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How is YOUR Market? 
Amy Brawand 
abrawand@ltgc.com 
303.877.8886
Areas of Analysis 
 Now only reporting on the 7 Metro Denver Counties 
 Adams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, 
Elbert and Jefferson. 
 Most notable discrepancies are in the “counted” fields 
such as Active, Under Contract, and Sold. 
 Our numbers will report lower than Metrolist due to the 
difference in counties reported.
The Highlight Reel October 2014 
 36.6% of sold transactions went under contract in 7 days or less, 
and 48.6% sold for at or over their asking price. 
 There is only a 2-3 week supply of inventory for both detached 
and attached homes under $400,000. 
 Supply of inventory for attached dwellings dropped to 0.9 months 
or 27 days of inventory, this is an all time low. 
 Even as we approach traditionally slower months for market 
activity, record numbers are still being hit. October saw the 
highest recorded sales price for attached units at $233,260 and 
reported that 66.7% of listings in the market resulted in a 
transaction.
October’s Hot Topic- updated from 
September 
 With the holiday season just on the horizon many 
sellers are questioning if they should list and sell their 
home now or wait for spring of 2015. 
 5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 
 Many media outlets and newsletters are reporting a 
seasonal slow down. Inventory declined as to be 
expected however buyer activity remained constant 
making the seller’s market more extreme. The odds of 
selling with the decline in active inventory actually 
increased in October 2014.
5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 
1. New Construction is back, at least in detached 
single family. 
 As the market improves builders are encouraged to develop 
new properties. 
 A record number of new start permits have been pulled in 
Metro Denver for DSF homes in 2014. 
 As these ‘shiny’ new homes enter the market they will become 
an attractive alternative to buyers.
5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 
2. Interest rates are projected to inch up… even though rates 
declined at one point to 3.75% in October 2014. 
 Whether moving up or moving down if a loan is required to obtain 
your new home housing expenses will be more 1 year from now. 
Projected rates for spring/summer 2015 are around 4.5%. 
Buying Power by Monthly Payment and Interest Rate 
340,000 
330,000 
320,000 
310,000 
300,000 
290,000 
280,000 
270,000 
3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 
Interest Rate and Monthly Payment Calculations 
All caluculations are based off of a 30 Year Fixed Loan. These numbers are to be used for illustrative purposes only. 
Alw ays speak w ith a licensed loan officer to be sure how much buyers w ill qualify for. 
Total Purchase Price Potential, P & I 
$1,500.00 334,042 314,191 296,041 279,422
5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 
3. Timelines will be shorter 
 There are fewer transactions this time of year making 
timetables on each component friendlier for transactions in the 
next 90 days. 
 Consider the workload of: 
 Lending companies 
 Appraisers 
 Inspectors 
 Title Companies
5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 
4. Demand remains high 
 While the media has reported a “slow down” in the real estate 
market this only factors in the number of active and sold units, 
and not necessarily the amount of buyers still left looking from 
the competitive summer months. 
 The supply of homes vs. the number of buyers in the market, 
or the absorption rate has changed minimally as we transition 
to fall. 
 Homes continue to sell at a pace not seen since the mid 
2000’s, between 2-3 weeks on the market.
5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 
5. Again, supply remains low 
 Detached single family sits at 1.5 months of inventory 
 Attached single family dropped back down to 0.9 months of 
inventory. 
 Especially in the attached market, with new build permits 
hindered by the lack of new units being built this market 
continues to smolder.
5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 
 Marketing post card available 
for purchase branded for you. 
 Can be purchased as 
electronic piece for social 
media or email. 
 Also available for printed 
advertisement. 
 Updating additional points to 
reflect October numbers. 
New card will be available on 
November 15th.
How much has the market shifted 
between the traditional peak selling 
season and now? 
 Historically there is a measurable decline in the real 
estate market with the majority of activity occurring in 
the months of May, June and July with less 
transactions in the winter months. 
 The traditional trend has been bucked over the last 2-3 
years and 2014 is no exception. 
 The next slide will detail the difference between June 
and October 2014 to assist with overcoming the 
common thought that it is “bad” to sell in the winter 
months.
How much has the market shifted between the 
traditional peak selling season and now? 
% 
Detached Single Family Attached Single Family 
Jun‐14 Oct‐14 Change 
% 
Jun‐14 Oct‐14 Change 
# of Active Units 5,513 4,633 ‐16% 1,413 1,255 ‐11% 
# of Sold Units 3,949 3,166 ‐20% 1,425 1,329 ‐7% 
1.4 1.5 7% 1.0 0.9 ‐10% 
4% 
$ 
233,260 
$ 
‐4% 224,492 
$ 
362,437 
$ 
Supply of Inventory 
(Months) 
Average Price 376,971 
Days on Market 25 36 44% 22 30 36% 
% of List/Sold Price 100.0% 99.0% ‐1% 99.8% 99.3% ‐1% 
Odds of Selling 59.4% 58.4% ‐2% 68.0% 67.6% ‐1%
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential 
Market Activity 
25,000 
20,000 
15,000 
10,000 
5,000 
0 
Apr-06 
Jan- 06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Oct-06 
Jan- 07 
Jul-07 
Apr-08 
Oct-07 
Jan-08 
Jul-08 
Apr-09 
Oct-08 
Jan-09 
Oct-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Jan-10 
Oct-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Jan- 11 
Oct-11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Jan- 12 
Oct-12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Jan- 13 
Active 
Sold 
Under Contract 
Jul-13 
Apr-14 
Oct-13 
Jan- 14 
Oct-14 
Jul-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole 
or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its 
accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Active inventory declined by -43.0 % year over year. 
• Under Contract properties declined -22.4% vs. the same month a year ago. 
