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Current	
  Wards	
  



Current	
            total	
        %	
  dev	
   minority	
   %	
  minority	
  
   1	
            18,932	
             6.4%	
      3,372	
           17.8%	
  
   2	
            17,863	
             0.4%	
      3,230	
           18.1%	
  
   3	
            23,265	
          30.7%	
        4,899	
           21.1%	
  
   4	
            16,668	
          -­‐6.3%	
      5,206	
           31.2%	
  
   5	
            16,161	
          -­‐9.2%	
      2,734	
           16.9%	
  
   6	
            13,880	
       -­‐22.0%	
        2,720	
           19.6%	
  
 total	
        106,769	
                         22,161	
           20.8%	
  
                    9,385	
         30.7%	
        2,486	
           14.3%	
  
              max-­‐min	
   max	
  %dev	
   max-­‐min	
   max-­‐min	
  
Council	
  RedistricCng	
  Principles	
  
•  Balance	
  populaCon	
  among	
  wards	
  based	
  on	
  
   2010	
  populaCon	
  (based	
  on	
  past	
  decade,	
  this	
  
   would	
  result	
  in	
  2012	
  Ward	
  3	
  popula9on	
  high	
  
   by	
  6%)	
  
•  Make	
  wards	
  compact	
  and	
  conCguous	
  
•  Comply	
  with	
  the	
  VoCng	
  Rights	
  Act	
  
•  Protect	
  neighborhood	
  integrity	
  
•  Avoid	
  cracking	
  (diluCon)	
  and	
  packing	
  (over-­‐
   concentraCon)	
  of	
  minority	
  and	
  low	
  income	
  	
  
   voters	
  
Other	
  RedistricCng	
  Principles	
  
•  Minimize	
  confusion	
  
•  Change	
  as	
  liTle	
  as	
  possible,	
  consistent	
  with	
  
   principles	
  
•  Follow	
  logical	
  boundaries	
  (rivers,	
  freeways,	
  
   and	
  other	
  barriers	
  to	
  interacCon	
  
•  Balance	
  the	
  inconvenience	
  
OpCon	
  2	
  
OpCon	
  2	
  
OpCon	
  2	
  

opCon	
  2	
              1	
         2	
        3	
         4	
        5	
         6	
      total	
  
total	
            17,433	
   18,199	
   18,100	
   17,575	
   17,484	
   17,978	
   106,769	
              766	
  
%	
  dev	
         -­‐2.03%	
   2.27%	
   1.71%	
   -­‐1.24%	
   -­‐1.75%	
   1.03%	
                    2.27%	
  
nhwa	
             14,829	
   14,923	
   14,327	
   11,788	
   14,336	
   14,405	
   84,608	
  
minority	
          2,604	
   3,276	
   3,773	
   5,787	
   3,148	
   3,573	
   22,161	
                 3,183	
  
%	
  min	
          14.9%	
   18.0%	
   20.8%	
   32.9%	
   18.0%	
   19.9%	
               20.8%	
   18.0%	
  
moved	
  in	
          438	
   1,022	
           0	
   1,937	
   1,323	
   4,124	
          8,844	
  
moved	
  out	
      1,937	
       686	
   5,165	
   1,030	
             0	
       26	
      8,844	
  
total	
  
change	
            2,375	
   1,708	
   5,165	
   2,967	
   1,323	
   4,150	
               8,844	
   8.28%	
  
OpCon	
  5	
  
OpCon	
  5	
  
OpCon	
  5	
  

opCon	
  5	
                   1	
            2	
           3	
           4	
            5	
            6	
       total	
   measure	
  

total	
               17,629	
   17,925	
   17,774	
   17,794	
   17,738	
   17,909	
   106,769	
                               296	
  

%	
  dev	
            -­‐0.93%	
       0.73%	
   -­‐0.12%	
         0.00%	
   -­‐0.32%	
         0.64%	
                     0.93%	
  

nhwa	
                15,074	
   14,727	
   14,118	
   11,848	
   14,594	
   14,247	
                           84,608	
  

minority	
              2,555	
        3,198	
        3,656	
       5,946	
       3,144	
        3,662	
        22,161	
      3,391	
  

