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Automated Portfolio Intelligence
& Predictive Analytics
www.blackswanconsultinggroup.com | info@blackswanconsultinggroup.com
— Logic Canvas Platform 2.0 —
Automating Portfolio Intelligence to
incorporate Predictive Analytics is a
complex challenge. Developing such a
framework involves bringing together:
Evolving from Data Management to
Predictive Analytics
In a light-speed market with
exponentially accumulating data,
managers need risk metrics that are
tuned to complex market dynamics
and not simply based on short-term
historical performance.
Machine Learning in particular has
the potential to produce predictive
insights if coupled with a suitable data
framework.
2
Multiple Data Sources
Analytic Software Packages
Complex Calculations
Reporting Tools
Developers / Quants
• Internal Stakeholders
• Risk Management
• Regulatory
• What-if Analysis
• Ad-Hoc Reports
• Pricing
• Stress Testing
• Monte Carlo
• Duration / Convexity
• Value-at-Risk (VaR)
• Cash Flow Analytics
• Deal Model Libraries
• Internal Systems
• Machine Learning
• Simulation Models
• Position Data
• Market Data
• Accounting Data
• Pricing/Valuation
• Internal Research
Analytic Software
Packages
Multiple Data
Sources
Different
Reporting Needs
Customized
Calculations
3
Expensive off-the-shelf Portfolio Management software is bloated with
unused features and a rigid framework that make it difficult to add new
components. Many firms bring in developers to design custom workarounds,
but those solutions require manual intervention and results in a patchwork
framework.
• Critical reliance on manpower to manually
share information
• Inefficient time-consuming process
• Increased likelihood of introducing errors
• Report generation tends to be ad-hoc
• Inconsistent analysis
• Business logic is ultimately trapped in the
code for each system / component
• Updating / Replacing / Adding components
requires starting from scratch
4
Integrating each analytic component through a central hub would facilitate the
flow of information between them. Business logic and processes could be
automated to deliver custom reports that offer new actionable insights and
predictive analytics.
4
Logic Canvas is Black Swan’s analytic platform that acts as a central hub to connect all your data,
analytic software packages, calculations and reporting needs. With Logic Canvas we create an
automated solution that incorporates advanced machine learning to provide insights into portfolio
risk, integrated with predictive models that can project future performance. It is a single powerful
platform custom-tailored to your business logic.
Multiple Inputs:
• Database Sources
• Analytics Software Packages
• Complex Calculations
Logic Canvas:
Black Swan Product Specialists
and Developers Integrate &
Automate Your Business Logic
Custom Output:
Web Based Dashboard with Data
Visualizations, or Any Reporting
Package of Client’s Choosing
5
Visual Logic Canvas uses visual programming.
No important business logic trapped inside code.
All business logic is centralized and can be
visually communicated with clients.
Multiple Reporting Options - We will customize
interactive dashboards that support data
visualization tools that offer more actionable
insights.
Integrations We don’t have to re-invent the
wheel. All of the client’s market data, analytic
systems and complex calculations are connected
through Logic Canvas as the central hub.
Automation Data and information is no longer
isolated. Manual tasks can be automated to save
time and reduce the chance for errors.
Flexible Built-in support for .NET, Python, R,
HTML5/JavaScript opens many possibilities for
integration .
Modular – Replace outdated components and
plug-in new modules to add unlimited
functionality.
Transparent All steps of the workflow are
visibly auditable, increasing regulatory
compliance.
Drag and Drop An intuitive interface (no
programming skills necessary) allows product
specialists to create solutions faster.
6
Logic Canvas can integrate with just about any third-party software that
supports API control. We are constantly developing and growing our number of
pre-built integrations based on customer need.
7
We currently use Logic Canvas in all of our consulting engagements. Logic Canvas has
the power to fill in your gaps in coverage, to enhance spreadsheets and graphically
create risk management functionality.
Here are some examples of what can be automated:
Custom Scenarios
Extract, transform, load
Using Machine Learning Performance Attribution
Centralized for analysts
Evaluate Performance Transparent calculation logic
Gain fresh insights
Internal or vendor software
8
Asset managers need to transition from
struggling with data management to
achieving Portfolio Intelligence and
Predictive Analytics.
Since everything is integrated and
flows through Logic Canvas we can
create interactive dashboards that
meet exact business specifications.
