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Dr. K. Sadasivam,
Associate Professor,
Department of Environmental Economics,
School of Economics,
Madurai Kamaraj University.
Sha Hussain @ Yacob Khan. S,
Research Scholar,
Department of Environmental Economics,
School of Economics,
Madurai Kamaraj University.
LPG: AN APRON STRING TO INDIA’S EVOLUTION TOWARDS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
International Conference on:
Liberalization, Privatization and Globalization: Three Decades of Experience in India (ICLPG2020)
Liberalization, Privatization, and Globalization (LPG)
Introduction
FDI net inflows (% of GDP)
Breaking the barriers or removing the restrictions
on trade done by the private sector and between
India and other countries (1991).
Net inflows are the value of direct investment
made by non-resident investors in the reporting
economy.
Main intentions of the work
India’s FDI net inflows with the rest of
the world
to predict the business situation of the
manufacturing industrial sectors of the
nation.
The study copes to explore about the
growth of exports and production of
industries of India with selected
economies PRC, NIEs and ASEAN-5.
PRC: People's Republic of China.
NIEs: Newly Industrialized Economies (NIEs) such as South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong.
ASEAN-5: Association of Southeast Asian Nations-5(ASEAN-5) like Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.
USA – 6.59
NETHERLANDS - 7.69
UK – 2.94
FRANCE – 1.48
GERMANY – 2.72
CYPRUS – 1.34
UAE – 1.93
JAPAN – 6.92
SINGAPORE – 25.95
MAURITIUS – 30.8
FDI net inflows
(% GDP)
2.65
2.25
India World
2009
India World
1.55 1.40
2018
2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1
2.7
2.4 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6
0.03 0.1
0.2 0.3
0.59 0.62 0.86 0.63 0.47
0.77
1.06
1.01 0.61 0.77 0.89
2.13
2.07
3.62
2.65
1.64
2
1.31
1.52 1.7
2.09
1.94
1.51 1.55
1.06
5.48 4.75
6.66
7.57 7.55
4.05
6.18
8.85
3.84
4.82
3.8
7.86 7.92 7.92
8.06
7.66
3.09
7.86
8.5
5.24
5.46
6.39
7.41
8
8.17
7.17
6.81
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Gross
Domestic
Product
Foreign
Direct
Investment
Unemployment
FDI NET INFLOWS, RATE OF
UNEMPLOYMENT AND GDP
GROWTH OF INDIA
(in percentage)
Growth of exports &
Production of industries
India PRC ASEAN-5 NIEs India PRC ASEAN-5 NIEs
-0.2 3.6 -2.3 -1.2 20.1 10.9 17.4 12.5
-7.7 18.2 -5.4 -2.7 11.5 21.1 14.7 9.8
-14.4 10 -5.9 -4.2 6.2 16.3 14.5 9.6
-16.1 8.9 -7.4 -6.4 3.4 16.8 11.2 5.6
-18.2 -8.1 -6.6 -7.4 8.5 6.3 11.9 9.4
-15.9 -2.2 -6.8 -8.1 14.6 10.9 11.6 8.3
-14.4 -2.8 -6.6 -7.7 18.1 11 11.7 9
-14.4 -3.7 -6.6 -9.2 17.7 10.2 10.8 7.4
-17.9 -5.9 -8.2 -10.6 11 11.6 8.3 6.2
-20.3 -5.5 -9.2 -11.9 11.7 12.8 7.5 8.7
-22.6 -6 -9.6 -10.2 5.5 11.3 5.2 5.9
-19 -5.3 -9.6 -9.8 6.3 5 3.7 4.4
2015 (Jan-
Dec)
2018 (Jan-
Dec)
India PRC ASEAN-5 NIEs
2015 2018
Year
Business
situation
St Dt Tt Forecast
2016
30.5 1.07 28.47 30.04 28.04
33.5 0.99 33.78 30.73 30.99
31.3 1.04 30.08 31.42 30.19
27.9 0.95 29.45 32.11 33.89
2017
36 1.07 33.6 32.79 30.61
33.7 0.99 33.98 33.48 33.76
36.9 1.04 35.46 34.17 32.83
36.1 0.95 38.1 34.85 36.79
2018
36.9 1.07 34.44 35.54 33.18
34.6 0.99 34.89 36.23 36.53
36.3 1.04 34.88 36.92 35.48
36.7 0.95 38.74 37.6 39.69
2019
- 1.07 - 38.29 35.74
- 0.99 - 38.98 39.3
- 1.04 - 39.66 38.12
- 0.95 - 40.35 42.59
2020
- 1.07 - 41.04 38.31
- 0.99 - 41.73 42.08
- 1.04 - 42.41 40.76
- 0.95 - 43.1 45.49
36.7
39.30
38.12
42.59
38.31
42.08
40.76
45.49
Business situation Forecast
Prediction of Business situation in India
FDI inflows grow in company with the rising unemployment rate.
Lessens the job opportunities
Diversion of FDI from labour oriented activities to
technological and service sector works.
Suggestions
Deviation of capital stocks to harmless
evolution shields these surroundings and
sustainably drives the day
Prof. Leontief: India is a labour-intensive country.
May pull-back the growth with doubling values for the
necessities.
