Presentation at the release of Afrobarometer's "Freedom of Speech and Radio, Internet data" at the 2nd Round 5 Global Release in Nairobi, Kenya on October 16, 2013.

1. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
The Partnership of Free Speech and Good
Governance in Africa

2. What is the Afrobarometer?
The Afrobarometer (AB) is a comparative series of public opinion surveys
that measure public attitudes toward democracy, governance, the economy,
leadership, identity, and other related issues.
The AB is an independent, non-partisan, African-based network of
researchers.
The first round of surveys took place in 1999-2001 in 12 countries. The
Network is now conducting “Round 5” surveys in up to 35 countries during
2011-2013.
Purpose: To measure popular perspectives on the social, political, and
economic environments in each country where it is implemented and across
Africa.
Goal: To give the public a voice in policy making processes by providing
high-quality public opinion data to policy-makers, policy advocates and civil
society organizations, academics, media, donors and investors, and ordinary
Africans.
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3. Country Coverage: 1999-2013
 Round 1, 1999-2001, 12 countries
• Southern Africa: Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, South Africa,
Zambia, Zimbabwe
• West Africa: Ghana, Mali, Nigeria
• East Africa: Tanzania, Uganda
 Round 2, 2002-2003, 16 countries
• Cape Verde, Kenya, Mozambique, Senegal
 Round 3, 2005-2006, 18 countries
• Benin, Madagascar
 Round 4, 2008-2009, 20 countries
• Burkina Faso, Liberia
 Round 5, 2011-2013, up to 35 countries
• Algeria, Burundi, Cameroon, Cote d’Ivoire, Egypt, Ethiopia, Guinea,
Mauritius, Morocco, Niger, Togo, Tunisia, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Swaziland
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4. Who is Afrobarometer
A Pan-African Network of survey researchers and analysts.
•
In each country there is a National Partner responsible for survey implementation.
•
Four Core Partners provide technical assistance and Network management:
o
o
o
o
•
Center for Democratic Development (CDD), Ghana
Institute for Justice and Reconciliation (IJR), South Africa
Institute for Development Studies (IDS), University of Nairobi, Kenya
Institute for Empirical Research in Political Economy (IREEP), Benin
Two Support Units for capacity building and quality assurance
o Michigan State University
o University of Cape Town
•
Round 5 Core Funders include
– DFID
– SIDA
– USAID
– Mo Ibrahim Foundation
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5. Survey Methodology
• Nationally representative sample of adult citizens
– all respondents are randomly selected
– every adult citizen has an equal and known chance of being selected
• Face-to-face interviews in the language of the respondent’s choice
• Standard survey instrument across all countries for comparability
• These 34-country results therefore represent the views of approximately
three-quarters (76%) of the continent’s population with a margin of
error of +/-2% at a 95% confidence level.
• The total number of respondents in the 34 countries was 51,605.
• Results from a 35th country, Ethiopia, will be available shortly.
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6. Global Dissemination Events
• 01 October 2013 - Johannesburg -- Lived poverty and the
Economy
• 16 October 2013 - Nairobi -- Globalization and the Freedom
to Communicate
• 30 October 2013 - Accra -- Governance and Resource
Management
• 13 November 2013 - Dakar -- Corruption and Attitudes
toward China
• 27 November 2013 - Lagos -- Taxation
• 4 December 2013 - Addis Ababa -- Gender
• 12 December 2013 - Bamako -- Democracy
•
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7. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
SURVEY FINDINGS

8. Freedom of Speech, 34
countries, 2011 - 2013
• Just half of Africans (49%) across 34 countries say that they are
‘completely free’ to say what they think, while another quarter (26%)
say they are at least ‘somewhat free’.
 Open countries like Malawi, Tanzania and Liberia – where at least threequarters of citizens feel completely free to express themselves –
 Contrasts sharply with their much more restricted counterparts,
including Burkina Faso, Swaziland, Zimbabwe, Cote d’Ivoire, Togo and
Sudan, where only about one in four see it this way.
Participants were asked: "In this country, how free are you to say what you think?"
(% who say completely free)
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9. Freedom of Speech, 34 countries, 2011 - 2013
100%
79
76 75
74 73 73
68
65
63 62
60%
60
57 57 57
55 55 53
53 52 52
49
45
41
40%
38
34 33 33
31 30
24 24
22 21 21
Togo
Cote d’Ivoire
Zimbabwe
Swaziland
Burkina Faso
Morocco
Madagascar
Cameroon
Burundi
Mali
Nigeria
Mauritius
AVERAGE
Uganda
South Africa
Niger
Egypt
Guinea
Kenya
Cape Verde
Zambia
Benin
Namibia
Sierra Leone
Algeria
Lesotho
Senegal
Botswana
Tunisia
Ghana
Liberia
Tanzania
Malawi
0%
Mozambiq…
20%
19
Sudan
80%
Participants were asked: "In this country, how free are you to say what you think?" (% who say completely free)
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10. Demand for media freedom,
34 countries, 2011 - 2013
• Popular demand for media freedom is solid, with 57% endorsing
an unfettered right to publish; the proportions range from 52% in
West Africa to 72% among East Africans.