• Sold units decreased from September 2013 by -12.0%.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential 
Market Activity 
10,000 
9,000 
8,000 
7,000 
6,000 
5,000 
4,000 
3,000 
2,000 
1,000 
0 
Oct- 
12 
Nov- 
12 
Dec- 
12 
Jan- 
13 
Feb- 
13 
Mar- 
13 
Apr- 
13 
May- 
13 
Jun- 
13 
Jul- 
13 
Aug- 
13 
Sep- 
13 
Oct- 
13 
Nov- 
13 
Dec- 
13 
Jan- 
14 
Oct- 
12 
Nov- 
12 
Dec- 
12 
Jan- 
13 
Feb- 
13 
Mar- 
13 
Apr- 
13 
May- 
13 
Jun- 
13 
Jul-13 Aug- 
13 
Sep- 
13 
Oct- 
13 
Nov- 
13 
Dec- 
13 
Jan- 
14 
• Inventory down by -13.5% from September. 
• Under Contracts down -2.1% from one month ago. 
• Solds down slightly by -1.9% vs. last month. 
Feb- 
14 
Mar- 
14 
Apr- 
14 
May- 
14 
Jun- 
14 
Jul- 
14 
Aug- 
14 
Sep- 
14 
Oct- 
14 
Feb- 
14 
Mar- 
14 
Apr- 
14 
May- 
14 
Jun- 
14 
Jul-14 Aug- 
14 
Sep- 
14 
Oct- 
14 
Active 8,108 7,336 6,366 5,843 5,541 5,445 5,662 6,738 7,558 8,286 8,787 8,635 8,121 6,500 5,670 4,178 4,141 4,203 4,485 5,150 5,513 5,820 5,819 5,354 4633 
Under Contract 3,664 3,119 2,442 3,535 4,052 4,781 5,426 5,801 5,865 5,752 4,981 4,177 4,304 4,595 1,977 2,596 2,862 3,800 4,094 4,222 4,129 3,822 3,666 3,409 3339 
Sold 3,246 2,975 2,725 2,343 2,363 3,493 3,798 4,540 4,433 4,857 4,386 3,714 3,598 2,455 2,575 1,795 1,977 2,583 3,049 3,583 3,949 3,837 3,488 3,226 3166
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential 
Market Activity 
10,000 
9,000 
8,000 
7,000 
6,000 
5,000 
4,000 
3,000 
2,000 
1,000 
0 
Apr-06 
Jan-06 
Oct-06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Jan-07 
Oct-07 
Jul-07 
Apr-08 
Jan-08 
Jul-08 
Oct-08 
Apr-09 
Jan- 09 
Oct-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Jan-10 
Oct-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Jan-11 
Oct-11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Jan- 12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Oct-12 
Jan- 13 
Jul-13 
Active 
Sold 
Under Contract 
Oct-13 
Apr-14 
Jan-14 
Jul-14 
Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or 
in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. 
Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Active inventory continues to hover around historic lows, down by -22.2% 
vs. the same month one year ago. 
• Under Contract units up 12.2% from October 2013. 
• Sold attached dwellings up by 29% year over year.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential 
Market Activity 
2,000 
1,800 
1,600 
1,400 
1,200 
1,000 
800 
600 
400 
200 
0 
Oct- 
12 
Nov- 
12 
Dec- 
12 
Jan- 
13 
Feb- 
13 
Mar- 
13 
Apr- 
13 
May- 
13 
Jun- 
13 
Jul- 
13 
Aug- 
13 
Sep- 
13 
Oct- 
13 
Nov- 
13 
Dec- 
13 
Jan- 
14 
Feb- 
14 
Mar- 
14 
Apr- 
14 
May- 
14 
Oct- 
12 
Nov- 
12 
Dec- 
12 
Jan- 
13 
Feb- 
13 
Mar- 
13 
Apr- 
13 
May- 
13 
Jun- 
13 
Jul-13 Aug- 
13 
Sep- 
13 
Oct- 
13 
Nov- 
13 
Dec- 
13 
Jan- 
14 
Feb- 
14 
Mar- 
14 
Apr- 
14 
May- 
14 
• Active condo units down by -7.0% from September to October. 
• Under contract properties down -5.8% from month-over-month. 
• Solds are down -1.7% from last month. 
Jun- 
14 
Jul- 
14 
Aug- 
14 
Sep- 
14 
Oct- 
14 
Jun- 
14 
Jul-14 Aug- 
14 
Sep- 
14 
Oct- 
14 
Active 1,611 1,511 1,340 1,260 1,245 1,237 1,283 1,476 1,629 1,739 1,800 1,713 1,613 1,450 1,327 1,183 1,174 1,138 1,169 1,360 1,413 1,537 1,459 1,349 1,255 
Under Contract 960 774 648 896 981 1,195 1,429 1,451 1,555 1,654 1,249 1,160 1,148 1,256 645 993 1,023 1,473 1,533 1,582 1,579 1,536 1,584 1,367 1,288 
Sold 849 717 675 610 604 840 916 1,125 1,133 1,247 1,327 1,016 1,030 745 737 583 730 944 1,106 1,387 1,425 1,437 1,366 1,352 1,329
“What would a normal market look like?” 
 There is no normal, but we can make assumptions 
mathematically based on what “balanced” would look 
like. 
 A balanced market is defined by having 6 months of 
active inventory by the National Association of 
REALTORS. 
 The green bar indicates where the market would be 
with 6 months of inventory, vs. the red bar which is 
actual monthly active inventory levels.
Detached Residential October 2014 
Inventory Analysis Actual vs. Balanced Market 
1M-3M Projected Active 
4633 
390 
586 
372 
329 
888 
649 
177 
1425 
1388 
18,996 
1,950 
11,820 
3,576 
Active 
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
All Price Ranges 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n in title. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, 
Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate 
activity in the market. 
