Maharashtra will hold its general elections over three phases in April 2014 for its 48 seats in the Lok Sabha. The major parties competing are the BJP, INC, Shiv Sena, NCP, and new entrant AAP. The BJP and Shiv Sena have formed the NDA alliance against the UPA alliance of the INC and NCP. In the 2009 elections, the NDA won 20 seats compared to 25 for the UPA. Factors in favor of the BJP include support from the MNS and a potential anti-incumbency wave against the current ruling Congress party in the state. However, the entry of AAP and rising popularity of MNS could help the Congress by dividing some BJP and Sh
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Maharashtra - Political Scenario before 2014 General Elections
1. Maharashtra - 2014 General Elections
No. of seats: 48 (5 SC & 4 ST category reserved seats + 39 Non reserved general seats)
2nd
highest in number of seats (After Uttar Pradesh-80)
Election Dates: 10th
, 17th
& 24th
April, 2014 (3 Phase Elections)
For breakage of constituencies:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Constituencies_of_the_Lok_Sabha#Maharashtra_.2848.29
Parties:
Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP),
Indian National Congress (INC),
Shiv Sena (SS),
Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS),
National Communist Party (NCP),
Third Front (Republican Left Democratic Front),
Aam Adami Party (AAP)
Major Alliances: (1) NDA (BJP + SS+ MNS) (2) UPA (INC+ NCP)
Clash of the Titans: NDA Alliance v/s UPA Alliance
Stats from 2009 Elections:
Party Name No of seats won
BJP 09
Shiv Sena 11
NDA Alliance (total) 20
INC 17
NCP 08
UPA Alliance (total) 25
2. Other regional parties 03
Total: 48
Points in Favor for NaMo:
• MNS (Raj Thackeray) won 13 assembly seats (out of 288) in the 2009 assembly elections,
Maharashtra. This result (4.5% seats) makes MNS, fourth in largest party in Maharashtra
assembly after Congress-NCP (144 seats), BJP-Shiv-Sena (90 seats), Third Front (14 seats).
Raj Thackeray has always been a MODI-supporter since his 9-day visit to Gujarat in 2009. He has
already declared his support for BJP and MODI.
• MNS will not be declaring its candidates against BJP owned seats, but it will fight against its all
time favorite opponent Shiv Sena (cousin of Raj Thackeray- Uddhav Thackeray’s Party).
• Anti Incumbency wave against current ruling party: Congress.
• Support of Ramdas Athavale in Maharashtra had certainly strengthened NDA and BJP.
Points that might affect BJP:
• Entry of AAP – AAP has fielded several candidates from Maharashtra especially against top
politicians like Nitin Gadkari, Milind Deora etc but whether it can get any seat is doubtful.
• Congress on the other hand can cherish by rising popularity of MNS which can divide some votes
of Shiv Sena and BJP. But, If MNS fulfills its promise after election results- then this point may
turn into plus point for NDA Alliance.
Expected Winner: BJP and Shiv Sena led NDA Alliance with 28+ seats.
Surprise Elements: AAP , MNS and NCP.
Star Factors : On 7th April BJP ex president Nitin Gadkari will be facing election for the first time, other
prominent politicians from Maharashtra in lok sabha election 2014 are Home Minister Shinde, Priya
Dutt, Sanjay Nirupam of Congress, Kirit Somaiya, Ramdas Athavale etc.