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                                                   Mostly sunny 53/36 • Tomorrow: Rain 45/39 • details, b8                                   TUESDAY, MARCH 29 , 2011
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            washingtonpost.com • 75




                                         Price tag
                                         soars on
                                         preterm
                                         birth drug
                                             FDA-approved
                                           compound goes from
                                           $20 to $1,500 a dose
                                                   BY   R OB S TEIN

                                            When a drug to prevent babies
                                         from being born too early won
                                         federal approval in February,
                                         many doctors, pregnant women
                                         and others cheered the step as a
                                         major advance against a heart-



Comm 488                                 breaking tragedy.                                                                                                                                                                                   ARIS MESSINIS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE VIA GETTY IMAGE

                                            Then they saw the price tag.        Libyan rebels walk past a burning multi-rocket launcher at sunset outside the oil-rich town of Ras Lanuf as they press on in their mission to topple leader Moammar Gaddafi.




                                                                                Obama: U.S. had responsibility to act
                                            The list price for the drug,
                                         Makena, turned out to be a
                                         stunning $1,500 per dose. That’s
                                         for a drug that must be injected
                                         every week for about 20 weeks,
                                         meaning it will cost about



Washington Post
                                         $30,000 per at-risk pregnancy. If
                                         every eligible American woman              INTERVENTION
                                         were to get Makena, the nation’s                                                                                                                                   INTERVENTION IN LIBYA DEFENDED
                                         bloated annual health-care tab
                                         would swell by more than $4 bil-
                                                                                    U.S. deploys
                                         lion.
                                            What really infuriates patients
                                                                                     low-flying                                                                                                                  President stresses how he limited involvement
                                         and doctors is that the same
                                         compound has been available for            attack planes                                                                                                                 BY   S COTT W ILSON              sponsibility as a leader and —
                                         years at a fraction of the cost —                                                                                                                                                                         more profoundly — our responsi
                                         about $10 or $20 a shot.                                                                                                                                             President Obama delivered a          bilities to our fellow human be
                                            “It’s outrageous,” said Helain J.          BY G REG J AFFE                                                                                                     broad defense Monday of his             ings under such circumstance
                                         Landy, chairman of obstetrics              AND K AREN D E Y OUNG                                                                                                  decision to intervene in Libya          would have been a betrayal o
                                         and gynecology at Georgetown                                                                                                                                      and of his leadership style, argu-      who we are,” Obama told an


“Campaign 2012: Because it's never       University Hospital. “Raising the
                                         cost of each injection from
                                         around $20 to $1,500 is ludi-
                                         crous.”
                                                                                   The U.S. military dramatically
                                                                                stepped up its assault on Libyan
                                                                                government ground forces over
                                                                                the weekend, launching its first
                                                                                                                                                                                                           ing that the United States has a
                                                                                                                                                                                                           strategic interest in preventing
                                                                                                                                                                                                           the killing of civilians around the
                                                                                                                                                                                                           world and that it must do so in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   audience of mid-career militar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   officers, who remained quiet dur
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ing much of the 27-minute ad
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   dress. “Some nations may be abl
                                            The company that owns Make-         missions with AC-130 flying gun-                                                                                           partnership with other nations.         to turn a blind eye to atrocities in