• At current levels of inventory for detached properties, we only have 24.4% of 
the required inventory for what Denver would need to have a balanced 
market. 
• The market is most heavily favoring a seller’s market in the under $200,000 
range where Denver only has 9.1% of the required inventory.
Attached Residential October 2014 
Inventory Analysis Actual vs. Balanced Market 
1M-3M Projected Active 
1255 
36 
50 
120 
39 
192 
136 
516 
271 
361 
389 
7,974 
4,464 
2,646 
Active 
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
All Price Ranges 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n in title. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, 
Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity 
in the market. 
• At current levels of inventory for attached properties we only have 15.7% the 
required inventory for what Denver would need to have a balanced market. 
• The market is most heavily favoring a seller’s market in the $0-$199,999 
range where Denver only has 8.7% of the required inventory. This number has 
been declining even though we are entering what is typically considered a 
“slower” season.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential 
Supply of Inventory in Months 
9.0 
8.0 
7.0 
6.0 
5.0 
4.0 
3.0 
2.0 
1.0 
0.0 
Jan-06 
Jul-06 
Apr-06 
Jan-07 
Oct-06 
Jul-07 
Apr-07 
Jan-08 
Oct-07 
Jul-08 
Apr-08 
Jan-09 
Oct-08 
Jul-09 
Apr-09 
Jan-10 
Oct-09 
Jul-10 
Apr-10 
Jan-11 
Oct-10 
Jul-11 
Apr-11 
Jan-12 
Oct-11 
Jul-12 
Apr-12 
Jan-13 
Oct-12 
Apr-13 
• The buyer/seller ratio declined to 1.5 months of inventory. 
• This is near the all time record of 1.3 months of inventory. 
Jul-13 
Jan-14 
Oct-13 
Jul-14 
Apr-14 
Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or 
in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. 
Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Price Band Analysis 
October 2014- Supply in Months 
1.5 
0.7 
0.5 
2.4 
4.4 
5.3 
9.0 
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 
1M-3M 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
All Price Ranges 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content 
supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, 
Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• By price band in Residential, the market is still considered a seller’s market up to 800k. 
• Inventory levels are well positioned as we enter the highest selling months.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential 
Supply of Inventory in Months 
12.0 
10.0 
8.0 
6.0 
4.0 
2.0 
0.0 
Apr-06 
Jan-06 
Oct-06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Jan- 07 
Jul-07 
Oct-07 
Apr-08 
Jan- 08 
Oct-08 
Jul-08 
Apr-09 
Jan-09 
Oct-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Jan-10 
Oct-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Jan-11 
Oct-11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Jan-12 
Oct-12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Jan-13 
Oct-13 
Jul-13 
Apr-14 
Jan- 14 
Oct-14 
Jul-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole 
or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its 
accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Inventory a new all-time low. 
• Supply dropped back to 0.9 months of inventory, down by 0.1 months from 
September.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Price Band Analysis 
October- Supply in Months 
0.8 
0.9 
0.5 
3.2 
4.3 
2.0 
1M-3M 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
• Extremely low levels of inventory up to $1,000,000. 
• Again, levels are incredibly competitive even in luxury segments. 
8.3 
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 
All Price Ranges 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content 
supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, 
Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
The Odds of Selling 
 A calculation based on all active, under contract, sold 
and expired listings in the market place. 
 This number is used to predict the likelihood of a buyer 
and seller agreeing to exchange a property in a 
specific month. 
 This number is not what people expect it to be. 
 Can be used as a tangible measurement when 
communicating the value proposition of using a real 
estate professional.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential 
Odds of Selling 
70.0% 
60.0% 
50.0% 
40.0% 
30.0% 
20.0% 
10.0% 
0.0% 
Apr-06 
Jan-06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Oct-06 
Jan-07 
Oct-07 
Jul-07 
Apr-08 
Jan-08 
Oct-08 
Jul-08 
Apr-09 
Jan-09 
Oct-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Jan- 10 
Oct-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Jan-11 
Oct-11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Jan-12 
Oct-12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Jan- 13 
Jul-13 
Oct-13 
Apr-14 
Jan-14 
Jul-14 
Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole 
or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its 
accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Prior to the market recovery in 2012, the odds of selling in a 
given month hovered around about 25%. 
• Previously the highest this number has measured in the last 7 years was in 
April of 2013 at nearly 60%. We hit 58.4% in October of 2014. This number 
has remained nearly constant for the last 4 months.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Price Band Analysis 
October 2014- The Odds of Selling 
54.4% 
70.3% 
18.3% 
1M-3M 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
All Price Ranges 
• Using the established benchmark of 25%, historically consumers can better 
understand where the ‘sweet spots’ in the market place are by pricing band. 
• Even though the market is still considered ‘hot’, buyers are still sensitive to 
pricing and condition of homes. Some homes WILL NOT SELL. 
74.3% 
42.6% 
29.1% 
23.0% 
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n in title. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. 
Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the 
market.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential 
Odds of Selling 
80.0% 
70.0% 
60.0% 
50.0% 
40.0% 
30.0% 
20.0% 
10.0% 
0.0% 
Apr-06 
Jan-06 
Oct-06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Jan- 07 
Jul-07 
Oct-07 
Apr-08 
Jan-08 
Jul-08 
Oct-08 
Apr-09 
Jan-09 
Oct-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Jan- 10 
Oct-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Jan-11 
Jul-11 
Oct-11 
Apr-12 
Jan-12 
Oct-12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Jan-13 
Oct-13 
Jul-13 
Apr-14 
Jan-14 
Jul-14 
Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or 
in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. 
Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• The odds of selling prior to 2012 were about 23% for attached dwellings. 
• Highest odds of selling in the last decade recorded in April 2014 at 69.3%. 
