation
capabilities will increase as a strategic priority relative to
cost control in next five years
Developed market operators
Emerging market operators
39%
89%
In terms of the barriers to transformation, developed market
operators see legacy IT and fragmented data as significant
impediments, while operators in emerging markets are more
concerned with cost pressures and a lack of alignment between
technology and business strategy. Developed market operators
are also less confident that cost control concerns will fade and give
way to a greater focus on innovation over the next five years.
Views also diverge between developed and emerging markets
on the impact of new network technologies. Developed market
operators are more focused on IoT, while emerging market telcos
see 4.5G as a game changer. Interestingly, both developed and
emerging market operators lay an equal stress on fiber-based
technologies (FTTC variants and FTTP), which underlines the
importance of robust fixed-line infrastructure in years to come.
An analysis of the findings by geography shows that operators’
views differ according to market maturity, with their outlook on
industry priorities, transformation barriers and the next wave
of network access technologies varying significantly among
different regions. Operators in developed markets are more
concerned with customer experience improvements, a higher
level of focus that dovetails with their greater anxiety surrounding
disruptive competition.
25A global telecommunications study
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond26
Optimizing the transformation
agenda for 2020 and beyond
Seven key considerations for telcos on their digital journey
1.	 Improved organizational agility is at the heart of successful
digital transformation.
2.	 A more structured approach to digital services development
will deliver long-term upside.
3.	 New forms of ecosystem engagement are essential.
4.	 A holistic approach to analytics will maximize its benefits.
5.	 A wider set of demand drivers requires a more nuanced
network infrastructure road map.
6.	 Process automation will define the telco of the future.
7.	 Going digital requires a shift in organizational mind-set,
structure and interaction.
Based on our research findings, we’ve identified seven key considerations for telcos to keep front of mind as they undertake their journey
of digital transformation through 2020 and beyond.
27A global telecommunications study
1. Improved organizational agility is at the heart of successful digital
transformation.
Figure 24: Organizational agility underperforms as
a strategic objective
24%
Operators that see ¡ncreased
organizational agility as a top
strategic priority over the
next three years
Operators that see
a lack of organizational
agility as a leading
industry challenge
47%
To accelerate their transformation and improve their long-term
agility, telcos must overcome the burden of legacy IT. If they
succeed in doing this, then they will be positioned and equipped to
thrive in an OTT world. If they fail, they will inevitably struggle.
In EY’s view, operators have no choice but to tackle the world of
legacy IT head-on. Exacerbated by a new wave of MA, legacy
systems are preventing them from increasing their levels of agility.
Key agility drivers for 2020 and beyond include consolidation of
data and systems, overhaul of BSS/OSS, a focus on digital skills
and collaboration, improved governance, and artificial intelligence
(AI). Within this broad vision, incremental steps are needed — early
wins can validate more ambitious long-term initiatives, which
themselves will require continual reassessment and refinement.
Figure 25: Agility drivers for 2020 and beyond
Continual
governance
Governance as
a process not a
project
Artificial
intelligence
NFV as a
platform
for AI
Collaborative
innovation
Open up
network
APIs
Agility drivers
on the road to
2025
Cross-function
collaboration
Polymath
organization
Single view of
customer and
organization
Consolidate
data/systems
Upgrade billing
and charging
BSS/OSS
overhaul
Near term Long term
Ongoing cloud migration will necessarily partner a new range of
agility drivers, acting as the bedrock of long-term efficiency gains
— but a more near-term focus on the operational and strategic
benefits of cloud IT may be needed to drive progress. Although
nearly half of our survey participants see cloud IT as a driver of
operational excellence, less than one in five see it as a spending
priority over the next two to three years.
However, as operators prepare to become more agile
organizations, our research points to a mismatch in operators’
attitudes toward it. While they recognize the challenge ahead,
it is telling that twice as many operators see a lack of agility as
an industry challenge, as opposed to a priority for their own
organizations to tackle.
“We need to become an agile software-based business. We are fighting
with stones against OTT providers who are armed with laser swords.”
“For the digital transformation journey, you have to be a lot more
responsive than just sticking to goals, you need to be more nimble
and agile.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond28
Figure 26: Cloud migration underperforms as a leading
investment priority
18%
Operators that see cloud
systems migration as a leading
investment priority in next two
to three years
Operators that see
cloud-based IT as a leading
enabler of long-term
operational excellence
45%
The findings suggest that telcos can — and should — be much
bolder in their cloud strategies. Telcos currently favor private
cloud approaches, but public cloud offers greater ROI in the long
term, as long as operators accept that successful public cloud
strategies require a greater focus on security implications and
changing regulatory scenarios.
Looking forward, cloud adoption — accelerated through
partnerships — can improve the centralization of IT management,
enabling more flexibility in staffing and recruitment while paving
the way for greater focus on product and service innovation.
“Effective use of cloud-based IT should support enterprise process
improvement, better product development and accelerated execution
on initiatives.”
“We want partners to take over our hardware but struggle to compare
what they can achieve vs. what we can put in the cloud ourselves. It’s
a difficult comparison to make. But the ‘cloudified’ telco is the telco of
the future.”
29A global telecommunications study
2. A more structured approach to digital services development will
deliver long-term upside.
More innovative business models will depend on implementing a
selective growth agenda. This agenda should focus on carefully
chosen vertical markets and/or segments, supported by new value
chain relationships that can help operators respond quickly to
emerging opportunities and risks.
To achieve this type of positioning and agility, operators should
delineate clearly among different IoT use cases based on their own
unique and distinctive mix of capabilities, including:
•	 Licensed spectrum
•	 Mix of technologies — e.g., cellular, LPWA
•	 Existing sales channels
•	 Application development
•	 Analytics capability
•	 Systems integration
Different elements of the IoT value chain have contrasting relative
revenue and margin profiles in the context of end-to-end service
contracts. To make the most of these opportunities, operators will
need a deeper understanding of vertical-specific ecosystems in
order to deliver optimal financial returns within acceptable risk/
reward frameworks.
Figure 27: IoT value chain revenue and margin considerations
Value
chain
element
Relative
revenue
profile
Relative
margin
profile
Network
Medium Medium High High Low
Medium MediumHighLow Low
Device Application
Service
provision
System
integration
Operators will also need to align people and processes to build
credibility in emerging use cases and forge more consultative
relationships with customers to communicate value-added
propositions more effectively. And they will be able to maximize
their share of IoT spend by leveraging their differentiated
capabilities in customer experience management, analytics
and security.
As telcos expand their service portfolios into adjacent markets,
their success in these new areas will hinge on generating higher
levels of trust with customers. Reassuring customers on the
privacy and security credentials of new services will be vital, and
segmentation of customer needs will require greater commitment
as different, more aggregated business models involve both direct
and indirect customers.
Figure 28: Credibility in adjacent markets will hinge on higher
levels of trust
Statement: customer privacy and security concerns are likely
to hold back the development of innovative business models at
my organization.
Strongly agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Slightly agree
Slightly disagree
Strongly disagree
0 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
“You need a sales team that can communicate the value proposition in
IoT — and that can be challenging.”
“Security services should provide opportunities for
small- to medium-sized businesses, but also at the individual
consumer level.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond30
3. New forms of ecosystem engagement are essential.
A balanced partnering and MA agenda can help telcos
unlock opportunities for internal improvements and revenue
diversification. However, while our findings show partnerships are
recognized as important, they also rank relatively low as an overall
priority. Our study shows that 34% of operators see partnerships
with OTTs and other third parties as a top enabler of innovation,
but that only 14% regard MA, joint ventures and partnerships as a
top strategic priority.
To address this mismatch, operators should accelerate toward
a new partnering mindset. This will mean delineating clearly
among different routes toward inorganic growth — MA, strategic
partnerships, start-up incubation and more. Then telcos should
rationalize the partnering universe where appropriate and explore
the collaboration horizon for high-priority partners. A framework
for the interplay and impact of inorganic growth drivers is shown
in Figure 29.
With all the partnerships they form, operators should regularly
revisit objectives and adjust performance measurement criteria,
paying more attention to partner-oriented KPIs.
Figure 29: Inorganic growth drivers — interplay and impact
New digital capabilities,
e.g., analytics, automation
Adjacent market subsegments,
e.g., video, loT
Core service, e.g., connectivity
Time to impact main business
Competency type Inorganic growth catalyst
1–3 years 4–6 years 7 years +
Incubator/accelerator
VC funding
Strategic partnership
Internal RD
MA
“Partnerships are vital because we cannot imitate or ignore the
innovative power of all the players attacking the different layers of our
value chain.”
“How do we trade off partnering with investments outside our core
expertise, beyond the network itself?”
31A global telecommunications study
4. A holistic approach to analytics will maximize its benefits.
For telecoms carriers’ new digital business and operating models
to be effective, they’ll need to be underpinned by pervasive
analytics. This will mean operators looking beyond the traditional
domain of analytics in developing customer insight and
working out how to weave network analytics into digital service
propositions. The wide spectrum of analytics use cases open to
telcos is illustrated in Figure 30 — each brings its own potential
benefits and is at a different level of current implementation
maturity.