Dashboards can be published to the
cloud and accessed from any connected
device.
Model inputs can be changed by
dashboard users on the fly and
calculations refreshed in real-time.
9
Data Science continues to
transform the financial services
sector. Our framework supports
rich data visualizations and ad-
hoc analysis using business
intelligence such as Tableau and
QlikView.
By integrating and automating
we can centralize and prepare
large data sets for analysis,
delivering valuable, actionable
insights.
Tableau Desktop 9.1
10
Portfolio Migration
Price Movement
11
Cash Flow Testing
Portfolio Composition
Trading Activity
12
Performance Benchmark
Manager StyleSector Exposures
13
CONSULTATION
It starts with our strong financial expertise. Our specialists will work
with you to understand your goals and identify the inputs and
components where automation can have it’s biggest impact.
DEVELOPMENT
Development happens along side your current systems. Your current
operation are not disrupted in any way. Our team of developers and
quants will use pre-built integrations or build modules to integrate
your data and analytics packages in Logic Canvas.
IMPLEMENTATION
The solution is deployed after the first integration and automation is
complete and grows overtime as new modules are added. Reports are
published via web browser to interactive dashboards or exported to
your software of choice via REST API.
ONGOING SUPPORT
We will continue to work with your team to refine the analytics and
dashboards, replace old and outdated systems, and add new
functionality.
14
Support Staff
Multi-Disciplinary Team
Technology
Developers
Product Specialists
PhD Quants
• Fully Customized Automated
Portfolio Intelligence Analytics
• Independent Valuations
• Capital Charge Calculations
• Cash Flow Analytics
• Risk Management
• Model Validation
• Audit Support
Team-Based Approach
Our Services Since 2008
Legal, Compliance,
Financial Analysts
Structuring, Trading
& Risk Management
.NET, Python, R,
REST API & SQL
Machine Learning,
Monte Carlo & Statistics
15
• Black Swan is a boutique investment consulting firm dedicated to working with financial institutions
• The firm provides solutions in valuation, risk assessment, regulatory compliance and analytics
• Senior members of the team have worked closely together since the firm’s inception in 2008
• The firm has a proven-track record in delivering mission-critical solutions to institutional investors
• As a matter of public record, Black Swan served as financial advisor to the FDIC on the valuation and
disposition of a $1 billion portfolio
• As a provider of independent valuations on structured finance products, the firm has significant data and
insight into how trading desks price securities
• The firm is composed of a multidisciplinary team including capital market, risk management, PhD quant,
software development and legal/compliance specialists
• Black Swan provides outsourced analytics support and automated solutions
16
(917) 338-2380 x7002
aaron.wong@blackswanconsultinggroup.com
www.blackswanconsultinggroup.com
(917) 338-2380 x7013
jeremy.vandergoot@blackswanconsultinggroup.com
www.blackswanconsultinggroup.com
17
This presentation and the information included herein is confidential and is intended solely for the information and exclusive use of
the person to whom it has been provided. It is not to be reproduced or transmitted, in whole or in part, to any other person.
This presentation is being furnished for informational purposes only, and does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an
offer to buy, any securities. This presentation is subject to a more complete description and does not contain all of the information
necessary to make an investment decision, including but not limited to, the risks, fees and investment strategies of the Firm. Any
offering will only be made pursuant to additional documents, all of which must be read in their entirety. No offer to purchase will be
made or accepted prior to the receipt and completion of all appropriate documentation and the meeting of eligibility and such
other requirements as may be determined.
Target returns and financial models included in this presentation do not, nor are they intended to, constitute a promise of actual
results. Actual returns and cash flows may vary significantly from the target figures presented herein and no one receiving this
presentation should assume that the Firm will be profitable or will be a suitable investment.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Future returns may be higher or lower than the results
portrayed in this presentation.
Investments involve multiple risks, including, but not limited to, credit exposure to below investment grade companies and the use
of leverage. Investments have the potential for full loss of principal. Upon request we will prepare illustrative returns based on
assumptions other than those contained herein.
This presentation is not an advertisement, is not intended for public use or distribution and is intended exclusively for the use of the
person to whom it has been distributed. This presentation may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person without the
prior consent.