too early to start thinking about it.”   na, KV Pharmaceutical of St.
                                         Louis, says the price is reason-
                                         able, given that it is spending
                                         more than $200 million to devel-
                                                                                ships and A-10 attack aircraft
                                                                                designed to strike enemy ground
                                                                                troops and supply convoys.
                                                                                   The use of the aircraft, during
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Speaking at the National De-
                                                                                                                                                                                                           fense University, Obama used his
                                                                                                                                                                                                           first televised address since mili-
                                                                                                                                                                                                           tary operations began in Libya
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   other countries. The United
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   States of America is different.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      At the same time, Obam
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   stressed the limits he placed on
                                         op the drug and conduct follow-        days of heavy fighting in which                                                                  YOUSSEF BOUDLAL/REUTERS   nine days ago to outline a moral        the operation, saying he acted
                                         up studies that the Food and           the momentum seemed to swing           A rebel fighter prays along a road in Wadi al Hamra.                                rationale for intervention in civil     only after securing broad inter
                                         Drug Administration demands,           in favor of the rebels, demon-                                                                                             conflicts such as the push under-       national cooperation, kept ou
                                         and because of the savings re-         strated how allied military forces     TURMOIL IN THE MIDDLE EAST                                                          way to topple Libyan leader             U.S. ground forces, and planned
                                         sulting from preventing preterm        have been drawn deeper into the                                                                                            Moammar Gaddafi.                        for a quick transfer of command
                                         births. Through a subsidiary,          chaotic fight in Libya. A mission      Monday’s developments                                                                  Facing accusations that he has       to European allies.
                                         Ther-Rx Corp., the company cre-
                                         ated a program to help women
                                                                                that initially seemed to revolve
                                                                                around establishing a no-fly zone
                                                                                                                      •LIBYA: Rebel forces come under •SYRIA: Securityof protesters in
                                                                                                                      heavy fire as they battle toward gas on thousands
                                                                                                                                                                        forces fire tear                   not explained the United States’
                                                                                                                                                                                                           interest in Libya’s war, Obama
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Those guidelines could dictat
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   how Obama approaches simila
                                         who can’t afford it.                   has become focused on halting          Sirte, the home town of the               the southern city of Daraa, a key         said the nation had a responsibil-      civil conflicts, including the othe
                                            “Ther-Rx is fundamentally           advances by government ground          country’s leader, Moammar                 flash point. President Bashar al-         ity to prevent a mass killing after     popular uprising now recastin
                                         committed to the community of          forces in and around key coastal       Gaddafi. The rebels have now              Assad is expected to address the          Gaddafi pledged to carry out a          much of the Middle East. In th
                                         women, children and families it        cities.                                captured all the territory they lost      nation as early as Tuesday to try to      brutal reprisal campaign against        case of Libya, he said that ex
                                         serves and has been carefully             The AC-130s, which fly low          over the past week. A10                   ease the crisis by lifting a state of     civilians in rebel-held territory.      panding the operation from pro
                                         listening to all stakeholders fol-
                                         lowing the announcement of the
                                                                                and slow over the battlefield and
                                                                                are typically more vulnerable to
                                                                                                                      •   YEMEN: A powerful explosion at
                                                                                                                       a factory making weapons and
                                                                                                                                                                 emergency imposed in 1963. A8
                                                                                                                                                                 •  EGYPT: The country’s military
                                                                                                                                                                                                           He emphasized that the mission
                                                                                                                                                                                                           was undertaken with the United
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   tecting civilians to removin
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Gaddafi from power would frac
                                         list price for Makena,” the com-       enemy fire than fast-moving            ammunition in the country’s south         rulers announce that the country’s        States’ closest allies, and that        ture the coalition of European
                                         pany said in an e-mail.                fighter jets, were deployed only       kills at least 78 people after the        hated emergency law will be lifted        command of the military opera-          and Arab support, leaving th
                                            Critics are challenging that        after a week of sustained coali-       facility is taken over by Islamist        before parliamentary elections            tion will be transferred to NATO        United States to pick up the cost
                                                                                                                       militants and then looted by              scheduled for September. A8               on Wednesday.
                                            makena continued on A18               aircraft continued on A11            residents. A8                                                                          “To brush aside America’s re-             obama continued on A10




                                         Amid reactor crisis, head of Japanese utility vanishes                                                                                                                       An empty gesture
                                            Move, though not
                                                                                                                                                                 power plant.
                                                                                                                                                                    After a short break to recuper-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   even Congress can’t love
                                                                                                                                                                 ate, they said, Shimizu, 66, is back
                                          a first among nation’s                                                                                                 at work directing an emergency                  Lawmakers chip in to cut debt. Two of them.
                                         business elite, draws ire                                                                                               command center on the second
                                                                                                                                                                 floor of Tepco’s central Tokyo                                                    of a second. The governmen
                                                                                                                                                                 headquarters.                              BY   D AVID A . F AHRENTHOLD           burned through their gift in thre
                                              BY   A NDREW H IGGINS                                                                                                 Still, company officials are                                                   beats of a hummingbird’s wing.