• Current odds of selling in October 2014 were reported at 67.6%. This is up 
from the previous month.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Price Band Analysis 
October 2014 The Odds of Selling 
66.5% 
64.0% 
75.7% 
31.1% 
36.5% 
42.5% 
17.4% 
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 
1M-3M 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
All Price Ranges 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content 
supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by 
Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Using the established benchmark of 23%, historically consumers can better 
understand where the ‘sweet spots’ in the market place are by pricing band. 
• Even though the market is still considered ‘hot’, buyers are still sensitive to 
pricing and condition of homes. Some condos WILL NOT SELL.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential 
Average Prices 
$400,000 
$380,000 
$360,000 
$340,000 
$320,000 
$300,000 
$280,000 
$260,000 
$240,000 
$220,000 
$200,000 
Apr-06 
Jan- 06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Oct-06 
Jan- 07 
Jul-07 
Apr-08 
Oct-07 
Jan- 08 
Jul-08 
Apr-09 
Oct-08 
Jan-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Oct-09 
Jan-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Oct-10 
Jan- 11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Oct-11 
Jan- 12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Oct-12 
Jan- 13 
Jul-13 
Apr-14 
Oct-13 
Jan- 14 
Oct-14 
Jul-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in 
whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for 
its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Average sold prices still high at $362,437. Up 9.1% over prior year and 
down 0.5% from prior month. 
• June 2014 saw the highest average prices we have ever recorded.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential 
Average Prices 
$240,000 
$220,000 
$200,000 
$180,000 
$160,000 
$140,000 
$120,000 
$100,000 
Apr-06 
Jan- 06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Oct-06 
Jan-07 
Jul-07 
Apr-08 
Oct-07 
Jan-08 
Jul-08 
Apr-09 
Oct-08 
Jan-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Oct-09 
Jan-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Oct-10 
Jan- 11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Oct-11 
Jan- 12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Oct-12 
Jan- 13 
Jul-13 
Apr-14 
Oct-13 
Jan- 14 
• Average sold price up slightly from September to October by 7.9%, 
and up 13.9% from prior year. Currently sits at $233,260. 
Jul-14 
Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in 
whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for 
its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
Metro Denver Detached and Attached Price Band Analysis 
October 2014- % of List/Sold Price 
99.4% 
99.3% 
99.5% 
99.0% 
99.0% 
99.3% 
99.1% 
99.3% 
95.7% 
95.4% 
Condo 
Residential 
99.7% 
98.6% 
97.7% 
97.3% 
1M-3M 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
All Price Ranges 
93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99% 100% 101% 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content 
supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by 
Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Average % of List/Sold price ratios demonstrated many competing offer 
situations in the residential market. 
• Please note the properties between $0 and $400,000 are selling over 99% of 
their last asking price.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential 
Average Days on Market 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
Apr-06 
Jan-06 
Jul-06 
Apr-07 
Oct-06 
Jan-07 
Oct-07 
Jul-07 
Apr-08 
Jan- 08 
Jul-08 
Apr-09 
Oct-08 
Jan-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Oct-09 
Jan-10 
Jul-10 
Jan-11 
Oct-10 
Apr-11 
Oct-11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Jan-12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Oct-12 
Jan-13 
Oct-13 
Jul-13 
Jan-14 
• Average days on market reached their lowest in June 2014 at 25. 
• Currently sitting at 36 days, down -21.7% from one year ago. 
• Historical average is usually between 90-110 days on market. 
Apr-14 
Jul-14 
Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole 
or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its 
accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Price Band Analysis 
October 2014- Average Days on Market 
36 
19 
27 
50 
85 
96 
1M-3M 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
• Average days on market by price segment is below average until the 
$400,000 range. 
• Shortest average days on market is in the $0-199k and $200-399K 
segments. 
110 
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 
All Price Ranges 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content 
supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. 
may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential 
Average Days on Market 
150 
130 
110 
90 
70 
50 
30 
10 
Apr-06 
Jan-06 
Jul-06 
Oct-06 
Apr-07 
Jan- 07 
Oct-07 
Jul-07 
Apr-08 
Jan- 08 
Oct-08 
Jul-08 
Apr-09 
Jan-09 
Oct-09 
Jul-09 
Apr-10 
Jan-10 
Oct-10 
Jul-10 
Apr-11 
Jan- 11 
Oct-11 
Jul-11 
Apr-12 
Jan- 12 
Oct-12 
Jul-12 
Apr-13 
Jan-13 
Oct-13 
Jul-13 
Apr-14 
Jan-14 
Jul-14 
Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole 
or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its 
accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Currently days on market sits at a near low of 30. 
• This is down 18.9% from one year ago. 
•Near a record low, historical average is typically 100-120 days to contract.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Price Band Analysis 
October 2014- Average Days on Market 
30 
30 
19 
99 
64 
67 
126 
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 
1M-3M 
800-999K 
600-799K 
400-599K 
200-399K 
0-199K 
All Price Ranges 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content 
supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, 
Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Average days on market in this calculation is slightly different than as 
reported by the MLS due to a variance in the way data is obtained. 
• Just over 2 weeks to contract for properties under $200,000.
Metrolist Residential Sales October 2014 
Days on Market vs. Original to Sold Price Differential 
102.0% 
100.0% 
98.0% 
96.0% 
94.0% 
92.0% 
90.0% 
0-7 Days 8-14 Days 15-21 Days 22-28 Days 1-2 Months 2-3 Months 3 Months or 
Total Days on Market More 
% of Original Price 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n on graph. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, 
Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in 
the market. 
• Pricing it right the first time proves listings will go under contract not only 
faster but also at a higher price, netting the seller more money. 
• Highest % of original to sold price ratios occur in the first 2 weekends a 
property is on the market.
Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential 
Month to Month Sold Listing Comparison 
40,000 
35,000 
30,000 
25,000 
20,000 
15,000 
10,000 
5,000 
0 
January February March April May June July August September October November December YTD As of 
2013 2,008 2,299 3,250 3,605 4,238 4,207 4,405 4,105 3,342 3,180 2,632 2,725 34,639 
2014 1,879 2,000 2,538 3,049 3,583 3,949 3,837 3,488 3,226 3,166 30,715 
Δ% -6.42% -13.01% -21.91% -15.42% -15.46% -6.13% -12.89% -15.03% -3.47% -0.44% -11.33% 
• October 2014’s Residential Segment remained nearly the same as the prior 
year. 
• YTD numbers we are behind 2013 for closed transactions by about 11.33%. 
October 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 show n on chart. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. 
Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential 
Month to Month Sold Listing Comparison 
14000 
12000 
10000 
8000 
6000 
4000 
2000 
0 
January February March April May June July August September October November December YTD As of 
2013 549 618 797 941 1,121 1,138 1,191 1,188 971 956 791 777 9,470 
2014 611 751 944 1,106 1,387 1,425 1,437 1,366 1,352 1,392 11,771 
Δ% 11.29% 21.52% 18.44% 17.53% 23.73% 25.22% 20.65% 14.98% 39.24% 45.61% 24.30% 
• Condos are up nearly 45% year over year. 
• Up over almost 24.3% YTD. 
October 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 show n on chart. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, 
Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the 
market.
What percentage of the market do 
distressed sales represent?
First of all, what is a distressed sale? 
 A property which is to be sold in order to pay arrears 
on a mortgage 
 As defined in the market from Metrolist: 
 Short Sale 
 REO-Lender Owned 
 Government Owned (HUD)
Greater Metro Denver Residential Sold Distressed Sales 
45% 
40% 
35% 
30% 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
%Government Owned 
% Short Sale 
% Bank Owned 
Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2010 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. 
Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Percentage of distresses sales has dropped from the peak of 41% down to 
3%. 
• Distressed sales continue to wane. Banks are less likely to approve short 
sales. 
• Now is a great time to reach back out to NED and previously denied short 
sales.
Greater Metro Denver Condo Sold Distressed Sales 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
%Government Owned 
% Short Sale 
% Bank Owned 
Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 
“Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2010 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. 
Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. 
• Percentage of distressed properties in the Condo segment have dropped 
from a peak of 51% in January 2011 to current volumes of 3% in August 2014. 
• This number continues to decline.
Thank you! 
Megan Aller 
maller@ltgc.com 
720.243.2221

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October 2014 Denver Metro Real Estate Report

  • 1. How is YOUR Market? Amy Brawand abrawand@ltgc.com 303.877.8886
  • 2. Areas of Analysis  Now only reporting on the 7 Metro Denver Counties  Adams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, Elbert and Jefferson.  Most notable discrepancies are in the “counted” fields such as Active, Under Contract, and Sold.  Our numbers will report lower than Metrolist due to the difference in counties reported.
  • 3. The Highlight Reel October 2014  36.6% of sold transactions went under contract in 7 days or less, and 48.6% sold for at or over their asking price.  There is only a 2-3 week supply of inventory for both detached and attached homes under $400,000.  Supply of inventory for attached dwellings dropped to 0.9 months or 27 days of inventory, this is an all time low.  Even as we approach traditionally slower months for market activity, record numbers are still being hit. October saw the highest recorded sales price for attached units at $233,260 and reported that 66.7% of listings in the market resulted in a transaction.
  • 4. October’s Hot Topic- updated from September  With the holiday season just on the horizon many sellers are questioning if they should list and sell their home now or wait for spring of 2015.  5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home.  Many media outlets and newsletters are reporting a seasonal slow down. Inventory declined as to be expected however buyer activity remained constant making the seller’s market more extreme. The odds of selling with the decline in active inventory actually increased in October 2014.
  • 5. 5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 1. New Construction is back, at least in detached single family.  As the market improves builders are encouraged to develop new properties.  A record number of new start permits have been pulled in Metro Denver for DSF homes in 2014.  As these ‘shiny’ new homes enter the market they will become an attractive alternative to buyers.
  • 6. 5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 2. Interest rates are projected to inch up… even though rates declined at one point to 3.75% in October 2014.  Whether moving up or moving down if a loan is required to obtain your new home housing expenses will be more 1 year from now. Projected rates for spring/summer 2015 are around 4.5%. Buying Power by Monthly Payment and Interest Rate 340,000 330,000 320,000 310,000 300,000 290,000 280,000 270,000 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% Interest Rate and Monthly Payment Calculations All caluculations are based off of a 30 Year Fixed Loan. These numbers are to be used for illustrative purposes only. Alw ays speak w ith a licensed loan officer to be sure how much buyers w ill qualify for. Total Purchase Price Potential, P & I $1,500.00 334,042 314,191 296,041 279,422
  • 7. 5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 3. Timelines will be shorter  There are fewer transactions this time of year making timetables on each component friendlier for transactions in the next 90 days.  Consider the workload of:  Lending companies  Appraisers  Inspectors  Title Companies
  • 8. 5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 4. Demand remains high  While the media has reported a “slow down” in the real estate market this only factors in the number of active and sold units, and not necessarily the amount of buyers still left looking from the competitive summer months.  The supply of homes vs. the number of buyers in the market, or the absorption rate has changed minimally as we transition to fall.  Homes continue to sell at a pace not seen since the mid 2000’s, between 2-3 weeks on the market.
  • 9. 5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home. 5. Again, supply remains low  Detached single family sits at 1.5 months of inventory  Attached single family dropped back down to 0.9 months of inventory.  Especially in the attached market, with new build permits hindered by the lack of new units being built this market continues to smolder.
