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Eastern Illinois University
1© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
An Introduction to
Macroeconomics
Where the telescope ends, the microscope begins.
Which of the two has the grander view?
VICTOR HUGO
Drawing a Line
• Drawing a line between macroeconomics
and microeconomics
• Microeconomics
–Decisions of individual units
• No matter how large
• Macroeconomics
–Behavior of entire economies
• No matter how small
–Economic aggregates
2© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Drawing a Line
• Aggregation
–Combine many individual markets into
one overall market
• Composition of demand and supply
–In various markets
–Important for microeconomics issues
–Not important for macroeconomics issues
• During economic fluctuations
–Markets – move up or down together
3© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Drawing a Line
• Macroeconomics
–Assume most details
• Resource allocation and income distribution
• Relatively unimportant
• Microeconomics
–Ignore macroeconomics issues
–Focus on individual markets
• Allocate resources
• Distribute income
4© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Macroeconomics
• Aggregate demand curve
–Quantity of domestic product that is
demanded at each possible value of the
price level
• Aggregate supply curve
–Quantity of domestic product that is
supplied at each possible value of the
price level
5© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 1
Two interpretations of a shift in the demand curve
6
0
Quantity
Price
(a)
D
D
0
Quantity
Price
(b)
Q0
S
S
P0
E
D0
D0
S
S
P0
D1
D1
P1
E
A
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Macroeconomics
• Inflation
–Sustained increase in the general price
level
• Recession
–A period of time during which the total
output of the economy declines
• Production falls
• People lose jobs
–Leftward shift of aggregate demand curve
7© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 2
An Economy Slipping into a Recession
8
0
Domestic Product
PriceLevel
D0
D0
Q0
S
S
P0
D2
D2
P2
Q2
E
B
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Macroeconomics
• Macroeconomists study
–Inflation
–Recession and unemployment
–Economic growth
9© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 3
Economic Growth
10
0
Domestic Product
PriceLevel
D0
D0
Q0
S0
S0
D1
D1
Q1
E
S1
S1
C
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Gross Domestic Product
• Gross domestic product (GDP)
–Sum of the money values of all final
goods and services
–Produced in the domestic economy and
sold on organized markets
–During a specified period of time, usually
a year
11© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Gross Domestic Product
• Nominal GDP
–GDP in current dollars
–Calculated by valuing all outputs at
current prices
• Real GDP
–Calculated by valuing outputs of different
years at common prices
–Better measure than nominal GDP of
changes in total production
12© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Gross Domestic Product
• GDP - particular year
–Add up money value of things
–Goods and services
• Produced within the year
–Final goods and services
–Production: geographic boundaries of U.S.
–Organized markets
13© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Gross Domestic Product
• Final goods and services
–Purchased by their ultimate users
• Intermediate good - purchased
–For resale
–For use in producing another good
14© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Gross Domestic Product
• Limitations of GDP
–Not a measure of the nation’s economic
well-being
–Includes only market activity
–Places no value on leisure
–Counted: “Bads” and “Goods”
–Ecological costs are not netted out of the
GDP
15© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• U.S. economy
–Growth – with fluctuations
• Macroeconomic fluctuations
–Business cycles
• Real GDP per capita
–Ratio of real GDP divided by population
16© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 4
Nominal GDP, Real GDP, and Real GDP per Capita since
1959
17© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 5
The Growth Rate of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product
since 1870
18© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Inflation
–Sustained increase in the general price
level
• Deflation
–Sustained decrease in the general price
level
19© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 6
The Inflation Rate in the United States since 1870
20© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• The Great Depression, 1929-1933
–Decline in economic activity
–Rapid deflation
–Production declined 30%
–Business investment ceased
–Unemployment rate
• Increased from 3% to 25%
–World-wide event
21© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• The Great Depression, 1929-1933