                                                                                                                                                                                                           I
                                                                                                                                                                 vague about whether they have                 t sounds like the perfect politi-      The story of this little-used pay
                                         tokyo — In normal times, Masa-                                                                                          actually seen their boss: “I’ll have          cal gesture for the moment.         back program says somethin
                                         taka Shimizu lives in The Tower, a                                                                                      to check on that,” said spokesman             Congress is getting ready for       about the fight Congress is begin
                                         luxury high-rise in the same up-                                                                                        Ryo Shimitsu. Another staffer,            an epic fight over the national         ning. The debt is so huge, and th
                                         scale Tokyo district as the U.S.                                                                                        Hiro Hasegawa, said he’d seen the         debt, and House rules allow mem-        fight so joyless, that even con
                                         Embassy. But he hasn’t been there                                                                                       president regularly but couldn’t          bers to give back a portion of their    gressmen — the masters of th
                                         for more than two weeks, accord-                                                                                        provide details.                          salaries for debt reduction.            empty but attractive gesture —
                                         ing to a doorman.                                                                                                          Vanishing in times of crisis is           Two of them do.                      appear to see little use in this one
                                            The Japanese public hasn’t                                                                                           something of a tradition among               Sometimes, up to three.                 “Even if all members of Con
                                         seen much of him recently either.                                                               CARLOS BARRIA/REUTERS
                                                                                                                                                                 Japan’s industrial and political             Last fall — as the issue of spend-   gress returned their full salaries i
                                         Shimizu, the president of Tokyo        Resigned to a long fight                                                         elite. During Toyota’s recall deba-       ing helped Republicans storm            order to pay off the debt,” it woul
                                         Electric Power Co., or Tepco, the      A woman in Miyagi prefecture contemplates her destroyed home, while at           cle last year, the carmaker’s chief       back to power in the House —            barely make a dent, Rep. Henr
                                         company that owns a haywire            the Fukushima Daiichi plant, attempts to contain radioactive contamination       also went AWOL. “It is very, very         exactly one sitting Republican          Cuellar (Tex.) said in an e-mail.
                                         nuclear power plant 150 miles          stumbled after officials found it had spread into tunnels and soil. A13          sad, but this is normal in Japan,”        and one Democrat chose to dock             Cuellar is a “Blue Dog,” or mor
                                         from the capital, is the most invis-                                                                                    said Yagushi Hirai, the chief edi-        their pay for the cause.                conservative, Democrat, and h
                                         ible — and most reviled — chief        hospital or committed suicide,         cause of overwork after a 9.0-            tor of Shyukan Kinyobi, a weekly             Together,       they      donated    has embraced the debt as a politi
                                         executive in Japan.                    company officials said Monday          magnitude earthquake sent a tsu-          news magazine.                            $2,610.39 that quarter.                 cal issue. He has called for a bal
                                            Amid rumors that Shimizu had        that their boss had suffered an        nami crashing onto his compa-                                                          That’s how much the debt
WaPo general trends for 2012

• The Washington Post is very unbiased in its writing, stating ideas and
  then reminding the public than anything can happen in the next year and
  a half
• Common trends:
  • The battle for the Midwest is changing politics
  • Hispanic voters could be problematic for Republicans
  • Celebrity politics- Trump and Palin
Washington Post’s Republican Field

                                                    “If no one is an immediate frontrunner,
                                                    I think you might see a whole new cast
                                                    of Republican candidates within the
                Mike Huckabee                       next couple months,” said DeMint, who
                                                    reiterated that he will not run. He
 Sarah Palin                        Bobby Jindal    declined to name anyone but said there
                                                    were potentially good candidates
                                                    among the nation’s Republican
                                                    governors.


  Jeb Bush
                 John Thune
                                   Mitch Daniels




Haley Barbour   Mitt Romney                                      Newt Gingrinch
                                Rick Santorum      Marco Rubio                    Tim Pawlenty
Iowa Caucus

• GOP presidential prospects court Iowa conservatives
• Attack President Obama’s policies
• Gauge the mood of the most conservative wing of the GOP base
• Michele Bachmann lit up the gathering with a rapid-fire denunciation of
  the president
• Most speakers had problems with statement by Indiana Gov. Mitch
   Daniels who has called for a truce on cultural issues
   • Because of the need to focus on what he sees as a looming fiscal
     crisis
Evangelical Voters

• Potential Republican presidential candidates court evangelicals
• Must win evangelical vote to win the Iowa caucus, Rep. nomination
  • Parishioners are listening closely to politicians’ platforms, particularly
    regarding marriage and abortion.
• Tougher competition in Iowa for candidates like Huckabee
  • Potential candidates Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Sarah Palin also have
    appeal to evangelical voters
Other GOP Themes

• Who is signing on with who
  • Aids that are signing on signal who will run
     • CAUTION: No formal decisions yet
• Obama/ Economy and Government
• Need for a unifier
Obama coverage in WaPo

