1. World Rare Earths
Report Summary
World demand to rise 7.1% annually through 2015
World demand for rare earths is forecast to expand 7.1 percent per year to 180,000 metric
tons in 2015. In dollar terms, sales are expected to more than triple from $3.0 billion in
2010 to $9.2 billion in 2015. Consumption will be driven by increases in battery alloy,
electronic product, motor vehicle and permanent magnet output. Market growth is expected
to accelerate substantially from the 2005-2010 period, when demand in most nations was
negatively impacted by sharp and unexpected reductions in Chinese export quotas which led
to an exponential rise in rare earths prices.
Permanent magnets to remain largest market
Rare earths demand can be segmented into eight major markets: auto catalysts; battery
alloys; fluid cracking catalysts (FCCs); glass, polishing and ceramics; metal processing;
permanent magnets; phosphors; and other. Permanent magnets are -- and will continue to
be -- the largest rare earths market, both in terms of value and volume. Global demand for
rare earths used in permanent magnets will register both a substantial improvement from
the 2005-2010 period and the strongest rate of growth of any major market in volume
terms. Sales will be fueled by increases in consumer electronics, electric motors, and hybrid
electric and other motor vehicle production. Neodymium iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets, also
known as “neo-magnets,” will account for the vast majority of sales.
Worldwide demand for rare earths used in metal processing applications will exhibit
renewed strength following a period of minimal growth between 2005 and 2010. Sales will
be stimulated by increased levels of global steel production, particularly high-strength steels
and steels with elevated anti-oxidation properties.
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Neodymium, dysprosium to be fastest growing types
Neodymium and dysprosium are expected to post the fastest volume gains of any rare
earths type, spurred by increased sales of heat-resistant NdFeB permanent magnets.
However, cerium will remain the most widely used rare earth, accounting for nearly one-
third of the 2015 total tonnage. Lanthanum and neodymium, with 27 and 23 percent of the
2015 tonnage total, respectively, will be the second and third most utilized types of rare
earths. China has held a virtual monopoly on rare earths production since the turn of the
century. In 2010, Chinese mines produced 111,000 metric tons of rare earths, accounting
for over 90 percent of world output. However, the emergence of non-Chinese suppliers,
combined with increased research and development in rare earths refining technologies, will
boost overall rare earths supply and eventually reduce upward pricing pressures.
Rare earth prices to peak around 2013
Prices for rare earths have jumped dramatically in recent years, particularly in the wake of
unexpected cuts in China export quotas. Pricing determinations are complicated by a
2. dichotomy between pricing within China and spot prices outside of China. It is anticipated
that prices will peak around 2013, when there will be downward pricing correction as new
industry entrants begin to operate at close to full production capacity. Especially notable will
be the elevated prices for the light rare earth neodymium and the heavy rare earths
dysprosium, terbium and yttrium.
Table of Contents
INTRODUCTION
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
II. MARKET ENVIRONMENT
General
World Economic Overview
Recent Economic Performance
World Economic Outlook
World Population Outlook
World Fixed Capital Formation Trends
World Manufacturing Outlook
World Permanent Magnets Production Trends
World Catalysts Outlook
World Petroleum Refining Outlook
World Motor Vehicle Production Trends
World Crude Steel Production Trends
World Secondary Battery Outlook
World Flat Glass Production Trends
World Electronics Sector Outlook
Technology
Production & Processing Technologies
Recycling Technologies
Competitive Materials
Pricing Trends
Legal & Regulatory Environment
III. WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND
General
Regional Overview
Demand
Production
China
Rest of World
Reserves
International Trade
Demand by Product
Cerium
Lanthanum
Neodymium
Yttrium
Dysprosium
Terbium
3. Europium
Other Products
Demand by Market
Permanent Magnets
Fluid Cracking Catalysts
Battery Alloys
Glass, Polishing & Ceramics
Metal Processing
Auto Catalysts
Phosphors
Other Markets
Emerging Applications
Wind Turbines
Solid-Oxide Fuel Cells
IV. NORTH AMERICA
General
Rare Earths Supply & Demand
United States
Canada
Mexico
V. WESTERN EUROPE
General
Rare Earths Supply & Demand
France
Germany
Italy
United Kingdom
Other Western Europe
VI. ASIA/PACIFIC
General
Rare Earths Supply & Demand
China
Japan
South Korea
India
Taiwan
Other Asia/Pacific
VII. OTHER REGIONS
Central & South America
General
Rare Earths Supply & Demand
Eastern Europe
General
Rare Earths Supply & Demand
Russia
Other Eastern Europe
Africa/Mideast
4. General
Rare Earths Supply & Demand
VIII. INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
General
Industry Composition
Market Share
Marketing & Distribution
Cooperative Agreements
Mergers & Acquisitions
Company Profiles
Alkane Resources Limited
Arafura Resources Limited
AS Silmet, see Molycorp
Avalon Rare Metals Incorporated
Baotou Huamei Rare Earth Products, see Inner Mongolia
Baotou Steel Rare-Earth Group Hi-Tech
China Minmetals Nonferrous Metals Company Limited
China Rare Earth Holdings Limited
Frontier Rare Earths Limited
Ganzhou Qiandong Rare Earth Group Company Limited
Great Western Minerals Group Limited
Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited
Grirem Advanced Materials Company Limited
Indian Rare Earths Limited
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Rare-Earth Group Hi-Tech Company Limited
Jiangsu Guosheng Rare Earth, see Grirem Advanced Materials
Jiangxi Copper Company Limited
Langfang GANS Magnetic Material, see Grirem Advanced Materials
Leshan Grirem Advanced Materials, see Grirem
Advanced Materials