–Revolution in economic thought
• Before: economy corrects itself
• After: decrease in aggregate demand
– Monetary & fiscal policy
–Ended: early 1940s
22© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• From WWII to 1973
–Increased government spending
• Increased aggregate demand
• Accidental fiscal policy
• Price controls
• Shortage: consumer goods
–1960s – strong growth
–Vietnam war – increased spending
• Inflation and high unemployment
–Wage and price controls
23© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Fiscal policy
–Government spending and taxation
–Used to steer aggregate demand
• Stagflation
–Inflation
–While economy
• Growing slowly (“stagnating”)
• Or recession
24© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• The Great Stagflation, 1973-1980
–OPEC – 1973 oil prices quadrupled
–Poor harvests
–Recession
• Inflation rate: 12%
• High unemployment
–Stagflation
–Inward shift of aggregate supply
25© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• The Great Stagflation, 1973-1980
–Economy recovered
• Government actions
• Natural economic forces
–1979 – OPEC soaring oil prices
• Stagflation
• Inflation: 16%
26© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 7
The Effects of an Adverse Supply Shift
27
0
Real GDP
PriceLevel
D
D
S0
S0
E
S1
S1
A
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Reaganomics and its aftermath
–Recovery underway
–High inflation
–Federal Reserve
• Monetary policy, High interest rate
• Monetary policy
–Actions – Federal Reserve
• Change interest rates
• Influence aggregate demand
28© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Reaganomics and its aftermath
–1981-1982 recession
–Large budget deficits
–Recovery started 1982-1983
–President Bush
• Inflation
• Deficit-reduction package
• Spike in oil prices
• 1990-1991 recession
29© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Clintonomics: deficit reduction and the
“New Economy”
–Deficit-reduction package, 1993 & 1997
• Tax increase & spending cuts
–Large surplus
–Economy boomed
–Lower inflation
–Aggregate supply curves
• Pushed outward – rapid pace, 1996 – 1998
30© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 8
The Effects of a Favorable Supply Shift
31
0
Real GDP
PriceLevel
D0
D0
S0
S0
D1
D1
E
S1
S1
C
S2
S2
B
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Tax cuts and the Bush economy
–2001 recession, the first in 10 years
–Tax cut 2001
–Budget deficit
–Burst of government spending
• War on terror
–Aggregate demand – shift outward
–Federal Reserve
• Lowered interest rate
32© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Obamanomics and the Great Recession
–January 2009, economy was sinking
• Jobs - disappearing at a rapid pace
–More tax cuts
–A burst of federal spending
–Large-scale aid to state and local
governments
33© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
The Economy on a Roller Coaster
• Obamanomics and the Great Recession
–Bush, Obama administrations, the Fed
• Variety of unprecedented emergency
measures - to rescue the collapsing financial
system
–Summer 2009, the Great Recession was
over
–Economy started growing again
–High unemployment
34© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Macroeconomic Stabilization
• Stabilization policy
–Government programs designed to
prevent or shorten recessions
–And to counteract inflation
• To stabilize prices
35© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Macroeconomic Stabilization
• Combating unemployment
–Increase aggregate demand
• Government - Fiscal policy
– Increase spending and / or cut taxes
• Federal Reserve - Monetary policy
– Lower interest rates
–Increase output
–Reduce unemployment
–Raise prices
36© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 9
Stabilization Policy to Fight Unemployment
37
0
Real GDP
PriceLevel
D0
D0
S0
S0
D1
D1
E
A
Increase in output
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Macroeconomic Stabilization
• Combating inflation
–Decrease aggregate demand
• Government - Fiscal policy
– Cut spending and / or increase taxes
• Federal Reserve - Monetary policy
– Increase interest rates
–Decrease inflation (decrease prices)
–Decrease output
–Increase unemployment
38© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Figure 10
Stabilization Policy to Fight Inflation
39
0
Real GDP
PriceLevel
D0
D0
S
S
D2
D2
E
Decrease
in prices
© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
B
Stabilization policy
• Prewar data
–Fluctuations – unmanaged economy
• Booms & recessions
– “Natural” economic reasons
• Little government intervention
40© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
Stabilization policy
• Postwar data
–Economy - managed by government
policy
• Successfully or unsuccessfully
–Recessions - less severe
–More inflation-prone
41© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.

