This document discusses the impact of financial and global crises on the Indian stock market. It aims to examine the volatility of the Indian stock market due to events like the 2008 subprime crisis, the 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks, the 2015-16 Chinese stock market turbulence, and Brexit in 2015. The study will use an event study methodology to analyze the deviation of stock returns during crisis periods. It will also perform statistical analysis and regression analysis to compare the stock market between pre-crisis and post-crisis periods. The study seeks to understand how external events influence the Indian market and aid investors in making informed decisions.
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Impact of Financial Crises on Indian Stock Market
1. Impact of financial and global crisis on
the
Indian stock market
BRP Interim presentation
Presented by
Anil Vishnu B
M150013MS
2. INTRODUCTION
Stock market, generally called yardstick and barometer that respond to political ,
economic, regional , national & international events.
Negative or positive incidence events that occur internally or externally enhance
volatility in stock market
Negative impact on stock market affect its performance and shatters the confidence
of investor
The individual investors who are the main participants of stock market are much
concerned about their investment in the market.
3. MOTIVATION OF STUDY
Understanding market fluctuations will help to make more profit from the
market and at the same time help to reduce the loss when the market is
falling.
Studying about the market fluctuation will help you to give you a view
about the effect of events on happening around the world .
4. PROBLEM STATEMENT
Financial and global crisis occurred at various point of time has resulted in
volatility in Indian stock market. So it is important for the investors to know
the impact of financial & global crisis on the stock market to make correct
investment decisions. The study examines impact of financial & global
crisis on the Indian stock market.
5. OBJECTIVES OF STUDY
To examine the impact of the financial and global crisis on the Indian
stock market.
To find out the volatility of the stock market due to financial and global
crisis.
To conduct an event study on selected stocks from Indian stock market.
6. LITERATURE REVIEW
Impact of global financial crisis on stock markets: Evidence from Pakistan and India
(Rafaqet Ali, Muhammad Afzal on May 10, 2012)
Brexit: Impact on the Indian economy and stock market(B.Rajalakshmy & A. Marcus
on 9 sep 2016)
Impact of terrorism on Karachi Stock Exchange : Pakistan (Syeda Abeeda Hassan,
Dr Atif Mahamood , Dr Ashfaq Ahamed , Syed Fakhar Abbas , 2014)
Assessing the influence of Chinese stock market on Indian Stock market (Somnath
mukhuti, Prem Kumar Ghosh , 2016)
8. RESEARCH GAP
Market condition is dynamic in nature. New changes will results in
structural changes of the current market condition. To know about
how this change affected the market.
Predicting capability
The inter relation between the stocks.
9. METHODOLOGY
1. Event study – Analyse any deviation in normal daily stock
3 types of estimation windows ( Pre-event , Event day , Post day)
These windows explains overall deviation in stocks
Mean adjusted return model.
(Excessive return of a sector on particular date)
ARit = Rit - E(Rit) (1)
E(Rit) = a+ b E(Rmt ) (2)
ARIt = (1/N)∑ ARit (3)
10. 2. Conventional Statistical analysis
Divide the data into Pre and Post crisis period.
Mean
Median
Mode
Standard deviation
Variance
3. Regression analysis
11. DATA
Source of data – BSE website, Thomson Reuters Eikon.
Sampling Population– Stock indices of companies listed in BSE index.
Sampling unit – Indices value of stocks from 6 Sectors.
1.IT 4.Auto-Mobile
2.Pharma 5.Metal
3.Healthcare 6.Finance
13. TIME LINE OF WORK
20/01/2017-28/01/2017 - Identification of problem for the study
28/01/2017-20/02/2017 - Data collection and finding the tools for the study
21/02/2017 - Interim presentation
22/02/2017-10/03/2017 - Analysis of data based on the tools identified
11/03/2017-20/03/2017 - Reporting the results based on the format required for submission
Report submission