Dynamics of swine influenza in a wean-finish population - Andres Diaz, University of Minnesota, College of Veterinary Medicine, from the 2013 Allen D. Leman Swine Conference, September 14-17, 2013, St. Paul, Minnesota, USA.
More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2013-leman-swine-conference-material
8. IAV Transmission in pigs
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
Direct contact
Airborne transmitted
Fomites
Transmission rate (R0)
ā Active immunity
ā¢ Immune pigs (homologous virus)
ā¢ Immune pigs (heterologous virus)
ā¢ NaĆÆve pigs
0
1
10.66
(95% CI 0.39, 2.09)
(95% CI 6.57, 16.46)
0.8
7.1
10.4
(95% CI 0.1, 3.7)
(95% CI 4.2, 11.3)
(95% CI 6.6, 15.8)
ā Passive immunity
ā¢ Immune pigs (homologous virus):
ā¢ Immune pigs (heterologous virus)
ā¢ NaĆÆve pigs
Veterinary research 2011;42(1):120
Vaccine 2013;31(3):500-505
Transboundry and emrging diseases 2012;59(SI:1):68-84
9. Research questions
ā¢ How is IAV maintained in swine populations and
what is the role of weaned pigs in this process?
ā¢ What is the transmission and infection pattern of
IAV in weaned populations?
ā¢ How does IAV change over time in endemically
infected populations?
10. Objectives
ā¢ To characterize the evolution of IAV infection
and transmission in weaned pigs
ā To explore IAV transmission pattern in weaned
pigs
ā To understand the association between IAV
exposure, immunity and infection after weaning
11. Materials and methods
ā¢
Cohort study: Prospective over time
ā¢
1 endemically infected wean to finishing farm
ā
ā
ā
ā¢
MN
8 barns
ā 2000 pigs per barn
Single source of pigs
ā Sow herd positive
ā¢
132 pigs randomly selected from 2000 pigs weaned
ā 95% confident to detect at least 1 when the prevalence is higher than 2.5%
ā¢
Ear tagged and identified at arrival
12. 0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nasal swab
X X X X
X X X X X X X
X
X
X
X
X
Oral fluid
X X X X
X X X X X X X
X
X
X
X
X
Serum sample
X
X
X
X
14. Analysis and hypothesis testing
ā¢ Seroprevalence
ā Mean change of the S/N value over time (paired t-test,
p<0.05 between weeks)
ā Effect of being seropositive at weaning on the
seroprevalence after weaning (paired t-test, p<0.05)
ā¢ Weekly prevalence
ā Number of positive cases by week
ā Comparison of the number of positives over time (chi square
test, p<0.05)
ā¢ Weekly incidence
ā Number of NEW cases by week
ā¢ Assessing re-infection with IAV
16. 0 vs 4
0 vs 8
0 vs 12
4 vs 8
4 vs 12
8 vs 12
p<0.05
p<0.05
p<0.05
p<0.05
p<0.05
p<0.05
17.
18. PW4 vs SW4
PW4 vs NW4
PW8 vs SW8
PW8 vs NW8
PW12 vs SW12
PW12 vs NW12
p<0.05
p>0.05
p>0.05
p>0.05
p>0.05
p>0.05
SW4 vs NW4
SW8 vs NW8
SW12 vs NW12
p<0.05
p>0.05
p>0.05
22. Work in progress....
ā¢ 96 samples selected for whole genome
amplification and sequencing (Antigenic drift and
shift)
ā¢ Selection of samples for VI
ā Reference virus by week
ā¢ Estimate real exposure by HI reactivity of serum
samples to references viruses and explore
antigenic differences by antigenic cartography
23. Conclusions
ā¢ Wean pigs can be a source of IAV to other
swine populations
ā¢ The presence of maternal immunity in
weaned pigs is highly variable
ā¢ The maternal immunity did not protect
weaned pigs from IAV infection but it did
reduce transmission (lower R0).
24. Conclusions
ā¢ Maternal immunity at weaning was correlated with antibody
levels at 4 weeks post weaning but not at 8 and 12 weeks
post weaning.
ā¢ The interaction between IAV transmission, infection, and
maternal immunity allowed for two epidemic waves of IAV in
less than 8 weeks post-weaning
ā¢ Our results indicate that pigs can be re-infected over a short
period of time and as a result IAV can remain in the
population.
ā¢ At the end of the study, all pigs tested positive to IAV by
ELISA, indicating that all pigs were infected to the IAV.
25. Acknowledgments
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
ā¢
Dr. Montse Torremorell
Dr. Srinand Sreevatsan
Dr. Marie Gramer
Dr. Cesar Corzo
Dr. HanSoo Joo
Dr. Meggan Craft
Pipestone Veterinary clinic
ā Dr. Spencer Wayne
Swine producers and farm
staff
ā¢
Graduate students and
research assistants
ā Victor Neira
ā Macarena Cortez
ā My Yang
ā Mathew Allerson
ā Steve Tousignant
ā Carmen Alonso
ā Nubia Macedo
ā Maria Jose Clavijo
ā Jonathan Ertl
ā Jennifer Reynolds
ā Douglas Marthaler
Editor's Notes
Any other authors that I should include?
Cesarās work
Transmission routes and transmission rates estimates
Red ones are positive at weaning, grays are negative
PW=Positive at weaning, SW=Suspect at weaning, NW=Negative at weaning. Numbers indicate the week sampled