Figure 30: Telco analytics use cases and implementation maturity
• Network capacity
planning
• Network optimization
(real time)
• Network protection
fault detection
Network
Implementation maturity:
• Improve customer
experience
• Billing and revenue
assurance
• Fraud management
• SLA management
Operations
• Churn prediction and
management
• Personalized services
• Customer profiling
• Plan optimization
• Social analysis
Customer
• Upsell and cross-sell
• Campaign
management
• Next-best offer
• Targeted content
Marketing
• Selling customer data
to third parties
• loT managed services
• Partner performance
management
Digital services
High Medium Low
Operational excellence
Customer experience improvement
Revenue maximization
For operators to widen their analytics use cases successfully
across this spectrum, more sophisticated strategies and
implementation will be vital. These will require a three-stage
improvement and optimization process:
•	 Stage 1 — speed the execution of analytics initiatives
	 Leverage metadata as part of data integration and centralization
to improve decision-making
•	 Stage 2 — remove barriers to use case extension
Improve communication with customers and stakeholders,
and improve data collection and re-use
•	 Stage 3 — widen analytics competencies
Prioritize dynamic partnerships that can help add analytics to
digital services capability.
“We have a few hundred data scientists, so are well staffed, but are
yet to monetize our capability. It’s not a product offering — we use
analytics in operations and as an enabler for marketing and customer
insights.”
“We are creating a centralized data store including infrastructure
requirements, and need a high-level master data management/
strategy.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond32
5. A wider set of demand drivers requires a more nuanced network
infrastructure road map.
While industry forecasts continue to highlight an exponential
increase in data demand, operators will also have to ensure that
the network of the future is responsive to a range of use cases.
Latency and bandwidth requirements will vary widely depending
on the specific application involved, meaning that operators must
provide a range of capabilities if they are to meet the needs of
consumers and enterprises of the future.
Figure 31: Latency and bandwidth requirements by use case
10s 1s 100ms 10ms
10Gbps
1Gbps
100Mbps
10Mbps
1Mbps
100kps
100kbps
1kbps
1ms 100us 10us
Electric
grid control
Home
sensors
Autonomous
vehicles
Cloud-assisted
driving
Comms
Chatbots
Hi-res 360
video
Lo-res 360
video
360 VR/AR
Video
People
and things
VR/AR
System
control
Source: Nokia
Against this background, operators will need to adopt a phased
approach to upgrade programs, reflecting the fact that points of
performance differentiation are in flux and regulatory demands
are also shifting. While our study shows that 5G is seen as having
the most impact in the next five years, question marks persist —
both over 5G’s primary roles and over its interrelationship with
previous mobile standards. For example, LTE-A Pro already offers
gigabit speeds while NB-IoT standards are already positioned to
serve a range of IoT use cases.
As such uncertainties play out, the interplay of coverage and
quality needs will place more importance on network densification
initiatives. Virtualization will also help network infrastructure
become more agile — potentially altering network topology at large
— while “digital society” policies will influence the pace of network
rollout, as with the EU’s Gigabit Society initiative. At the same
time, there is scope for disruptive technologies such as Li-Fi to
alter received industry thinking.
Figure 32: Network access evolution to 2020 and beyond
“Virtualization should enable new ways to create networks, which
means decreasing the amount of base stations and centralizing the
‘logic’ of the network.”
“I don’t think that the 5G and IoT market will come together that well,
since you need a huge market for chipset manufacturers to scale.”
Source: EY analysis
Mbps
2005 2010 2015 2020
VDSL
FTTH
ADSL
WCDMA
HSPA
LTE
Vectoring
G.Fast
LTE-A
LTE-A Pro
801.11n
Fixed Mobile IEEE Emerging IoT standards
LoRa
DOCSIS 3.1
2025
5G
Li-Fi
801.11ah
NB-IoT
10
100
1000
Sigfox
Zigbee
33A global telecommunications study
6. Process automation will define the telco of the future.
An expanding horizon of evolving automation possibilities
will fundamentally alter the relationship between people and
processes — yet many telcos are currently struggling to unlock the
resulting benefits. Operators have been investing in automation
for some time, but are fully aware that they need to raise their
game in generating returns on this investment.
Figure 33: Impact of automation on telco productivity
How do you see automation impacting productivity
within your company?
34%
7%29%
30%
Prior investments in automation
have not proven to be successful.
We see an increase in productivity
due to more automated processes.
We are still duplicating automated
and non-automated processes.
We are not sure.
Source: Global Capital Confidence Barometer, 15th edition,
EYGM Limited, 2016.
Figure 34: The automation journey for operators
Traditional
automation
► Faster
processing
► Reduced
error rate
Business
process
management
Robotics
process
automation
Semi-
cognitive and
cognitive
► Better
monitoring
► Stronger
control
► Improved
quality and
compliance
► Low up-front
and
maintenance
cost
► Simple
models,
predictable
outcomes
Machine
learning,
algorithms
►
Source: EY
As initial automation projects give way to more ambitious
programs, operators should revisit their overarching road maps as
new technologies alter what is possible.
What’s needed is a clearly defined automation journey balancing
short-term gains with long-term perspective. During this journey,
it will be important to reap incremental benefits through
noninvasive initiatives, capitalizing on the fact that robotic process
automation (RPA) decouples process transformation from the
overall redesign of IT systems and infrastructure.
“Automation, particularly around customer care, has an important
role.”
“Automating the manual tasks of end-to-end processes will be the next
big thing.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond34
Figure 35: The talent agenda scores poorly as a strategic priority
51%
Operators that believe
a lack of digital skills is a top
transformation barrier
Operators that believe
acquiring and developing
talent is a top enabler of
innovation
39% 6%
Operators that see
growing and retaining talent
as a top strategic priority
7. Going digital requires a shift in organizational mind-set, structure
and interaction.
Some of the most thought-provoking findings in our research
study are those around the role and importance of people in
telcos’ digital transformation. While telcos say they see talent as
a key transformation catalyst, and a lack of digital skills as a top
transformation barrier, the people agenda ranks very low as a
strategic priority.
Going forward, people require as much focus as systems and
processes. The need to intensify the focus on talent is underlined
by other EY research, showing that the telecoms industry is
lagging behind other sectors in sensitizing its people agenda to
opportunities arising from automation, for example.2
To reshape and re-energize their workforce for the new market
realities, operators need to develop a more experimental culture
that accepts failure as a vital element of successful innovation and
transformation in all areas of the business. But developing and
embedding such a culture will require fundamental and potentially
painful organizational change — including cutting through the
traditional silos among the network, IT and business information
functions to unite these formerly distinct teams and mind-sets.
As operators approach this seismic shift in their organizational
structures, the outlook for the people agenda to 2020 and beyond
is coalescing around four imperatives, all of which were articulated
in verbatim comments by our survey participants:
1. Understand that a receptive and tolerant
mind-set is critical
2 	
Global Capital Confidence Barometer, 15th edition, EY GM Limited 2016.
“The evolution of a failure culture is needed to improve internal
collaboration and decision-making.”
“We need the right talent around technology and the right thinking on engaging with customers and suppliers.”
“It’s a cultural challenge to find people that embrace a different,
disruptive style of doing business.”
35A global telecommunications study
2. Prepare for a new era of organizational design
3. Seek a balance between up-skilling and new roles
Software engineer
Hacker
Data scientist
CEX officer
Telco roles
for 2020
and beyond
4. Optimize the alignment of people and processes
“Now there are network, IT and BI people. In 2021, there will only be
one unit for all functions. Networks and IT are already nearly together,
and in a few years BI will join them.”
“Most COOs have a network background, so you could argue whether
they ‘think’ IT. This is delaying the software-centric telco.”
“The move to the cloud also requires a balance between the impacts on
people and advantageous changes to operations.”
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond36
Conclusion
Moving forward with a flexible transformation road map
Many of the findings in our survey point to an industry in
transition, from the search for digital business models to the short-
and long-term focus on analytics as a driver of improved customer
experiences and increased operational efficiency.
Yet the transformation of existing platforms, systems and
processes will be as important as the creation of new digital-led
competencies. In this sense, transformation is a holistic exercise
for all, and one that also involves accurately monitoring, assessing
and reevaluating progress. Not all operators are pursuing their
transformation goals at the same rate, and long-term goals will
also need to be flexible given the scope for further disruptions and
shifts in regulatory and technology landscapes.
Creating an agile, efficient and empowered organization
By comparing the survey results across our participant group,
we can also understand more about the different transformation
perspectives across the telecommunications industry and uncover
hidden tensions or gaps within the different types of approach.
A segmentation of our survey responses highlights specific pain
points unique to each type of strategy.
Figure 36: Segmentation of telecoms operators’ strategies
Committed to cost control Digital service devotees
People-powered
organizations
Agility advocates
View cost control as a #1
or #2 strategic priority
View organizational agility
as a #1, #2 or #3
strategic priority
View advertising/
e-commerce or IoT as the
#1 digital revenue driver
View digital skills as #1 or
#2 transformation driver
A lack of near-term
investment
may stifle long-term agility.
