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The enabling role of ICT to improve productivity and Industrial Competitiveness Dr. Hasan ALKAS ICT for Competitiveness and Innovation IIC  Telecoms and Media Forum,  Brussels 25 March 2009
Economic forecast 2050 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Projected relative size of economies in 2005 and 2050   Note:  relative sizes expressed as percentage of their sum in 2005 and 2050, respectively. GDPs are expressed in PPP terms. EU-5: sum of Germany, UK, France, Italy and Spain. Source:  calculation using projection results by PriceWaterhouseCoopers (2006) "The World in 2050. How big will the major emerging market economies get and how can the  OECD  compete?" March 2006;  Competitiveness Report (2007).
Impacts of the crisis on manufacturing Source : Eurostat ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Manufacturing production growth rate 1991-2008 - 12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 1990m12 1991m06 1991m12 1992m06 1992m12 1993m06 1993m12 1994m06 1994m12 1995m06 1995m12 1996m06 1996m12 1997m06 1997m12 1998m06 1998m12 1999m06 1999m12 2000m06 2000m12 2001m06 2001m12 2002m06 2002m12 2003m06 2003m12 2004m06 2004m12 2005m06 2005m12 2006m06 2006m12 2007m06 2007m12 2008m06 2008m12 sharp decline in last quarter 2008
Impacts of the crisis on exports Source : Eurostat and  OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008. ,[object Object],[object Object],Extra-EU Export Value Growth Scientific and other instruments Chemicals & chemical products -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Other transport equipment Electrical machinery and apparatus n.e.c. Publishing & printing Machinery & equipment n.e.c. Food & beverages Leather Fabricated metal products Wearing apparel EU manufacturing Wood & of products of wood Other non-metallic mineral products Basic metals Furniture; manufacturing n.e.c. Rubber & plastic products Textiles Office machinery & computers Pulp, paper & paper products Motor vehicles Radio, TV and communication equipment Coke & refined petroleum average growth 2001-6 average growth 2007 data Nov-Dec 2008
ICT trade balance in the EU Source : Eurostat and  OECD Information Technology Outlook 2008. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ICT Trade Balance in the EU 15
The competitiveness of the EU ICT sector Competitiveness depends on firms performance, but also on the industrial policy framework Strength ICT Competitiveness ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Weakness
Conceptual framework for the analysis ICT competitiveness   A simplified method to strategically assess industrial competitiveness policies by forward-looking and backward induction… Theory of Industrial Organisation / Microeconomics as analytical tool Structural and strategic entry barriers Market failure, aggravated by  financial crisis = Legal entry barriers  Industrial competitiveness Policies  =>
The role of ICT for productivity growth Source:  e-Business W@tch  (Survey 2007). ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Enabling Role of ICT for Innovation Source:  e-Business W@tch  (Survey 2007)
The Key Relevance of ICT at a glance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],EU ICT Sector Relevance of ICT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ICT as General Purpose Technology  *Study by the IT and Innovation Foundation
Due to the economic crises industrial competitiveness policies gains interest ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ICT-related Industrial policy framework Industrial Policy   Communication COM (2005) and mid-term Review (2007) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],A Task Force for the ICT sector  Policy recommendations What is next (?)
Future research trends… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Value adding enabling Role  Technology-Intensity Capital Intensity  Economic Potential Performance Indicators to assess enabling role and importance of ICT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Economic criteria
Further Information ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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The Enabling Role Of ICT To Improve Productivity And Industrial Competitiveness

  • 1. The enabling role of ICT to improve productivity and Industrial Competitiveness Dr. Hasan ALKAS ICT for Competitiveness and Innovation IIC Telecoms and Media Forum, Brussels 25 March 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Conceptual framework for the analysis ICT competitiveness A simplified method to strategically assess industrial competitiveness policies by forward-looking and backward induction… Theory of Industrial Organisation / Microeconomics as analytical tool Structural and strategic entry barriers Market failure, aggravated by financial crisis = Legal entry barriers  Industrial competitiveness Policies =>
  • 8.
  • 9. The Enabling Role of ICT for Innovation Source: e-Business W@tch (Survey 2007)
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
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  • 14.