%	
  min	
             14.5%	
         17.8%	
        20.6%	
       33.4%	
       17.7%	
        20.4%	
                     18.9%	
  

moved	
  in	
              748	
          659	
             0	
     2,192	
       1,718	
        4,450	
         9,767	
  

moved	
  out	
          2,051	
           597	
       5,491	
       1,066	
          141	
          421	
        9,767	
  

total	
  change	
       2,799	
        1,256	
        5,491	
       3,258	
       1,859	
        4,871	
         9,767	
     9.15%	
  
OpCon	
  1	
  
OpCon	
  1	
  
OpCon	
  1	
  

opCon	
  1	
                 1	
           2	
            3	
           4	
            5	
           6	
       total	
  measure	
  
total	
               18,078	
   17,984	
   17,292	
   17,820	
   17,527	
   18,068	
   106,769	
                            786	
  
%	
  dev	
              1.6%	
        1.1%	
       -­‐2.8%	
       0.1%	
       -­‐1.5%	
       1.5%	
                    2.83%	
  
nhwa	
                15,517	
   14,703	
   14,305	
   11,799	
   14,699	
   13,585	
                        84,608	
  
minority	
             2,561	
       3,281	
       2,987	
        6,021	
       2,828	
        4,483	
       22,161	
      3,460	
  
%	
  min	
            14.2%	
   18.2%	
   17.3%	
   33.8%	
   16.1%	
   24.8%	
                              20.8%	
      19.6%	
  
moved	
  in	
          2,082	
       2,052	
              0	
     2,936	
       2,040	
        3,963	
       13,073	
  
moved	
  out	
         2,936	
       1,931	
       5,748	
        1,784	
          674	
             0	
     13,073	
  
total	
  change	
      5,018	
       3,983	
       5,748	
        4,720	
       2,714	
        3,963	
       13,073	
   12.24%	
  
OpCon	
  3	
  
OpCon	
  3	
  
OpCon	
  3	
  

opCon	
  3	
                 1	
           2	
           3	
           4	
           5	
           6	
       total	
   measure	
  

total	
               17,876	
   17,690	
   17,981	
   17,515	
   17,968	
   17,739	
   106,769	
                          466	
  

%	
  dev	
            0.46%	
   -­‐0.59%	
         1.05%	
   -­‐1.57%	
        0.97%	
   -­‐0.31%	
                     1.57%	
  

nhwa	
                15,250	
   14,718	
   14,645	
   11,565	
   14,878	
   13,552	
                      84,608	
  

minority	
             2,626	
       2,972	
       3,336	
       5,950	
       3,090	
       4,187	
       22,161	
      3,324	
  

%	
  min	
            14.7%	
        16.8%	
       18.6%	
       34.0%	
       17.2%	
       23.6%	
       20.8%	
      19.3%	
  

moved	
  in	
            569	
       2,051	
             0	
     2,143	
       3,359	
       3,859	
       11,981	
  

moved	
  out	
         1,625	
       2,224	
       5,284	
       1,296	
       1,552	
             0	
     11,981	
  

total	
  change	
      2,194	
       4,275	
       5,284	
       3,439	
       4,911	
       3,859	
       11,981	
     11.2%	
  
OpCon	
  4	
  
OpCon	
  4	
  
OpCon	
  4	
  

opCon	
  4	
                  1	
           2	
           3	
           4	
           5	
           6	
       total	
   measure	
  

total	
               17,656	
   17,700	
   17,981	
   17,725	
   17,968	
   17,739	
   106,769	
                           325	
  

%	
  dev	
            -­‐0.78%	
   -­‐0.53%	
       1.05%	
   -­‐0.39%	
        0.97%	
   -­‐0.31%	
                     1.05%	
  

nhwa	
                15,077	
   14,703	
   14,645	
   11,753	
   14,878	
   13,552	
                       84,608	
  

minority	
             2,579	
        2,997	
       3,336	
       5,972	
       3,090	
       4,187	
       22,161	
      3,393	
  

%	
  min	
             14.6%	
        16.9%	
       18.6%	
       33.7%	
       17.2%	
       23.6%	
       20.8%	
      19.1%	
  

moved	
  in	
             349	
       2,240	
             0	
     2,143	
       3,359	
       3,859	
       11,950	
  

moved	
  out	
         1,625	
        2,403	
       5,284	
       1,086	
       1,552	
             0	
     11,950	
  

total	
  change	
      1,974	
        4,643	
       5,284	
       3,229	
       4,911	
       3,859	
       11,950	
     11.2%	
  