The talent agenda is
conspicuous
by its absence.
Ecosystem engagement
is a greater priority but the
skill barrier remains.
Systems and processes
are acting as a block
on progress.
Source: EY analysis
Our survey results suggest that the interplay of cost reduction,
portfolio diversification, digital skills and organizational agility
within strategic road maps presents a new set of challenges.
Those who prize cost control may sacrifice long-term agility by
underinvesting in the next two years, while those who prize agility
and digital service development may already be facing a more
pronounced skills gap than the rest of the survey sample.
And even those organizations that are putting their people at the
front and center of transformation should take care that they also
maximize their exposure to new technologies that can transform
their operations and customer-centricity.
Looking ahead, all players will have to strike a balance between
more proactive support of the customer experience and
more dynamic business and operating models. The rise of
the software-centric operator, where IT is interwoven in the
fabric of the business, will determine the winners and losers.
Previous distinctions between “dumb pipe” and “smart pipe”
are increasingly redundant — only those with an “agile pipe”
will prosper in the long term.
37A global telecommunications study
Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond38
EY Contacts
Prashant Singhal
Global Telecommunications Leader
prashant.singhal@in.ey.com
Holger Forst
Global Telecommunications Assurance Leader
holger.forst@de.ey.com
Axel Majert
Global Telecommunications TAS Leader
axel.majert@es.ey.com
Amit Sachdeva
Global Telecommunications Advisory Leader
amit.sachdeva@in.ey.com
Bart van Droogenbroek
Global Telecommunications Tax Leader
bart.van.droogenbroek@lu.ey.com
Adrian Baschnonga
Global Telecommunications Lead Analyst
adrian.baschnonga@uk.ey.com
Enrico Ronchi
Global Telecommunications Senior Analyst
enrico.ronchi@it.ey.com
Connect with us at globaltelecommunicationsector@eyg.ey.com
39A global telecommunications study 39A global telecommunications study
EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory
About EY
EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and
advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver
help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in
economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders
who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders.
In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working
world for our people, for our clients and for our communities.
EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or
more, of the member firms of Ernst  Young Global Limited,
each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst  Young Global
Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not
provide services to clients. For more information about our
organization, please visit ey.com.
How EY’s Global Telecommunications Sector
can help your business
Telecommunications operators are facing a rapidly
transforming business model. Competition from technology
companies is creating challenges around customer ownership.
Service innovation, pricing pressures and network capacity are
intensifying scrutiny of the return on investments. In addition,
regulatory pressures and shareholder expectations require
agility and cost efficiency. If you are facing these challenges,
we can provide a sector-based perspective on addressing
your assurance, advisory, transaction and tax needs. Our
Global Telecommunications Sector is a virtual hub that brings
together people, cultures and leading ideas from across the
world. Whatever your need, we can help you improve the
performance of your business.
© 2017 EYGM Limited.
All Rights Reserved.
EYG no. 01964-174Gbl
BMC Agency
GA 0000_10345
ED None
In line with EY’s commitment to minimize its impact on the
environment, this document has been printed on paper with a high
recycled content.
This material has been prepared for general informational purposes
only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax or other
professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice.
ey.com/telecommunications

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Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond

  • 1. 1A global telecommunications study Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond A global telecommunications study
  • 2. About this report The 2017 global telecommunications study has been conducted by EY to monitor and evaluate the evolving views of leaders across the global telecommunications industry. This latest survey forms part of EY’s ongoing series of global telecommunications studies. Based on in-depth conversations with industry leaders worldwide, the resulting insights help us to assess the current state and future state of this rapidly changing sector. Our 2017 survey drills down into perspectives from the industry’s CIO and CTO community in order to explore the role of IT and networks and to examine how this is supporting long-term digital transformation. We conducted 39 in-depth interviews with participants from 36 organizations, supported by insights and analysis from EY’s sector professionals and secondary research sources. The 36 organizations taking part this year account for annual revenue of US$421 billion and an aggregate market capitalization of US$603 billion. Figure 1: Participating companies in 2017 — annual revenues 6 3 14 7 4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Less than US$500m US$1b–US$4.9b US$5b–US$9.9b US$10b–US$25b Greater than US$25b Number of participating companies 2 Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond
  • 3. 2017 global telecommunications study: highlights 39 interviews with 36 organizations Participant organizations’ annual revenue: US$421 billion Participant organizations’ aggregate market capitalization: US$603 billion Headquarters locations of participating entities in 2015 and 2017 Taken together, our 2015 and 2017 surveys have involved a total of 83 interviews with 76 organizations, with the aggregate annual revenues of the participating companies standing at over US$1 trillion. These interviews have covered 44% of the top 50 global carriers by revenue. Figure 2: : Geographic locations of participating companies, 2015 and 2017 3A global telecommunications study
  • 4. Participating industry executives* Cosmas Adam Chief Technology and Information Officer MTN Cyprus Daniel Mizrachi Belisario Chief Technology Officer Millicom International Cellular Costa Rica Enrique Blanco Chief Technology Officer Telefonica Group Axel Clauberg Vice President, Aggregation, Transport, IP (CTO-ATI) Deutsche Telekom Mike Cole Chief Information Officer Bell Canada Nicolas Costaras Chief Information Officer Wind Hellas Claudio Farina Head Financial Planning & Analysis Vodafone Italia Jay Ferro Executive Vice President, Chief Information Officer, Chief Product Officer EarthLink Vikas Grover Chief Information Officer Vodafone India David Havercroft Chief Operating Officer Spark New Zealand Kashif Syed Haq Chief Technology Officer Axiata Digital Hisham Fathy Hassan Director, Technology Strategy & Control Viva Bahrain Luis Martin Hernandez Chief Information Officer America Movil — Telcel (Mexico) Bouke Hoving Executive Vice President Simplification & Innovation and CIO KPN Phil Jordan Chief Information Officer Telefonica Group Panicos Kallenos Chief Technology and Information Officer CYTA Veenod Kurup Group Chief Information Officer Liberty Global Francois Mairey Chief Technology and Information Officer Tele2 Group Amit Marwah Head of Sales, End to End Solutions Nokia Solutions and Networks India Gary McLaren Chief Technology Officer HKBN Shin Murakami Corporate Officer, Executive Vice President, Chief Mobile Officer Yahoo Japan 4 Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond
  • 5. *Three participants asked to remain anonymous. Ali Obtel Chief Technology Officer Viva Kuwait Tommy Olenius Chief Technology Officer DNA Oyj Peter Jantosovic Director Technology Transformation & Optimization Slovak Telekom Gunar Post Head of IT Strategy Deutsche Telekom Scott Rice Chief Information Officer Sprint Corporation John Romano Acting Chief Information Officer Telstra Ruza Sabanovic Chief Technology and Information Officer Telenor Group Daniele Schneeberg Head of Transformation Vodafone Italia Ken Smithard Vice President, Performance Organizational Efficiency & IT Cogeco Connexion Peter Taylor Vice President, Technology Operations and Support Shaw Communications Inc Hugo Van Zyl Chief Technology and Information Officer OpenServe Pty Ltd (Telkom Group) Saad Muzaffar Waraich Chief Technology and Information Officer PTCL Pakistan Marlon Yu-Shan Chief Information Officer, Millicom International Cellular Honduras *Five participants requested to remain anonymous. A global telecommunications study 5
  • 6. The methodology We met with each of the senior industry executives who participated in the study, asking them 15 questions that focused on the industry as a whole, as well as on specific areas and issues within their organizations. We asked participants to provide their top three answers to provide full insight into the opportunities and challenges confronting them now and in the future. We also captured key comments from the dialogue generated by the interviews, an anonymized selection of which appears in this report. If you would like to the see the complete results of the study, please contact your local EY representative. 6 Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond
  • 7. 7A global telecommunications study Sector snapshot: the paradigm shift to digital is well underway The global telecoms industry landscape is changing faster than ever. Erosion of legacy revenue streams driven by over-the-top (OTT) competitors continues, forcing operators to consider new ways of remaining relevant to consumer and enterprise customers. While many have embarked on journeys to become digital service providers, the sector remains vulnerable to quickening shifts in terms of technology cycles, competitor actions and customer needs. Figure 3: Global telecoms revenue development 2008-16 (US$b) 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Mobile Fixed Source: Ovum A decade of disruptive dynamics Telecommunications companies have endured a challenging decade, with the industry subjected to a number of disruptions in recent years. The smartphone revolution has led to an explosion in data demand, while the accompanying growth of mobile applications has seen a range of disruptive players monetize new customer behaviors. While this has resulted in a range of interconnected phenomena, from the sharing economy to frictionless marketplaces, operators’ revenue streams remain under pressure. The rise of OTT players has been accompanied by macroeconomic pressure and mandated price reductions to mobile termination and roaming rates that have further weakened the sector’s growth profile. During the period 2008 to 2016, global fixed and mobile revenues increased at a compound annual growth rate of 0.4%. At the same time, network investments remain burdensome as operators upgrade their infrastructure to sustain an exponential rise in data demand. Large-scale 4G rollout continues, supported by the acquisition of new spectrum frequencies, while last- mile connections to the home are also the scene of continued investment. “Consumer interaction with devices creates instant needs. The challenge for us is to keep up with customer demands given our legacy network elements and investments.”