There is no such thing as ‘free lunch’
(Milton Friedman, 1975)
The increasing inflows result in increasing
dependency and increasing exploitation of
sources and direct to repay the opportunity
cost
THANKS FOR
YOUR PATIENCE

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Liberalization Privatization and Globalization (LPG)

  • 1. Dr. K. Sadasivam, Associate Professor, Department of Environmental Economics, School of Economics, Madurai Kamaraj University. Sha Hussain @ Yacob Khan. S, Research Scholar, Department of Environmental Economics, School of Economics, Madurai Kamaraj University. LPG: AN APRON STRING TO INDIA’S EVOLUTION TOWARDS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT International Conference on: Liberalization, Privatization and Globalization: Three Decades of Experience in India (ICLPG2020)
  • 2. Liberalization, Privatization, and Globalization (LPG) Introduction FDI net inflows (% of GDP) Breaking the barriers or removing the restrictions on trade done by the private sector and between India and other countries (1991). Net inflows are the value of direct investment made by non-resident investors in the reporting economy.
  • 3. Main intentions of the work India’s FDI net inflows with the rest of the world to predict the business situation of the manufacturing industrial sectors of the nation. The study copes to explore about the growth of exports and production of industries of India with selected economies PRC, NIEs and ASEAN-5. PRC: People's Republic of China. NIEs: Newly Industrialized Economies (NIEs) such as South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, and Hong Kong. ASEAN-5: Association of Southeast Asian Nations-5(ASEAN-5) like Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand.
  • 4. USA – 6.59 NETHERLANDS - 7.69 UK – 2.94 FRANCE – 1.48 GERMANY – 2.72 CYPRUS – 1.34 UAE – 1.93 JAPAN – 6.92 SINGAPORE – 25.95 MAURITIUS – 30.8 FDI net inflows (% GDP)
  • 6. 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 0.03 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.59 0.62 0.86 0.63 0.47 0.77 1.06 1.01 0.61 0.77 0.89 2.13 2.07 3.62 2.65 1.64 2 1.31 1.52 1.7 2.09 1.94 1.51 1.55 1.06 5.48 4.75 6.66 7.57 7.55 4.05 6.18 8.85 3.84 4.82 3.8 7.86 7.92 7.92 8.06 7.66 3.09 7.86 8.5 5.24 5.46 6.39 7.41 8 8.17 7.17 6.81 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Gross Domestic Product Foreign Direct Investment Unemployment FDI NET INFLOWS, RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND GDP GROWTH OF INDIA (in percentage)
  • 7. Growth of exports & Production of industries India PRC ASEAN-5 NIEs India PRC ASEAN-5 NIEs -0.2 3.6 -2.3 -1.2 20.1 10.9 17.4 12.5 -7.7 18.2 -5.4 -2.7 11.5 21.1 14.7 9.8 -14.4 10 -5.9 -4.2 6.2 16.3 14.5 9.6 -16.1 8.9 -7.4 -6.4 3.4 16.8 11.2 5.6 -18.2 -8.1 -6.6 -7.4 8.5 6.3 11.9 9.4 -15.9 -2.2 -6.8 -8.1 14.6 10.9 11.6 8.3 -14.4 -2.8 -6.6 -7.7 18.1 11 11.7 9 -14.4 -3.7 -6.6 -9.2 17.7 10.2 10.8 7.4 -17.9 -5.9 -8.2 -10.6 11 11.6 8.3 6.2 -20.3 -5.5 -9.2 -11.9 11.7 12.8 7.5 8.7 -22.6 -6 -9.6 -10.2 5.5 11.3 5.2 5.9 -19 -5.3 -9.6 -9.8 6.3 5 3.7 4.4 2015 (Jan- Dec) 2018 (Jan- Dec) India PRC ASEAN-5 NIEs 2015 2018
  • 8. Year Business situation St Dt Tt Forecast 2016 30.5 1.07 28.47 30.04 28.04 33.5 0.99 33.78 30.73 30.99 31.3 1.04 30.08 31.42 30.19 27.9 0.95 29.45 32.11 33.89 2017 36 1.07 33.6 32.79 30.61 33.7 0.99 33.98 33.48 33.76 36.9 1.04 35.46 34.17 32.83 36.1 0.95 38.1 34.85 36.79 2018 36.9 1.07 34.44 35.54 33.18 34.6 0.99 34.89 36.23 36.53 36.3 1.04 34.88 36.92 35.48 36.7 0.95 38.74 37.6 39.69 2019 - 1.07 - 38.29 35.74 - 0.99 - 38.98 39.3 - 1.04 - 39.66 38.12 - 0.95 - 40.35 42.59 2020 - 1.07 - 41.04 38.31 - 0.99 - 41.73 42.08 - 1.04 - 42.41 40.76 - 0.95 - 43.1 45.49 36.7 39.30 38.12 42.59 38.31 42.08 40.76 45.49 Business situation Forecast Prediction of Business situation in India
  • 9. FDI inflows grow in company with the rising unemployment rate. Lessens the job opportunities Diversion of FDI from labour oriented activities to technological and service sector works. Suggestions Deviation of capital stocks to harmless evolution shields these surroundings and sustainably drives the day Prof. Leontief: India is a labour-intensive country. May pull-back the growth with doubling values for the necessities. There is no such thing as ‘free lunch’ (Milton Friedman, 1975) The increasing inflows result in increasing dependency and increasing exploitation of sources and direct to repay the opportunity cost