• Deficit problems - Obama’s misleading claim
• Losing young voter interest
   • White House seeks to reconnect with young voters
• In a generic PEW poll, Obama runs ahead
   • However, there’s still a year and a half to go, and 16% undecided.
• The same poll also says Romney and Huckabee are leading Rep.
  candidates
   • Romney: older, wealthier Republicans
   • Huckabee: Evangelical Protestants
• Libya
Politico   FiveThirtyEight   Hot Air
Politico

• Cautious, broad approach to the Republican field, with an emphasis on
  states with early primaries
  • Cover many candidates in a “Candidate Hub” on the front of their “2012 LIVE”
    page. Under each name, Politico adds the most recent public event on their
    schedule, and then lists recent stories about the potential candidate.
  • “Early State Insider” pages for Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and
    Nevada
• Covers recent statements from potential candidates, fundraising efforts
  and trips to early states, as well as gaffs or insider drama
• Obama covered as a candidate differs from coverage as president -
  2012 LIVE looks only at fundraising and polls
  • Obama also covered through attacks made by potential Republican candidates
Politico’s Republican Field
                                                                    Sarah Palin

                                                  Tim Pawlenty
                                                                                     Donald Trump
                Mike Huckabee


 Rudy Guliani
                                 Rick Santorum

                                                                     Ron Paul


                                                  Jon Huntsman
                                                                                     Haley Barbour
                Newt Gingrinch

 Mitt Romney
                                  Chris Cristie                  Michelle Bachmann




                                                                                      Mitch Daniels
                Herman Cain                       Gary Johnson    George Pataki
 Jim DeMint                       John Bolton
FiveThirtyEight

•Cautious coverage of polling data and national trends
   •There’s Nothing Special about Ohio
   •Models Can Be Superficial in Politics, Too
•“Reads and Reactions” includes a weekly summary of posts, and
 responses to them by other bloggers and news organizations,
 supporting the community of online news
• Talks about candidates potential in early states - Iowa, New Hampshire,
  Nevada - focuses on Romney, Palin, Pawlenty as frontrunners
   • Uses Intrade to assess possibility of frontrunners winning Iowa - The
     Talented Mr. Romney
• Coverage of Obama looks at impact of recent administration decisions
  on polling data
   • Libya
In Coverage of 2012
Candidates, the Blogs and
the Beltway Divide

   “The next question is
whether there is any predictive
power in this information at this
early stage, when many other
indicators, like polls, remain
relatively unreliable. And if so,
should a candidate prefer to be
mentioned more often in the
blogosphere or in the traditional
media? Is one of these metrics
a leading indicator and the
other a lagging one?”
Hot Air

• Less coverage of 2012 than Politico or FiveThirtyEight, dominant theme
  is that Obama is wrong
• Headlines at the top, Hot Links to many other conservative oriented
  blogs and news sources
• Reposts and adds commentary to stories from other sources
• Comments on polling data about the large Republican field
    • Gallup: Huckabee leading a broad GOP pack
• Seemingly less focused on Republican field than 538 or Politico -
  instead, mostly a collection of any negative story about Obama.
    • “Obamateurism of the Day”
Analog vs Digital

• How does the tone differ between online and analog news?
  • FiveThirtyEight and Hot Air have a more casual tone than Washington Post or
    Politico - talk directly to readers and encourage comments and feedback
  • Tone is not necessarily a reflection of online or analog, so much as the goal of the
    organization

• What is more or less compelling about the approach of the online sources?
  • Ability to start a conversation - both between readers and across blogs

• If you were a candidate, where would you want to focus your efforts?
  • Blogs are more likely to attract niche readers
     • Washington “insiders” on Politico, statistics nerds on 538, conservative base
       on Hot Air
  • “Analog” news may still reach a greater number of swing voters
  • However, a good blog post can generate more news than a single news story
     • Reblogs with reactions and added commentary