  • 8. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond8 Figure 4: Operator share performance 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13 Nov-13 Feb-14 May-14 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17 MSCI EM Latin America Telecoms Index MSCI AC Asia Telecoms Index DJ Euro Stoxx Telecoms Index Dow Jones U.S. Telecoms Index Dow Jones Middle East Africa Telecoms Index Source: Capital IQ Regional landscapes vary in telecommunications From a geographical perspective, North American and Asia-Pacific telcos have performed best in terms of share prices in the past five years. This outperformance has been helped by consolidated market structures and early access to new spectrum in North America and by strong smartphone penetration growth and demand for mobile data services in Asia-Pacific. Meanwhile, European telco stocks have recovered since 2013 due to the anticipation of large-scale MA — yet although the revenue growth outlook is improving, regulatory attitudes remain difficult to predict. External factors are weighing down telco share performance in emerging regions, whether in the form of recession in Latin America or falling commodity prices in Africa. And while telcos across regions remain well-positioned as defensive stocks, dividend yields remain under pressure, having trended slightly down in recent years.
  • 9. 9A global telecommunications study Telcos are diversifying their revenue streams but margin management remains challenging Telcos in all regions have expanded their service portfolios in recent years to include a widening array of offerings, as they look to capitalize on growth opportunities across technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) in areas like enterprise cloud, TV and the Internet of Things (IoT). Meanwhile rapid smartphone adoption is driving growth in areas such as mobile advertising, and bundles with new combinations of fixed, mobile and TV services are gaining ground. However, a key challenge for telcos as they expand their service portfolios is that adjacent market segments tend to offer lower margins, and disruptive competitors are already well-positioned in key segments such as cloud and advertising. Partly as a result, profitability is under pressure, with operators’ return on invested capital (ROIC) trending downward. In combination with the lower margins available from adjacent services, this squeeze on profitability reflects other factors, including regulatory price reductions and the high capital intensity required to service the surging demand for mobile data. Figure 5: Digital TMT ecosystem value forecast 2015 2020 US$1.67 trillion US$2.36 trillion Data Content and videoVoice/SMS loT and M2M Advertising Enterprise and cloud 27% 24% 9% 12% 8% 13% 5% 12% 19% 23% 32% 16% Source: Informa, Ovum, GSMA, EY “The future for telcos is uncertain. Players are taking virtual positions in the market, but it is doubtful whether they are substantially different from each other.”
  • 10. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond10 Competitive intensity is higher than ever OTT players such as WhatsApp, Facebook and WeChat have redefined the customer experience in messaging and video services, luring traffic away from telco offerings such as SMS. These trends are playing out against a market background in which consumers and enterprises increasingly see value in multi- service packages, with quad-play and cloud packages driving new opportunities in each segment respectively. However, many consumers are looking to customize their own bundle combinations, with OTT video playing an increasingly important role — in turn driving further MA and partnerships. Meanwhile, on the enterprise side, telcos are seeking growth by offering more advanced services to multinational customers. This shift is fostering a growing focus on strategic services based on IP, Ethernet, VPN and managed services capabilities. In focusing on network-adjacent services, telcos’ aim is to “protect the core” while also avoiding head-on competition with IT outsourcers and technology specialists. Overhaul of systems and processes is fueling telcos’ digital transformation IT spending by telcos is set to keep rising through the period from 2015 to 2020, as operators leverage new hardware and software in search of long-term efficiency gains and greater agility and flexibility. However — as Figure 7 shows — spending profiles as a proportion of revenues vary between regions, with Americas operators demonstrating higher relative spending propensity. The rising global trend in IT spend reflects the fact that such investment remains critical to supporting digital growth, with quality of experience and reduced costs at the heart of operators’ strategic agenda. While budget constraints in developed markets are dis-incentivizing large-scale transformation programs, emerging markets will continue to drive IT spending growth through 2020. In combination, these factors are projected to see global telco IT investment reach US$85b in 2020, with 74% of this total being spent with external providers rather than internally.1 Growth in spending on systems hardware and packaged software will be particularly strong, reflecting the move to more flexible virtualization technologies. In contrast, internal IT spending on areas like IT desktop capabilities and IT departments will see relatively slow growth between 2015 and 2020, at a CAGR of just 1%. 1 Ovum. Figure 7: Global telco IT spending forecast by region 3.5 4 4.5 5 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F North America Europe MEA Asia-Pacific Source: Ovum 1.1 1.9 2.8 3.6 2013 2014 2015 2016 Figure 6: Active user base of major instant messaging platforms (billions) Source: GSMA
  • 11. 11A global telecommunications study Capital intensity is set to rise toward the end of the decade Carriers’ capital expenditure has been falling following their large-scale 4G and fiber rollouts. However, as Figure 8 illustrates, an acceleration of “pure fiber” rollouts and the advent of 5G will lead to sharp rises in capex in 2020–21, both in fixed and mobile segments. Operators will need to consider new ways of generating capex efficiency as they strive to meet growing demand for high-speed and low-latency data services. Figure 8: Global telecoms capex development (US$b) $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F Mobile Fixed Source: Ovum
  • 12. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond12 Headline survey findings Looking across the views of the global telecoms industry leaders elicited in our research, eight key messages emerge strongly. Eight key messages from our research 1. Disruptive competition tops the list of industry challenges. 2. Digital business models, customer experience and cost control lead the 2020 strategic agenda. 3. The network dominates the near-term spending agenda, but a range of IT improvements are also being sought. 4. Network capex is trending up but IT spending profiles vary. 5. Confidence is rising in the digital services opportunity, yet caveats remain. 6. Analytics and virtualization are the top innovation drivers, but legacy IT and a lack of skills are acting as brakes. 7. Process automation leads the list of long-term IT enablers. 8. The post-2020 landscape will be transformed by 5G.
  • 13. 13A global telecommunications study 1. Disruptive competition tops the list of industry challenges. Asked to cite the top strategic challenges facing their business, almost three-quarters — 74% — of our survey participants highlight disruptive competition, followed by 47% mentioning a lack of organizational agility (see Figure 9). While neither of these findings is significantly different from our 2015 survey, what has changed markedly is the rating given to regulatory uncertainty, which is ranked as a top-three challenge by only half as many respondents this time (32%) as in 2015. Figure 9: Operator views on challenges facing the telecommunications industry What are the most significant challenges facing the industry? (top three responses) 74 47 37 32 32 21 16 11 8 73 45 39 24 64 18 9 9 15 3 0 Disruptive competition Lack of organizational agility Lack of return on investment Changing customer needs and attitudes Uncertain regulatory environment Shortening technology cycles Global economic uncertainty Poor rates of innovation Poor ecosystem relationships Lack of industry standards 2017 2015 % of respondents More than one in three respondents see disruptive competition as the single largest challenge facing the industry, and this concern is reinforced by a comparison of net promoter scores (NPS), which highlight customer willingness to recommend a company’s product or service, between different industries. Figure 10: Average US net promoter scores across industries 16 27 29 32 37 39 40 41 ISPs Utilities Wireless carriers Banks Airlines Supermarkets Investment firms Software Source: Temkin Group However, there is a divergence of views between operators depending on market maturity. Carriers in developing markets are proportionately less likely to cite disruptive competition as a leading challenge, reflecting lower rates of smartphone penetration and more straightforward relationships with OTTs that leverage partnerships to widen addressable markets. “There is no brand loyalty to carriers; all the mindshare goes to OTTs.” “Change used to be technology-driven, but now it’s competitor-driven.” 76% 67% Developed markets Emerging markets Participants citing disruptive competition as a leading industry challenge
  • 14. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond14 While a focus on customer experience is well understood as a key strategic objective of the telecommunications industry — and explains the growing focus on net promoter score as a performance metric — the primacy of digital business models and services is telling in its own right. As operators move beyond into adjacent growth segments, business model adjustments are more critical than ever before if operators are to create winning customer experiences in both legacy and new service domains. At the same time, digital business models are unlocking a new wave of efficiencies. 2. Digital business models, customer experience and cost control lead the 2020 strategic agenda. When we asked the survey participants to name their top three strategic priorities through 2020, three focus areas were cited by more than half of respondents: digital business models (71%), customer experience (61%), and cost control and business efficiencies (53%). Figure 11: Operator strategic priorities over the next three years What are your most important strategic priorities over the next three years? (top three responses) % of respondents 71 61 53 32 24 24 13 13 6 Digital business models and services Improving customer experience Cost control and business efficiencies Improved IT systems and processes Increased organizational agility Network upgrades and modernization MA, joint ventures and partnerships Product simplification Growing and retaining talent Nevertheless, the ongoing importance executives attach to improving customer experience and satisfaction is further underlined by the fact that this gains the most votes as the number one strategic priority — 41% — ahead of digital business models and services (22%) and cost control and business efficiencies (17%). Overall, what comes across loud and clear is a symbiotic relationship among digital business models, customer experience, and efficiency and agility gains. Only by harnessing these related objectives as part of a common purpose do operators see themselves unlocking the full benefits of their transformation agenda. Nevertheless, the low relative focus on acquiring and retaining talent suggests that skills management may be lacking within this set of interconnected priorities. “ At the same time, digital business models are key to unlocking a new wave of efficiencies.” “Friendly customer service and trust of customers are assets that are impossible to copy when you do it better than the competitors.” “Digital enables ‘increased organizational agility’ and ‘improved IT systems and processes’ as a by-product of improving customer experience.” “Automation and efficiency improvement of all processes will serve customer experience.”
