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Regression
Forced
MethodsofRegression
Hierarchical
Step Wise
Then Unknown
Known First
Then Others
More
Important First
All are forced Simultaneously
Only useful for Theory Testing
Forward
Backward
Based on
Mathematical
Criterion
More correlated is
entered first and
then other
Assessing The Regression Model
Two Important Questions
Does the model fit the
observed data well, or is
it influenced by a small
number of cases?
Can my model Generalize
to other samples?
Question 1 Question 2
Answering the Model Fit
Outliers Influential Cases
The one different
from others
A case which stands
out
Case with Large
Residual
Outliers With Residuals
Standardized Residuals Un standardized Residuals
Can not tell how big residual
will be considered big.
Using the Properties of
Normal Distribution helps us
in making a rule for deciding
large or small
Rule of 3.28
Rule of 2.58
Rule of 1.96
There be no value with more than 3.28 SR
Model is unacceptable if more than 5% cases
have Standardized Residual>2.58
Model is unacceptable if more than 1% cases
have Standardized Residual>2.58
OutliersWithResiduals
Standardized
Residuals
Un standardized
Residuals
Studentized
Residuals
Real Residuals
Residuals with mean zero and
standard deviation of one
Un-standardized residual
divided by an estimate of its
standard deviation
Influential Cases
By Excluding a certain case, the slope and intercept of the
regression line is affected.
It means the model is not stable and changes its coefficients
from one sample to another.
Residual Statistics to Assess the Effect of a
Particular CaseDeleted
Residual
Adjusted
predicted
Value
Studentized
Deleted
Residual A new model is calculated with using a particular case.
Then that particular case is predicted. This value is
called APV. If the case is not an influential one, then the
adjusted predicted value will be very near the originally
predicted value.
difference between the adjusted predicted value and
the original observed value = DR
Studentized Deleted Residual = DR/ Standard Deviation
This residual can be compared across different
regression analyses because it is measured in standard
units.
Residual Statistics to Assess the Effect of a
Particular Case
Deleted Residuals Can not
Provide any information about
how a case influences the
model as a whole
Deleted Residuals Can
Assess the influence of a case
on the ability of the model to
predict that case.
So how we can assess the influence
Cook’s Distance
Mahalanobis
Distances
Leverage

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Regression

  • 2. Forced MethodsofRegression Hierarchical Step Wise Then Unknown Known First Then Others More Important First All are forced Simultaneously Only useful for Theory Testing Forward Backward Based on Mathematical Criterion More correlated is entered first and then other
  • 3. Assessing The Regression Model Two Important Questions Does the model fit the observed data well, or is it influenced by a small number of cases? Can my model Generalize to other samples? Question 1 Question 2
  • 4. Answering the Model Fit Outliers Influential Cases The one different from others A case which stands out Case with Large Residual
  • 5. Outliers With Residuals Standardized Residuals Un standardized Residuals Can not tell how big residual will be considered big. Using the Properties of Normal Distribution helps us in making a rule for deciding large or small Rule of 3.28 Rule of 2.58 Rule of 1.96 There be no value with more than 3.28 SR Model is unacceptable if more than 5% cases have Standardized Residual>2.58 Model is unacceptable if more than 1% cases have Standardized Residual>2.58
  • 6. OutliersWithResiduals Standardized Residuals Un standardized Residuals Studentized Residuals Real Residuals Residuals with mean zero and standard deviation of one Un-standardized residual divided by an estimate of its standard deviation
  • 7. Influential Cases By Excluding a certain case, the slope and intercept of the regression line is affected. It means the model is not stable and changes its coefficients from one sample to another.
  • 8. Residual Statistics to Assess the Effect of a Particular CaseDeleted Residual Adjusted predicted Value Studentized Deleted Residual A new model is calculated with using a particular case. Then that particular case is predicted. This value is called APV. If the case is not an influential one, then the adjusted predicted value will be very near the originally predicted value. difference between the adjusted predicted value and the original observed value = DR Studentized Deleted Residual = DR/ Standard Deviation This residual can be compared across different regression analyses because it is measured in standard units.
  • 9. Residual Statistics to Assess the Effect of a Particular Case Deleted Residuals Can not Provide any information about how a case influences the model as a whole Deleted Residuals Can Assess the influence of a case on the ability of the model to predict that case. So how we can assess the influence Cook’s Distance Mahalanobis Distances Leverage