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488 Project

  • 1. ABCDE Mostly sunny 53/36 • Tomorrow: Rain 45/39 • details, b8 TUESDAY, MARCH 29 , 2011 K MD DC VA M2 V1 V2 V3 V washingtonpost.com • 75 Price tag soars on preterm birth drug FDA-approved compound goes from $20 to $1,500 a dose BY R OB S TEIN When a drug to prevent babies from being born too early won federal approval in February, many doctors, pregnant women and others cheered the step as a major advance against a heart- Comm 488 breaking tragedy. ARIS MESSINIS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE VIA GETTY IMAGE Then they saw the price tag. Libyan rebels walk past a burning multi-rocket launcher at sunset outside the oil-rich town of Ras Lanuf as they press on in their mission to topple leader Moammar Gaddafi. Obama: U.S. had responsibility to act The list price for the drug, Makena, turned out to be a stunning $1,500 per dose. That’s for a drug that must be injected every week for about 20 weeks, meaning it will cost about Washington Post $30,000 per at-risk pregnancy. If every eligible American woman INTERVENTION were to get Makena, the nation’s INTERVENTION IN LIBYA DEFENDED bloated annual health-care tab would swell by more than $4 bil- U.S. deploys lion. What really infuriates patients low-flying President stresses how he limited involvement and doctors is that the same compound has been available for attack planes BY S COTT W ILSON sponsibility as a leader and — years at a fraction of the cost — more profoundly — our responsi about $10 or $20 a shot. President Obama delivered a bilities to our fellow human be “It’s outrageous,” said Helain J. BY G REG J AFFE broad defense Monday of his ings under such circumstance Landy, chairman of obstetrics AND K AREN D E Y OUNG decision to intervene in Libya would have been a betrayal o and gynecology at Georgetown and of his leadership style, argu- who we are,” Obama told an “Campaign 2012: Because it's never University Hospital. “Raising the cost of each injection from around $20 to $1,500 is ludi- crous.” The U.S. military dramatically stepped up its assault on Libyan government ground forces over the weekend, launching its first ing that the United States has a strategic interest in preventing the killing of civilians around the world and that it must do so in audience of mid-career militar officers, who remained quiet dur ing much of the 27-minute ad dress. “Some nations may be abl The company that owns Make- missions with AC-130 flying gun- partnership with other nations. to turn a blind eye to atrocities in too early to start thinking about it.” na, KV Pharmaceutical of St. Louis, says the price is reason- able, given that it is spending more than $200 million to devel- ships and A-10 attack aircraft designed to strike enemy ground troops and supply convoys. The use of the aircraft, during Speaking at the National De- fense University, Obama used his first televised address since mili- tary operations began in Libya other countries. The United States of America is different.” At the same time, Obam stressed the limits he placed on op the drug and conduct follow- days of heavy fighting in which YOUSSEF BOUDLAL/REUTERS nine days ago to outline a moral the operation, saying he acted up studies that the Food and the momentum seemed to swing A rebel fighter prays along a road in Wadi al Hamra. rationale for intervention in civil only after securing broad inter Drug Administration demands, in favor of the rebels, demon- conflicts such as the push under- national cooperation, kept ou and because of the savings re- strated how allied military forces TURMOIL IN THE MIDDLE EAST way to topple Libyan leader U.S. ground forces, and planned sulting from preventing preterm have been drawn deeper into the Moammar Gaddafi. for a quick transfer of command births. Through a subsidiary, chaotic fight in Libya. A mission Monday’s developments Facing accusations that he has to European allies. Ther-Rx Corp., the company cre- ated a program to help women that initially seemed to revolve around establishing a no-fly zone •LIBYA: Rebel forces come under •SYRIA: Securityof protesters in heavy fire as they battle toward gas on thousands forces fire tear not explained the United States’ interest in Libya’s war, Obama Those guidelines could dictat how Obama approaches simila who can’t afford it. has become focused on halting Sirte, the home town of the the southern city of Daraa, a key said the nation had a responsibil- civil conflicts, including the othe “Ther-Rx is fundamentally advances by government ground country’s leader, Moammar flash point. President Bashar al- ity to prevent a mass killing after popular uprising now recastin committed to the community of forces in and around key coastal Gaddafi. The rebels have now Assad is expected to address the Gaddafi pledged to carry out a much of the Middle East. In th women, children and families it cities. captured all the territory they lost nation as early as Tuesday to try to brutal reprisal campaign against case of Libya, he said that ex serves and has been carefully The AC-130s, which fly low over the past week. A10 ease the crisis by lifting