  • 15. 15A global telecommunications study 3. The network dominates the near-term spending agenda, but a range of IT improvements are also being sought. Turning to what they expect to be their organization’s top three most critical IT and network investment domains over the next two years, respondents opt for access network technologies like 4G and FTTX by a wide margin — cited by 74% — ahead of overhauling BSS/OSS at 54% (see Figure 12). Figure 12: Operator views on network and IT spending domains What are your organization’s most critical IT and network investment domains over the next two years? (top three responses) 74 54 46 43 37 20 11 9 6 Access network technologies (e.g., 4G, FTTX) BSS/OSS overhaul Virtualization technologies (e.g., SDN, NFV) Big data analytics Cybersecurity Cloud system migration Data centers Traffic offload and backhaul Managed IT services % of respondents While the prominence of access network spending reflects high capital intensity driven by long-term growth in data demand, the challenge for network and IT executives remains how to balance network modernization with a range of mission-critical objectives that are equally critical to long-term differentiation. BSS/OSS overhaul, virtualization technology, cloud migration and cybersecurity are all cited by more than one-third of participants. The difficult nature of this balancing act is made more obvious when participants are asked to name their single most critical networks and IT investment priority. Nearly two-thirds of respondents cite the network, and no other domain scores above 15%. “Our estimation is that volumes of mobile data will increase 10 times in the next 5 years.”
  • 16. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond16 The implicit challenge in this network-centric view of investment is that building, running and enhancing networks is what telcos have always done, which raises the question of whether they’re paying too little attention to newer forms of differential investment. Access network technologies Big data analytics Cybersecurity 15%6% BSS/OSS overhaul 15%63% 15%6% The relatively strong focus on upgrading BSS/OSS is also interesting, since it indicates that these have become a particular pain point, perhaps reflecting the patchwork of billing, CRM and other support systems that many operators have built up over time through acquisition. “Coverage and quality are the most important attributes of our network upgrade program.” “Even during a cost reduction phase, our new initiatives are mainly driven by IT systems transformation.” “BSS/OSS is a big draw on capital because we have a lot of legacy systems.” Figure 13: Most critical IT and network investment domains over the next two years (top answer)
  • 17. 17A global telecommunications study 4. Network capex is trending up but IT spending profiles vary. Figure 14: Operator views on network capex and IT opex development What are your expectations regarding network capex/IT opex in the next 12 months? IT opex Network capex 355 1818 29 21 13 37 32 16 3 Would rather not answer/Don't know Decrease significantlyStay the same Decrease slightlyIncrease slightlyIncrease significantly % of respondents Drilling down into the impact of these priorities on network capex and IT opex in the coming year, 53% of respondents see network capex rising in the next 12 months, while 21% think it will remain unchanged (see Figure 14). This expected increase in network capex spend will inevitably put pressure on spending on other priorities, such as IT and blue-sky digital services development projects. Meanwhile, the near-term prospects for IT opex are more mixed. Thirty-five percent of respondents see IT opex increasing, driven by the continuing migration to the cloud, while 47% predict a decline, with new rationalization initiatives such as vendor management helping to contribute to a downtick in operational expenditure. “The shift to cloud is driving an increase in opex — since it’s an ongoing program that’s not a short-term focus.” “What are the most important drivers of IT cost savings? Rationalizing older systems, virtualization, standardization of the offer, customer care automation and optimized cloud.” “IT opex will decrease significantly. Internalization of IT activities, rationalization of vendors and new vendor agreements are the main drivers.”
  • 18. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond18 Competing forces are driving the IT agenda for operators, and while the primacy of the network as the investment domain may be unsurprising, it is worth underlining that IT systems overhaul (32%) outscores network modernization (24%) as a top-three strategic priority. Interestingly, the expectation of rising network capex revealed by our study is not mirrored by forecasts at an industry-wide level. As Figure 15 shows, current projections point to a decline in overall network capex through 2018. Despite such forecasts, it’s clear that increased network spend is vital for many players. Operators who decide to reduce network capex cannot assume that their competitors are doing — or will do — the same. Figure 15: Global telecoms capex (US$b) 193 175 171 2016F 2017F 2018F Mobile Fixed 144 141 142 Source: Ovum 5. Confidence is rising in the digital services opportunity, yet caveats remain. Asked which digital services offer the best opportunities for incremental revenue growth, the survey participants cite a wide range of service areas, suggesting a broadly rising sense of confidence. However, while it’s clear that operators do now see IoT services as a leading revenue stream for the future, some doubts persist, reservations that are absent for established adjacent market propositions in TV, for example. While TV and video services, enterprise cloud and advertising/e- commerce are seen as the top three drivers of incremental revenue growth, the perceived opportunities presented by each have fallen since our 2015 study. These declines have been offset by increased expectations surrounding new use cases in the IoT. As Figure 16 shows, smart home, connected car, security services and smart city have all improved their scores in the past two years. Figure 16: Operator confidence in digital service revenue development Which digital services represent the best opportunities for incremental revenue growth? (top three responses) 47 54 TV and video services 39 51 Enterprise cloud 33 37 Advertising, marketing, e-commerce 31 17 Smart home 28 14 Unified communications 22 23 Enterprise mobility 19 0 Connected car 19 26 Infotainment 19 11 Security services 14 11 Smart city 11 29 Mobile financial services 11 9 Health services 3 6 Digital Identity services 2017 2015 % of respondents “We see a significant increase in network capex. Firstly, to have the edge on speed; secondly, expansion of the network footprint is also important for us.” “TV is important because it makes customers so much more sticky. We’ve had a lot of success bundling compelling content with broadband.”
  • 19. 19A global telecommunications study Figure 17: Annual telecoms IoT contract awards worldwide 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2013 2014 2015 9M 2016 Number of contracts worldwide Source: Ovum Operators’ increasingly optimistic view of IoT as a revenue stream is supported by the gradually expanding flow of telco IoT contracts being awarded globally (see Figure 17). Growing government support for digital society initiatives, increased investment from key sectors such as automotive and the arrival of low-power wide area networks are all helping with the formation of more mature digital service ecosystems. Yet many existing contracts are focused on the provision of connectivity, with value-added managed services capability a less meaningful component. Participants voiced fears that the growth profile of some digital services may suffer from a lack of more specialized business models, as well as supply-side challenges in standardization and regulation. “Smart home will not succeed unless there is a common standard.” “The IoT market is very narrow, very vertical and very specialized.” “There are lots of legacy regulations in payments that prevent us from going full-blown on mobile financial services.” “Security services will grow alongside the introduction of other innovative services.”
  • 20. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond20 6. Analytics and virtualization are the top innovation drivers, but legacy IT and a lack of skills are acting as brakes. Asked what the most important enablers of innovation for their organization will be in the next three years, participants cite analytics-based insights and virtualized networks and IT as the top drivers of innovative capabilities followed by acquiring and developing talented people, and then partnerships with OTT players and other third parties. While analytics is widely perceived as being mainly about gaining deeper understanding of customers, there are additional opportunities at the network level to drive greater capex efficiency, while its role in value-added IoT propositions also gives it a vital role to play in the revenue diversification agenda. Figure 18: Operator views on enablers of innovation What will be the most important enablers of innovation for your organization in the next three years? (top three responses) 58 44 39 36 25 25 23 19 14 8 6 Leveraging analytics-based insights Virtualized network and IT systems e.g., NFV Partnerships with OTTs and other third parties Modernizing access networks Collaborating with suppliers in new ways Improving internal collaboration and decision- making Opening up network APIs Adopting open-source software MA, including VC investments Increasing levels of outsourcing Acquiring and developing talented people % of respondents While a majority of participants see analytics-based insights as a top-three driver of innovation, there are reservations as to whether operators are doing enough to maximize its impact. Despite the telecommunications industry ranking above other industries when it comes to adopting analytics, executives in our survey feel that their existing strategies can go further, which reflects the wealth of product, network and customer data at their disposal. Figure 19: Advanced analytics — ranking of adoption maturity by industry, 2016 Pharmaceuticals Financial Services Media Entertainment Energy — Oil Gas Healthcare Manufacturing Technology Telecommunications 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Sector 2016 rank — 3 6 7 9 8 — 10 11 4 — 2015 rank Government Consumer Retail Automotive — — — +1 +3 +3 +4 +2 +2 +2 –6 Source: Forbes Insights/EY While the move toward analytics and virtualization of both networks and IT systems is underway, the importance of organizational refinements also figures strongly as a driver of change. Developing talent scores strongly, while improving internal collaboration and decision-making (23%) is a mid-ranking innovation driver. Yet some participants believe that the IT function and associated skill sets require a fundamentally closer alignment with the rest of the business. “The perception of IT will change. It will become more entwined with the business and will be expected to bring synergies to functions and verticals as well as better packaging of services. IT assets are likely to be owned by core functions.” “Analytics in telecoms is still behind the OTT players. We need to utilize this better and make more use of off-the-shelf software.”
