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Creative Research Practice Assignment 2




Perceived vs. Actual Crime Rates

       WEE, Jieun   BAE, Byoungyoon   LEE, Jueun   KOH, Kyle
Data Selection              Why Crime Data ?


                                    Perceived Crime (more or less crime than the previous year?)




- Americans still perceive crime
  as on the rise



2/3 say crime increasing in U.S.
  as of 2010.




                                                  * Source: Gallup. http://www.gallup.com/poll/144827/americans-perceive-
                                                  crime-rise.aspx
Data Selection               Why Crime Data ? (cont’d)


                                     Perceived Crime (those who described crime as extremely/very
                                    serious)




- Americans still perceive crime
  as on the rise



Americans are much less
  concerned about the crime
  problem in their local area, as
  13% say the crime problem is
  extremely or very serious
  where they live.
                                                   * Source: Gallup. http://www.gallup.com/poll/144827/americans-perceive-
                                                   crime-rise.aspx
Data Selection               Why Crime Data ? (cont’d)


                                     Actual Violent Crime (per 100,000 population)




- Decreasing since the early 90s.



Constant increase until the early
90s, and ever since, constant
decrease in total violent crime
rate per 100,000 population.




                                                                              * Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics.
Data Selection               Why Crime Data ? (cont’d)


                                     Actual Property Crime (per 100,000 population)




- Decreasing since the early 90s.



Constant increase until the 1980,
and constant decrease in total
property crime rate per 100,000
population since the early 90s.



Sudden decrease in the mid 80s.

                                                                             * Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics.
Questioning                Why the Discrepancy ?


                                    A Possible Explanation for the Decrease in Actual Crime Rate

                                    During the 1980s and 1990s, RICO laws were used to convict numerous
- Many other somewhat
                                    high-level mobsters. By the start of the 21st century, the American Mafia
  “seemingly” reasonable
                                    was a shadow of its former self. (RICO: Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations)
  explanations
                                    A Possible Explanation for the Increase in Perceived Crime Rate

                                    Americans' perceptions of crime may also be influenced by their general
Ex)“CSI Effect”
                                    assessments of how things are going in the country. Americans generally
Heavy TV-crime viewers
                                    believe the crime situation to be better when their satisfaction with national
  estimated two and a half times
                                    conditions is high, as in the late 1990s, when the economy was strong, and
  more real-world deaths due to
                                    in the wake of the 9/11 terror attacks, when patriotism and support for
  murder than non-viewers.
                                    political leaders surged.
People’s perceptions also were
  distorted in regards to a
  number of other serious
  crimes. Heavy TV-crime
  viewers consistently
  overestimated the frequency of
  crime in the real world.                                       * Source: Galluo. http://www.gallup.com/poll/1669/General-
                                                                 Mood-Country.aspx
Questioning                Why less concerned about the crime problem in their local area
                                    ?

                                    Demo




- To get some insights for this
question, looking into the crime
data of the States over time
seems necessary.
Thank You

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Group3 crime in the u.s.

  • 1. Creative Research Practice Assignment 2 Perceived vs. Actual Crime Rates WEE, Jieun BAE, Byoungyoon LEE, Jueun KOH, Kyle
  • 2. Data Selection Why Crime Data ?  Perceived Crime (more or less crime than the previous year?) - Americans still perceive crime as on the rise 2/3 say crime increasing in U.S. as of 2010. * Source: Gallup. http://www.gallup.com/poll/144827/americans-perceive- crime-rise.aspx
  • 3. Data Selection Why Crime Data ? (cont’d)  Perceived Crime (those who described crime as extremely/very serious) - Americans still perceive crime as on the rise Americans are much less concerned about the crime problem in their local area, as 13% say the crime problem is extremely or very serious where they live. * Source: Gallup. http://www.gallup.com/poll/144827/americans-perceive- crime-rise.aspx
  • 4. Data Selection Why Crime Data ? (cont’d)  Actual Violent Crime (per 100,000 population) - Decreasing since the early 90s. Constant increase until the early 90s, and ever since, constant decrease in total violent crime rate per 100,000 population. * Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics.
  • 5. Data Selection Why Crime Data ? (cont’d)  Actual Property Crime (per 100,000 population) - Decreasing since the early 90s. Constant increase until the 1980, and constant decrease in total property crime rate per 100,000 population since the early 90s. Sudden decrease in the mid 80s. * Source: Bureau of Justice Statistics.
  • 6. Questioning Why the Discrepancy ?  A Possible Explanation for the Decrease in Actual Crime Rate During the 1980s and 1990s, RICO laws were used to convict numerous - Many other somewhat high-level mobsters. By the start of the 21st century, the American Mafia “seemingly” reasonable was a shadow of its former self. (RICO: Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations) explanations  A Possible Explanation for the Increase in Perceived Crime Rate Americans' perceptions of crime may also be influenced by their general Ex)“CSI Effect” assessments of how things are going in the country. Americans generally Heavy TV-crime viewers believe the crime situation to be better when their satisfaction with national estimated two and a half times conditions is high, as in the late 1990s, when the economy was strong, and more real-world deaths due to in the wake of the 9/11 terror attacks, when patriotism and support for murder than non-viewers. political leaders surged. People’s perceptions also were distorted in regards to a number of other serious crimes. Heavy TV-crime viewers consistently overestimated the frequency of crime in the real world. * Source: Galluo. http://www.gallup.com/poll/1669/General- Mood-Country.aspx
  • 7. Questioning Why less concerned about the crime problem in their local area ?  Demo - To get some insights for this question, looking into the crime data of the States over time seems necessary.

Editor's Notes

  1. There seems to be numerous possible reasons for the discrepancy, thus, seems difficult to simply draw out insights for the question with solely from the crime data we have without looking into other statistics altogether. Hence, we decided to focus on the next question.
  2. 사람들이 흔히 안전하다고 생각하거나 혹은 실제로 crime rate 이 적었던 state 들이 미국 전체에서 차지하는 crime 비율이 시간이 지남에 따라 늘고 있다 ) -> 어쩌면 사람들이 인식하는 “안전한 지역 (state)” 혹은 과거에 crime rate 이 심각하다고 여겨지지 않았던 지역의 치안에 대해 그 동안 많이 신경쓰지 않은 탓이 아닐까 ? Crime rate 이 높았던 지역이거나 그렇다고 인식되는 지역에서는 state 차원에서 crime rate 을 줄이기 위한 노력을 더 많이 해왔기 때문에 그 비중이 감소한 반면 , 방심하고 있던 state 에서는 점점 그 비중이 늘어나는 현상 ..? 어차피 전체 crime number 자체는 미국 전역을 통틀어 보면 감소 추세이긴 하지만 , 그 와중에 원래 낮았던 지역의 비중이 점점 더 높아져서 과거에 더 높았던 지역과 그 비중이 비슷해지는 것은 그만큼 crime rate 이 과거에 낮았던 지역들의 무책임함 ? 혹은 범죄에 대한 방관의 한 모습으로 볼 수 있지 않을까 .. 따라서 그러한 지역도 더 신경써야 된다 이런 마무리 ??