OpCon	
  6	
  
OpCon	
  6	
  
OpCon	
  6	
  

opCon	
  6	
                  1	
            2	
           3	
           4	
           5	
           6	
       total	
   measure	
  
total	
               17,419	
   17,573	
   18,089	
   17,879	
   17,806	
   18,003	
   106,769	
                            670	
  
%	
  dev	
             -­‐2.1%	
      -­‐1.2%	
       1.7%	
        0.5%	
        0.1%	
        1.2%	
                    2.11%	
  
nhwa	
                14,901	
   14,350	
   14,631	
   11,901	
   15,054	
   13,771	
                        84,608	
  
minority	
             2,518	
        3,223	
        3,458	
       5,978	
       2,752	
       4,232	
       22,161	
      3,460	
  
%	
  min	
            14.5%	
         18.3%	
        19.1%	
       33.4%	
       15.5%	
       23.5%	
       20.8%	
      19.0%	
  
moved	
  in	
             748	
       2,213	
        2,154	
       2,892	
       2,917	
       6,289	
       17,213	
  
moved	
  out	
         2,261	
        2,503	
        7,330	
       1,681	
       1,272	
       2,166	
       17,213	
  
total	
  change	
      3,009	
        4,716	
        9,484	
       4,573	
       4,189	
       8,455	
       17,213	
   16.12%	
  