a state of civilians in rebel-held territory. panding the operation from pro listening to all stakeholders fol- lowing the announcement of the and slow over the battlefield and are typically more vulnerable to • YEMEN: A powerful explosion at a factory making weapons and emergency imposed in 1963. A8 • EGYPT: The country’s military He emphasized that the mission was undertaken with the United tecting civilians to removin Gaddafi from power would frac list price for Makena,” the com- enemy fire than fast-moving ammunition in the country’s south rulers announce that the country’s States’ closest allies, and that ture the coalition of European pany said in an e-mail. fighter jets, were deployed only kills at least 78 people after the hated emergency law will be lifted command of the military opera- and Arab support, leaving th Critics are challenging that after a week of sustained coali- facility is taken over by Islamist before parliamentary elections tion will be transferred to NATO United States to pick up the cost militants and then looted by scheduled for September. A8 on Wednesday. makena continued on A18 aircraft continued on A11 residents. A8 “To brush aside America’s re- obama continued on A10 Amid reactor crisis, head of Japanese utility vanishes An empty gesture Move, though not power plant. After a short break to recuper- even Congress can’t love ate, they said, Shimizu, 66, is back a first among nation’s at work directing an emergency Lawmakers chip in to cut debt. Two of them. business elite, draws ire command center on the second floor of Tepco’s central Tokyo of a second. The governmen headquarters. BY D AVID A . F AHRENTHOLD burned through their gift in thre BY A NDREW H IGGINS Still, company officials are beats of a hummingbird’s wing. I vague about whether they have t sounds like the perfect politi- The story of this little-used pay tokyo — In normal times, Masa- actually seen their boss: “I’ll have cal gesture for the moment. back program says somethin taka Shimizu lives in The Tower, a to check on that,” said spokesman Congress is getting ready for about the fight Congress is begin luxury high-rise in the same up- Ryo Shimitsu. Another staffer, an epic fight over the national ning. The debt is so huge, and th scale Tokyo district as the U.S. Hiro Hasegawa, said he’d seen the debt, and House rules allow mem- fight so joyless, that even con Embassy. But he hasn’t been there president regularly but couldn’t bers to give back a portion of their gressmen — the masters of th for more than two weeks, accord- provide details. salaries for debt reduction. empty but attractive gesture — ing to a doorman. Vanishing in times of crisis is Two of them do. appear to see little use in this one The Japanese public hasn’t something of a tradition among Sometimes, up to three. “Even if all members of Con seen much of him recently either. CARLOS BARRIA/REUTERS Japan’s industrial and political Last fall — as the issue of spend- gress returned their full salaries i Shimizu, the president of Tokyo Resigned to a long fight elite. During Toyota’s recall deba- ing helped Republicans storm order to pay off the debt,” it woul Electric Power Co., or Tepco, the A woman in Miyagi prefecture contemplates her destroyed home, while at cle last year, the carmaker’s chief back to power in the House — barely make a dent, Rep. Henr company that owns a haywire the Fukushima Daiichi plant, attempts to contain radioactive contamination also went AWOL. “It is very, very exactly one sitting Republican Cuellar (Tex.) said in an e-mail. nuclear power plant 150 miles stumbled after officials found it had spread into tunnels and soil. A13 sad, but this is normal in Japan,” and one Democrat chose to dock Cuellar is a “Blue Dog,” or mor from the capital, is the most invis- said Yagushi Hirai, the chief edi- their pay for the cause. conservative, Democrat, and h ible — and most reviled — chief hospital or committed suicide, cause of overwork after a 9.0- tor of Shyukan Kinyobi, a weekly Together, they donated has embraced the debt as a politi executive in Japan. company officials said Monday magnitude earthquake sent a tsu- news magazine. $2,610.39 that quarter. cal issue. He has called for a bal Amid rumors that Shimizu had that their boss had suffered an nami crashing onto his compa- That’s how much the debt
  • 2. WaPo general trends for 2012 • The Washington Post is very unbiased in its writing, stating ideas and then reminding the public than anything can happen in the next year and a half • Common trends: • The battle for the Midwest is changing politics • Hispanic voters could be problematic for Republicans • Celebrity politics- Trump and Palin
  • 3. Washington Post’s Republican Field “If no one is an immediate frontrunner, I think you might see a whole new cast of Republican candidates within the Mike Huckabee next couple months,” said DeMint, who reiterated that he will not run. He Sarah Palin Bobby Jindal declined to name anyone but said there were potentially good candidates among the nation’s Republican governors. Jeb Bush John Thune Mitch Daniels Haley Barbour Mitt Romney Newt Gingrinch Rick Santorum Marco Rubio Tim Pawlenty