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11. Demand for media freedom, 34 countries, 2011 - 2013
Senegal
29%
Cameroon
3%
68%
37%
Lesotho
10%
3%
40%
Mali
53%
57%
44%
Liberia
47%
Guinea
48%
Cote d'Ivoire
48%
Sudan
2%
49%
AVERAGE
2%
52%
2%
50%
3%
49%
6%
57%
Burundi
54%
46%
5%
68%
Madagascar
2%
70%
Tanzania
18%
1%
80%
Cape Verde
30%
12%
73%
Uganda
39%
26%
2%
83%
0%
20%
Freedom to publish
40%
18%
7%
60%
Don't know / neither
80%
10%
100%
Government control
Participants were asked: "Which of these statements is closest to your view? Choose statement 1 or statement 2:
Statement 1: The media should have the right to publish any views and ideas without government control.
Statement 2: The government should have the right to prevent the media from publishing things that it considers harmful
to society."
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12. Role of media in society
• Media to constantly investigate and report government mistakes
and corruption
– Solid majority (69%) support media role of oversight
– Uganda highest (85%), along with Cape Verde (83%), Mauritius (81%)
– Only Algeria and Swaziland fail to win support for this position from a
majority (49% and 50%, respectively)
Participants were asked: "Which of these statements is closest to your view? Choose statement 1 or statement 2:
Statement 1: The news media should constantly investigate and report on government mistakes and corruption.
Statement 2: Too much reporting on negative events, like government mistakes and corruption, only harms the
country.“
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13. Support for media role in monitoring government, 34 countries, 2011-2013
20%
Cape Verde
Liberia
Togo
Benin
Sierra Leone
Niger
AVERAGE
Guinea
Mali
Ghana
Burkina Faso
North Africa
100%
80%
50
54
55
63
66
70
72
74
74
76
81
100%
80%
60%
40%
49
57
60
61
64
68
40%
20%
20%
Mauritius
Botswana
Malawi
Madagascar
Zambia
South Africa
AVERAGE
Namibia
Mozambique
Zimbabwe
Lesotho
Swaziland
0%
0%
Algeria
60%
62
Egypt
Southern Africa
85
Morocco
Nigeria
Cameroon
Cote d'Ivoire
Senegal
0%
80
80
80
73
Uganda
40%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Burundi
83
72 72 74 76 77
Tunisia
57
70
AVERAGE
60%
70
63 63 66 68 69 69
Sudan
80%
Kenya
100%
Tanzania
East Africa
AVERAGE
West Africa
Participants were asked: "Which of these statements is closest to your view? Choose statement 1 or statement 2:
Statement 1: The news media should constantly investigate and report on government mistakes and corruption.
Statement 2: Too much reporting on negative events, like government mistakes and corruption, only harms the country.“
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14. Media Effectiveness
 Generally, citizens give high marks to their national media for
effectiveness in revealing government mistakes and corruption;
 Average of 71% say the media in their country is either ‘somewhat’
or ‘very effective’;
 But this average masks wide differences, from lows of just 40% in
Madagascar and 43% in Zimbabwe, to 80% or more of Malawians
and Egyptians.
 East Africans are much more likely (81%) to rate their media as
effective compared to all other regions.
 Individual freedom of speech and media effectiveness go hand in hand;
the two are strongly and positively correlated.
Participants were asked: In this country, how effective is the news media in revealing government mistakes and
corruption? (% who say ‘somewhat effective’ or ‘very effective’)
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15. Media Effectiveness cont’d
 Freedom of speech is also strongly linked to citizens’ ratings of
their leaders: greater freedom is associated with higher levels of
trust in leaders and lower reported levels of corruption.
 Freedom of speech is also associated with higher ratings of
government performance across all sectors. The relationship is
strongest with respect to fighting corruption.