The information included in these presentation materials should be considered only in conjunction with the verbal presentation that
accompanies such materials and is not intended to be viewed independently of such verbal presentation. The context of the verbal
presentation provides more complete information and these materials should not be relied on as a complete description of the
information presented therein.
18

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Automated Portfolio Intelligence

  • 1. Automated Portfolio Intelligence & Predictive Analytics www.blackswanconsultinggroup.com | info@blackswanconsultinggroup.com — Logic Canvas Platform 2.0 —
  • 2. Automating Portfolio Intelligence to incorporate Predictive Analytics is a complex challenge. Developing such a framework involves bringing together: Evolving from Data Management to Predictive Analytics In a light-speed market with exponentially accumulating data, managers need risk metrics that are tuned to complex market dynamics and not simply based on short-term historical performance. Machine Learning in particular has the potential to produce predictive insights if coupled with a suitable data framework. 2 Multiple Data Sources Analytic Software Packages Complex Calculations Reporting Tools Developers / Quants
  • 3. • Internal Stakeholders • Risk Management • Regulatory • What-if Analysis • Ad-Hoc Reports • Pricing • Stress Testing • Monte Carlo • Duration / Convexity • Value-at-Risk (VaR) • Cash Flow Analytics • Deal Model Libraries • Internal Systems • Machine Learning • Simulation Models • Position Data • Market Data • Accounting Data • Pricing/Valuation • Internal Research Analytic Software Packages Multiple Data Sources Different Reporting Needs Customized Calculations 3 Expensive off-the-shelf Portfolio Management software is bloated with unused features and a rigid framework that make it difficult to add new components. Many firms bring in developers to design custom workarounds, but those solutions require manual intervention and results in a patchwork framework.
  • 4. • Critical reliance on manpower to manually share information • Inefficient time-consuming process • Increased likelihood of introducing errors • Report generation tends to be ad-hoc • Inconsistent analysis • Business logic is ultimately trapped in the code for each system / component • Updating / Replacing / Adding components requires starting from scratch 4 Integrating each analytic component through a central hub would facilitate the flow of information between them. Business logic and processes could be automated to deliver custom reports that offer new actionable insights and predictive analytics. 4
  • 5. Logic Canvas is Black Swan’s analytic platform that acts as a central hub to connect all your data, analytic software packages, calculations and reporting needs. With Logic Canvas we create an automated solution that incorporates advanced machine learning to provide insights into portfolio risk, integrated with predictive models that can project future performance. It is a single powerful platform custom-tailored to your business logic. Multiple Inputs: • Database Sources • Analytics Software Packages • Complex Calculations Logic Canvas: Black Swan Product Specialists and Developers Integrate & Automate Your Business Logic Custom Output: Web Based Dashboard with Data Visualizations, or Any Reporting Package of Client’s Choosing 5
  • 6. Visual Logic Canvas uses visual programming. No important business logic trapped inside code. All business logic is centralized and can be visually communicated with clients. Multiple Reporting Options - We will customize interactive dashboards that support data visualization tools that offer more actionable insights. Integrations We don’t have to re-invent the wheel. All of the client’s market data, analytic systems and complex calculations are connected through Logic Canvas as the central hub. Automation Data and information is no longer isolated. Manual tasks can be automated to save time and reduce the chance for errors. Flexible Built-in support for .NET, Python, R, HTML5/JavaScript opens many possibilities for integration . Modular – Replace outdated components and plug-in new modules to add unlimited functionality. Transparent All steps of the workflow are visibly auditable, increasing regulatory compliance. Drag and Drop An intuitive interface (no programming skills necessary) allows product specialists to create solutions faster. 6
  • 7. Logic Canvas can integrate with just about any third-party software that supports API control. We are constantly developing and growing our number of pre-built integrations based on customer need. 7
  • 8. We currently use Logic Canvas in all of our consulting engagements. Logic Canvas has the power to fill in your gaps in coverage, to enhance spreadsheets and graphically create risk management functionality. Here are some examples of what can be automated: Custom Scenarios Extract, transform, load Using Machine Learning Performance Attribution Centralized for analysts Evaluate Performance Transparent calculation logic Gain fresh insights Internal or vendor software 8
  • 9. Asset managers need to transition from struggling with data management to achieving Portfolio Intelligence and Predictive Analytics. Since everything is integrated and flows through Logic Canvas we can create interactive dashboards that meet exact business specifications. Dashboards can be published to the cloud and accessed from any connected device. Model inputs can be changed by dashboard users on the fly and calculations refreshed in real-time. 9