Comparison	
  

                                  minority	
        populaCon	
  
OpCon	
     max	
  deviaCon	
       range	
  	
        shiVed	
  
   1	
                2.83%	
        19.6%	
            13,073	
  
   2	
                2.27%	
        18.0%	
             8,844	
  
   3	
                1.57%	
        19.3%	
            11,981	
  
   4	
                1.05%	
        19.1%	
            11,950	
  
   5	
                0.93%	
        18.9%	
             9,767	
  
   6	
                2.11%	
        19.0%	
            17,213	
  

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Rochester ward options

  • 1. Current  Wards   Current   total   %  dev   minority   %  minority   1   18,932   6.4%   3,372   17.8%   2   17,863   0.4%   3,230   18.1%   3   23,265   30.7%   4,899   21.1%   4   16,668   -­‐6.3%   5,206   31.2%   5   16,161   -­‐9.2%   2,734   16.9%   6   13,880   -­‐22.0%   2,720   19.6%   total   106,769   22,161   20.8%   9,385   30.7%   2,486   14.3%   max-­‐min   max  %dev   max-­‐min   max-­‐min  
  • 2. Council  RedistricCng  Principles   •  Balance  populaCon  among  wards  based  on   2010  populaCon  (based  on  past  decade,  this   would  result  in  2012  Ward  3  popula9on  high   by  6%)   •  Make  wards  compact  and  conCguous   •  Comply  with  the  VoCng  Rights  Act   •  Protect  neighborhood  integrity   •  Avoid  cracking  (diluCon)  and  packing  (over-­‐ concentraCon)  of  minority  and  low  income     voters  
  • 3. Other  RedistricCng  Principles   •  Minimize  confusion   •  Change  as  liTle  as  possible,  consistent  with   principles   •  Follow  logical  boundaries  (rivers,  freeways,   and  other  barriers  to  interacCon   •  Balance  the  inconvenience  
  • 6. OpCon  2   opCon  2   1   2   3   4   5   6   total   total   17,433   18,199   18,100   17,575   17,484   17,978   106,769   766   %  dev   -­‐2.03%   2.27%   1.71%   -­‐1.24%   -­‐1.75%   1.03%   2.27%   nhwa   14,829   14,923   14,327   11,788   14,336   14,405   84,608   minority   2,604   3,276   3,773   5,787   3,148   3,573   22,161   3,183   %  min   14.9%   18.0%   20.8%   32.9%   18.0%   19.9%   20.8%   18.0%   moved  in   438   1,022   0   1,937   1,323   4,124   8,844   moved  out   1,937   686   5,165   1,030   0   26   8,844   total   change   2,375   1,708   5,165   2,967   1,323   4,150   8,844   8.28%  
  • 9. OpCon  5   opCon  5   1   2   3   4   5   6   total   measure   total   17,629   17,925   17,774   17,794   17,738   17,909   106,769   296   %  dev   -­‐0.93%   0.73%   -­‐0.12%   0.00%   -­‐0.32%   0.64%   0.93%   nhwa   15,074   14,727   14,118   11,848   14,594   14,247   84,608   minority   2,555   3,198   3,656   5,946   3,144   3,662   22,161   3,391   %  min   14.5%   17.8%   20.6%   33.4%   17.7%   20.4%   18.9%   moved  in   748   659   0   2,192   1,718   4,450   9,767   moved  out   2,051   597   5,491   1,066   141   421   9,767   total  change   2,799   1,256   5,491   3,258   1,859   4,871   9,767   9.15%  
  • 12. OpCon  1   opCon  1   1   2   3   4   5   6   total  measure   total   18,078   17,984   17,292   17,820   17,527   18,068   106,769   786   %  dev   1.6%   1.1%   -­‐2.8%   0.1%   -­‐1.5%   1.5%   2.83%   nhwa   15,517   14,703   14,305   11,799   14,699   13,585   84,608   minority   2,561   3,281   2,987   6,021   2,828   4,483   22,161   3,460   %  min   14.2%   18.2%   17.3%   33.8%   16.1%   24.8%   20.8%   19.6%   moved  in   2,082   2,052   0   2,936   2,040   3,963   13,073   moved  out   2,936   1,931   5,748   1,784   674   0   13,073   total  change   5,018   3,983   5,748   4,720   2,714   3,963   13,073   12.24%  
  • 15. OpCon  3   opCon  3   1   2   3   4   5   6   total   measure   total   17,876   17,690   17,981   17,515   17,968   17,739   106,769   466   %  dev   0.46%   -­‐0.59%   1.05%   -­‐1.57%   0.97%   -­‐0.31%   1.57%   nhwa   15,250   14,718   14,645   11,565   14,878   13,552   84,608   minority   2,626   2,972   3,336   5,950   3,090   4,187   22,161   3,324   %  min   14.7%   16.8%   18.6%   34.0%   17.2%   23.6%   20.8%   19.3%   moved  in   569   2,051   0   2,143   3,359   3,859   11,981   moved  out   1,625   2,224   5,284   1,296   1,552   0   11,981   total  change   2,194   4,275   5,284   3,439   4,911   3,859   11,981   11.2%  
  • 18. OpCon  4   opCon  4   1   2   3   4   5   6   total   measure   total   17,656   17,700   17,981   17,725   17,968   17,739   106,769   325   %  dev   -­‐0.78%   -­‐0.53%   1.05%   -­‐0.39%   0.97%   -­‐0.31%   1.05%   nhwa   15,077   14,703   14,645   11,753   14,878   13,552   84,608   minority   2,579   2,997   3,336   5,972   3,090   4,187   22,161   3,393   %  min   14.6%   16.9%   18.6%   33.7%   17.2%   23.6%   20.8%   19.1%   moved  in   349   2,240   0   2,143   3,359   3,859   11,950   moved  out   1,625   2,403   5,284   1,086   1,552   0   11,950   total  change   1,974   4,643   5,284   3,229   4,911   3,859   11,950   11.2%  
  • 21. OpCon  6   opCon  6   1   2   3   4   5   6   total   measure   total   17,419   17,573   18,089   17,879   17,806   18,003   106,769   670   %  dev   -­‐2.1%   -­‐1.2%   1.7%   0.5%   0.1%   1.2%   2.11%   nhwa   14,901   14,350   14,631   11,901   15,054   13,771   84,608   minority   2,518   3,223   3,458   5,978   2,752   4,232   22,161   3,460   %  min   14.5%   18.3%   19.1%   33.4%   15.5%   23.5%   20.8%   19.0%   moved  in   748   2,213   2,154   2,892   2,917   6,289   17,213   moved  out   2,261   2,503   7,330   1,681   1,272   2,166   17,213   total  change   3,009   4,716   9,484   4,573   4,189   8,455   17,213   16.12%  
  • 22. Comparison   minority   populaCon   OpCon   max  deviaCon   range     shiVed   1   2.83%   19.6%   13,073   2   2.27%   18.0%   8,844   3   1.57%   19.3%   11,981   4   1.05%   19.1%   11,950   5   0.93%   18.9%   9,767   6   2.11%   19.0%   17,213