The document summarizes key points from a presentation given by Rohit Talwar, CEO of Fast Future Research, at the Blackberry Innovation Forum in Dubai on November 16th, 2011. The presentation discussed major trends and developments that could impact businesses over the next 5-10 years, including demographic shifts, life extension technologies, the rise of emerging markets, new interfaces and computing technologies. Talwar also provided frameworks for how organizations can strategize and plan for an uncertain future across different time horizons.

1. Driving Future Growth
Blackberry Innovation Forum
Dubai
November 16th 2011
Rohit Talwar
CEO - Fast Future Research
www.fastfuture.com
rohit@fastfuture.com
Twitter @fastfuture

2. Driving Future Growth
Business ICT New
Trends Horizon Ideas and
Approach

3. Discussion
What is the single
biggest change in
the outside world,
the marketplace or
technology that has
had the greatest
impact on your
business in the last
five years?

4. Emerging Trends and
Developments
• Which of the following
business or technology
trends and developments
could create the biggest
opportunities and
challenges for your
business?
• How might they affect
you?

5. Organisations Need to Work on
3 Horizons in Parallel
1-12 Months 1-3 Years 3-10 Years
Operational Drive for Creating
Excellence Growth the Future

6. Growth is not Guaranteed…

7. …Thinking is Back in Fashion

8. Transformational Change?
It’s Only Just Begun

9. The World in 2015

10. Demographic Destinies
2 billion more people in 40 years –
Demographics is Driving Economics
448 739 691 5231
344
1998 4157
729 1030
585
2010 2050 Source : United Nations

11. Life Redefined –
Lifespans are Increasing
Under 50’s have 90%
chance of living to 100.
Aubrey de Grey suggests
we could live to 500 or 1000
What are the health,
housing, consumption and
resource implications?
What kind of opportunities
will be created?

12. BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers
and Emeriti: Origin Countries
35 33
30
25
20
20
15 14
10 8
6
5
5 4
3 3
2 2
1 1 1 1 1
0
Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011

13. Service is the ‘Killer App’

15. Tackling Complexity
• Process
• Organisation
• Information /
Systems
• Regulatory
• Human

16. Think Like the Customer
e.g. Open Innovation

17. New Business Thinking
e.g. Ultra-Quick Construction

18. Auctions
£3088 £8791.50 £81

19. Access vs. Ownership

20. TMT – Convergence and Immersion
Telephony Connectivity
• Voice • Cellular
• Messaging • Up to 14 bands
• SIM card • WLAN/BT
• Phonebook • GPS
• Ring Tones • NFC
• Security • FM
Data/ Multimedia
Enterprise • Camera 8-16M
• Camcorder
• 100Mbps
• 24M Color Display
• Email
• Memory (160GB)
• IMS
• Multiformat A/V
• Browsing
• HD Video/TV out
• VPN
• Games
• PIM
• Ecommerce
Software (50-100M Tps)
• Protocols • DRM
• Payments
• Middleware
• Applications
• User Interface
• Minimize fragmentation

21. What I Want – When I Want

22. Rising Broadband Penetration

23. Grid Computing

24. Cybersecurity

25. Holographic Devices
Image source: livetradingnews.com

26. Next Generation Interfaces

27. AR at Copenhagen Airport

28. Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces

29. Intelligent Interfaces Offer Seamless Human-
Computer Interaction

30. Immersive Environments

31. Optical Computing
Quantum Computing

32. Intelligent Brain-Computer Interface

33. New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure

34. Emerging Trends and
Developments
• Which business or
technology trends and
developments could
create the biggest
opportunities and
challenges for your
business?
• How might they affect
you?

35. Where are the Opportunities?

36. Securing the Future
What critical
actions can you
take to future proof
your business?

37. Lead or Follow?

38. Focus on Growth Industries

39. Rising Infrastructure Spending
• CIBC projects up to $35
trillion in public works
by 2030 (1)
• Annual spend:
– North America
$180Bn
– Europe $205Bn
– Asia $400Bn
– Africa $10Bn
Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015

40. Airport Expansion by 2020
China from ~150 to 244
India from ~100 to 150

41. Opening Up Education

42. Green Transport Revolution

43. Extending the Experience

44. The Slide@T3
Changi Airport - Singapore

45. Virtual Grocery Shopping –
Tesco South Korea

46. Tablet Equipped Shopping Carts

47. 3D Printing
$1Tn+

48. Make Time and Space for Change

49. Be Sticky and Magnetic

50. Create Tolerance of Uncertainty
Encourage Experimentation

51. Broad Scans and Deep Dives

52. Embrace Networks and
Associations

53. Conclusions – Playing to Win
• Think Service
• Focus on Growth Markets
• Be Visible

54. Securing the Future
What critical
actions can you
take to future proof
your business?

55. About Fast Future

56. Fast Future
• Research, consulting, speaking, leadership
• 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments,
people, trends and forces shaping the future
• Clients
– Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI
– Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel,
Samsung, GSK, SAP, Orange, O2, E&Y, KPMG,
Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING,
Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank
– Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria,
Singapore, UK, US
– Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London,
San Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban,
Athens, Slovenia, Copenhagen
– Convention Centres – Melbourne,
Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC
– Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred,
– Intercontinental
– Congrex, Kenes
– Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group

57. Hotels 2020: Beyond
Segmentation Objectives
• Identify change drivers and
key success characteristics
for the globally branded hotel
sector over the next decade
• Examine the implications for:
– Hotel strategy
– Brand portfolio
– Business models
– Customer targeting
– Innovation

58. Rohit Talwar
• Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.
• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic
innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on
5 continents
• Author of Designing Your Future – Published 08/2008
• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10
Global Future Thinkers
• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic
consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications,
technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism,
environment, food and government sectors
• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De
Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM,
ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis,
OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell,
Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations
and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai,
Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.
• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email
rohit@fastfuture.com

59. Designing Your Future
Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing
Association and Nonprofit Leaders
• 50 key trends
• 100 emerging trends
• 10 major patterns of change
• Key challenges and choices for
leaders
• Strategic decision making
framework
• Scenarios for 2012
• Key futures tools and techniques
• Published August 2008
• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95
• Email invoice request to
rohit@fastfuture.com

60. Our Services
Bespoke research; Identification &
Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers &
Shocks
Public Speaking, In-
Company Briefings, Accelerated Scenario
Seminars and Planning, Timelining &
Workshops Future Mapping
Personal Futuring for
Leaders and Leadership Expert Consultations &
Teams Futures Think Tanks
Identification of
Design & Facilitation of Opportunities for
Innovation, Incubation Innovation and Strategic
& Venturing
Programmes Strategy Creation & Investment
Development of
Implementation
Roadmaps

61. Example Projects
• Public and private client research e.g. :
– Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events
– Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events
– One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry
– Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies
– The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020
– Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia
– Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030
– Scenario Projects – Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030
– Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration
– Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society
of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership
– Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020
– The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers
– Winning in India and China
• Strategic advice to industry players
• Confidential advisory and coaching services to CEOs and top teams
• Public speaking at public conferences and in-company events
• Future thinking workshops and retreats

62. Example Clients

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