  • 21. 21A global telecommunications study Meanwhile, opening up application programming interfaces (APIs) underscores as an innovation driver. Going forward, APIs and engagement with developers may require more consideration as part of digital business model development. Turning to the barriers facing operators on their digital transformation journey, legacy IT and a lack of digital skills are seen as the two main impediments to transformation — cited by a majority of participants. The challenge here is to harness front- and back-end improvements, while the importance of digital skills stretches across the organization, from specific new roles to the C-suite itself. Interestingly, poor levels of internal collaboration are not viewed as a leading inhibitor of transformation. This suggests operators are moving beyond the siloed organization structures of the past, and may reflect the creation of digital business units and leadership roles in recent years. Likewise, operators do not believe that a lack of customer trust is a threat to their transformation agenda. Figure 20: Operator views on barriers to digital transformation What are the greatest barriers to your organization’s digital transformation journey? (top three responses) 65 51 41 38 30 19 16 8 8 3 Burden of legacy IT platforms and architecture Lack of skills and expertise in digital domains Continuing pressure on overall budgets Leadership focus on tactical rather than strategic goals Fragmentation of data, systems and processes Poor levels of internal collaboration (e.g., IT and marketing) Insufficient alignment of technology and business strategy Poor engagment with suppliers Low levels of digital trust with customers Inadequate performance measurement and oversight % of respondents However, leadership focus on tactical rather than strategic goals ranks number four as an impediment to transformation and is related to the challenges of long-term planning. Some 84% of participants agree that a greater emphasis on long-range objectives would help to maximize their organization’s digital transformation journey. Statement: my organization requires greater emphasis on long-term goals in order to maximize its digital transformation journey. 84% Agree 10% Disagree 6% Neither agree nor disagree “You cannot change your front end and just hope that your BSS will follow. Legacy systems, that’s a really tough nut to crack.” “IT skills need to be part of all C-suite roles; everyone should learn about its impact on the business.” “Our organization is starting a program to develop digital skills inside the organization.”
  • 22. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond22 7. Process automation leads the list of long-term technology enablers. According to our survey participants, a wide variety of technologies will help telcos to build long-term operational excellence. As Figure 21 shows, process automation (cited by 71% of respondents) and analytics (51%) are expected to lead the way as enablers, and participants were keen to highlight their importance to customer experience improvements. With process automation, the focus is likely to be largely on cost reduction, though some telcos are looking increasingly at the opportunities it opens up in driving monetization and growth. Figure 21: Technology enablers of long-term operational excellence What IT and technology enablers will be most important to your organization’s long-term operational excellence? (top three responses) % of respondents 71 51 46 43 40 26 6 3 11 Process automation Pervasive and predictive analytics Cloud-based IT Integrated customer care and support systems Network functions virtualization Machine learning Packaged software Outsourcing Other Software-centric networks and IT — such as network functions virtualization (NFV) — will also have a growing role to play. The benefits being targeted here center on increased agility and efficiency, with upside in terms of improved network security and more flexible vendor relationships ranking further down the list of projected outcomes. “Automation and other efficiency improvements will all make for a better customer experience.” “Process automation is largely focused on the self-serve/self-heal approach, and has fewer requirements for human intervention.”
  • 23. 23A global telecommunications study Figure 22: Operator views on the impact of software-centric networks and IT What will be the most significant impact of software-centric networks and IT (e.g., NFV) for your organization? (top three responses) Greater network security and resilience Enablement of digital services More flexible vendor relationships Greater responsiveness to customer needs Reduced costs 1515 4141 68 76 % of respondents Faster time-to-market However, some participants believe that while the industry at large recognizes the benefits of software-centric networks, the concept should be higher up the list of technology enablers. At the same time, three-quarters of respondents do not as yet see newer concepts such as machine learning figuring as a driver of long-term efficiency gains. “Current time-to-market is insufficient and caused by the complexity of the IT infrastructure. Software-based systems will improve this significantly.” “With respect to NFV, companies are going to wake up one day soon and realize they need to be more proactive in this area.”
  • 24. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond24 While participants recognize that brand-new 5G and low-power wide area networks for IoT will act as game changers, there is a lack of consensus on how different technologies will interact. Some see 5G signaling a paradigm shift in mobile network capability, while others believe it will play an important role in the fixed market. Still others believe that a near-term focus on VoLTE and small cells will deliver superior coverage and service quality over the next three years. Alongside the twin focus on 5G and IoT, operators believe that innovation capabilities will trump cost control as organization priorities on the road to 2020. Cost control may rank third as an overall strategic priority, and as a barrier to digital transformation in the near term, but participants are confident that innovation will become more important in the next decade. Statement: innovation capabilities will increase as a strategic priority relative to cost control at my organization ¡n the next five years. 72% Agree 12% Disagree 16% Neither agree nor disagree 8. The post-2020 networks landscape will be transformed by 5G. The communications carriers taking part in our survey expect a range of network technologies to support industry transformation on the road to 2020. As Figure 23 shows, most attention is focused on 5G (cited by 77%) and IoT (57%), with variations of fixed-line fiber (fiber-to-the-premises and fiber-to-the-cabinet) together also highlighted by a majority of respondents (56%). Figure 23: Operator views on the future impact of network access technologies Which network access technologies will have the greatest impact on the industry over the next five years? (top three responses) 77 57 37 29 26 26 23 11 3 5G IoT networks (e.g., NB-IoT) Service-specific tech (e.g., VoLTE) FTTC variants (e.g., G.Fast, vectoring) FTTP Small cells Enhanced LTE (4.5G) Wi-Fi and Li-Fi DOCSIS 3.1 % of respondents “5G is the clear leader for us. There’s lots of discussion about IoT technologies, but they will only transform the networks landscape incrementally.” “It looks like the initial focus for 5G will be as a fixed-wireless technology, so telcos will be able to use it to compete in the fixed market.” “5G will be very important but, until 2020, VoLTE and small cells will be more important.”
  • 25. Operators’ views differ markedly according to market maturity Percentage of respondents citing customer experience as a leading strategic priority between now and 2020 Developed market operators Emerging market operators 68% 46% Operator views on the digital transformation barriers What are the greatest barriers to your organization’s digital transformation journey? (Please select three) Emerging market operators Developed market operators % of respondents 72 50 56 42 40 8 36 50 4 42 Burden of legacy IT Lack of digital skills and expertise Fragmented data, systems and processes Continued pressure on budgets Lack of alignment of technology and business strategy Operator views on the future impact of access technologies Which network access technologies will have the greatest impact on the industry over the next five years? (Please select three) % of respondents Emerging markets Developed markets 70 35 33 8 17 42 42 22 13 30 loT technoIogies FTTP Smal cells FTTC variants Enhanced LTE Percentage of participants strongly agreeing that innovation capabilities will increase as a strategic priority relative to cost control in next five years Developed market operators Emerging market operators 39% 89% In terms of the barriers to transformation, developed market operators see legacy IT and fragmented data as significant impediments, while operators in emerging markets are more concerned with cost pressures and a lack of alignment between technology and business strategy. Developed market operators are also less confident that cost control concerns will fade and give way to a greater focus on innovation over the next five years. Views also diverge between developed and emerging markets on the impact of new network technologies. Developed market operators are more focused on IoT, while emerging market telcos see 4.5G as a game changer. Interestingly, both developed and emerging market operators lay an equal stress on fiber-based technologies (FTTC variants and FTTP), which underlines the importance of robust fixed-line infrastructure in years to come. An analysis of the findings by geography shows that operators’ views differ according to market maturity, with their outlook on industry priorities, transformation barriers and the next wave of network access technologies varying significantly among different regions. Operators in developed markets are more concerned with customer experience improvements, a higher level of focus that dovetails with their greater anxiety surrounding disruptive competition. 25A global telecommunications study
  • 26. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond26 Optimizing the transformation agenda for 2020 and beyond Seven key considerations for telcos on their digital journey 1. Improved organizational agility is at the heart of successful digital transformation. 2. A more structured approach to digital services development will deliver long-term upside. 3. New forms of ecosystem engagement are essential. 4. A holistic approach to analytics will maximize its benefits. 5. A wider set of demand drivers requires a more nuanced network infrastructure road map. 6. Process automation will define the telco of the future. 7. Going digital requires a shift in organizational mind-set, structure and interaction. Based on our research findings, we’ve identified seven key considerations for telcos to keep front of mind as they undertake their journey of digital transformation through 2020 and beyond.