  • 10. 5 Reasons NOT to wait to sell your home.  Marketing post card available for purchase branded for you.  Can be purchased as electronic piece for social media or email.  Also available for printed advertisement.  Updating additional points to reflect October numbers. New card will be available on November 15th.
  • 11. How much has the market shifted between the traditional peak selling season and now?  Historically there is a measurable decline in the real estate market with the majority of activity occurring in the months of May, June and July with less transactions in the winter months.  The traditional trend has been bucked over the last 2-3 years and 2014 is no exception.  The next slide will detail the difference between June and October 2014 to assist with overcoming the common thought that it is “bad” to sell in the winter months.
  • 12. How much has the market shifted between the traditional peak selling season and now? % Detached Single Family Attached Single Family Jun‐14 Oct‐14 Change % Jun‐14 Oct‐14 Change # of Active Units 5,513 4,633 ‐16% 1,413 1,255 ‐11% # of Sold Units 3,949 3,166 ‐20% 1,425 1,329 ‐7% 1.4 1.5 7% 1.0 0.9 ‐10% 4% $ 233,260 $ ‐4% 224,492 $ 362,437 $ Supply of Inventory (Months) Average Price 376,971 Days on Market 25 36 44% 22 30 36% % of List/Sold Price 100.0% 99.0% ‐1% 99.8% 99.3% ‐1% Odds of Selling 59.4% 58.4% ‐2% 68.0% 67.6% ‐1%
  • 13. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Market Activity 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Apr-06 Jan- 06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Oct-06 Jan- 07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Oct-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Apr-09 Oct-08 Jan-09 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan-10 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Jan- 11 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan- 12 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Jan- 13 Active Sold Under Contract Jul-13 Apr-14 Oct-13 Jan- 14 Oct-14 Jul-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Active inventory declined by -43.0 % year over year. • Under Contract properties declined -22.4% vs. the same month a year ago. • Sold units decreased from September 2013 by -12.0%.
  • 14. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Market Activity 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Oct- 12 Nov- 12 Dec- 12 Jan- 13 Feb- 13 Mar- 13 Apr- 13 May- 13 Jun- 13 Jul- 13 Aug- 13 Sep- 13 Oct- 13 Nov- 13 Dec- 13 Jan- 14 Oct- 12 Nov- 12 Dec- 12 Jan- 13 Feb- 13 Mar- 13 Apr- 13 May- 13 Jun- 13 Jul-13 Aug- 13 Sep- 13 Oct- 13 Nov- 13 Dec- 13 Jan- 14 • Inventory down by -13.5% from September. • Under Contracts down -2.1% from one month ago. • Solds down slightly by -1.9% vs. last month. Feb- 14 Mar- 14 Apr- 14 May- 14 Jun- 14 Jul- 14 Aug- 14 Sep- 14 Oct- 14 Feb- 14 Mar- 14 Apr- 14 May- 14 Jun- 14 Jul-14 Aug- 14 Sep- 14 Oct- 14 Active 8,108 7,336 6,366 5,843 5,541 5,445 5,662 6,738 7,558 8,286 8,787 8,635 8,121 6,500 5,670 4,178 4,141 4,203 4,485 5,150 5,513 5,820 5,819 5,354 4633 Under Contract 3,664 3,119 2,442 3,535 4,052 4,781 5,426 5,801 5,865 5,752 4,981 4,177 4,304 4,595 1,977 2,596 2,862 3,800 4,094 4,222 4,129 3,822 3,666 3,409 3339 Sold 3,246 2,975 2,725 2,343 2,363 3,493 3,798 4,540 4,433 4,857 4,386 3,714 3,598 2,455 2,575 1,795 1,977 2,583 3,049 3,583 3,949 3,837 3,488 3,226 3166
  • 15. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Market Activity 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Apr-06 Jan-06 Oct-06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Jan-07 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Jan-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Jan- 09 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan-10 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Jan-11 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan- 12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Oct-12 Jan- 13 Jul-13 Active Sold Under Contract Oct-13 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Active inventory continues to hover around historic lows, down by -22.2% vs. the same month one year ago. • Under Contract units up 12.2% from October 2013. • Sold attached dwellings up by 29% year over year.
  • 16. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Market Activity 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 Oct- 12 Nov- 12 Dec- 12 Jan- 13 Feb- 13 Mar- 13 Apr- 13 May- 13 Jun- 13 Jul- 13 Aug- 13 Sep- 13 Oct- 13 Nov- 13 Dec- 13 Jan- 14 Feb- 14 Mar- 14 Apr- 14 May- 14 Oct- 12 Nov- 12 Dec- 12 Jan- 13 Feb- 13 Mar- 13 Apr- 13 May- 13 Jun- 13 Jul-13 Aug- 13 Sep- 13 Oct- 13 Nov- 13 Dec- 13 Jan- 14 Feb- 14 Mar- 14 Apr- 14 May- 14 • Active condo units down by -7.0% from September to October. • Under contract properties down -5.8% from month-over-month. • Solds are down -1.7% from last month. Jun- 14 Jul- 14 Aug- 14 Sep- 14 Oct- 14 Jun- 14 Jul-14 Aug- 14 Sep- 14 Oct- 14 Active 1,611 1,511 1,340 1,260 1,245 1,237 1,283 1,476 1,629 1,739 1,800 1,713 1,613 1,450 1,327 1,183 1,174 1,138 1,169 1,360 1,413 1,537 1,459 1,349 1,255 Under Contract 960 774 648 896 981 1,195 1,429 1,451 1,555 1,654 1,249 1,160 1,148 1,256 645 993 1,023 1,473 1,533 1,582 1,579 1,536 1,584 1,367 1,288 Sold 849 717 675 610 604 840 916 1,125 1,133 1,247 1,327 1,016 1,030 745 737 583 730 944 1,106 1,387 1,425 1,437 1,366 1,352 1,329
  • 17. “What would a normal market look like?”  There is no normal, but we can make assumptions mathematically based on what “balanced” would look like.  A balanced market is defined by having 6 months of active inventory by the National Association of REALTORS.  The green bar indicates where the market would be with 6 months of inventory, vs. the red bar which is actual monthly active inventory levels.