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16. Effectiveness of news media in monitoring government, 34 countries, 2011-2013
East Africa
41
58
60
61
63
68
72
73
73
100%
80%
78
79
81
84
83
Uganda
51
60%
58
71
82
AVERAGE
80%
80
Burundi
100%
Kenya
West Africa
60%
41
Southern Africa
North Africa
38
59
100%
77
80%
60%
43
49
51
77
Tunisia
29
49
67
81
Egypt
40%
45
66
75
Algeria
60%
61
74
88
Morocco
100%
80%
Tanzania
Ghana
Senegal
Benin
Niger
Mali
Sierra Leone
Guinea
AVERAGE
Liberia
Cape Verde
0%
Burkina Faso
0%
Nigeria
20%
Cameroon
20%
Cote d'Ivoire
40%
Togo
40%
60
40%
AVERAGE
Sudan
Mauritius
South Africa
Malawi
Botswana
Namibia
Zambia
AVERAGE
Lesotho
Swaziland
0%
Mozambiqu
e
0%
Zimbabwe
20%
Madagasca
r
20%
Participants were asked: In this country, how effective is the news media in revealing government mistakes and
corruption? (% who say ‘somewhat effective’ or ‘very effective’)
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17. Freedom of speech and media effectiveness, 34 countries, 2011-2013
Individual freedom of speech and media effectiveness go hand in hand; the two are strongly
and positively correlated.
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18. Freedom of speech and fighting corruption, country level comparisons
34 countries, 2011-2013
Greater freedom of speech is associated with higher levels of trust in leaders and lower
reported levels of corruption.
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19. Government handling of fight against corruption, compared to
ratings of freedom of speech, 34 countries, 2011-2013
80%
69%
63%
58%
60%
Fighting
corruption
fairly/very
badly
56%
50%
41%
40%
33%
35%
27%
22%
20%
Fighting
corruption
fairly/very
well
0%
Not at all free
Not very free
Somewhat free Completely free
Total
Rating of freedom of expression
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20. Access to news from selected sources,
by region, 34 countries, 2011-2013
 Television has risen slightly as a key source of news for Africans,
while newspapers and radio are both down slightly.
 North Africans use television far more than do people of other
regions.
 Cellular telephone penetration in Africa is both growing and wide
spread.
 An average of 84% of respondents now use cell phones at least
occasionally,
 And in 20 countries tracked since 2008, access has increased
substantially compared to just a few years ago.
 Internet usage, by contrast, has increased only marginally, and from a
much lower base;
 Average of 18% of respondents access internet on at least a
monthly basis,
 But this ranges from nearly twice as many (34%) in North Africa,
to less than one in ten (9%) in West Africa.
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21. Access to news from selected sources, by region, 34 countries, 2011-2013
90%
83
80
78
77
75%
61
60%
56
53
52
45%
41
41
32
30%
32
31
25
21
15%
17
16
14
10
0%
West Africa
East Africa
Radio
Television
Southern Africa
Newspaper
North Africa
Overall
Internet
Participants were asked:" How often do you get news from each of the following sources?" (%
responding ‘a few times a month’, ‘a few times a week’ or ‘every day’)
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22. Access to news via selected sources, 16 countries, 2002-2012
100%
90%
80%
86
84
84
70%
60%
50%
81
54
45
44
44
36
36
40%
30%
40
20%
32
10%
0%
2002
2005
Radio
2008
TV
2012
Newspaper
Participants were asked:" How often do you get news from each of the following sources?" (%
responding ‘a few times a month’, ‘a few times a week’ or ‘every day’)
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23. Cell phone ownership, 34 countries, 2011-2013
80%
72%
60%
40%
20%
16%
9%
3%
0%
Own and use mobile Never owned a phone Use a phone owned by Use a phone owned by
phone
household member someone outside the
home
Participants were asked: Do you ever use a mobile phone? If so, who owns the mobile phone that you
use most often.
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24. Use of mobile phones, 34 countries, 2011-2013
Participants were asked: Do you ever use a mobile phone? (% yes)
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25. Increases in cellular telephone access/use, 2008-2012, 20 countries
Senegal
95%
73%
Kenya
93%
79%
South Africa
Namibia
82%
Botswana
91%
77%
Zimbabwe
91%
51%
Burkina Faso
89%
46%
Ghana
89%
60%
88%
83%
86%
Nigeria
Mali
55%
Benin
92%
89%
92%
84%
53%
Zambia
2012
83%
70%
2008
83%
Average
63%
Tanzania
82%
60%
Cape Verde
80%
58%
Lesotho
80%
52%
Uganda
Liberia
73%
75%
50%
Mozambique
73%
58%
Malawi
80%
"How often do you normally use
a mobile phone to make or
receive a call?" (% responding
that they ever used a mobile
phone)
67%
39%
44%
45%
Madagascar
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
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26. Use of Internet, by region, 34 countries, 2011-2013
45%
34
16
Southern Africa
18
17
West Africa
30%
15%
9
Average
North Africa
East Africa
0%
Participants were asked: How often do you use the internet? (% using ‘a few times a month’ or more)
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