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Horse Racing Method Rules – Horse Racing Tips




betting systems get a bad press because there is so much rubbish being marketed. Systems that promise
substantial profits but in real life they are just trash.

Systems vendors and creators fall into three main types.

1. Scammers: Strong names but I think deserved. These are people who have no interest in betting
systems but they have discovered that there are a lot of hungry buyers who would like to win money on
the horses.

They spend all of their time crafting the sales message that will draw in the unsuspecting customer.

They know that however bad the method is that only a small percentage will ask for a refund.

2. Idiots: These are people who have found what they believe is a winning method but in fact it turns
out to be just some coincedental wins.

These people dont realise the problems caused by making a system fit the data available. The fact is that
given any set of data the determined person can find a set of rules that could be applied to that data
that will find enough winners to make a winning system.

Hindsight is 20 20.

3. The Minority: There are of course people who know about researching trends, who realise that a
trend found in one set of data needs to be fully tested on another different set of data before it can be
considered reliable. If you are to buy a horse racing system then these are the people you should be
following.

Here's my step by step plan for creating a reliable horse racing method
1. look at lots of old data to locate an indicator of winners. Something that looks to be common to a lot
of winners that could maybe become the basis of a method.

2. Hone that idea by adding known sensible filters, things like days since last run (recent runs indicate
that the horse is likely to fit), course and /or distance winners (have proven they can win in that race
type) etc.

If you have a filter that says the horse must have run between 1 to 4 days ago or 10 to 20 days ago (IE
but not 5 to 9) then you are just making your system fit the data.

3. And this is the crucial step. Try your completed method on fresh data. This is how you know you are
on to something real. But if you then tweak it a bit so it looks good on both sets of data then you are
back-fitting again.

The Betting School website is your main resource for all things related to UK betting. For horse racing
systems goto http://www.betting-school.com/horse-racing-system/

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Horse racing method rules – horse racing tips

  • 1. Horse Racing Method Rules – Horse Racing Tips betting systems get a bad press because there is so much rubbish being marketed. Systems that promise substantial profits but in real life they are just trash. Systems vendors and creators fall into three main types. 1. Scammers: Strong names but I think deserved. These are people who have no interest in betting systems but they have discovered that there are a lot of hungry buyers who would like to win money on the horses. They spend all of their time crafting the sales message that will draw in the unsuspecting customer. They know that however bad the method is that only a small percentage will ask for a refund. 2. Idiots: These are people who have found what they believe is a winning method but in fact it turns out to be just some coincedental wins. These people dont realise the problems caused by making a system fit the data available. The fact is that given any set of data the determined person can find a set of rules that could be applied to that data that will find enough winners to make a winning system. Hindsight is 20 20. 3. The Minority: There are of course people who know about researching trends, who realise that a trend found in one set of data needs to be fully tested on another different set of data before it can be considered reliable. If you are to buy a horse racing system then these are the people you should be following. Here's my step by step plan for creating a reliable horse racing method
  • 2. 1. look at lots of old data to locate an indicator of winners. Something that looks to be common to a lot of winners that could maybe become the basis of a method. 2. Hone that idea by adding known sensible filters, things like days since last run (recent runs indicate that the horse is likely to fit), course and /or distance winners (have proven they can win in that race type) etc. If you have a filter that says the horse must have run between 1 to 4 days ago or 10 to 20 days ago (IE but not 5 to 9) then you are just making your system fit the data. 3. And this is the crucial step. Try your completed method on fresh data. This is how you know you are on to something real. But if you then tweak it a bit so it looks good on both sets of data then you are back-fitting again. The Betting School website is your main resource for all things related to UK betting. For horse racing systems goto http://www.betting-school.com/horse-racing-system/