  • 27. 27A global telecommunications study 1. Improved organizational agility is at the heart of successful digital transformation. Figure 24: Organizational agility underperforms as a strategic objective 24% Operators that see ¡ncreased organizational agility as a top strategic priority over the next three years Operators that see a lack of organizational agility as a leading industry challenge 47% To accelerate their transformation and improve their long-term agility, telcos must overcome the burden of legacy IT. If they succeed in doing this, then they will be positioned and equipped to thrive in an OTT world. If they fail, they will inevitably struggle. In EY’s view, operators have no choice but to tackle the world of legacy IT head-on. Exacerbated by a new wave of MA, legacy systems are preventing them from increasing their levels of agility. Key agility drivers for 2020 and beyond include consolidation of data and systems, overhaul of BSS/OSS, a focus on digital skills and collaboration, improved governance, and artificial intelligence (AI). Within this broad vision, incremental steps are needed — early wins can validate more ambitious long-term initiatives, which themselves will require continual reassessment and refinement. Figure 25: Agility drivers for 2020 and beyond Continual governance Governance as a process not a project Artificial intelligence NFV as a platform for AI Collaborative innovation Open up network APIs Agility drivers on the road to 2025 Cross-function collaboration Polymath organization Single view of customer and organization Consolidate data/systems Upgrade billing and charging BSS/OSS overhaul Near term Long term Ongoing cloud migration will necessarily partner a new range of agility drivers, acting as the bedrock of long-term efficiency gains — but a more near-term focus on the operational and strategic benefits of cloud IT may be needed to drive progress. Although nearly half of our survey participants see cloud IT as a driver of operational excellence, less than one in five see it as a spending priority over the next two to three years. However, as operators prepare to become more agile organizations, our research points to a mismatch in operators’ attitudes toward it. While they recognize the challenge ahead, it is telling that twice as many operators see a lack of agility as an industry challenge, as opposed to a priority for their own organizations to tackle. “We need to become an agile software-based business. We are fighting with stones against OTT providers who are armed with laser swords.” “For the digital transformation journey, you have to be a lot more responsive than just sticking to goals, you need to be more nimble and agile.”
  • 28. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond28 Figure 26: Cloud migration underperforms as a leading investment priority 18% Operators that see cloud systems migration as a leading investment priority in next two to three years Operators that see cloud-based IT as a leading enabler of long-term operational excellence 45% The findings suggest that telcos can — and should — be much bolder in their cloud strategies. Telcos currently favor private cloud approaches, but public cloud offers greater ROI in the long term, as long as operators accept that successful public cloud strategies require a greater focus on security implications and changing regulatory scenarios. Looking forward, cloud adoption — accelerated through partnerships — can improve the centralization of IT management, enabling more flexibility in staffing and recruitment while paving the way for greater focus on product and service innovation. “Effective use of cloud-based IT should support enterprise process improvement, better product development and accelerated execution on initiatives.” “We want partners to take over our hardware but struggle to compare what they can achieve vs. what we can put in the cloud ourselves. It’s a difficult comparison to make. But the ‘cloudified’ telco is the telco of the future.”
  • 29. 29A global telecommunications study 2. A more structured approach to digital services development will deliver long-term upside. More innovative business models will depend on implementing a selective growth agenda. This agenda should focus on carefully chosen vertical markets and/or segments, supported by new value chain relationships that can help operators respond quickly to emerging opportunities and risks. To achieve this type of positioning and agility, operators should delineate clearly among different IoT use cases based on their own unique and distinctive mix of capabilities, including: • Licensed spectrum • Mix of technologies — e.g., cellular, LPWA • Existing sales channels • Application development • Analytics capability • Systems integration Different elements of the IoT value chain have contrasting relative revenue and margin profiles in the context of end-to-end service contracts. To make the most of these opportunities, operators will need a deeper understanding of vertical-specific ecosystems in order to deliver optimal financial returns within acceptable risk/ reward frameworks. Figure 27: IoT value chain revenue and margin considerations Value chain element Relative revenue profile Relative margin profile Network Medium Medium High High Low Medium MediumHighLow Low Device Application Service provision System integration Operators will also need to align people and processes to build credibility in emerging use cases and forge more consultative relationships with customers to communicate value-added propositions more effectively. And they will be able to maximize their share of IoT spend by leveraging their differentiated capabilities in customer experience management, analytics and security. As telcos expand their service portfolios into adjacent markets, their success in these new areas will hinge on generating higher levels of trust with customers. Reassuring customers on the privacy and security credentials of new services will be vital, and segmentation of customer needs will require greater commitment as different, more aggregated business models involve both direct and indirect customers. Figure 28: Credibility in adjacent markets will hinge on higher levels of trust Statement: customer privacy and security concerns are likely to hold back the development of innovative business models at my organization. Strongly agree Neither agree nor disagree Slightly agree Slightly disagree Strongly disagree 0 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% “You need a sales team that can communicate the value proposition in IoT — and that can be challenging.” “Security services should provide opportunities for small- to medium-sized businesses, but also at the individual consumer level.”
  • 30. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond30 3. New forms of ecosystem engagement are essential. A balanced partnering and MA agenda can help telcos unlock opportunities for internal improvements and revenue diversification. However, while our findings show partnerships are recognized as important, they also rank relatively low as an overall priority. Our study shows that 34% of operators see partnerships with OTTs and other third parties as a top enabler of innovation, but that only 14% regard MA, joint ventures and partnerships as a top strategic priority. To address this mismatch, operators should accelerate toward a new partnering mindset. This will mean delineating clearly among different routes toward inorganic growth — MA, strategic partnerships, start-up incubation and more. Then telcos should rationalize the partnering universe where appropriate and explore the collaboration horizon for high-priority partners. A framework for the interplay and impact of inorganic growth drivers is shown in Figure 29. With all the partnerships they form, operators should regularly revisit objectives and adjust performance measurement criteria, paying more attention to partner-oriented KPIs. Figure 29: Inorganic growth drivers — interplay and impact New digital capabilities, e.g., analytics, automation Adjacent market subsegments, e.g., video, loT Core service, e.g., connectivity Time to impact main business Competency type Inorganic growth catalyst 1–3 years 4–6 years 7 years + Incubator/accelerator VC funding Strategic partnership Internal RD MA “Partnerships are vital because we cannot imitate or ignore the innovative power of all the players attacking the different layers of our value chain.” “How do we trade off partnering with investments outside our core expertise, beyond the network itself?”
  • 31. 31A global telecommunications study 4. A holistic approach to analytics will maximize its benefits. For telecoms carriers’ new digital business and operating models to be effective, they’ll need to be underpinned by pervasive analytics. This will mean operators looking beyond the traditional domain of analytics in developing customer insight and working out how to weave network analytics into digital service propositions. The wide spectrum of analytics use cases open to telcos is illustrated in Figure 30 — each brings its own potential benefits and is at a different level of current implementation maturity. Figure 30: Telco analytics use cases and implementation maturity • Network capacity planning • Network optimization (real time) • Network protection fault detection Network Implementation maturity: • Improve customer experience • Billing and revenue assurance • Fraud management • SLA management Operations • Churn prediction and management • Personalized services • Customer profiling • Plan optimization • Social analysis Customer • Upsell and cross-sell • Campaign management • Next-best offer • Targeted content Marketing • Selling customer data to third parties • loT managed services • Partner performance management Digital services High Medium Low Operational excellence Customer experience improvement Revenue maximization For operators to widen their analytics use cases successfully across this spectrum, more sophisticated strategies and implementation will be vital. These will require a three-stage improvement and optimization process: • Stage 1 — speed the execution of analytics initiatives Leverage metadata as part of data integration and centralization to improve decision-making • Stage 2 — remove barriers to use case extension Improve communication with customers and stakeholders, and improve data collection and re-use • Stage 3 — widen analytics competencies Prioritize dynamic partnerships that can help add analytics to digital services capability. “We have a few hundred data scientists, so are well staffed, but are yet to monetize our capability. It’s not a product offering — we use analytics in operations and as an enabler for marketing and customer insights.” “We are creating a centralized data store including infrastructure requirements, and need a high-level master data management/ strategy.”