  • 4. Iowa Caucus • GOP presidential prospects court Iowa conservatives • Attack President Obama’s policies • Gauge the mood of the most conservative wing of the GOP base • Michele Bachmann lit up the gathering with a rapid-fire denunciation of the president • Most speakers had problems with statement by Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels who has called for a truce on cultural issues • Because of the need to focus on what he sees as a looming fiscal crisis
  • 5. Evangelical Voters • Potential Republican presidential candidates court evangelicals • Must win evangelical vote to win the Iowa caucus, Rep. nomination • Parishioners are listening closely to politicians’ platforms, particularly regarding marriage and abortion. • Tougher competition in Iowa for candidates like Huckabee • Potential candidates Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Sarah Palin also have appeal to evangelical voters
  • 6. Other GOP Themes • Who is signing on with who • Aids that are signing on signal who will run • CAUTION: No formal decisions yet • Obama/ Economy and Government • Need for a unifier
  • 7. Obama coverage in WaPo • Deficit problems - Obama’s misleading claim • Losing young voter interest • White House seeks to reconnect with young voters • In a generic PEW poll, Obama runs ahead • However, there’s still a year and a half to go, and 16% undecided. • The same poll also says Romney and Huckabee are leading Rep. candidates • Romney: older, wealthier Republicans • Huckabee: Evangelical Protestants • Libya
  • 8. Politico FiveThirtyEight Hot Air
  • 9. Politico • Cautious, broad approach to the Republican field, with an emphasis on states with early primaries • Cover many candidates in a “Candidate Hub” on the front of their “2012 LIVE” page. Under each name, Politico adds the most recent public event on their schedule, and then lists recent stories about the potential candidate. • “Early State Insider” pages for Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada • Covers recent statements from potential candidates, fundraising efforts and trips to early states, as well as gaffs or insider drama • Obama covered as a candidate differs from coverage as president - 2012 LIVE looks only at fundraising and polls • Obama also covered through attacks made by potential Republican candidates
  • 10. Politico’s Republican Field Sarah Palin Tim Pawlenty Donald Trump Mike Huckabee Rudy Guliani Rick Santorum Ron Paul Jon Huntsman Haley Barbour Newt Gingrinch Mitt Romney Chris Cristie Michelle Bachmann Mitch Daniels Herman Cain Gary Johnson George Pataki Jim DeMint John Bolton
  • 11. FiveThirtyEight •Cautious coverage of polling data and national trends •There’s Nothing Special about Ohio •Models Can Be Superficial in Politics, Too •“Reads and Reactions” includes a weekly summary of posts, and responses to them by other bloggers and news organizations, supporting the community of online news • Talks about candidates potential in early states - Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada - focuses on Romney, Palin, Pawlenty as frontrunners • Uses Intrade to assess possibility of frontrunners winning Iowa - The Talented Mr. Romney • Coverage of Obama looks at impact of recent administration decisions on polling data • Libya
  • 12. In Coverage of 2012 Candidates, the Blogs and the Beltway Divide “The next question is whether there is any predictive power in this information at this early stage, when many other indicators, like polls, remain relatively unreliable. And if so, should a candidate prefer to be mentioned more often in the blogosphere or in the traditional media? Is one of these metrics a leading indicator and the other a lagging one?”
  • 13. Hot Air • Less coverage of 2012 than Politico or FiveThirtyEight, dominant theme is that Obama is wrong • Headlines at the top, Hot Links to many other conservative oriented blogs and news sources • Reposts and adds commentary to stories from other sources • Comments on polling data about the large Republican field • Gallup: Huckabee leading a broad GOP pack • Seemingly less focused on Republican field than 538 or Politico - instead, mostly a collection of any negative story about Obama. • “Obamateurism of the Day”
  • 14. Analog vs Digital • How does the tone differ between online and analog news? • FiveThirtyEight and Hot Air have a more casual tone than Washington Post or Politico - talk directly to readers and encourage comments and feedback • Tone is not necessarily a reflection of online or analog, so much as the goal of the organization • What is more or less compelling about the approach of the online sources? • Ability to start a conversation - both between readers and across blogs • If you were a candidate, where would you want to focus your efforts? • Blogs are more likely to attract niche readers • Washington “insiders” on Politico, statistics nerds on 538, conservative base on Hot Air • “Analog” news may still reach a greater number of swing voters • However, a good blog post can generate more news than a single news story • Reblogs with reactions and added commentary

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