  • 18. Detached Residential October 2014 Inventory Analysis Actual vs. Balanced Market 1M-3M Projected Active 4633 390 586 372 329 888 649 177 1425 1388 18,996 1,950 11,820 3,576 Active 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K All Price Ranges “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n in title. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • At current levels of inventory for detached properties, we only have 24.4% of the required inventory for what Denver would need to have a balanced market. • The market is most heavily favoring a seller’s market in the under $200,000 range where Denver only has 9.1% of the required inventory.
  • 19. Attached Residential October 2014 Inventory Analysis Actual vs. Balanced Market 1M-3M Projected Active 1255 36 50 120 39 192 136 516 271 361 389 7,974 4,464 2,646 Active 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K All Price Ranges “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n in title. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • At current levels of inventory for attached properties we only have 15.7% the required inventory for what Denver would need to have a balanced market. • The market is most heavily favoring a seller’s market in the $0-$199,999 range where Denver only has 8.7% of the required inventory. This number has been declining even though we are entering what is typically considered a “slower” season.
  • 20. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Supply of Inventory in Months 9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Jan-06 Jul-06 Apr-06 Jan-07 Oct-06 Jul-07 Apr-07 Jan-08 Oct-07 Jul-08 Apr-08 Jan-09 Oct-08 Jul-09 Apr-09 Jan-10 Oct-09 Jul-10 Apr-10 Jan-11 Oct-10 Jul-11 Apr-11 Jan-12 Oct-11 Jul-12 Apr-12 Jan-13 Oct-12 Apr-13 • The buyer/seller ratio declined to 1.5 months of inventory. • This is near the all time record of 1.3 months of inventory. Jul-13 Jan-14 Oct-13 Jul-14 Apr-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 21. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Price Band Analysis October 2014- Supply in Months 1.5 0.7 0.5 2.4 4.4 5.3 9.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 1M-3M 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K All Price Ranges “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • By price band in Residential, the market is still considered a seller’s market up to 800k. • Inventory levels are well positioned as we enter the highest selling months.
  • 22. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Supply of Inventory in Months 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 Apr-06 Jan-06 Oct-06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Jan- 07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Apr-08 Jan- 08 Oct-08 Jul-08 Apr-09 Jan-09 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan-10 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Jan-11 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Jan-13 Oct-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Jan- 14 Oct-14 Jul-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Inventory a new all-time low. • Supply dropped back to 0.9 months of inventory, down by 0.1 months from September.
  • 23. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Price Band Analysis October- Supply in Months 0.8 0.9 0.5 3.2 4.3 2.0 1M-3M 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K • Extremely low levels of inventory up to $1,000,000. • Again, levels are incredibly competitive even in luxury segments. 8.3 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 All Price Ranges “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 24. The Odds of Selling  A calculation based on all active, under contract, sold and expired listings in the market place.  This number is used to predict the likelihood of a buyer and seller agreeing to exchange a property in a specific month.  This number is not what people expect it to be.  Can be used as a tangible measurement when communicating the value proposition of using a real estate professional.
  • 25. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Odds of Selling 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Apr-06 Jan-06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Oct-06 Jan-07 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Jan-08 Oct-08 Jul-08 Apr-09 Jan-09 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan- 10 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Jan-11 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Jan- 13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Prior to the market recovery in 2012, the odds of selling in a given month hovered around about 25%. • Previously the highest this number has measured in the last 7 years was in April of 2013 at nearly 60%. We hit 58.4% in October of 2014. This number has remained nearly constant for the last 4 months.
  • 26. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Price Band Analysis October 2014- The Odds of Selling 54.4% 70.3% 18.3% 1M-3M 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K All Price Ranges • Using the established benchmark of 25%, historically consumers can better understand where the ‘sweet spots’ in the market place are by pricing band. • Even though the market is still considered ‘hot’, buyers are still sensitive to pricing and condition of homes. Some homes WILL NOT SELL. 74.3% 42.6% 29.1% 23.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n in title. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 27. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Odds of Selling 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Apr-06 Jan-06 Oct-06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Jan- 07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Apr-08 Jan-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Jan-09 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan- 10 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Jan-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Jan-13 Oct-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • The odds of selling prior to 2012 were about 23% for attached dwellings. • Highest odds of selling in the last decade recorded in April 2014 at 69.3%. • Current odds of selling in October 2014 were reported at 67.6%. This is up from the previous month.
  • 28. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Price Band Analysis October 2014 The Odds of Selling 66.5% 64.0% 75.7% 31.1% 36.5% 42.5% 17.4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 1M-3M 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K All Price Ranges “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Using the established benchmark of 23%, historically consumers can better understand where the ‘sweet spots’ in the market place are by pricing band. • Even though the market is still considered ‘hot’, buyers are still sensitive to pricing and condition of homes. Some condos WILL NOT SELL.
  • 29. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Average Prices $400,000 $380,000 $360,000 $340,000 $320,000 $300,000 $280,000 $260,000 $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 Apr-06 Jan- 06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Oct-06 Jan- 07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Oct-07 Jan- 08 Jul-08 Apr-09 Oct-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Oct-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Oct-10 Jan- 11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Oct-11 Jan- 12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Oct-12 Jan- 13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Oct-13 Jan- 14 Oct-14 Jul-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Average sold prices still high at $362,437. Up 9.1% over prior year and down 0.5% from prior month. • June 2014 saw the highest average prices we have ever recorded.