Less Common Metals, see Great Western Minerals Group
Lynas Corporation Limited
Medallion Resources Limited
Molycorp Incorporated
Neo Material Technologies Incorporated
Quest Rare Minerals Limited
Rare Earth Extraction, see Great Western Minerals Group
Rare Element Resources Limited
Santoku America, see Molycorp
Shin-Etsu Chemical Company Limited
Sichuan Jiangtong Rare Earth, see Jiangxi Copper
Stans Energy Corporation
Treibacher Industrie AG
Wings Enterprises Incorporated
Zibo Baosteel Lingzhi Rare Earth Hi-Tech, see Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Rare-Earth
Group Hi-Tech
Other Companies Involved in the Rare Earths Industry
LIST OF TABLES
SECTION I -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Summary Table
5. SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 World Gross Domestic Product by Region
2 World Population by Region
3 World Gross Fixed Capital Formation by Region
4 World Manufacturing Value Added by Region
5 World Permanent Magnet Production by Region
6 World Catalysts Demand by Region
7 World Refined Petroleum Production by Region
8 World Motor Vehicle Production by Region
9 World Crude Steel Production by Region
10 World Secondary Battery Shipments by Region
11 World Flat Glass Production by Region
12 World Electronic Products Shipments by Region
13 The Rare Earth Elements
14 China's Rare Earth Export Quotas, 2005-2010
15 World Rare Earths Prices
SECTION III -- WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND
1 World Rare Earths Demand by Region
2 World Rare Earths Mine Production by Region
3 Current Rare Earth Projects
4 World Rare Earths Demand by Product
5 World Cerium Demand by Region
6 World Lanthanum Demand by Region
7 World Neodymium Demand by Region
8 World Yttrium Demand by Region
9 World Dysprosium Demand by Region
10 World Terbium Demand by Region
11 World Europium Demand by Region
12 World Demand for Other Rare Earths by Region
13 World Rare Earths Demand by Market
14 World Permanent Magnets Market for Rare Earths by Region
15 World FCC Market for Rare Earths by Region
16 World Battery Alloys Market for Rare Earths by Region
17 World Glass, Polishing & Ceramics Market for Rare Earths by Region
18 World Metal Processing Market for Rare Earths by Region
19 World Auto Catalysts Market for Rare Earths by Region
20 World Phosphors Market for Rare Earths by Region
21 World Demand for Rare Earths in Other Markets by Region
SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
1 North America Market Environment for Rare Earths
2 North America Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
3 United States Market Environment for Rare Earths
4 United States Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
5 Canada Market Environment for Rare Earths
6 Canada Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
7 Mexico Market Environment for Rare Earths
8 Mexico Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Western Europe Market Environment for Rare Earths
2 Western Europe Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
3 France Market Environment for Rare Earths
6. 4 France Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
5 Germany Market Environment for Rare Earths
6 Germany Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
7 Italy Market Environment for Rare Earths
8 Italy Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
9 United Kingdom Market Environment for Rare Earths
10 United Kingdom Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
11 Other Western Europe Market Environment for Rare Earths
12 Other Western Europe Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Asia/Pacific Market Environment for Rare Earths
2 Asia/Pacific Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
3 China Market Environment for Rare Earths
4 China Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
5 Japan Market Environment for Rare Earths
6 Japan Rare Earths Demand by Market & Product
7 South Korea Market Environment for Rare Earths
8 South Korea Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
9 India Market Environment for Rare Earths
10 India Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
11 Taiwan Market Environment for Rare Earths
12 Taiwan Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
13 Other Asia/Pacific Market Environment for Rare Earths
14 Other Asia/Pacific Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
SECTION VII -- OTHER REGIONS
1 Central & South America Market Environment for Rare Earths
2 Central & South America Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
3 Eastern Europe Market Environment for Rare Earths
4 Eastern Europe Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
5 Russia Market Environment for Rare Earths
6 Russia Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
7 Other Eastern Europe Market Environment for Rare Earths
8 Other Eastern Europe Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
9 Africa/Mideast Market Environment for Rare Earths
10 Africa/Mideast Rare Earths Demand by Product & Market
SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 Rare Earth Sales for Selected Companies, 2010
2 Selected Cooperative Agreements
3 Selected Acquisitions & Divestitures
LIST OF CHARTS
SECTION II -- MARKET ENVIRONMENT
1 World Manufacturing Value Added by Region, 2010
2 World Rare Earths Spot Prices, June 2011
3 World Rare Earths Prices, 2000-2020
SECTION III -- WORLD SUPPLY & DEMAND
1 World Rare Earths Demand by Region, 2010
2 World Rare Earth Reserves by Country, 2010
3 World Rare Earths Demand by Product, 2010
4 Increase in Rare Earths Demand from 2010 to 2015 by Product
7. 5 World Rare Earths Demand by Market, 2010
6 Increase in Rare Earths Demand from 2010 to 2015 by Market
SECTION IV -- NORTH AMERICA
1 North America Rare Earths Demand by Country, 2010
SECTION V -- WESTERN EUROPE
1 Western Europe Rare Earths Demand by Country, 2010
SECTION VI -- ASIA/PACIFIC
1 Asia/Pacific Rare Earths Demand by Country, 2010
SECTION VIII -- INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
1 World Rare Earths Market Share by Company, 2010
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