  • 32. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond32 5. A wider set of demand drivers requires a more nuanced network infrastructure road map. While industry forecasts continue to highlight an exponential increase in data demand, operators will also have to ensure that the network of the future is responsive to a range of use cases. Latency and bandwidth requirements will vary widely depending on the specific application involved, meaning that operators must provide a range of capabilities if they are to meet the needs of consumers and enterprises of the future. Figure 31: Latency and bandwidth requirements by use case 10s 1s 100ms 10ms 10Gbps 1Gbps 100Mbps 10Mbps 1Mbps 100kps 100kbps 1kbps 1ms 100us 10us Electric grid control Home sensors Autonomous vehicles Cloud-assisted driving Comms Chatbots Hi-res 360 video Lo-res 360 video 360 VR/AR Video People and things VR/AR System control Source: Nokia Against this background, operators will need to adopt a phased approach to upgrade programs, reflecting the fact that points of performance differentiation are in flux and regulatory demands are also shifting. While our study shows that 5G is seen as having the most impact in the next five years, question marks persist — both over 5G’s primary roles and over its interrelationship with previous mobile standards. For example, LTE-A Pro already offers gigabit speeds while NB-IoT standards are already positioned to serve a range of IoT use cases. As such uncertainties play out, the interplay of coverage and quality needs will place more importance on network densification initiatives. Virtualization will also help network infrastructure become more agile — potentially altering network topology at large — while “digital society” policies will influence the pace of network rollout, as with the EU’s Gigabit Society initiative. At the same time, there is scope for disruptive technologies such as Li-Fi to alter received industry thinking. Figure 32: Network access evolution to 2020 and beyond “Virtualization should enable new ways to create networks, which means decreasing the amount of base stations and centralizing the ‘logic’ of the network.” “I don’t think that the 5G and IoT market will come together that well, since you need a huge market for chipset manufacturers to scale.” Source: EY analysis Mbps 2005 2010 2015 2020 VDSL FTTH ADSL WCDMA HSPA LTE Vectoring G.Fast LTE-A LTE-A Pro 801.11n Fixed Mobile IEEE Emerging IoT standards LoRa DOCSIS 3.1 2025 5G Li-Fi 801.11ah NB-IoT 10 100 1000 Sigfox Zigbee
  • 33. 33A global telecommunications study 6. Process automation will define the telco of the future. An expanding horizon of evolving automation possibilities will fundamentally alter the relationship between people and processes — yet many telcos are currently struggling to unlock the resulting benefits. Operators have been investing in automation for some time, but are fully aware that they need to raise their game in generating returns on this investment. Figure 33: Impact of automation on telco productivity How do you see automation impacting productivity within your company? 34% 7%29% 30% Prior investments in automation have not proven to be successful. We see an increase in productivity due to more automated processes. We are still duplicating automated and non-automated processes. We are not sure. Source: Global Capital Confidence Barometer, 15th edition, EYGM Limited, 2016. Figure 34: The automation journey for operators Traditional automation ► Faster processing ► Reduced error rate Business process management Robotics process automation Semi- cognitive and cognitive ► Better monitoring ► Stronger control ► Improved quality and compliance ► Low up-front and maintenance cost ► Simple models, predictable outcomes Machine learning, algorithms ► Source: EY As initial automation projects give way to more ambitious programs, operators should revisit their overarching road maps as new technologies alter what is possible. What’s needed is a clearly defined automation journey balancing short-term gains with long-term perspective. During this journey, it will be important to reap incremental benefits through noninvasive initiatives, capitalizing on the fact that robotic process automation (RPA) decouples process transformation from the overall redesign of IT systems and infrastructure. “Automation, particularly around customer care, has an important role.” “Automating the manual tasks of end-to-end processes will be the next big thing.”
  • 34. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond34 Figure 35: The talent agenda scores poorly as a strategic priority 51% Operators that believe a lack of digital skills is a top transformation barrier Operators that believe acquiring and developing talent is a top enabler of innovation 39% 6% Operators that see growing and retaining talent as a top strategic priority 7. Going digital requires a shift in organizational mind-set, structure and interaction. Some of the most thought-provoking findings in our research study are those around the role and importance of people in telcos’ digital transformation. While telcos say they see talent as a key transformation catalyst, and a lack of digital skills as a top transformation barrier, the people agenda ranks very low as a strategic priority. Going forward, people require as much focus as systems and processes. The need to intensify the focus on talent is underlined by other EY research, showing that the telecoms industry is lagging behind other sectors in sensitizing its people agenda to opportunities arising from automation, for example.2 To reshape and re-energize their workforce for the new market realities, operators need to develop a more experimental culture that accepts failure as a vital element of successful innovation and transformation in all areas of the business. But developing and embedding such a culture will require fundamental and potentially painful organizational change — including cutting through the traditional silos among the network, IT and business information functions to unite these formerly distinct teams and mind-sets. As operators approach this seismic shift in their organizational structures, the outlook for the people agenda to 2020 and beyond is coalescing around four imperatives, all of which were articulated in verbatim comments by our survey participants: 1. Understand that a receptive and tolerant mind-set is critical 2 Global Capital Confidence Barometer, 15th edition, EY GM Limited 2016. “The evolution of a failure culture is needed to improve internal collaboration and decision-making.” “We need the right talent around technology and the right thinking on engaging with customers and suppliers.” “It’s a cultural challenge to find people that embrace a different, disruptive style of doing business.”
  • 35. 35A global telecommunications study 2. Prepare for a new era of organizational design 3. Seek a balance between up-skilling and new roles Software engineer Hacker Data scientist CEX officer Telco roles for 2020 and beyond 4. Optimize the alignment of people and processes “Now there are network, IT and BI people. In 2021, there will only be one unit for all functions. Networks and IT are already nearly together, and in a few years BI will join them.” “Most COOs have a network background, so you could argue whether they ‘think’ IT. This is delaying the software-centric telco.” “The move to the cloud also requires a balance between the impacts on people and advantageous changes to operations.”
  • 36. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond36 Conclusion Moving forward with a flexible transformation road map Many of the findings in our survey point to an industry in transition, from the search for digital business models to the short- and long-term focus on analytics as a driver of improved customer experiences and increased operational efficiency. Yet the transformation of existing platforms, systems and processes will be as important as the creation of new digital-led competencies. In this sense, transformation is a holistic exercise for all, and one that also involves accurately monitoring, assessing and reevaluating progress. Not all operators are pursuing their transformation goals at the same rate, and long-term goals will also need to be flexible given the scope for further disruptions and shifts in regulatory and technology landscapes. Creating an agile, efficient and empowered organization By comparing the survey results across our participant group, we can also understand more about the different transformation perspectives across the telecommunications industry and uncover hidden tensions or gaps within the different types of approach. A segmentation of our survey responses highlights specific pain points unique to each type of strategy. Figure 36: Segmentation of telecoms operators’ strategies Committed to cost control Digital service devotees People-powered organizations Agility advocates View cost control as a #1 or #2 strategic priority View organizational agility as a #1, #2 or #3 strategic priority View advertising/ e-commerce or IoT as the #1 digital revenue driver View digital skills as #1 or #2 transformation driver A lack of near-term investment may stifle long-term agility. The talent agenda is conspicuous by its absence. Ecosystem engagement is a greater priority but the skill barrier remains. Systems and processes are acting as a block on progress. Source: EY analysis Our survey results suggest that the interplay of cost reduction, portfolio diversification, digital skills and organizational agility within strategic road maps presents a new set of challenges. Those who prize cost control may sacrifice long-term agility by underinvesting in the next two years, while those who prize agility and digital service development may already be facing a more pronounced skills gap than the rest of the survey sample. And even those organizations that are putting their people at the front and center of transformation should take care that they also maximize their exposure to new technologies that can transform their operations and customer-centricity. Looking ahead, all players will have to strike a balance between more proactive support of the customer experience and more dynamic business and operating models. The rise of the software-centric operator, where IT is interwoven in the fabric of the business, will determine the winners and losers. Previous distinctions between “dumb pipe” and “smart pipe” are increasingly redundant — only those with an “agile pipe” will prosper in the long term.
  • 38. Digital transformation for 2020 and beyond38 EY Contacts Prashant Singhal Global Telecommunications Leader prashant.singhal@in.ey.com Holger Forst Global Telecommunications Assurance Leader holger.forst@de.ey.com Axel Majert Global Telecommunications TAS Leader axel.majert@es.ey.com Amit Sachdeva Global Telecommunications Advisory Leader amit.sachdeva@in.ey.com Bart van Droogenbroek Global Telecommunications Tax Leader bart.van.droogenbroek@lu.ey.com Adrian Baschnonga Global Telecommunications Lead Analyst adrian.baschnonga@uk.ey.com Enrico Ronchi Global Telecommunications Senior Analyst enrico.ronchi@it.ey.com Connect with us at globaltelecommunicationsector@eyg.ey.com
  • 39. 39A global telecommunications study 39A global telecommunications study
  • 40. EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory About EY EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities. EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the member firms of Ernst Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com. How EY’s Global Telecommunications Sector can help your business Telecommunications operators are facing a rapidly transforming business model. Competition from technology companies is creating challenges around customer ownership. Service innovation, pricing pressures and network capacity are intensifying scrutiny of the return on investments. In addition, regulatory pressures and shareholder expectations require agility and cost efficiency. If you are facing these challenges, we can provide a sector-based perspective on addressing your assurance, advisory, transaction and tax needs. Our Global Telecommunications Sector is a virtual hub that brings together people, cultures and leading ideas from across the world. Whatever your need, we can help you improve the performance of your business. © 2017 EYGM Limited. All Rights Reserved. EYG no. 01964-174Gbl BMC Agency GA 0000_10345 ED None In line with EY’s commitment to minimize its impact on the environment, this document has been printed on paper with a high recycled content. This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as accounting, tax or other professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice. ey.com/telecommunications