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Chapter 22 an introduction to macroeconomics

  • 1. PowerPoint Slides prepared by: Andreea CHIRITESCU Eastern Illinois University 1© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. An Introduction to Macroeconomics Where the telescope ends, the microscope begins. Which of the two has the grander view? VICTOR HUGO
  • 2. Drawing a Line • Drawing a line between macroeconomics and microeconomics • Microeconomics –Decisions of individual units • No matter how large • Macroeconomics –Behavior of entire economies • No matter how small –Economic aggregates 2© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 3. Drawing a Line • Aggregation –Combine many individual markets into one overall market • Composition of demand and supply –In various markets –Important for microeconomics issues –Not important for macroeconomics issues • During economic fluctuations –Markets – move up or down together 3© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 4. Drawing a Line • Macroeconomics –Assume most details • Resource allocation and income distribution • Relatively unimportant • Microeconomics –Ignore macroeconomics issues –Focus on individual markets • Allocate resources • Distribute income 4© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 5. Macroeconomics • Aggregate demand curve –Quantity of domestic product that is demanded at each possible value of the price level • Aggregate supply curve –Quantity of domestic product that is supplied at each possible value of the price level 5© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 6. Figure 1 Two interpretations of a shift in the demand curve 6 0 Quantity Price (a) D D 0 Quantity Price (b) Q0 S S P0 E D0 D0 S S P0 D1 D1 P1 E A © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 7. Macroeconomics • Inflation –Sustained increase in the general price level • Recession –A period of time during which the total output of the economy declines • Production falls • People lose jobs –Leftward shift of aggregate demand curve 7© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 8. Figure 2 An Economy Slipping into a Recession 8 0 Domestic Product PriceLevel D0 D0 Q0 S S P0 D2 D2 P2 Q2 E B © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 9. Macroeconomics • Macroeconomists study –Inflation –Recession and unemployment –Economic growth 9© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 10. Figure 3 Economic Growth 10 0 Domestic Product PriceLevel D0 D0 Q0 S0 S0 D1 D1 Q1 E S1 S1 C © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 11. Gross Domestic Product • Gross domestic product (GDP) –Sum of the money values of all final goods and services –Produced in the domestic economy and sold on organized markets –During a specified period of time, usually a year 11© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 12. Gross Domestic Product • Nominal GDP –GDP in current dollars –Calculated by valuing all outputs at current prices • Real GDP –Calculated by valuing outputs of different years at common prices –Better measure than nominal GDP of changes in total production 12© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 13. Gross Domestic Product • GDP - particular year –Add up money value of things –Goods and services • Produced within the year –Final goods and services –Production: geographic boundaries of U.S. –Organized markets 13© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 14. Gross Domestic Product • Final goods and services –Purchased by their ultimate users • Intermediate good - purchased –For resale –For use in producing another good 14© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 15. Gross Domestic Product • Limitations of GDP –Not a measure of the nation’s economic well-being –Includes only market activity –Places no value on leisure –Counted: “Bads” and “Goods” –Ecological costs are not netted out of the GDP 15© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 16. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • U.S. economy –Growth – with fluctuations • Macroeconomic fluctuations –Business cycles • Real GDP per capita –Ratio of real GDP divided by population 16© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 17. Figure 4 Nominal GDP, Real GDP, and Real GDP per Capita since 1959 17© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 18. Figure 5 The Growth Rate of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product since 1870 18© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 19. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Inflation –Sustained increase in the general price level • Deflation –Sustained decrease in the general price level 19© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 20. Figure 6 The Inflation Rate in the United States since 1870 20© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 21. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • The Great Depression, 1929-1933 –Decline in economic activity –Rapid deflation –Production declined 30% –Business investment ceased –Unemployment rate • Increased from 3% to 25% –World-wide event 21© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 22. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • The Great Depression, 1929-1933 –Revolution in economic thought • Before: economy corrects itself • After: decrease in aggregate demand – Monetary & fiscal policy –Ended: early 1940s 22© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 23. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • From WWII to 1973 –Increased government spending • Increased aggregate demand • Accidental fiscal policy • Price controls • Shortage: consumer goods –1960s – strong growth –Vietnam war – increased spending • Inflation and high unemployment –Wage and price controls 23© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 24. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Fiscal policy –Government spending and taxation –Used to steer aggregate demand • Stagflation –Inflation –While economy • Growing slowly (“stagnating”) • Or recession 24© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 25. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • The Great Stagflation, 1973-1980 –OPEC – 1973 oil prices quadrupled –Poor harvests –Recession • Inflation rate: 12% • High unemployment –Stagflation –Inward shift of aggregate supply 25© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 26. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • The Great Stagflation, 1973-1980 –Economy recovered • Government actions • Natural economic forces –1979 – OPEC soaring oil prices • Stagflation • Inflation: 16% 26© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 27. Figure 7 The Effects of an Adverse Supply Shift 27 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D D S0 S0 E S1 S1 A © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 28. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Reaganomics and its aftermath –Recovery underway –High inflation –Federal Reserve • Monetary policy, High interest rate • Monetary policy –Actions – Federal Reserve • Change interest rates • Influence aggregate demand 28© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 29. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Reaganomics and its aftermath –1981-1982 recession –Large budget deficits –Recovery started 1982-1983 –President Bush • Inflation • Deficit-reduction package • Spike in oil prices • 1990-1991 recession 29© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 30. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Clintonomics: deficit reduction and the “New Economy” –Deficit-reduction package, 1993 & 1997 • Tax increase & spending cuts –Large surplus –Economy boomed –Lower inflation –Aggregate supply curves • Pushed outward – rapid pace, 1996 – 1998 30© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 31. Figure 8 The Effects of a Favorable Supply Shift 31 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D0 D0 S0 S0 D1 D1 E S1 S1 C S2 S2 B © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 32. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Tax cuts and the Bush economy –2001 recession, the first in 10 years –Tax cut 2001 –Budget deficit –Burst of government spending • War on terror –Aggregate demand – shift outward –Federal Reserve • Lowered interest rate 32© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 33. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Obamanomics and the Great Recession –January 2009, economy was sinking • Jobs - disappearing at a rapid pace –More tax cuts –A burst of federal spending –Large-scale aid to state and local governments 33© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 34. The Economy on a Roller Coaster • Obamanomics and the Great Recession –Bush, Obama administrations, the Fed • Variety of unprecedented emergency measures - to rescue the collapsing financial system –Summer 2009, the Great Recession was over –Economy started growing again –High unemployment 34© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 35. Macroeconomic Stabilization • Stabilization policy –Government programs designed to prevent or shorten recessions –And to counteract inflation • To stabilize prices 35© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 36. Macroeconomic Stabilization • Combating unemployment –Increase aggregate demand • Government - Fiscal policy – Increase spending and / or cut taxes • Federal Reserve - Monetary policy – Lower interest rates –Increase output –Reduce unemployment –Raise prices 36© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 37. Figure 9 Stabilization Policy to Fight Unemployment 37 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D0 D0 S0 S0 D1 D1 E A Increase in output © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 38. Macroeconomic Stabilization • Combating inflation –Decrease aggregate demand • Government - Fiscal policy – Cut spending and / or increase taxes • Federal Reserve - Monetary policy – Increase interest rates –Decrease inflation (decrease prices) –Decrease output –Increase unemployment 38© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 39. Figure 10 Stabilization Policy to Fight Inflation 39 0 Real GDP PriceLevel D0 D0 S S D2 D2 E Decrease in prices © 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. B
  • 40. Stabilization policy • Prewar data –Fluctuations – unmanaged economy • Booms & recessions – “Natural” economic reasons • Little government intervention 40© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 41. Stabilization policy • Postwar data –Economy - managed by government policy • Successfully or unsuccessfully –Recessions - less severe –More inflation-prone 41© 2012 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.