  • 10. Data Science continues to transform the financial services sector. Our framework supports rich data visualizations and ad- hoc analysis using business intelligence such as Tableau and QlikView. By integrating and automating we can centralize and prepare large data sets for analysis, delivering valuable, actionable insights. Tableau Desktop 9.1 10
  • 12. Cash Flow Testing Portfolio Composition Trading Activity 12
  • 14. CONSULTATION It starts with our strong financial expertise. Our specialists will work with you to understand your goals and identify the inputs and components where automation can have it’s biggest impact. DEVELOPMENT Development happens along side your current systems. Your current operation are not disrupted in any way. Our team of developers and quants will use pre-built integrations or build modules to integrate your data and analytics packages in Logic Canvas. IMPLEMENTATION The solution is deployed after the first integration and automation is complete and grows overtime as new modules are added. Reports are published via web browser to interactive dashboards or exported to your software of choice via REST API. ONGOING SUPPORT We will continue to work with your team to refine the analytics and dashboards, replace old and outdated systems, and add new functionality. 14
  • 15. Support Staff Multi-Disciplinary Team Technology Developers Product Specialists PhD Quants • Fully Customized Automated Portfolio Intelligence Analytics • Independent Valuations • Capital Charge Calculations • Cash Flow Analytics • Risk Management • Model Validation • Audit Support Team-Based Approach Our Services Since 2008 Legal, Compliance, Financial Analysts Structuring, Trading & Risk Management .NET, Python, R, REST API & SQL Machine Learning, Monte Carlo & Statistics 15
  • 16. • Black Swan is a boutique investment consulting firm dedicated to working with financial institutions • The firm provides solutions in valuation, risk assessment, regulatory compliance and analytics • Senior members of the team have worked closely together since the firm’s inception in 2008 • The firm has a proven-track record in delivering mission-critical solutions to institutional investors • As a matter of public record, Black Swan served as financial advisor to the FDIC on the valuation and disposition of a $1 billion portfolio • As a provider of independent valuations on structured finance products, the firm has significant data and insight into how trading desks price securities • The firm is composed of a multidisciplinary team including capital market, risk management, PhD quant, software development and legal/compliance specialists • Black Swan provides outsourced analytics support and automated solutions 16
  • 17. (917) 338-2380 x7002 aaron.wong@blackswanconsultinggroup.com www.blackswanconsultinggroup.com (917) 338-2380 x7013 jeremy.vandergoot@blackswanconsultinggroup.com www.blackswanconsultinggroup.com 17
  • 18. This presentation and the information included herein is confidential and is intended solely for the information and exclusive use of the person to whom it has been provided. It is not to be reproduced or transmitted, in whole or in part, to any other person. This presentation is being furnished for informational purposes only, and does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities. This presentation is subject to a more complete description and does not contain all of the information necessary to make an investment decision, including but not limited to, the risks, fees and investment strategies of the Firm. Any offering will only be made pursuant to additional documents, all of which must be read in their entirety. No offer to purchase will be made or accepted prior to the receipt and completion of all appropriate documentation and the meeting of eligibility and such other requirements as may be determined. Target returns and financial models included in this presentation do not, nor are they intended to, constitute a promise of actual results. Actual returns and cash flows may vary significantly from the target figures presented herein and no one receiving this presentation should assume that the Firm will be profitable or will be a suitable investment. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Future returns may be higher or lower than the results portrayed in this presentation. Investments involve multiple risks, including, but not limited to, credit exposure to below investment grade companies and the use of leverage. Investments have the potential for full loss of principal. Upon request we will prepare illustrative returns based on assumptions other than those contained herein. This presentation is not an advertisement, is not intended for public use or distribution and is intended exclusively for the use of the person to whom it has been distributed. This presentation may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person without the prior consent. The information included in these presentation materials should be considered only in conjunction with the verbal presentation that accompanies such materials and is not intended to be viewed independently of such verbal presentation. The context of the verbal presentation provides more complete information and these materials should not be relied on as a complete description of the information presented therein. 18