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WE'RE NOT WINNING By Gabe Mounce
Info Ops inside OODA Loop ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fourth Generation Warfare & OODA Loop Implications of The Iraqi Insurgency By G.I. Wilson Greg Wilcox Chet Richards December 2004 -  Find the full brief  here ORIENT  OBSERVE ACT DECIDE
 
Machines don't fight wars. People do, and they use their minds.  -  Col John R. Boyd Military action is important to the nation—it is the ground of death and life, the path of survival and destruction, so it is imperative to examine it.  -  Sun Tzu,  The Art of War INTRODUCTION
Boyd’s OODA “Loop” INTRODUCTION Orient Observe Act Decide
Orientation is the Fulcrum of Boyd’s  OODA “Loop” Orientation is the fulcrum of Boyd’s OODA Loop. It shapes the way we interact with the environment—hence the way we observe it, the way we decide, the way we act. Orientation shapes the character of present observe-orient-decide-act loops—while these present loops shape the character of the future orientation. Source:  Col John Boyd’s Organic Design from “Patterns of Conflict”   Orient Observe Act Decide
Using the OODA “Loop” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Orient Observe Act Decide Implicit guidance & control
Old Way = Death ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Open Systems ,[object Object]
 
“ The absence of structure, leadership, and formal organization, once considered a weakness, has become a major asset.  Seemingly chaotic groups have challenged and defeated established institutions.”
“ The Rules of the Game  have  Changed.”
 
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object],Implication:  the harder you fight a decentralized  opponent, the stronger it gets. Ori Brafman  &  Rod Beckstrom ,  The Starfish and the Spider , pg. 25
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object],Implication:  If you do make this mistake when fighting one….yeah back to principle number 1. Ori Brafman  &  Rod Beckstrom ,  The Starfish and the Spider , pg. 25
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object]
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object]
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object],[object Object]
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ORIENT Identifying and destroying insurgent infrastructure/organization is problematic. Iraqi insurgents do not have  western-like command and control . Instead insurgent C2 is often very  cellular, autonomous, diffuse, and self-adapting . Perhaps this is what distinguishes it in a large part from other insurgencies. Insurgents have an   intuitive   sense of the effects their actions will  achieve in the cultural and religious environment in which they  operate. We often misread their culture and misjudge the effects.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ORIENT
OBSERVE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Iraqi Insurgency is Maturing:
[object Object],ORIENT
Historical pattern Napoleon’s art of war ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Essential point Early tactics, without apparent design, operate in a fluid, adaptable manner to uncover, expand and exploit adversary vulnerabilities and weaknesses while later tactics emphasize massed firepower and stereotyped formations working formally together to smash adversary strength.   37
“Where are the weaknesses of the blitz?” 103
ORIENT Remember, “They” Network, Too! You tell Sam Who works with Joe Who’s a distant cousin of Dangerous Dawoud
ORIENT Networks and Nonlinearity ( Chaos )
Examples  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object]
 
Commonality Ideology – Glue that holds decentralized orgs together Ruled by Norms Instigated by Catalyst
Principles of a Starfish ,[object Object],“ It’s a natural reaction, when attacked, to hunker down and adopt a command-and-control mentality.  But it falters when you take on a starfish.”
 
 
Defeating a Starfish ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 

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Open Model (The Starfish Approach)

  • 1. WE'RE NOT WINNING By Gabe Mounce
  • 2.
  • 3. Fourth Generation Warfare & OODA Loop Implications of The Iraqi Insurgency By G.I. Wilson Greg Wilcox Chet Richards December 2004 - Find the full brief here ORIENT OBSERVE ACT DECIDE
  • 4.  
  • 5. Machines don't fight wars. People do, and they use their minds. - Col John R. Boyd Military action is important to the nation—it is the ground of death and life, the path of survival and destruction, so it is imperative to examine it. - Sun Tzu, The Art of War INTRODUCTION
  • 6. Boyd’s OODA “Loop” INTRODUCTION Orient Observe Act Decide
  • 7. Orientation is the Fulcrum of Boyd’s OODA “Loop” Orientation is the fulcrum of Boyd’s OODA Loop. It shapes the way we interact with the environment—hence the way we observe it, the way we decide, the way we act. Orientation shapes the character of present observe-orient-decide-act loops—while these present loops shape the character of the future orientation. Source: Col John Boyd’s Organic Design from “Patterns of Conflict” Orient Observe Act Decide
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.  
  • 12. “ The absence of structure, leadership, and formal organization, once considered a weakness, has become a major asset. Seemingly chaotic groups have challenged and defeated established institutions.”
  • 13. “ The Rules of the Game have Changed.”
  • 14.  
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. ORIENT Identifying and destroying insurgent infrastructure/organization is problematic. Iraqi insurgents do not have western-like command and control . Instead insurgent C2 is often very cellular, autonomous, diffuse, and self-adapting . Perhaps this is what distinguishes it in a large part from other insurgencies. Insurgents have an intuitive sense of the effects their actions will achieve in the cultural and religious environment in which they operate. We often misread their culture and misjudge the effects.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. “Where are the weaknesses of the blitz?” 103
  • 27. ORIENT Remember, “They” Network, Too! You tell Sam Who works with Joe Who’s a distant cousin of Dangerous Dawoud
  • 28. ORIENT Networks and Nonlinearity ( Chaos )
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.  
  • 32. Commonality Ideology – Glue that holds decentralized orgs together Ruled by Norms Instigated by Catalyst
  • 33.
  • 34.  
  • 35.  
  • 36.
  • 37.  
  • 38.