  • 30. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Average Prices $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 $180,000 $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 Apr-06 Jan- 06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Oct-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Oct-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Apr-09 Oct-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Oct-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Oct-10 Jan- 11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Oct-11 Jan- 12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Oct-12 Jan- 13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Oct-13 Jan- 14 • Average sold price up slightly from September to October by 7.9%, and up 13.9% from prior year. Currently sits at $233,260. Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 31. Metro Denver Detached and Attached Price Band Analysis October 2014- % of List/Sold Price 99.4% 99.3% 99.5% 99.0% 99.0% 99.3% 99.1% 99.3% 95.7% 95.4% Condo Residential 99.7% 98.6% 97.7% 97.3% 1M-3M 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K All Price Ranges 93% 94% 95% 96% 97% 98% 99% 100% 101% “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Average % of List/Sold price ratios demonstrated many competing offer situations in the residential market. • Please note the properties between $0 and $400,000 are selling over 99% of their last asking price.
  • 32. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Average Days on Market 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 Apr-06 Jan-06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Oct-06 Jan-07 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Jan- 08 Jul-08 Apr-09 Oct-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Oct-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Oct-10 Apr-11 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan-12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Oct-12 Jan-13 Oct-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 • Average days on market reached their lowest in June 2014 at 25. • Currently sitting at 36 days, down -21.7% from one year ago. • Historical average is usually between 90-110 days on market. Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 33. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Price Band Analysis October 2014- Average Days on Market 36 19 27 50 85 96 1M-3M 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K • Average days on market by price segment is below average until the $400,000 range. • Shortest average days on market is in the $0-199k and $200-399K segments. 110 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 All Price Ranges “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 34. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Average Days on Market 150 130 110 90 70 50 30 10 Apr-06 Jan-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Apr-07 Jan- 07 Oct-07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Jan- 08 Oct-08 Jul-08 Apr-09 Jan-09 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-10 Jan-10 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-11 Jan- 11 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-12 Jan- 12 Oct-12 Jul-12 Apr-13 Jan-13 Oct-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Jan-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Currently days on market sits at a near low of 30. • This is down 18.9% from one year ago. •Near a record low, historical average is typically 100-120 days to contract.
  • 35. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Price Band Analysis October 2014- Average Days on Market 30 30 19 99 64 67 126 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1M-3M 800-999K 600-799K 400-599K 200-399K 0-199K All Price Ranges “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period shown in title. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Average days on market in this calculation is slightly different than as reported by the MLS due to a variance in the way data is obtained. • Just over 2 weeks to contract for properties under $200,000.
  • 36. Metrolist Residential Sales October 2014 Days on Market vs. Original to Sold Price Differential 102.0% 100.0% 98.0% 96.0% 94.0% 92.0% 90.0% 0-7 Days 8-14 Days 15-21 Days 22-28 Days 1-2 Months 2-3 Months 3 Months or Total Days on Market More % of Original Price “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period show n on graph. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Pricing it right the first time proves listings will go under contract not only faster but also at a higher price, netting the seller more money. • Highest % of original to sold price ratios occur in the first 2 weekends a property is on the market.
  • 37. Greater Metro Denver Detached Residential Month to Month Sold Listing Comparison 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 January February March April May June July August September October November December YTD As of 2013 2,008 2,299 3,250 3,605 4,238 4,207 4,405 4,105 3,342 3,180 2,632 2,725 34,639 2014 1,879 2,000 2,538 3,049 3,583 3,949 3,837 3,488 3,226 3,166 30,715 Δ% -6.42% -13.01% -21.91% -15.42% -15.46% -6.13% -12.89% -15.03% -3.47% -0.44% -11.33% • October 2014’s Residential Segment remained nearly the same as the prior year. • YTD numbers we are behind 2013 for closed transactions by about 11.33%. October “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 show n on chart. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 38. Greater Metro Denver Attached Residential Month to Month Sold Listing Comparison 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 January February March April May June July August September October November December YTD As of 2013 549 618 797 941 1,121 1,138 1,191 1,188 971 956 791 777 9,470 2014 611 751 944 1,106 1,387 1,425 1,437 1,366 1,352 1,392 11,771 Δ% 11.29% 21.52% 18.44% 17.53% 23.73% 25.22% 20.65% 14.98% 39.24% 45.61% 24.30% • Condos are up nearly 45% year over year. • Up over almost 24.3% YTD. October “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2006 show n on chart. Note: This representation is based in w hole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any w ay responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.
  • 39. What percentage of the market do distressed sales represent?
  • 40. First of all, what is a distressed sale?  A property which is to be sold in order to pay arrears on a mortgage  As defined in the market from Metrolist:  Short Sale  REO-Lender Owned  Government Owned (HUD)
  • 41. Greater Metro Denver Residential Sold Distressed Sales 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% %Government Owned % Short Sale % Bank Owned Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2010 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Percentage of distresses sales has dropped from the peak of 41% down to 3%. • Distressed sales continue to wane. Banks are less likely to approve short sales. • Now is a great time to reach back out to NED and previously denied short sales.
  • 42. Greater Metro Denver Condo Sold Distressed Sales 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% %Government Owned % Short Sale % Bank Owned Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13 Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 “Based on information from Metrolist, Inc. for the period 1/1/2010 through current. Note: This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by Metrolist, Inc. Metrolist, Inc. does not guarantee nor is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by Metrolist, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. • Percentage of distressed properties in the Condo segment have dropped from a peak of 51% in January 2011 to current volumes of 3% in August 2014. • This number continues to decline.
  • 43. Thank you! Megan Aller maller@ltgc.com 720.243.2221